Television Station Ownership Structure and the Quantity and Quality of TV Programming? Federal Communications Commission Media Ownership Study #3 Gregory S. Crawford Department of Economics University of Arizona July 23, 2007 ?I would like to thank Jim Castler at Tribune Media Services, Enid Maran at Nielsen Media Research, and Henry Laura at TNS for working with me and the FCC in providing the data used in this study. I would also like to thank Michelle Connolly, Chief Economist at the FCC, for her un agging support in obtaining this data. I would particularly like to thank Joseph Cullen for his outstanding research assistance in getting the many very large datasets used in this study to talk to each other. Correspondence may be sent to Gregory S. Crawford, Department of Economics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721-0108, phone 520-621-5247, email crawford@eller.arizona.edu. 1 1 Executive Summary In this study we analyze the relationship between the ownership structure of television stations and the quantity and quality of television programming in the United States between 2003 and 2006. Television programming comes in many kinds and even deflning programming of difierent kinds can be di–cult. We report patterns of overall television availability and viewing as well as focus on several types of programming of particular interest to the FCC that were included in the mandate for this report.1 Regarding the quantity and quality of television programming, our focus is decidedly economic. For each type of programming, we have three concentric quantity measures. First we consider the programming available on each major and most minor broadcast and cable television program networks ofiered (roughly) anywhere in the United States.2 This represents either an idealized view ofwhat someone mighthaveavailableto them ifthey wereable to costlessly access anyprogramming ofiered through any distribution channel anywhere in the U.S. or (perhaps more realistically) a statement about the scope of programming being produced for consumption somewhere in the country. Second, we weight our programming measures by network availability (i.e. is a particular network or program "on the shelf"). This gives a sense of what share of U.S. households could choose to view programming of a given type if they wished to do so. Finally, we examine what households actually watch. We feel these three measures { what is produced, what is available, and what is watched { provide a robust picture of the quantity of television programming in the United States. Interesting patterns arise from considering each of these difierent measures. We similarly focus on economic measures of programming quality. We have two measures. First, we measure quality by the number of households who choose to watch a program (as measured by the Nielsen television rating) as a share of households that have access to that programming. This captures the idea that for programming that is free to households (i.e. broadcast television programming or cable television programming after purchasing access to a bundle of networks), higher quality programs will garner higher ratings. Second, we measure program quality by the number and length (in minutes and seconds) of advertisements included on that program. This captures the idea that the more advertisements included in a program, the less enjoyable it is to viewers to watch that program.3 1In particular, (1) Local News and Public Afiairs Programming, (2) Minority Programming, (3) Children’s Pro- gramming, (4) Family Programming, (5) Indecent Programming, (6) Violent Programming, and (7) Religious Pro- gramming. See Section 4 below for the alternative deflnitions used for each of these programming types. 2In our flnal analysis, we analyze programming on 1,583 broadcast stations and 192 cable networks. 3As discussed further below, there are many other ways to interpret "quantity" and (especially) "quality" in television markets. We chose these deflnitions for two reasons. The flrst was data complementarity and availability: economic measures of program quality flt best with economic measures of program quantity and aesthetic measures of program quality are both subjective and di–cult to obtain on a broad scale. The second were idiosyncratic preferences and training: a non-economist, or an economist with a less empirical perspective, might well have selected alternative 2 While we examine what we feel is a broad range of outcomes in television markets, we limit our ownership analysis to the relationship between the ownership structure of television stations and the quantity and quality of television programming. While we had hopes for studying a much wider range of ownership issues, data limitations prevented them from being realized. In particular, the ownershipvariablesinourstudycometousfromtheFederalCommunicationCommission’s(FCC’s) Study 2 (Diwadi, Roberts, and Wise (2007)). The focus in that study is on ownership structure at the distribution level. For television markets, that means the ownership structure of television stations and cable television and satellite systems. We use the data provided on television station ownership in our study. We were unable, however, to use the data provided on ownership of cable television and satellite systems due to limitations in our cable television data.4 Conducting the study proved to be a challenging organizational task. As noted above, we obtained television station ownership information for every full-power broadcast television station between 2002 and 2005 from Diwadi, Roberts, and Wise (2007). We then matched this with information about the quantity and quality of television programming from four major industry data providers. From each provider, we obtained information on various aspects of television programming for each of two weeks per year (in May and November) for 4 years (from 2003-2006). We obtained program schedule data, including detailed information about individual programs, for each broadcast tele- vision station and almost 200 cable networks from Tribune Media Services (hereafter TMS). We obtained partial-day program ratings for each of the programs shown on broadcast television sta- tions from Nielsen Media Research (hereafter Nielsen). We obtained average national prime-time cable network television ratings by year from Kagan Media Research (hereafter, Kagan). Finally, we obtained information about the quantity of and revenue from advertising on each of the pro- grams on broadcast television stations in most of the top 108 DMAs from TNS.5 We then merged them together and conducted the study. With respect to our measures of the quantity of television programming, we flnd there are im- portant difierences between the programming provided on broadcast versus cable networks for News, Religious, and Violent programming (more on broadcast), and Public Afiairs, Children’s, and Adult programming (more on cable). We flnd that "niche", or special-interest, programming measures. Our hope is that the measures we chose, and in particular the links between them, will contribute something new to the ongoing discussion of the impact of changes in media ownership on television markets. 4In particular, while Diwadi, Roberts, and Wise (2007) provides information on cable and satellite television penetration by DMA, it does not provide information about the networks carried by those cable and satellite providers. We explored building this information ourselves using both TMS data and data from various editions of Warren Publishing’sCableandTelevisionFactbook(e.g. Warren(2005)), butwereunabletolinkinformationaboutownership from the FCC’s cable system database to the either of these datasets in time for this report. Further complicating matters was an unrelated inability to get most of our quantity and quality measures for cable programming. We discuss the difierences in our broadcast and cable television data in Section 3 below. 5The exact time frames addressed difiered across data providers. In the flnal analysis, we used information about the quantity and quality of television programming across 4 years, 2003-2006, and correlated that with changes in ownership across 3 years, 2003-2005. 3 (Minority Adult, and Religious programming) is less widely available than general-interest pro- gramming (News, Children’s, and Family programming). Examining patterns across time, we flnd that program production and/or availability is falling across time for Network News (though not Local News), Public Afiairs, Family, and Religious programming and rising across time for Latino, Children’s, Adult, and the more violent of Violent programming. Also rising across time is the average Television Content rating across all rated programs. With respect to our measures of the quality of television programming, we flnd that in general, pro- gramming is more highly rated on broadcast than cable networks. Of the programming types, News and Violent programming are the most highly rated (i.e. highest quality), with Latino/Spanish- language, Children’s and Family programming substantially lower, and non-Latino Minority and Religious programming lower still. Examining patterns over time, we flnd that the relative quality of News programming is declining with some measures of Children’s programming and the more violent Violent programming gaining ground. With respect to advertising market outcomes, we flnd that a–liates of the Big-4 broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, NBC, and Fox) provide more advertising minutes at higher prices than do other broadcast television stations and that this advantage ap- pears to be increasing over time. From the perspective of a viewer (households), rising advertising minutes suggest the quality of television programming is falling over time. We relate these measures to the ownership structure of broadcast television stations. Our strongest flndings are for Local News: television stations owned by a parent that also owns a newspaper in the area ofier more local news programming. By some methods, television stations owned by corporate parents with larger annual revenue also ofier more Local News, but by other methods they ofier less. This is an important area for further inquiry. We flnd that local ownership is correlated with more Public Afiairs and Family programming. While we flnd important and interesting difierences in the amount of Violent programming across network a–liates, it does not appear to be correlated in an economically and statistically signiflcant way with ownership structure. Efiects of ownership structure on other programming types or on outcomes in the advertising market are either economically insigniflcant, statistically insigniflcant, or difier in their predicted efiects according to the method of analysis. Therestofthisreportproceedsasfollows. InSection2webrie ydescribetheeconomicorganization of television markets. In Section 3 we describe our sources of data and in Section 4 describe the deflnition of the programming types that form the basis of the study and the aggregation we do to analyze the data. Section 5 describes patterns of the quantity and quality of programming in the television industry and Section 6 relates these to the ownership structure of local television markets. Section 7 concludes. 4 2 The Television Industry: A Study of Two-Sided Markets Measuring the relationship between ownership structure and the quantity and quality of television programming flrst requires an understanding of the economic environment in which that program- ming is provided. I brie y describe the economic organization of the television industry in this section. The television market is an example of what economists call two-sided markets. Like any product, consumers of television programming value it and (in some way) are willing to pay for it.6 Call the market in which this happens the Content Market. Unlike most products, however, their consumption creates another product, audiences, which the television provider can then sell to advertisers. Call the market in which this happens the Advertising Market. There has been considerable research in the last several years on the unusual economics of two-sided markets like that in the television industry (e.g. Anderson and Gabszewicz (2005)).7 For example, if one side of the market (e.g. advertisers) values highly the number of consumers on the other side of the market (e.g. viewers), prices to the second (viewer) side can be decreased below cost.8 Furthermore, a merger on one side of a two-sided market can increases competition on the other side, increasing total welfare (Rochet and Tirole (2006)). While I will not address such issues in this report, they highlight a common theme in the analysis of two-sided markets: flrms that want to maximize proflts or policy-makers that want to maximize social welfare must analyze the outcomes in and the links between both markets. And so in this study I will examine the relationship between ownership structure and features of both the Content and Advertising markets. But which content market(s)? Which advertising market(s)? For each of these markets, there is a vertical "supply chain", i.e. a sequence of markets through which content (audiences) must pass before it is made available to viewers (advertisers). This is most clearly seen in the Content Market, so I focus the subsequent discussion there. Before a typical consumer can watch a typical program, it must make it to the screen of the television that she turns on. Figure 1 provides a graphical representation of this process in the tele- vision programming industry. Downward arrows represent the ow of programming from Content Providers to Consumers. The distribution rights to most content (e.g. a television program like "Crocodile Hunter") is purchased by a Television Network (e.g. CBS or The Discovery Channel) and placed in its programming lineup (see, e.g., Owen and Wildman (1992)). These networks are 6This payment may be in terms of actual money paid to a television provider or in terms of attention given to the advertisements on a freely-available program. 7Much of this research was sparked by prominent antitrust cases involving flrms in two-sided markets (e.g. United States v. VISA U.S.A, United States v. Microsoft). See Rochet and Tirole (2006) for a recent survey with an economic focus and Evans (2003) for a recent survey with an antitrust focus. 8Such is free (to consumers, not to advertisers) broadcast television born. 5 then distributed to consumers in one of two ways. Broadcast Networks like ABC, CBS, and NBC distribute their programming over the air via local broadcast television stations at no cost to house- holds. Cable Television Networks like The Discovery Channel, MTV, and ESPN instead distribute their programming via cable or satellite television systems that charge fees to consumers.9 Upward arrows represent the creation and sale of audiences to advertisers as a consequence of television viewing by consumers. Some audiences, represented by the dashed line at the right of the flgure, are sold directly to advertisers by distributors of television networks, particularly those created by local or regional programming. Most audiences, however, are aggregated across distribution channels (e.g. the total viewers to ESPN across all cable and satellite systems) and sold to advertisers by program networks.10 The various sub-markets that characterize the purchase and sale of content or audiences are in- dicated at each step in the chain. For example, Content Providers sell their content to television networks in what I call the Program (Production) Market, Networks sell access to all their con- tent to broadcast and cable television systems in the Program (Network) Market, and Consumers purchase access to programming in the (Program) Distribution Market. Ownership structure at any point in the chain of either market can in uence outcomes like the quantity and quality of television programming provided to households.11 As noted above, for reasons of data availability we focus in this study on the relationship between the ownership struc- ture of broadcast television stations and the quantity and quality of television programming. This will necessarily give only part of the picture about the full relationship between media ownership structure and television programming. We raise this issue not to belittle the insights we provide here, but to highlight the value of extending what we have done here not only to other distribution channels (e.g. cable and satellite systems, eventually to Internet distribution), but also to the Pro- gram Network, Program Production, and Audience (Advertising) markets and to the ownership links between them. 3 Data In this section, we describe the sources of data used in the study. 9The dashed arrow between content providers and consumers represents the small but growing trend to distribute some content directly to consumer via the Internet (e.g. the television programs "Lost" and "Desperate Housewives"). 10Even this is an incomplete picture. For example, some programming, particularly syndicated programming, is sold directly from content providers to broadcast television stations. 11For example, Wilbur (2005) flnds that more programming is provided that matches advertiser preferences (e.g. targeting adult males) than that matches viewer preferences. 6 3.1 Television Station Ownership Data Our ownership data on broadcast television stations comes from Diwadi, Roberts, and Wise (2007). The interested reader is referred there for more details. We describe the key variables we use in our study in Section 6 below. 3.2 Programming Data Overview The FCC agreed to purchase data on our behalf in order to address the issues in this study. We would ideally have obtained information on every program on every channel (or network) on every broadcast television and cable system in the U.S. over a fairly long time horizon. Ofcourse, this provedboth tooexpensiveand toomuchdatato tractably analyze. As acompromise, we obtained information on every program on every major broadcast television station and cable network for two weeks of every year between 2003 and 2006. The weeks chosen were selected during two of the Nielsen "sweeps Months" to facilitate obtaining Nielsen’s DMA-level television ratings data for each program. The Nielsen TV year runs roughly September through May,12 so we selected weeks near the beginning and end of the Nielsen year. We tried to consistently select the same week each year to control for seasonal factors that might otherwise bias our year-to-year comparisons. In the end, we chose the second "Nielsen week" in each of the November and May sweeps periods. The speciflc weeks chosen are presented below in table 1. Table 1: Data Dates Year Week 1 Week 2 2003 May 8-14 Nov 6-12 2004 May 13-19 Nov 11-17 2005 May 12-18 Nov 10-16 2006 May 11-17 Nov 9-15 Television Schedule Data (TMS) Our basic unit of observation is a television program (e.g "Friends") shown on a particular "station" (broadcast station or cable television network, e.g. WNBC in New York City or the USA cable network) at a particular time (e.g. Monday, May 8th, 2003, at 8:00 EST). While in principle this information is publicly available (e.g. published daily in local newspapers or provided by programming distributors), there are so many broadcast networks and cable systems that flrms have arisen to organize it, ensure its accuracy, add additional 12With "sweeps" in November, February, May, and July. 7 information, and sell it to interested parties. Tribune Media Services (TMS) is one such flrm, primarily selling access to their data to a variety of industry participants (e.g. print programming guides, cable systems, websites, etc.). TMS measures the universe of television programming provided on any broadcast television station or cable system in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, over 20,000 unique "channels".13 Many of these aren’t practically relevant (e.g. an audio channel on the local cable system in Kansas), so we limited the analysis to every full-power broadcast television station and cable and premium television network in the United States. We obtained a list of the former from the ownership data described above. We obtained a list of the latter from TMS, Kagan World Media (2006), and NCTA (2007).14 There are 1,583 full-power broadcast television stations and 192 cable and premium programming networks included in our flnal dataset. Table 2 describes the flelds we used from the TMS Program Schedule data. Following the structure of a relational database, the top panel of Table 2 describes the information provided for each channel-date-starting time-program (our unit of observation).15 Information common to a channel and program are then presented in the second and third panels of the table. The Channel ID and Program ID link the data in each of the panels for each date and starting time. Of particular relevance for our analysis are the "Program Type" and "Category" flelds as these are the primary source data we use by which we allocate programming into categories for later, separate analysis. TMS identifles a Program Type and Category for every program ofiered on television.16 There are 33 Program Types and over 300 Categories in the TMS data. As there was signiflcant overlap in some of the Program Types, we combined a number of them. The 33 TMS Program Types and our smaller set of 23 "Estimation" Program Types are presented in Table 3. We performed a similar exercise reducing the number of Categories from 309 to 37; the speciflc allocation we used is provided in Tables 29-31. The proportions of programming in each Program Type and Category in our flnal dataset is given in Table 4. Television Ratings Data (Nielsen, Kagan) While the TMS data tell us each of the programs ofiered on every major broadcast television station and cable network in the United States, they do not tell us how many people were exposed to that programming nor how many watched them. For that, the FCC purchased data from Nielsen Media Research (Nielsen) and Kagan Media Services (Kagan) for the same weeks and years for which we obtained the TMS data. 13TMS organizes their data flrst according to "channels". These range from full- and low-power broadcast television stations to cable, premium, and pay-per-view networks to local origination, split broadcast, and split cable channels. 14The NCTA website cited above was the most comprehensive resource. Obtaining programming information for some of the smaller cable networks in particular required an extensive iterative process with TMS. 15As noted in the table, we normalized starting times to the quarter-hour. 16For convenience, when I refer to Program Type and Category flelds in the TMS data, I will capitalize each word. This will identify when I refer to the speciflc TMS data versus the general issue of program types or categories. 8 There were several idiosyncracies to the Nielsen data. First, we were only able to obtain ratings data for certain parts of the day: from 7:00-11:00 a.m. and from 6:00 p.m.-12:00 a.m. We focus exclusively on the latter period in our results. Second, the broadcast and cable network ratings came from difierent sources within the company. Broadcast ratings data are available for each of the 210 DMAs and are used in the study. Due to di–culties in the delivery and formatting of the cable ratings data, we were not able to use them in this study. Instead, we obtained annual average prime-time ratings data from Kagan World Media (2006). While not ideal { the broadcast ratings data are for the speciflc programs shown on the speciflc days of our study while the cable ratings data are annual averages - they are useful for permitting us to conduct an integrated analysis of programming on both broadcast and cable networks. Advertising Minutes Data (TNS) As noted in Section 2, it is important to understand the impact of ownership structure on both the content and advertising markets. To do so, the FCC purchased data from TNS, Inc. (TNS) for the same weeks for which we obtained the TMS and Nielsen data. There were also several idiosyncracies to the TNS data. First, the FCC contracted with TNS for only broadcast advertising minutes. These were available in most of the top 108 DMAs.17 Second, TNS provided us with information about the number and length of advertisements in each program, but only information about the number of promotions in each program.18 This impacted slightly our estimates of the total non-programming time on a given program.19 4 Data Aggregation and Program Types As described earlier, we have three measures of the quantity of television: the amount of television programming produced (and available somewhere) in the United States, the amount of television programming available to the typical U.S. household, and the amount of television actually watched by U.S. households. We will discuss programming of difierent types in what follows; for now assume 17Missing were DMAs 10-11, 66-68, and 76-78. 18Promotions are advertisements for other television programs. Typically these are for other programs on the same channel or other programs on a–liated channels. 19The data were given to us at the level of the network-program-timeperiod-advertisement. Each ad (or promotion) was associated with a "pod", a collection of ads and/or promotions associated with each commercial break within a program. To aggregate the data to the level of the program, we flrst aggregated the information within each pod and then aggregated information across pods within a program. We only ran into trouble when a promotion was either flrst or last within a pod. In that case, we didn’t know exactly how long the pod was (and therefore how long the promotion was). To estimate total non-programming (i.e. ad plus promotion) time, we substituted the average promotion length (which we can calculate by comparing pod length to total advertising length for pods that begin and end with ads) for those promotions at the beginning and end of the pod. This is unlikely to dramatically impact our results. 9 we are discussing a "generic television program". How do we measure what is produced? As described above, the TMS data provides an exhaustive inventory of the television "channels" (broadcast television stations and cable television networks) on ofier across the United States. Indeed, they provide too much - almost 8,000 such "channels". We trim this down in two ways. First, for broadcast networks, we focus on the set of full-power broadcast television stations that are the focus of the FCC Media Ownership study #2. We further reduce this number by removing from our study (where feasible) the second (weaker) broadcast television station a–liated with a broadcast network within each Nielsen DMA.20 Second, for cable networks, we had to decide how many cable networks to include in the analysis. NCTA (2007) lists over 500 cable networks (planned or active). This very large number no doubt re ects the growth in available capacity across cable and satellite systems brought on by the digital distribution of programming. But how many of these are truly available? An early version of our results using the TMS data included 362 cable networks. In the results we present here, however, we focus on the set of basic cable networks for which we had information about their nationwide availability from Kagan World Media (2006) as well as any premium and pay-per-view networks.21 This left 192 cable networks. While not exhaustive - and perhaps not representative of the future of program availability - it does re ect the population of at-least-reasonably-available cable networks as of late 2006. What do we miss by limiting ourselves in this way? In the broadcast area, these rules mean we will not analyze the rise of low-power broadcast television stations.22 In the cable area, it means we do not analyze two types of networks: new and/or very narrowly distributed basic cable networks and various types of local origination (public access, etc.).23 4.1 Aggregating Broadcast Programming Before we describe the patterns in the data under these assumptions, we must address a fun- damental difierence in the reporting of broadcast and cable television programming in the data. 20For example, there are two ABC a–liates in the 7th-largest DMA: WCVB (Boston, MA) and WMUR (Manch- ester, NH). Of these, WCVB has the (much) higher average rating across the programs in our data: 4.82 versus 0.96. We therefore dropped from the analysis WMUR, along with all 234 other network a–liates for which there was a second a–liate with the same network within the same DMA that had higher ratings. There were 7 instances of multiple network a–liates for which neither had any ratings information in the data. In these cases, we assumed they could each reach 50% of the households in the DMA. 21The least widely distributed basic cable network (HTV Musica) was available in just 2.0 million households. 22A brief look at the full TMS data shows that they are on the rise: from 776 in May 2003 to 1,235 in November 2006. 23This may seem an important omission given the FCC’s current and historic focus on localism (cf. FCC (2003)), but we concluded a detailed analysis of the many varieties of local origination was beyond the scope of this study. The data exist, however, for a detailed analysis of locally available cable programming. As for LPTV stations, we can say that their number has grown in the sample, from 484 in May 2003 to 697 in November 2006. 10 In our estimation dataset, there are 1,583 broadcast a–liates and 192 cable networks. Much of the programming on the broadcast networks, however, is similar, particularly during prime time (8:00-11:00 EST).24 Even if not, it is provided within a DMA while each of the cable networks can (at least in principle) be distributed nationally. In order to compare programming, at least on a national basis, we had to somehow aggregate the information about the programming provided on broadcast a–liates into something like a "national" broadcast network. This problem was conceptually easy for television stations a–liated with a broadcast network: simply "add up" (with appropriate weights) the programming provided on each a–liate. We describe in detail how we did this in the next paragraph. But how should one "add up" the many independent and public television stations? While many assumptions are possible, we chose to make several "virtual networks" of these stations.25 Take independent stations for clarity (public stations were treated similarly). We examined all the independent television stations within each DMA in the U.S. and ranked them according to their channel number (with low channel numbers at the top of the list).26 We then made a "network" of all of the "flrst" independent stations. Call this "network" "Independent 1". We made similar "networks" out of each of the second, third, etc. stations until we ran out of stations. This yielded 9 independent television "networks" and 6 public television "networks". Table 5 reports the number of a–liates for each of our networks in the estimation data. Tables 27 and 28 report the identities of the cable networks in the data.27 Having identifled each broadcast network (real or virtual), we next faced the task of aggregating these across the various DMAs into a single national network. But what does it mean to "add up" "Wheel of Fortune" in San Diego with "Entertainment Tonight" in Tampa?28 While we can’t aggregate program names, we can aggregate the characteristics of those programs. Consider the TV Content Rating for clarity.29 "Wheel of Fortune" in San Diego has a TV Content Rating of TV-G (give it a value of 3) while "Entertainment Tonight" isn’t rated (give it a value of 0). Adding up the tv ratings of these two programs (and across all the programs on a given network for a given day and time period) gives both an "average" TV rating as well as the share of a–liates that have each rating.30 We do this not only for TV Content Ratings, but for all the characteristics of the 24After standardizing for difierences in time zones, it was typical for every a–liate of the four big broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, NBC, and FOX) in the United States to carry the same program. 25This had the advantage of capturing the fact that households in some (larger) DMAs have access to more independent and public television stations than households in other DMAs. 26Channel number is historically important as signal quality via over-the-air broadcast was generally higher the lower the channel number. 27There appear to be a few idiosyncracies in the networks reported to us by the data providers. For example, we received a number of the premium "multiplexes" (e.g. Showtime, Starz) but not others (e.g. HBO, Cinemax). This is unlikely to dramatically afiect our conclusions. 28Note this isn’t nearly as much a problem for the major broadcast networks in prime time. There, the uniformity of programming across a–liates means we can simply report the program being shown on all the a–liates. 29Thetelevisioncontentratingisamethodofdescribingthesuitabilityofparticularcontentforparticularaudiences. They are similar to MPAA ratings for movies. We describe them in further detail below. 30For example, the average TV content rating of programs on NBC a–liates at 7:00 p.m. (more generally, one 11 programming provided to us by TMS (or deflned by us using TMS data). This yields a picture of what the "average" television station a–liated with each network is broadcasting for a given quarter-hour of a given day. 4.2 Programming Types We are now prepared to describe patterns of television programming in the United States, both in general and with respect to the programming types articulated by the FCC when commissioning this study. They asked after 7 programming types: (1) Local News and Public Afiairs Programming, (2) Minority Programming, (3) Children’s Programming, (4) Family Programming, (5) Indecent Programming, (6) Violent Programming, and (7) Religious Programming. This section describe how we deflned each of these types of programming. We used two primary pieces of information in deflning programming types. The most useful and accurate was to exploit information in the Program Type and Category flelds in the data provided to us by TMS.31 For example, we deflned a program to be a "News" program if either the Program Type or Category was "News". While very useful for some program types, however, the TMS data proved less useful for others (e.g. Minority Programming). Our second way of deflning program types was therefore to identify the target audience (if one existed) for broadcast and cable television networks and assume that all programming provided on that network was that type of programming. For example, we deflned all the programming shown on Black Entertainment Television to be minority-targeted programming. The speciflc rules for each type of programming are described below. 1. News and Public Afiairs Programming. As noted above, we deflned programming to be news programming if either the Program Type or Category was "News". Similarly, we deflned programming to be Public Afiairs Programming if the Program Type was "Public Afiairs". We further distinguished between Network News and Local News on broadcast television networks by examining how often a particular program title appeared across all television stations. If it had over 1,000 quarter- hours in the data, we deflned that to be a network news program.32 All other news programs were deflned as local news programs. hour before prime time) on November 15, 2006 among programs that give ratings is 3.4 (about halfway between TV-G and TV-PG). Or if more detail is wanted, of the 187 NBC a–liates in our estimation dataset, 65.2% didn’t rate their program, 21.4% showed programming rated TV-G, 12.8% showed programming rated TV-PG, and 0.5% showed programming rated TV-14. 31Table 4 lists our (shortened) versions of these flelds. Appendix 7 describes the rules TMS uses to allocate programming to their 33 program types. According to discussions with senior TMS personnel, programming is allocated to "Categories" flrst according to any information provided by the program provider in press kits, program schedules, etc. If the Category is still unclear, the Editorial Department stafi queries them for this information. 32A one-hour local news program shown once per day for every day in our data would show up for 224 quarter- 12 2. Minority Programming. We distinguished between programming targeting three types of audiences: Black audiences, Latino/Spanish-speaking audiences, and other minority audiences (e.g. International, East Asian, South Asian, Gay & Lesbian, etc.) We ofier two kinds of deflnitions. First, we went through the list of 192 cable networks and decided if any of these networks targeted any of these minority groups. The networks we chose for each of our three audiences is detailed in Appendix B. This is unfortunately crude, however, as some programming ofiered on other (including broadcast) networks clearly targets minority audiences. While TMS didn’t provide information about the other minority audiences, we deflned any programming with a "Spanish" or "Pelicula" Program Type or Category to target Latino/Spanish-speaking audiences. 3. Children’s Programming. We had two deflnitions for children’s programming. First, we deflned a program as a children’s program if it’s Program Type or Category was "Children". Second, we deflned a program as a children’s program if it was a movie with an MPAA rating of "G" or a television program with a Television Content rating of TV-Y or TV-Y7.33 4. Family Programming. We have three deflnitions of family programming. First, we articulated the set of cable networks that provide family programming.34 Second, we deflned a program as a family program if it had a Television Content rating of TV-G. Third, we deflned a program as a family program if it had an Arts, Educational, or Documentary theme.35 5. Indecent Programming. We deflned indecent programming as Adult Programming.36 We have two measures. First, we deflned all programming on a network showing programming with strong sexual content as adult programming. Second, we deflned as adult programming any movie with an MPAA rating of NC-17 or any television program with a Television Content rating of TV-MA-S ("explicit sexual situations") or TV-MA-L ("strong coarse language"). hours. Programs with more than 1,000 quarter-hours were obvious network news programs like "The CBS Evening News". 33MPAA ratings are ratings provided by the Motion Picture Association of America to rate a movie’s suitability for certain audiences (see, e.g., Wikipedia (2007a)). The Television Content rating system is a similar mechanism for television programming (see, e.g., Wikipedia (2007b)). 34This is not without controversy as reasonable people can come to very difierent conclusions about what consti- tutes a network providing family programming. In part, we deflned family networks subjectively, although we did incorporate information provided from news reports of the networks included on recently-introduced family-friendly tiers by major cable television providers. 35In particular, if it had a Program Type or Category of "ArtsSci", a Program Type of "Instructional" (but not "Business"), a Category of "Educational" or a Category of "Documentary". 36As above, others may have other deflnitions. 13 6. Violent Programming. We had many possible deflnitions of violent programming. First we allocated several of TMS’s Categories into a "Violent" Category.37 Second through fourth, we deflned violent program- ming as any program with a television content rating of TV-PG-V ("Moderate violence"), TV-14-V ("Intense violence"), and TV-MV-V ("Extreme graphic violence"). 7. Religions Programming We had two deflnitions of religious programming. First, we deflned all programming on a net- work showing primarily religious programming as religious. Second, we deflned programming to be religious programming if it had a Program Type or Category of "Religious". 8. Overall targeting. Finally, we simply calculated the average rating of all movies and television programs that were rated.38 5 The Quantity and Quality of Television Programming 5.1 The Quantity of Television Programming We are now ready to describe patterns in our three measures of the quantity of television pro- gramming in the United States. Table 6 examines (a measure of) the quantity of programming that is produced for distribution anywhere in the United States. Reported is the average amount of programming of various types ofiered on any of the 27 Broadcast networks listed in Table 539 or on any of the 192 Cable networks listed in Table 27 and Table 28 over the 8 weeks in 4 years listed in Table 1. For reasons of comparability with the data we later report, all the tables in this section report patterns of programming between 6:00 p.m. and 12:00 a.m. (or the equivalent).40 We restrict attention to this period as (a) it includes prime time (8:00-11:00 EST), the period that most people watch the most television and (b) it includes the early and late evening news, one of the programming types of particular interest in this study. 37These were "Horror", "Extreme", "Pro Wrestling", and "Terror". Note again our caveat that reasonable people could deflne things difierently. 38For the MPAA ratings, we assigned a value of 1 for "G" to 5 for "TV-MA". For the Television Content ratings, we assigned a value of 1 for "TV-Y" to 6 for "TV-MA". 39Where note we have created 9 "Independent" and 6 "Public" broadcast networks for the purposes of these tables. 40Prime time programming is generally held to be between 8:00 p.m. and 11:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time (EST) and Paciflc Standard Time (PST), and between 7:00 p.m. and 10:00 p.m. Central Standard Time (CST) and Mountain Standard Time (MST). We verifled that these patterns held in the data and then time shifted all of the CST and MST programming to synchronize prime time across time zones. 14 Program Production An entry in Table 6 is read as follows. For the 27 broadcast and 192 cable networks between 6:00 p.m. and 12:00 a.m. EST (or the equivalent) for the 8 weeks over 4 years between 2003 and 2006, 4.14 % of the quarter-hours are devoted to some kind of News programming, 1.98% is devoted to Public Afiairs programming, etc. The second and third columns in Table 6 break out the average percentage of quarter-hours for each program type across broadcast and cable networks. Before describing the data, we must note a few caveats. First, note that programming within the broadcast networks are weighted equally for every a–liate in the U.S., regardless of the number of households in the DMA. Second, programming is also equally weighted across networks both within and across types (i.e. programming on MNT counts equally with programming on ABC and programming on Hallmark TV counts equally with programming on TNT). We correct for both of these features in the next table. That being said, there are interesting patterns both across programming types and across dis- tribution channel within type. The most popular programming type (as deflned here) is Family programming, with up to 19.2% of quarter hours, while the other programming types are relatively equal in size with viewing shares between 1 and 8%, depending on the measure used. There are important difierences between the programming provided on broadcast versus cable networks for News, Religious, and Violent programming (more on broadcast), and Public Afiairs, Children’s, and Adult programming (more on cable). The average MPAA rating for movies (for movies that provide ratings) is similar across the two distribution platforms, while the average television content rating (for television program that provide ratings) is higher on cable. Program Availability Table 7 reports our second measure of television programming quantity, that related to availability. We calculate the availability of programming in difierent ways for broadcast and cable networks. For broadcast networks, we calculate availability by weighting the programming within each DMA by the number of households within that DMA. For the purposes of this calculation, we assume that every household within a DMA can view the programming broadcast by any station within that DMA. As a consequence, programming that is provided more widely (across more DMAs) or is provided more frequently in large versus small DMAs, will be more widely available.41 The sample statistics in Table 7 re ect these difierences. For cable networks, we calculate availability by the national average number of households that can access the network via cable or satellite according to Kagan World Media (2006). This varies across years by network, with the Discovery Network, CNN, and ESPN the three most widely available networks across the 41For example, programming provided on ABC will have greater weight than programming provided on CW as ABC has more a–liates in more and larger DMAs than does CW (cf. Table 5). 15 sample period.42 For the purposes of this table, we assume that premium and pay-per-view cable networks have zero availability.43 An entry in Table 7 is read as follows. The typical quarter-hour of news programming is available to almost half (48.0%) of U.S. television households. Broadcast news programming is more widely available (to 66.4% of U.S. TV households) than is cable news programming (36.7%). Several pat- terns emerge when comparing the patterns of availability to the patterns of program production from Table 6. First, as might be expected, "niche", or special-interest, programming (Minor- ity Adult, and Religious programming) is much less widely available than more general-interest programming (News, Children’s, and Family programming). Second, there are only moderate dif- ferences in availability of programming between broadcast and cable, with News, Latino/Spanish- language Minority, Violent, and Religious programming more widely available on broadcast sta- tions44 and Black and Other Minority programming more widely available on cable. Programs Watched Table 8 reports our third and flnal measure of television programming quantity, that related to what is actually watched. As for availability, these are calculated difierently forbroadcastandcableprogrammingnetworks. Broadcastratingsarethemoreaccurate: theycome from Nielsen and report the rating for the speciflc program collected in the TMS database. As for availability, we then aggregated these weighted by the households in each DMA. For cable networks, we did not have ratings matched to the program. Instead we have average yearly (through 2005) prime-time ratings by cable network, also from Kagan World Media (2006). These are non-zero for 62 cable networks in 2005. An entry in Table 8 is read as follows. The average rating for an quarter-hour of news programming carried between 6:00 p.m. and 12:00 a.m. on a broadcast television network is 2.01, or roughly 2.22 million 2005 U.S. television households.45 There are substantial difierences in ratings across program types and between broadcast and cable ofierings. First, News and Violent programming are the most highly rated, with Children’s and Family programming substantially lower, and Mi- nority and Religious programming lower still. In general, programming is more highly rated on broadcast than cable networks, although cable does relatively well on Children’s and Public Afiairs 42For example, Discovery was available to 90.3 million of the estimated 110.2 million U.S. television households in 2005. 43This is obviously strong. We do this as we weren’t able to conveniently flnd premium and pay-per-view availability information. This assumption will impact most our calculations for adult programming, underestimating its overall availability. 44Note that all of the "other" broadcast television stations not a–liated with one of the major broadcast networks provide either Spanish-language or religious programming. Note also the more widely available adult programming on broadcast is a sure consequence of our assumptions on adult-oriented cable networks. 45For convenience, we use an entry for a broadcast network as our example as we have more confldence in those values. 16 programming.46 Of course, ratings can be low either because people have access to a program and don’t choose to watch or because they don’t have access to it in the flrst place. To get a sense of the importance of the latter efiect, Table 9 reports the ratings as a share of households with access. An entry in this table reads as follows. On average across the prime-time quarter-hours in our data, 0.45% of the people with access to Spanish-language programming choose to watch it. That the entries in this table moderate the stark difierences in ratings from Table 8 suggests (as might be expected) that the low numbers of people that watch particular (esp. niche) programming do so both because of limited availability and a limited wish to do so. Patterns in Production, Availability, and Viewing Over Time Tables 10-12 duplicate the all-network averages in tables 6-8, but report it for each of the years in our data. Several interesting patterns emerge. First, regarding program production and availability in Tables 10 and 11, it is clear that program- ming of difierent types are becoming more or less popular over time. Program types whose pro- duction and/or availability is falling across time include Network News (though not Local News), Public Afiairs, Family, and Religious programming.47 Program types whose production and/or availability is rising across time include Latino, Children’s, Adult, and the higher categories of Violent programming. Note also the average Television Content rating across all rated programs is rising over time. Glancing at Table 12 suggests a reason. While only a 3-year horizon due to our lack of cable ratings for 2006, aggregate ratings across time are falling for News and Religious programming, but rising (sharply) for Children’s and Violent programming. 5.2 The Quality of Television Programming Ratings as Program Quality We now turn to our two (economic) measures of television pro- gram quality. One we have seen already: television ratings. In particular, we flrst measure quality by the Nielsen television rating obtained for the program (where available). This captures the idea that for programming that is free to households (i.e. broadcast television programming or cable television programming after purchasing access to a bundle of networks), higher quality programs will garner higher ratings. 46Note while total ratings for cable television viewing recently passed total ratings for broadcast television viewing, cable viewing is shared over a much larger number of networks, depressing their average. 47Note that what is reported is the share of quarter hours that are devoted to programming of a given type. The total number of quarter-hours of programming is increasing over time due to the introduction of new cable networks. Thus it is possible that while the share of programming of a given type is falling, it’s total quantity (in quarter-hours) is rising. 17 Table 9, introduced above in our discussion of viewing pattern, describes patterns in viewing choices among households with access to broadcast and cable programming. If one accepts the premise that more households watch what they perceive to be higher quality programming, then News and Vio- lent programming is perceived to be, on average across quarter hours, the highest quality television programming, followed (depending on the measure) by Latino/Spanish-language, Children’s, and Family programming. These patterns come predominantly from viewership patterns in broadcast television.48 Table 13 duplicates this table for all networks across time. The data here suggest the relative quality of News programming is declining with a mixture of (relative) winners.49 The strongest results appear to be for some measures of Children’s programming and the more violent Violent programming. Advertising Minutes as Program Quality Our other measure of program quality is the number and length (in minutes and seconds) of advertisements included on that program. This captures the idea that the more advertisements included in a program, the less enjoyable it is to viewers to watch that program. Table 14 reports patterns in the broadcast television advertising market by a–liate type and year.50 Here we split outcomes in the advertising market for the a–liates of the "Big 4" broadcast television networks (ABC, CBS, NBC, and Fox) and for other a–liates (MNT, CW, Independents, PBS, and others). There are strong difierences in all features of advertising outcomes between the Big 4 and the rest. Big 4 a–liates have, on average, more ads per program, more ad minutes, and a higher share of time devoted to advertising. Similar conclusions apply to promotions. With prices per 30-second ad more than twice as high, revenue per ad is almost triple that of independents and the other network a–liates. Patterns across time suggest this dominance is if anything only growing stronger. Despite a general upward trend in program length for Big 4 a–liates over time, ad minutes that grow even faster show that the share of total time devoted to ads has increased, from 22.1% (about 13.25 minutes in a 60 minute program) to 22.9% (about 13.75 minutes), or an additional 30-second ad.51 From this perspective, the quality of broadcast television programming is falling over time. 48Despite the fact that there are over 6 times as many minutes of cable programming, higher average ratings for broadcast programming give them relatively more weight in determining overall viewership patterns. 49Note that overall ratings for television are also declining in this period. 50Recall from section 3 that we only have access to advertising market data for the broadcast television market. 51Note this is just ad time. The additional time for promotions shows that total non-programming time for a 60 minute program shown on a Big-4 a–liate is 19.75 minutes by the end our sample . 18 6 Ownership Structure and Program Quantity and Quality Section 5 described the overall patterns of television programming quantity and quality that form the background for an analysis of the impact of television station ownership structure on those outcomes. I brie y describe the data used in this part of the paper and then present our results. 6.1 Data Preliminaries As described in Section 3 above, our data on television station ownership comes from Diwadi, Roberts, and Wise (2007). The ownership information for television systems in that study comes from the BIA Financial Network. It provided year-end snapshots of ownership of each of the over 1,800 full-power broadcast television stations operating in the United States. We will use information on the following features of television station ownership in this study: 1. Local ownership. A television network was deflned to be locally owned if the zip-code of the physical location of the parent corporation matched any of the zip codes within the DMA served by the television station. 2. Parent corporation ownership. Various features of parent corporation ownership are provided in the data. We describe these in more detail when we present our results. 3. Cross-ownership information. Noted in the data are whether the parent corporation of the television station also owns a radio station or newspaper within the same DMA. 4. Minority and female ownership. Noted in the data are whether the owner is a minority or a woman. Linking the Data As our ownership information pertains only to television stations, all of our subsequent analysis will look at programming and advertising outcomes in broadcast television markets. An observation in the ownership data is a television station-year, i.e. WCVB-Boston in 2005. By contrast an observation (on a broadcast television station) in our quantity and quality data is a station-day-quarterhour-program. To link the data, we therefore aggregated our quantity and quality data across all the quarter-hours between 6:00 p.m. and 12:00 a.m.52 and across all the days within a year53 to get a matching dataset on station-years. The link between the two datasets was not perfect - we lost some observations on the match and some more by choosing to balance 52We continue to focus on this "prime time extended" period. 53For us, 14, as we have two weeks of data per year. 19 the ownership data such that we had an observation in the data for each station for all three years in the sample.54 The results was a sample of 4,437 station years, or 1,479 stations for each of 3 years. Tables 15 and 16 present sample statistics for this composite database. Table 15 presents infor- mation about the market in which the station operates (DMA rank, DMA households), whether it is a commercial or non-commercial station, and the ownership variables described above. It also includes information about advertising market outcomes (ad minutes, ad revenue, and ad prices) and splits the data between the same Big 4 network a–liates (ABC, NBC, CBS, and Fox) and others as was done above. As for ad markets, Big 4 network a–liates difier substantially from other a–liates in their market and ownership characteristics. Big-4 a–liates are more likely to be in smaller markets (one needs a big market to support and independent television station) and are exclusively commercial. They are less likely to be locally owned, with similar (tiny) patterns of minority and female ownership.55 Parent corporations (owners) of big-4 a–liates have roughly double the revenue of other a–liate owners, although similar patterns in the number of stations owned and percent of households reached. As might be expected given the revenue flgures, big-4 a–liate owners are more likely to have holdings in print and radio. Table 16 provides programming information for the same data. Note flrst that the quantity measure we use here (and in the subsequent analysis) is the production of television programming. While analyzing also availability and ratings would have been interesting, time and space constraints prevented it. Second, note that the across-network averages for broadcast stations here look slightly difierent from those in Table 6. In part, this re ects the slightly difierent samples (here 1,479 broadcast stations; there 1,583) and in part the difierent number of stations that are being averaged over.56 While the patterns across program types are familiar from our earlier analysis, there are substantial difierences in the programming of the Big-4 and other a–liates. Big-4 a–liates ofier much more News and Violent programming and less Children’s, Family, and Religious programming. Relatedly, the average TV Content rating is substantially higher for Big-4 stations. 54While not strictly necessary, we didn’t want to bias our results by comparing outcomes of existing stations with outcomes of stations that were newly entering or exiting the industry. In practice, it is likely inconsequential as the stations dropped due on these criteria were only 1.5% of all stations. 55Note the flgures for minority and female ownership read as, e.g, 0.85% of Big-4 network a–liates being owned by a minority. 56In particular, as we are not aggregating stations to national averages, we’ve elected to pool the Independent and Public television stations instead of splitting them out into "virtual" networks. As such, we have are averaging across all programming equally rather than (as there) averaging up to the level of the network and then averaging across networks. 20 6.2 Empirical Framework The framework we will use to analyze the relationship between television ownership structure and the quantity is that of simple linear regression (Ordinary Least Squares). We have a number of outcome variables of interest (the quantity produced of various types of programming, advertising minutes and prices), a number of ownership variables of interest (local ownership, cross-ownership, etc.), a number of control variables (DMA size, commercial status, and broadcast network af- flliation), and a number of econometric approaches (cross-section regression, various flxed-efiects regressions). Tables 17-26 present the results from regressions combining each of the elements described above. Before we describe them, however, we would like to describe the common structure of the tables and discuss some of the underlying econometric issues that motivates that structure. We can then safely refer to these issues when analyzing each of the individual speciflcations. Table 17 is representative of the results that we will momentarily present. It presents difierent speciflcations of a regression of the share of quarter hours of programming that is local news on a variety of measures of television station ownership structure and other controls. There are 9 speciflcations that we brie y describe here: 1. Speciflcation (1): Regression of the Local News Share on market controls: † DMA households and it’s square † Commercial station dummy, and † A–liation dummies { ABC, CBS, NBC, Fox, { CW, Independents, PBS, { Spanish-Language, Others, { Excluded category is MNT 2. Speciflcation (2): (1) + DMA and Year flxed efiects. Those parameters not reported. 3. Speciflcation (3): (2) + Locally Owned Dummy 4. Speciflcation (4): (2) + Minority Owned Dummy 5. Speciflcation (5): (2) + Female Owned Dummy 6. Speciflcation (6): (2) + Newspaper-TV Cross-Ownership Dummy 7. Speciflcation (7): (2) + Radio-TV Cross-Ownership Dummy 21 8. Speciflcation (8): (2) + Parent Company revenue (in $billions) 9. Speciflcation (9): (2) + All ownership controls We run these 9 speciflcations for each of 9 dependent variables: (1) Local News programming, (2) Public Afiairs programming, (3) Spanish-language programming, (4) Children’s programming57, (5) Family programming58, (6) Violent programming59, (7) Religious programming, (8) Advertising time (in minutes), and (9) Advertising prices (for a 30-second ad). In addition, Table 26 runs Speciflcation (9) for each of these dependent variables including all the ownership controls and DMA, year, and channel flxed efiects. Those parameters are not reported. Econometric Caveats 60 It is well known that Ordinary Least Squares provides the best linear unbiased estimation of the relationship between one (dependent) variable and other (explanatory) variables. In this role, it merely reports the (conditional) correlation between the dependent variable (e.g. share of minutes that are local news) and any one explanatory variable (e.g. local ownership) controlling for the other explanatory variables. In particular, it does not guarantee any kind of causal relationship between the explanatory variable and the dependent variable, i.e. a statistically signiflcant (positive) relationship between local ownership and local news minutes does not mean local ownership is the cause of higher local news minutes. Why not? Among other reasons, because there could be other factors that are correlated with both local ownership and local news provision (e.g. a strong local community). In general, we try to use econometric strategies that will control for all unobserved factors such that it is di–cult to think of anything not in the regression that could cause bias a causal interpretation. It is notoriously di–cult to claim causation in cross-section regressions like speciflcation (1) because of a host of factors across markets that might in uence outcomes but not be observed to the econometrician. One such factor is the strength of the local television markets. This motivates the use of DMA flxed efiects in the balance of the speciflcations. It is still possible, however, that there are unobserved factors across television stations within a market that can in uence both ownership variables and programming quantity or quality. This motivates the use of channel flxed efiects in Table 26. In this case, no cross-sectional variation is used at all to identify the efiects of interest. Instead, all the variation in the data identifying 57Either of "Children’s Programming" and G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV. 58Either of TV-G programming or Arts, Educational, or Documentary programming. 59Any of TV-PG-V, TV-14-V, or TV-MA-V programming. 60The reader uninterested in details of econometric analysis can skip this section. 22 the results is from changes across time in the ownership of a given station. In our case, however, this means a regression with almost 1,700 parameters.61 It is likely the case that including channel flxed efiects eliminates much of the variation in the data. This often has econometric consequences - imprecise statistical efiects - but even in the presence of statistically signiflcant efiects suggests caution to understand how much variation in the data is driving a particular result (and the likely generality of that variation). This is a common tradeofi in empirical economic analysis. We will further address these issues as the need arises when discussing our results. 6.3 Ownership Structure and Program Quantity We brie y summarize the flndings of the results from the regressions of various ownership variables on each of our programming quantity variables described above. The table and the column in the table providing the support for each conclusion is included in parenthesis after each conclusion. 1. Local News programming (Table 17). Larger markets tend to devote a greater share of minutes to local news (1). A–liates of ABC, CBS, and NBC provide substantially more and a–liates of Fox and PBS provide slightly more local news than other broadcast stations (1-9).62 Locally owned stations ofier less local news (3), although this result disappears when controlling for other features of the ownership structure (9). Television stations owned by a parent that also owns a newspaper in the area ofier (~3.0 percentage points) more local news programming (6, 9). The results in Table 17 with DMA dummies suggest television stations owned by corporate parents with larger annual revenue ofier more local news (8, 9).63 By contrast, using channel flxed efiects, an increase in the size of a corporate parent’s annual revenue is correlated with a decrease in the amount of local news (Table 26, (1)).64 2. Public Afiairs programming (Table 18). Smaller markets have more public afiairs program- ming (1). PBS and Independent stations have more (1-9). Locally owned and female owned stations have more public afiairs programming (3, 5, 9). 3. Spanish-Language programming (Table19). Spanish-language stationshaveaverylargeefiect on the amount of Spanish-language programming.65 Using channel flxed efiects, becoming 611,479 channel flxed efiects plus 200+ DMA flxed efiects. 62The coe–cient on ABC, for example, says that controlling for all the other explanatory variables in the regression, a television station a–liated with ABC provides an estimated 16 percentage points more news programming than a television station a–liated with the MNT network. 63A $500 million (1 standard deviation) increase in the corporate parent’s annual revenue is correlated with an estimated 0.033*0.5 = 1.65 percentage point increase in the amount of local news programming. 64With the same $500 million increase now correlated with an estimated 0.5 percentage point decrease in the amount of local news programming. 65Becoming a Spanish-language station is associated with an estimated 32-percentage point increase in the amount of Spanish-language programming. 23 owned by a parent with newspaper ownership is correlated with an increase in the amount of Spanish-language programming (Table 26, (3)).66 4. Children’s programming (Table 20). PBS stations ofier more children’s programming than other stations (1-9). Locally owned stations ofier more children’s programming (3, 9) and stations that also own a radio station in the DMA ofier less. Using channel flxed efiects, becoming owned by a parent with newspaper ownership and minority ownership are both correlated with a decrease in the amount of children’s programming (Table 26, (3)).67 5. Family programming (Table 21). Larger market provide less family programming (1). PBS, Independent TV stations, and other TV stations (mostly religious) provide more family pro- gramming (1-9). Interestingly, CBS provides slightly more (1-9). Locally owned stations provide slightly more as well (3, 9). Television stations owned by corporate parents with larger annual revenue ofier less family programming (8, 9).68 6. Violent programming (Table 22). Larger markets provide less violent programming (1). There are important difierences across broadcast a–liates in the amount of violent programming they provide: relative to MNT, Fox and CBS provide slightly more and all other a–liates (save CW) provides quite a bit less (1-9). None of the other statistically signiflcant efiects are economically signiflcant. 7. Religious programming (Table 23). Smaller markets provide more religious programming (1). PBS stations provide substantially less and Independent and Other (mostly religious) stations provide substantially more religious programming (1-9). Female owned stations provide more religious programming (5, 9). 8. Advertising time (Table 24). Recall advertising time is one of our measures of the quality of television programming. Independent and other stations provide slightly more advertising time (1-9).69 Using channel flxed efiects, there are a number of statistically signiflcants efiects of changes in ownership: Becoming minority-owned, co-owned with a radio station, or becoming owned by a larger parent are all associated with increased advertising time, while becoming co-owned with a newspaper is associated with decreased advertising time.70 66One should be careful extrapolating this result as it is likely based on a very small number of observations. 67One should be careful over-interpreting our results on children’s programming. This is children’s programming in prime time. As seen in Table 16, this is quite rare, accounting for only 1.7% of programming minutes across the sample. 68A $500 million (1 standard deviation) increase in the corporate parent’s annual revenue is correlated with an esti- mated 0.010*.5 = 0.5 percentage point decrease in the amount of family programming. While statistically signiflcant, this is economically small (relative to a mean 19.75% share of minutes for family programming). 69A 0.30 increase on a mean of 11.95 is less than 3 %. 70The economic efiects here are large, so care must be taken before extrapolating these flndings to investigate the number of changes in ownership on which they are based. 24 9. Advertising prices (Table 25).71 Larger markets have statistically and economically signif- icantly higher advertising prices (1).72 A–liates of the Big-4 broadcast networks charge substantially higher prices than other broadcast stations with a–liates of ABC, CBS, and NBC charging slightly more than Fox (1-9). Locally owned stations charge higher prices (3, 9). Television stations owned by a parent that also owns a radio station in the area charge slightly higher prices. 7 Conclusion In this study we analyze the impact of the ownership structure in local television markets on the quantity and quality of television programming. We have obtained information from a variety of major data providers in the television industry and linked them together to form a unique dataset to address these questions. This dataset includes information on almost 1,600 broadcast television stations and almost 200 cable television networks across every DMA in the country over 4 years. Our results are based on over 9,000,000 quarter-hours of programming. We measure the quantity of television programming not only by about the amount and type of programming provided (anywhere) on television, but also by it’s availability to households, and by what people actually watch. We measure the quality of programming (again) by what people watch (among the programming that is available to them) and also by the number of advertising minutes on that programming. The commission for this study mandated we examine the quantity and quality of seven types of programming: (1) Local News and Public Afiairs Programming, (2) Minority Programming, (3) Children’s Programming, (4) Family Programming, (5) Indecent Programming, (6) Violent Programming, and (7) Religious Programming. We found it di–cult to flnd a single satisfactory deflnition for each of these. What we suspect we will lack in unanimity, we hope to compensate with clarity - we describe in great detail our various measures and note here that our conclusions are based on those particular choices. Assessing the robustness of these conclusions to alternative choices would be welcome. What do we flnd? With regard to general patterns of quantity and quality, we flnd there are important difierences between the programming provided on broadcast versus cable networks for News, Religious, and Violent programming (more on broadcast), and Public Afiairs, Children’s, 71While not the mandate of this study, economists often worry about the impact of ownership changes on prices. As such, I include this paragraph as well. 72The linear term in the pair dominates, so the efiect is particularly strong at low DMA households. For example a 1 million increase in DMA household size at very low household size is associated with a $1.04 increase in the average advertising price. 25 and Adult programming (more on cable). We flnd that "niche", or special-interest, programming (Minority Adult, and Religious programming) is much less widely available than general-interest programming (News, Children’s, and Family programming). Examining patterns across time, we flnd that program production and/or availability is falling across time for Network News (though not Local News), Public Afiairs, Family, and Religious programming and rising across time for Latino, Children’s, Adult, and the more violent of Violent programming. Also rising across time is the average Television Content rating across all rated programs. We flnd that in general, programming is more highly rated on broadcast than cable networks. Of the programming types, News and Violent programming are the most highly rated (i.e. highest quality), with Latino/Spanish-language, Children’s and Family programming substantially lower, and non-Latino Minority and Religious programming lower still. Examining patterns over time, we flnd that the relative quality of News programming is declining with some measures of Children’s programming and the more violent Violent programming gaining ground. With respect to adver- tising minutes and prices, we flnd a–liates of the Big-4 broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, NBC, and Fox) are strong and growing stronger. From the perspective of advertising minutes in particular, the quality of television programming is falling over time. We relate these measures to the ownership structure of broadcast television stations. Our strongest flndings are for Local News: television stations owned by a parent that also owns a newspaper in the area ofier more local news programming. By some methods, television stations owned by corporate parents with larger annual revenue also ofier more Local News, but by other methods they ofier less. This is an important area for further inquiry. We flnd that local ownership is correlated with more Public Afiairs and Family programming. While we flnd important and interesting difierences in the amount of Violent programming across network a–liates, it does not appear to be correlated in an economically and statistically signiflcant way with ownership structure. Efiects of ownership structure on other programming types or on outcomes in the advertising market are either economically insigniflcant, statistically insigniflcant, or difier in their predicted efiects according to the method of analysis. Our hope was that the data we created here might be used to address some of the wide-ranging issues regarding media ownership structure and outcomes in television markets. While we are content with the insights we have gained regarding ownership structure among broadcast television stations, we feel it important to point out this is just one link in the chain of markets that govern the production and sale of television programming. Extending the analysis here to consider other distribution channels (cable, satellite, and Internet) and other parts of the vertical chain (notably the market for programming at the production and network levels) would do more to flll out the picture of the impacts of media ownership on the quantity and quality of television programming. 26 A TMS Program Types The following describes the rules used by TMS to allocate programming to program types.73 ARTS Fine arts series such as ballet, opera, theatrical productions, museum exhibits. CARTOON An animated program such as Flintstones, Smurfs. Note: animated specials such as Garfleld and Peanuts would go under Childrens Special and adult-oriented animated shows should be aggressively pursued in an attempt for a more appropriate program type like Network Series. CHILDREN’S Includes series designed speciflcally for children 12 years and under. SHOW Note: childrens specials and cartoons are not included here. Examples: Sesame Street, Captain Kangaroo, Fraggle Rock. CHILDREN’S Specials speciflcally designed for children 12 years and under. SPECIAL CINEMA Includes movies in French on French services and stations. Movies dubbed in French or with French subtitles should carry Cinema as the program type. DAYTIME SOAP Continuing daily drama. FILLER Programs aired to flll time between featured programs. Use when titles are not available. FINANCE All money related, investment oriented or business series. Examples: Wall Street Week, Wall Street Journal Report, Smart Money, Nations Business Today. FIRST-RUN Never-seen-before series or episodes, distributed via syndication. SYNDICATED These are new programs that arent aired exclusively on any network or cable. GAME SHOW Includes all game shows and lotteries. Examples: Wheel of Fortune, Jeopardy, Price is Right. Also, high-school or college quiz shows (with teams in the subtitle). HEALTH Includes health and fltness-type series like Weight Watcher Magazine, Medicine Today, Your Baby and You, aerobics and exercise shows. HOBBIES & How-to series. Examples: Car Owners Maintenance Guide, Sewing With Nancy, CRAFTS Home Again, Wok With Yan. INSTRUCTIONAL Any program seeking to teach academic or theoretical lessons. MINISERIES A miniseries is deflned as a program longer than 4 hours/2 parts; any limited series (flctional or non-flctional) with fewer than 13 parts or episodes. 73Obtained in an email from Robin Perkins, Senior Electronic Accounts Representative, Tribune Media Services, July 13, 2007. 27 MOVIE This includes all fllms with a theatrical release or intended for a theatrical release or made for video. Spanish (Pelicula), French (Cinema) and made-for-TV movies (TV Movie) have their own types. An animated movie is still a movie, not a cartoon. MUSIC Includes all music-related series except music specials. Examples: Lawrence Welk, Soul Train, Evening at Pops. MUSIC SPECIAL Generally, one-time-only musical programs. Examples: concerts, recitals, performances. NETWORK These are any open-ended series running on the networks (NBC, ABC, SERIES CBS, PBS, CTV, CBC, FOX) or major cables, such as USA, HBO, LIFETIME, etc., that can be continued due to audience demand. NEWS Includes local and network news. OTHER For any program that doesnt flt into any of the other types. PELICULA This includes movies in Spanish on Spanish services and stations. Movies dubbed in Spanish or with Spanish subtitles should carry Pelicula as the program type. PLAYOFF This includes the Super Bowl, World Series, NCAA Playofis, Stanley SPORT Cup Playofis, NBA Playofis. PSEUDO SPORT Any sporting type program where the outcome is predetermined. Example: professional wrestling. PUBLIC Includes current events programs like Meet the Press, Firing Line, AFFAIRS Washington Week in Review, Nightline. Also, if any local news program has public afiairs aspects, its typed Public Afiairs. RELIGIOUS Includes religious shows like 700 Club. SPECIAL Generally a one-time-only program that deviates from the normal lineup. A special is a program truly out of the ordinary and NOT a single episode of a past or present series being shown in a difierent time slot. When creating a special with seasonal content, place a Y in the SEASONAL fleld of the program record. SPORTS This is for sports programs that feature more than one sport. ANTHOLOGY Examples: Wide World of Sports, Eye on Sports, Sportsworld, etc. SPORTING This is a sporting event that is not a team vs. team contest. EVENT Examples: a golf tournament, a horse race, bowling tournaments, a boxing match. SPORTS This is for shows dealing with sports including interviews, highlights, RELATED results and analysis. Examples: NFL Today, Super Bowl Highlights, SportsCenter, coaches shows, flshing shows, skiing tips, etc. SYNDICATED All series airing on a channel except programming produced exclusively SERIES for them or obtained through a network relationship. Older episodes of a current network series can be in syndication. Examples: Cheers, Star Trek: The Next Generation, A Difierent World, The Brady Bunch. 28 TALK SHOW Includes shows in which a host or hostess introduces and chats with show business personalities, national or international celebrities, and other persons currently in the news, sometimes before a studio audience. Examples: Oprah, Jerry Springer, etc. TEAM VS. TEAM This is a sporting event with two teams. Examples: NFL Football, Major League Baseball, all-star games, bowl games. TV MOVIE Includes movies that premiere on TV, not in theaters. This includes made for pay movies on premium channels such as HBO, SHOWTIME, etc. 29 B Cable Network Program Types The following describes the rules we used to allocate programming from entire cable networks to program types. These decisions were based on information provided at NCTA (2007) unless otherwise noted. Networks targeting Black Entertainment Television (BET), BET Gospel, BET Jazz, Black audiences Black Family Channel, Starz in Black, TV One, and VH1 Soul. Networks targeting Azteca, Dicovery en Espanol, Dicovery Kids en Espanol, EcuaTV, Latino or Spanish- ESPN Deportes, Galavision, GolTV, History Channel en Espanol, speaking audiences HITN, HTV 10, La Familia, Mun2, SITV, Telefutura, Telemundo, Travel and Living en Espanol, and Univision. Networks targeting AZN TV, CNBC World, CNN International, History Channel International, other minority Logo audiences Children’s networks ABC Family Channel, Discovery Kids, Discovery Kids en Espanol, The Disney Channel, Nickelodeon, Nicktoons, Noggin, Toon Disney Family networks ABC Family Channel, Animal Planet, Biography Channel, Boomerang, Discovery, Discovery en Espanol, Discovery Kids, Discovery Kids en Espanol, Disney, The DIY Network, Fit TV, The Food Network, The History Channel, Home & Garden, La Familia, The Learning Channel, National Geographic, Nickelodeon, Nicktoons, Noggin, The Science Channel, Toon Disney, and The Weather Channel. Adult networks Club Jenna, Hustler TV, Playboy, Playboy HD, Playboy en Espanol, Spice, Spice2, Ten, Tenbox, Tenblue, Ten Clips, Ten Max, Ten Xtsy Religious networks Inspirational Net, ION, Trinity Broadcasting Network 30 Table 2: TMS Data Full Data Full Dataset Estimation Dataset Variable Description Unique Values Unique Values Channel ID TMS channel reference number 7,966 1,775 Program ID TMS program reference number 248,384 148,724 Start Date Date (day) 56 56 Start Time Program Start Timea 96 96 Duration Scheduled Program Duration (in minutes) 242 230 Total Observationsb 11,567,399 9,296,389 Channel Data Full Dataset Estimation Dataset Variable Description Unique Values Unique Values Channel ID TMS channel reference number 8,634 1,775 A–liation Channel A–liation 26 27 Chan. Descrip. Full-Power B/C, Cable, etc. 8 4 Number Channel Number (B/C) 74 67 Time Zone Channel Time Zone 19 5 City City Name 1,077 511 State State Name 62 49 DMA DMA Name 211 208 DMA Rank DMA Rank 211 208 Program Data Full Dataset Estimation Dataset Variable Description Unique Values Unique Values Program ID TMS program reference number 379,552 148,724 Program Type Program Type (like Genre) 33 23 Category Program Category 374 36 MPAA Rating MPAA Rating 9 9 Parental Rating Parental TV Rating 6 6 Expanded Rating Expanded Parental TV Rating 16 16 Source: TMS. aRounded to the quarter hour. bTotal observations in the full dataset are for start times only. For the estimation dataset, total observations are for all quarter-hours a program is running. 31 Table 3: TMS and Estimation Program Types TMS TMS Estimation Estimation Type ID Program Type Type ID Program Type 1 Arts 1 ArtsSci 2 Cartoon 3 Cartoon 3 Children’s Show 4 Children 4 Children’s Special 4 Children 5 Cinema 11 Movie 6 Daytime Soap 5 DaytimeSoap 7 Filler 15 Other 8 Finance 2 Business 9 First-run syndicated 21 Syndicated 10 Game Show 6 GameShow 11 Health 7 Health 12 Hobbies & Craft 8 Hobbies 13 Instructional 9 Instructional 14 Miniseries 10 Miniseries 15 Movie 11 Movie 16 Music 12 Music 17 Music Special 12 Music 18 Network Series 13 NetworkSeries 19 News 14 News 20 Other 15 Other 21 Pelicula 16 Pelicula 22 Playofi Sports 20 Sports 23 Pseudo-sports 20 Sports 24 Public Afiairs 17 PublicAfiairs 25 Religious 18 Religious 26 Special 19 Special 27 Sporting Event 20 Sports 28 Sports Anthology 20 Sports 29 Sports-related 20 Sports 30 Syndicated 21 Syndicated 31 Talk Show 22 TalkShow 32 Team vs. Team 20 Sports 33 TV Movie 23 TVMovie Source: TMS and author decisions. See Appendix A for deflnitions of TMS Program Types. 32 Table 4: Distribution of Program Types and Categories in the Estimation Dataset Program Type Number Share Category Number Share ArtsSci 273 0.18 ActionAdv 5,397 3.63 Business 786 0.53 Adult 3,898 2.62 Cartoon 5,091 3.42 Animated 6,498 4.37 Children 6,356 4.27 Anthol 534 0.36 DaytimeSoap 961 0.65 ArtsSci 2,857 1.92 GameShow 1,441 0.97 Business 1,453 0.98 Health 2,370 1.59 Children 920 0.62 Hobbies 10,237 6.88 Comedy 4,764 3.20 Infomercial 6,042 4.06 Community 1,231 0.83 Instructional 3,811 2.56 Documentary 2,235 1.50 Miniseries 352 0.24 Drama 13,622 9.16 Movie 11,078 7.45 Educational 13,090 8.80 Music 2,999 2.02 Entertainment 2,800 1.88 NetworkSeries 20,919 14.07 Fantasy 952 0.64 News 1,610 1.08 French 159 0.11 Other 8,333 5.60 GameShow 501 0.34 Pelicula 941 0.63 Health 2,181 1.47 PublicAfiairs 3,240 2.18 History 170 0.11 Religious 5,704 3.84 Hobbies 1,011 0.68 Special 7,308 4.91 HomeGarden 12,994 8.74 Sports 11,701 7.87 Infomercial 6,042 4.06 Syndicated 31,942 21.48 Missing 18,586 12.50 TVMovie 1,456 0.98 Movie 158 0.11 TalkShow 3,773 2.54 Music 2,960 1.99 News 1,218 0.82 Other 629 0.42 Outdoor 5,877 3.95 PublicAfiairs 2,230 1.50 Reality 5,236 3.52 Religious 1,750 1.18 Shopping 1,388 0.93 Sitcom 13,668 9.19 Spanish 1,817 1.22 Sports 8,468 5.69 Violent 1,298 0.87 Weather 132 0.09 Total 148,724 100.00 Total 148,724 100.00 Source: TMS and author calculations. See Table 3 for allocation of TMS Program Types to Estimation Program Types (i.e. the Program Types used in this study). See Tables 29-31 for allocation of TMS Categories to Estimation Categories (i.e. the Categories used in this study). 33 Table 5: Broadcast Networks in the Estimation Dataset Program Type Number Share Major Broadcast Networks ABC 183 11.56 CBS 185 11.69 NBC 187 11.81 FOX 168 10.61 CW 93 5.87 MNT 74 4.67 Independent and Public "Networks" IND1 86 5.43 IND2 40 2.53 IND3 20 1.26 IND4 12 0.76 IND5 9 0.57 IND6 5 0.32 IND7 3 0.19 IND8 1 0.06 IND9 1 0.06 PBS1 181 11.43 PBS2 91 5.75 PBS3 40 2.53 PBS4 22 1.39 PBS5 6 0.38 PBS6 4 0.25 Other Broadcast Networks AZA 5 0.32 ION 52 3.28 TBN 37 2.34 TEL 22 1.39 TLF 19 1.20 UNI 37 2.34 Total 1,583 100.00 Source: Author calculations. Note: IND1-IND9 (PBS1-PBS6) are "virtual networks" consisting of the flrst, second, etc. Independent (Public) television station ofiered in each Nielsen DMA. See Section 4.1 for more details. AZA = Azteca America, ION = The "i" network, TBN = Trinity Broadcasting Network, TEL = Telemundo, TLF = Telefutura, and UNI = Univision 34 Table 6: Program Production by Programming Type 6:00 p.m. - 12:00 a.m. EST (or equivalent), 2 weeks/year, 2003-2006 All Broadcast Cable Variable Networks Networks Networks News Programming Any News 4.14 11.79 2.96 Network News 0.51 2.63 0.18 Local News 3.63 9.16 2.78 Public Afiairs Programming 1.98 3.40 1.76 Minority Programming Networks Targeting Black Audiences 3.39 0.00 3.91 Targeting Latino Audiences On Networks Targeting Latino Audiences 8.13 15.17 7.05 Spanish-Language Programming 3.39 5.54 3.05 Networks Targeting Other Diverse Audiences 2.65 0.00 3.06 Children’s Programming "Children’s Programming" 1.93 0.84 2.10 G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV 3.11 1.06 3.42 Either of the above 5.03 1.90 5.52 Family Programming Networks Targeting Families 10.93 0.00 12.61 TY-G Programming 11.59 17.05 10.75 Arts, Educational, or Documentary Programming 7.60 6.46 7.77 Either of the two above 19.18 23.50 18.52 Adult Programming Networks Showing Adult Programming 4.98 0.00 5.75 NC-17 Movies or TV-MA-S / TV-MA-L TV 0.67 0.39 0.72 Violent Programming "Violent Programming" 1.70 0.53 1.88 TV-PG-V Television 1.46 2.31 1.33 TV-14-V Television 1.47 2.07 1.37 TV-MA-V Television 0.19 0.12 0.20 Any of the three above 3.11 4.50 2.90 Any of the last two above 1.65 2.18 1.57 Religious Programming Networks Showing Primarily Religious Programming 1.52 7.58 0.58 "Religious Programming" 3.03 11.76 1.69 Overall Targeting Average TV Content Rating (where noted for TV) 3.81 3.66 3.86 Average MPAA Rating (where noted for movies) 3.96 4.00 3.95 Observations 265,388 35,448 229,940 Notes: Reported in the table is the percentage of quarter-hours of programming on one of 27 broadcast television networks (cf. Table 5) or 192 cable television networks (cf. Table 27-28) between 6:00 p.m. and 12:00 a.m. EST (or the equivalent) during each of the two weeks per year for 4 years (cf. Table 1) devoted to programming of the listed types. See Section 4.2 for further detail about the deflnition of program types. Source: Author calculations. 35 Table 7: Program Availability by Program Type 6:00 p.m. - 12:00 a.m. EST (or equivalent), 2 weeks/year, 2003-2006 All Broadcast Cable Variable Networks Networks Networks News Programming Any News 48.00 66.38 36.74 Network News 52.81 76.26 1.23 Local News 47.33 63.54 39.09 Public Afiairs Programming 56.64 40.49 61.47 Minority Programming Networks Targeting Black Audiences 20.99 | 20.99 Targeting Latino Audiences On Networks Targeting Latino Audiences 13.47 31.39 7.53 Spanish-Language Programming 12.52 31.93 7.09 Networks Targeting Other Diverse Audiences 16.23 | 16.23 Children’s Programming "Children’s Programming" 38.59 37.36 38.66 G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV 41.39 39.47 41.48 Either of the above 40.31 38.54 40.41 Family Programming Networks Targeting Families 53.38 | 53.38 TY-G Programming 40.44 37.89 41.07 Arts, Educational, or Documentary Programming 40.98 43.54 40.66 Either of the two above 40.66 39.44 40.89 Adult Programming Networks Showing Adult Programming | | | NC-17 Movies or TV-MA-S / TV-MA-L TV 10.31 34.97 8.26 Violent Programming "Violent Programming" 19.85 54.20 18.37 TV-PG-V Television 50.13 70.63 44.62 TV-14-V Television 47.35 73.62 41.25 TV-MA-V Television 10.52 35.63 8.30 Any of the three above 46.41 71.11 40.51 Any of the last two above 43.13 71.61 37.04 Religious Programming Networks Showing Primarily Religious Programming 40.94 51.92 18.99 "Religious Programming" 21.99 26.50 17.14 Overall Targeting Average TV Content Rating (where noted for TV) Average MPAA Rating (where noted for movies) Observations 265,388 35,448 229,940 Notes: Reported in the table is the average estimated share of U.S. households with access to programming of each type. Average is over the same networks and time periods described in the notes to Table 6. It is calculated by weighting programming of each type by availability and dividing by the average amount of programming of that type (from Table 6). See Section 5.1 for more details. Source: Author calculations. 36 Table 8: Program Ratings by Program Type 6:00 p.m. - 12:00 a.m. EST (or equivalent), 2 weeks/year, 2003-2005 All Broadcast Cable Variable Networks Networks Networks News Programming Any News 0.83 2.01 0.11 Network News 1.88 2.73 0.00 Local News 0.68 1.81 0.11 Public Afiairs Programming 0.27 0.07 0.33 Minority Programming Networks Targeting Black Audiences 0.05 | 0.05 Targeting Latino Audiences On Networks Targeting Latino Audiences 0.09 0.34 0.00 Spanish-Language Programming 0.06 0.25 0.00 Networks Targeting Other Diverse Audiences 0.00 | 0.00 Children’s Programming "Children’s Programming" 0.16 0.01 0.17 G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV 0.25 0.12 0.26 Either of the above 0.22 0.07 0.22 Family Programming Networks Targeting Families 0.28 | 0.28 TY-G Programming 0.20 0.31 0.17 Arts, Educational, or Documentary Programming 0.13 0.02 0.14 Either of the two above 0.17 0.23 0.16 Adult Programming Networks Showing Adult Programming 0.00 | 0.00 NC-17 Movies or TV-MA-S / TV-MA-L TV 0.04 0.02 0.04 Violent Programming "Violent Programming" 0.14 0.97 0.11 TV-PG-V Television 0.75 2.29 0.34 TV-14-V Television 0.91 3.70 0.26 TV-MA-V Television 0.04 0.00 0.04 Any of the three above 0.78 2.88 0.28 Any of the last two above 0.81 3.51 0.23 Religious Programming Networks Showing Primarily Religious Programming 0.09 0.14 0.00 "Religious Programming" 0.02 0.01 0.04 Overall Targeting Average TV Content Rating (where noted for TV) Average MPAA Rating (where noted for movies) Observations 265,388 35,448 229,940 Notes: Reported in the table is the average rating (i.e. share of U.S. households that watch a program) across program types. Average is over the same networks and time periods described in the notes to Table 6. It is calculated by weighting programming of each type by the number of households that viewed the program. See Section 5.1 for more details. Source: Author calculations. 37 Table 9: Program Ratings as a Share of Households with Access (Program Quality) 6:00 p.m. - 12:00 a.m. EST (or equivalent), 2 weeks/year, 2003-2005 All Broadcast Cable Variable Networks Networks Networks News Programming Any News 1.73 3.03 0.29 Network News 3.56 3.59 0.00 Local News 1.44 2.84 0.29 Public Afiairs Programming 0.48 0.17 0.54 Minority Programming Networks Targeting Black Audiences 0.23 | 0.23 Targeting Latino Audiences On Networks Targeting Latino Audiences 0.64 1.08 0.02 Spanish-Language Programming 0.45 0.79 0.03 Networks Targeting Other Diverse Audiences 0.01 | 0.01 Children’s Programming "Children’s Programming" 0.41 0.04 0.43 G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV 0.61 0.31 0.63 Either of the above 0.54 0.19 0.55 Family Programming Networks Targeting Families 0.52 | 0.52 TY-G Programming 0.50 0.81 0.42 Arts, Educational, or Documentary Programming 0.31 0.04 0.35 Either of the two above 0.42 0.58 0.39 Adult Programming Networks Showing Adult Programming | | | NC-17 Movies or TV-MA-S / TV-MA-L TV 0.38 0.05 0.50 Violent Programming "Violent Programming" 0.72 1.78 0.58 TV-PG-V Television 1.50 3.24 0.77 TV-14-V Television 1.92 5.03 0.63 TV-MA-V Television 0.38 0.00 0.52 Any of the three above 1.69 4.05 0.70 Any of the last two above 1.87 4.89 0.63 Religious Programming Networks Showing Primarily Religious Programming 0.22 0.26 0.00 "Religious Programming" 0.11 0.05 0.22 Overall Targeting Average TV Content Rating (where noted for TV) Average MPAA Rating (where noted for movies) Observations 265,388 35,448 229,940 Notes: Reported in the table is the average rating among households with access to a program. This is also used as one of our measures of Program Quality. Average is over the same networks and time periods described in the notes to Table 6. It is calculated by taking the average rating in Table 8 and dividing by the average availability in Table 7. See Section 5.1 for more details. Source: Author calculations. 38 Table 10: Program Production by Programming Type and Time 6:00 p.m. - 12:00 a.m. EST (or equivalent), 2 weeks/year, 2003-2006 Variable 2003 2004 2005 2006 News Programming Any News 4.29 3.99 4.07 4.22 Network News 0.60 0.51 0.49 0.46 Local News 3.69 3.47 3.58 3.76 Public Afiairs Programming 2.37 2.13 1.88 1.59 Minority Programming Networks Targeting Black Audiences 3.26 3.61 3.45 3.23 Targeting Latino Audiences On Networks Targeting Latino Audiences 7.11 8.07 8.35 8.87 Spanish-Language Programming 2.94 3.01 3.41 4.09 Networks Targeting Other Diverse Audiences 2.65 2.55 2.67 2.72 Children’s Programming "Children’s Programming" 1.70 1.91 2.15 1.94 G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV 3.18 3.28 3.04 2.94 Either of the above 4.88 5.19 5.19 4.88 Family Programming Networks Targeting Families 11.46 10.89 10.69 10.74 TY-G Programming 11.35 12.18 11.93 10.94 Arts, Educational, or Documentary Programming 8.32 7.46 7.05 7.62 Either of the two above 19.67 19.64 18.98 18.56 Adult Programming Networks Showing Adult Programming 4.84 4.60 4.89 5.52 NC-17 Movies or TV-MA-S / TV-MA-L TV 0.75 0.48 0.63 0.83 Violent Programming "Violent Programming" 1.52 1.71 1.94 1.63 TV-PG-V Television 1.43 1.45 1.54 1.41 TV-14-V Television 1.37 1.40 1.56 1.51 TV-MA-V Television 0.15 0.16 0.23 0.22 Any of the three above 2.95 3.01 3.33 3.14 Any of the last two above 1.52 1.56 1.79 1.73 Religious Programming Networks Showing Primarily Religious Programming 1.64 1.56 1.49 1.40 "Religious Programming" 3.31 3.15 2.92 2.79 Overall Targeting Average TV Content Rating (where noted for TV) 3.71 3.75 3.84 3.93 Average MPAA Rating (where noted for movies) 3.99 3.93 3.98 3.95 Observations 61,314 64,560 67,530 71,984 Notes: Reported in the table is the percentage of quarter-hours of programming by program type and year. It is the analog of Table 6 split out by year. Average is over the same networks and time periods described in the notes to Table 6. Source: Author calculations. 39 Table 11: Program Availability by Program Type and Time 6:00 p.m. - 12:00 a.m. EST (or equivalent), 2 weeks/year, 2003-2006 Variable 2003 2004 2005 2006 News Programming Any News 47.79 46.11 48.59 51.07 Network News 55.60 52.73 52.15 47.71 Local News 46.52 45.14 48.11 51.53 Public Afiairs Programming 57.48 57.79 54.52 48.05 Minority Programming Networks Targeting Black Audiences 17.91 19.00 21.41 23.61 Targeting Latino Audiences On Networks Targeting Latino Audiences 14.14 13.43 13.50 13.81 Spanish-Language Programming 13.57 12.97 12.24 14.14 Networks Targeting Other Diverse Audiences 13.29 14.97 16.92 19.47 Children’s Programming "Children’s Programming" 28.78 34.62 41.07 42.20 G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV 35.89 39.80 44.39 43.65 Either of the above 33.42 37.89 43.02 43.05 Family Programming Networks Targeting Families 51.40 53.93 54.73 53.65 TY-G Programming 41.66 39.66 40.46 36.79 Arts, Educational, or Documentary Programming 42.24 42.40 40.80 41.86 Either of the two above 41.91 40.70 40.59 38.67 Adult Programming Networks Showing Adult Programming | | | | NC-17 Movies or TV-MA-S / TV-MA-L TV 12.53 15.53 7.10 10.82 Violent Programming "Violent Programming" 26.29 16.48 15.81 18.87 TV-PG-V Television 44.85 52.90 50.60 47.33 TV-14-V Television 48.35 37.62 44.57 55.39 TV-MA-V Television 0.64 23.71 12.06 5.96 Any of the three above 44.23 44.27 45.14 48.29 Any of the last two above 43.66 36.22 40.45 49.12 Religious Programming Networks Showing Primarily Religious Programming 40.98 41.09 40.72 38.44 "Religious Programming" 20.43 22.09 22.66 21.79 Overall Targeting Average TV Content Rating (where noted for TV) Average MPAA Rating (where noted for movies) Observations 61,314 64,560 67,530 71,984 Notes: Reported in the table is the average estimated share of U.S. households with access to programming of each type, by year. It is the analog of Table 7 split out by year. Average is over the same networks and time periods described in the notes to Table 6. Source: Author calculations. 40 Table 12: Program Ratings by Program Type and Time 6:00 p.m. - 12:00 a.m. EST (or equivalent), 2 weeks/year, 2003-2006 Variable 2003 2004 2005 News Programming Any News 1.03 0.89 0.85 Network News 2.34 1.76 1.82 Local News 0.81 0.77 0.71 Public Afiairs Programming 0.34 0.32 0.34 Minority Programming Networks Targeting Black Audiences 0.07 0.06 0.07 Targeting Latino Audiences On Networks Targeting Latino Audiences 0.11 0.09 0.08 Spanish-Language Programming 0.06 0.06 0.06 Networks Targeting Other Diverse Audiences 0.00 0.00 0.01 Children’s Programming "Children’s Programming" 0.16 0.20 0.27 G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV 0.31 0.34 0.36 Either of the above 0.26 0.29 0.33 Family Programming Networks Targeting Families 0.37 0.37 0.38 TY-G Programming 0.27 0.23 0.25 Arts, Educational, or Documentary Programming 0.19 0.17 0.17 Either of the two above 0.23 0.21 0.22 Adult Programming Networks Showing Adult Programming 0.00 0.00 0.00 NC-17 Movies or TV-MA-S / TV-MA-L TV 0.05 0.09 0.04 Violent Programming "Violent Programming" 0.28 0.15 0.15 TV-PG-V Television 0.85 0.90 0.75 TV-14-V Television 0.93 0.79 1.22 TV-MA-V Television 0.00 0.09 0.07 Any of the three above 0.85 0.81 0.93 Any of the last two above 0.84 0.72 1.08 Religious Programming Networks Showing Primarily Religious Programming 0.13 0.11 0.08 "Religious Programming" 0.03 0.03 0.04 Overall Targeting Average TV Content Rating (where noted for TV) Average MPAA Rating (where noted for movies) Observations 61,314 64,560 67,530 Notes: Reported in the table is the average rating across program types and years. This table covers 2003- 2005 as we did not have cable ratings data for 2006. It is the analog of Table 8 split out by year. Average is over the same networks and time periods described in the notes to Table 6. Source: Author calculations. 41 Table 13: Program Ratings as a Share of Households with Access (Program Quality) 6:00 p.m. - 12:00 a.m. EST (or equivalent), 2 weeks/year, 2003-2006 Variable 2003 2004 2005 News Programming Any News 2.15 1.94 1.74 Network News 4.21 3.33 3.49 Local News 1.75 1.70 1.49 Public Afiairs Programming 0.60 0.56 0.62 Minority Programming Networks Targeting Black Audiences 0.41 0.11 0.31 Targeting Latino Audiences On Networks Targeting Latino Audiences 0.75 0.69 0.62 Spanish-Language Programming 0.47 0.47 0.49 Networks Targeting Other Diverse Audiences 0.00 0.00 0.03 Children’s Programming "Children’s Programming" 0.55 0.59 0.66 G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV 0.87 0.85 0.82 Either of the above 0.78 0.76 0.76 Family Programming Networks Targeting Families 0.73 0.98 0.69 TY-G Programming 0.64 0.59 0.62 Arts, Educational, or Documentary Programming 0.44 0.39 0.41 Either of the two above 0.56 0.51 0.54 Adult Programming Networks Showing Adult Programming | | | NC-17 Movies or TV-MA-S / TV-MA-L TV 0.42 0.57 0.53 Violent Programming "Violent Programming" 1.06 0.89 0.92 TV-PG-V Television 1.90 1.71 1.48 TV-14-V Television 1.93 2.11 2.74 TV-MA-V Television 0.00 0.38 0.59 Any of the three above 1.91 1.83 2.05 Any of the last two above 1.93 2.00 2.66 Religious Programming Networks Showing Primarily Religious Programming 0.31 0.27 0.19 "Religious Programming" 0.13 0.14 0.16 Overall Targeting Average TV Content Rating (where noted for TV) Average MPAA Rating (where noted for movies) Observations 61,314 64,560 67,530 Notes: Reported in the table is the average rating among households with access to a program across program types and years. This is also used as one of our measures of Program Quality. This table covers 2003-2005 as we did not have cable ratings data for 2006. It is the analog of Table 9 split out by year. Average is over the same networks and time periods described in the notes to Table 6. Source: Author calculations.42 Table 14: Outcomes in the Broadcast Advertising Market, By A–liate Type and Year 6:00 - 12:00 p.m. (or equivalent), Top 100 DMAs Big 4 Network A–liates Variable All Years 2003 2004 2005 2006 Scheduled Duration (minutes) 57.98 55.47 60.10 58.08 58.29 Ads Number of Ads 27.90 26.72 27.95 28.22 28.77 Total Ad Time (minutes) 12.4 11.7 12.5 12.5 12.8 Ad Share (percent) 22.5 22.1 22.3 22.6 22.9 Promotions Number of Promotions 6.91 6.99 7.22 6.75 6.68 Total Promo Time (minutes) 5.8 5.9 6.1 5.7 5.6 Promo Share (percent) 10.0 10.5 9.9 9.8 10.0 Ads + Promos Number of Ads + Promos 34.82 33.71 35.17 34.97 35.45 Total Ad + Promo Time (minutes) 18.2 17.6 18.6 18.2 18.4 Total Ad + Promo Share (percent) 32.5 32.6 32.2 32.4 32.9 Revenue and Price Total Revenue from All Ads (000s) $28.59 $24.91 $27.28 $30.03 $32.44 Average Price per 30-second spot (000s) $1.12 $1.06 $1.09 $1.14 $1.19 Observations 5,280 1,344 1,344 1,344 1,248 Other Broadcast Station A–liates Variable All Years 2003 2004 2005 2006 Scheduled Duration (minutes) 66.39 68.87 67.41 64.84 64.24 Ads Number of Ads 22.48 22.73 22.93 22.59 21.61 Total Ad Time (minutes) 11.1 11.5 11.2 10.9 10.6 Ad Share (percent) 17.6 17.6 17.7 17.7 17.4 Promotions Number of Promotions 7.23 7.78 7.60 6.91 6.57 Total Promo Time (minutes) 6.1 6.6 6.4 5.8 5.5 Promo Share (percent) 9.2 9.6 9.5 8.9 8.7 Ads + Promos Number of Ads + Promos 29.70 30.51 30.53 29.50 28.18 Total Ad + Promo Time (minutes) 17.2 18.1 17.6 16.7 16.1 Total Ad + Promo Share (percent) 26.8 27.1 27.3 26.6 26.1 Revenue and Price Total Revenue from All Ads $10.99 $11.57 $11.20 $10.17 $10.98 Average Price per 30-second spot (000s) $0.53 $0.55 $0.54 $0.50 $0.54 Observations 15,400 4,025 3,842 3,813 3,720 Notes: Reported in the table is average outcomes from the advertising market, by a–liate type and year. The average is over commercial (i.e. non-PBS) broadcast television stations in most of the top 108 DMAs for the same hours (6:00-12:00) and weeks of data described in the notes to Table 6. Big-4 a–liates are television stations a–liated with ABC, CBS, NBC, or FOX. Other a–liates are the other a–liate types listed in Table 5, except that Independent television stations are pooled together and not split out into a "virtual network" as reported in that table. Source: TMS, TNS, and author calculations. 43 Table 15: Sample Statistics for Ownership Analysis, Page 1 Market, Ownership, and Advertising Variables All "Big-4" Other Variable Stations Stations Stations DMA Information DMA Rank 76.22 93.35 60.45 DMA Households (000s) 905.9 607.9 1,180.3 Commercial Station 0.76 1.00 0.53 Ownership Information Local Ownership Information Locally Owned (percent) 25.17 11.80 37.49 Minority Owned (percent) 0.74 0.85 0.65 Female Owned (percent) 1.42 1.27 1.56 Parent Ownership Information Number of stations owned by parent 21.34 22.94 19.87 Parent revenue (millions) $302.13 $405.27 $207.16 Percent of U.S. households covered by parent 7.61 8.08 7.17 Cross-Ownership Information Newspaper-TV cross-ownership (percent) 1.89 3.39 0.52 Radio-TV cross-ownership (percent) 18.35 9.83 26.19 Ad Market Information Scheduled Duration (minutes) 58.06 58.12 57.95 Ads Total Ad Time (minutes) 11.95 12.28 11.24 Ad Share (percent) 0.21 0.21 0.20 Promotions Total Promo Time (minutes) 5.79 5.91 5.53 Promo Share (percent) 0.10 0.10 0.09 Ads + Promos Total Ad + Promo Time (minutes) 17.75 18.19 16.77 Total Ad + Promo Share (percent) 0.31 0.31 0.29 Revenue and Price Total Revenue from All Ads (000s) $22.83 $27.80 $11.99 Average Price per 30-second spot (000s) $31.31 $37.34 $18.17 Observations 4,437 2,127 2,310 Notes: Reported in the table are sample statistics for the data used in our analysis of television station ownership structure on the quantity and quality of television programming. An observation is a broadcast- television-station-year, thus the (e.g.) news programming is the percentage of quarter hours ofiering news programming across all the programs ofiered by that station between 6:00 p.m. and 12:00 a.m. EST (or the equivalent) during each of the two weeks per year for 4 years (cf. Table 1) for which we have data. See Section ?? for more details. Source: Diwadi, Roberts, and Wise (2007), TMS, and author calculations. 44 Table 16: Sample Statistics for Ownership Analysis, Page 2 Programming Variables All "Big-4" Other Variable Stations Stations Stations News Programming Any News 18.95 28.43 10.22 Network News 6.00 11.47 0.96 Local News 12.95 16.96 9.26 Public Afiairs Programming 2.82 0.14 5.28 Minority Programming Spanish-Language Programming 1.69 0.00 3.24 Children’s Programming "Children’s Programming" 0.79 0.00 1.52 G Movies or TV-Y / TV-Y7 TV 1.01 0.21 1.74 Either of the above 1.80 0.21 3.26 Family Programming TY-G Programming 13.11 4.55 20.98 Arts, Educational, or Documentary Programming 6.64 1.06 11.79 Either of the two above 19.75 5.61 32.77 Adult Programming NC-17 Movies or TV-MA-S / TV-MA-L TV 0.47 0.00 0.90 Violent Programming "Violent Programming" 0.50 0.12 0.85 TV-PG-V Television 3.94 5.06 2.91 TV-14-V Television 4.08 6.13 2.20 TV-MA-V Television 0.16 0.00 0.30 Any of the three above 8.18 11.18 5.41 Any of the last two above 4.24 6.13 2.50 Religious Programming "Religious Programming" 5.69 0.03 10.91 Overall Targeting Average TV Content Rating (where noted for TV) 3.94 4.28 3.61 Average MPAA Rating (where noted for movies) 3.73 3.62 3.88 Observations 4,437 2,127 2,310 Notes: Reported in the table are sample statistics for the data used in our analysis of television station ownership structure on the quantity and quality of television programming. An observation is a broadcast- television-station-year, thus the (e.g.) advertising time is the average advertising time for all the programs ofiered by that station between 6:00 p.m. and 12:00 a.m. EST (or the equivalent) during each of the two weeks per year for 4 years (cf. Table 1) for which we have data. See Section ?? for more details. Source: TMS, Nielsen, and author calculations. 45 Table 17: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Local News Programming Speciflcation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. DMA Information DMA Households 0.026 | | | | | | | | (0.00) DMA HH Squared -0.003 | | | | | | | | (0.00) Commercial Station -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) A–liate Information ABC 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.17 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) CBS 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) NBC 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) FOX 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) CW 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) PBS 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.14 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Independent 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.05 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Spanish Language 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Other A–liation 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Ownership Information Locally Owned | | -0.006 | | | | | 0.000 -(0.003) -(0.003) Minority Owned | | | -0.005 | | | | -0.002 -(0.012) -(0.012) Female Owned | | | | 0.012 | | | 0.016 -(0.009) -(0.008) Newspaper-TV | | | | | 0.029 | | 0.030 -(0.007) -(0.007) Radio-TV | | | | | | 0.004 | 0.001 -(0.003) -(0.003) Parent revenue | | | | | | | 0.033 0.033 -(0.002) -(0.002) Constant 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -(0.01) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) Year Dummies No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 R-squared 0.44 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.53 0.53 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of the percentage of minutes of local news coverage on various measures of television station ownership structure and control variables. Section 4.2 describes the deflnition of the dependent variable. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflcations in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 46 Table 18: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Public Afiairs Programming Speciflcation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. DMA Information DMA Households -0.002 | | | | | | | | (0.00) DMA HH Squared 0.001 | | | | | | | | (0.00) Commercial Station -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) A–liate Information ABC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) CBS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) NBC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) FOX 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) CW 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) PBS 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Independent 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Spanish Language 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Other A–liation 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Ownership Information Locally Owned | | 0.004 | | | | | 0.004 -(0.001) -(0.001) Minority Owned | | | 0.002 | | | | -0.002 -(0.006) -(0.006) Female Owned | | | | 0.017 | | | 0.016 -(0.004) -(0.004) Newspaper-TV | | | | | -0.005 | | -0.007 -(0.004) -(0.004) Radio-TV | | | | | | 0.001 | 0.001 -(0.001) -(0.001) Parent revenue | | | | | | | 0.000 0.001 -(0.001) -(0.001) Constant 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 (0.00) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Year Dummies No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 R-squared 0.66 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of the percentage of minutes of public afiairs programming on various measures of television station ownership structure and control variables. Section 4.2 describes the deflnition of the dependent variable. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflcations in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 47 Table 19: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Spanish-Language Programming Speciflcation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. DMA Information DMA Households 0.001 | | | | | | | | (0.00) DMA HH Squared 0.000 | | | | | | | | (0.00) Commercial Station 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) A–liate Information ABC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) CBS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) NBC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) FOX 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) CW 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) PBS 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Independent 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Spanish Language 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Other A–liation 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Ownership Information Locally Owned | | -0.007 | | | | | -0.008 -(0.001) -(0.001) Minority Owned | | | 0.005 | | | | 0.005 -(0.006) -(0.006) Female Owned | | | | -0.003 | | | -0.001 -(0.004) -(0.004) Newspaper-TV | | | | | -0.001 | | 0.002 -(0.004) -(0.004) Radio-TV | | | | | | 0.004 | 0.005 -(0.001) -(0.001) Parent revenue | | | | | | | -0.001 -0.003 -(0.001) -(0.001) Constant -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 (0.00) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Year Dummies No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 R-squared 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of the percentage of minutes of spanish-language pro- gramming on various measures of television station ownership structure and control variables. Section 4.2 describes the deflnition of the dependent variable. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflcations in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 48 Table 20: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Children’s Programming Speciflcation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. DMA Information DMA Households 0.001 | | | | | | | | (0.00) DMA HH Squared 0.000 | | | | | | | | (0.00) Commercial Station 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -(0.01) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) A–liate Information ABC 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) CBS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) NBC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) FOX 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) CW 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) PBS 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Independent 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Spanish Language 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Other A–liation 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Ownership Information Locally Owned | | 0.007 | | | | | 0.007 -(0.002) -(0.002) Minority Owned | | | -0.006 | | | | -0.007 -(0.008) -(0.008) Female Owned | | | | 0.005 | | | 0.004 -(0.006) -(0.006) Newspaper-TV | | | | | 0.001 | | -0.002 -(0.005) -(0.005) Radio-TV | | | | | | -0.004 | -0.005 -(0.002) -(0.002) Parent revenue | | | | | | | -0.001 0.000 -(0.002) -(0.002) Constant 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Year Dummies No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 R-squared 0.26 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of the percentage of minutes of children’s programming on various measures of television station ownership structure and control variables. The speciflc children’s programming variable chosen is ’Either "Children’s Programming", G Movies, or TV-Y or TV-Y7 Program- ming". Section 4.2 describes the deflnition of the dependent variable in more detail. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflcations in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 49 Table 21: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Family Programming Speciflcation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. DMA Information DMA Households -0.006 | | | | | | | | (0.00) DMA HH Squared 0.000 | | | | | | | | (0.00) Commercial Station -0.17 -0.17 -0.16 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.16 -0.16 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) A–liate Information ABC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) CBS 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) NBC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) FOX 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) CW 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) PBS 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Independent 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Spanish Language -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Other A–liation 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.23 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Ownership Information Locally Owned | | 0.013 | | | | | 0.011 -(0.004) -(0.004) Minority Owned | | | -0.017 | | | | -0.015 -(0.017) -(0.017) Female Owned | | | | -0.019 | | | -0.022 -(0.012) -(0.012) Newspaper-TV | | | | | 0.011 | | 0.006 -(0.011) -(0.011) Radio-TV | | | | | | -0.006 | -0.006 -(0.004) -(0.004) Parent revenue | | | | | | | -0.010 -0.008 -(0.003) -(0.003) Constant 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 -(0.01) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.03) Year Dummies No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 R-squared 0.84 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of the percentage of minutes of family programming on various measures of television station ownership structure and control variables. The speciflc family pro- gramming variable chosen is ’Either TV-G television programming or Arts, Educational or Documentary programming’. Section 4.2 describes the deflnition of the dependent variable in more detail. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflcations in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 50 Table 22: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Violent Programming Speciflcation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. DMA Information DMA Households -0.004 | | | | | | | | (0.00) DMA HH Squared 0.000 | | | | | | | | (0.00) Commercial Station 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) A–liate Information ABC -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) CBS 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) NBC -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) FOX 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) CW 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) PBS -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Independent -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Spanish Language -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Other A–liation -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Ownership Information Locally Owned | | -0.004 | | | | | -0.003 -(0.001) -(0.001) Minority Owned | | | -0.003 | | | | -0.002 -(0.006) -(0.006) Female Owned | | | | 0.001 | | | 0.003 -(0.004) -(0.004) Newspaper-TV | | | | | -0.006 | | -0.005 -(0.004) -(0.004) Radio-TV | | | | | | 0.003 | 0.003 -(0.001) -(0.001) Parent revenue | | | | | | | 0.003 0.003 -(0.001) -(0.001) Constant 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 (0.00) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Year Dummies No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 R-squared 0.81 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of the percentage of minutes of violent programming on various measures of television station ownership structure and control variables. The speciflc violent pro- gramming variable chosen is ’Either TV-PG-V, TV-14-V, or TV-MA-V television programming. Section 4.2 describes the deflnition of the dependent variable in more detail. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflca- tions in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 51 Table 23: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Religious Programming Speciflcation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. DMA Information DMA Households -0.034 | | | | | | | | -(0.01) DMA HH Squared 0.003 | | | | | | | | (0.00) Commercial Station -0.21 -0.22 -0.22 -0.22 -0.22 -0.22 -0.22 -0.22 -0.22 -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) A–liate Information ABC -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) CBS -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) NBC -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) FOX -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) CW 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) PBS -0.22 -0.23 -0.23 -0.23 -0.23 -0.23 -0.22 -0.23 -0.23 -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) Independent 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.29 0.29 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Spanish Language 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) Other A–liation 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.32 -(0.01) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) Ownership Information Locally Owned | | 0.011 | | | | | 0.008 -(0.006) -(0.007) Minority Owned | | | -0.012 | | | | -0.029 -(0.028) -(0.028) Female Owned | | | | 0.081 | | | 0.081 -(0.020) -(0.020) Newspaper-TV | | | | | 0.016 | | 0.011 -(0.018) -(0.018) Radio-TV | | | | | | -0.007 | -0.007 -(0.007) -(0.007) Parent revenue | | | | | | | -0.006 -0.003 -(0.006) -(0.006) Constant 0.24 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 -(0.02) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) Year Dummies No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 R-squared 0.42 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of the percentage of minutes of religious programming on various measures of television station ownership structure and control variables. Section 4.2 describes the deflnition of the dependent variable in more detail. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflcations in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 52 Table 24: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Advertising Time Speciflcation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. DMA Information DMA Households -0.034 | | | | | | | | -(0.01) DMA HH Squared 0.003 | | | | | | | | (0.00) Commercial Station | | | | | | | | | A–liate Information ABC -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) CBS -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) NBC -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) FOX -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) CW 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) PBS | | | | | | | | | Independent 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.29 0.29 -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) Spanish Language 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) Other A–liation 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.32 -(0.01) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) Ownership Information Locally Owned | | 0.011 | | | | | 0.008 -(0.006) -(0.007) Minority Owned | | | -0.012 | | | | -0.029 -(0.028) -(0.028) Female Owned | | | | 0.081 | | | 0.081 -(0.020) -(0.020) Newspaper-TV | | | | | 0.016 | | 0.011 -(0.018) -(0.018) Radio-TV | | | | | | -0.007 | -0.007 -(0.007) -(0.007) Parent revenue | | | | | | | -0.006 -0.003 -(0.006) -(0.006) Constant 0.24 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 -(0.02) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) Year Dummies No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 R-squared 0.42 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of the average minutes of television advertising on various measures of television station ownership structure and control variables. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflcations in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 53 Table 25: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Advertising Prices Price is for 30-second advertisement. Speciflcation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. DMA Information DMA Households 1.040 | | | | | | | | -(0.04) DMA HH Squared -0.039 | | | | | | | | -(0.01) Commercial Station | | | | | | | | | A–liate Information ABC 1.19 1.27 1.26 1.28 1.27 1.28 1.20 1.28 1.22 -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) CBS 1.18 1.27 1.26 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.16 1.27 1.18 -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) NBC 1.14 1.22 1.21 1.22 1.22 1.23 1.19 1.22 1.22 -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) FOX 0.82 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.84 0.88 0.85 -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) -(0.07) CW 0.25 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.20 0.29 0.24 -(0.08) -(0.08) -(0.08) -(0.08) -(0.08) -(0.08) -(0.08) -(0.08) -(0.08) PBS | | | | | | | | | Independent -0.41 -0.35 -0.39 -0.35 -0.35 -0.36 -0.43 -0.34 -0.44 -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.10) -(0.09) Spanish Language -0.44 -0.45 -0.44 -0.45 -0.45 -0.46 -0.63 -0.44 -0.61 -(0.08) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) -(0.09) Other A–liation -0.34 -0.35 -0.34 -0.34 -0.35 -0.35 -0.34 -0.34 -0.30 -(0.09) -(0.10) -(0.09) -(0.10) -(0.10) -(0.10) -(0.09) -(0.10) -(0.10) Ownership Information Locally Owned | | 0.196 | | | | | 0.241 -(0.053) -(0.058) Minority Owned | | | -0.397 | | | | -0.353 -(0.219) -(0.214) Female Owned | | | | -0.162 | | | -0.123 -(0.157) -(0.155) Newspaper-TV | | | | | -0.145 | | -0.307 -(0.084) -(0.087) Radio-TV | | | | | | 0.370 | 0.354 -(0.046) -(0.047) Parent revenue | | | | | | | 0.015 0.044 -(0.030) -(0.031) Constant -0.91 -0.87 -0.87 -0.88 -0.87 -0.88 -0.80 -0.88 -0.83 -(0.06) -(0.26) -(0.26) -(0.26) -(0.26) -(0.26) -(0.25) -(0.26) -(0.25) Year Dummies No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 R-squared 0.73 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.76 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of the average price of television advertising on various measures of television station ownership structure and control variables. Price is the average price for a 30-second advertisement. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflcations in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 54 Table 26: The Impact of Ownership Structure on Each Outcome Variable Channel Fixed Efiects Spanish Dependent Local Public Language Children’s Family Violent Religious Ad Ad Variable News Afiairs Prog. Prog. Prog. Prog. Prog. Time Prices Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Variable Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Std. Err. Commercial Station 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.84 -0.11 0.01 | | -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.01) -(0.02) -(0.03) -(0.01) A–liate Information ABC 0.26 0.35 0.06 -0.09 -0.91 0.11 -0.05 -1.89 1.40 -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.02) -(0.03) -(0.06) -(0.08) -(0.04) -(1.69) -(0.39) CBS 0.28 0.35 0.10 -0.14 -1.02 0.02 0.05 -3.38 0.60 -(0.04) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.08) -(0.10) -(0.05) -(2.16) -(0.50) NBC 0.22 0.36 0.03 -0.07 -0.73 0.20 -0.13 -1.53 0.23 -(0.03) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.06) -(0.07) -(0.04) -(1.62) -(0.37) FOX 0.17 0.37 0.00 -0.03 -0.62 0.30 0.06 -3.70 0.41 -(0.03) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.06) -(0.07) -(0.04) -(2.36) -(0.54) CW 0.01 0.35 0.10 -0.07 -0.89 0.17 0.04 0.26 0.64 -(0.03) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.05) -(0.07) -(0.04) -(1.31) -(0.30) PBS 0.26 0.44 0.24 -0.17 -1.97 0.30 -0.02 | | -(0.06) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.04) -(0.11) -(0.14) -(0.07) Independent -0.15 0.35 0.14 -0.03 -0.68 0.28 -0.10 -2.68 0.79 -(0.03) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.05) -(0.06) -(0.03) -(1.58) -(0.36) Spanish Language -0.07 0.35 0.22 -0.02 -0.63 0.27 -0.10 -3.74 -0.27 -(0.03) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.05) -(0.06) -(0.03) -(1.57) -(0.36) Other A–liation -0.15 0.35 0.05 -0.02 -0.70 0.40 -0.09 2.47 -0.05 -(0.03) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.02) -(0.05) -(0.06) -(0.03) -(0.99) -(0.23) Ownership Information Locally Owned -0.002 -0.002 -0.003 0.001 -0.010 0.003 0.000 0.215 0.139 -(0.004) -(0.003) -(0.003) -(0.003) -(0.007) -(0.009) -(0.005) -(0.275) -(0.063) Minority Owned 0.034 -0.001 -0.003 -0.073 -0.079 -0.049 0.032 2.950 -0.360 -(0.012) -(0.009) -(0.009) -(0.009) -(0.023) -(0.029) -(0.015) -(1.380) -(0.318) Female Owned 0.005 -0.002 0.001 0.005 -0.054 -0.006 0.012 -0.799 0.206 -(0.007) -(0.006) -(0.005) -(0.006) -(0.014) -(0.017) -(0.009) -(0.608) -(0.140) Newspaper-TV 0.023 -0.007 0.035 -0.037 -0.109 -0.039 0.004 -2.620 0.799 -(0.013) -(0.010) -(0.009) -(0.010) -(0.023) -(0.029) -(0.015) -(0.563) -(0.130) Radio-TV -0.003 -0.004 0.001 -0.001 -0.015 -0.015 -0.001 0.789 0.028 -(0.003) -(0.002) -(0.002) -(0.002) -(0.005) -(0.007) -(0.003) -(0.318) -(0.073) Parent revenue -0.010 0.000 0.005 0.003 -0.001 0.008 0.008 0.970 0.091 -(0.004) -(0.003) -(0.003) -(0.003) -(0.007) -(0.009) -(0.004) -(0.213) -(0.049) Constant -0.07 -0.35 -0.13 0.08 1.60 -0.01 0.12 15.90 -0.20 -(0.04) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.03) -(0.07) -(0.09) -(0.04) -(2.21) -(0.51) Year Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes DMA Fixed Efiects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Channel Fixed Efiects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 4,437 1,676 1,676 R-squared 0.42 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 Notes: Reported are the results of 9 regressions of each of the dependent variables considered in the 9 previous tables on the full set of television station ownership structure and control variables. See the notes to those tables for the speciflc deflnitions of the dependent variables. Section 6.2 describes the various speciflcations in more detail. Standard errors in parentheses. Bold face indicates statistical signiflcance at the 5% level. 55 Table 27: Cable Networks in the Estimation Dataset, Page 1 Basic Cable Networks A&E DISNEY EAST KWBM CABLE ABCFAMILY CHAN DIY NETWORK KWWT CABLE AMC E! ENTERTAINMENT LA FAMILIA COSMOVISION AMERICANLIFE TV ESPN LEARNING CHANNEL ANIMAL PLANET ESPN CLASSIC LIFETIME ANIME NETWORK ESPN DEPORTES LIFETIME MOVIE NET AZNTV ESPN UNIVERSITY LIFETIME REAL WOMEN B MOVIE CHANNEL ESPN2 LIME BBC AMERICA ESPNEWS LOGO BEAUTY & FASHION FINE LIVING MENS CHANNEL BET GOSPEL FIT TV MILITARY CHANNEL BET J FOOD NETWORK MILITARY HISTORY CHANNEL BIOGRAPHY CHANNEL FOX COLLEGE SPORTS - ATL MSNBC BLACK ENTERTAIN FOX MOVIE CHANNEL MTV BLACK FAMILY CHANNEL FOX NEWS CHANNEL MTV HITS BLACKBELT TV FOX REALITY CHANNEL MTV JAMS BLOOMBERG TV FOX SOCCER CHANNEL MTV2 BOOMERANG FOX SPORTS EN ESPANOL MUN2 BRAVO FUEL TV NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC USA CARTOON NET FUSE NBA TV CMT PURE COUNTRY FX EASTERN NFL NETWORK CNBC G4 VIDEO GAME TELEVISION NICK EAST CNBC WORLD GALAVISION PACIFIC NICKTOONS NETWOR CNN GAMES & SPORTS NOGGIN & THE N CNN INTL DOMESTIC GOLF CHANNEL OUTDOOR CHNL COLLEGE SPORTS TV GOLTV INTERNATIONAL OVATION ARTS NET COMEDY CENTRAL GREAT AM COUNTRY OXYGEN CHANNEL COUNTRY MUSICTV US GSN SCI FI COURT TV HALLMARK MOVIE CHANNEL SCIENCE CHANNEL CRIME & INVESTIGATION HALLMARK USA SITV CSPAN HISTORY CHANNEL SLEUTH CURRENT TV HISTORY CHANNEL EN ESP SOAP NET DISCOVERY HISTORY CHANNEL INTL SPEED CHANNEL DISCOVERY EN ESPANOL HITN SPIKE TV DISCOVERY HEALTH HOME & GARDEN SPORTSMAN CHANNEL DISCOVERY HOME IDRIVETV STYLE DISCOVERY KIDS IFC TEMPO DISCOVERY KIDS EN ESP INSPIRATIONAL NET TENNIS CHANNEL DISCOVERY TIMES KBCA CABLE TNT Source: TMS, Author decisions. 56 Table 28: Cable Networks in the Estimation Dataset, Page 2 Basic Cable Networks, cont. TOON DISNEY TV ONE WBMM CABLE TRAVEL USA EASTERN WE WOMENS ENTMNT TRAVEL AND LIVING EN ESP VERSUS WEALTH TV TURNER CLASSIC MOVIES VH1 WEATHER CHANNEL TV GUIDE CHANNEL VH1 CLASSIC WTBS SATELLITE TV LAND VH1 SOUL Master Television Networks NBC WEATHER PLUS TELEMUNDO MASTER UNIVISION MASTER TELEFUTURA EAST Premium Cable Networks CINEMAX MOVIE PLEX STARZ COMEDY ENCORE RETROPLEX STARZ EDGE ENCORE ACTION SHOWTIME BEYOND STARZ ENCORE DRAMA SHOWTIME EAST STARZ 5 CINEMA ENCORE LOVE SHOWTIME EXTREME STARZ HD ENCORE MYSTERY SHOWTIME FAMILYZONE STARZ IN BLACK ENCORE WAM SHOWTIME HDTV EAST STARZ KIDS & FAMILY ENCORE WESTERNS SHOWTIME NEXT EAST SUNDANCE FILM FLIX SHOWTIME SHOWCASE TMC EAST HBO EAST SHOWTIME TOO TMC HD EAST INDIEPLEX SHOWTIME WOMEN EAST TMC XTRA EAST Pay-Per-View Networks CLUB JENNA PLAYBOY TV TENBLOX FRESH PLZ TENBLUE HUSTLER TV US SHORTEEZ TENCLIPS IN DEMAND 01 SPICE XCESS TENMAX PLAYBOY EN ESPANOL SPICE2 TENXTSY PLAYBOY HD TEN THE EROTIC NET Source: TMS, Author decisions. 57 Table 29: TMS and Estimation Categories, Page 1 TMS Estimation TMS Estimation TMS Estimation Category Category Category Category Category Category AHL Hockey Sports Baile Spanish Coll Wrestle Sports ATP Tennis Sports Ballet ArtsSci Collectibles Hobbies Accin Spanish Base Sports Com. dramatique French Action ActionAdv Basket Sports Comedia Spanish Actividades Spanish Beach Volleyball Sports Comedia Musical Spanish Activits French Beaux-arts French Comedia Romntica Spanish Adult Adult Bicycle Sports Comedia-Drama Spanish Adulto Adult Bicycle Racing Sports Comedy Comedy Adventure ActionAdv Billiards GameShow Comedy-Drama Comedy Afiaires French Biografa Spanish Community Community Afiaires publiques French Biographie French Compras Spanish Agricultura Spanish Biography Educational Computadoras Spanish Agriculture Outdoor Blackjack GameShow Computers Hobbies Amat Box Other Boat Outdoor Comunidad Spanish Animales French Boat Racing Sports Comdie French Animals Educational Bodybuild Sports Concursos Spanish Animated Cartoon Bowl Sports Consumer Shopping Animaux French Box Sports Consumidor Spanish Anime Cartoon Bullflghting Sports Cooking HomeGarden Anthol Anthol Business Business Cricket Sports Antologa Spanish CFL Foot Sports Crime ActionAdv Archery Sports Card games GameShow Crime Drama ActionAdv Arena Foot Sports Casa&Jardinera Spanish Crimen Spanish Art ArtsSci Cheer Other Cuisine HomeGarden Arte French Children’s Children Culinria Spanish Artes Escnicas Spanish Christmas Other Dance ArtsSci Arts & Crafts HomeGarden Ciencia Spanish Darts Sports Assunto Pblico Spanish Ciencia Ficcin Spanish Debate French Asuntos Pblicos Spanish Clima Spanish Deportes Acuticos Spanish Auction Shopping Cocina Spanish Dibujos Animados Spanish Aussie Foot Sports Coleccin Spanish Dive Other Auto Sports Coll Base Sports Divertissement French Auto Ayuda Spanish Coll Basket Sports Docudrama Educational Auto Racing Sports Coll Foot Sports Documentaire French Aventura French Coll Golf Sports Documental Spanish Aviation Hobbies Coll Hockey Sports Documentary Documentary Award GameShow Coll Soccer Sports Documentrio Spanish Badminton Sports Coll Volley Sports Dog Racing Sports Source: TMS, Author decisions. 58 Table 30: TMS and Estimation Categories, Page 2 TMS Estimation TMS Estimation TMS Estimation Category Category Category Category Category Category Drag Other Gym Sports Motorsports Sports Drama Drama HS Base Sports Mountain Biking Sports Drama Documental Spanish HS Basket Sports Music Music Drama Histrico Spanish HS Foot Sports Musical Movie Drama de Crimen Spanish HS Hockey Sports Musical Comedy Comedy Drame French Halloween Other Musique French Drame Historique French Health Health Mystery Drama Drame policier French Histoire French Mdico Spanish Drame sentimental French Historia Spanish Msica Spanish ECHL Hockey Sports Historical Drama Educational NBA Basket Sports Educacional Spanish History Educational NFL Euro Sports Educational Educational Hockey Sports NFL Foot Sports Ejercicio Spanish Home Improvement HomeGarden NHL Hockey Sports Entertainment Entertainment Horror Violent NLL Lacrosse Sports Entretien French Horse Sports Naturaleza Spanish Entrevista Spanish House&Garden HomeGarden Nature Educational Environment Educational How-to HomeGarden Negocios Spanish Equestrian Sports Hunt Outdoor New Year’s Other Espectculo Spanish Infantil French News News Espetculo Spanish Information PublicAfiairs Newsmagazine News Event Other Int Soccer Sports Noticias Spanish Evento Spanish Interview News Nouvelles French Exercise Sports Juridique French OHL Hockey Sports Extreme Violent LPGA Golf Sports Olympic Sports Fantastique French Lacrosse Sports Opera ArtsSci Fantasy Fantasy Latina Spanish Outdoor Outdoor Fantasa Spanish Law PublicAfiairs PBA Bowl Sports Fashion Entertainment Ley Other PGA Golf Sports Field Hockey Sports MLS Soccer Sports Parade Other Fig Skate Sports Major Base Sports Paranormal Drama Film musical Entertainment Martial Sports Parenting Educational Fish Outdoor Medical Health Paternidad Spanish Foot Sports Medicina Spanish Performing Arts ArtsSci Fundraiser Other Medio Ambiente Spanish Poker GameShow Game Show GameShow Minor Base Music Policier French Gay&Lesbian Other Misterio Spanish Politics PublicAfiairs Golf Sports Moda Spanish Politique French Gospel Religious Motorcycle Sports Polo Sports Guerra Spanish Motorcycle Racing Sports Poltica Spanish Source: TMS, Author decisions. 59 Table 31: TMS and Estimation Categories, Page 3 TMS Estimation TMS Estimation Category Category Category Category Premio Spanish Sports Related Sports Prix French Sports Talk Sports Pro Wrestle Violent Squash Sports Public Afiair PublicAfiairs Standup Comedy Pquer Spanish Sumo Wrestle Sports Racquet Sports Surf Sports Real Estate Business Suspense Drama Realidad Spanish Suspenso Spanish Reality Reality Swim Sports Religioso Spanish Table Tennis Sports Religious Religious Teatro Spanish Remodelacin Spanish Tennis Sports Revista Noticiosa Spanish Terror Violent Rodeo Sports Thanksgiving Other Romance Drama Theater ArtsSci Romance-Comedy Comedy Track Sports Rowing Sports Travel Outdoor Rugby Sports Triathlon Sports Running Sports Valentine’s Day Other Rnovation&Jardin Spanish Variedad Spanish Sailing Sports Variedades Spanish Salud French Variety Drama Science ArtsSci Varits Spanish Science Fiction Drama Viaje Spanish Science-flction Drama Volley Sports Self-Improvement Other Voyage French Shooting Sports WTA Tennis Sports Shopping Shopping War History Sit. Cmica Spanish Water Polo Sports Sitcom Sitcom Water Ski Sports Skateboarding Sports Watersports Sports Ski Sports Weather Weather Snowboard Sports Weight Sports Snowmobile Sports Western Drama Sobrenatural Spanish Wm. Coll. Basket Sports Soccer Sports Wrestle Sports Softball Sports Yacht Sports Speed Sports ducatif Spanish Sport Sports hline Source: TMS, Author decisions. 60 Figure 1: Television Programming Industry 61 References Anderson, S., and J. J. Gabszewicz (2005): \The Media and Advertising: A Tale of Two-Sided Markets," forthcoming in Ginsburgh and Throsby, eds., Handbook of Cultural Economics. Diwadi, K., S. Roberts, and A. Wise (2007): \The Ownership Structure and Ro- bustness of Media," Discussion paper, Federal Communications Commission, Available at http://www.fcc.gov/mb/mbpapers.html. Evans, D. S. (2003): \The Antitrust Economics of Mult-Sided Platform Markets," Yale Journal on Regulation, 20, 325{381. 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