*Pages 1--142 from Microsoft Word - 43338.doc* Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 Before the Federal Communications Commission Washington, D. C. 20554 In the matter of Applications of AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation For Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations File Nos. 0001656065, et al. and Applications of Subsidiaries of T- Mobile USA, Inc. and Subsidiaries of Cingular Wireless Corporation For Consent to Assignment and Long- Term De Facto Lease of Licenses File Nos. 0001771442, 0001757186, and 0001757204 and Applications of Triton PCS License Company, LLC, AT& T Wireless PCS, LLC, and Lafayette Communications Company, LLC For Consent to Assignment of Licenses File Nos. 0001808915, 0001810164, 0001810683, and 50013CWAA04 ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) WT Docket No. 04- 70 WT Docket No. 04- 254 WT Docket No. 04- 323 MEMORANDUM OPINION & ORDER Adopted: October 22, 2004 Released: October 26, 2004 By the Commission: Chairman Powell and Commissioners Abernathy and Martin issuing separate statements; Commissioners Copps and Adelstein approving in part, dissenting in part, and issuing separate statements. TABLE OF CONTENTS Paragraph I. INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................... 1 1 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 2 II. BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................................. 8 A. Description of the Applicants ............................................................................................. 8 1. AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. ............................................................................... 8 2. Cingular Wireless Corporation ............................................................................ 11 3. SBC Communications Inc. .................................................................................. 14 4. BellSouth Corporation ......................................................................................... 17 5. T- Mobile USA, Inc. ............................................................................................. 20 6. Triton PCS, Inc. ................................................................................................... 23 B. Description of Transactions .............................................................................................. 25 1. Cingular – AT& T Wireless.................................................................................. 25 2. T- Mobile USA – Cingular Joint Venture Unwind............................................... 31 3. Triton PCS – AT& T Wireless ............................................................................. 33 C. Applications and Review Process..................................................................................... 34 1. Commission Review ............................................................................................ 34 2. Department of Justice Review ............................................................................. 39 III. STANDARD OF REVIEW AND PUBLIC INTEREST FRAMEWORK.................................... 40 IV. QUALIFICATIONS OF APPLICANTS....................................................................................... 44 A. The Record........................................................................................................................ 45 B. Discussion of Character .................................................................................................... 47 V. COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................ 57 A. Mobile Telephony Competition........................................................................................ 60 1. Introduction.......................................................................................................... 60 a. The Mobile Telephony Sector ................................................................ 60 b. Introduction to the Analysis.................................................................... 68 2. Market Definition ................................................................................................ 71 a. Product Market Definition ...................................................................... 71 b. Geographic Market Definition................................................................ 82 c. Market Participants................................................................................. 91 3. Potential Competitive Harms............................................................................... 95 a. Market Concentration ............................................................................. 95 b. Horizontal Issues .................................................................................. 113 (i) Unilateral Effects ..................................................................... 115 (ii) Coordinated Interaction ........................................................... 150 c. Vertical Issues....................................................................................... 165 (i) Roaming................................................................................... 166 (ii) Special Access ......................................................................... 183 d. Market- by- Market Evaluation .............................................................. 184 (i) Analytical Standard ................................................................. 184 (ii) Results of Analysis .................................................................. 191 4. Public Interest Benefits...................................................................................... 201 a. Introduction........................................................................................... 201 b. Analytical Framework .......................................................................... 204 c. Improvements in Service Quality ......................................................... 207 d. Increased Coverage............................................................................... 216 2 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 3 e. Promotion of Next- Generation Services............................................... 221 f. Support for Homeland Security and Public Safety ............................... 228 g. Economies of Scale and Operating Synergies ...................................... 231 h. Disability Issues.................................................................................... 234 i. Labor Issues .......................................................................................... 235 j. Conclusion ............................................................................................ 236 B. Intermodal Competition .................................................................................................. 237 1. Substitution between Wireless and Wireline Services....................................... 239 2. AT& T Wireless’s Incentives as an Independent Wireless Carrier .................... 243 3. Cingular’s Product Offerings............................................................................. 244 4. Potential Loss of Intermodal Competition......................................................... 245 5. Public Interest Harms and Benefits.................................................................... 247 VI. CONDITIONS/ REMEDIES........................................................................................................ 251 A. Divestitures ..................................................................................................................... 254 1. Operating Units.................................................................................................. 254 2. Spectrum............................................................................................................ 255 3. Operation of Divestitures................................................................................... 258 B. Treatment of Partial Interests.......................................................................................... 265 C. Other Remedies............................................................................................................... 267 VII. REQUESTS FOR WAIVER OF THE CELLULAR CROSS- INTEREST RULE...................... 268 VIII. CONCLUSION............................................................................................................................ 269 IX. ORDERING CLAUSES.............................................................................................................. 271 Appendix A: List of Commenters Appendix B: List of Responses Appendix C: List of Markets Identified for Further Analysis by Initial Screen Appendix D: Market- Specific Analysis Appendix E: List of T- Mobile – Cingular Joint Venture Markets Appendix F: List of Triton Markets I. INTRODUCTION 1. In this Order, we consider a set of applications filed by AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. (“ AT& T Wireless”) and Cingular Wireless Corporation (“ Cingular”) (collectively, the “Applicants”) for consent to transfer control of all licenses and authorizations held by AT& T Wireless and its subsidiaries to Cingular. These licenses and authorizations include, most notably, many enabling the provision of mobile telephone service. This transfer of control would take place as a result of a proposed merger whereby AT& T Wireless would become an indirect, wholly- owned subsidiary of Cingular. The Applicants contemplate that the operations of AT& T Wireless and Cingular would be merged and that the merged entity would continue to provide mobile telephony under the Cingular brand name. The proposed merged entity would be jointly owned, as Cingular is today, by SBC Communications Inc. (“ SBC”) and 3 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 4 BellSouth Corporation (“ BellSouth”). Additionally, various entities in which AT& T Wireless holds non-controlling interests have filed applications for pro forma transfers of control. 1 2. In addition, we consider two related sets of applications. Consummation of these proposed transactions is contingent upon the consummation of the proposed transfer of control of AT& T Wireless to Cingular. First, we consider applications filed by T- Mobile USA, Inc. (“ T- Mobile”) and Cingular as part of a larger transaction in which Cingular and T- Mobile propose to unwind a network infrastructure joint venture (“ Joint Venture Unwind”) in portions of California, Nevada, and New York. These applications seek approval for (1) the assignment of broadband Personal Communications Services (“ PCS”) spectrum from a subsidiary of Cingular to a subsidiary of T- Mobile, and (2) a long- term de facto transfer leasing arrangement between various subsidiaries of Cingular and a subsidiary of T- Mobile. Second, we consider applications filed by Triton PCS, Inc. (“ Triton PCS”) and AT& T Wireless to exchange spectrum in portions of North Carolina and Georgia. 2 As part of this transaction, AT& T Wireless “will relinquish all of its equity in Triton [PCS]” and will no longer have the right to appoint a director to Triton PCS’s board of directors. 3 3. In two ways, the proposed AT& T Wireless- Cingular transaction marks a watershed for the Federal Communications Commission (“ Commission”). It presents the Commission for the first time with the challenge of examining the potential consequences of a proposed merger between two large national wireless carriers that is largely horizontal in nature. Many earlier combinations in this sector were aimed at creating competing national systems, while what the Applicants propose is to combine the largely, but not entirely, overlapping second and third largest systems nationwide. Cingular has determined to spend $41 billion in cash to acquire AT& T Wireless. The Applicants assert that this merger will fill gaps in their footprints and provide necessary resources to enable the merged entity to compete effectively in the current marketplace with a speed that is both essential and unobtainable by alternative means. The Applicants further argue that the merger will combine two less effective competitors into a much more vigorous competitor while leaving ample alternatives and opportunities to sustain competitive pressures in the marketplace, thus benefiting consumers. 4. Second, the proposed transaction marks a turning point because it is the first large license- transfer proceeding since the removal of prophylactic thresholds, including a Commercial Mobile Radio Services (“ CMRS”) spectrum aggregation limit, which the Commission had employed to encourage new entry and prevent undue concentration of limited resources in the developing mobile telephony sector. Thus, for the first time in this sector, we articulate and apply our public interest standard by undertaking a case- by- case analysis of a large transaction without the presence of a bright-line rule related to spectrum aggregation. 5. Pursuant to sections 214( a) and 310( d) of the Communications Act, we must determine whether the Applicants have demonstrated that the proposed acquisition of AT& T Wireless will serve the public interest, convenience, and necessity. Based on the record before us, we find that the Applicants 1 As part of this transaction, Cingular will receive from AT& T Wireless additional, non- controlling ownership interests in entities in which AT& T Wireless holds less than 50 percent of the total ownership interests. The transfer of these interests to Cingular may not require the submission of an application or notification to the Commission. See 47 C. F. R. § 1.948. For the full list of interests to be transferred from AT& T Wireless to Cingular, compare AT& T Wireless Services, Inc., FCC Ownership Disclosure Form 602 (filed Mar. 16, 2004) (“ AT& T Wireless Form 602”) with Cingular Wireless Corporation, FCC Ownership Disclosure Form 602 (filed Mar. 30, 2004) (“ Post-Transaction Form 602”). 2 As part of this transaction, Triton PCS will acquire spectrum from Lafayette Communications Company LLC. Triton PCS will then include the Lafayette spectrum as part of the spectrum exchange with AT& T Wireless. 3 Application, ULS File No. 0001810683, Exhibit 1, at 1 (filed July 21, 2004). 4 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 5 have generally met that burden. Competitive harm is unlikely in most mobile telephony markets, primarily because of the presence of multiple other carriers who have the capacity to add subscribers and the ability to supplement their current capacity, as well. Thus, despite concentration that appears high in many markets when measured based on firms’ current shares of subscribers, other operators will nonetheless be an effective competitive constraint on the behavior of the merged entity. 6. With regard to 22 local areas, however, our case- by- case analysis shows that likely competitive harms exceed likely benefits of the transaction. In these areas, we are imposing remedy conditions that will effectively ameliorate the expected harm. Thus, in no area of the country will harm to users of mobile telephony services result from this acquisition. 7. Because these applications result in the acquisition of an independent mobile provider by a joint venture controlled by two large wireline telephone companies, issues of intermodal competition arise as well. We find that this transaction raises novel competitive issues surrounding the differing incentives that wireless providers may have to engage in robust competition against the wireline operations of incumbent local exchange carriers. We consider whether this transaction diminishes intermodal competition for mass market voice telecommunications services, and conclude that any potential public interest harm arising from the loss of AT& T Wireless as an independent competitor is mitigated by the limited level of wireless- wireline competition at this point in time, and by the continued existence of a number of independent national and regional wireless carriers in the markets relevant to this transaction. 4 We also find that any potential harm is outweighed by the potential benefits that the merged entity could bring to the majority of mass market consumers. II. BACKGROUND A. Description of the Applicants 1. AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. 8. AT& T Wireless is a publicly- traded Delaware corporation, headquartered in Redmond, Washington. AT& T Wireless and its subsidiaries construct and operate wireless telecommunications systems throughout much of the United States. 5 It primarily provides analog and digital wireless voice and data services on 850 MHz band cellular licenses and on 1900 MHz band PCS licenses. 6 AT& T Wireless subsidiaries are also authorized to operate Wireless Communications Service, Local Multipoint 4 Our conclusion is based on compliance with any conditions necessary to address horizontal concentration in individual wireless markets, as discussed elsewhere in this Order. 5 Application, ULS File No. 0001656065, Exhibit 1, at 7 (filed Mar. 19, 2004) (“ Application”). This Application has been designated the lead Application for this transaction. See AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation Seek FCC Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations, WT Docket No. 04-70, Public Notice, 19 FCC Rcd. 6185, 6186 n. 8 (2004) (“ Comment Public Notice”). 6 See A& T Wireless Services, Inc., Annual Report 2003, at 4- 5 (“ AT& T Wireless Annual Report”), available at https:// www. attwireless. com/ press/ annual_ 2003/ (visited July 22, 2004); AT& T Wireless Services, Inc., Form 10- K, at 5, 6, 11 (Mar. 3, 2004) (“ AT& T Wireless 10- K”), available at http:// www. sec. gov/ Archives/ edgar/ data/ 1138234/ 000095012404000701/ 0000950124- 04- 000701- index. htm. AT& T Wireless’s cellular and PCS licenses, including licenses held by entities in which AT& T Wireless holds a greater than 50% voting interest, cover 279 million POPs, or 96 percent of the United States population. See Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President, Federal Affairs, AT& T Wireless, Inc., and Brian F. Fontes, Vice President – Federal Relations, Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Assistant Division Chief, Mobility Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission, at 2, Attachment A (Oct. 5, 2004) (“ October 5, Letter”); see also AT& T Wireless 10- K at 11. 5 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 6 Distribution Service, Industrial/ Business Pool Service, and Point- to- Point Microwave Service licenses in various markets throughout the United States. 7 AT& T Wireless also owns and operates a Wi- Fi network. 8 Additionally, AT& T Wireless holds interests in other wireless telecommunications providers throughout the United States 9 and internationally. 10 9. AT& T Wireless was formed on July 9, 2001, when AT& T Corp. spun off AT& T Wireless to its shareholders to create an independent, publicly- traded company. 11 AT& T Wireless’s largest investor, NTT DoCoMo, Inc. (“ DoCoMo”), 12 acquired its interest in AT& T Wireless during this spin off from AT& T Corp. 13 DoCoMo, a Japanese wireless communications company, holds a 16 percent indirect ownership interest in AT& T Wireless. 14 No other investor holds more than a 10 percent ownership interest in AT& T Wireless. 15 10. Today, AT& T Wireless is the second largest provider of wireless communications services in the United States based on revenues. 16 AT& T Wireless had 22 million customers as of December 31, 2003, and reported $16.7 billion in revenues for 2003. 17 AT& T Wireless provides its customers wireless voice and data services over two separate networks utilizing time division multiple access (“ TDMA”) 18 and global system for mobile communications (“ GSM”) technologies. 19 In 2001, 7 See Comment Public Notice at 6185. 8 AT& T Wireless 10- K at 5, 6; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4- 5. 9 These entities include Alaska Native Wireless, LLC, Cascade Wireless, LLC, Cincinnati Bell Wireless, LLC, GSM Corridor, LLC, and Triton PCS Holdings, Inc. See AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 67. 10 See AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 16- 17, 67; AT& T Wireless 10- K at 7- 8 (stating that AT& T Wireless has investments in companies in Canada, Caribbean, Asia, and Europe). 11 See AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 48; AT& T Wireless 10- K, at 18, 21; see also Application, ULS File No. 0000545809, Exhibit 1 (filed Aug. 1, 2001). To effectuate this split, AT& T Corp. created AT& T Wireless Group tracking stock, which was a class of AT& T Corp. common stock intended to provide financial returns based “on the financial performance and economic value of AT& T Corp. ’s wireless services businesses.” AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 48. The spinoff of AT& T Wireless from AT& T Corp., which occurred in July 2001, was effectuated by AT& T Corp. ’s conversion of all shares of AT& T Wireless Group tracking stock into shares of AT& T Wireless common stock on a one- for- one basis and AT& T Corp. ’s distribution of AT& T Wireless common stock to AT& T Corp. shareholders in the form of a stock dividend. See id. 12 See AT& T Wireless Form 602. Nippon Telephone and Telegraph owns approximately 61% of DoCoMo. See AT& T Wireless Form 602, Exhibit A. 13 AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 62. See also AT& T Wireless 10- K at 20. 14 See AT& T Wireless Form 602. DoCoMo held an AT& T Corp. security that tracked the performance and value of the AT& T Wireless Group. See AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 62; see also AT& T Wireless 10- K at 20. In July 2001, DoCoMo’s investment was converted into 16 percent of AT& T Wireless’s common stock. See AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 62; AT& T Wireless 10- K at 20. As part of this investment, DoCoMo sits on AT& T Wireless’s board of directors, and AT& T Wireless and DoCoMo have executed a technology agreement, creating “a strategic alliance to develop the next generation of mobile multimedia services on a global- standard, high- speed wireless network.” AT& T Wireless 10- K at 20. 15 See AT& T Wireless Form 602. 16 AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4. 17 AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4. 18 AT& T Wireless’s TDMA network covers an aggregate population (“ POPs”) of 207 million, or 71 percent of the population. AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4. 6 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 7 AT& T Wireless started overlaying a GSM network on top of its TDMA network, so that it would be able to offer enhanced wireless voice and data capabilities. 20 AT& T Wireless continued this upgrade in 2003 by overlaying GSM throughout its 850 MHz TDMA network. 21 On its GSM network, AT& T Wireless provides voice services, along with enhanced data services using general packet radio services (“ GPRS”) 22 and enhanced data rates for global evolution (“ EDGE”) technologies. 23 AT& T Wireless also provides voice services on an analog network and data services over a network utilizing packet switched data technology (“ CDPD”). 24 In the aggregate, the AT& T Wireless networks cover approximately 226 million POPs, or 78 percent of the population, and operate in 87 of the top 100 metropolitan areas. 25 AT& T Wireless increases its coverage area by entering into roaming agreements both within the United States and internationally. 26 2. Cingular Wireless Corporation 11. Cingular is incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware and headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. 27 Through various subsidiaries and affiliates, Cingular constructs, operates, and holds interests in numerous wireless telecommunications systems throughout much of the United States. 28 Cingular provides analog and digital cellular services on 850 MHz band licenses and digital PCS services on 1900 MHz band licenses. 29 Although Cingular primarily provides wireless voice and data services (... continued from previous page) 19 AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4. The AT& T Wireless GSM network covers approximately 220 million POPs, or 76 percent of the population. AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2- 3; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4. 20 AT& T Wireless 10- K at 4, 9. 21 Id. at 4, 9 (stating that AT& T Wireless will continue to upgrade this system throughout 2004). 22 AT& T Wireless offers its wireless data service, mMode™, to subscribers on its GSM/ GPRS network. mMode provides subscribers information and entertainment services, such as games, ringtones, messaging services, and access to Internet sites. 23 AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4. AT& T Wireless launched EDGE, a high- speed data network, in 2003. EDGE has been certified as 3G technology by the International Telecommunications Union (ITU). AT& T Wireless 10- K at 5. 24 AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4. The CDPD network is being phased out as the data capabilities are increased on the GSM/ GPRS/ EDGE network. See id. 25 AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4. See also October 5 Letter at Attachment A. 26 AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4; AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2, 4. Roaming agreements allow AT& T Wireless to provide TDMA coverage throughout the United States and provide GSM coverage to 255 million POPs, or approximately 88 percent of the population. See AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4; AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2, 4; see also October 5 Letter at Attachment A. Furthermore, through roaming agreements, AT& T Wireless can provide GPRS on its GSM network to over 241 million POPs, or 83 percent, of the population. See AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4; AT& T Wireless 10- K at 2, 4. AT& T Wireless has also entered into international roaming agreements allowing its customers to obtain voice services in 130 countries and access to data services in more than 45 countries. See AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 4; AT& T Wireless 10- K at 4. 27 Cingular Wireless LLC, Form 10- K, at 3 (filed Apr. 22, 4004) (“ Cingular 10- K”), available at http:// www. sec. gov/ Archives/ edgar/ data/ 1138234/ 000095012404000701/ 0000950124- 04- 000701- index. htm. 28 Application, Exhibit 1, at 7. 29 Cingular 10- K at 6. Cingular has “access to licenses, either through owned licenses or licenses owned by joint ventures and affiliates, to provide cellular or PCS wireless communications services covering an aggregate of 236 million [POPs], or approximately 81 [percent] of the U. S. population, including 45 of the 50 largest U. S. metropolitan areas.” Cingular 10- K at 2, 6. See also October 5 Letter at Attachment A. 7 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 8 using its cellular and PCS licenses, it also offers corporate messaging services on its Mobitex Data Network operating on 900 MHz SMR licenses using packet- switched technology. 30 Cingular subsidiaries and affiliates also have authority to operate systems using other licenses, including Wireless Communications Service, Paging and Radiotelephone, Multipoint Distribution System, Industrial/ Business Pool Service, and Point- to- Point Microwave licenses, in various markets in the United States. Additionally, Cingular provides wholesale services to resellers. 31 12. Cingular was formed in 2000 as a joint venture between SBC and BellSouth. 32 Cingular remains jointly owned and controlled by SBC and BellSouth, each of which holds a 50 percent economic and voting interest in Cingular. 33 Cingular, which serves solely as a holding company, controls Commission licenses and authorizations directly and indirectly through Cingular Wireless LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. 34 13. Currently, Cingular is the second largest provider of wireless voice and data services in the United States in terms of subscribership. 35 Cingular had 24 million customers as of December 31, 2003 and reported $15.5 billion in revenues for 2003. 36 Cingular provides a wide range of digital wireless voice and data communication services over TDMA and GSM networks. 37 In October 2001, Cingular started overlaying a GSM network on top of its TDMA network to upgrade its wireless voice and data capabilities. 38 On its GSM network, Cingular provides enhanced voice and high- speed data communications using GPRS and EDGE technologies. 39 In the aggregate, Cingular’s TDMA and GSM 30 Cingular 10- K at 5- 6, 9. Cingular’s Mobitex data network covers over 90 percent of the U. S. metropolitan population, and provides coverage in 99 of the 100 largest metropolitan areas. Id. at 5, 6. 31 Id. at 4. Resellers represented approximately 5 percent of Cingular’s total customers as of December 31, 2003. See id. 32 See Cingular 10- K at 2; see also Applications of SBC Communications Inc. and BellSouth Corporation, WT Docket No. 00- 81, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 15 FCC Rcd. 25, 459 (WTB, IB 2000) (“ SBC- BellSouth Order”). In October 2000, SBC and BellSouth contributed substantially all of their U. S. wireless businesses to Cingular. See Cingular 10- K at 2. 33 See Cingular Wireless LLC, FCC Ownership Disclosure Form 602, Exhibit 1 (filed Mar. 12, 2004) (“ Cingular Wireless LLC Form 602”); Cingular 10- K at 3. 34 See Cingular Wireless Corporation, FCC Ownership Disclosure Form 602, Exhibit 1 (filed Mar. 30, 2004) (“ Post-Transaction Form 602”); Cingular Wireless LLC Form 602, Exhibit 1; see also Cingular 10- K at 2. Cingular holds less than one percent of the membership units of Cingular Wireless LLC. See Cingular 10- K at 3 (stating that Cingular holds a 0.0000001% economic interest in Cingular Wireless LLC); see also Post- Transaction Form 602, Exhibit 1; Cingular Wireless LLC Form 602, Exhibit 1. Despite Cingular’s de minimis ownership interest in Cingular Wireless LLC, Cingular is the manager of Cingular Wireless LLC and controls its management and operations. SBC and BellSouth indirectly hold 60 percent and 40 percent, respectively, of the economic ownership interests of Cingular Wireless LLC; however, both SBC and BellSouth exercise de facto control of Cingular Wireless LLC through Cingular, the manager. See Cingular 10- K at 3 (noting that Cingular Wireless LLC’s officers are appointed by the board of directors of Cingular). Post- Transaction Form 602, Exhibit 1; see also Cingular Wireless LLC Form 602, Exhibit 1. 35 Cingular 10- K at 2. 36 Id. at 2. 37 Id. at 2, 7. Cingular also maintains an analog network in those areas where it holds cellular licenses, pursuant to the Commission’s rules. See id. at 6. 38 Id. at 7. 8 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 9 networks directly provide service in 43 of the 50 largest metropolitan areas. 40 Cingular increases its coverage area by entering into roaming agreements within the United States. 41 3. SBC Communications Inc. 14. SBC is a publicly- traded Delaware corporation, headquartered in San Antonio, Texas. 42 SBC provides communications services and products to businesses and consumers in the United States. 43 SBC’s products and services vary by market, and include local exchange services, wireless communications, long- distance services, internet services, telecommunications equipment, network access, and directory advertising and publishing. 44 SBC also offers satellite television services through an arrangement with EchoStar Communications Corp. 45 Additionally, SBC has investments in communications companies in more than 25 countries, including Denmark, Switzerland, Lithuania, Poland, Austria, Germany, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Finland, Norway, Sweden, Belgium, South Africa, and Mexico. 46 15. SBC was created as one of several regional holding companies created to hold AT& T Corp’s local telephone companies. 47 Originally, SBC operated in five southwestern states, but it expanded its operation to 13 states through mergers with Pacific Telesis Group, Southern New England Telecommunications Corporation, and Ameritech Corporation in 1997, 1998, and 1999, respectively. 48 Currently, SBC provides telecommunications services in Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Nevada, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin, 49 and serves a total of 54.7 million access lines within its region. 50 (... continued from previous page) 39 Id. at 5, 7. As of December 31, 2003, 93 percent of Cingular’s POPs with cellular or PCS service had access to the GSM network, and Cingular plans to complete the overlay of its GSM network throughout its coverage area in 2004. See Id. at 7. 40 Id. at 2, 6. 41 Id. at 6. These roaming agreements allow Cingular’s customers to receive wireless services “in virtually all areas in the United States where cellular/ PCS wireless service is available.” Id. 42 SBC Communications Inc., Form 10- K, at 1 (filed Mar. 11, 2004) (“ SBC 10- K”), available at http:// www. sec. gov/ Archives/ edgar/ data/ 732717/ 000073271704000205/ 0000732717- 04- 000205- index. htm. 43 Id. at 1. 44 Id. SBC publishes Yellow and White Pages directories and electronic directories. See id. at 6. 45 Id. at 1, 5. 46 Id. at 1, 6- 7. The international investments include companies that provide local and long- distance telephone services, wireless communications, voice messaging, data services, internet access, telecommunications equipment, and directory publishing. See id. at 6. 47 Id. at 1. On January 1, 1984, SBC was spun off from AT& T Corp. as a result of a 1982 antitrust consent decree. See id. 47 Id. at 3. 48 Id. at 1. 49 Id. 50 Id. at 4. SBC serves 28. 8 million retail consumer, 18. 3 million retail business, 7.1 million wholesale, and 0.5 million other access lines. See id. 9 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 10 16. SBC provides landline telecommunications services, including local and long- distance voice, data, and messaging services, on a retail and wholesale basis. 51 SBC offers interLATA (long distance calls) and intraLATA (local toll calls) long- distance voice services to its consumers. 52 Although SBC is authorized to offer long- distance services nationwide, 53 it provides long- distance services primarily to customers in its region and to customers in selected areas outside of its wireline subsidiaries’ operating areas. 54 SBC also provides various data services, such as switched and dedicated transport, internet access and network integration, and data equipment sales. 55 SBC’s internet offerings include basic dial- up access service, dedicated access, web hosting, e- mail, and high- speed access, such as broadband digital subscriber line (“ DSL”), services. 56 SBC markets many of its services, including local and long distance, DSL, and satellite television, along with Cingular wireless service, as a bundled offering. 57 4. BellSouth Corporation 17. BellSouth is a publicly- traded Georgia corporation, headquartered in Atlanta. BellSouth offers local, long distance, Internet, and wireless services to 45 million customers in the United States and thirteen other countries. 58 BellSouth’s products and services vary by market, and include advanced voice features, DSL high- speed Internet access and broadband data services, e- commerce solutions, network access, switching and interconnection, and online and directory advertising and publishing services. 59 BellSouth also plans to add video entertainment services to its product offerings in 2004. 60 Additionally, BellSouth has investments in international telecommunications companies, 61 including investments in wireless service providers operating in Argentina, Chile, Nicaragua, Peru, and Venezuela. 62 51 Id. 52 Id. at 5. SBC has a total of 14. 4 million long distance lines and is capable of offering long distance service in fifty states. See SBC Communications Inc., 2003 Annual Report, at 2 (“ SBC Annual Report”), available at http:// www. sbc. com/ investor_ relations/ company_ reports_ and_ sec_ filings/ 2003_ AR. pdf (visited July 22, 2004). 53 SBC Annual Report at 2. 54 SBC 10- K at 2. 55 Id. at 4. Network integration services include installation of business data systems, local area networking, and other data networking offerings. See id. 56 Id. at 4. SBC had approximately 3.5 million digital subscriber lines (“ DSL”) at the end of 2003 and is in the process of upgrading its network to make broadband DSL services available to approximately 80% of its wireline customers by early 2004. SBC 10- K at 2; SBC Annual Report at 2. SBC has formed an alliance with Yahoo! to create SBC Yahoo! DSL. SBC, through SBC Yahoo! DSL, is also in the process of rolling out a Wi- Fi network. See SBC 10- K at 1, 5; SBC Annual Report at 2. 57 SBC Annual Report at 2. 58 BellSouth Corporation, Form 10- K, at 3 (Feb. 24, 2004) (“ BellSouth 10- K”), available at http:// www. sec. gov/ Archives/ edgar/ data/ 732713/ 000095014404001649/ 0000950144- 04- 001649- index. htm. 59 Id. at 3- 5. BellSouth owns companies that publish, print, sell advertising, and perform related services concerning alphabetical and classified telephone directories in paper and electronic formats, including white and yellow pages on CD- ROM format and on the Internet. See BellSouth 10- K at 15- 16. 60 BellSouth Corporation, 2003 Annual Report, at 6 (“ BellSouth Annual Report”), available at http:// www. bellsouth. com/ investor/ pdf/ annualrpt03. pdf (visited July 22, 2004). 61 BellSouth 10- K at 3. 62 Id. at 13; BellSouth Annual Report at 16- 17, 36 (stating that BellSouth holds investments in wireless providers in ten Latin American countries). In March 2004, BellSouth agreed to sell its interests in its Latin American (continued....) 10 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 11 18. BellSouth was created as one of several regional holding companies created to hold AT& T Corp’s local telephone companies. 63 Today, BellSouth provides wireline communications service in the southeastern United States, serving substantial portions of Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. 64 19. BellSouth offers local and long- distance voice, data, and Internet services to consumers within its nine state region. 65 BellSouth has a variety of data offerings, including DSL, ISDN, and transport products. BellSouth’s DSL offerings include a full range of Internet access products, from dial-up access to high- speed data services. 66 BellSouth also markets many of its services, including local and long distance, and DSL, along with Cingular wireless service, as a bundled offering. 67 5. T- Mobile USA, Inc. 20. T- Mobile is incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware and headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. 68 T- Mobile, through its subsidiaries and affiliates, constructs and operates broadband PCS systems throughout the United States. 69 It provides digital PCS voice and data services on 1900 MHz band licenses over a GSM/ GPRS network. 70 T- Mobile also owns and operates a Wi- Fi network. 71 21. T- Mobile was created in May 2001 when Deutsche Telekom acquired VoiceStream Wireless Corporation and Powertel, Inc. 72 T- Mobile is a wholly- owned, indirect subsidiary of Deutsche (... continued from previous page) Operations to Telefonica Moviles. See BellSouth Signs Definitive Agreement to Sell Its Latin America Operations to Telefonica Moviles, News Release, at 1 (Mar. 8, 2004), available at http:// bellsouthcorp. policy. net/ proactive/ newsroom/ release. vtml? id= 45087. BellSouth and Telefonica Moviles completed the transfer of BellSouth’s ownership interests in wireless operations in Ecuador, Guatemala, and Panama on October 14, 2002. See BellSouth and Telefonica Moviles Close on BellSouth Operation in 3 Latin American Countries, News Release, at 1, available at http:// bellsouthcorp. com/ proactive/ newsroom/ release. vtml? id= 47809. 63 BellSouth 10- K at 3. BellSouth was incorporated and became a publicly traded company in December 1983 when it was spun off from AT& T Corp. as a result of a 1982 antitrust consent decree. See id. 64 Id. at 4. 65 Id. at 3, 5. As of December 31, 2003, BellSouth had long distance penetration of 28 percent among its residential customers and 39 percent among its mass market business customers. See id. 66 Id. at 6. As of December 31, 2003, BellSouth had over 1.46 million DSL subscribers, and 70% of the households in BellSouth’s franchise area were qualified to receive DSL. See id. at 5. 67 BellSouth Annual Report at 10, 14, 15. 68 See Application, ULS File No. 0001771442, Exhibit 1, at 1 (filed June 16, 2004) (“ T- Mobile- Cingular Application”); T- Mobile- Cingular Application, Exhibit 1, at 1; T- Mobile International Reports First Quarter 2004 Results of U. S. Operations, Financial Releases, at 7 (“ T- Mobile First Quarter 2004 Financial Release”), available at http:// www. t- mobile. com/ company/ investors/ financial_ releases/ 2003_ Q4_ sub. asp (visited Aug. 31, 2004). 69 T- Mobile- Cingular Application, Exhibit 1, at 1. 70 T- Mobile First Quarter 2004 Financial Release at 1; T- Mobile USA Adds More Than 1 Million Net New Customers in Q4, Financial Releases, at 2 (Jan. 27, 2004) (“ T- Mobile 2003 Financial Release”), available at http:// www. t- mobile. com/ company/ investors/ financial_ releases/ 2003_ Q4_ sub. asp. 71 T- Mobile 2003 Financial Release at 2. 72 See Deutsche Telekom 20- F at 38 (Mar. 30, 20040) (“ Deutsche Telekom 2003 20- F”), available at http:// www. sec. gov/ Archives/ edgar/ data/ 946770/ 000095013604000944/ file001. htm; see also Transferors, and (continued....) 11 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 12 Telekom AG (“ Deutsche Telekom”), a corporation organized under the laws of the Federal Republic of Germany. 73 Deutsche Telekom offers fixed- line voice telephony products and services, mobile communications, Internet, and other services, primarily in Europe. 74 Deutsche Telekom holds its interest in T- Mobile USA through T- Mobile International AG & Co. KG (“ T- Mobile International”), which is the mobile communications subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom. 75 T- Mobile International serves a total of 61 million mobile customers in Europe and the United States. 76 22. As of December 31, 2003, T- Mobile had a total of 13.1 million U. S. subscribers. 77 T-Mobile’s facilities- based networks cover 225 million POPs, and it operates in 46 of the top 50 metropolitan areas. 78 T- Mobile increases its coverage area by entering into roaming agreements within the United States. 79 6. Triton PCS, Inc. 23. Triton PCS is a publicly- traded Delaware corporation, headquartered in Berwyn, Pennsylvania. 80 Triton PCS provides wireless communications services in the southeastern United States. 81 Specifically, Triton PCS provides service “in a contiguous geographic area encompassing portions of Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Georgia and Kentucky.” 82 Triton PCS reported total revenues of approximately $810 million in 2003. 83 Triton PCS provides wireless digital voice and data services on 1900 MHz band PCS licenses over TDMA and GSM/ GPRS networks. 84 24. In February 1998, Triton PCS entered into a joint venture with AT& T Wireless’s predecessor AT& T Corp. As part of the joint venture, AT& T Wireless contributed licenses to Triton PCS in exchange for an equity position in Triton PCS Holdings, Inc., which wholly owns Triton PCS. 85 Triton PCS is also AT& T Wireless’s exclusive provider of wireless mobility services within Triton PCS’s region and is the preferred provider of wireless services to AT& T Wireless’s digital wireless customers who (... continued from previous page) Deutsche Telekom AG, Transferee, IB Docket No. 00- 187, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 16 FCC Rcd. 9779, 9789 ¶ 17 (2001) (“ Deutsche Telekom- VoiceStream Order”). 73 T- Mobile- Cingular Application, Exhibit 1, at 1. 74 Deutsche Telekom- VoiceStream Press Release (May 31, 2001). 75 T- Mobile 2003 Financial Release at 2. 76 Id. 77 Deutsche Telekom 2003 20- F at 38; T- Mobile 2003 Financial Release at 1. 78 T- Mobile- Cingular Application, Exhibit 1, at 1- 2. 79 Id. Roaming agreements allow T- Mobile to provide coverage to an additional 29 million people, for a total coverage area of 254 million POPs. See id. 80 Triton PCS, Inc, Form 10- K, at 4 (Mar. 19, 2004) (“ Triton PCS 10- K”), available at http:// www. sec. gov/ Archives/ edgar/ data/ 1064735/ 000119312504045442/ d10k. htm. 81 Id. at 4. 82 Id. Triton PCS’s licenses cover approximately 13.6 million POPs and include 10 of the top 100 markets in the country. See id. 83 Id. 84 Id. 85 Id. AT& T Wireless holds Triton PCS Series A preferred stock. See id. at 5. 12 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 13 roam in Triton PCS’s region. 86 Triton PCS markets service within its region under the SunCom brand name and logo and under AT& T Wireless’s brand name and logo. Triton PCS provides nationwide coverage through its relationship with AT& T Wireless and through roaming agreements. 87 B. Description of Transactions 1. Cingular – AT& T Wireless 25. On February 17, 2004, Cingular and AT& T Wireless entered into a merger agreement (“ Merger Agreement”). 88 According to the terms and conditions of the Merger Agreement, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Cingular, Links I Corporation, created for the sole purpose of the merger, will be merged into AT& T Wireless. 89 Post- Transaction, AT& T Wireless will survive and continue to exist as a wholly- owned subsidiary of Cingular. 90 Pursuant to the Merger Agreement, each share of AT& T Wireless stock will be converted into a right to receive cash and then canceled. 91 AT& T Wireless’s common shareholders will receive $15 cash per share, and the preferred shareholders will receive the applicable liquidation preference of their preferred shares, for a total value of approximately $41 billion in cash. 92 SBC and BellSouth have committed funding to Cingular for the all- cash deal. 93 SBC and BellSouth have agreed to guarantee 60 percent and 40 percent of the funding, or $25 billion and $16 billion, respectively, that Cingular needs to acquire AT& T Wireless. 94 26. Upon consummation of the proposed transaction, SBC and BellSouth will acquire additional non- voting preferred stock in Cingular. 95 As a result, SBC and BellSouth will hold 60 percent and 40 percent, respectively, of post- merger Cingular’s economic ownership interests, but each will continue to have negative control of and continue to exercise de facto control over Cingular by virtue of holding 50 percent of Cingular’s voting interests. Post- transaction, AT& T Wireless and its licensing 86 Id. at 4- 5. 87 Id. at 5 (stating that this coverage allows Triton PCS the ability to offer competitive national rate plans). 88 See Cingular 10- K at 2, 11; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 6, 83; see also Cingular To Acquire AT& T Wireless, Create Nation’s Premier Carrier, News Release, at http:// www. attwireless. com/ press/ releases/ 2004_ releases/ 021704. jhtml (Feb. 17, 2004) (“ February 12, 2004 News Release”). 89 AT& T Wireless Services, Inc., Schedule 14A, at 3, 7, 24 (Mar. 22, 2004) (“ AT& T Wireless Proxy Statement”), available at http:// www. sec. gov/ Archives/ edgar/ data/ 1138234/ 000095012304003552/ 0000950123- 04- 003552- index. htm. 90 AT& T Wireless Proxy Statement at 24. 91 Application, Exhibit 1, at 8. The Applicants state that, as a result of this conversion, DoCoMo’s ownership interests in AT& T Wireless will be extinguished. Id. at 8 n. 9. 92 AT& T Wireless Proxy Statement at 1- 2, 7, 24; Cingular 10- K at 2, 11; AT& T Wireless Annual Report at 6, 83; February 12, 2004 News Release, at 1. The amount of the Series C and Series E preferred stock liquidation preference is $286, 010, 148 and $9, 825, 134, respectively, as of March 31, 2004. AT& T Wireless Proxy Statement at 24. 93 See Cingular 10- K at 11, SBC 10- K at 9, BellSouth 10- K at 43; Bell South Annual Report at 88; see also February 12, 2004 News Release, at 1. 94 See SBC 10- K at 9; BellSouth 10- K at 43; Bell South Annual Report at 88; AT& T Wireless Proxy Statement at 33; see also February 12, 2004 News Release, at 1. 95 See Application, File No. 0001874690, Exhibit 1, at 1 (filed Sept. 21, 2004). 13 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 14 subsidiaries will become indirect, wholly- owned subsidiaries of Cingular. 96 This proposed transaction would create spectrum and service overlaps in many geographic areas, 97 including overlaps in the Los Angeles and Indianapolis Major Trading Areas (“ MTAs”). Cingular was required to divest spectrum in these two markets in 2000, as a condition of the approval of the transaction creating Cingular, 98 in order to come into compliance with the Commission’s spectrum aggregation rule. 99 27. The Applicants’ current spectrum holdings are set out in detail in the Application. 100 AT& T Wireless currently holds spectrum in all but 26 of the 493 BTAs, and its spectrum aggregation ranges up to 80 MHz. Cingular currently holds spectrum in all but 132 of the 493 BTAs, and its spectrum aggregation ranges up to 55 MHz. Notable among the areas in which Cingular does not currently hold spectrum are Denver (BTA110), Minneapolis (BTA298), and Phoenix (BTA347), which are among the 20 most populous BTAs. 101 As a result of this transaction, Cingular will hold spectrum in 475 of the 493 BTAs, 102 including the Denver, Minneapolis, and Phoenix BTAs. The combination of the two companies’ spectrum holdings would result in overlaps between their current holdings in 352 BTAs, and it would also result in Cingular expanding its licensed footprint into 114 other BTAs in which it does not currently hold spectrum. Post- transaction, Cingular would have spectrum holdings ranging up to 80 MHz, 103 with 80 MHz in 58 counties in 18 BTAs, 75 MHz in 28 counties in 8 BTAs, 70 MHz in 181 counties in 28 BTAs, 65 MHz in 373 counties in 70 BTAs, and 60 MHz in 125 counties in 34 BTAs. 104 96 See Post- Transaction Form 602, Exhibit 1 and Ownership Chart. The Applicants state that, since AT& T Wireless will continue to exist post- transaction, the relationship between AT& T Wireless and its subscribers will continue unchanged and that there is no need to transition these customers to Cingular. Application, Exhibit 1, at 8. 97 Application, Exhibit 1, at Attachment 8, Attachment 9. 98 See SBC- BellSouth Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 25, 468- 70 ¶¶ 20- 26; see also Wireless Telecommunications Bureau Grants Consent to SBC Communications Inc., Ameritech Wireless Communications, Inc., AT& T Wireless PCS, LLC, and Indiana Acquisition, L. L. C. to Transfer Control of or to Assign Wireless Licenses, WT Docket No. 00- 81, Public Notice, 15 FCC Rcd. 18, 128 (2000). 99 See 47 C. F. R. § 20. 6, repealed January 1, 2003. 100 See Application, Appendix 8, as amended August 10, 2004. For the purpose of characterizing the effect of this transaction on spectrum aggregation, we do not include in AT& T Wireless’s spectrum holdings the licenses of Triton PCS in which AT& T Wireless currently holds a 10% or greater equity interest in Triton PCS, because AT& T Wireless and Triton have reached a separate agreement, described in Section II. B. 3., below, whereby AT& T Wireless will relinquish that interest. For present purposes, we include in the carriers’ current spectrum holdings any BTA in which they hold spectrum in any part of the BTA. 101 The Phoenix, Arizona BTA is ranked 13 th , with a population of 3. 5 million; the Minneapolis, Minnesota BTA is ranked 14 th , with a population of 3. 3 million; and the Denver, Colorado BTA is ranked 19 th , with a population of 2.7 million. Population figures are based on the 2000 US Census. 102 Post- merger, Cingular will not hold spectrum in BTA037 (Bemidji, MN), BTA053 (Bozeman, MT), BTA054 (Brainerd, MN), BTA069 (Casper- Gillette, WY), BTA119 (Duluth, MN), BTA138 (Fargo, ND), BTA166 (Grand Forks, ND), BTA207 (Ironwood, MI), BTA231 (Klamath Falls, OR), BTA301 (Mitchell, SD), BTA375 (Riverton, WY), BTA376 (Roanoke, VA), BTA381 (Rock Springs, WY), BTA477 (Willmar- Marshall, MN), BTA481 (Worthington, MN), BTA490 (Guam), BTA492 (American Samoa), and BTA493 (Northern Mariana Islands). 103 See Application, Appendix 8, as amended August 10, 2004. In some areas, where Cingular would have held more than 80 MHz as a result of this transaction, Cingular has committed to divesting down to 80 MHz in each case. Cingular Opposition at 9; see also Application at 19 n. 82. (The highest such aggregation would have been 120 MHz, in Sabine County, Texas.) We are conditioning grant of this transaction on fulfillment of this commitment, as described in Section V. A. 3.d., below. 104 Prior to its elimination, the Commission’s spectrum aggregation limit, 47 C. F. R. § 20. 6, permitted aggregation of up to 55 MHz of applicable spectrum. 14 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 15 28. Upon consummation of the proposed transaction, the merged company will be internally reorganized. 105 This reorganization will be effectuated by post- merger Cingular transferring control of AT& T Wireless, along with its subsidiaries and interests, to Cingular Wireless LLC. 106 A new subsidiary (“ Newco”), which will be directly owned by AT& T Wireless and Cingular Wireless LLC, will be created. AT& T Wireless’s and Cingular Wireless LLC’s operating subsidiaries will be directly held by Newco. 107 The controlling and non- controlling interests that AT& T Wireless holds in other Commission- regulated businesseses will remain with AT& T Wireless and will not be contributed to Newco. 108 During this reorganization, Cingular will redeem the non- voting preferred stock given to SBC and BellSouth at the consummation of the transfer of control of AT& T Wireless to Cingular. 109 As a result, post-reorganization, SBC and BellSouth will each hold a 50 percent voting and equity interest in Cingular. 110 29. The Applicants assert that approval of the proposed transaction is in the public interest, stating that the increased network and spectrum capacity in areas where Cingular and AT& T Wireless are already providing service will greatly improve service quality and coverage 111 and allow for the rapid deployment of advanced wireless services, including in rural areas. 112 Specifically, the Applicants claim that post- transaction Cingular will require 80 MHz of spectrum to provide a full menu of competitive voice and data services. 113 They also state that the transaction will allow Cingular to expand its facilities-based footprint to 49 of the top 50 markets and 97 of the top 100 metropolitan areas (excluding only Richmond, Norfolk, and Newport News, VA). 114 Further, the Applicants estimate that the combined entity’s licenses will cover 284 million POPs, 115 and its GSM network will cover 250 million POPs. 116 105 See, e. g., Application, File No. 0001874690, Exhibit 1, at 1 (filed Sept. 21, 2004). 106 See id. 107 See id. 108 See id. 109 See id.; see also supra note 95 and accompanying text. 110 See, e. g., Application, File No. 0001874690, Exhibit 1, at 2. 111 Application, Exhibit 1, at 9, 10- 15. The Applicants state that this increased capacity is needed in order to ensure service quality (i. e., a reduction in blocked and dropped calls), because both Cingular and AT& T Wireless divide their spectrum in order to operate separate analog, TDMA, and GSM networks. See Application, Exhibit 1, at 11, 12. 112 Id. at 9, 15- 19. The Applicants claim that the combined spectrum of Cingular and AT& T Wireless is necessary in order to upgrade their systems to permit high- speed data transmissions, because they will have to set aside a minimum of 10 MHz of spectrum, separate from the analog, TDMA, and GSM spectrum, to introduce Universal Mobile Telecommunications Systems (“ UMTS”) service. See id. at 18. 113 Id. at 19. The Applicants further state that in areas where, upon consummation of the proposed transaction, Cingular “would hold an attributable interest in more than 80 MHz throughout a BTA,” Cingular will reduce the amount of spectrum it holds “to no more than 80 MHz.” Id. at 19 n. 82; see also Cingular Opposition at 9. 114 Application, Exhibit 1, at 9, 20- 22; Cingular 10- K at 2; February 17, 2004 News Release at 1. 115 See October 5 Letter at Attachment A. The Applicants state that “[ t] his figure may not accurately reflect the actual total licensed population coverage after consummation of the merger, as this figure is not adjusted for transactions that may occur closely after or may be required as conditions to such consummation, and may not reconcile back to pre- combination numbers due to difference in methods of calculating licensed population coverage between [AT& T Wireless] and [Cingular].” See id. at 2- 3. The Applicants explain that “[ l] icense coverage figures of a carrier vary, depending on (i) the data sources of and methods used to calculate U. S. population, (ii) the estimated propagation characteristics of its network transmitters and the related measurement methodologies and (iii) the counting of proportionate license interests.” See id. at 1- 2. 15 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 16 Additionally, the Applicants allege that the merger will create economies of scale and scope that will allow Cingular to be a more effective competitor, 117 and that the transaction will improve homeland security and public safety. 118 The Applicants allege that these consumer benefits cannot be realized quickly by acquiring spectrum in a piecemeal fashion. 119 They state that Cingular must acquire both spectrum and infrastructure to make improvements in coverage, capacity, and quality without substantial delays. 120 30. The Applicants further state that the proposed transaction would not harm competition. 121 The Applicants argue that the competitive effects of this transaction should be evaluated based on its impact on a nationwide mobile voice and data market. 122 The Applicants conclude that the proposed transaction would strengthen competition in the mobile voice and data product market, and that there would be no adverse effects on competition between wireless and wireline telecommunications services or on the provision of bundled services. 123 2. T- Mobile USA – Cingular Joint Venture Unwind 31. VoiceStream PCS II License Corporation, a wholly- owned subsidiary of T- Mobile, and Pacific Telesis Mobile Services, LLC (“ PacTel”), a wholly- owned subsidiary of Cingular, have entered into a series of agreements to unwind a network infrastructure sharing joint venture. 124 In November 2001, Cingular and T- Mobile USA entered into a joint venture agreement to share the ownership and operation of certain GSM network infrastructures (“ Joint Venture Networks”). 125 T- Mobile contributed its network assets in a partitioned portion of the New York Metropolitan Trading Area (“ MTA”) consisting of the New York Basic Trading Area (“ BTA”), and Cingular contributed its network assets in the Los Angeles and San Francisco MTAs, which cover most of California and parts of Nevada. 126 Currently, T- Mobile and Cingular state that they jointly own and control the PCS networks in the Los (... continued from previous page) 116 See id. at 3, Attachment A. The Applicants state that this figure “may not be reconcilable back to pre- merger numbers provided by either company,” because “network coverage estimates can vary depending on the population statistics relied on at a point in time and on an estimate of the network propagation characteristics and measurement tools.” Id. at 3. As an example, the Applicants state that Cingular uses a -98 dBm field strength and AT& T Wireless uses a -95 dBm field strength in their propagation estimates. See id. 117 Application, Exhibit 1, at 9, 22- 23; Cingular 10- K at 2. The Applicants allege that economies of scale and scope that will be achieved include trunking efficiency, greater purchasing and billing system efficiencies, and reductions in common expenses, such as network expansion, maintenance, operating, and administrative costs. See id. at 22. 118 Id. at 5, 9, 23- 24. The Applicants claim that the proposed transaction will allow for more widespread deployment of Wireless Priority Service (“ WPS”), and provide for diversified routing, greater redundancy, and increased reliability in signaling and data networks, which will improve network functionality during an emergency. See Application, Exhibit 1, at 24. 119 Id. at 5. 120 Id. at 6, 21. 121 Id. at 25- 41. 122 Id. at 28- 34. 123 Id. at 25- 28, 41- 43. 124 T- Mobile- Cingular Application, Exhibit 1, at 2. 125 Deutsche Telekom 2003 20- F at 39. 126 Id. The Applicants state that they retained ownership and control of their spectrum licenses. See id. 16 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 17 Angeles and San Francisco MTAs and the New York BTA. 127 After the Joint Venture Unwind, T- Mobile and Cingular will operate separate networks. 128 This transaction “is conditioned upon consummation of the proposed merger between Cingular Wireless Corporation . . . and AT& T Wireless Services, Inc.” 129 32. As part of the Joint Venture Unwind, T- Mobile will purchase from PacTel 10 MHz of PCS spectrum in the San Francisco BTA, Sacramento BTA, and Las Vegas BTA for $180 million. 130 Additionally, T- Mobile will acquire 100 percent ownership in the Joint Venture by purchasing Cingular’s interest in the Joint Venture for $2.3 billion. 131 T- Mobile and Cingular have also entered into a long- term de facto spectrum leasing arrangement whereby Cingular will lease spectrum to T- Mobile in the Los Angeles and San Francisco MTAs and New York BTA to allow for the transition of Cingular’s customers off the Joint Venture Networks. 132 Further, pursuant to a Wholesale Agreement, T- Mobile will use its spectrum, along with the spectrum leased from Cingular, to provide voice and data services to Cingular in the Los Angeles and San Francisco MTAs and New York BTA until Cingular’s customers are transitioned from the Joint Venture Networks to the networks Cingular is acquiring as part of the proposed Cingular- AT& T Wireless transaction. 133 3. Triton PCS – AT& T Wireless 33. Triton PCS and AT& T Wireless have entered into agreements to exchange PCS spectrum in various markets located primarily in Georgia and North Carolina. 134 As a result of the proposed spectrum exchange, Triton PCS will assign 20 MHz of PCS spectrum in the Augusta, GA BTA to AT& T Wireless PCS, and AT& T Wireless PCS will assign 10 MHz of PCS spectrum in the Asheville, NC, Jacksonville, NC, and Wilmington, NC BTAs to Triton PCS. In the Savannah, GA BTA, AT& T Wireless PCS will assign its 10 MHz A- block PCS license to Triton PCS. In return, Triton PCS will assign its 15 MHz C- block license, which covers nine of the nineteen counties in the Savannah, GA BTA, to AT& T Wireless PCS. Triton PCS will also acquire a 15 MHz C- block license from Lafayette Communications Company L. L. C. (“ Lafayette”) that covers the remaining ten counties in the Savannah, GA BTA and assign it to AT& T Wireless PCS. Thus, AT& T Wireless PCS will have a net gain of 5 MHz of spectrum throughout the Savannah, GA BTA. Additionally, pursuant to a separate agreement between AT& T Wireless and Triton PCS, AT& T Wireless “will relinquish all of its equity in Triton [PCS]” and will no longer have the right to appoint a director to Triton PCS’s board of directors. 135 Consummation of the proposed spectrum exchange and AT& T Wireless’s relinquishment of Triton PCS 127 T- Mobile- Cingular Application, Exhibit 1, at 2. 128 Id. 129 Id. at 1. 130 Id. at 1- 3. This spectrum will be partitioned and disaggregated from PacTel’s 20 MHz B- Block PCS license for the San Francisco- San Jose- Oakland MTA and its 20 MHz B- Block PCS license for the Los Angeles- San Diego MTA. See id. at 1. Additionally, T- Mobile has a future option to purchase 10 MHz of spectrum in the Los Angeles and San Diego BTAs from PacTel, see id. at 2, 3, and the parties plan to exchange certain additional spectrum licenses pursuant to a separate Exchange Agreement. See id. at 3. 131 Id. at 2. 132 Id. 133 Id. at 3. 134 Application, File No. 0001810683, Exhibit 1, at 1 (filed July, 21, 2004) (“ Triton- AT& T Wireless Application”). 135 Id. 17 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 18 equity is contingent upon the closing of the proposed transfer of control of AT& T Wireless to Cingular. 136 C. Applications and Review Process 1. Commission Review 34. Cingular – AT& T Wireless. On March 18, 2004, pursuant to section 310( d) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended (“ Communications Act”), 137 Cingular and AT& T Wireless filed 92 applications seeking consent to the proposed transfer of control of licenses held by AT& T Wireless and its subsidiaries to Cingular, 138 and 21 applications seeking consent to the pro forma transfer of control of minority interests held by AT& T Wireless to Cingular. 139 Cingular and AT& T Wireless also filed an application seeking Commission approval to transfer to Cingular control of an international section 214 authorization held by AT& T Wireless, 140 pursuant to section 214 of the Communications 136 See id. 137 47 U. S. C § 310( d). 138 See AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation Seek FCC Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations, WT Docket No. 04- 70, Public Notice, 19 FCC Rcd. 6185, 6186- 6188 (2004) (“ Comment Public Notice”). Two applications seeking consent to the transfer of control of licenses held by Longview Cellular, Inc. (“ Longview”) (file no. 0001656377) and Medford Cellular Telephone Co., Inc. (“ Medford”) (file no. 0001656384) from AT& T Wireless to Cingular were dismissed on April 6, 2004 for procedural reasons. See Wireless Telecommunications Bureau Assignment of License Authorization Applications, Transfer of Control of Licensee Applications, De Facto Transfer Lease Applications and Spectrum Manager Lease Notifications Action, Public Notice, Report No. 1804 (rel. Apr. 14, 2004). New applications were filed on behalf of Longview (file no. 0001689252) and Medford (file no. 0001689338) on April 8, 2004. See Wireless Telecommunications Bureau Assignment of License Authorization Applications, Transfer of Control of Licensee Applications, and De Facto Transfer Lease Applications Accepted for Filing, Public Notice, Report No. 1803 (rel. Apr. 14, 2004). Further, during the pendency on this transaction, AT& T Wireless submitted notifications, pursuant to the Commission’s pro forma forbearance procedures, reporting an internal tax reorganization. See File No. 0001845233, Exhibit 1, at 2 (filed Aug. 18, 2004); see also File No. 0001845158 (filed Aug. 18, 2004); File No. 0001845426 (filed Aug. 18, 2004). As part of this tax reorganization, AT& T Wireless converted Vanguard Cellular Pennsylvania, LLC to a limited partnership. See File No. 0001845233. The Applicants amended the application transferring control of Vanguard Cellular Pennsylvania, LLC from AT& T Wireless to Cingular to reflect that the entity is now Vanguard Cellular Pennsylvania, L. P. See File No. 0001656573 (amended Sept. 3, 2004). AT& T Wireless also assigned the license held by Eclipse PCS of Indianapolis, LLC, WPQP644, to AT& T Wireless PCS. See File No. 0001845158. The Applicants amended the application transferring control of AT& T Wireless PCS, LLC from AT& T Wireless to Cingular to include WPQP644, see File No. 0001656065 (amended Sept. 3, 2004), and withdrew the Eclipse PCS of Indianapolis, LLC application. See File No. 0001656356 (withdrawn Sept. 22, 2004). Lastly, AT& T Wireless reported the transfer of control of AT& T Wireless PCS of Philadelphia, LLC from Vanguard Cellular Pennsylvania, LLC to Vanguard Cellular Pennsylvania, L. P. See File No. 0001845426. 139 Comment Public Notice, 19 FCC Rcd. at 6189 (listing, in Part III. B of the Comment Public Notice, the applications seeking consent to the “pro forma transfer of control of non- controlling interests held by AT& T Wireless to Cingular”). As control of these licensees is unaffected by the proposed transaction, it is unnecessary to reevaluate the qualifications of these licensees at this time. We do consider these interests, to the extent that they are relevant, in the competitive analysis of the proposed transaction. 140 AT& T Wireless Services, Inc., Transferor, and Cingular Wireless Corporation, Transferee, Application for Transfer of Control of Section 214- Authorized International Carrier, File No. ITC- T/ C- 20040318- 00126, at 1 (filed Mar. 18, 2004). The Applicants seek Commission consent to transfer control of AT& T Wireless’s international Section 214 authorization “only as to (1) [AT& T Wireless’s] global resale service authority and (2) limited global facilities- based authority, excluding the U. S.- South Africa route. . . . [AT& T Wireless] will relinquish the residual authority (i. e., facilities- based authority not transferred to Cingular) as of consummation of the transaction.” AT& T Wireless Services, Inc., Transferor, and Cingular Wireless Corporation, Transferee, Application for Transfer of (continued....) 18 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 19 Act. 141 Additionally, the Applicants filed three applications seeking consent to the proposed transfer of control to Cingular of experimental authorizations held by AT& T Wireless and its subsidiaries. 142 35. Prior to the filing of the applications, the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau (“ Bureau”) adopted a protective order, dated March 17, 2004, under which third parties would be allowed to review confidential or proprietary documents submitted by the Applicants. 143 On April 2, 2004, the Commission released a Public Notice seeking public comment on the proposed transaction. 144 In response to the Comment Public Notice, twenty petitions to deny the applications or comments supporting or opposing grant of the applications during the pleading cycle. 145 On June 30, 2004, Bureau staff requested additional information from the Applicants (“ Information Request”). 146 The Applicants’ responses to the Information Request, along with their responses to additional Commission requests, are included in the record. 147 On July 16, 2004, Commission staff requested information (“ Third- Party Information Requests”) from ALLTEL Corporation, Nextel Communications Inc. (“ Nextel”), Sprint Corporation (“ Sprint”), T- Mobile, United States Cellular Corporation, and Verizon Wireless (collectively, “Third Parties”). 148 The responses to the Third- Party Information Requests, along with their responses to (... continued from previous page) Control of Section 214- Authorized International Carrier, File No. ITC- T/ C- 20040318- 00126, at 1 (amended Sept. 8, 2004) at 1- 2. 141 47 C. F. R. § 214. 142 Comment Public Notice, 19 FCC Rcd. at 6189. 143 Applications for the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Authorizations from AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Its Subsidiaries to Cingular Wireless Corporation; Order Adopting Protective Order, WT Docket No. 04- 70, Order, 19 FCC Rcd. 4793 (2004). 144 See Comment Public Notice, 19 FCC Rcd. at 6185. The Comment Public Notice set due dates of May 3, 2004 for Petitions to Deny, May 13, 2004 for Oppositions, and May 20, 2004 for Replies. See id. at 6185, 6190. 145 The parties that filed formal pleadings in this proceeding are noted in Appendix A. In addition to those formal pleadings, we have received informal comments through ex parte submissions. See Appendix A. All pleadings and comments are available on the Commission’s Electronic Comment Filing System (“ ECFS”) website at www. fcc. gov/ cgb/ ecfs/. 146 See Letter from John B. Muleta, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission, to David C. Jatlow, AT& T Wireless Services, Inc., and David G. Richards, Cingular Wireless Corporation (June 30, 2004). 147 See list of AT& T Wireless and Cingular responses in Appendix B. 148 See Letter from John B. Muleta, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission, and Martin K. Perry, Chief Economist, Federal Communications Commission, to William P. Barr, Executive Vice- President and General Counsel, Verizon Corporation (July 16, 2004); Letter from John B. Muleta, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission, and Martin K. Perry, Chief Economist, Federal Communications Commission, to Francis X. Frantz, Executive Vice President – External Affairs, General Counsel and Secretary, ALLTEL Corporation (July 16, 2004); Letter from John B. Muleta, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission, and Martin K. Perry, Chief Economist, Federal Communications Commission, to Tom Gerke, Executive Vice- President and General Counsel, Sprint Corp. (July 16, 2004); Letter from John B. Muleta, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission, and Martin K. Perry, Chief Economist, Federal Communications Commission, to James R. Jenkins, Vice President – Legal and External Affairs, U. S. Cellular Corporation (July 16, 2004); Letter from John B. Muleta, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission, and Martin K. Perry, Chief Economist, Federal Communications Commission, to Leonard Kennedy, Senior Vice President and General Counsel, Nextel Corp., Inc. (July 16, 2004); Letter from John B. Muleta, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission, and Martin K. Perry, Chief Economist, Federal (continued....) 19 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 20 additional Commission inquiries, are included in the record. 149 36. Additionally, on September 21, 2004, the Applicants filed a series of applications seeking consent to the pro forma assignment and transfer of control of licenses to effectuate a reorganization of the merged company. 150 The Applicants will file additional notifications under the Commission’s pro forma forbearance procedures for all other licenses affected by this reorganization. 151 37. T- Mobile – Cingular. On June 16, 2004, T- Mobile and Cingular filed applications seeking Commission consent, pursuant to section 310( d) of the Communications Act, 152 to assign partitioned and disaggregated portions of three broadband PCS licenses from a subsidiary of Cingular to a subsidiary of T- Mobile. 153 Additionally, T- Mobile and Cingular filed applications seeking approval of a proposed long- term de facto transfer leasing arrangement between various subsidiaries of Cingular and a subsidiary of T- Mobile. 154 The Commission released a Public Notice, dated July 13, 2004, seeking public comment on this proposed transaction. 155 No pleadings were filed regarding this transaction, and we find it to be in the public interest. 156 38. Triton PCS – AT& T Wireless. On July 21, 2004, pursuant to section 310( d) of the Communications Act, 157 AT& T Wireless PCS, LLC, a wholly- owned subsidiary of AT& T Wireless, Triton PCS License Company L. L. C., a wholly- owned subsidiary of Triton PCS, and Lafayette filed four applications seeking consent to the proposed full and partial assignment of certain A- and C- Block PCS (... continued from previous page) Communications Commission, to Dave Miller, Senior Vice President and General Counsel, T- Mobile U. S. A., Inc. (July 16, 2004). 149 See also list of ALLTEL Corporation, Nextel, Sprint, T- Mobile, United States Cellular Corporation, and Verizon Wireless responses in Appendix B. 150 See File Nos. 0001876500, 0001876485, 0001874675, 0001874690, 0001874724, 0001874736, 0001874757, 0001874780, 0001874800, 0001874828, 0001876511, 0001876519, 0001876540, 0001876544, 0001876550, 0001876556, 0001876560, 0001874920, 0001874868, 0001876568, 0001876573, 0001876580, 0001876584, 0001876589, 0001876604, 0001876609, 0001876616, 0037- EX- TU- 2004, 0038- EX- TU- 2004, 0039- EX- TU- 2004, 0040- EX- TU- 2004. 151 See, e. g., Application, File No. 0001874675, Exhibit 1, at 1 n. 2. 152 47 U. S. C § 310( d). 153 See Cingular Wireless Corporation and T- Mobile USA, Inc. Seek FCC Consent to Assignment of Licenses and Approval of Long- Term De Facto Leasing Arrangements, WT Docket No. 04- 254, Public Notice, DA 04- 2119, at 2 (rel. July 13, 2004) (“ T- Mobile- Cingular Public Notice”) (listing T- Mobile- Cingular Application, File No. 0001771442). 154 See id. (listing T- Mobile- Cingular Lease Applications, File Nos. 0001757186 and 0001757204). 155 See id. at 1. The Comment Public Notice set due dates of August 12, 2004 for Petitions to Deny, August 23, 2004 for Oppositions, and August 30, 2004 for Replies. See id. at 1, 4. 156 We have reviewed these assignment and lease applications, and we find that they are in the public interest and will not result in competitive harm. No competitor will leave the market as a result of this transaction; to the contrary, T- Mobile will be greatly strengthened as a vigorous new competitor in these markets. Post- transaction, T-Mobile will hold from 20 MHz to 25 MHz of spectrum in the applicable counties as a result of the assignment applications. As a result of the leasing arrangement with Cingular, T- Mobile will have an interest between 30 MHz and 45 MHz in the applicable counties. Although we do not find that these transactions will have any adverse competitive impact, we have taken them into consideration, to the extent that they are relevant, in the competitive analysis of the proposed AT& T Wireless- Cingular transaction. 157 47 U. S. C § 310( d). 20 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 21 licenses. 158 The Commission released a Public Notice, dated August 20, 2004, seeking public comment on the proposed transaction. 159 No pleadings were filed regarding this transaction, and we find it to be in the public interest. 160 2. Department of Justice Review 39. The Antitrust Division of the U. S. Department of Justice (“ DOJ”) reviews telecommunications mergers pursuant to section 7 of the Clayton Act, which prohibits mergers that are likely to substantially lessen competition. 161 The Antitrust Division’s review is limited solely to an examination of the competitive effects of the acquisition, without reference to national security, law enforcement, or other public interest considerations. The Antitrust Division reviewed the merger between Cingular and AT& T Wireless and entered into a consent decree with the Applicants on October 25, 2004, approving the merger subject to the Applicants’ divesting business units in certain markets, divesting bare spectrum in other markets, and either selling or making passive certain of their minority investments in other wireless telecommunications carriers. III. STANDARD OF REVIEW AND PUBLIC INTEREST FRAMEWORK 40. Pursuant to sections 214( a) and 310( d) of the Communications Act, the Commission must determine whether the Applicants have demonstrated that the proposed transfer of control of AT& T Wireless’s licenses and authorizations to Cingular will serve the public interest, convenience, and necessity. 162 In making this determination, we first assess whether the proposed transaction complies with the specific provisions of the Communications Act, 163 other applicable statutes, the Commission’s 158 See AT& T Wireless PCS, LLC, Triton PCS License Company, L. L. C., and Lafayette Communications Company L. L. C. Seek FCC Consent to Assignment of Licenses, WT Docket No. 04- 323, Public Notice, DA 04- 2599 (rel. Aug. 20, 2004) (“ Triton PCS Public Notice”). 159 See Triton PCS Public Notice, DA 04- 2599, at 1 (listing Triton- AT& T Wireless Applications, File Nos. 0001810683, 0001808915, 0001810164, and 50013CWAA04). The Comment Public Notice set due dates of September 20, 2004 for Petitions to Deny, September 30, 2004 for Oppositions, and October 7, 2004 for Replies. See id. at 1, 3. 160 We have reviewed these assignment applications, and we find that they are in the public interest and will not result in competitive harm. No competitor will leave the market as a result of this transaction; to the contrary, these spectrum swaps will strengthen both carriers’ ability to compete in this region. Post- transaction, Triton will hold either 10 MHz or 30 MHz of spectrum in the applicable counties. We have taken AT& T Wireless’s post- transaction spectrum holdings in the affected markets into account in our analysis of the Cingular- AT& T Wireless transaction. Although we do not find that the assignment of spectrum to Triton will have any adverse competitive impact, we have taken these applications into consideration, to the extent that they are relevant, in the competitive analysis of the proposed AT& T Wireless- Cingular transaction. 161 15 U. S. C. § 18. 162 47 U. S. C. §§ 214( a), 310( d). 163 Section 310( d), 47 U. S. C. § 310( d), requires that we consider the applications as if the proposed transferee were applying for the licenses directly under section 308 of the Act, 47 U. S. C. § 308. See Applications of VoiceStream Wireless Corporation or Omnipoint Corporation, Transferors, and VoiceStream Wireless Holding Company, Cook Inlet/ VS GSM II PCS, LLC, or Cook Inlet/ VS GSM III PCS, LLC, Transferees, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 15 FCC Rcd. 3341, 3345- 46 ¶ 10 (2000) (“ VoiceStream- Omnipoint Order”); Application of WorldCom, Inc. and MCI Communications Corporation for Transfer of Control of MCI Communications Corporation to WorldCom, Inc., CC Docket No. 97- 211, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 13 FCC Rcd. 18, 025, 18, 030 ¶ 8 (1998) (“ WorldCom- MCI Order”); SBC- BellSouth Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 25, 464 ¶ 12; Vodafone AirTouch, PLC, and Bell Atlantic Corporation, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 15 FCC Rcd. 16, 507, 16, 511- 12 ¶ 12 (WTB, IB 2000) (continued....) 21 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 22 rules, and federal communications policy. 164 The public interest standards of sections 214( a) and 310( d) involve a balancing process that weighs the potential public interest harms of the proposed transaction against the potential public interest benefits. 165 The Applicants bear the burden of proving, by a preponderance of the evidence, that the proposed transaction, on balance, serves the public interest. 166 If we are unable to find that the proposed transaction serves the public interest for any reason, or if the record presents a substantial and material question of fact, section 309( e) of the Act requires that we (... continued from previous page) (“ Bell Atlantic- Vodafone Order”). Thus, we must examine the Applicants’ qualifications to hold licenses. See 47 U. S. C. § 308; see also discussion infra Part IV. 164 See, e. g., Applications for Consent to the Assignment of Licenses Pursuant to Section 310( d) of the Communications Act from NextWave Personal Communications, Inc., Debtor- in- Possession, and NextWave Power Partners, Inc., Debtor- in Possession, to Subsidiaries of Cingular Wireless LLC, WT Docket 03- 217, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 19 FCC Rcd. 2570, 2580- 81 ¶ 24 (2004) (“ Cingular- NextWave Order”); General Motors Corporation and Hughes Electronics Corporation, Transferors, and The News Corporation Limited, Transferee, MB Docket No. 03- 124, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 19 FCC Rcd. 473, 484 ¶ 16 (2004) (“ GM- News Corp. Order”); Application of EchoStar Communications Corporation (A Nevada Corporation), General Motors Corporation, and Hughes Electronics Corporation (Transferors) and EchoStar Communications Corporation (A Delaware Corporation) (Transferee), CS Docket No. 01- 348, Hearing Designation Order, 17 FCC Rcd. 20, 559, 20, 574 ¶ 25 (2002) (“ EchoStar- DirecTV HDO”); AT& T Corp., British Telecommunications, PLC, VLT Co. L. L. C, Violet License Co. LLC, and TNV [Bahamas] Limited Applications, IB Docket No. 98- 212, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 14 FCC Rcd. 19, 140, 19, 150 ¶ 20 (1999) (“ AT& T Corp.- British Telecom. Order”); Applications to Assign Wireless Licenses from WorldCom Inc. (Debtor- in- Possession) to Nextel Spectrum Acquisition Corp., WT Docket No. 03- 203, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 19 FCC Rcd. 6232, 6241 ¶ 23 (WTB, MB 2004) (“ Nextel-WorldCom Order”); Application of TeleCorp PCS, Inc., Tritel, Inc., and Indus, Inc. and TeleCorp Holding Corp. II, L. L. C., TeleCorp PCS, L. L. C., ABC Wireless, L. L. C, Polycell Communications, Inc., Clinton Communications, Inc., and AT& T Wireless PCS, LLC, WT Docket No. 00- 130, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 16 FCC Rcd. 3716, 3721- 22 ¶ 12 (WTB 2000); GTE Corporation, Transferor, and Bell Atlantic Corporation, Transferee, CC Docket No. 98- 184, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 15 FCC Rcd. 14, 032, 14, 045, 14, 046 ¶¶ 20, 22 (2002) (“ Bell Atlantic- GTE Order”). 165 See, e. g., Cingular- NextWave Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 2580- 81 ¶ 24 (2004); GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 483 ¶ 15; WorldCom, Inc. and Its Subsidiaries (Debtors- in- Possession), Transferor, and MCI, Inc., Transferee, WC Docket No. 02- 215, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 18 FCC Rcd. 26, 484, 26, 492 ¶ 12 (2003) (“ WorldCom Order”); Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses from Comcast Corporation and AT& T Corp., Transferors, to AT& T Comcast Corporation, Transferee, MB Docket No. 02- 70, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 17 FCC Rcd. 23, 246, 23, 255 ¶ 26 (2002) (“ AT& T- Comcast Order”); EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 574 ¶ 25; VoiceStream Wireless Corporation, PowerTel, Inc., Transferors, and Deutsche Telekom AG, Transferee, IB Docket No. 00- 187, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 16 FCC Rcd. 9779, 9789 ¶ 17 (2001) (“ Deutsche Telekom- VoiceStream Order”); Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14, 045, 14,046 ¶¶ 20, 22; VoiceStream- Omnipoint Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 3347 ¶ 12; AT& T Corp.- British Telecom. Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 19, 150 ¶ 20; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18,031 ¶ 10; Nextel- WorldCom Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 6241- 42 ¶ 23; SBC- BellSouth Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 25, 464, 25, 467 ¶¶ 13, 18; Bell Atlantic- Vodafone Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 16, 512, 16, 517 ¶¶ 13, 25. 166 See, e. g., Cingular- NextWave Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 2581 ¶ 24; GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 483 ¶ 15; AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23, 255 ¶ 26; EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20,574 ¶ 25; Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14, 046 ¶ 22; VoiceStream- Omnipoint Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 3347 ¶ 11; SBC-BellSouth Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 25, 464 ¶ 13; Bell Atlantic- Vodafone Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 16,512 ¶ 13; Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Section 214 Authorizations from Tele-Communications, Inc., Transferor, to AT& T Corp., Transferee, CS Docket No. 98- 178, Memorandun Opinion and Order, 14 FCC Rcd. 3160, 3169 ¶ 15 (1999) (“ AT& T- TCI Order”); WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 031-32 ¶ 10. 22 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 23 designate the application for hearing. 167 41. Our public interest evaluation necessarily encompasses the “broad aims of the Communications Act,” 168 which include, among other things, a deeply rooted preference for preserving and enhancing competition in relevant markets, accelerating private sector deployment of advanced services, ensuring a diversity of license holdings, and generally managing the spectrum in the public interest. 169 Our public interest analysis may also entail assessing whether the merger will affect the quality of communications services or will result in the provision of new or additional services to consumers. 170 In conducting this analysis, the Commission may consider technological and market changes, and the nature, complexity, and speed of change of, as well as trends within, the communications industry. 171 42. In determining the competitive effects of the merger, our analysis is not limited by traditional antitrust principles. 172 The Commission and the DOJ each have independent authority to examine telecommunications mergers, but the standards governing the Commission’s review differ from those of DOJ. 173 DOJ reviews mergers pursuant to section 7 of the Clayton Act, which prohibits mergers 167 47 U. S. C. § 309( e). See also GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 483 n. 49; AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23, 255 ¶ 26; EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 574 ¶ 25; Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14, 231 ¶ 435; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 139- 40 ¶ 202. Section 309( e) ’s requirement applies only to those applications to which Title III of the Act applies, i. e., radio station licenses. We are not required to designate for hearing applications for the transfer or assignment of Title II authorizations when we are unable to find that the public interest would be served by granting the applications, see ITT World Communications, Inc. v. FCC, 595 F. 2d 897, 901 (2d Cir. 1979), but of course may do so if we find that a hearing would be in the public interest. 168 GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 483 ¶ 16; AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23, 255 ¶ 27; EchoStar-DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20,575 ¶ 26; Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Section 214 Authorizations from MediaOne Group, Inc., Transferor, to AT& T Corp., Transferee, CS Docket No. 99- 251, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 15 FCC Rcd. 9816, 9821 ¶ 11 (2000) (“ AT& T- MediaOne Order”); VoiceStream- Omnipoint Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 3346- 47 ¶ 11; AT& T Corp.- British Telecom. Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 19, 146 ¶ 14; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18,030 ¶ 9. 169 See 47 U. S. C. §§ 157 nt, 254, 332( c)( 7), Telecommunications Act of 1996, Preamble; Cingular- NextWave Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 2583 ¶ 29; GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 483- 84 ¶ 16; EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 575 ¶¶ 26; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18,030- 31 ¶ 9; Nextel- WorldCom Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 6244 ¶ 29; see also 2000 Biennial Regulatory Review Spectrum Aggregation Limits for Commercial Mobile Radio Services, Report and Order, 16 FCC Rcd. 22, 668, 22, 696 ¶ 55 (2001) (citing 47 U. S. C. §§ 301, 303, 309( j), 310( d)); cf. 47 U. S. C. §§ 521( 4), 532( a). 170 See AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23, 255 ¶ 27; AT& T- MediaOne Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 9821- 22 ¶ 11; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 031 ¶ 9. 171 See AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23, 255 ¶ 27; AT& T- MediaOne Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 9821- 22 ¶ 11; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 031 ¶ 9. 172 See, e. g., GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 484 ¶ 17; EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20575 ¶ 26; Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14046 ¶ 23; AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23256 ¶ 28; AT& T- TCI Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 3168- 69 ¶ 14; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 033 ¶ 13. See also Satellite Business Systems, 62 F. C. C. 2d 997, 1088 (1977), aff’d sub nom United States v. FCC, 652 F. 2d 72 (DC Cir. 1980) (en banc); Northern Utilities Service Co. v. FERC, 993 F. 2d 937, 947- 48 (1 st Cir. 1993) (public interest standard does not require agencies “to analyze proposed mergers under the same standards that the Department of Justice . . . must apply”). 173 See, e. g., GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 484 ¶ 17; EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 575 ¶ 26; Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14,046 ¶ 23; AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23, 256 ¶ 28; AT& T- TCI Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 3169 ¶ 14; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 033 ¶ 12. 23 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 24 that are likely to lessen competition substantially in any line of commerce. 174 The Commission, on the other hand, as stated above, is charged with determining whether the transfer of licenses serves the broader public interest. In the communications industry, competition is shaped not only by antitrust rules, but also by the regulatory policies that govern the interactions of industry players. 175 In addition to considering whether the merger will reduce existing competition, therefore, we also must focus on whether the merger will accelerate the decline of market power by dominant firms in the relevant communications markets and the merger’s effect on future competition. 176 We also recognize that the same consequences of a proposed merger that are beneficial in one sense may be harmful in another. For instance, combining assets may allow the merged entity to reduce transaction costs and offer new products, but it may also create market power, create or enhance barriers to entry by potential competitors, and create opportunities to disadvantage rivals in anticompetitive ways. 177 43. Our public interest authority also enables us to impose and enforce narrowly tailored, transaction- specific conditions that ensure that the public interest is served by the transaction. 178 These conditions may include the divestiture of certain licenses along with associated facilities and customers, for example. Section 303( r) of the Communications Act authorizes the Commission to prescribe restrictions or conditions, not inconsistent with law, that may be necessary to carry out the provisions of the Act. 179 Similarly, section 214( c) of the Act authorizes the Commission to attach to the certificate “such terms and conditions as in its judgment the public convenience and necessity may require.” 180 Indeed, unlike the role of antitrust enforcement agencies, our public interest authority enables us to rely upon our extensive regulatory and enforcement experience to impose and enforce conditions to ensure that the merger will yield overall public interest benefits. 181 Despite our broad authority, we have held that we will impose conditions only to remedy harms that arise from the transaction (i. e., transaction- 174 15 U. S. C. § 18. 175 AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 23, 256 ¶ 28; AT& T- MediaOne Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 9821 ¶ 10. 176 Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14,047 ¶ 23; AT& T Corp.- British Telecom. Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 19, 150 ¶ 15; AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23,256 ¶ 28. 177 See, e. g., Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Section 214 Authorizations by Time Warner, Inc. and American Online, Inc. Transferors, to AOL Time Warner Inc., Transferee, CS Docket No. 00- 30, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 16 FCC Rcd. 6547, 6550, 6553 ¶¶ 5, 15 (2001) (“ AOL- Time Warner Order”). 178 See, e. g., Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14,047 ¶ 24; AT& T Corp.- British Telecom. Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 19, 150 ¶ 15. See also WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 032 ¶ 10 (conditioning approval on the divesture of MCI’s Internet assets); Deutsche Telekom- VoiceStream Wireless Order, 16 FCC Rcd. 9779 (2001) (conditioning approval on compliance with agreements with Department of Justice and Federal Bureau of Investigation addressing national security, law enforcement, and public safety concerns). 179 47 U. S. C. § 303( r). See Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14, 047 ¶ 24; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 032 ¶ 10 (citing FCC v. Nat’l Citizens Comm. for Broadcasting, 436 U. S. 775 (1978) (upholding broadcast- newspaper cross- ownership rules adopted pursuant to section 303( r)); U. S. v. Southwestern Cable Co., 392 U. S. 157, 178 (1968) (section 303( r) powers permit Commission to order cable company not to carry broadcast signal beyond station’s primary market); United Video, Inc. v. FCC, 890 F. 2d 1173, 1182- 83 (D. C. Cir. 1989) (syndicated exclusivity rules adopted pursuant to section 303( r) authority). 180 Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14,047 ¶ 24; AT& T Corp.- British Telecom. Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 19, 150 ¶ 15. 181 See, e. g., GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 477 ¶ 5; Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14, 047- 48 ¶ 24; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18034- 35 ¶ 14. See also Schurz Communications, Inc. v. FCC, 982 F. 2d 1043, 1049 (7 th Cir. 1992) (discussing Commission’s authority to trade off reduction in competition for increase in diversity in enforcing public interest standard). 24 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 25 specific harms) 182 and that are fairly related to the Commission’s responsibilities under the Communications Act and related statutes. 183 Thus, we will not impose conditions to remedy pre- existing harms or harms that are unrelated to the transaction. 184 IV. QUALIFICATIONS OF APPLICANTS 44. Among the factors the Commission considers in its public interest review is whether the applicant for a license has the requisite “citizenship, character, financial, technical, and other qualifications.” 185 Therefore, as a threshold matter, the Commission must determine whether the parties meet the requisite qualifications to hold and transfer licenses under section 310( d) of the Act and the Commission’s rules. 186 In making this determination, the Commission does not, as a general rule, re-evaluate the qualifications of transferors unless issues related to basic qualifications have been designated for hearing by the Commission or have been sufficiently raised in petitions to warrant the designation of a hearing. 187 In this proceeding, no issues have been raised with respect to the basic qualifications of AT& T Wireless, and we thus find that AT& T Wireless has the requisite qualifications. Conversely, section 310( d) requires the Commission to consider whether the proposed transferee is qualified to hold a Commission license. 188 A. The Record 45. Six parties, each of which at one time acted as an independent dealer for Cingular in Illinois, offering its wireless services and products for sale to the public, have filed a collective petition opposing the transfer of control, alleging that Cingular has engaged in a pattern of misconduct that demonstrates that it lacks the requisite character to hold Commission licenses. 189 Each of the parties (collectively, the “Dealers”) asserts that, after it entered into an independent dealership contract with Cingular and obtained customers for Cingular’s service, Cingular took a series of actions designed to deprive it of business and to obtain a direct commercial relationship with its customers. 190 Five of the six parties have brought suit against Cingular, alleging claims that include, inter alia, breach of contract, fraud and false representation, tortious interference with a business relationship, violations of RICO, 182 See GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 534 ¶ 131; AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23, 302 ¶ 140; AOL- Time Warner Order, 16 FCC Rcd. at 6550 ¶ 5- 6. 183 See AOL- Time Warner Order, 16 FCC Rcd. at 6610 ¶¶ 146- 47. 184 GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 534 ¶ 131 (“ An application for a transfer of control of Commission licenses is not an opportunity to correct any and all perceived imbalances in the industry. These issues are best left to broader industry- wide proceedings.”). 185 See 47 U. S. C. §§ 308, 310( d); GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 485 ¶ 18. 186 See 47 U. S. C. § 310( d); 47 C. F. R. § 1.948; see, e. g., GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 485 ¶ 18; WorldCom Order, 18 FCC Rcd. at 26, 493 ¶ 13; Deutsche Telekom- VoiceStream Order, 16 FCC Rcd. at 9,790 ¶ 19. 187 Deutsche Telekom- VoiceStream Order, 16 FCC Rcd. at 9790 ¶ 19; SBC- BellSouth Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 25, 465 ¶ 14. 188 SBC- BellSouth Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 25, 465 ¶ 14. 189 AT& T Wireless Services, Inc, Transferor, and Cingular Wireless Corporation, Transferee, WT Docket No. 04- 70, Petition to Dismiss or Deny by AW Acquisition Corp. et al., filed May 3, 2004 (Dealers Petition to Deny). The parties are: AW Acquisition Corp., Pace Communications Services Corp., Edward Garcia dba Comm One Systex of Ohio and Comm One Wireless of Chicago, Ed Wicks dba Mercedes Wireless, Inc., Kempner Mobile Electronics, Inc., and Airborne Beepers and Video, Inc. 190 Dealers Petition to Deny at 1- 12. 25 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 26 defamation, unjust enrichment, and conversion. 191 Only one of these actions, the lawsuit brought by Kempner Mobile Electronics, Inc. (“ Kempner”), has been adjudicated, with Kempner prevailing on two counts of breach of contract and claims for tortious interference and fraud. 192 Based on these claims as well as those claims that are still pending, the Dealers argue that Cingular has engaged in a pattern of anticompetitive conduct and that transfer of control to Cingular would therefore be inconsistent with the public interest. In the alternative to denial of the transfer, they suggest that a grant be made conditional on the outcome of the pending cases. 193 Finally, they argue that the applications are defective for not mentioning any of their lawsuits. In response, Cingular argues that none of the claims brought by the Dealers are relevant to the Commission’s character analysis under its existing policies and precedents, and that Cingular was not required to list any of them in its applications. 194 46. In a separate petition, Thrifty Call, Inc. (“ Thrifty Call”) asserts that one of Cingular's parent companies, SBC, has demonstrated a propensity to act anti- competitively and to violate Commission rules, and argues that the transfer of control should be denied for that reason. 195 In response, Cingular argues that the Commission has found that both Cingular and SBC are well qualified to hold Commission licenses and that no new allegations or actions since those findings warrant a change in the determination. 196 191 Id. at Attachments 1- B, 2- B, 4- B, 5- B, and 6- B. 192 See Kempner Mobile Electronics, Inc. v. Southwestern Bell Mobile Systems, LLC, No. 02 C 5403, 2004 WL 434213 (N. D. Ill. March 4, 2004); Letter from Richard S. Myers, Counsel, Kempner Mobile Electronics, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission, WT Docket No. 04- 70 (September 28, 2004). A number of other claims brought by Kempner were rejected by summary judgment or withdrawn. Id., 2004 WL 434213, at n. 2, *1. 193 AT& T Wireless Services, Inc, Transferor, and Cingular Wireless Corporation, Transferee, WT Docket No. 04- 70, Reply to Opposition to Petition to Dismiss or Deny by AW Acquisition Corp. et al., filed May 20, 2004 (“ Dealers’ Reply”). 194 Applicants Joint Opposition to Petitions to Deny and Comments at 51. 195 Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 25. 196 Applicants Joint Opposition to Petitions to Deny and Comments at 53- 57. Cingular also argues that the Dealers and Thrifty Call, as well as the other parties that have filed petitions to deny such as Consumer Federation of America (“ CFA”)/ Consumer’s Union (“ CU”), all lack standing to challenge the applications for transfer. Applicants Joint Opposition to Petitions to Deny and Comments at 58- 60. Cingular argues that none of the Petitioners has demonstrated that it is a “party in interest” as required by section 309( d)( 1). Having reviewed these arguments, we have doubts regarding whether all of the Petitioners have adequately demonstrated that they have standing. For example, the declaration submitted by CFA in support of its standing likely falls short because the declarant failed to make any specific claims regarding his current ownership or use of a wireless phone that would demonstrate that he would be directly affected by the order. Compare Consumer Federation of America v. FCC, 348 F. 3d 1009, 1012 (D. C. Cir. 2003) (upholding CFA’s standing to challenge the merger of Comcast and another cable company where affidavit from one of CFA’s members established that the member was also a customer of Comcast and that he had suffered a direct injury from the merger). However, we need not decide the standing issue for any of the Petitioners because we do not, in any case, find the Petitioners’ arguments for denial of the applications to be persuasive. In addition, even were we to conclude that some or all of the Petitioners lack standing, we would still have discretion to consider their pleadings as informal objections. See Pacific Gas and Electric Company, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 18 FCC Rcd. 22, 761, n. 47 (2003); see also Application of Tabback Broadcasting Company for Renewal of License of Station KAZM (AM), Sedona, Arizona, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 15 FCC Rcd 11899 (2000) (treating petition to deny transfer of control as informal objection); Applications of MLGAL Partners, L. P., (Transferor) and Evergreen Media Corporation (Transferee), Memorandum Opinion and Order, 10 FCC Rcd. 5,653 (1995) (treating petition to deny transfer of control into informal objection where party lacked standing); see also (continued....) 26 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 27 B. Discussion of Character 47. We turn first to the Dealers’ allegations that Cingular has engaged in misconduct that demonstrates that it lacks the requisite character qualifications. In determining whether Cingular has the requisite character to be a Commission licensee, we look to the Commission’s character policy initially developed in the broadcast area as guidance in resolving similar questions in common carrier license transfer proceedings. 197 Under this policy, the Commission will review allegations of misconduct directly before it, as well as conduct that takes place outside the Commission. 198 The Commission has long held that the character qualifications of an applicant or licensee are relevant to the Commission's public interest analysis and that an applicant's or licensee's willingness to violate other laws, and in particular to commit felonies, also bears on our confidence that an applicant or licensee will conform to Commission rules and policies. 199 Thus, while the central focus of our review of an applicant’s character qualifications is conduct that bears on the proclivity of an applicant to deal truthfully with the Commission and to comply with our rules and orders, 200 we have determined that, in deciding character issues, we will consider a limited subset of adjudicated, non- Commission- related misconduct as relevant in deciding this issue. Specifically, the Commission has stated that it will consider: (1) felony convictions; (2) fraudulent misrepresentations to governmental units; and (3) violations of antitrust or other laws protecting competition. 201 With respect to Commission- related conduct, the Commission has stated that all violations of provisions of the Act, or of the Commission's rules or polices, are predictive of an applicant's future truthfulness and reliability and, thus, have a bearing on an applicant's character qualifications. 202 48. After reviewing the record and the Dealers’ assertions and arguments, we find that Cingular has the requisite character qualifications to hold a Commission license. First, we note that the Commission has already found Cingular to be qualified to acquire licenses numerous times previously, most recently in February of this year. 203 Second, we find no evidence in the record that Cingular has made any misrepresentations or acted with a lack of candor in any of its proceedings before the Commission, or that it has a pattern of willful violations of the Communications Act or the Commission's rules. 49. The Dealers assert that Cingular has engaged in misconduct in connection with them. However, we do not agree with the Dealers that the alleged misconduct warrants the disqualification of Cingular. With one exception, those civil cases brought by the Dealers are unadjudicated matters still pending in trial court. “[ T] he Commission's long- held position [is] that there ‘must be an ultimate (... continued from previous page) Nextel License Holdings 4, Inc., 17 FCC Rcd. 7, 028, 7,033 ¶ 16 (2002) (noting that there is no standing requirement to file an informal objection). 197 WorldCom Order, 18 FCC Rcd. at 26, 493 ¶ 13. 198 See, e. g., GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 486 ¶ 23; EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 576 ¶ 28; Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14, 227- 28 ¶ 429 (2000). 199 GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 486 ¶ 23. 200 Application of TRW Inc., Transferor, and Northrop Grumman Corp., Transferee, Order and Authorization, 17 FCC Rcd. 24, 625, 24, 629 ¶ 10 (2002) (“ Northrop Grumman Order”). 201 Id.; Bell Atlantic- GTE Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14, 227- 28 ¶ 429. We note that the Commission may exercise its discretion to consider an egregious problem on a case- by- case basis. 202 WorldCom Order, 18 FCC Rcd. at 26, 494 n. 56. 203 Cingular- NextWave Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 2570 & n. 112. 27 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 28 adjudication before an appropriate trier of fact, either by a government agency or court, before we will consider the activity in our character determinations. ’” 204 We reject the Dealers’ argument that the conduct at issue is excepted from this rule. The courts adjudicating these claims are empowered to provide redress to the Dealers if a finding of liability is made. 50. Further, none of the claims brought by the Dealers fall under the categories of relevant non- Commission related misconduct described above and so we would not consider these claims even if they were adjudicated. We also find that the breach of contract, tortious interference, and fraud claims of Kempner, which have been adjudicated in state court, are not relevant to our consideration. Relevant conduct does include fraudulent misrepresentations made to government units. 205 Kempner’s claim, however, involves only statements between private parties. Further, although the Dealers assert that Cingular’s actions constituted anticompetitive conduct intended to “steal” customers from one of its authorized dealers, 206 the actual claims, such as common law breach of contract and fraud, do not constitute violations of antitrust or other laws protecting competition for purposes of our consideration. 207 51. The Dealers argue, correctly, that the Commission has retained discretion to consider non- Commission misconduct outside of the three specified categories on a case- by- case basis. 208 However, we have found that the public interest would not be served by expenditure of Commission and applicant resources on routine consideration of misconduct less relevant than these three categories, 209 and we do not find any circumstances in this case justifying a departure from our long standing general policy. The Dealers suggest that, where the Commission does not find it appropriate to deny an application for transfer of licenses on the basis of pending litigation, it has the discretion to make the 204 GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 487 ¶ 24; Policy Regarding Character Qualifications in Broadcast Licensing, 102 FCC 2d 1179, 1205 n. 60 (1986) (“ 1986 Character Qualifications Policy Statement”) (“ We will not take cognizance of [relevant] non- FCC misconduct . . . unless it is adjudicated.”), modified, 5 FCC Rcd 3252 (1990) (“ 1990 Character Qualifications Policy Statement”), recon. granted in part, 6 FCC Rcd. 3448 (1991) (“ Character Qualifications Recon. Order”), modified in part, 7 FCC Rcd. 6564 (1992). We note that, although there must be an ultimate adjudication by an appropriate trier of fact, whose factual conclusions will not be reviewed by a higher authority on a de novo basis, once such an adjudication has occurred, we will consider the conduct even though an appeal of the adjudication may be pending. 1986 Character Qualifications Policy Statement, 102 FCC 2d at 1205 ¶ 48, n. 62. 205 GM- News Corp. Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 486 ¶ 23. See also Character Qualifications Recon. Order, 6 FCC Rcd. at 3448 ¶ 6. 206 Dealers Petition to Deny at 13; Letter from Kempner Mobile Electronics, Inc. to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission, WT Docket No. 04- 70, filed July 12, 2004 (“ Kempner Letter”), at 1- 2. 207 1986 Character Qualifications Policy Statement, 102 FCC 2d at 1195 ¶ 34 (describing third category of relevant adjudicated non- FCC misconduct as “violations of broadcast related anti- competitive and antitrust statutes”), 1201 ¶ 43 (“ Generally, where alleged anticompetitive activity does not constitute a violation of state or federal antitrust or anticompetitive laws we will not pursue the matter.”), 1202- 03 n. 55 (“ In this regard, we note that our consideration will include violations of the Sherman Antitrust Act, Clayton Antitrust Act, Robinson- Patman Act, [and] Federal Trade Commission Act as well as similar state antitrust and anticompetitive statutes.”); see also 1990 Character Qualifications Statement, 5 FCC Rcd. at 3252 ¶ 6 (relevant conduct includes “adjudicated violations of antitrust or anticompetitive laws. . . .”). 208 Dealers Reply at 2; Character Qualifications Recon. Order, 6 FCC Rcd. at 3448 ¶ 6; 1990 Character Qualifications Policy Statement, 5 FCC Rcd. at 3252 ¶ 2 (“ while we intend to continue to be guided by the policies set forth in the Character Policy Statement, as modified herein, we remain ‘free to exercise . . . discretion in situations that arise. ’” (modifications in original) (citation omitted)). 209 Character Qualifications Recon. Order, 6 FCC Rcd. at 3448 ¶ 5. 28 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 29 grant conditional on the outcome of the litigation. 210 To the extent that the Dealers request such relief, we reject the request. Given that, as discussed above, the unadjudicated claims do not constitute relevant misconduct, there is no reason to condition a grant on their outcome. 211 52. We turn now to Thrifty Call’s assertion that the applications should be denied because of an alleged pattern of misconduct by one of Cingular’s parent companies, SBC. The Commission will consider non- Commission related misconduct of the transferee’s parent where there is a sufficient nexus between the transferee and the parent corporation. 212 Specifically, if a close ongoing relationship between the parent and subsidiary can be found, if the two have common principals, and if the common principals are actively involved in the day- to- day operations of the subsidiary, we will then consider the significance of the relationship of the non- Commission misconduct to the operation of the subsidiary, focusing on the actual involvement of the common principals in both the misconduct and the day- to- day activities of the subsidiary. 213 In addition, if the corporate parent is involved in Commission- related misconduct, whether or not such misconduct involves the subsidiary, the bearing of that misconduct on the subsidiary’s qualifications would be considered. 214 53. Although Thrifty Call has made no attempt to demonstrate any nexus of the sort specified above between SBC and Cingular, the vast majority of government actions and adjudications cited by Thrifty Call were Commission- related, for which a demonstration of a nexus is not a prerequisite to consideration. Looking at these Commission- related actions, however, we find that they do not provide a basis for denying the applications. Initially, we find that many of the Commission actions cited by Thrifty Call are not relevant to a character qualifications analysis. For example, some of the Commission actions cited are consent decrees. The Commission does not consider matters resolved in consent decrees adjudicated misconduct for the purposes of assessing an applicant's character qualifications. 215 Thrifty Call also cites to a website listing, inter alia, a number of payments made by SBC to the federal government. 216 However, most of these were voluntary payments that, under the terms of the SBC/ Ameritech merger plan, SBC makes to the U. S. Treasury if it fails to meet the performance standards established in that plan. 217 54. In addition, a number of the Commission actions cited by Thrifty Call had been taken and 210 Dealers Petition to Deny at 12; Dealers Reply at 2. 211 We also disagree with the Dealers' contention that the applications are defective for failure to mention these lawsuits in response to Items 76 and 77 of FCC Form 603. Item 76 requires an applicant to list all final adjudications in which a court has found the applicant guilty of unlawfully monopolizing or attempting unlawfully to monopolize radio communications. Item 77 requires an applicant to list any pending claims of such a nature. We do not agree that the fraud, breach of contract, and other claims brought by the Dealers in their lawsuits are covered by either question. 212 Northrop Grumman Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 24, 628 ¶ 8. 213 1986 Character Qualifications Policy Statement, 102 FCC 2d at 1219 ¶ 79. 214 Id. 215 Id., 102 FCC 2d at 1,205 n. 64. 216 Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 29 n. 97 (citing RBOC Fines and Penalties 1996- Present, at http:/ www. voicesforchoices. com/ voices/ media/ sbc. pdf). 217 Id.; see SBC Communications Inc., 18 FCC Rcd. 4997, 4999 ¶ 3 (EB 2003) (“ Such payments are voluntary performance measurements payments and are not fines, penalties, or forfeitures.”). We also note that these website list entries have a number of other problems, including fines that are listed more than once, and entries that are factually inaccurate, including an erroneous reference to a $2.5 million fine in March of 2003. See RBOC Fines and Penalties 1996- Present, at http:/ www. voicesforchoices. com/ voices/ media/ sbc. pdf. 29 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 30 were part of the public record when the Commission upheld SBC’s qualifications to hold Commission licenses in September 29, 2000. 218 In all of the cases cited, the Commission has investigated the infractions and taken appropriate enforcement actions against SBC including the imposition of monetary penalties. 219 In no case did the Commission think that license revocation was an appropriate penalty. Cingular, which is one step removed, should not be treated more harshly than the carrier that was investigated. 55. Furthermore, as noted above, we found Cingular itself qualified to hold licenses earlier this year. Virtually all of the Commission actions to which Thrifty Call refers occurred prior to that assessment, and were a matter of public record at the time of our assessment of Cingular. Moreover, Thrifty Call has not offered a single example of how the alleged inclination of SBC to ignore Commission rules and orders has translated into similar conduct by Cingular in the past. 220 Indeed, Thrifty Call has not cited any example in which Cingular has violated our rules or orders, much less done so willfully. 221 Nor has any other party challenged Cingular’s qualifications with such evidence. For all these reasons, we conclude that SBC’s conduct does not justify a change in our conclusion earlier this year that Cingular has the requisite character to hold Commission licenses. 56. In sum, after reviewing the record and all objections to the contrary, we find that Cingular has the requisite qualifications to hold Commission licenses. Therefore, we reject the petitioners’ request that transfer of control be denied on the grounds of disqualification. 222 218 See SBC- Bell South Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 25, 459; see also Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 25- 26. 219 See, e. g., SBC Communications, Inc., Forfeiture Order, 17 FCC Rcd. 19, 923 (2002) (imposing monetary penalty for violation of obligation to provide transport arising from merger agreement), rev. denied, SBC Communications Inc. v. FCC, 373 F. 3d 140 (D. C. Cir. 2004). 220 We note that SBC does not have sole control over Cingular. Rather, both SBC and BellSouth have negative control of Cingular and exercise de facto control. See discussion supra ¶ 26. 221 See Cingular- NextWave Order, 19 FCC Rcd. at 2,583 ¶ 23 (finding “no evidence that Cingular has made any misrepresentations or acted with a lack of candor in any of its proceedings before the Commission, or has a pattern of willful violations of the Communications Act or the Commission's rules.”). 222 We note that two parties that have minority partnership interests in specific radio licenses have submitted pleadings objecting to the proposed transfer of control over those licenses. See Letter from Robert H. Jackson, Reed Smith LLP, to Marlene H. Dortch, Federal Communications Commission, WT Docket No. 04- 70, filed September 30, 2004 (“ O’Krepki Letter”); Letter from Richard Giandomenico, Cobra Investigative Agency, Inc., WT Docket 04- 70, filed March 1, 2004 (“ Giandomenico Letter”). The parties allege that transfer would violate or threaten their minority partnership rights. See O’Krepki Letter (alleging that transfer would violate their minority partnership rights to have their interests bought out by any future controlling owners); Giandomenico Letter (alleging that transfer may cause interruption in owner’s receipt of distribution checks). We find, however, that these are private contractual disputes that are not relevant to our public interest analysis and are best resolved in courts of competent jurisdiction. See Bell Atlantic- Vodafone Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 16, 515; Applications of Centel Corp. and Sprint Corp., 8 FCC Rcd. 1,829, 1,831, ¶ 10 (CCB 1993) (rejecting argument that transfer should be denied on grounds that it violated partnership agreements; “The Commission has repeatedly stated that it is not the proper forum for the resolution of private contractual disputes. . . .”), rev. denied, 8 FCC Rcd. 6,162 (2003). In the O’Krepki Letter, the parties assert that approval of a transfer that violates minority partnership rights would send a signal that the public interest does not require compliance with contractual obligations. See O’Krepki Letter at 1. We disagree, however, that approval of the transfer is intended to decide or has the effect of deciding the merits of their dispute. See Bell Atlantic- Vodafone Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 16,515, ¶ 21. “Our consent to the transfer . . . does not predetermine the resolution of contractual disputes under the . . . partnership agreement.” Id. We decide only that we are not the appropriate forum to resolve the dispute, and we leave the parties free to raise such allegations before the courts in a private cause of action and to seek appropriate remedies. 30 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 31 V. COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS 57. In this section, as an essential part of our public interest analysis, we analyze the potential competitive harms of the proposed transaction in an evaluation informed by (though not limited to) modern antitrust principles. 223 In general, competition depends on consumers having choices among products or services that are fairly good substitutes for each other. If consumers have such choices, a single provider cannot raise its prices above the “competitive” level because consumers will switch to a substitute. The level of competition depends on what products or services are substitutes for each other (product market), where those substitute products are available (geographic market), what firms produce them (market participants), and what other firms might be able to produce substitutes if the price were to rise (market entry). The relevant product market may be marked by substitutes that are closer fits than others from the viewpoint of consumers (differentiated product market). To evaluate the impact of a merger on competition, we examine the characteristics of competition in the markets of the merging firms and determine the impact of the merger on these characteristics. Mergers raise competitive concerns when they reduce the availability of substitute choices (market concentration) to the point that the merged firm has a significant incentive and ability to engage in anticompetitive actions, such as raising prices or reducing output, either by itself or in coordination with other firms (market power). 58. We undertake this assessment of the competitive effects of the transaction in two parts, first considering impacts within the mobile telephony sector and second considering intermodal impacts across the mobile wireless and wireline sectors. In the case of the mobile sector, we begin with an analysis of the relevant product and geographic markets. In making these determinations, we focus primarily on output markets – the markets for telecommunication services that businesses and individuals purchase and consume. Secondarily, however, we also consider input markets, since this transaction affects a key input – the spectrum licenses – and this effect may also influence the overall competitive harms and benefits resulting from the transaction. We next identify market participants, examine market concentration, and analyze how concentration will change as a result of the merger. We examine whether the changes in concentration would be harmful to market performance. Our primary focus is on possible effects from losing an independent service provider in relevant markets, i. e., markets in which this transaction is in effect a horizontal merger increasing seller concentration. 224 We also consider the non-horizontal issues of possible effects on roaming and special access. As explained further below, we find that, without conditions, in certain local markets competitive harms are likely to be significant. 59. In the case of the intermodal evaluation, we focus primarily on the potential impact of the transaction on the extent of, and further development of, competition between wireless and wireline service providers for mass market customers. We do so in light of the fact that Cingular is a joint venture between two regional wireline incumbent local exchange carriers (“ LECs”), and AT& T Wireless is the largest wireless provider that is not affiliated with an incumbent LEC. We examine the limited, but growing trend of substitution of wireless services for traditional wireline services, and consider the incentives and abilities of wireless carriers in a post- merger environment to engage in competition against wireline carriers. We conclude that this particular transaction will not result in significant public interest 223 The Commission employs the Horizontal Merger Guidelines issued by the Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission as the starting point for its analysis. See Horizontal Merger Guidelines, issued by the U. S. Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission, April 2, 1992, revised April 8, 1997 (“ DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines”); see EchoStar- Direct TV Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20559. 224 Consistent with the DOJ/ FTC Guidelines and Commission precedent, we first perform a structural analysis of the transaction to examine if it would create conditions conducive to anticompetitive behavior. Structural analysis considers the structural characteristics of the relevant markets in which the acquiring and acquired firms participate (e. g., number of sellers, ease of entry) in order to make predictions about the likely competitive effects of a proposed transaction. 31 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 32 harms related to existing or future competition between wireless and wireline carriers for telecommunications services provided to mass market customers. 225 A. Mobile Telephony Competition 1. Introduction a. The Mobile Telephony Sector 60. The wireless industry in the United States has evolved through several successive phases, each marked and shaped by certain regulatory choices and marketplace responses. Initially, two 25 MHz cellular licenses in the 800 MHz band were offered in each local market, one of which was assigned to the incumbent wireline carrier. 226 This introductory phase was designed to encourage the deployment and testing of a new technology and consumer product and provided some competition. Subsequently, 120 megahertz of spectrum in the 1900 MHz band was allocated for broadband PCS, including three blocks of 30 megahertz each and three blocks of 10 megahertz each in every geographic area of the country. 227 These broadband PCS licenses have been assigned through auction, beginning in 1995. Apart from cellular and broadband PCS, approximately 26 megahertz of spectrum in the 800 and 900 MHz bands that has been licensed for Specialized Mobile Radio (“ SMR”) also can be used to provide mobile telephony services. 228 61. The Commission’s first broadband PCS auction in 1995 marked the beginning of the transition from a cellular duopoly to a far more competitive market in mobile telephony services. In the wake of this and subsequent auctions, the mobile telephony sector has seen dramatic changes in market structure, carrier conduct, consumer behavior, and market performance that continue to the present day. To date, almost 97 percent of the total U. S. population have three or more different operators offering mobile telephony service in the counties in which they live, up from 88 percent in 2000. 229 The percentage of the U. S. population living in counties with five or more operators competing to offer service increased from almost 69 percent to nearly 88 percent during this period, and the percentage of the U. S. population living in counties with 7 or more competing operators increased from approximately 4 percent to nearly 30 percent. 230 The development of significant regional variation in the number of operators reflects a shift from the restrictive cellular licensing rules to a more flexible licensing policy that reduces entry barriers associated with government control of spectrum availability and allows market forces to play a greater role in determining the number of competitors in a given geographic area. 62. Another significant structural trend during the transition has been the continued efforts of carriers to build nationwide or large regional footprints. In addition to aggregating geographic area licenses acquired through the Commission’s spectrum auctions or earlier licensing procedures, since the end of 1999 carriers have been expanding their geographic coverage through various types of 225 Our conclusion is based on compliance with any conditions necessary to address horizontal concentration in individual wireless markets, as discussed elsewhere in this Order. 226 Implementation of Section 6002( b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, WT Docket No. 04- 111, Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 37 ¶ 87 (rel. Sept. 29, 2004) (“ Ninth Report”). 227 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 37 ¶ 88. 228 Id. at 38- 39 ¶ 89. 229 Id., Appendix A, Table 10, at A- 11. 230 Id., Appendix A, Table 10, at A- 11. 32 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 33 transactions, including mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures, contractual affiliations with smaller carriers, and spectrum sales and swaps. 231 For example, Verizon Wireless’s national system was based on a combination of wireline- owned systems (Bell Atlantic, NYNEX, GTE) with those accumulated and consolidated by Vodafone (including AirTouch). 232 Cingular was formed by merging SBC’s (including former SNET, PacBell, and Ameritech) and BellSouth’s systems. 233 T- Mobile acquired the systems constructed and combined by VoiceStream and Omnipoint. 234 Currently, there are six mobile telephony operators that analysts typically characterize as nationwide: AT& T Wireless, Cingular Wireless, Nextel, T- Mobile, Sprint, and Verizon Wireless. 235 63. By fostering continuing experimentation with a variety of different pricing options, service packages, and policies on handset subsidies, competition to attract and retain customers has resulted in complicated and ever- changing pricing and feature structures. Today all of the nationwide operators offer some version of a national rate pricing plan in which customers can purchase variously sized buckets of minutes to use on a nationwide or nearly nationwide network without incurring roaming or long- distance charges. 236 Other significant trends in mobile telephony pricing have been the offering of free night and weekend minutes, and the expansion of free calling among a particular company’s customers, known as “in- network” or “mobile- to- mobile” calling. 237 Moreover, although most U. S. mobile telephony subscribers pay their mobile phone bills after they have incurred charges (known as postpaid service), all the nationwide operators offer some version of a prepaid service either directly to their retail customers or through third- party resellers. 238 64. Fueled by the entry of all- digital broadband PCS operators and the migration of incumbent cellular operators from analog to digital networks, digital has rapidly displaced analog as the dominant technology in the mobile telephony sector, with the share of digital subscribers in the total subscriber base rising from 30 percent at the end of 1998 to over 90 percent today. 239 Under the Commission’s policy of affording carriers flexibility with regard to the choice of technological standards (unlike the policy in Europe and other areas), the deployment of competing second- generation (“ 2G”) and next- generation network technologies has emerged as an important dimension of non- price rivalry among U. S. mobile telephony providers. 240 Of the six nationwide mobile telephony operators, Cingular and AT& T Wireless use TDMA and GSM as their 2G digital technology, T- Mobile uses only GSM, Sprint and Verizon Wireless use CDMA, and Nextel uses iDEN. 241 Beyond the 2G technologies, the 231 Id. at 27 ¶ 64. 232 Implementation of Section 6002( b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, Fifth Report, 15 FCC Rcd. 17, 660, 17, 670 (2000) (“ Fifth Report”). 233 Implementation of Section 6002( b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, Sixth Report, 16 FCC Rcd. 13, 350, 13, 363- 13, 364 (2001) (“ Sixth Report”). 234 Sixth Report, 16 FCC Rcd. at 13, 364; Fifth Report, 15 FCC Rcd. at 17, 670. 235 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 18 ¶ 36. 236 Id. at 49 ¶ 113. 237 Id. at 49 ¶ 114. 238 Id. at 50 ¶¶ 115- 16. 239 Id. at 74 ¶ 176; Fifth Report, 15 FCC Rcd. at 17,665, 17,672- 73. 240 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 53 ¶ 124. 241 Id. at 55 ¶ 130. 33 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 34 TDMA/ GSM carriers are deploying or planning to deploy the next- generation technologies on the GSM migration path, including General Packet Radio Services (“ GPRS”), Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution (“ EDGE”), and eventually Wideband CDMA (“ WCDMA”). 242 Similarly, many CDMA carriers have been upgrading their networks to CDMA2000 1xRTT, and both Verizon Wireless and Sprint have begun deploying a high- speed wireless data network using CDMA2000 1X EV- DO (evolution- data only, “EV- DO”), the next step in the CDMA migration path after 1xRTT. 243 65. In addition to investing in network deployment and upgrades, certain carriers have pursued marketing strategies designed to differentiate their brands from rival offerings with regard to various aspects of network performance such as geographic coverage, voice quality, and wireless data speeds. 244 Some carriers also have attempted to differentiate their brands with regard to other terms and conditions of service, such as the provision of ancillary services. For example, push- to- talk (“ PTT”) services have been a signature of Nextel’s product offering since it launched its wireless service in 1993. 245 Beginning in 2003, however, several carriers have introduced rival PTT services in an attempt to compete for customers attracted to Nextel’s PTT feature. 246 66. Consumers have contributed to pressures for carriers to compete on price and other terms and conditions of service by freely switching providers in response to perceived differences in the cost and quality of service. Average churn rates for mobile telephone service have remained roughly constant at about 2.4 to 2.7 percent per month for the past several years. 247 The implementation of wireless LNP beginning in November 2003 has lowered consumer switching costs by enabling wireless subscribers to keep their phone numbers when changing wireless providers. While to date the advent of wireless LNP does not appear to have resulted in an increase in churn, there is evidence to suggest that competitive pressure to retain existing customers has increased as a result of wireless LNP. 248 67. After stabilizing at a plateau in the final years of the cellular duopoly, the price per minute of mobile telephony service started to decline shortly before the first commercial launches of PCS service and subsequently dropped sharply and steadily. 249 Average revenue per minute, a proxy for mobile telephony pricing, declined from 47 cents in 1994 to 10 cents in 2003. 250 By all indications, lower prices have stimulated rapid growth in the demand for mobile telephony services. The number of mobile telephony subscribers has grown nearly fivefold from almost 34 million at the end of 1995 to approximately 160 million at the end of 2003, and annual service revenues have more than quadrupled from $19 billion to $87 billion in the same period. 251 Mobile penetration reached and then surpassed 50 242 Id. at 55- 57 ¶¶ 128, 131- 32. 243 Id. at 55, 57- 58 ¶¶ 129, 133- 34. 244 Id. at 61- 63 ¶¶ 146- 49. 245 Id. at 63 ¶ 152. 246 Id. at 63 ¶ 152. 247 Michel Morin & Linda Mutschler, Global Wireless Matrix 4Q03, Merrill Lynch, Global Fundamental Equity Research Department, at 96 (Mar. 19, 2004). 248 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 69 ¶¶ 165- 66. 249 Implementation of Section 6002( b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, Third Report, 13 FCC Rcd. 19, 746, 19, 769- 70 (1998) (“ Third Report”). 250 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, Appendix A, Table 9, at A- 11. 251 CTIA, Semi- Annual Wireless Industry Survey, at http:// www. wow- com/ industry/ stats/ surveys/. 34 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 35 percent of the population in 2003, up from just 25 percent at the end of 1998, 252 and is forecast to continue rising significantly over the next five years. 253 On average, U. S. mobile telephony subscribers talk on their mobile phones in excess of 500 minutes per month, more than three times as much as mobile subscribers in Western Europe and Japan. 254 Mobile data applications introduced by carriers in recent years are also gaining in popularity. It is estimated that nearly 25 percent of mobile subscribers are casual data users, most of whom use their handsets to send text messages and some of whom also use handset-based entertainment and leisure applications such as picture messages, games, and ring tones. 255 b. Introduction to the Analysis 68. In our analysis of this transaction’s effects on mobile telephony, we consider, first, horizontal issues (those related to increased concentration within a market) and, second, vertical issues (those related to impacts across related markets). Our primary focus is on horizontal effects. Horizontal mergers lead to a loss of a competitor, and such loss can lead to a diminution in competition. Mergers raise competitive concerns when they reduce the availability of substitute choices to the point that the merged firm has the incentive and ability, either by itself or in coordination with other firms, to raise prices. 256 The ability to raise prices above competitive levels is generally referred to as “market power.” Market power may also enable sellers to reduce competition on dimensions other than price, including innovation and service quality. 257 A fundamental tenet of the Commission’s public interest review is that, absent significant offsetting efficiencies or other public interest benefits, a transaction that creates or enhances significant market power or facilitates its use is unlikely to serve the public interest. 69. A horizontal transaction is unlikely to create or enhance market power or facilitate its exercise unless it significantly increases concentration and results in a concentrated market, properly defined and measured. 258 Transactions that do not significantly increase concentration or do not result in a concentrated market ordinarily require no further competitive analysis (although we separately consider the spectrum holdings that would occur post- merger). Market concentration is generally measured by the Herfindahl- Hirschman Index (“ HHI”) and changes in concentration are measured by the change in HHI. 252 Morin & Mutschler, supra note 247, at 96. 253 Frank J. Governali, Robert Barry, & Marje Soova, Raising Long- Term Wireless Penetration Ests; Tweaking Near- Term Ests, Goldman Sachs, Global Investment Research, at 1 (June 1, 2004) (raising wireless penetration forecast from 65 percent to 69 percent for voice- only services, and to 80 percent including 11 percent for data devices); Rick Prentiss, “S- Curve” Ahead: Wireless Voice Plateaus in 2004 When Data Kicks- In, Raymond James, Industry Report, at 4 (Sept. 5, 2001) (forecasting U. S. wireless penetration to surpass 60 percent and possibly approach 70 percent of the population by 2010). 254 Morin & Mutschler, supra note 247, at 2. 255 Frank J. Governali, Robert D. Barry, & Marje Soova, Wireless Data Prospects Brightening, Goldman Sachs, Global Investment Research, at 10 (Apr. 16, 2004). 256 See, e. g., DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 0. 1; Regulatory Treatment of LEC Provision of Interexchange Services Originating in the LEC’s Local Exchange Area and Policy and Rules Concerning the Interstate, Interexchange Marketplace, Second Report and Order in CC Docket No. 96- 149 and Third Report and Order in CC Docket No. 96- 61, 12 FCC Rcd. 15756, 15802- 03 ¶ 83 (1997) (“ LEC Classification Order”); Policy and Rules Concerning Rates for Competitive Common Carrier Services and Facilities Authorizations Therefor, Fourth Report and Order, 95 FCC 2d 554, 558 ¶ 7- 8 (1983) (“ Competitive Carrier Fourth Report and Order”), vacated on other grounds, AT& T v. FCC, F. 2d 727 (D. C. Cir. 1992), cert. denied, MCI Telecommunications Corp. v. AT& T, 113 S. Ct. 3020 (1993). 257 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 0.1, n. 6. 258 Id. § 1.0. 35 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 36 However, HHI data provide only the beginning of the analysis. The Commission then examines other market factors that pertain to competitive effects, including the incentive and ability of other firms to react and of new firms to enter the market. Ultimately, the Commission must assess whether it is likely that the merged firm could exercise market power in any particular market. 70. We begin by determining the appropriate market definitions to employ for the analysis, as well as identifying relevant market participants. We then measure the degree of market concentration. Next we consider the possible competitive harms that could occur due to a significant increase in market concentration or market power. Mergers can diminish competition and firms can exercise market power in a number of ways. A merger may create market power in a single firm and allow that firm to act on its own in raising prices, lowering quality, reducing innovation, or restricting deployment of new technologies or services. For example, the other firms in the market may not have the capacity to serve all of the customers who would otherwise leave the merged firm due to a price increase, thereby allowing the merged firm to raise prices profitably. And in differentiated product markets, a merger – by eliminating a competitor with a similar product – may allow the merged firm to raise prices or lower quality profitably, because it will no longer lose customers to its merged partner, and therefore will lose fewer customers than if it took the same actions before the merger. A merger may also diminish competition by enabling the firms selling in the market more likely, more successfully, or more completely to engage in coordinated interaction that harms consumers. This behavior includes tacit or express collusion and may or may not be lawful in and of itself. The effects of such coordinated behavior may include increased prices, reduced number of minutes in a given price plan, degraded output quality, or some combination of these effects. Perhaps more importantly, it may also include dynamic effects such as reduced innovation and restricted deployment of new technologies and services. 2. Market Definition a. Product Market Definition 71. A relevant product market is the smallest group of competing products or services for which a hypothetical monopolist in a geographic area could profitably impose at least a “small but significant and non- transitory price increase,” presuming no change in the terms of sale of other products (the “hypothetical monopolist test”). 259 In other words, when one product is a reasonable substitute for the other in the eyes of consumers, it is to be included in the relevant market. Thus, the relevant market includes “all products ‘reasonably interchangeable by consumers for the same purposes. ’” 260 72. Using the hypothetical monopolist test, the Applicants argue that there are two relevant product markets that should be used to evaluate this transaction: interconnected mobile voice services and stand- alone mobile wireless data services. 261 According to the Applicants, the markets for interconnected mobile voice services and stand- alone wireless data services are separate product markets because consumers are unlikely to substitute wireless voice services for wireless data services in response 259 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines §§ 1.11, 1. 12. See also Gregory Werden, The 1982 Merger Guidelines and the Ascent of the Hypothetical Monopolist Paradigm, 71 ANTITRUST L. J. 253 (2003). 260 United States v. E. I. du Pont de Nemours & Co., 351 U. S. 377, 395 (1956); see also United States v. Microsoft, 253 F. 3d 34, 52 (D. C. Cir.), cert. denied, 122 S. Ct. 350 (2001) (in determining what is a reasonable substitute, the court excluded “middleware” software from the definition of the relevant product market because of its present non-interchangeability with Windows, despite its future long- term potential); In re Wireless Telephone Services Antitrust Litigation, 2003 WL 21012603 at 9 (S. D. N. Y. 2003) (relevant product market “consists of products that have reasonable interchangeability for the purposes for which they are produced – price, use and qualities considered”). 261 Application, Exhibit 1, Attachment 1 – Gilbert Declaration at ¶ 37 (“ Gilbert Declaration”). 36 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 37 to a small but significant and non- transitory price increase for stand- alone wireless data services. 262 The Applicants further argue that, in contrast to stand- alone wireless data services, data services that are sold in conjunction with mobile wireless voice services need not be analyzed as a separate product market. 263 By way of justification for limiting the product market for voice services to interconnected mobile voice services, the Applicants find that few customers would substitute other telecommunications services, such as wireline voice services, for mobile voice services. 264 Finally, the Applicants argue that there are not separate relevant product markets for enterprise (business) and residential customers, given that there is a continuum of possible service plans. 265 Apart from the Applicants, the only other party that provided comments on the issue of product market definition argues that there is a wireless phone service product market. 266 73. Like the Applicants, we use the hypothetical monopolist test to determine the relevant product markets for the purposes of evaluating this transaction. To conduct this test, first we assume that a hypothetical monopolist within a geographic area offers one of the differentiated mobile telephony products such as stand- alone data services or a regional rate plan. Then we assume that this monopolist imposes a small but significant and non- transitory price increase for this mobile telephony service, and finally we evaluate the likely response of consumers to this price increase. If the extent of demand substitution is such that the monopolist could profitably impose a small, but significant and non-transitory, increase in price (“ SSNIP”) for a particular product, then this product may be defined as a relevant product market. 74. Using this test, we find that there are separate markets for interconnected mobile voice 267 and mobile data services, 268 and also for residential and enterprise services. For the reasons explained below, however, we will not distinguish mobile data subscribers from mobile voice subscribers, or enterprise subscribers from residential subscribers. Instead of a separate analysis of each of these services, we will analyze all of them under the combined market for mobile telephony services. 269 75. It is probable that most mobile data services are currently sold as add- ons to mobile voice services rather than as separate data- only service offerings. Nearly all mobile data subscribers are also mobile voice subscribers using the same phone number. Based on available evidence, however, we 262 Id. at ¶ 46. 263 Id. at ¶ 48. 264 Id. at ¶ 43- 44. 265 Id. at ¶ 45. 266 See Petition to Deny of Thrifty Call, Attachment A, at 16. 267 Therefore, we agree with the Applicants that few customers would substitute other telecommunication services, such as wireline services, for mobile telephony services. Customers of mobile telephony services are unlikely to find wireline services to be close substitutes because wireline services lack the mobility dimension of wireless services. However, some consumers may find wireless services to be a good substitute for wireline service. For a discussion of wireline/ wireless substitution, see Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 87- 91 ¶¶ 211- 217. 268 Interconnected mobile voice consists of all commercially available two- way mobile voice services, providing access to the public switched telephone network via mobile communications devices employing radiowave technology to transmit calls. See Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 16 ¶ 32. 269 Mobile data service is considered to be the delivery of non- voice information to a mobile device. Two- way mobile data services include the ability not only to receive non- voice information on an end- user device, but also to send it from an end- user device to another mobile or landline device using wireless technology. Data services available today include, but are not limited to, short messaging service, email, and access to the internet. See Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 16 ¶ 33; Gilbert Declaration at ¶ 46. 37 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 38 suspect that individual carrier’s shares of the mobile data market may deviate significantly from their respective shares of the mobile voice market. For example, the carriers vary in terms of their degree of emphasis on implementing and promoting mobile data services. One analyst report characterizes both Sprint and Verizon Wireless as being very focused on mobile data, while other carriers such as Cingular and Nextel are described in the same report as having had less mass market data focus so far. 270 One measure of a wireless carrier’s data performance is the percentage of revenues from data services. By this measure, Sprint has taken an early lead in consumer wireless data, 271 with five percent of its revenues from data in the fourth quarter of 2003. 272 With respect to the remaining nationwide carriers, T- Mobile ranked second with 3.5 percent, Verizon Wireless was third with 3 percent, and AT& T Wireless, Cingular, and Nextel shared last place with 2 percent of their revenues from data services during the same period. 273 76. Estimates of the percentage of U. S. mobile subscribers who are also mobile data users vary widely. One analyst report estimates that almost 25 percent of U. S. mobile subscribers can be considered casual data users, most of whom use short messaging services (“ SMS”) and some of whom use other handset- based leisure and entertainment applications. 274 Another report estimates that 17 million cellular/ PCS subscribers, or 11 percent of the total, were mobile data users at the end of 2003, mostly SMS only. 275 Using this range of estimates and the number of data subscribers Sprint reported for the fourth quarter of 2003 (5.5 million), 276 we estimate that Sprint’s share of the total number of mobile data subscribers at the end of 2003 ranged from a low of 14 percent to a high of 32 percent, whereas Sprint’s share of the total number of mobile telephony subscribers during the same period is estimated to be only 10 percent. 277 A ranking of five of the six nationwide carriers in terms of the number of data subscribers from a source in the record indicates that, as of the third quarter of 2003, Verizon Wireless was the market leader with 10 million data subscribers, followed by Cingular (5.8 million), Sprint (5.1 million), Nextel (3.082), and AT& T Wireless (2.152 million). 278 This latter estimate, while differing from the estimates cited above in terms of the total number of U. S. mobile data users, nonetheless confirms that Sprint’s share of the data market likely exceeds its share of the voice market, as well as indicating that AT& T Wireless is far from being a market leader in mobile data. 77. The foregoing evidence, while fragmentary, strongly suggests that Cingular’s and AT& T Wireless’s subscriber shares of the data market are no greater than, and more likely less than, their shares of the voice market. The evidence also suggests that Sprint’s share of the voice market likely understates its share of the data market, and that it has gained a larger share of the data market at least partly at the 270 Governali, Barry & Soova, supra note 255, at 24. 271 Id. at 28. 272 Morin & Mutschler, supra note 247, at 87. 273 Id. 274 Governali, Barry, & Soova, supra note 255, at 10. 275 Mike McCormack and Phil Cusick, U. S. Wireline/ Wireless Services, Bear Stearns, Equity Research, June 2004, at 47. 276 Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2003 Investor Update, Sprint Group, at 11, available at http:// www. sprint. com/ sprint/ ir/ fn/ qe/ pcs4q03. pdf (visited Sept. 14, 2004). 277 Morin & Mutschler, supra note 247, at 86. Verizon Wireless had the largest share of the total number of mobile telephony subscribers at 24 percent, followed by Cingular (15 percent), AT& T Wireless (14 percent), and then Sprint. 278 Legg Mason Wood Walker, 3Q 2003 Wireless Industry Scorecard, at Bates Number AWSFCC00001259. No ranking or data are reported for T- Mobile. 38 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 39 expense of Cingular and AT& T Wireless. Based on these considerations, we believe that an analysis based on combined mobile telephony services is very unlikely to understate potential competitive harm to the market for mobile data services as a result of the transaction. Therefore, by employing an analysis that does not distinguish mobile data subscribers from mobile voice subscribers, we are unlikely to overlook adverse competitive effects in the mobile data market using this approach. 78. We decline to support the Applicants’ position that stand- alone mobile data services need to be analyzed separately from mobile data services that are sold in conjunction with mobile voice services. We recognize that there are two distinct segments of the mobile data market. One segment generally consists of handset- based applications marketed to consumers primarily as an add- on to mobile voice service, including text messages and other leisure and entertainment applications such as picture messages, games, and ring tones. The second segment consists of monthly mobile Internet access service packages for customers who wish to connect to wireless networks primarily for data, rather than voice, use, and who typically access the Internet through laptops or Personal Digital Assistants (“ PDAs”) rather than mobile handsets. 279 While the estimates cited above suggest that handset- based data applications are rapidly gaining popularity among U. S. mobile subscribers, the stand- alone data market is relatively nascent. By one estimate, as of early 2004 there were only about one million wireless data devices in service, with a data device defined as a PDA such as a Blackberry or a laptop card. 280 Among the factors that currently limit demand for mobile Internet access service are the limited coverage to date of high-speed wireless data networks, and the slow speeds, relative to fixed broadband, of wireless network technologies that are widely available today. 281 Moreover, it remains unclear at this juncture whether, and to what extent, mobile broadband access service will face competition from portable broadband access service based on alternative wireless technologies such as Wi- Fi. In light of these considerations, we conclude that the market for stand- alone mobile data services is not sufficiently developed at this time to subject to a credible antitrust review. 79. Turning to the enterprise and residential product markets, we note that the majority of subscribers to mobile telephony services are residential customers rather than enterprise customers. Thus, an analysis based on subscriber shares for a combined market for mobile telephony services will tend to provide more accurate insight into the residential market than the enterprise market. However, since enterprise customers tend to be high- volume users of mobile voice services, competition among carriers to attract and retain enterprise customers is likely to be relatively intense. Therefore, we believe that an analysis based on combined mobile telephony services is unlikely to understate potential competitive harm to the market for enterprise services. 80. Another possible product distinction is between plans providing nationwide service (without expensive added charges) and plans providing local/ regional service. 282 We do not, however, define separate nationwide and local/ regional product markets. Rather, in our analysis below we take account of the fact that local/ regional plans are differentiated from nationwide plans, and thus that firms that can only provide local/ regional plans may not play the same competitive role as firms offering nationwide service plans. 81. Finally, we find it appropriate also to consider directly the input market of spectrum that is suitable for provision of mobile telephony services. Suitability is determined by the physical properties 279 Governali, Barry, & Soova, supra note 255, at 31, 34. See also Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 50 ¶ 117. 280 Governali, Barry, & Soova, supra note 255, at 1, 9. 281 Id. at 34. 282 Yet another possible product would be local service with no roaming service at all, a business model that a small number of mobile wireless firms have adopted. 39 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 40 of the spectrum, the state of equipment technology, whether the spectrum is licensed with a mobile allocation and corresponding service rules, and whether the spectrum is committed to another use that effectively precludes its uses for mobile telephony. The spectrum that meets the above suitability criteria includes cellular, PCS, and SMR spectrum and currently totals approximately 200 MHz of spectrum. 283 b. Geographic Market Definition 82. The Supreme Court has defined a relevant geographic market as the area of effective competition to which purchasers can practicably turn for services. 284 It is commonly defined in the economic literature as the region in which a hypothetical monopolist that is the only producer of the relevant product or service in the region could profitably impose at least a “small but significant and nontransitory” increase in the price of the relevant product, assuming that the prices of all products provided elsewhere do not change. 285 The relevant geographic market selected for analysis must reflect “the commercial realities of the industry.” 286 83. The Applicants claim that a nationwide geographic market, rather than a set of local markets, is appropriate for assessing the effects of this transaction. They argue that the pricing of wireless plans and equipment is national and that consumers prefer plans with larger geographic scope. 287 They note that, given consumer preferences for plans with larger geographic scope, the trend is to national plans, although some customers continue to subscribe to regional plans. 288 Further, they state that carriers find that pricing and advertising is more efficient on a national rather than local basis. 289 The Applicants also argue that the price of regional plans is driven by national plans, and the pricing of mobile plans is determined by national rather than local competitive factors. 290 84. In order to support their conclusion that the relevant geographic market is national, the Applicants provide: (1) a survey of the lowest prices available in the largest 100 metropolitan areas for both national and regional plans that provide a minimum of 500 anytime minutes; (2) a survey of prices in 50 small rural markets; and (3) an examination of pricing of wireless handsets. 291 The survey finds little differentiation across geographic areas, and the Applicants conclude that the survey results support the use of a nationwide geographic market. 292 85. Some commenters concur with the Applicants that the relevant geographic market is 283 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 36- 39 ¶¶ 86- 89. Note that Advanced Wireless Service (“ AWS”) and Multipoint Distribution Service (“ MDS”) spectrum does not currently meet our criteria because it is committed to non- mobile telephony uses currently and for the near- term future. 284 Tampa Electric Co. v. Nashville Coal Co., 365 U. S. 320, 327 (1961); accord United States v. Philadelphia Nat’l Bank, 374 U. S. 321, 359 (1963). 285 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 1.21. 286 Arthur S. Langenderfer, Inc. v. S. E. Johnson Co., 917 F. 2d 1413, 1421 (6 th Cir. 1991) (quoting Brown Shoe Co. v. United States, 370 U. S. 294, 336- 37 (1962)); RSR Corp. v. FTC, 602 F. 2d 1317, 1323 (9 th Cir. 1979) (same). 287 Gilbert Declaration at ¶ 53. 288 Id. at ¶ 56. 289 Id. at ¶ 53. 290 Id. at ¶ 59. 291 Id. at ¶ 60 and Appendix. 292 Id. at ¶ 61 and Appendix. 40 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 41 national. 293 However, both Consumers Union/ Consumers Federation and Thrifty Call argue that the relevant geographic markets are local areas. Consumers Union/ Consumers Federation claim that the market is local because consumers expect a local number, because most calls made on wireless handsets are local calls, and because spectrum is a local input. 294 Thrifty Call argues that counties constitute the relevant geographic markets. 295 86. As described above, to determine the proper geographic dimension of mobile markets we again use the hypothetical monopolist test, asking what is the smallest geographic area in which a hypothetical monopolist could profitably and permanently impose a small but significant price increase. In asking this question, we assume that buyers of wireless services would respond to a price increase by seeking to purchase wireless services in a different location (not by switching to other products). As discussed below, we find that the proper geographic market is a local one, not national. 87. To begin with, we reject the Applicants’ suggestion of a national geographic market. First, we reject the Applicants’ argument that the fact that customers prefer plans with a larger geographic scope indicates that the market is a national one. The scope of a plan is a feature of the product being offered, not an indication of where users may travel to purchase the service. 296 Second, we see no evidence for the proposition, and find it unlikely, that many users of wireless services will travel across the country to purchase their wireless service. Third, we agree with the suggestion of Consumers Union/ Consumers Federation that many consumers want a local number. We believe that most users still prefer a telephone number for their wireless service which will result in a local call, not a toll or long-distance call, for the people who call them the most (e. g., friends, family, and co- workers). Further supporting the conclusion that the geographic market is not national is the fact that, in addition to marketing on a national basis, the wireless carriers also market differently in different markets and offer regional specials and discounts. 88. The Applicants’ pricing evidence does not undercut the finding of a local geographic market. While they find substantial similarity in prices nationwide, their data show significant variations. Moreover, we have conducted our own survey of both regional and national rate plans, gathered from the websites of AT& T Wireless, Cingular, Nextel, Sprint, T- Mobile, and Verizon Wireless. We collected information on regional and national rate plans in 197 large urban areas, 297 and examined these carriers’ plan variations over geographic areas in the continental United States. Sprint and T- Mobile offered the same regional pricing plans in all the urban centers that were analyzed. We found, however, that regional rate plans for AT& T Wireless, Cingular, and Verizon Wireless exhibited variation in terms of plan choice and price. Turning to national plans, AT& T Wireless, Nextel, Sprint, and T- Mobile offer the same rate plans in all 197 areas surveyed. In contrast, Cingular’s and Verizon Wireless’s national rate plans showed some differentiation across the urban areas. We conclude that these facts regarding the six nationwide carriers do not establish the existence of a national market. 89. We therefore find that the proper geographic market is a local one. Because a geographic market is the smallest area for which a hypothetical monopolist would be able to impose a price increase 293 RCC Reply Comments at 1; Small Business Survival Committee Comments at 2- 3. 294 Petition to Deny of Consumers Union and Consumers Federation at 4- 5. 295 Thrifty Call Petition to Deny, Attachment A, at 17. Thrifty Call Reply to Joint Opposition, Attachment A, at 15. 296 For example, consumers wish to purchase automobiles that can travel throughout the country, but when seeking to purchase an automobile most do not look to dealers throughout the country to make their purchase. 297 Verizon Wireless offered regional plans in 91 percent of the urban areas surveyed, Sprint 85 percent, AT& T Wireless 77 percent, Cingular 76 percent, and T- Mobile 76 percent. 41 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 42 successfully, it is generally the area within which the customer easily shops for mobile telephony service. For most individuals, we believe this will be a local area, as opposed to a larger regional area or a nationwide area. Such areas may encompass more than one county, and, depending on an individual’s location, may even include parts of more than one state. 90. We recognize that all local geographic markets are unique to their particular circumstances, because they depend on where customers do and would travel to purchase wireless services. We cannot, of course, define separate geographic markets for every user of mobile service. But because people do tend to live in clusters – living and moving around in areas that largely overlap – we can without harm to our analysis treat together individuals who are geographically similar. For this reason, we also reject the proposition that, as a general matter, a useful approximation of the local market is as small as a single county. In most parts of the United States, we find that the areas within which consumers regularly shop for wireless services are larger than counties. Thus, if a hypothetical monopolist were to impose a small, non- transitory price increase for mobile telephony services within a single county, it would likely be unprofitable. Significant numbers of consumers would be able to circumvent the increased price easily and obtain the identical service at a lower price in a nearby county. 298 Documentary evidence submitted in response to our information request supports our finding that the appropriate definition of the relevant geographic market is neither national, on the one hand, nor as small as a county, on the other. 299 c. Market Participants 91. The Applicants argue that mobile telephony services offered by cellular, PCS, and SMR licensees employing various technologies provide the same basic voice and data functionality and are indistinguishable to the consumer. 300 The Applicants’ analysis focuses primarily on the ability of the other national carriers to discipline the merged firm, although regional carriers and resellers offer additional constraints. 301 92. We agree with the Applicants that consumers do not distinguish mobile telephony service by license or technology type. Generally, we limit our analysis to only facilities- based carriers, either nationwide or regional, for example excluding mobile virtual network operators (“ MVNOs”) and resellers from consideration when computing initial concentration measures. We acknowledge, however, that non-facilities based service options have an impact in the marketplace and in some instances may provide additional constraints against anti- competitive behavior. We take account of the role of resellers in our 298 We assume that, although the hypothetical monopolist is the only seller of service in the county, customers can still receive service in the county if they purchase their service elsewhere, because there are other carriers who serve the county but do not have stores there, or because other carriers have roaming agreements with the hypothetical monopolist at prices that are not passed on to the customer, or because the customer can purchase service from the hypothetical monopolist itself in a different county at a lower price. As to the last point, we note that wireless carriers do not charge their customers different prices for service on different portions of their own network. 299 [REDACTED]. In this Order, “REDACTED” indicates confidential or proprietary information subject to the Protective Order in this proceeding. Applications for the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Authorizations from AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Its Subsidiaries to Cingular Wireless Corporation; Order Adopting Protective Order, WT Docket No. 04- 70, Order, 19 FCC Rcd. 4793 (2004). The unredacted text is included in the confidential version of this Order, which is available upon request only to those parties who have executed and filed with the Commission signed acknowledgments of the protective order. Qualified persons who have not yet signed the required acknowledgment may do so in order to obtain the confidential version of this Order. 300 Technologies include analog, TDMA, CDMA, GSM, and iDEN. See Gilbert Declaration at ¶¶ 39- 40. 301 The Applicants include ALLTEL, USCC, Metro PCS, and two AT& T Wireless affiliates in their analysis. Id. at ¶ 63; Gilbert Supplemental Declaration at ¶ 7. 42 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 43 discussion of likely competitive effects below. 302 93. We consider that the participants in the provision of mobile telephony service include all the facilities- based carriers. However, because carriers generally do not market service in those geographic areas where they do not have their own facilities, for each local market we limit the participants to those carriers that are actually present in the market. 94. We consider that the firms able to offer nationwide service are the six nationwide carriers 303 (AT& T Wireless, Cingular, Nextel, Sprint, T- Mobile, and Verizon Wireless) plus three large regional firms: ALLTEL, USCC, and Western Wireless. 304 Other regional and small firms are typically unable to offer national mobile telephony services that can compete effectively with the various price and non- price components of the national services offered by the larger carriers. 3. Potential Competitive Harms a. Market Concentration 95. In this analysis, we consider whether there is a substantial likelihood that the merger will result in anticompetitive effects, such as higher prices, reduced features in a given service plan, slower rollout of advanced network availability, or reduced incentives for innovation. Concentration in the relevant markets is one indicator of the likely competitive effects of a proposed merger. Therefore, following relevant precedent, we assess the current market concentration, the post- transaction market concentration, and the increase in concentration that is likely to result from the transaction. 305 96. The degree of concentration in a market provides insight into the competitive effects that would result from a particular transaction. Market concentration affects the likelihood that one firm, or a small group of firms, could successfully exercise market power. A widely used and accepted measure of market concentration is the Herfindahl- Hirshman Index (“ HHI”). 306 HHIs may use either output measures (e. g., subscribers, minutes, or revenues) or capacity measures (e. g., spectrum). 307 Market share data are the beginning, not the end, of the competitive analysis. 308 Such data provide useful information 302 The resale sector accounts for approximately 5 percent of all mobile telephony subscribers. See Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 19 ¶ 38. 303 When an operator is described as being “nationwide,” it does not necessarily mean that the operator’s license areas, service areas, or pricing plans cover the entire land area of the United States. The six mobile telephony carriers that analyst reports typically describe as nationwide all offer service in at least some portion of the western, midwestern, and eastern United States. See id. at 18 ¶ 36. 304 Id. 305 See, e. g., DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 1.51 (“ In evaluating horizontal mergers, the Agency will consider both the post- merger market concentration and the increase in concentration resulting from the merger.”); FTC v. H. J. Heinz Co., 246 F. 3d 708, 715- 17, (D. C. Cir. 2001); EchoStar- DirecTV Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 603- 04 ¶¶ 97- 98; WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 025. 306 The HHI is the sum of the squares of the market shares of each firm participating in the market. The HHI can range from nearly zero in an atomistic market to 10,000 in the case of monopoly. Since the HHI is based on squared market shares, it gives proportionally greater weight to carrier with large market shares. See DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 1.5. 307 See id. § 1.41. 308 WorldCom- MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18100- 01, 18050. 43 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 44 as to which markets need more in- depth, multidimensional analysis of potential anticompetitive effects. 309 97. The Applicants calculate HHIs and the change in the HHIs for the national market using total revenues and flow share revenues. 310 We have already rejected the Applicants’ argument for analyzing the competitive effects of the transaction at a national level and, as explained below, also decline to adopt the Applicants’ flow share approach. A flow share is a carrier’s percentage of the total number of customers or revenues gained by the various carriers in a certain time period, as opposed to its percentage of the total number of current customers or revenues. 311 The Applicants argue that flow market shares are a better indicator of the current state of competition than other measures because flow shares measure how consumers are currently choosing among various wireless providers, 312 the industry market structure is likely to be different than in the past, 313 and churn rates for mobile telephony services are high. 314 Although flow shares can be calculated from either subscriber or revenue data, the Applicants argue that revenues are the preferred metric to evaluate the competitive effects of the transaction because revenues reflect the utilization of the network while subscriber shares do not. 315 The Applicants’ calculation of flow shares for the major wireless carriers purportedly shows that Cingular and AT& T Wireless are falling behind the other nationwide competitors in attracting customers. 316 98. Some petitioners favor the use of subscriber shares, rather than revenue or flow shares, on the ground that subscriber shares better reflect post- transaction concentration levels in the market. 317 Thrifty Call cites two other objections to the use of flow shares. First, Thrifty Call notes that there is no language in the DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines justifying the use of flow shares. 318 Second, Thrifty Call argues that flow shares can be misleading, because a small but growing company could have a large flow share but still have a small share of the overall customers and thus have little or no market power, while a dominant but stable company could produce a minimal flow market share (i. e., attract few new customers) but still have a large stock share and significant market power. 319 Thrifty Call acknowledges 309 We note that the mobile telephony market is a growing and dynamic industry, and therefore HHIs and changes in HHIs may be less predictive as to whether the merger could result in anticompetitive behavior in a particular geographic market than they would if the market were stable. As discussed in section V. A. 3.d, below, we took this factor into account when we performed our more in- depth analysis of the markets we marked for further study. 310 Gilbert Declaration at ¶¶ 64- 67. For the revenue share calculation, each firm’s service revenue, equipment sales, and other revenue were included. Revenues for the nationwide firms were obtained from company financial statements, and for the regional firms revenues were calculated as the difference between the number of total subscribers and the nationwide providers and multiplied by the average revenue per subscriber for the national carriers. See id. at ¶ 64. 311 Flow shares are also known as gross adds. See Application, Exhibit 1, at 36. A “new customer” is not necessarily a customer that has not previously purchased wireless service, but may be a customer previously with another carrier. 312 Gilbert Declaration at ¶ 65. 313 Id. at ¶ 64; Gilbert Supplemental Declaration at ¶¶ 4- 5, 32; Application, Exhibit 1, at 36; Joint Opposition at 21. 314 Gilbert Supplemental Declaration at ¶ 6, 9; Application, Exhibit 1, at 36; Joint Opposition at 21. 315 Gilbert Supplemental Declaration at ¶ 2. 316 Id. at ¶ 6. 317 Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 9, 11; Consumers Union and Consumers Federation Petition to Deny at 8; Thrifty Call Petition Reply to Joint Opposition at 12 and Attachment A at 13; Consumers Union and Consumers Federation Reply at 3- 4. 318 Thrifty Call Reply to Joint Opposition, Attachment A at 12- 13. 319 Id. at 13. 44 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 45 that flow shares, though not a proper measure of market concentration, may accurately measure a firm’s current success in the market, as reflected in consumers’ ranking of AT& T Wireless and Cingular as fourth and fifth in a field of six nationwide carriers. 320 However, Thrifty Call uses subscriber shares to calculate HHIs and claims that these shares reflect a firm’s relative advantage in serving different customers. 321 99. We acknowledge that flow market shares may shed light on the relative competitive strengths of market participants in certain markets, provided that the correct methodology is used to calculate the flow market shares. However, the Applicants’ flow share methodology does not appear to include all potential buyers in the relevant market. We find that, in order for a flow share methodology to be useful, it would have to include four types of subscribers: (1) all new subscribers who entered the market for the first time during a given period; (2) all subscribers who switched carriers during that period; (3) all subscribers who entered into new contracts with their current carrier; and (4) all subscribers whose original contract periods have expired (who therefore face no penalties for early termination) and choose to remain with their carrier on a month- to- month contract. Subscribers who face no termination penalty but nevertheless choose to continue with their existing carrier are potential buyers in the market analogous to subscribers who entered the market for the first time or switched from another carrier. 100. The Applicants’ flow market share calculation, by contrast, appears to include only subscribers in categories (1) and (2) – new subscribers and existing subscribers who switched wireless carriers during a defined period – and fails to account for subscribers in categories (3) and (4) – subscribers who executed new contracts with their current carrier and subscribers who could have switched to another carrier without an early termination penalty. Thus, the Applicants’ methodology for calculating flow shares is of limited utility for our purposes. Moreover, given the unavailability of accurate data about subscribers in the necessary categories, we note that it would be almost impossible to calculate flow market shares correctly. We therefore reject the flow market share calculation proposed by the Applicants in favor of performing a traditional market share analysis that calculates market share in terms of subscribers. 101. We also find that the Applicants’ and some petitioners’ HHI calculations are not helpful because their figures are based on a nationwide geographic market – a market definition we decline to adopt. 322 As discussed above, we find the relevant market to be a local one. Finally, although Thrifty Call calculates HHIs for a single county, 323 we have rejected the idea of generally using counties as the proper geographic market, and Thrifty Call has provided no evidence as to why the county is the correct market in that particular case. 102. In analyzing the competitive effects of this transaction, we use two sets of data. First, we use our Numbering Resource Utilization / Forecast (NRUF) database, which tracks phone number usage by all telecommunications carriers, including wireless carriers, in the United States. These data indicate the number of assigned phone numbers that a wireless carrier has in a particular wireline rate center. All mobile wireless carriers must report to the FCC the quantity of their phone numbers that have been assigned to end users, thereby permitting the Commission to calculate the total number of mobile 320 Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 14. 321 Id., Attachment A, at 18. 322 See Gilbert Declaration at 34- 37; Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 9- 10, Attachment A 17- 19; and Consumers Union and Consumers Federation at 7- 8; Thrifty Call Reply to Joint Opposition, Attachment A at 16- 17, 19; Comments of Communications Workers of America at 7. 323 Thrifty Call Petition at 9- 10, Attachment A at 19- 21; Thrifty Call Reply to Joint Opposition, Attachment A at 17, 20. 45 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 46 subscribers. In addition, because we collect NRUF data on a rate center area basis, 324 we can use this information to estimate mobile telephone subscribership levels and penetration rates on a regional basis in addition to a national basis. For purposes of geographical analysis, the rate center data can be associated with a geographic point, and all of those points that fall within a county boundary can be aggregated together and associated with much larger geographic areas based on counties. Using this data, we can determine market shares for carriers for various geographic market definitions. 103. Second, we use billing data submitted by the six nationwide carriers (AT& T Wireless, Cingular, Nextel, T- Mobile, Sprint, and Verizon Wireless) in response to a staff data request. These data include information on all service plans for which the carrier currently has subscribers, including the number of subscribers taking a particular plan, broken down by billing address zip code. From this data set, we calculate the number of subscribers per zip code for each carrier. This data set also can be aggregated up to larger geographic areas and can be used to calculate market shares for all mobile wireless carriers. Using two sets of data to cross- check against each other gives us confidence that any shortcomings in either data set will not lead to inappropriate analytical conclusions. 104. In calculating market shares and market concentration, we analyzed carrier data by two sets of geographic areas, Component Economic Areas (“ CEAs”) and Cellular Market Areas (“ CMAs”). CEAs, which are defined by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, are composed of a single economic node and surrounding counties that are economically related to the node. 325 There are 348 CEAs in the 50 States and the District of Columbia. Of the 3,141 U. S. counties, 2,267 are non- nodal counties which are assigned to a CEA based first on county- to- county commuting flows from the 1990 Census and second on locations of the most widely read regional newspapers. 326 CMAs are the regions originally used by the Commission in issuing licenses for cellular service. There are 734 CMAs, made up of 305 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (“ MSAs”), 428 Rural Service Areas (“ RSAs”), and a market for the Gulf of Mexico. 327 RSAs are regions defined by the Commission for the purpose of issuing spectrum licenses. 328 105. No one set of standard geographic areas can capture all the nuance in local markets across the country. We chose these two geographic areas for our data analysis because both are consistent in order of magnitude with the local market definition we have adopted and because each brings a different consideration to the analysis. CEAs are designed to represent consumers’ patterns of normal travel for personal and employment reasons 329 and may therefore capture areas within which groups of consumers would be expected to shop for wireless service. 330 In addition, CEAs should be areas within which any service providers present would have an incentive to market – and actually provide – service 324 Rate centers are geographic areas used by local exchange carriers for a variety of reasons, including the determination of toll rates. See Harry Newton, NEWTON’S TELECOM DICTIONARY: 16 TH EXPANDED & UPDATED EDITION, CMP Books, July 2000, at 732. 325 See Kenneth P. Johnson, Redefinition of the BEA Economic Areas, SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, February 1995, at 75- 81. 326 Three quarters of non- nodal counties were assigned based on commuting patterns. See id. at 78. 327 Implementation of Section 6002( b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, Eighth Report, 18 FCC Rcd. 14783, 14795 (2003). 328 See Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at n. 188. 329 See Johnson, supra note 326, at 75 (“ The main factor used in determining the economic relationships among counties is commuting patterns, so each economic area includes, as far as possible, the place of work and the place of residence of its labor force.”). 330 See id. (“ Economic nodes are metropolitan areas or similar areas that serve as centers of economic activity”). 46 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 47 relatively ubiquitously. Conversely, CMAs are the areas in which the Commission initially granted licenses for the cellular service. 331 Although partitioning has altered this structure in many license areas, CMAs represent the fact that the Commission’s licensing programs have to a certain degree shaped this market by defining the initial areas in which carriers had spectrum on which to base service offerings, and they may therefore serve as a proxy for where consumers face the same competitors. Because these two sets of geographic areas come from different sides of the equation – demand in one case, supply in the other – we believe that they are useful cross- checks on each other and together help ensure that our analysis did not overlook local areas that required more detailed analysis. In performing that analysis, we also examined smaller geographic areas in order to understand any competitive problems fully and to design targeted remedies, if necessary. 106. In order to determine which areas deserved further examination, we calculated the HHIs and the change in HHI that would result from this transaction for all CEAs and CMAs, and we also examined the concentration of spectrum holdings in each market. As explained below, we examined the market further if the post- transaction HHI would be greater than 2800 and the change in HHI would be 100 or greater; or if the change in HHI would be 250 or greater regardless of the level of the HHI; or if, post- transaction, the Applicants would hold 70 MHz or more. 107. This analysis follows the general structure of the DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines, but we chose the concentration thresholds for this screen based on our observation of the current mobile telephony marketplace. To begin with, the Commission has found that there is generally effective competition in mobile telephony markets today, 332 and our analysis indicates that the current average HHI in markets across the country is slightly over 2900. We chose initial thresholds of 2800 for the HHI and 100 for the change in HHI because a mobile telephony market that does not exhibit at least this combined post- merger level of concentration will be no more concentrated than the average market today and therefore, in our judgment, needs no further review. In addition, we judged that a market in which the impact of the merger is so slight that it does not cause a change of at least 100 in the HHI need not be examined further because, even if the post- transaction HHI for such a market would be greater than 2800, the loss of a competitor with such a small market share is de minimis and would not likely cause significant, merger- related anticompetitive effects. 333 108. Because this initial screen was intended to eliminate from further review those markets in which there is clearly no competitive harm relative to today’s generally competitive marketplace – rather than to identify conclusively markets in which there is competitive harm – we also adopted a conservative second criterion: regardless of the HHI, we examined a market further if the merger causes a change in HHI of at least 250. Although this threshold resulted in some “false positives” – i. e., we gave further review to markets in which the concentration levels are below that of the average market today – we chose to apply this criterion in order to be confident that we gave further review to any market in which the merger may cause significant change in the competitive landscape. 109. Finally, because spectrum is a necessary resource for wireless carriers to compete effectively, we also further analyzed those markets in which, post- transaction, the Applicants would have 70 MHz or more in at least part of the market. By selecting 70 MHz as the threshold, we ensured that we subjected to further review any market in which the level of spectrum aggregation will exceed what is present in the marketplace today. As an initial matter, although 70 MHz represents a little more than one- 331 See 47 C. F. R. § 22. 909. 332 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 15 ¶ 27. 333 For example, a change in HHI of 100 would represent the merger of companies with market shares of 25% and 2%, or 49% and 1%. 47 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 48 third of the total bandwidth available for mobile telephony today, we emphasize that a market may contain more than three viable competitors even where one entity controls this amount of spectrum, because many carriers are competing successfully with far lower amounts of bandwidth today. For example, Verizon Wireless has recently launched EV- DO service in five markets in which it holds 30 MHz of bandwidth – Austin, Texas; Milwaukee, Wisconsin; and Miami, Tampa, and West Palm Beach, Florida – and in most other locations where it has begun to offer EV- DO, it is doing so with 35 MHz of spectrum. 334 Similarly, Dobson Communications Corporation (“ Dobson”) has recently announced launch of EDGE service throughout its 16- state territory, where it holds no more than 30 MHz of bandwidth in over 90 percent of the applicable counties. 335 Nevertheless, in line with the conservative approach embodied in this initial screen, the function of which was simply to eliminate from further consideration any market in which there is no potential for competitive harm as a result of this transaction, we subjected to further review any market in which one entity controls more than one- third of this critical input. 110. Application of the initial screen described above to data aggregated by CEA identified 180 CEAs (out of the total of 348) for further, case- by- case analysis. (These CEAs are listed in Appendix C). Application of the screen to data aggregated by CMA identified 270 CMAs (out of the total of 734) for closer analysis. (These CMAs are listed in Appendix C). By comparing the results of these two applications of the initial screen and analyzing any local area caught in either application, we ensured that we did not overlook any local area which deserved closer scrutiny in our case- by- case analysis. Conversely, application of the initial screen eliminated from further review any market not identified by the screen. Although the structure of many of these eliminated markets will change as a result of the transaction, the fact that they were not caught by the screen indicated either that the market will be no more concentrated than the average market today, or that the structural change as a result of the merger is de minimis, or both, and we therefore find that these structural changes will not alter carrier conduct in such a way as to impair competition and hence market performance. 111. For the 180 CEAs caught by the initial screen, the average post- transaction HHI is 3,096. The minimum value is 1,675 and the maximum value is 7,755. The average increase in HHI is 524, and this statistic ranges from a minimum of zero to a maximum of 3,739. For the 270 CMAs caught by the initial screen, the average post- transaction HHI is 3,687. The minimum value is 1,927 and the maximum value is 7,399. The average increase in HHI is 540, and this statistic ranges from a minimum of zero to a maximum of 3,443. (Markets with a zero change in HHI were caught by the screen when they involved spectrum aggregation of 70 MHz or more in at least one county within the market). 112. We again emphasize that this initial evaluation of markets was only the beginning of the competitive analysis, because it was only meant to screen out those markets which are at least as competitive as the average market today and therefore needed no further examination. In particular, it was designed to ensure that we did not exclude from further scrutiny any geographic areas in which any potential for anti- competitive effects exist. We now turn to an examination of the various other factors we considered in our further, case- by- case analysis of whether there will be potential competitive harms if the transaction were to be approved without conditions. b. Horizontal Issues 113. Because the structural analysis above suggests that the acquisition by Cingular of AT& T 334 For Verizon Wireless’s spectrum holdings, see the Commission’s ULS database; for EV- DO launch information, see Verizon Wireless Expands BroadbandAccess 3G Network to Cover 14 Markets From Coast to Coast, available at http:// news. vzw. com/ news/ 2004/ 09/ pr2004- 09- 22c. html (Sept. 22, 2004). 335 For Dobson’s spectrum holdings, see the Commission’s ULS database; for EDGE launch information, see Dobson launches EDGE services in 16- state service area, RCR WIRELESS NEWS, October 18, 2004, at 22. 48 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 49 Wireless is likely to have adverse effects on competition in certain markets, this section examines in more detail how the transaction could affect competitive behavior in such markets. As the DOJ/ FTC Guidelines state, competition may be harmed either through unilateral actions by the merged entity or through coordinated interaction among firms competing in the relevant market. 336 114. Unilateral effects occur when the firm finds it profitable to alter its behavior following the merger. 337 Examples of unilateral effects include the ability of the merged firm to raise its price or reduce the features it includes in a given service plan it supplies. Coordinated effects occur when the remaining firms in the market, recognizing their interdependence, take actions “that are profitable for each of them only as a result of the accommodating reactions of others.” 338 Examples of coordinated effects include explicit collusion, tacit collusion, and price leadership. Because coordinated effects may be more likely the fewer the number of firms in a market, mergers may significantly increase the likelihood of coordinated effects by reducing the number of firms in the market. (i) Unilateral Effects (a) Introduction 115. Cingular’s acquisition of AT& T Wireless will lead to significant changes in the structure of the local wireless markets identified above for further analysis, and thus it is necessary to examine in detail the possibility that the merger may lead to competitive harm through unilateral actions by the merged entity. 339 Unilateral effects arise when the merged firm finds it profitable to alter its behavior following the merger by “elevating price and suppressing output.” 340 In the case of mobile telephony, this might take the form of delaying improvements in service quality or adversely adjusting plan features without changing plan price. 341 Incentives for such unilateral competitive actions vary with the nature of competition in the relevant markets. 116. As we explain below, the market for mobile telephony service in the United States appears to be differentiated. Wireless service carriers do not offer a completely homogeneous service. Rather, the carriers compete vigorously on the basis not only of price but also of other plan features, call quality and geographic coverage, and customer service. While carriers can change some of these attributes relatively quickly, others – particularly non- price attributes such as quality and coverage – require investments in spectrum and infrastructure and are not easily modified. 117. In a market characterized by product differentiation, a merger may lead to particularly strong increases in the merged firm’s ability to affect market performance unilaterally when the merging firms’ products are relatively close substitutes for one another. “A merger between firms in a market for 336 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2. 337 Id. at § 2.2. 338 Id. at § 2.1; see also VISCUSI, VERNON & HARRINGTON, ECONOMICS OF REGULATION AND ANTITRUST 107 (2000); DOUGLAS GREER, INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION AND PUBLIC POLICY 269 (1992). 339 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2; EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 620 ¶ 153. 340 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2.2. 341 The term “unilateral” refers to the method used by firms to determine strategy, not to the fact that the merged entity would be the only firm to change its strategy. The term unilateral is used to indicate that strategies are determined unilaterally by each of the firms in the market and not by explicit or tacit collusion. Other firms in the market may find it profitable to alter their behavior as a result of the merger- induced change in market structure by, for example, repositioning their products, changing capacity, or changing their own prices. These reactions can alter the total effect on the market and must be taken into account when evaluating potential unilateral effects. 49 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 50 differentiated products may diminish competition by enabling the merged firm to profit by unilaterally raising the price of one or both products above the pre- merger level. The price rise will be greater the more the buyers of one product consider the other product to be their next choice.” 342 Therefore, if the services offered by Cingular and AT& T Wireless are viewed as close substitutes by significant numbers of customers, the merger of the two firms can remove a strong constraint on Cingular’s ability to raise prices for its pre- transaction customers, for AT& T Wireless’s former customers, or for both. 343 Alternatively, if most customers consider Cingular and AT& T Wireless to be more distant substitutes for one another in the spectrum of differentiated choices available, or if there are multiple choices available to customers that they view as similarly close substitutes for one another, then anticompetitive unilateral effects may be less likely to occur or may be less significant. 118. Other market conditions conducive to anticompetitive unilateral effects in a differentiated markets setting are a large market share by the merged firm, 344 and conditions such that rival sellers are unlikely to replace competition lost through the acquisition by repositioning their product offerings. 345 In settings in which products are relatively undifferentiated, a large market share for the merged entity makes harm from unilateral behavior more likely, in particular in cases in which “a sufficiently large number of the merged firm’s customers would not be able to find economical alternatives sources of supply” because other firms would not respond with output increases of their own, perhaps because of “binding capacity constraints.” 346 In this sector, for example, spectrum suitable for use in mobile telephony is an input of finite supply. It is possible that rivals to the merged entity may be unable to add subscribers so as to function as a competitive check if there is an insufficient amount of spectrum available to them. This constraint may be most noticeable in those markets where advanced services are being introduced. In addition, the transaction may enhance the merged firm’s ability to rely on “network effects” to retain subscribers despite increasing prices or decreasing plan features. 347 (b) Discussion 119. The Applicants claim that there is some product differentiation among the mobile telephony providers, including differences in call quality, geographic coverage, and customer service, but that this product differentiation is not large relative to other industries. 348 The Applicants argue that unilateral effects are unlikely because customers do not regard Cingular and AT& T Wireless as their first and second choices. In addition, the Applicants argue that Cingular or AT& T Wireless customers who choose wireless carriers on the basis of price are likely to regard T- Mobile as the preferred alternative in the event of a price increase by Cingular or AT& T Wireless. They also argue that customers who choose wireless carriers on the basis of quality are likely to regard Verizon Wireless as the preferred alternative 342 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2.21. 343 That is, Cingular’s presence in a market may have been a constraint on AT& T Wireless’s prices, and AT& T Wireless’s presence in a market may have been a constraint on Cingular’s prices. It is not necessary for the products to be the next best substitutes for there to be competitive harm arising from unilateral effects, although it makes the harm more likely. See Gregory Werden, Demand Elasticities in Antitrust Analysis, 66 ANTITRUST L. J. 408 (1998). 344 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2.211. 345 Id. § 2.212. 346 Id. § 2.22. 347 Certain services become more attractive to customers as more customers use them, a phenomenon known as a “network effect.” Network effects tend to be strongest in businesses whose main output or product is access to other persons, as is the case with telephone service. 348 Gilbert Declaration at ¶¶ 76, 82. 50 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 51 in the event of a price increase by either Cingular or AT& T Wireless. 349 In addition, they reference a Consumer Reports survey which indicates that many customers would find Sprint to be a comparable alternative to the merged firm. 350 120. ThriftyCall critiques the Applicants’ unilateral effects analysis by claiming that it “is inconsistent with the assumptions of the Bertrand model that assumes a single homogeneous product with capacity constraints.” 351 ThriftyCall argues that firms are distinguished primarily on the basis of their relative advantage in serving different groups of buyers. 352 In addition, ThriftyCall advocates use of a “Cournot” model to describe competition in the CMRS industry. The Cournot model assumes firms produce a homogeneous product and that firms compete by choosing the optimal amounts of output to produce, rather than by choosing optimal prices. 121. The Applicants and The Communications Workers of America point to the fact that churn is quite high in the CMRS industry and that nearly one- third of mobile wireless customers leave their carriers each year. They also indicate that wireless LNP, which took effect in November 2003 and allows consumers to retain their mobile phone numbers when they switch carriers, has facilitated consumer choice and churn and has made competition more intense. 353 The Consumer Federation of America and Consumers Union agree that wireless LNP has removed a switching cost affecting the wireless market; however, they argue that wireless LNP simply removes a cost that is not present in most industries. Therefore, they state that the DOJ/ FTC Guidelines should not be relaxed simply because wireless LNP has been implemented. 354 122. CompTel/ ASCENT argues that the transaction is likely to result in a significant loss in consumer welfare. 355 Based on a “merger simulation” study (an analysis employing “theoretical economic models of competition and real world data to simulate the effects of a merger between two rival firms” 356 ), CompTel/ ASCENT predicts the effect of the merger on both mobile wireless and wireline telecommunications prices. It finds that the merged entity’s wireless prices are likely to increase about 10 percent, and that the total harm to mobile customers would be about $2.7 billion. 357 123. We agree with the Applicants that the market for mobile telephony service can be fairly characterized as differentiated. 358 Firms differ in dimensions such as network quality, thoroughness of local geographic coverage, and scope of national coverage. They compete both on price and on numerous 349 Applicants Joint Opposition to Petitions to Deny and Comments at 25. 350 Cell Phones: New Rules, New Choices, CONSUMER REPORTS, February 2004, at 12- 26. 351 DeltaVector for ThriftyCall, Reply to Joint Opposition to Petitions to Deny and Comments at 10. 352 DeltaVector for Thrifty Call at 18. 353 Gilbert Declaration at ¶¶ 11, 42; Communications Workers of America at 6. 354 Consumer Federation of America and Consumers Union Petition to Deny at 11. 355 See Letter from Jonathan Lee, Sr. Vice President – Regulatory Affairs, CompTel/ ASCENT, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Oct. 1, 2004) (CompTel/ ASCENT Oct. 1 Ex Parte Letter). 356 Id., Attachment, at 2. 357 Id., Attachment, at 4, 10. 358 We reject ThriftyCall’s criticism that the Applicants’ use of a Bertrand- based model is inconsistent with this view. While a pure Bertrand model assumes a single homogeneous product, this is not the case for a differentiated products Bertrand model, to which the Applicants are likely referring. 51 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 52 non- price features. Dynamic rivalry is ongoing as well, with firms competing via research and development, and via investment in new infrastructure and services. 359 124. The services provided by the mobile telephony carriers are differentiated on the following key bases: (1) quality, (2) coverage, and (3) plan features. Quality includes the probability of blocked and dropped calls, and the quality of the connection. Surveys by Telephia indicate that consumers place a high value on quality in making their choices of carriers and their decisions to switch carriers. 360 Customer support is a separate but important dimension of service quality. Surveys indicate that customers also frequently cite this factor as important in their decisions to switch carriers. 361 125. Coverage includes where the service is available either on the carrier’s own network or on the network of one of its roaming partners. The breadth of a carrier’s geographic coverage is important for consumers who intend to use their phone while traveling. The cellular carriers are generally more extensively built out than are the PCS carriers and thus have better local coverage. 126. Plan features include various dimensions of subscriber usage provided by the plan. Usage means minutes of voice connection defined by the time at which a call is placed, the location from which it is placed, and the destination to which it is directed. Types of usage are typically defined by “buckets” of minutes. Each bucket typically has an amount of included minutes and then a price per minute for additional minutes, although a given bucket may have no included minutes or unlimited free minutes. Buckets are first created according to when the call is placed. Plans typically include buckets of peak minutes (weekday hours) and off- peak minutes (nights and weekends). Second, buckets are also created according to where the call is placed. National plans allow the minutes of usage in each bucket to be placed anywhere in the United States. Regional and local plans allow the minutes of usage in each bucket to be placed in only a limited geographic area. Other buckets with a price per minute are then created for calls placed outside that geographic area, and, depending on the plan, a roaming charge may be assessed. Finally, buckets are created according to the destination of the call. Calls may be local or long distance. In addition, calls may terminate on a mobile or a wireline phone, and, if a call terminates on a mobile phone, it may terminate on a mobile phone on or off the carrier’s network. Some plans have a separate bucket of in- network mobile- to- mobile minutes. 127. Plan features have evolved, with the number of included minutes in each bucket generally increasing. In some cases, these buckets have become unlimited minutes. However, this evolution has not been uniform across all carriers, and there are differences in the sizes of buckets offered by the carriers at the same monthly charge. For example, a recent informal survey by Commission staff of national plans offered for approximately $40 per month on the internet showed that Verizon Wireless offered the smallest bucket of peak minutes of the six national carriers (400 minutes), and that T- Mobile offered the highest (600 minutes). Cingular and AWE each offered 450 minutes. 362 Sprint and Nextel each have new plans which move the customer to the plan that minimizes their monthly bill. These types of plans substantially blur the distinctions between specific buckets of minutes and illustrate the complexity of competition among mobile carriers. 359 In our discussion of possible collusive effects, below, we describe many factors that differentiate mobile wireless operators and their service offerings. 360 [REDACTED] 361 [REDACTED] 362 See www. cingular. com; www. verizonwireless. com; www. nextel. com; www. attwireless. com; www. t-mobile. com; www. sprintpcs. com. 52 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 53 128. In the remainder of this section, we examine in detail the issues of substitutability, the competitive strength of rival carriers, and rivals’ ability to respond to potential anti- competitive unilateral actions on the part of the merged entity. We also examine network effects, spectrum availability for advanced wireless services, and the effects of an expected increase in market penetration. While we find that harm from unilateral action by a combined Cingular/ AT& T Wireless is unlikely in most local markets, there are specific markets for which we believe the acquisition poses a significant threat to competition. 129. Substitutability. The record contains neither empirical studies nor other information that resolve conclusively the question of the closeness of substitution of the services of Cingular and AT& T Wireless relative to the other mobile telephony operators. While the record does shed light on this question, the evidence is mixed. For example, the difference in their current customer profiles may suggest the Applicants are not especially close substitutes among the group of nationwide mobile telephony operators. AT& T Wireless has had a greater focus on business customers, including Fortune 500 customers, while Cingular’s focus has been primarily on residential customers. 363 However, there may be specific customer groups for which the firms are close substitutes. Similarly, some documents in the record suggest that Cingular and AT& T Wireless are the most closely substitutable among the wireless carriers, while other documents suggest otherwise. 364 130. We have analyzed data on wireless LNP provided to the Commission by NeuStar to gauge how consumers view the substitutability of mobile wireless firms. The launch of wireless LNP occurred in the 100 largest markets on November 24, 2003 and in other markets on May 24, 2004, and we analyzed data on porting through July 2004. This information includes each instance of a customer porting a phone number from one mobile carrier to another, and indicates both the origin and destination carrier. 365 Thus, we can determine the aggregate customer flows between each pair of firms. These flows are summarized in the following table. [REDACTED] 131. For several reasons, we do not believe that this porting information can reliably quantify the degree of substitutability among the various pairs of firms’ product offerings, or in particular establish whether Cingular and AT& T Wireless should be viewed as the closest substitutes for one another. 366 363 [REDACTED] 364 [REDACTED] 365 There are certain technical problems with the tracking of porting activity that likely introduce some inaccuracies into the totals in the table below. We believe, however, that the effect of these problems is minor. 366 A number of ways to determine quantitatively a ranking of substitutes are suggested in the economic literature. Among these are “unit diversion ratios” and “relative unit diversion ratios.” Unit diversion ratios are defined as the increase in unit sales of carrier B relative to a decrease in the sales of carrier A. Relative unit diversion ratios are defined as an increase in the unit sales of carrier B, relative to a decrease in the sales of carrier A, relative to that if substitution was proportionate to the carriers’ market shares. See Werden, supra note 343, at 405 (1998). However, the porting data capture all subscriber switches, including but not limited to switches that may have resulted from a price increase. Switches are also likely to have occurred as a result of customer dissatisfaction with the current provider. Thus, the results derived from the porting data cannot be interpreted necessarily as a measure of the likely outcome of a price increase by the merged entity. Further, since customers often delay switching until their two-year contracts have expired, the act of switching may substantially lag the decision to switch. Therefore, while it is reasonable to assume that the carrier being ported to is the customer’s current first choice provider, it may not be reasonable to assume that the carrier being ported from is any longer the customer’s second choice. For example, a customer may view the carrier he/ she is leaving to be perhaps the sixth best choice, so that a switch from the current (continued....) 53 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 54 However, we believe the overall pattern of the movements generally indicates that there is significant substitutability among all six nationwide carriers. We note in particular that Verizon Wireless, T- Mobile, and Nextel have attracted shares of ported numbers in excess of their national market shares during this period, 367 so that the net effect has been to increase their market shares. This mutual substitution appears to be present despite product differentiation that exists across the firms, and indicates that the offerings of the other nationwide carriers are serving as effective substitutes for the offerings of the Applicants. 368 132. Finally, we find that shifts in subscriber- based market shares over time and high levels of churn indicate a degree of substitutability among all of the carriers. Between the fourth quarter of 1998 and the fourth quarter of 2003, Verizon Wireless’s and Cingular’s national market shares both declined approximately six percentage points. 369 In contrast, AT& T Wireless gained four percentage points, Sprint gained approximately six percentage points, Nextel gained approximately four percentage points, and T-Mobile gained approximately six percentage points. 370 (The share held by carriers other than the six nationwide operators declined about nine percentage points.) 371 Over the more recent past, both of the Applicants have been losing subscriber share nationwide, and Verizon Wireless, Nextel, and T- Mobile have made non- trivial gains. Although the regional carriers provide competitive options in certain local markets, we believe that the six national mobile providers are closer substitutes for one another than they are for the regional carriers. 133. In addition to indicating a considerable degree of substitutability among the national wireless providers, the market share and porting data suggest that Verizon Wireless, T- Mobile, and Nextel may provide more effective competitive constraints on the Applicants than their current subscriber- based market shares might indicate. The increases in market shares and the relatively high numbers of porters to these carriers indicate that Verizon Wireless, T- Mobile, and Nextel are significant future threats to Cingular and AT& T Wireless’s customer base. This adds to our confidence that consumers see these firms as effective substitutes for the offerings of the Applicants. 134. Competitive responses by rivals. Should the merged entity attempt to raise prices or engage in other exercise of market power, we believe that in many of the markets identified by our initial screen other firms would have the incentive and ability to reposition their offerings in response. 372 In particular, where a firm is already present in a market, has comparable service coverage, and has excess capacity relative to its current subscriber base, it should be able to adjust rates, plan features, handsets, (... continued from previous page) carrier to the new carrier may not indicate that these carriers are close substitutes. For these reasons, statistics derived from the porting data cannot be interpreted as corresponding exactly to any of these formal measures. 367 A Telephia report also finds [REDACTED]. 368 Documents also confirm that churn is a competitive discipline on Cingular and AWS today. [REDACTED] 369 Morin & Mutschler, supra note 247, at 86. 370 Id. 371 Id. 372 The Applicants claim that “a unilateral effect occurs when a merger increases a firm’s profit- maximizing price under the assumption that other firms in the industry do not change their prices.” Gilbert Declaration, at ¶ 74. It is important to note that, while it is true that in equilibrium the prices will be set such that any one firm could not profitably raise its price assuming the prices of the other firms remain constant, it is quite possible that the equilibrium, post- merger prices of firms other than the merging parties will change from their pre- merger levels. James Langenfeld and Wenqing Li, Critical Loss Analysis in Evaluating Mergers, ANTITRUST BULLETIN, Summer 2001, at 318. That is, to evaluate unilateral effects, the supply responses of the non- merging firms must be taken into account. 54 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 55 advertising, etc., in the short run. 373 135. As a technical and operational matter, it will generally be feasible for firms to add customers quickly because excess capacity is often available and because non- trivial increases in the capacity to serve customers can be realized rapidly in established cellular and PCS mobile radio systems. [REDACTED]. 374 [REDACTED] 375 [REDACTED]. 376 This equipment allows the cell site to serve more traffic per unit of time by employing additional bandwidth. The estimated capacity increases [REDACTED], are consistent with our understanding of CDMA systems’ technical and operational attributes. 377 It should also be the case that handset manufacturers would be able to supply handsets without a significant lag to satisfy an increase in demand by other carriers. [REDACTED]. 378 136. To examine the issue of competitive response further, we undertook our own analysis of whether other firms could likely absorb subscribers leaving the merged entity in response to attempted exercise of market power. We analyzed a sample of ten markets identified by our initial screen as requiring further analysis, asking whether other carriers could absorb in the near term an increase in subscribers equal to 10 percent of the merged entity’s subscribers in that market. 379 We utilized market-based performance measurements and analysis, where off- air data were collected from major carriers’ networks, including those of the Applicants, for the period of June 2003. 380 We also integrated data on market shares and allocated spectrum for major competitive carriers. We selected sample markets that varied in attributes such as location, population, and number of carriers offering service. The results of our study indicate that, for these markets caught by the initial screen, rival carriers collectively possess the capability to respond to a unilateral price increase by absorbing at least 10 percent of the combined entity's market share. 381 137. Of course, there are limits to repositioning. Firms may not be able to add quickly to their operating footprints, purchase additional spectrum if needed, secure tower siting permits, improve overall quality, or deploy a new technology. [REDACTED]. 382 Whether addition of cell sites would always be possible even in this time frame, and whether it would always be profitable, is unclear. At a minimum, however, even a firm is present in a market and has comparable service area coverage, the possibility of competitive response is an important factor. 383 373 One recent example of repositioning is the evolution of Nextel, moving from a firm solely focused on business workgroup customers, to advertising for (post- paid) residential customers, to launching a pre- paid service, to now sponsoring NASCAR. 374 Aug. 26 ex parte letter from W. Hogg at 3. [REDACTED] 375 [REDACTED] 376 [REDACTED] 377 See Oct. 12, 2004 ex parte letter from Dean R. Brenner, Senior Director, Government Affairs, QUALCOMM Incorporated. 378 [REDACTED] 379 We selected ten percent because a ten percent loss of customers is a plausible response to a small but significant price increase. 380 [REDACTED] 381 [REDACTED] 382 [REDACTED] 383 We also note that the merged company will only retain the Cingular brand name, and it may be the case that the particular product offerings of AT& T Wireless will disappear. Because other firms can reposition and add new (continued....) 55 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 56 138. Spectrum and advanced wireless services. As a result of this transaction, the current spectrum holdings of Cingular and AT& T Wireless will be combined, resulting in aggregation by one entity of as much as 80 MHz of applicable spectrum in certain local markets. 384 Although we no longer have a per se limit on the amount of spectrum suitable for mobile telephony for which an entity may hold the usage rights in any one market, we are mindful of the unique role of spectrum as a critical input in the market for wireless services and have carefully analyzed the potential impact of this merger on that input. As noted in the introduction to mobile telephony, above, this sector is characterized by ongoing growth (in terms of both subscribers and minutes of use) as well as technological change. In particular, next generation technologies are being gradually rolled out by a number of carriers. While some carriers offering next- generation services eventually may require more spectrum than they currently have, depending on their chosen technology and the development of the market, this is not certain. Technologies offering the promise of advanced services may cause a boom in demand, but they also offer more efficient use of spectrum, i. e., the ability to transmit more information per unit of time and bandwidth. 139. We believe it is speculative to predict how much spectrum which carriers will need, and when. The evidence we do have, however, suggests firms generally have access to the spectrum they need to offer next- generation services now. As noted above and in our CMRS Competition Report, we are seeing rollout of such services by a number of carriers. For example, Verizon Wireless has recently launched EV- DO service in five markets where it holds 30 MHz of bandwidth – Austin, Texas; Milwaukee, Wisconsin; and Miami, Tampa, and West Palm Beach, Florida – and in most other locations where it has begun to offer EV- DO, it is doing so with 35 MHz of spectrum. 385 Similarly, Dobson has recently announced launch of EDGE service throughout its 16- state territory, where it holds no more than 30 MHz of bandwidth in over 90 percent of the applicable counties. 386 140. In this regard, we note that this merger does not take spectrum away from any competing carriers. Therefore, the spectrum- related harm, if any, would be that the merger could result in an imbalance in the availability of spectrum that would cause other carriers to be more spectrum- constrained than Cingular at a later point in the deployment of next- generation services. We believe, however, that the arrival of carriers’ 3G- related needs for additional spectrum generally will align with the arrival of suitable spectrum in future auctions, including those for AWS, upper 700 MHz, and lower 700 MHz. We note also that the Commission is, in significant degree, in control of assuring that these auctions occur, and that clearance in these bands occurs, in a suitable timeframe. 141. Our general conclusion that mobile telephony operators have the spectrum capacity they need to provide advanced services may not be true for all operators in all markets. For that reason, we consider spectrum holdings as a part of our market- by- market analysis of local areas identified by our initial screen. In addition, as further explained below, as part of its Application Cingular has committed to divest post- transaction spectrum holdings in excess of 80 MHz in a number of areas. We condition our (... continued from previous page) differentiated services, however, it need not be the case that the overall variety of product offerings will be reduced post- merger. One example of a new service is the announcement that, subsequent to a Cingular/ AT& T Wireless combination, Sprint will resell mobile service for AT& T Corp. using the AT& T brand name. 384 See discussion supra Section II. B. 1. 385 For Verizon Wireless’s spectrum holdings, see the Commission’s ULS database; for EV- DO launch information, see Verizon Wireless Expands Broadband Access 3G Network to Cover 14 Markets From Coast to Coast, at http:// news. vzw. com/ news/ 2004/ 09/ pr2004- 09- 22c. html. 386 For Dobson’s spectrum holdings, see the Commission’s ULS database; for EDGE launch information, see “Dobson launches EDGE services in 16- state service area,” RCR Wireless News, October 18, 2004, page 22. 56 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 57 grant of this transaction on fulfillment of these divestitures, which will serve the public interest by making spectrum available to strengthen an incumbent competitor or to allow new entry in these markets. 142. Network effects. One of the most obvious consequences of this merger will be to double the size of Cingular in terms of subscribers on its network, as well as to increase its geographic coverage and ability to provide improved service quality and product features. The post- merger Cingular will have almost twice as many subscribers as it has now. Because of the nature of telecommunications and the magnitude of this increase in Cingular’s size, we consider the potential network effects of this merger. 143. Network effects arise when the value of a product increases with the number of consumers who purchase it. 387 For example, telephone service to an individual subscriber becomes more valuable to that subscriber as the number of other people he or she can reach using the telephone increases. Since wireless carriers permit physical interconnection among their individually- owned networks, wireless subscribers may complete a call to subscribers on all other carriers’ networks. Therefore, this merger does not have the potential to disadvantage any other carrier’s subscribers with regard to access to the communications network. Nor does this merger raise the typical network effects possibility that the large network will attract customers away from smaller networks and drive out the smaller networks. However, network effects can arise as a result of incentives the carrier offers to its own subscribers – for example, a carrier may offer a discount or the functional equivalent to its subscribers when calling other subscribers to the same carrier (unlimited in- network calling 388 ), or may offer discounted bundling of wireless and landline services, or the carrier may limit certain desirable network features to calls that remain within its network. 144. These carrier- specific network effects can, potentially, result in both consumer benefits and anticompetitive harms. On the one hand, discounted intra- carrier calling offers real value to consumers. On the other hand, this feature and other incentives like bundling could potentially alter a Cingular subscriber’s calculation when deciding whether to stay with Cingular or switch to a different carrier, and therefore could potentially reduce the ability of other carriers to act as disciplinary forces with regard to Cingular. 145. Although there is evidence in the record that Cingular (like other carriers) is attempting to market to increase network effects, we do not have evidence yet that these effects are a major influence in consumer mobile telephony choices, or that either the benefits or the harms from these effects are particularly strong at this point. On balance, however, we find that because all mobile networks interconnect to each other – and of course to the wireline network as well – it appears unlikely that a mobile network with more subscribers would be more attractive to additional customers simply because of its size. Moreover, if this sort of network externality were a major factor, we would not expect to see either the significant growth of a smaller nationwide carrier such as T- Mobile or the continued viability of small and reginal carriers that characterize the mobile telephony sector today. Network effects, therefore, do not weigh heavily in our analysis of the effects of the merger. 146. Penetration. Another factor we consider in determining the consequences of a unilateral attempt to exercise market power are the penetration rates prevailing today in local markets and the fact 387 Carl Shapiro and Hal Varian, Information Rules, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 1999, at 13. 388 As an example, Cingular offers a feature in many of its calling plans that permits two Cingular subscribers to speak to each other on their wireless phones without using the minutes provided under their calling plans. This free in- network calling feature is a benefit to Cingular subscribers, so long as they stay on the Cingular network. Other wireless carriers offer similar free or discounted in- network calling features. See section V. A. 1. a., and the discussion earlier in this section. 57 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 58 that, as noted previously, increases in penetration are generally expected. 389 We believe this means, first, that carriers are currently planning for and investing in anticipation of significant growth. This gives added confidence that existing operators will have the capacity to attract customers and increase output should the merged entity attempt to exercise market power. Second, were the merged firm to raise prices or adversely modify plan features, it would stand to lose not only some percentage of existing customers, but also new customers in significant numbers. And, third, since new customers, by definition, are not tied by contract to an existing firm, they are able immediately to avoid less attractive offerings of the merged firm and sign up with another operator. In local markets where mobile telephony penetration is lower than the U. S. average, these effects should be particularly strong. In addition, relatively under-penetrated markets may be the most attractive markets for new entrants, all other factors being equal. Entry will be particularly likely for these markets where spectrum is available either on the secondary market or in our Auction No. 58, commencing in January 2005. 147. Implications. In conclusion, we find that this transaction is unlikely to result in adverse unilateral effects in most of the markets identified by the initial screen. It appears that the nationwide firms are all relatively close substitutes for each other in the eyes of consumers, and that the nationwide firms have the incentive and ability to reposition in response to any attempted exercise of market power by the merged firm. Thus, where the nationwide firms, other than the Applicants, have substantial presence in a market and the ability to add capacity and subscribers relatively quickly, unilateral harm is unlikely. In addition, of course, for consumers who do not demand price- competitive nationwide service plans, the regional service providers constitute an additional option that should further protect competition. 390 As further explained below, we find that in all but 22 local geographic areas competitive harm is unlikely to result from Cingular’s acquisition of the operations of AT& T Wireless. 148. For many markets where the facts of a high subscriber- based HHI and a high change in HHI might seem to suggest a potential competitive problem, there is in fact little likelihood of harm. We find that the presence and capacity of other firms matter more for future competitive conditions than do current subscriber- based market shares. In particular, current market shares understate the likely future competitive importance of Verizon Wireless, Sprint, T- Mobile, and Nextel. These firms all compete fiercely for customers; all are investing substantially in capacity and new services in this sector; and Verizon Wireless, T- Mobile, and Nextel have been gaining nationwide market share over recent quarters. 149. While we find that anti- competitive unilateral effects are unlikely in most markets, however, there are specific markets in which competitive conditions are sufficiently different such that unilateral effects pose a threat to competition. Especially worrisome are markets in which the total number of providers – or the total number of providers of nationwide service – is low, and markets in which providers are present but are constrained from repositioning and expanding output for some reason such as incomplete footprint or inadequate spectrum bandwidth. In addition, because market shares do 389 See section V. A. 1. a. 390 The CompTel/ ACSENT study of mobile prices does not undercut these judgments. There are several problems with CompTel/ ASCENT’s analysis of the mobile wireless sector. First, it does not allow for product repositioning (i. e., reaction by other firms) which, as we have explained, we believe to be an important factor affecting the level of competition. In addition, it incorporates a greatly simplified pricing structure, and the product offerings are aggregated to the level of one per firm. Pricing and plan offerings in the wireless industry are quite complex, however, and it is therefore difficult to draw conclusions based on a simulation of this nature. Third, CompTel/ ASCENT assumes that the relevant market is national and ignores local and regional conditions. Fourth, the data relied on to represent prices may lead to biased results. For example, it appears that the price for Verizon Wireless is significantly underestimated relative to those of the other wireless firms in this analysis. Therefore, we are not persuaded that CompTel/ ASCENT’s conclusions regarding the mobile wireless sector. See CompTel/ ASCENT Oct. 1 Ex Parte Letter, Attachment. 58 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 59 tend to persist – albeit changing over time – they are not entirely unimportant. Thus, also worrisome are markets in which the combined market share of the merged entity is very high. In each of these markets with characteristics that raise special concern, we have looked closely at the interaction of all the relevant competitive circumstances, as described in Section V. A. 3. d., below. (ii) Coordinated Interaction 150. In markets where only a few firms account for most of the sales of a product, those firms may be able to exercise market power by either explicitly or tacitly coordinating their actions. 391 Accordingly, one way in which a merger may create or enhance market power or facilitate its exercise is by making such coordinated interaction among firms more likely, more successful, or more complete. 392 For example, by reducing the number of firms necessary to control a given percentage of total supply, a merger may lower the difficulties and costs of reaching and enforcing the terms of an agreement to restrict output. The significant increases in concentration and high post- merger concentration levels in some mobile telephony markets indicated by the structural analysis in Section V. A. 3. a., above, thus raise the concern that the merger could facilitate coordinated interaction in those markets. However, such increases in concentration and high concentration levels in the relevant markets following the merger do not by themselves provide a sufficient basis for determining that the merger will facilitate coordinated interaction, for two related reasons. First, the ability to reach and enforce terms of coordination may also depend on many other distinctive characteristics of individual markets apart from concentration. 393 Second, and consequently, although a high concentration level is among the factors that may make coordinated interaction easier and therefore more likely, there is no unique critical threshold of market concentration above which the exercise of market power through coordinated interaction is likely. 394 Therefore, the Commission will also consider whether conditions in the post- merger environment other than market concentration will be conducive to reaching and enforcing the terms of coordination. 151. The DOJ/ FTC Guidelines define coordinated interaction as comprising actions by a group of firms that are profitable for each of the firms involved only because the other firms react by accommodating these actions rather than attempting to undercut them. 395 Successful coordination depends critically on two key factors. The first is the ability to reach terms that are profitable for each of the firms involved, and the second is the ability to detect and punish deviations that would undermine the coordinated interaction. Rapid detection and punishment of deviations facilitates successful coordinated interaction by lowering the profitability of deviating from the terms of coordination and thereby reducing incentives to cheat. Terms of coordination need not perfectly achieve a monopoly outcome in order to harm consumers, however. Terms of coordination may omit some market participants or dimensions of competition and still result in competitive harm. 396 152. A number of market conditions may affect one or both elements of coordination, including the availability of information about market conditions, the extent of firm and product homogeneity, and the presence of maverick carriers. In general, moreover, market conditions are more 391 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 0.1. 392 Id. § 2.1. 393 Barry C. Harris and David D. Smith, The Merger Guidelines vs. Economics: A Survey of Economic Studies, PERSPECTIVES ON FUNDAMENTAL ANTITRUST THEORY, American Bar Association, Section of Antitrust Law, July 2001, at 10- 12. 394 Id. 395 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2.1. 396 Id. § 2.11. 59 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 60 likely to be conducive to coordinated interaction when the firms in a market previously have engaged in express collusion. In examining whether mobile telephony market conditions other than concentration are conducive to coordinated interaction, we focus on those market conditions that seem most pertinent to the mobile telephony sector in light of salient sector characteristics and trends. As background to this analysis, we begin with a summary of the Applicants’ view of coordinated effects. 153. Applicants’ view. After describing the market conditions that could be conducive to coordinated effects, the Applicants cite a number of reasons why coordinated effects are unlikely to result from the transaction. 397 First, the industry has a history of competition on price and quality as well as rapid innovation. Second, the post- transaction environment will still have five major national carriers and more than a dozen regional carriers. Third, the history of price declines and the large mix of services and price offerings are inconsistent with the stable relationship required to maintain collusive outcomes. Fourth, wireless providers compete in different dimensions, including equipment subsidies as well as monthly price, number of free minutes, breakdown by off- peak and on- peak periods, roaming charges, and other services. Fifth, wireless providers also differ with regard to quality of service and amount of excess capacity. The latter difference, in particular, creates different incentives for price- cutting by different service providers. For example, newer entrants such as T- Mobile and regional competitors such as MetroPCS are eager to take business away from more established providers and have the capacity to do so. Finally, the Applicants contend that relationships among the wireless carriers are unlikely to become less complex and varied after the merger. 154. Transparency of information. Terms of coordination are often easier to reach, and detection and punishment of deviations is often more rapid and more effective, when key information about specific transactions or individual price or output levels is routinely available to rival firms. 398 In this regard, it has been suggested that the trend toward national pricing plans raises concerns about coordinated interaction by making pricing more transparent, and that the merger would exacerbate this trend and remove a constraint on coordinated interaction by increasing industry transparency. 399 While this argument is not spelled out in sufficient detail to make it completely clear how national pricing plans have made pricing more transparent, one plausible interpretation is that carriers can easily observe the prices and other features of their rivals’ national pricing plans, enabling them to punish one another for deviations. There is ample evidence in the record that the carriers regularly monitor their rivals’ pricing plans, promotions, marketing strategies, and other aspects of their rivals’ operations, 400 and further that the carriers use this information as a basis for designing and modifying their own pricing plans, promotions, and marketing strategies. 401 However, nothing in the record supports the contention that the carriers have actually used such transparency of pricing plans or other features to detect and punish deviations to date. To the contrary, the record shows that carriers try to use the information they obtain about their rivals to improve their own ability to compete in attracting and retaining customers, either by matching the offers of rivals or by making more aggressive offers. 402 Furthermore, there is nothing in the record to indicate that the transaction will alter market conditions in such a way as to increase the ability and incentive of the remaining carriers to exploit transparency of pricing plans and other features for the purpose of detecting and punishing deviations. In light of the fact that this merger constitutes a reduction 397 Gilbert Declaration at 27- 28. 398 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2.11- 2. 12. 399 Competitive Concerns Regarding Cingular Wireless’s Acquisition of AT& T Wireless, Presentation to FCC on Behalf of Thrifty Call, Aug. 4, 2004, at 10 and 12. 400 For example, [REDACTED] 401 [REDACTED] 402 [REDACTED] 60 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 61 in competitors of no worse than six to five in most large markets and many smaller markets, we find that the structural change resulting from this merger is not sufficient to alter market conditions in this fashion. 155. Moreover, we believe that national wireless pricing innovations have been a major driver of price rivalry in the U. S. mobile telephony market, rather than a vehicle for coordinated interaction due to increased pricing transparency. The typical pattern has been that one of the major nationwide wireless carriers is the first to introduce a particular pricing innovation, and some or all of the other major wireless carriers quickly follow suit by offering a rival version of the leader’s new pricing plan within the space of a year or less. This pattern suggests that intense competitive pressure, rather than coordinated interaction, has compelled the major wireless carriers to match the national pricing innovations of rival carriers. In addition, even though the first national single- rate pricing plan was introduced in 1998 and all six nationwide carriers now offer some version of a national rate pricing plan, this pattern of innovation followed by imitation has been repeated with respect to subsequent national pricing innovations such as free night and weekend minutes and free mobile- to- mobile calling. The continuation of national pricing innovations suggests that increased pricing transparency has not had the effect of facilitating coordinated interaction. To be sure, the absence of any evidence of past collusion does not ensure that collusion will not take place in the future, but it is nonetheless an important factor to consider in assessing the likely impact of the transaction on future competitive conduct. We conclude that increased pricing transparency as a result of the trend toward national pricing plans has not facilitated coordinated interaction prior to this transaction, and that there is no evidence in the record or in our own investigation to indicate that the merger is likely to alter the market in such a way as to increase industry transparency and make coordinated interaction more likely, more successful, or more complete. 156. Firm and product homogeneity. A market condition that may facilitate the ability to reach terms of coordination is firm and product homogeneity. 403 In this regard, it has been suggested that competing wireless carriers have become more similar due to the rise of nationwide carriers and the decreased presence of regional players, and that the increased carrier symmetry implied by this trend raises concerns about coordinated interaction. 404 However, since the proposed merger combines two nationwide carriers, it will not contribute directly to the decreased presence of regional players. Moreover, competition from the remaining large regional carriers and smaller local carriers may still be sufficient to constrain the ability of the nationwide carriers to coordinate pricing and other terms and conditions of service in the many local geographic markets in which such smaller players compete. 157. As a corollary of the above argument, it is also argued that the proposed merger will further narrow competitor asymmetries and thereby remove another constraint on coordinated interaction. 405 Actually, however, the way the merger will affect asymmetries among the nationwide carriers is somewhat more complicated. On the one hand, by combining two similarly sized nationwide carriers into the largest nationwide carrier, the merger would actually enhance the asymmetry between the two largest nationwide carriers, Verizon Wireless and Cingular, and the three remaining nationwide carriers (Sprint, T- Mobile, and Nextel). On the other hand, the merger would make Verizon Wireless and Cingular more similar in size to each other. There are, however, other differences between Cingular and Verizon Wireless that could make it difficult for these two carriers to reach agreement on the terms of coordination. For example, since Verizon Wireless has already differentiated its brand from rival offerings based on network coverage and voice quality, 406 Cingular may be less willing to agree to restrict 403 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2.11. 404 Competitive Concerns Regarding Cingular Wireless’s Acquisition of AT& T Wireless, Presentation to FCC on Behalf of Thrifty Call, Aug. 4, 2004, at 10. 405 Id. at 12. 406 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 62- 63 ¶ 149. 61 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 62 competition on other terms, such as promotions and advertising, which could offset or narrow this advantage. Cingular and Verizon Wireless also use competing 2G digital technologies and are following divergent next- generation migration paths. 407 Due to factors that distinguish these competing wireless standards, Cingular and Verizon Wireless face significant differences in equipment costs, the speed and cost of network upgrades, and migration prospects that may impede their ability to reach agreement on terms of coordination, including on non- price terms such as territorial restrictions. 408 In this regard, we note that both Verizon Wireless and AT& T Wireless have launched high- speed wireless data services in San Diego, thus setting up the first opportunity for customers in a market to compare Verizon Wireless’s 1X EV- DO services with AT& T Wireless’s WCDMA- based services. 409 158. Apart from these differences, we note that, while Verizon Wireless and the post-transaction Cingular will be the largest wireless carriers in terms of the number of subscribers on a national basis, their respective subscriber shares in the relevant local markets vary widely across different geographic regions, and there are many local markets in which one or the other still has a relatively small subscriber share. Thus, they will not invariably be the top two players in local markets, including many local markets where the original cellular incumbents still retain relatively large market shares. Moreover, in those markets in which Verizon Wireless and either Cingular or AT& T Wireless are the top two players today, prior to this transaction, we do not see evidence of coordinated interaction; in general, we see vigorous and successful competition from the smaller nationwide carriers as well as regional and other carriers. 159. The three smaller nationwide carriers also differ among themselves, and from Verizon Wireless or Cingular, in ways that may make it difficult for any coalition of nationwide carriers to reach terms of coordination. For example, since Nextel has differentiated its brand based in part on its signature PTT offering, 410 and also is the only nationwide carrier to use iDEN, rather than CDMA or GSM/ TDMA, as its 2G digital technology, the distinctive characteristics of Nextel’s service offering or differences in equipment costs may prevent the other nationwide carriers from reaching an agreement with Nextel to restrict competition on price or other terms and conditions of service. Moreover, there is no evidence that similarities among some of the nationwide carriers have facilitated their reaching agreement on terms of coordination. For example, the use of CDMA has not enabled Verizon Wireless and Sprint to reach an agreement to reduce spending on the deployment of CDMA network upgrades. To the contrary, the evidence indicates that increased spending by Verizon Wireless on EV- DO deployment put pressure on Sprint to increase its capital spending on the same network upgrade. 411 Based on the foregoing 407 As noted previously, both Cingular and AT& T Wireless are using GSM/ TDMA as their 2G digital technologies and are following the GSM migration path that will eventually lead to the deployment of WCDMA. In contrast, Verizon Wireless has been following the CDMA migration path by upgrading its 2G CDMA network first to CDMA2000 1xRTT, and more recently has been rolling out a national high- speed wireless data network based on CDMA2000 1X EV- DO. 408 These distinguishing factors include the greater global coverage and usage of GSM, the backward compatibility of CDMA, and the relative ease of CDMA network upgrades. Neil Gandal, David Salant, and Leonard Waverman, Standards in Wireless Telephone Networks, 23 TELECOMMUNICATIONS POLICY 328- 30 (2003); Governali, Barry & Soova, supra note 255, at 2, 6; Jonathan Chambers, Costs of Terminating Traffic on Mobile Networks, Callahan Associates International LLC, presentation made to the Commission on Aug. 28, 2001, at 11. 409 Dan Meyer, AWS Launches UMTS in Two More Markets, RCR WIRELESS NEWS, Sept. 1, 2004. 410 Although, as noted previously, several other major carriers recently introduced rival PTT offerings, some analysts believe these competitors’ products are somewhat less attractive than Nextel’s PTT service due to their longer “latency,” a term that refers to delays in setting up a PTT call and the pushes between conversation breaks. Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 63- 64 ¶ 152. 411 Sprint previously had announced plans to delay its next network upgrade until 1XEV- DV is available for commercial deployment, rather than building out 1XEV- DO as Verizon Wireless was doing. Subsequently, (continued....) 62 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 63 considerations, we conclude that the extent of carrier heterogeneity may constrain the ability of competing carriers to reach terms of coordination in U. S. mobile telephony markets, and that the proposed merger will not further narrow competitor asymmetries in such a way as to remove or undermine this constraint. 160. Presence of mavericks. In some circumstances, maverick firms can effectively prevent or limit coordinated interaction. 412 Maverick firms are firms that have a greater economic incentive to deviate from the terms of coordination than do most of their rivals. Therefore, a merger may make coordinated interaction more likely, more successful, or more complete if it involves the acquisition of a maverick firm. In the context of U. S. mobile telephony markets, maverick carriers may be identified by the innovative pricing plans or services they introduce. The enhanced incentive to deviate may arise because the maverick carrier controls substantially more spectrum than it needs to serve the demands of its currently limited customer base, and also because its costs of expanding sales in the relevant market are relatively low and (or) it is well positioned to attract customers currently served by its competitors. Such a carrier has a strong incentive to deviate because it receives less benefit from the higher coordinated prices than do carriers with larger market shares and is well positioned to profit from expanding its sales. 161. In this connection it has been suggested that, in addition to increasing symmetry among carriers, the decreased presence of regional players implies the disappearance of likely mavericks, and therefore the merger will facilitate coordinated interaction by increasing the effectiveness of punishment. 413 However, while we recognize the critical role of maverick carriers in preventing or limiting coordinated interaction, we are not persuaded that the proposed merger will facilitate coordinated interaction due to the disappearance of likely mavericks among regional carriers. Since the proposed merger combines two nationwide carriers, it will not directly eliminate any likely maverick carriers among the regional players. In addition, although some of the large regional carriers offer nationwide service plans along with the six nationwide carriers, it is the nationwide carriers, rather than regional carriers, that have taken the lead in introducing innovations in national plans such as national single- rate pricing plans, free night and weekend minutes, and free mobile- to- mobile calling. 162. The concerns raised about the disappearance of likely mavericks might be valid if the proposed merger involved the acquisition of a nationwide carrier that is uniquely positioned to be a maverick carrier. With the introduction of its Digital One Rate plan in May 1998, AT& T Wireless emerged as a leader of innovations for national pricing plans. 414 However, other nationwide carriers have taken the lead in introducing other innovative pricing plans or services, including Verizon Wireless for on- network national pricing plans, Cingular for free night and weekend minutes and rollover minutes, and Nextel for PTT services. 415 We believe that conditions in the market for national mobile telephony services/ plans are such that no single nationwide carrier is uniquely positioned to be a maverick. To the contrary, any of the three smallest nationwide carriers could find itself facing the conditions identified (... continued from previous page) however, Sprint revised its strategy and announced plans to deploy EV- DO in the majority of top metropolitan markets in 2005. Id. at 57- 58 ¶ 134. 412 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2.12. 413 Competitive Concerns Regarding Cingular Wireless’s Acquisition of AT& T Wireless, Presentation to FCC on Behalf of Thrifty Call, Aug. 4, 2004, at 10. 414 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 49 ¶ 113. 415 Implementation of Section 6002( b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, Seventh Report, 17 FCC Rcd. at 13, 014; Eighth Report, 18 FCC Rcd. at 14807- 08 (2003); Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 63 ¶ 152. 63 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 64 above as creating a strong incentive to deviate from the terms of coordination: excess spectrum and (or) network capacity relative to the traffic generated by its existing customer base, and low direct and opportunity costs of expanding sales in the relevant market. Even Verizon Wireless and the post-transaction Cingular may face such conditions in certain local markets where they still have a relatively small market share. In light of these considerations, we conclude that the proposed merger will not facilitate coordinated interaction by increasing the effectiveness of punishment. To the contrary, we believe it is likely that maverick carriers will continue to prevent or limit coordinated interaction in most of the local markets identified above despite the merger. While we do not quantify the number of markets in which it is likely that the presence of a maverick would inhibit anticompetitive coordinated interactions, we take account of this factor in our market- by- market analysis by examining the ability of rival firms in the market to expand output, as described in Section V. A. 3. d., below. 163. Existing cooperative ventures. As noted previously, it is more likely that market conditions are conducive to coordinated interaction when market participants have previously engaged in express collusion. 416 In recent years, several infrastructure sharing joint ventures or agreements have been formed by different pairs of major wireless carriers. These include a Cingular/ AT& T Wireless venture to build out a GSM/ GPRS network along interstate highways, primarily in western and midwestern states and also New England; a Cingular/ T- Mobile venture to share existing GSM networks in California, Nevada, and New York; an AT& T Wireless/ Sprint agreement to cooperate in the construction of new wireless towers; and a T- Mobile/ Western Wireless agreement to expand GSM/ GPRS coverage in the western United States. 417 Such infrastructure sharing joint ventures and agreements have been cited as examples of previous cooperation among major wireless competitors that raise concerns about potential coordinated interaction. 418 We note, however, that one consequence of the proposed merger is that Cingular and T- Mobile have agreed to end and unwind their joint venture to share GSM networks in California, Nevada, and New York. 419 More importantly, viewed in the context of the historical development of the mobile telephony sector, these infrastructure sharing arrangements arguably do not represent a qualitatively new business practice, but rather can be seen as one of a variety of different types of partnerships and contractual arrangements that mobile telephony carriers have used to expand their geographic coverage in a regulatory environment based on regional licenses. In this regard, infrastructure sharing arrangements have already yielded, or show promise of yielding, the pro-competitive benefit of enabling carriers who are parties to such arrangements to launch service in regions that they previously have not served. 420 We conclude that the recent trend toward infrastructure sharing does not raise concerns about coordinated interaction, and we see no evidence that the merger will have any effect in this regard. We therefore conclude that the proposed merger will not alter the market in a way that would make infrastructure sharing arrangements a likely precursor of other forms of cooperation among competing wireless carriers that would harm consumers. 164. Implications. As indicated in the foregoing analysis, there is no evidence in the record to indicate that mobile telephony carriers have successfully restricted competition on price or non- price 416 DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 2.1. 417 Eighth Report, 18 FCC Rcd. at 14807- 14808; Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 29 ¶ 68. 418 Competitive Concerns Regarding Cingular Wireless’s Acquisition of AT& T Wireless, Presentation to FCC on Behalf of Thrifty Call, Aug. 4, 2004, at 10. 419 Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 29- 30 ¶ 69. See supra Section II. B. 2.. 420 For example, following the formation of their joint venture to share existing GSM networks in California, Nevada, and New York, T- Mobile launched service in California and Nevada, where Cingular already offered service, while Cingular launched service in New York, where T- Mobile already offered service. See Eighth Report, 18 FCC Rcd. at 14807- 08. 64 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 65 terms through coordinated interaction in specific markets, or that this merger will make such interaction more likely as a general matter. In addition, we are persuaded by the Applicants’ argument that certain characteristics of the mobile telephony market environment, including firm heterogeneity and the presence of carriers with excess spectrum or network capacity, may continue to make it difficult for carriers first to reach terms of coordination and then effectively to detect and punish deviations in specific markets. We acknowledge, however, that there is considerable variation across local geographic markets with regard to the number and identity of competing carriers, firm homogeneity, and the presence of excess spectrum or network capacity. Because of this local variation, it is difficult to generalize about the impact of the transaction in facilitating coordinated interaction to restrict competition on price or non-price terms in specific markets. Therefore, although our analysis tends strongly to discount the possibility that the transaction will make coordinated interaction more likely, more successful, or more complete, as a precaution we take the possibility of coordinated interaction into account in our analysis of specific markets by carefully scrutinizing, among other variables, the presence and capacity of rival carriers. c. Vertical Issues 165. In this section, we consider the potential vertical or other non- horizontal harms of the proposed transaction. Aside from the intermodal issues discussed in Section V. B. below, the only issues of this type on the record or that we identify in our independent analysis are the possible impacts of the transaction on roaming and special access. (i) Roaming (a) Background 166. Wireless calling plans specify a geographic “home” area within which the subscriber can make a call without incurring additional charges. “Roaming” occurs when the subscriber of one wireless carrier travels beyond the home area and utilizes the facilities of another wireless carrier to place an outgoing call, receive an incoming call, or continue a call. 421 Subscribers can roam manually by giving a credit card number to the host carrier. We are concerned here with automatic roaming, whereby, pursuant to agreements established between carriers, subscribers are able to roam seamlessly on other providers’ networks. 422 As detailed below, over the last several years automatic roaming has become widespread. Carriers may or may not impose additional per minute charges for automatic roaming on other carriers’ networks, depending on the customer’s service plan. 167. Cingular contends that the proposed transaction will not have an adverse effect on the availability of automatic roaming services. Cingular expects its business plan for the merged entity to benefit its roaming partners as well as enable it to provide wider coverage, improved service quality, and advanced data services for its subscribers. 423 In support of these claims, Cingular states that the combined company will still have over a hundred domestic roaming agreements. 424 Cingular further asserts that it “will continue to have strong incentives, driven by intense competition throughout the wireless industry, to enter into reasonable roaming arrangements with other carriers and will actually improve the roaming experience of other carriers’ subscribers.” 425 Cingular hopes “to have a substantial majority of its new 421 See Interconnection and Resale Obligations Pertaining to Commercial Mobile Radio Services, CC Docket No. 94- 54, Second Report and Order and Third Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 11 FCC Rcd. 9462, 9464 ¶ 3 (1996). 422 Id. at ¶ 2. 423 Cingular Response To Information Request at 5. 424 Cingular Opposition to Petition to Deny at 18. 425 Id. at 28. 65 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 66 customers on national plans by the end of the year.” 426 Cingular typically enters into reciprocal roaming rates and has “long- term agreements with its most important roaming partners,” including T- Mobile until 2009, and Dobson and Western Wireless until 2008. 427 Cingular asserts that it has no incentive to drive up roaming rates because its roaming partners would simply switch to its competitors instead, thus reducing Cingular’s roaming revenues. 428 Cingular’s business plan for the merged entity also includes a gradual, not a “flash- cut,” transition of its tens of millions of TDMA customers to its GSM networks. Among the reasons for Cingular’s gradual migration strategy is that a short cut transition would cost billions of dollars, inconvenience its customers, and possibly lead to its roaming partners’ service disruption. 429 168. Cingular states that its merger with AT& T Wireless will reduce its roaming costs because Cingular subscribers will no longer have to roam in order to receive service in many areas, including such major cities as Denver, Pittsburgh, Phoenix, and Minneapolis. 430 By the same token, former AT& T Wireless subscribers who stay with Cingular will no longer roam in order to receive service in a number of areas, including such major cities as Portland, Salt Lake City, and Tulsa. 431 Cingular contends that this elimination of roaming agreements will benefit its customers directly, because some customers will no longer be charged to roam in those areas, and indirectly because Cingular can pass its savings on to its customers through reduced price plans or improved voice service and advanced data services. 432 169. Some of Cingular’s roaming partners filed comments in support of the merger. Rural Cellular Corporation (“ RCC”), which has automatic roaming agreements with both AT& T Wireless and Cingular, asserts that, because Cingular intends to expand coverage and deploy next- generation services, the merger will benefit RCC customers for years to come. 433 Highland Cellular, LLC, a non- LEC rural wireless carrier that uses a TDMA system overlaid with GSM to provide service in one of the poorest and most sparsely populated areas of the eastern United States, claims it needs a strong GSM roaming partner, like Cingular, because it does not have the market strength to force GSM development. 434 If the merger allows Cingular to offer more robust national GSM roaming, Highland says it will benefit because more GSM customers will roam on Highland, providing it with valuable revenues. 435 Dobson Communications Corporation, a GSM roaming partner with Cingular, emphasizes that its customers will benefit from Cingular’s plans to deploy next- generation services. 436 Edge Wireless agrees with Cingular’s assessment that, after the merger, Cingular will be a net payor in roaming fees and, therefore, will have the incentive to enter into agreements with reasonable roaming rates. 437 426 Cingular Application at 32. 427 Id. 428 Cingular Opposition to Petition to Deny at 47. 429 Cingular Response to Information Request at 8, 9, 29. 430 Cingular Application at 21. 431 Id. 432 Id. 433 Rural Cellular Comments at 1. 434 Highland Cellular Comments at 3. 435 Id. at 4. 436 Dobson Communications Comments at 3. 437 Letter from Wayne Perry, Edge Wireless, to Marlene Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Oct. 7, 2004). 66 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 67 170. Consumers Union and Consumer Federation of America, on the other hand, argue that Cingular would leverage its substantially increased subscriber share to exact discriminatory roaming rates. 438 They argue that “with Cingular being 50 percent larger than its nearest rival and three to five times as large as the other national players, it is almost certain to shift from being a net payor in reciprocal roaming agreements to a net receiver.” 439 Though it does not oppose the merger, U. S. Cellular Corporation filed a comment urging Cingular to negotiate reasonable roaming arrangements and asking the Commission to enforce vigorously the Communication Act’s prohibition against unreasonable prices. 440 171. A few parties claim that Cingular and AT& T Wireless have begun engaging in anticompetitive conduct against small rural wireless providers and, therefore, request that the Commission not grant the merger application unless it imposes conditions prohibiting the merged entity from continuing this conduct. 441 For example, Public Service Communications (“ PSC”), National Telecommunications Cooperative Association (“ NTCA”), and Organization for the Promotion and Advancement of Small Telecommunications Companies (“ OPASTCO”) contend that Cingular and AT& T Wireless have begun shifting traffic to each other’s networks and away from rural carriers with which they used to roam and that, after the merger, Cingular might engage in discriminatory acts such as charging certain rural carriers roaming premiums. 442 (b) Discussion 172. In evaluating the impact of the proposed merger on roaming services, we focus on the potential harm to consumers of mobile telephony services, rather than to mobile telephony providers. Consumers would be harmed if, as a result of the merger, Cingular’s roaming partners pay higher roaming rates that are passed on to their customers, or the roaming partners' customers are no longer able to obtain roaming services in certain markets and they cannot replace that loss with equivalent or superior alternatives. We distinguish such harm to consumers from effects on mobile telephony carriers such as a reduction in the roaming revenues of one or more of Cingular’s roaming partners as a result of the merger. 173. We conclude that the proposed merger will not adversely affect the availability of roaming services or raise roaming rates passed through to customers. As discussed in greater detail below, the record shows that the provision of automatic roaming services has become increasingly competitive over time, and that the continued presence of two nationwide and numerous regional carriers using GSM technology after the merger should be sufficient to ensure the continued availability of roaming services at competitive rates to Cingular’s potential roaming partners. 174. Since the first broadband PCS auction in 1995, the provision of automatic roaming services has become increasingly competitive, and roaming services have become increasingly available 438 CU and CFA Joint Petition to Deny at 11. 439 CU and CFA Joint Reply at 6- 7. See also Newcomb Comment at 3. 440 U. S. Cellular Comments at 3- 4. 441 See Michael Kurtis ex parte letter to Marlene Dortch (Sept. 9, 2004). 442 See Michael Kurtis ex parte letter to Marlene Dortch (September 9, 2004). Kaplan Telephone Company filed an informal objection in which it claimed that Cingular had refused to honor a 2003 switching agreement with Kaplan because Cingular wants AT& T Wireless to have an unfair advantage over Kaplan in certain markets in which AT& T Wireless and Kaplan compete against each other. See Kaplan Informal Objection at 2- 3. Subsequently, however, Kaplan filed a motion to withdraw its informal objection on the basis that it and Cingular had executed an addendum to its 2003 agreement that resolved its contractual dispute. See Kaplan Motion at 1. 67 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 68 and progressively less expensive, in part because many automatic roaming agreements provide for reciprocal rates. One estimate of the average per- minute roaming rate charged to other carriers by six large regional carriers showed an 18 percent decrease from $0.43 per minute in 1999 to $0. 36 per minute in 2000. 443 Similarly, Verizon Wireless has estimated that its roaming costs with various carriers declined between 5 and 64 percent from December 1999 to December 2000. 444 Recent trends in roaming revenues confirm that roaming rates have continued to fall. CTIA reported that roaming revenues for the mobile telephony industry declined from $3.9 billion in 2002 to $3.8 billion in 2003. 445 As explained in one recent analyst report, given that roaming revenues are driven by roaming minutes and the roaming fees negotiated among the carriers, and that roaming minutes have risen significantly, roaming revenues have trended downward because roaming fees have fallen at a rate that more than offsets the rise in roaming minutes. 446 Several factors have contributed to the increased availability and competitiveness of roaming services, including the entry of broadband PCS operators and their continued deployment of digital networks, 447 the development of dual- band and multimode handsets permitting the interoperability of cellular and broadband PCS systems, 448 the increasing presence of carriers with national footprints, and the introduction and spread of national single- rate pricing plans that include roaming service at no additional charge to subscribers. 449 175. As broadband PCS licensees constructed their digital networks and cellular licensees began to overlay their networks with digital technology, the number of potential roaming partners multiplied in many geographic markets, making the provision of roaming services more competitive. The development of dual- band and multimode handsets that allow roaming on both cellular bands (A and B) and on PCS bands, and also between digital and analog technologies, further facilitated the ability of PCS and cellular service providers to roam with each other. Nevertheless, given the range of handsets currently available, the number of potential roaming partners in a given geographic market is still limited by technological incompatibility and frequency bands. We note in particular that TDMA/ GSM carriers do not have the ability to roam with CDMA carriers, and vice versa. 176. Currently, all the major nationwide carriers as well as many regional and small carriers offer nationwide or nearly nationwide plans that include roaming service to their subscribers at no additional charge. Even the “nationwide” carriers still have holes in their licensed service areas, however, and therefore have a strong incentive to enter into roaming agreements with other carriers in order to fill in coverage gaps, compete on the basis of coverage, and thereby meet growing consumer demand for nationwide single- rate calling plans. Since the average price per minute under this type of plan is the same regardless of whether the call is initiated or received on the provider’s own network or another carrier’s network, carriers offering a single- rate price plan have a strong incentive to negotiate to lower roaming rates they pay to other carriers. Conversely, competition and the need to generate revenues prevent nationwide carriers from refusing to enter into roaming agreements with smaller local and 443 In the Matter of Implementation of Section 6002( b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, 16 FCC Rcd. 13350, 13379 (2001) (“ Sixth Annual CMRS Competition Report”). 444 Sixth Annual CMRS Competition Report, 16 FCC Rcd. 13379 n. 194; Verizon Wireless Comments at 4 (data derived from raw billing figures from four of Verizon Wireless’s largest roaming partners). 445 CTIA, Semi- Annual Wireless Industry Survey, available at http:// www. wow- com. com/ industry/ stats/ surveys/. 446 Colette M. Fleming, et al., US Wireless 411, UBS Warburg, UBS Investment Research, Sept. 15, 2004, at 34. 447 See Automatic and Manual Roaming Obligations Pertaining to Commercial Mobile Radio Services, WT Docket No. 00- 193, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 15 FCC Rcd. 21, 628, 21, 633 ¶ 12 (2000). 448 Id. 449 Id. ¶ 13. 68 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 69 regional carriers or raising the roaming rates they charge other carriers above competitive levels. 177. As a consequence of the proposed merger, the number of nationwide carriers using GSM as their digital standard will decrease from three to two (Cingular and T- Mobile), and the number of potential roaming partners for other GSM carriers will decrease by one in each overlapping geographic market. This raises the question of whether the merger could have anti- competitive effects that would impair the ability of Cingular’s potential GSM roaming partners to negotiate reasonable roaming agreements. As a benchmark for evaluating the potential competitive effects of the merger with respect to the provision of roaming services, we note that currently there are two nationwide CDMA carriers (Verizon Wireless and Sprint), plus a number of regional and local carriers that use CDMA as their digital standard. We have heard no complaints from CDMA carriers or seen other evidence to indicate that the availability and pricing of roaming services have been less favorable for CDMA carriers than for GSM carriers. Based on this comparison, we conclude that the continued presence of two nationwide GSM carriers in conjunction with the existence of other regional and local GSM carriers should be sufficient to ensure the availability of GSM roaming services at competitive rates. Although the number of nationwide carriers using TDMA will decrease from two to one as a consequence of the proposed merger (because T-Mobile has no TDMA network), we are not overly concerned about the effect on Cingular’s potential roaming partners because, like Cingular, those partners are transitioning their business from TDMA to GSM (or, in some cases, to CDMA). These carriers will have a strong incentive, in direct proportion to their dependence on roaming revenue, to accomplish their transitions away from TDMA as expeditiously as possible in order not to be left behind when their largest roaming partner phases out TDMA. Any subscribers to these smaller carriers who are denied access to advanced handsets and services because of their carriers’ lagging transitions away from TDMA will have other options in the competitive mobile telephony marketplace. 178. We also consider the possible effect of the merger on the roaming market for those wireless telephony consumers who rely on analog service. There are 28 CMAs (out of 734) in which AT& T Wireless and Cingular control the two cellular licenses, 450 and in which the merger could therefore result in a reduction from two analog carriers to one. Because, as explained below, we order divestitures of operating units affecting six of these CMAs, there will be 22 CMAs in which this reduction will actually occur. No party has argued, and we do not find, that this two- to- one reduction in analog carriers will result in a significant adverse effect on the roaming market. These 22 CMAs are not located in the same state or region of the country, 451 and we think it unlikely that Cingular would attempt to restructure its roaming agreements generally so that roaming rates in these areas would be different from the rest of the country. The transactions costs of attempting to impose and enforce a higher roaming price on a roaming partner in one CMA (or in some cases, part of one CMA) when that CMA is near other CMAs in which Cingular is not the only analog carrier are likely to be too high to be worth the trouble, particularly in light of Cingular’s historical practice of negotiating larger- scale, reciprocal roaming agreements, as well as the fact that any possible benefit will disappear after a few years. 179. In addition, the general migration to digital technology in this industry mitigates any effect that the reduction in analog carriers might have on the roaming market. Cellular licensees are required to provide analog service only until February 18, 2008. 452 Furthermore, except for the small number of subscribers who have analog- only phones, an “analog monopoly” is only a concern to the extent that a subscriber is in an area in which there is no appropriate digital service (in this case, TDMA/ GSM) available. Our analysis indicates that, in each of these markets, there is also a carrier other 450 See FCC Universal Licensing System, available at www. fcc. gov/ uls. 451 The affected CMAs are located in Florida, Ohio, and Texas. 452 47 C. F. R. § 22.901( b). 69 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 70 than Cingular or AT& T Wireless offering TDMA/ GSM service. Finally, the fact that dual- mode handsets allow users to roam between analog and digital technologies also persuades us that the reduction in analog carriers is not likely to result in significant adverse effect on the availability and price of roaming services. 180. Finally, we stress again that our concern in this context is with the effect of this merger on consumers of mobile telephony services, not on particular mobile telephony carriers per se. In this regard, we believe that an overall disciplinary force in the context of the intercarrier market for roaming services is that customers of various firms always have the option to switch to firms employing other air interfaces. In other words, if any mobile telephony consumers – regardless of whether they are on GSM, TDMA, or analog- only plans – were to find that the roaming aspects of their wireless service plans became less favorable (whether in terms of price or in terms of coverage) as a result of this merger, they would always have the option not only to upgrade to a GSM plan (in the case of TDMA or analog customers), but to switch to a CDMA- based carrier altogether. Thus, the availability of service from Verizon Wireless, Sprint, ALLTEL, or smaller CDMA- based carriers that comes with favorable roaming arrangements should also act to constrain Cingular's behavior in this regard. 181. We are therefore not persuaded by the arguments of Consumers Union and Consumer Federation of America that, after the merger, Cingular will have the ability and the incentive to use its larger share of subscribers to exact discriminatory rates from roaming partners. 453 We find these claims to be unsupported speculation. 454 The parties making these claims have not presented any evidence, or made any specific allegations, that Cingular has taken steps in the past to charge a particular carrier unreasonable roaming rates, 455 and as discussed above we are not persuaded that this merger makes such action more likely in the future. 182. In addition, Cingular states that it has been and, after the merger, will continue to be a net payor of roaming fees, 456 and publicly available evidence tends to support this claim. 457 Since its practice is to enter into roaming agreements with reciprocal roaming rates (i. e., Cingular and its roaming partner pay each other the same per minute roaming rate), Cingular argues that, as a net payor, its incentive is to seek reasonable roaming rates with roaming partners. 458 Edge Wireless, which has roaming agreements with both Cingular and AT& T Wireless, supports Cingular’s assessment on this issue. 459 In their joint reply, CFA and CU contend that the more likely result of the merger is that Cingular will become a net 453 CU and CFA Joint Reply at 6- 7. 454 See Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. v. FCC, 19 F. 3d 42, 47- 48 (D. C. Cir. 1994) (appellant’s claim that Comcast, after receiving a license transfer, would engage in anticompetitive action to drive down roaming revenues of another carrier is nothing more than “unadorned speculation.”). 455 See CFA and CU Joint Petition to Deny at 11; Letter from Michael Kurtis, counsel for Public Service Communications to Marlene H. Dortch (Sept. 9, 2004). 456 See Cingular Opposition at 47. 457 Cingular’s public financial reports indicate that, during fiscal year 2003, it received more incollect roaming revenues ($ 757 million) than outcollect roaming revenue ($ 586 million). See Cingular 10- K at 29. Incollect roaming revenue is what Cingular receives from its subscribers when they roam on other carriers’ networks. Outcollect roaming revenue is what Cingular receives from other carriers when their subscribers roam on Cingular’s network. Therefore, greater incollect than outcollect roaming revenue can indicate that Cingular is a net payor of roaming fees. AT& T Wireless’s public financial records do not distinguish between incollect and outcollect revenue. 458 See Cingular Opposition at 47- 48. 459 See Edge Wireless Ex Parte, dated September 14, 2004. 70 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 71 receiver of roaming revenues and, therefore, Cingular’s incentive will be to use that position to exact discriminatory rates. 460 However, CU and CFA have not provided any support for this assertion. We note also that the consensus of the roaming partners who have filed comments is that they expect the merger to benefit themselves and their customers. 461 Nevertheless, we are concerned about the claims of PSC, NTCA, and OPASTCO that the merged entity intends to engage in allegedly anticompetitive and other unreasonable conduct such as blocking its subscribers’ access to other carriers’ networks. 462 We note that our manual roaming rule requires other carriers to complete calls initiated by Cingular’s customers where Cingular cannot because it has neither its own signal nor an automatic roaming agreement. 463 We adopt as a condition to our grant in this Order a reciprocal duty, i. e., that Cingular may not prevent its customers from reaching another carrier and completing their calls in these circumstances, unless specifically requested to do so by a subscriber. Finally, in the future, if a roaming partner believes that Cingular is charging unreasonable roaming rates, it can always file a complaint with the Commission under Section 208 of the Communications Act. 464 (ii) Special Access 183. Like other independent wireless or wireline carriers, AT& T Wireless enters into interconnection agreements with, and purchases special access services from, BellSouth, SBC, and other carriers. Thrifty Call argues that the Commission should reject the proposed merger because it will significantly increase BellSouth’s and SBC’s incentives to discriminate against Cingular’s wireless competitors in the provision of interconnection and special access services. 465 With respect to interconnection, SBC and BellSouth are prohibited by section 251( c)( 2) of the Act from discriminating against other telecommunications carriers, including wireless providers. 466 To the extent that certain incumbent LECs have the incentive and ability under our existing rules to discriminate against competitors, whether such carriers are wireless or wireline, in the provisioning of special access services, such a concern is more appropriately addressed in our existing rulemaking proceedings on special access performance metrics and special access pricing. 467 By addressing these issues in the context of a rulemaking, we will be able to develop a comprehensive approach based on a full record that applies to all incumbent LECs so that the Commission treats similarly- situated incumbent LECs in the same manner. 460 See CFA and CU Joint Reply at 6- 7. 461 See discussion supra ¶ 169. 462 See Sept. 9, 2004, Kurtis Letter to Marlene H. Dortch; Kaplan Informal objection at 2- 3. 463 See 47 C. F. R. § 20. 12. 464 47 U. S. C. § 208. 465 See Thrifty Petition at 16- 18; Thrifty Reply at 15- 16; Letter from Jonathan Lee, Sr. Vice President – Regulatory Affairs, CompTel/ ASCENT, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, Docket No. 04- 70 (filed Oct. 1, 2004) (CompTel/ ASCENT Oct. 1 Ex Parte Letter), at 1, Attach. at 14- 15. Thrifty also argues that the removal of AT& T Wireless as an independent purchaser of special access services will so reduce demand for special access services provided by competitive special access providers that competition in the special access market will be negatively affected for all customers of this service. See Thrifty Petition at 17. We are not persuaded by Thrifty’s argument. There is no evidence that AT& T is a significant purchaser of competitively- provided special access services and, even if it were, we do not believe that its acquisition by Cingular will affect the special access market. 466 See 47 U. S. C. § 251( c)( 2). 467 See Performance Measurements and Standards for Interstate Special Access Services, CC Docket No. 01- 321, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 16 FCC Rcd. 20, 896 (2001) (inviting comment on whether the Commission should adopt metrics to prevent discrimination in the provision of special access services); AT& T Corp., Petition for Rulemaking to Reform Regulation of Incumbent Local Exchange Carrier Rates for Interstate Special Access Services, RM- 10593 (filed Oct. 15, 2002). See also 47 U. S. C. § 272( e)( 1). 71 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 72 d. Market- by- Market Evaluation (i) Analytical Standard 184. As stated previously, a calculation of the HHI in a market is only the beginning of our analysis of the competitive effects of the merger, because its purpose is to eliminate from further analysis markets in which there is no potential for competitive harm. In our analyses of potential unilateral effects, coordinated interaction, and vertical issues, above, we have undertaken a general assessment of factors beyond concentration that are important to determining likely competitive effects of the merger. On the basis of these analyses, we have concluded that, as a general matter, even the markets identified for further review by our preliminary HHI and spectrum analysis are unlikely to suffer anticompetitive effects as a result of the merger. In any one of these markets, however, the actual array of factors that we have evaluated on a generalized basis could lead to a different conclusion for that market. Our next step, therefore, was to apply those general analyses on a market- specific basis to determine those markets in which anticompetitive effects are likely. The variables we used to conduct this analysis, which we drew from those larger analyses, can be divided into two basic categories, discussed in greater detail below. The first category consists of variables selected to take account of the response of rival carriers to a price increase and output reduction, or an adverse change in other terms and conditions of service, by the combined entity. In addition to unilateral effects, the variables in the first category also take account of conditions affecting the likelihood of adverse coordinated effects. The second category consists of variables selected to account for distinguishing characteristics of the combined entity that may affect its incentive to raise price and suppress output, or to make an adverse change in other terms and conditions of service. Apart from the variables relating to the response of rival carriers and the characteristics of the merged entity, we also examined whether the near- term availability of additional spectrum suitable for the provision of mobile telephony services will affect the likelihood of adverse competitive effects in specific markets. 185. Potential Rival Response. The combined carrier will have little incentive to raise its price or alter other terms and conditions of service to the detriment of consumers if, after such action, a sufficiently large number of its customers could obtain comparable services on what would now be better terms from other carriers. This depends, in turn, on both the presence and the capacity of rival carriers in specific markets, rather than simply on their current subscriber market shares. To take account of the presence of rival carriers, we counted the number of rival carriers that have launched service in the relevant market. 468 However, because the transaction will eliminate one of the six nationwide carriers, we were particularly concerned to ensure that rival carriers will have the ability to respond to a unilateral price increase for nationwide service plans that include roaming services at no additional charge to subscribers. Accordingly, in determining the number of rival carriers in each market, we particularly focused on those carriers offering competitive nationwide service plans as well as regional and local plans. 186. If rival carriers face binding capacity constraints, such as limited access to spectrum that cannot be overcome economically in a reasonably short period of time, then they likely will not be able to respond to the combined carrier’s price increase or other harmful conduct in a manner sufficient in the aggregate to make the action of the combined carrier unprofitable. In other words, if the rival carriers do not have the capacity to add customers (or do not have the capacity to do so without a noticeable deterioration in service quality), then they will not be attractive alternatives for customers and will not restrain the combined carrier’s price increase. On the other hand, as discussed in Section V. A. 3. b.( i)., 468 Although, for reasons outlined above, we were more concerned in this instance about the possibility of adverse unilateral affects than coordinated effects in specific markets, we note that this variable would also be useful for identifying specific markets in which adverse coordinated effects are likely. 72 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 73 above, even rival carriers with relatively small market shares currently may have the ability to discipline the market in the future if they do have adequate capacity to add customers. To account for the capacity of rival carriers, we examined the amount of spectrum suitable for the provision of mobile telephony services that each rival carrier controls in the relevant market and also the geographic coverage of each rival carrier’s network in the market. 469 187. As discussed previously, in the section on coordinated effects, the fewer the rivals in a market, the easier it may be for them to reach an understanding, either explicit or tacit, not to compete vigorously against each other. In addition, a rival carrier may have a strong incentive to deviate from the terms of coordination if it has excess spectrum and (or) network capacity relative to the traffic generated by its existing customer base. Therefore, the variables selected to measure the presence and capacity of rival carriers were used to take into account coordinated effects as well as unilateral effects. 188. Incentive of Merged Entity. There are two variables in the second category. The first variable is the subscriber market share of the combined entity. The transaction affords the combined entity a larger base of sales on which to gain from a price increase, and eliminates a competitor to which customers otherwise might have diverted their business. However, the incentive to raise price depends on whether the gain on sales made at the higher price outweighs the loss in sales due to the price increase. A large market share may make it more likely that a price increase will be profitable by reducing the size of the output restriction needed to produce a given price increase. The second variable in this category is the amount of spectrum suitable for the provision of mobile telephony services that the combined entity would control in the relevant markets. The transaction may make a price increase particularly profitable in markets where it enables the combined carrier to acquire control of a large share of the total relevant spectrum and thereby eliminate capacity that otherwise might have been used by competing carriers to attract its customers. 189. Access to Additional Spectrum. Apart from the presence and current capacity of rival carriers, the response of rivals to a price increase or reduction in quality by the merged entity may also depend on their ability to obtain access to additional spectrum suitable for the provision of mobile telephony services in the relevant market in a reasonably short period of time. Access to additional spectrum may also deter adverse unilateral effects in specific markets by making possible the entry of new carriers. We were especially concerned about this factor in dense urban areas, where call traffic at any given cell site can put high demand on available bandwidth, which can result in blocked and dropped calls. Although there are several significant blocks of suitable spectrum due to be auctioned by the Commission in the future, for the purposes of this transaction we limited our analysis of the potential competitive impact of additional suitable spectrum to two specific sources of spectrum. The first is the Commission’s Auction No. 58, which is currently scheduled to begin on January 12, 2005. This will be an auction for 242 broadband PCS licenses comprising spectrum that had been offered previously in other auctions, but was returned to the Commission as a result of license cancellation or termination. 470 In addition, inasmuch as a significant portion of the spectrum to be re- auctioned in Auction No. 58 was returned as a result of a settlement agreement between the Commission and NextWave, we also consider the possibility that the broadband PCS licenses that NextWave retained under this settlement agreement may be made available for purchase, or lease, on the secondary market directly from NextWave in a 469 We placed greater weight in this regard on the six national carriers and the three major regional carriers. We assumed that each of these carriers operating in the market already has significant name recognition and advertising presence in the market, and had sufficient access to any capital or equipment necessary to expand. 470 Broadband PCS Spectrum Auction Scheduled For January 12, 2005, Public Notice, DA 04- 1639, Report No. AUC- 03- 58- A (Auction No. 58) (rel. June 18, 2004); Revised Inventory For Broadband PCS Spectrum Auction, Public Notice, DA 04- 2451, Report No. AUC- 04- 58- C (Auction No. 58) (rel. Aug. 3, 2004). 73 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 74 reasonably short period of time. 471 However, we acknowledge the possibility that NextWave may use all or some of the broadband PCS licenses it has retained under the settlement agreement to launch its own service in certain markets. 190. Interaction of Variables. To summarize, we relied on the following variables to identify markets where the transaction is likely to diminish competition: (1) the number of rival carriers that offer competitive nationwide service plans as well as regional and local plans; (2) the spectrum holdings of each of the rival carriers identified in (1) above; (3) the geographic coverage of their respective networks; (4) the combined entity’s post- transaction market share; (5) the share of spectrum suitable for the provision of mobile telephony services controlled by the combined entity; and (6) whether additional spectrum suitable for the provision of mobile telephony services will be made available in the Commission’s Auction No. 58 or in the secondary market directly from NextWave. 472 In reaching determinations on specific markets, we balanced these factors on a market- specific basis, and considered the totality of the circumstances in each market. Thus, if our count of the number of rival carriers and our scrutiny of their spectrum holdings and network coverage indicated that the response of rival carriers will likely be sufficient to limit the ability and incentive of the combined entity to raise price unilaterally, we found that the transaction is not harmful to competition in a specific market even in the presence of a relatively high post- transaction market share of the combined entity. We also scrutinized, and based our determinations on, the uniformity of competitive conditions in local markets. Thus, in some instances, we found that the transaction is not harmful to competition in a particular market if the potential harm from the transaction is confined to a small enclave within the market, and this harm is likely to be ameliorated by the more favorable competitive conditions in the majority of the market. (ii) Results of Analysis 191. Our general conclusion, as discussed above, is that there is not a significant likelihood of unilateral effects or coordinated interaction as a result of this transaction, except in certain circumstances. Applying our analysis case by case confirmed that this is true for most markets, and in particular for those markets in which there will still be five or more genuine competitors in the market, post- transaction, each with a sufficiently built out network and sufficient bandwidth to discipline Cingular post- merger through the ability to attract customers away from Cingular should it attempt to increase price or reduce service. In these markets, we conclude that even a relatively high post- merger market share for Cingular does not indicate likely competitive harm. At the other end of the spectrum, we find that, in any market in which the merger would reduce the number of competitors to two or fewer, a market with this degree of concentration presents a significant likelihood of successful unilateral effects and/ or coordinated interaction even if the merged entity’s market share is not especially high. In between these situations were markets that presented less clear pictures with regard to the factors discussed above, and we have 471 In April 2004, NextWave entered into a settlement agreement with the FCC whereby it will retain certain of its licenses, and will return the remaining licenses to the FCC. This settlement agreement was approved by the bankruptcy court on May 25, 2004. Order Granting Motion Pursuant to Section 363 of the Bankruptcy Code, In re: NextWave Personal Communications, Inc. et al., 98B21529 (Bankr. S. D. N. Y) (May 25, 2004). 472 The impact of entry is incorporated into our overall analysis in two ways. First, as discussed in the unilateral effects section, we place considerable importance on the ability of firms already built- out in a market to expand capacity. This is one of the factors underlying our choice of threshold values for the variables used to identify problem markets. Second, we find that spectrum aggregation by the Applicants in markets where additional spectrum licenses will be auctioned in January 2005 is less potentially harmful than aggregation in other markets. The entry that this auction will enable is largely within the Commission’s control, and thus we can be relatively confident it will occur. Beyond this one upcoming auction, we do not rely on other planned auctions of mobile spectrum to enable entry, because they are too far in the future and involve encumbered spectrum. Moreover, we do not rely at all on entry by firms entirely new to the sector to ameliorate any anti- competitive harms. 74 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 75 examined each in detail to determine whether there would be sufficient competitive forces remaining after the merger to conclude that the merger is not likely to result in competitive harm in that market. 473 192. Using the analytical standard outlined above, our market- specific analysis eliminated all but 22 of the markets identified for further review by the initial screen. Based on our examination of the different variables and the interaction among them, we find that, in these eliminated markets, the transaction is unlikely to diminish competition through either unilateral action by the merged entity or coordinated interaction among competing carriers. Thus, although the structure of these eliminated markets will change as a result of the transaction, our market- specific analysis indicates that competitive pressure to attract and retain customers will still be sufficient to constrain carrier conduct with regard to pricing and other terms and conditions of service. 193. Below are the markets in which our case- by- case analysis indicated that competitive harm is likely as a result of this transaction. Detailed discussion of these markets is contained in Appendix D. As we note above, the transaction would almost certainly be harmful to competition if it resulted in a reduction in the number of rival carriers from 2 to 1, or 3 to 2. We see a reduction in the number of rival carriers from 3 to 2 in seven areas, 474 and in each case we find competitive harm and impose a remedy. We see no markets with a reduction from 2 carriers to 1. The remaining markets are on the list based on the totality of the circumstances, or the interaction of the variables we analyzed. In particular, they represent markets in which the post- transaction market share or spectrum holdings of the combined entity likely make it profitable for the entity to raise price and restrict output, and the presence and capacity of rival carriers, taking into account near- term opportunities to obtain access to additional spectrum, are such that the response of rival carriers is likely insufficient to deter such unilateral actions. 194. Most of the 16 markets in the first list, below, are smaller markets with high market shares for the merged entity and fewer competing carriers than in the majority of markets we reviewed. In these markets, we are concerned that there will not be enough competing carriers remaining, post-merger, to deter anticompetitive behavior by the merged entity. We also find these conditions in one larger market (Oklahoma City). Market Market Name CMA045 Oklahoma City, OK CMA292 Sherman- Denison, TX CMA293 Owensboro, KY 473 For example, in a number of markets, although rival carriers may not currently have sufficient capacity to absorb Cingular’s customers if those customers were to choose to leave because of a price increase, additional spectrum is either currently available (e. g., from NextWave) or will be shortly (in Auction No. 58). In several smaller, more rural markets, although Cingular’s market share is large, AT& T Wireless’s is very small (e. g., 2% or 3%) and there are other national carriers present with either higher or comparable market shares to AT& T Wireless. In these markets, we find that the merger would not significantly add to Cingular’s market power or substantially decrease the present level of competition. There are other markets in which, although the merger will decrease the number of competitors to three or four in terms of our market share data, additional nationwide carriers have recently launched and, since they have sufficient spectrum to offer competitive features across the market, we judge that they will be significant competitive forces in these markets. T- Mobile, for example, as a recent entrant in many markets, has experienced rapid share growth. In still other markets, the potential harms we investigated were present primarily in smaller or more sparsely populated parts of the market, and in many of these cases we judged it to be unlikely that the benefit to Cingular of attempting to impose and enforce higher prices or lesser plan characteristics in such areas would outweigh the cost of attempting to do so, so long as the competitive landscape in the bulk of the market was such that Cingular could not raise price or cut plan features generally. 474 CMAs 213, 326, 327, 328, 329, 330, and 517. See discussion in Appendix D. 75 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 76 CMA326 Arkansas 3- Sharp CMA327 Arkansas 4- Clay CMA328 Arkansas 5- Cross CMA329 Arkansas 6- Cleburne CMA330 Arkansas 7- Pope CMA357 Connecticut 1- Litchfield CMA443 Kentucky 1- Fulton CMA494 Mississippi 2- Benton CMA496 Mississippi 4- Yalobusha CMA517 Missouri 14- Barton CMA598 Oklahoma 3- Grant CMA657 Texas 6- Jack CMA662 Texas 11- Cherokee 195. The two markets in the second list, below, are denser urban markets in which the merged entity would have particularly high spectrum holdings throughout the market. Our concern in these markets is not that there will be too few remaining carriers to sustain the level of competition that the markets have enjoyed, but instead that, in light of the higher spectrum demands in a denser market, not all the remaining carriers have sufficient bandwidth for us to be confident that they can increase output and compete effectively for Cingular’s customers should Cingular attempt to raise price or reduce output. Market Market Name CMA009 Dallas, TX BTA 112 Detroit, MI 196. In each of the four markets in the third list, below, the competitive problem we identify is caused by one of the Applicants’ partial, non- passive ownership interest in a competing mobile telephony carrier. Because, in each case, this interest is significant enough to influence the degree to which these carriers actually compete with each other, for purposes of this competitive analysis we therefore attribute to the Applicants (and thus to the merged entity) this other carrier’s market share and spectrum holdings. With these attributions in these four markets, the merged entity would have very high market shares and levels of spectrum aggregation, and there would be fewer fully independent carriers than in the majority of markets we reviewed. We are therefore concerned that there will not be enough competing carriers remaining, post- merger, to deter anticompetitive behavior by the merged entity. Market Market Name CMA100 Shreveport, LA CMA213 Pittsfield, MA CMA275 St. Joseph, MO CMA454 Louisiana 1- Claiborne 197. With regard to a number of additional markets identified for further review by the initial screen, our market- specific review might have found that the merger was likely to cause competitive harm, absent the consummation of related transactions being undertaken by Cingular and AT& T 76 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 77 Wireless. First, a number of markets in California and Nevada are subject to an agreement whereby T-Mobile shares Cingular’s infrastructure in those areas. Pursuant to these sharing agreements, Cingular also shares T- Mobile’s infrastructure in New York City. As a result of its acquisition of AT& T Wireless, Cingular will no longer need to rely on T- Mobile’s infrastructure in New York City, and it would therefore be in a position to terminate the infrastructure- sharing joint venture, with the potential result that T- Mobile would lose access to any network facilities in the California and Nevada markets. Cingular’s acquisition of AT& T Wireless therefore has the potential to eliminate not just one, but effectively two mobile telephony competitors in these markets. However, Cingular and T- Mobile have reached an agreement to unwind the infrastructure- sharing joint venture, whereby T- Mobile will acquire from Cingular the joint venture’s network facilities in California and Nevada, as well as certain of its spectrum holdings. For the first time, T- Mobile will control the necessary assets for full, facilities- based competition in these markets. Our further review of these markets (listed in Appendix E), taking into account what T- Mobile will acquire from Cingular, indicates that the transaction is unlikely to diminish competition in these markets because there will be sufficient competitors (nowhere fewer than five) with sufficient coverage and capacity to deter anticompetitive behavior. In particular, T- Mobile, which is a relatively new and energetic entrant in these markets that has experienced rapid growth in market share, will now have both the incentive and the ability to be a significant competitive force. In order to ensure that this conclusion is realized, we condition grant of the Application on consummation of Cingular’s agreement with T- Mobile. 198. Second, because of AT& T Wireless’s current equity interest in Triton, we attribute Triton’s market share and spectrum holdings in a number of markets in the southeastern United States to AT& T Wireless (and thus to the merged entity). These markets are now the subject of a transaction whereby AT& T Wireless will sell its Triton interest to Triton. Our further review of these markets (listed in Appendix F), taking into account what Triton will acquire from AT& T Wireless, indicates that the transaction is unlikely to diminish competition in these markets because there will be sufficient competitors (nowhere fewer than six) with sufficient coverage and capacity to deter anticompetitive behavior. In order to ensure that this conclusion is realized, we condition our grant of the Application on consummation of AT& T Wireless’s agreement with Triton. 199. In addition, we note that, as part of the Application, Cingular indicated that it would divest any post- transaction spectrum holdings in excess of 80 MHz. Specifically, Cingular indicates that “the combined company will divest spectrum in excess of 80 MHz in any county in which it has interests in more than 80 MHz of cellular and Broadband PCS spectrum.” 475 Our analysis indicates that this commitment applies to 43 counties (in 9 CEAs or 12 CMAs, and listed in Section VI. A. 2. below) in addition to the divestiture areas already discussed above. Because Cingular committed itself to making these divestitures without regard to any finding of competitive harm in these markets, our grant of the Application does not include authorization to hold more than 80 MHz of applicable spectrum in any area, and we therefore condition our grant on Cingular’s fulfillment of this commitment. This condition will serve the public interest by making spectrum available to strengthen an incumbent competitor or to allow new entry in these markets. 200. Finally, we note that, as part of the Application, Cingular indicated that, if the Application is granted and the merger is consummated, it would not apply to bid in Auction 58 for any licenses in any BTA in which Cingular controls, or has a 10 percent or greater interest in, 70 MHz or more of cellular and/ or PCS spectrum. 476 Cingular committed itself to this restriction without regard to 475 Cingular Opposition at 9; see also Application at 19 n. 82. 476 See Letter from Brian F. Fontes, Vice President- Federal Relations, Cingular Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Oct. 22, 2004). 77 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 78 any finding that obtaining additional spectrum in Auction 58 would result in competitive harm in any of these markets, and we condition our grant of the Application on Cingular’s commitment not to apply to bid in Auction 58, as described above. 4. Public Interest Benefits a. Introduction 201. In addition to assessing the potential competitive harms of the proposed transaction, we also consider whether the combination of these companies’ wireless operations is likely to generate verifiable, merger- specific public interest benefits. 477 In doing so, we ask whether the combined entity will be able, and is likely, to pursue business strategies resulting in demonstrable and verifiable benefits to consumers that could not be pursued but for the combination. 202. The Applicants claim that a number of public interest benefits will result from this transaction. They contend that the proposed transaction will create a stronger and more efficient competitor in the wireless telecommunications marketplace, with sufficient spectrum, infrastructure, and capital resources to achieve: (1) significantly improved quality of service, compared to the current performance of either company; (2) substantially greater geographic coverage than either existing company currently has or could achieve on its own in the foreseeable future; (3) more robust advanced wireless services, delivered to more of the country and in less time than either company could on its own; and (4) more robust and reliable homeland security and public safety applications than either company alone could deliver. The Applicants also maintain that the combined entity will achieve economies of scale and scope and operating synergies resulting in billions of dollars in savings. 478 203. As discussed below, we find that the proposed transaction is likely to result in some merger- specific public interest benefits, although many of these benefits may be challenging to achieve because of sizable technological and financial requirements and may therefore be realized only over the course of a number of years. As a result, it is difficult for us to quantify very precisely either the magnitude of or the time horizon in which these benefits will be realized. b. Analytical Framework 204. The Commission has recognized that “[ e] fficiencies generated through a merger can mitigate competitive harms if such efficiencies enhance the merged firm's ability and incentive to compete and therefore result in lower prices, improved quality, enhanced service or new products.” 479 Under Commission precedent, however, the Applicants bear the burden of demonstrating that the potential public interest benefits of the proposed transfer outweigh the potential public interest harms. 480 205. There are several criteria the Commission applies in deciding whether a claimed benefit should be considered and weighed against potential harms. First, the claimed benefit must be transaction- 477 BA/ GTE Order, FCC 00- 221, ¶ 209; SBC/ Ameritech Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 14,825, ¶ 255; WorldCom/ MCI Order, 13 FCC Rcd. at 18, 134- 35, ¶ 194. 478 See Application, Exhibit 1, at 9- 25. 479 See EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20,630 ¶ 188; Applications of NYNEX Corporation, Transferor, and Bell Atlantic Corporation, Transferee, for Consent to Transfer Control, 12 FCC Rcd. 19, 885, 20, 063, ¶ 158 (1997) (“ Bell Atlantic- NYNEX Order”); see also DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 4. 480 See, e. g., EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20630 ¶ 188; see also Bell Atlantic- NYNEX Order, 12 FCC Rcd. at 20, 063 ¶ 157; Applications of Ameritech Corp., Transferor, and SBC Communications Inc., Transferee, For Consent to Transfer of Control, 14 FCC Rcd. 14, 712, 14, 825, ¶ 256 (1999) ( “SBC- Ameritech Order”). 78 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 79 or merger- specific. This means that the claimed benefit “must be likely to be accomplished as a result of the merger but unlikely to be realized by other means that entail fewer anticompetitive effects.” 481 Second, the claimed benefit must be verifiable. Because much of the information relating to the potential benefits of a merger is in the sole possession of the Applicants, they are required to provide sufficient evidence supporting each benefit claim so that the Commission can verify the likelihood and magnitude of the claimed benefit. 482 In addition, as the Commission has noted, “the magnitude of benefits must be calculated net of the cost of achieving them.” 483 Furthermore, speculative benefits that cannot be verified will be discounted or dismissed. Thus, as the Commission explained in the EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, “benefits that are to occur only in the distant future may be discounted or dismissed because, among other things, predictions about the more distant future are inherently more speculative than predictions about events that are expected to occur closer to the present.” 484 Third, the Commission has stated that it “will more likely find marginal cost reductions to be cognizable than reductions in fixed cost.” 485 The Commission has justified this criterion on the ground that, in general, reductions in marginal cost are more likely to result in lower prices for consumers. 486 206. Finally, the Commission applies a “sliding scale approach” to evaluating benefit claims. Under this sliding scale approach, where potential harms appear “both substantial and likely, the Applicants’ demonstration of claimed benefits also must reveal a higher degree of magnitude and likelihood than we would otherwise demand.” 487 c. Improvements in Service Quality 207. The Applicants note that both existing companies have been criticized for the quality of 481 EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 630 ¶ 189; see also Bell Atlantic- NYNEX Order, 12 FCC Rcd. at 20063, ¶ 158 (“ Pro- competitive efficiencies include only those efficiencies that are merger- specific, i. e., that would not be achievable but for the proposed merger. Efficiencies that can be achieved through means less harmful to competition than the proposed merger . . . cannot be considered to be true pro- competitive benefits of the merger.”); SBC- Ameritech Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 14, 825, ¶ 255 (“ Public interest benefits also include any cost saving efficiencies arising from the merger if such efficiencies are achievable only as a result of the merger...”); Comcast-AT& T Order, 17 FCC Rcd. 23, 246, 23, 313, ¶ 173 (Commission considers whether benefits are “merger- specific”). Cf. DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 4. 482 EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 630, ¶ 190; see also Bell Atlantic- NYNEX Order, 12 FCC Rcd. at 20, 063, ¶ 157 (“ These pro- competitive benefits include any efficiencies arising from the transaction if such efficiencies ... are sufficiently likely and verifiable ....”); AT& T- Comcast Order, 17 FCC Rcd. at 23, 313, ¶ 173 (Commission considers whether benefits are “verifiable”); SBC- Ameritech Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 14, 825, ¶ 255; DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 4 (“[ T] he merging firms must substantiate efficiency claims so that the Agency can verify by reasonable means the likelihood and magnitude of each asserted efficiency, how and when each would be achieved (and any costs of doing so), [and] how each would enhance the merged firm's ability to compete...”). 483 EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 630, ¶ 190. 484 Id. 485 Id.; see also DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 4. 486 See EchoStar- DirecTV HDO, 17 FCC Rcd. at 20, 630 ¶ 191; see also DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 4. 487 Id. at 20, 630, ¶ 192 (citing SBC- Ameritech Order, 14 FCC Rcd. at 14, 825). Cf. DOJ/ FTC Merger Guidelines § 4 (" The greater the potential adverse competitive effect of a merger ... the greater must be cognizable efficiencies in order for the Agency to conclude that the merger will not have an anticompetitive effect in the relevant market. When the potential adverse competitive effect of a merger is likely to be particularly large, extraordinarily great cognizable efficiencies would be necessary to prevent the merger from being anticompetitive."). 79 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 80 their service, including the number of blocked and dropped calls and calls of marginal quality. 488 The Applicants assert that “[ t] he ability of Cingular and AT& T Wireless to improve quality ... has been hampered by the amount of spectrum each holds,” 489 and that “by combining spectrum and network assets, the new company can offer higher quality service and achieve dramatic efficiencies not otherwise available to Cingular or AT& T Wireless individually. These efficiencies will allow the company to offer service with better voice and data quality, fewer dropped calls, and lower blocking rates.” 490 Because the proposed combination involves integrating not just spectrum assets but also existing networks, the Applicants maintain that improvements in service quality will be more significant and will be realized more quickly than would be possible through either company’s mere acquisition of additional spectrum. 491 Not only will the combined entity be able to take advantage quickly of increased capacity where the carriers already have effectively overlapping cell sites, they assert, it will also be able to address many coverage holes where their cell sites are not exactly overlapping. 492 “As a result,” they argue, “consumers will quickly experience improved service quality, such as a reduction in blocking and dropped calls during peak call hours.” 493 208. The Applicants currently operate similar networks based on two standards: IS- 136 and GSM. IS- 136 combines analog and digital time division multiple access, TDMA, to provide voice capabilities. GSM, also a digital standard, provides both voice and data capabilities. 494 The Applicants project benefits based not just on aggregating their spectrum holdings and network operations but also on spectral efficiencies to be achieved by combining their networks. Under best- case scenarios, and assuming seamless network integration, Cingular estimates that blocked calls will be reduced by 50 percent and that dropped calls will be reduced by 10 percent to 30 percent. These percentages will vary by local area based on pre- merger system loading and spectrum utilization (affecting blocked calls and dropped calls, respectively). 495 As an example, the Applicants state that their analysis of a metropolitan area currently served by both companies indicates that the integration of the two systems 496 will result in 180,000 fewer blocked calls per day, or more than 66,000,000 fewer blocked calls annually. 497 209. Thrifty Call disagrees that improvements in quality of service should be recognized as 488 Application, Exhibit 1, at 12. See also Application, Exhibit 1, Attachment 2 - Declaration of William Hogg and Mark Austin at 1 (“ Hogg and Austin Declaration”). 489 Application, Exhibit 1, at 10. 490 Id. 491 Id. 492 Application, Exhibit 1, Attachment 4 – Declaration of Marc P. Lefar at 10. 493 Application, Exhibit 1, at 13. The Communications Workers of America also support the Applicants’ argument in this respect. Comments of CWA at 2- 3. 494 TDMA, or “time division multiple access,” is used interchangeably with the TIA IS 136 Standard. While both IS 136 and GSM use TDMA, the two standards are incompatible. GSM uses a specific number of time slots to carry the GSM Packet Radio Service, or GPRS, and the Enhanced Data rate for Global Evolution (EDGE). GPRS and EDGE provide up to 115kbps and 470 kbps, respectively. In some cellular markets the Applicants provide CDPD, Cellular Digital Packet Data, with speeds up to 19. 2 Kbps. GSM and IS136 use both 850 MHz and 1900 MHz frequency bands, while CDPD is confined to the 850 MHz band. See Hogg and Austin Declaration at 5. 495 See Cingular Response at 84. See also Cingular Technology – FCC Presentation at 26 (Mar. 12, 2004). 496 Assumes full site collocation and fully compatible core, switching, and RF networks; further assumes that subscribers use dual- band and dual- technology handsets. The Applicants do not differentiate between TDMA and GSM with respect to blocked and dropped call behavior. 497 Application, Exhibit 1, at 14. See also Hogg and Austin Declaration at 18. 80 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 81 benefits of the merger because, it asserts, consumers can already get service superior to the Applicants’ from other carriers. 498 In Thrifty Call’s words, “poor service is simply the result of Cingular’s bad business decision- making that makes its service less efficient and more costly. Consumers will realize no direct benefit from this acquisition because consumers already can be relieved of the inferior service that Cingular says it and [AT& T Wireless] provide by simply switching” to another carrier. 499 Thrifty Call also asserts that Cingular’s “operational and network ailments” could be “solved for far less than the $41 billion” price it is paying to acquire AT& T Wireless, if SBC and BellSouth simply invested more into improving Cingular’s network. 500 Alternatively, Thrifty Call suggests that, if the companies need additional spectrum, acquiring it at auction is a viable alternative to this proposed transaction, an alternative which Thrifty Call says would avoid the public interest harms posed by this transaction. 501 210. On the basis of our assessment of the Applicants’ technical submissions, we agree that the combination of the Applicants’ spectrum and network assets is likely to enable the combined entity to achieve improvements in service quality, generally in the manner and for the reasons asserted by the Applicants. Once the combined entity integrates the two existing systems, including consolidating what will be duplicate analog, TDMA, and GSM/ GPRS/ EDGE networks, the amount of spectrum available to support current as well as new customers will be greater than either existing company currently commands. Where conditions enable the combined entity to take advantage of spectral and trunking efficiencies, the effective increase in available spectrum will be greater than is represented by the simple addition of the two companies’ holdings. The increased effective capacity should enable the merged entity to make progress in reducing the number of blocked, dropped, and marginal calls currently experienced by Cingular and AT& T Wireless customers. 211. Examining field performance data supports this conclusion. Superimposing Telephia’s “trouble spots” data 502 included in the record for both Cingular and AT& T Wireless in several tested metropolitan areas 503 suggests that both existing companies’ customers would experience improvements in service quality as a result of combining the two companies’ existing cell sites into one network, at least where subscribers’ current handsets are capable of exploiting the benefits of the combined networks’ capacity and coverage. In San Francisco, for example, we estimate that combining the two 1900 MHz GSM networks would result in substantial reductions in the number of trouble spots currently experienced by AT& T Wireless customers, and smaller but still significant reductions in the number of trouble spots currently experienced by Cingular Wireless customers. 504 Our analysis of other markets, including Seattle, Dallas, Boston, and Atlanta, suggests that similar improvements in trouble spots are likely. These are improvements which cannot be obtained without the addition of network and spectrum assets, both of which Cingular will acquire in significant quantity as a result of this merger in a significantly shorter timeframe than it would otherwise be able to do. 498 Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at iv- v, 21- 24. 499 Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 21. 500 Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 21. 501 Thrifty Call Reply at ii, 10. 502 Telephia provides comparative market- specific performance studies in which data is collected on multiple carriers’ networks simultaneously. In these reports, Trouble Spots include: Dropped Calls, No Service, Connect Timeout, Fast Busy/ Failed Access, Reorder, Below Average Audio Quality, and Bad Coverage. 503 [REDACTED] 504 Telephia provides plots designating trouble spots for the traveled roadways within a given area. [REDACTED] Of course, we cannot exactly quantify this effect on the basis of visual analysis, but this analysis is sufficient to suggest the nature and general scale of the improvement the merged entity can expect. 81 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 82 212. We disagree with Thrifty Call’s argument that any improvements in quality of service resulting from this merger should not be counted as benefits of the merger because they would merely correct for past failures of the two companies. Even if it were the case that any benefits resulting from this transaction in the area of service quality would only bring the combined entity up to the service quality level of its competitors, such benefits would nevertheless be real to current and future consumers. Thrifty Call’s argument that, in a competitive marketplace, consumers can relieve themselves of poor Cingular or AT& T Wireless service by moving their business to another carrier is of course true, but it does not undermine the public interest benefit offered by this merger; better performance on the part of the combined entity has the potential to improve the competitiveness of the market as a whole by enabling Cingular to present a greater service- quality competitive challenge to the other carriers – with the result that not only Cingular’s customers, but all wireless customers will benefit. 213. As for Thrifty Call’s argument that the same benefits the Applicants claim for this merger could be achieved through network investments and/ or participation in spectrum auctions, we partially agree. On the one hand, we agree with the Applicants that the service quality benefits discussed above are likely to be more easily and quickly achievable as a result of this transaction, which will make additional spectrum available to Cingular sooner than would be likely via auction, at least in some markets, and which will also bring Cingular existing network assets to deploy in lieu of at least some new network development. However, it seems likely that at least some of the network improvements Cingular anticipates could have been achieved through investment into Cingular’s network of a portion of the purchase price associated with this transaction. 505 214. Moreover, we cannot confirm either the magnitude of these benefits or the speed with which they are likely to be achieved. We note, to begin with, that the ability of the combined entity to take advantage of the potential increase in capacity offered by this transaction will largely be determined at the market and regional levels and will be limited by a number of factors, including: whether Cingular and AT& T Wireless are both currently operating in the same frequency band( s) (either 850 MHz or 1900 MHz or both) at a particular site, how compatible their current TDMA systems (which are provided by more than one vendor) are, 506 whether customers have handsets that can take advantage of dual- mode (TDMA/ GSM) and dual- band (850 MHz and 1900 MHz) service offerings, 507 and post- merger subscriber growth. As a result, at least in many locations, the improvements may not be immediately achievable. For example, 25 percent of AT& T Wireless’s GSM customer base is made up of 1900 MHz GSM users; the combined entity will need to equip these customers with dual- band handsets in order to access the additional capacity represented by Cingular’s 850 MHz GSM networks. 508 A specific instance of such an integration issue will be Baton Rouge, LA (CMA 80), where AT& T Wireless has 1900 MHz spectrum with both TDMA and GSM systems, while Cingular provides analog, TDMA, and GSM spectrum service at 850 MHz. 215. Furthermore, the two service quality improvement elements the Applicants discuss in this 505 Thrifty Call also asserts that Cingular’s ability to pay $41 billion for AT& T Wireless is the result of the ill- gotten gains of SBC and BellSouth, the two ILEC parents of Cingular. Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 22- 23. This assertion is beyond the scope of our analysis here, which focuses on the competitive harms posed and benefits offered by the proposed transaction. 506 As the Applicants integrate their TDMA systems, they may need to accommodate equipment from multiple vendors at the individual market level. [REDACTED] The Applicants’ ability to achieve trunking efficiencies in this area is dependent on their ability to integrate these systems. This same concept applies to integrating GSM networks, although GSM equipment is generally more compatible across vendors. 507 See Declaration of William Hogg and Mark Austin at 21 n. 24. 508 See Application, Exhibit 1, Attachment 6 – Declaration of Greg Slemons at 2. 82 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 83 context – increased capacity and reduced coverage holes – must to some extent be traded off against each other, at least in the short run. While closely overlapping cell sites 509 will enable the combined entity to achieve increased utilizable capacity by combining the sites, they will not address coverage holes. In addition, a large increase in frequencies per cell site may force shorter re- use distances, thus increasing interference exposure and requiring Cingular to add (or move retired) cell sites in order to maintain system quality. By contrast, non- overlapping cell sites 510 will enable Cingular to address coverage holes but will not lead to more efficient trunking. d. Increased Coverage 216. The Applicants assert that, in addition to addressing service quality issues, the combined entity will have a significantly larger service footprint than either of the two existing companies, resulting in higher functionality and more ubiquitous coverage for its customers: “[ T] he merger will expand the size of Cingular’s footprint and reduce its reliance on roaming networks which has prevented the company from exploiting fully the technological enhancements available over its new GSM networks. ... The combination of AT& T Wireless and Cingular will allow the availability of these services on a seamless, nationwide basis far more promptly than can otherwise be achieved, if they could be achieved at all, by the companies individually.” 511 Cingular indicates that, with the merger, it will be able to offer service in 97 of the top 100 markets nationwide, making it a more effective competitor against the other nationwide mobile telephony providers. 512 217. The Commission has previously noted the consumer benefits that flow from expanded footprints for nationwide carriers. 513 With a larger footprint, not only can a carrier offer competitive service to more consumers across the country, but also its customers may enjoy enhanced service and/ or lower prices because of factors such as the wider area in which the carrier’s full handset functionality is operative and the carrier’s lessened reliance on roaming agreements to fill out its coverage. 218. The combined entity’s service footprint will certainly be broader than either of the existing companies’ current footprints. AT& T Wireless will bring to the combined entity’s network very significant areas of the country in which Cingular does not currently offer service – especially in the Upper Midwest and Rocky Mountain areas, Oregon, major parts of Florida, and certain areas in the Northeast. As a result, while Cingular is currently serving 87 of the top 100 markets nationwide, 514 in 43 states, the combined entity will reach six new states and provide service in 97 of the top 100 markets (excepting only the Newport News, Norfolk, and Richmond markets, all in Virginia). The combined entity’s network footprint is estimated to encompass 250 million people, compared with Cingular’s current 226 million POPs coverage and AT& T Wireless’s 226 million POPs coverage. 515 The combined 509 [REDACTED] 510 [REDACTED] 511 Application, Exhibit 1, at 15. 512 Id. at 9. Communications Workers of America also support the Applicants argument in this respect. Comments of CWA at 3. 513 See, e. g., SBC- BellSouth Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 25, 480 ¶ 48. 514 Application, Exhibit 1, at 20. 515 See October 5 Letter at Attachment A; UBS Securities LLC, UBS Investment Research – US Wireless 411, at 12 (Sept. 15, 2004) (reporting Cingular’s network coverage POPs); see also discussion supra note 110 (discussing issues regarding calculation of licensed POPs); supra note 111 (discussing issues regarding calculation of network coverage POPs). Cingular has not provided nor has it “publicly reported network coverage figures for its network.” October 5 Letter at 3. 83 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 84 entity’s licensed footprint is estimated to encompass 286 million people, compared with Cingular’s current 236 million POPs coverage and AT& T Wireless’s 279 million. 516 This increase in current (and potential future) service coverage should directly benefit both existing and new customers and is not likely to be attained as quickly absent the merger. 219. Thrifty Call argues that Cingular’s coverage problems can be overcome through roaming agreements and do not depend on Cingular acquiring AT& T Wireless. 517 However, roaming may not be an equally acceptable solution, because in many cases a carrier is able to provide coverage more economically from its own facilities than it can through roaming agreements – generating marginal cost reductions that, in a competitive marketplace, are likely to benefit consumers through lower price and/ or increased service. Moreover, in many cases a consumer who is roaming on another carrier’s network does not have access to the full range of features offered by the consumer’s own carrier and supported by the handset the customer is carrying. For reasons such as these, the Commission has consistently supported facilities- based competition, instead of infrastructure- sharing, as ultimately more effective in delivering robust competition to consumers. 220. Nevertheless, we note that the combined entity will still need to rely on numerous roaming agreements to fill out its footprint in many parts of the country, including virtually the entire Great Plains. In this respect, the incremental increase toward a truly nationwide network represented by this transaction is not as significant as it was in the Bell Atlantic- Vodafone transaction which created Verizon Wireless, or indeed as it was in the SBC- BellSouth transaction which created Cingular in the first place. 518 We also recognize, however, that the combined entity will have increased ability to extend its network into licensed areas neither company currently serves, since it will pool the capital resources of the two existing companies and will be able to construct one set of facilities instead of two. We expect that the impact of this future extension of the network will be especially important in rural areas, which are most likely to go unserved or underserved today in any carrier’s network. The two companies’ current “GSM Corridor” joint venture, which has constructed shared network facilities along rural highways in a number of states, 519 demonstrates the potential benefits to rural areas of such combined efforts. On the other hand, the joint venture also indicates that such benefits are not entirely dependent on consummation of this merger, and we discount this benefit accordingly. e. Promotion of Next- Generation Services 221. The Applicants assert that, because of spectrum constraints, each current company is restricted in its ability to deploy “advanced wireless services” 520 on a significant scale and within the 516 See October 5 Letter at Attachment A; see also discussion supra note 110 (discussing issues regarding calculation of licensed POPs). 517 Thrifty Call Petition to Deny at 23- 24. 518 Cingular Wireless initially covered 175 million POPs; compare SBC's wireless companies' pre- merger POPs coverage of 120 million and BellSouth's 57 million. The two pre- merger wireless operations overlapped in only 3 MTAs. See SBC- BellSouth Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 25, 460- 25, 462. 519 Including Alabama, Colorado, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas, Utah, and Vermont. 520 The Applicants define “advanced services” to include streaming video, high- speed Internet transmission, multimedia messaging, and other services that require large bandwidth and high throughput speed. Declaration of William Hogg and Mark Austin at Appendix 1 – Mapping of Services to Preferred Speeds. In its Seventh Annual CMRS Competition Report, the Commission spoke of “next- generation services” to include “high- speed advanced mobile data services and the next generation of technologies – beyond the 2G technologies of CDMA, TDMA, GSM, and iDEN – that will make such services possible.” Seventh Report, at 12990, n. 32. In the most recent CMRS Competition Report, the Commission characterized “all of the network technologies beyond 2G that carriers (continued....) 84 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 85 timeframe required by the market. They maintain that the proposed transaction will speed the companies’ ability to offer these services in the majority of their service territory by providing the merged entity with the spectrum necessary to deploy such services without unduly disrupting existing services. 521 222. Both of the Applicants have selected the Universal Mobile Telecommunications System (“ UMTS”) as their technology to support next- generation services. UMTS uses a wide band code division multiple access protocol, or “W- CDMA,” for its common air interface, and requires a total of 10 MHz per RF carrier (5 MHz for the down link and 5 MHz for the uplink). 522 The Applicants assert that, although each of the existing companies is in some stage of testing or early market trials of advanced services using UMTS, neither company has the spectrum necessary to deploy a new UMTS network offering broad coverage while simultaneously supporting their existing operations. Cingular asserts that, absent the proposed transaction, it would not be able to offer such service in more than 38 of the top 100 markets, but that with the combined spectrum assets of the two companies it expects to offer such service in 70– 80 of the top 100 markets. 523 Two specific benefits it adduces in this regard are the advantages a more ubiquitous network provides to all subscribers to such services, and the increased ability the combined entity will have to offer such services in rural areas. 223. The crux of the Applicants’ argument in this regard is that, unlike the other nationwide carriers, they each must support four separate wireless networks, both now and for some time to come, and must dedicate separate bands of spectrum to each of them. 524 Like some but not all other carriers, both Cingular and AT& T Wireless have 850 MHz cellular licenses in a number of markets, one of the obligations of which is to offer analog service until February 18, 2008. 525 Unlike any of the other nationwide carriers, both Cingular and AT& T Wireless selected TDMA (IS- 136) as their initial digital air interface, and both subsequently selected GSM/ GPRS/ EDGE as their platform for “2.5G” services. Migration from TDMA to GSM requires construction of a new network, as does migration from GSM to UMTS. 526 As the Applicants point out, Verizon Wireless, by contrast, selected CDMA as its initial digital common air interface, and its migration path to more advanced services – including not only “2.5G” but also “3G” services – is generally by improvements to its CDMA network that do not require wholesale (... continued from previous page) have deployed, as well as those that they plan to deploy in the future” as “next- generation network technologies.” Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at 54- 55 n. 314. As the Commission noted, “[ t] here is ambiguity among other industry players, however, as to which network technologies constitute 3G and which constitute interim technologies, often labeled ‘2. 5G. ’” Id. For purposes of this discussion, we generally encompass in the term “advanced wireless services” or “next- generation services” all those services provided over next- generation networks. 521 Application, Exhibit 1, at 15- 19. The Communications Workers of America and The Alliance for Public Technology both support the Applicants argument in this respect. CWA Comments at 4; APT Comments at 1- 3. 522 As with other CDMA mobile (PCS or cellular) systems, a re- use distance of 1 applies. 523 Cingular’s Response to FCC’s General Information Request, Cingular’s Response, June 30, 2004 at 91, 92. See also Application, Exhibit 1, at 19; Hogg and Austin Declaration at 22. 524 Dobson Communications Corp., Highland Cellular, and RCC, all of which are rural carriers migrating from TDMA to GSM, indicate that they face similar network and spectrum challenges, and they support Cingular’s arguments in this regard. Dobson at 2- 3; Highland Cellular Comments at 1- 2; RCC Reply Comments at 1- 2. Lucent Technologies also supports the merger as helping to speed deployment of next- generation services. Lucent Technologies Comment at 1. 525 47 C. F. R. § 22.901( b). Note that PCS (1900 MHz) operations do not have an analog requirement. 526 GSM/ GPRS/ EDGE and UMTS may share some core network elements. UMTS requires an RF overlay since the common air interface (based on CDMA) is different from that of GSM (which is TDMA based). Some RF components at the base station may be shared, depending on the frequency bands. 85 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 86 construction of a new network. 527 224. In the Applicants’ characterization, therefore, Verizon Wireless can support its existing and future services on two networks, analog and CDMA – and eventually just one, if Verizon Wireless phases out analog service. However, since there is no software- based migration path from TDMA to GSM, in many markets both Cingular and AT& T Wireless are currently operating three separate networks to support analog, TDMA, and GSM services. 528 Deployment of UMTS requires still a fourth network. Both companies apparently plan to phase out analog service when the Commission’s cellular analog requirement sunsets; both represent that they are actively engaged in building out their GSM/ GPRS/ EDGE networks and transitioning customers from TDMA to GSM service; and both appear to envision an end state in which they are operating only two networks, providing GSM and UMTS services. However, phasing out analog and TDMA service will take time (the first largely for regulatory reasons, the second because their GSM networks are not yet as extensive as their TDMA networks), and the Applicants assert that neither company’s current spectrum holdings are sufficient to serve existing customers adequately, improve service quality, accommodate new customers, and develop UMTS networks of sufficient scale and robustness to be competitive. The Applicants argue that they need 80 MHz of spectrum to accomplish all of this: 50 MHz to support their current networks and 30 MHz to support UMTS. 529 With regard to the latter, the Applicants note that UMTS requires 10 MHz blocks and assert that they need three such blocks – one to launch basic service, a second to accommodate projected growth in demand, and a third to support broadband services. 530 225. We agree with the Applicants that the additional spectrum the combined entity will have available, in terms of both capacity and geographic coverage, should facilitate the combined entity’s deployment of more robust and ubiquitous advanced services. However, this benefit is difficult to quantify in terms either of effect or time, and we are also not convinced that this benefit is fully merger-specific. We accept that Cingular will acquire spectrum more quickly via this transaction than it is likely to via auction, at least in some markets. However, while the merged entity will be able to concentrate its resources and efforts in the construction of one next- generation network, instead of two, we are not convinced that Cingular could not have achieved at least some of these same network gains by investing a portion of the $41 billion purchase price associated with this transaction into improvements to its own network. 226. Having reviewed the Applicants’ technical submissions as well as documents submitted in response to our General Information Request, we are also not convinced that the combined entity will need 80 MHz in every market in order to realize these achievements. However, in making our finding with regard to the benefits likely to result from this proposed transaction, it is not necessary for us to quantify exactly how much spectrum the combined entity “needs” or to confirm or dispute the 527 A cdma2000 1x EV (single carrier evolutionary) network is implemented by installing an RF overlay on a cdma2000 1xRTT (single carrier radio transmission technology) network. Accomplishing this requires a backbone software upgrade and new channel card at the base station, without having to change out the RF system components (frequency band dependent) at the base station. Overall, 1x EV shares the core network with 1xRTT, but requires a separate RF network overlay (i. e., a separate RF common air interface). See THEODORE S. RAPPAPORT, WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS PRINCIPLES AND PRACTICE 39 (2002). 528 Application, Exhibit 1, at 5 (“ Both companies provide service utilizing three distinct networks using three distinct technologies.”). 529 In its comments, Dobson “confirm[ s] the validity of the statements … that as much as 80 MHz is needed.” Dobson Comments at 3. An email from Craig Paul, which we have entered into the record in this proceeding, disputes that Cingular and AT& T Wireless need 80 MHz of spectrum. Comments of Craig Paul at 1. 530 Hogg and Austin Declaration at 21. 86 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 87 Applicants’ representations in that regard. We do not conduct such an inquiry in the context of a spectrum auction before allowing a bidder to participate or before issuing a license to a winning bidder, and we do not think it is appropriate in this context either. Instead, our inquiry with regard to the combined entity’s spectrum holdings is: (1) whether the level of concentration of spectrum available for mobile telephony services that would result from this transaction presents likely competitive harms (which we have addressed in Section V. A. 3. b.( i)., above, as well as in our market- specific analysis as described in Section V. A. 3. d., above), and (2) whether the combination of these two companies and their spectrum and other assets is likely to produce verifiable public interest benefits. On the latter question, as discussed above, we find that the combination will likely produce some public interest benefits with regard to the deployment of advanced wireless services. 227. For these reasons, we do not agree with the arguments made by Consumer Federation of America and Consumers Union (“ CFA/ CU”) that the Commission (1) should require Cingular to return “spectrum in excess of 40 MHz” after Cingular accomplishes its migration away from the “multiple technologies” it currently supports, 531 and (2) should not “reward” the Applicants (by allowing them to keep certain spectrum holdings) for what they characterize as poor technology choices and poor operations. 532 CFA/ CU’s objection is essentially that, even if the Applicants were correct that they need a large amount of spectrum (e. g., 80 MHz) in order to support their existing operations and deploy next-generation services, the Commission should not recognize this combination of spectrum as providing a benefit to the public because that need would be the result of poor technology choices by Cingular and AT& T Wireless (to wit, the selection of TDMA), compounded by poor operating performance, resulting in inefficient use of the limited spectrum public resource. In CFA/ CU’s words, allowing this combination to go forward would “reward[] vastly inefficient companies for their bad stewardship of spectrum.” 533 First, we note that we do not place much weight on the claimed benefit in this instance, as discussed above. Furthermore, it is a long- standing principle of the Commission not to dictate technology choices, 534 and while the Commission is not required to “reward” the Applicants for difficulties that may have resulted from their choice of technology, neither is it our role to punish them for those difficulties or those choices. It is our responsibility to assess the likely competitive effects of the level of spectrum holdings involved in this transaction, which we have done in Sections V. A. 3. b.( i) and V. A. 3. d., above. In those sections of our analysis, we have found that, in the vast majority of the local markets affected by this transaction, the merged entity’s level of spectrum holdings does not present any anticompetitive concern. In those markets in which we have found likely competitive harm, all the remedies we order (as described in Section VI, below) include divestiture of spectrum licenses or relevant interests therein. f. Support for Homeland Security and Public Safety 228. Building on the improvements in service quality and network coverage that they argue will result from the combination of the two companies, the Applicants assert that the proposed transaction will enhance homeland security and public safety by “strengthening the resiliency and survivability of Cingular’s network” 535 and “facilitating a faster more widespread deployment of Wireless Priority Service.” 536 The Consumers Federation of America and Consumers Union (“ CFA/ CU”) reject this 531 CFA/ CU Reply at 2. 532 See generally CFA/ CU Comments, Introduction at 1- 4. 533 CFA/ CU Comments, Summary at 2; see also CFA/ CU Reply at 2- 3. Thrifty Call makes a similar argument. Thrifty Call Petition at 21- 23. 534 See, e. g., Spectrum Policy Task Force Report at 14. 535 Application, Exhibit 1, at 3, 9. 536 Id. at 5. 87 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 88 benefit claim, arguing that Cingular’s inefficient use of spectrum makes it unlikely that Cingular would “be able to handle the massive increase in call volumes that are attendant on major security events.” 537 229. We take considerations of homeland security and public safety extremely seriously, and we agree that a single network with greater coverage and capacity, as opposed to two networks with more coverage gaps, may “enhance service to both priority personnel and the general public in emergency situations, when wireless networks experience extreme congestion.” 538 In principle, we agree with the Applicants that “diversified routing, greater redundancy and increased reliability in both the signaling and data networks ... will improve the ability of Cingular’s wireless network to function if certain assets are destroyed or damaged in an emergency.” 539 230. However, any benefits for homeland security and public safety will not be realized overnight – they depend on the successful integration of the two existing networks, with all of the difficulties entailed in that effort, as we have discussed above. Moreover, the Applicants themselves indicate that a primary reason for this merger is to alleviate current capacity constraints and that they expect to take full advantage of their new capabilities for commercial services going forward. In this respect, we take note of CFA/ CU’s concern that if Cingular and AT& T Wireless are having operational difficulties in the pre- merger world because of capacity constraints or other factors, such difficulties are unlikely to be eliminated immediately by the combined entity. The magnitude of the potential enhancements to homeland security and public safety is therefore not clear to us. Furthermore, to a certain degree the benefits to priority personnel even after full network integration is achieved depend on factors not under Cingular’s control, such as the extent to which first responders carry dual- band phones in areas in which one of these companies currently has an 850 MHz cellular license and the other has a 1.9 GHz PCS license. Therefore, while we agree that the proposed transaction presents the potential for security and safety benefits as the result of the formation of a more robust, more ubiquitous network, with greater survivability, we do not place tremendous weight on this potential benefit. g. Economies of Scale and Operating Synergies 231. Finally, Cingular asserts that it “expects to generate operating and capital expense synergies of more than $1 billion in 2006 and more than $2 billion in subsequent years due to new economies of scale and scope created by the acquisition of AT& T Wireless.” 540 In addition to the elimination of redundant networks, 541 Cingular represents that these synergies will include “greater purchasing and billing system efficiencies and reductions in common expenses – such as network expansion expenses and maintenance and administrative costs.” 542 Cingular also points to operating synergies it expects to realize as a result of sharing best practices in “distribution, procurement, advertising, and other functions,” 543 Cingular’s expertise at combining billing systems and call centers 537 CFA/ CU Reply at 7- 8. Thrifty Call also complains that the Applicants did not provide any support from homeland security or public safety personnel affirming the claimed benefits and did not explain why these benefits are not achievable absent the merger. Thrifty Call Reply at 11. We note that we have subsequently received a number of letters from public safety organizations and other officials expressing support for this transaction. See, e. g., Connecticut Police Chiefs Association Comment at 1; National Emergency Number Association Comment at 1. 538 Id. at 5, 23- 24. 539 Id. at 5, 23- 24. 540 Id. at 22. 541 Id. 542 Id. 543 Id. 88 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 89 and implementing Local Number Portability, 544 AT& T Wireless’s expertise in serving business customers, 545 and improved handset functionality resulting from the merged entity’s greater purchasing power and the larger customer base over which it will be able to spread development and deployment costs. 546 232. Based on the evidence presented by Applicants, we believe that the transaction is likely to enable the merged entity to achieve certain economies of scope and scale and operating synergies of the type asserted and that, absent the transaction, the parties individually could not have achieved. However, the record does not contain sufficient supporting evidence for us to verify and quantify the claimed savings or to determine the extent to which they are specific to this transaction. Thus, we cannot confirm the total savings estimated by Applicants and do not give significant weight to them in our balancing of potential public interest harms and benefits. 233. However, we do recognize one specific category of cost savings in this context. Cingular’s merger with AT& T Wireless will reduce its roaming costs in overlapping geographic markets, and the elimination of roaming agreements in these overlapping markets will directly benefit those of its customers who will no longer be charged to roam in those areas. We further recognize that the cost savings generated by the elimination of roaming agreements in overlapping markets have the potential to benefit Cingular’s customers indirectly by giving Cingular the ability and the incentive to compete more aggressively with regard to pricing, coverage, and the provision of advanced data services. We emphasize, however, that the realization of these indirect benefits and their magnitude will depend on whether, and the extent to which, Cingular passes on cost savings to its customers through lower prices or product improvements such as better voice service and advanced data services. h. Disability Issues 234. Self Help for Hard of Hearing People (“ SHHH”) asserts that the proposed transaction will benefit people with hearing loss because Cingular is a leader in “address[ ing] the technological barriers to people who have hearing loss,” and the combined entity would increase the reach of that leadership. 547 This assertion has been supported by representations from other organizations, such as the National Spinal Cord Injury Association, the American Council for the Blind, the American Foundation for the Blind, and the Alliance for Technology Access. 548 The Commission has long been concerned to increase the availability of wireless services to Americans with hearing difficulties, as demonstrated by action we have taken in a number of other proceedings. 549 While the record in this proceeding is insufficient for us to determine with exactitude the degree to which approval of this transaction will materially aid in that effort, we recognize this important potential public interest benefit. i. Labor Issues 235. The Communications Workers of America assert that “the merger will benefit working 544 Id. at 23. 545 Id. 546 Id. 547 SHHH Comments at 1- 2. 548 Ex parte letter from Marcie Roth, Executive Director, National Spinal Cord Injury Association, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 13, 2004). 549 In the Matter of Section 68. 4( a) of the Commission's Rules Governing Hearing Aid- Compatible Telephones, WT Docket No. 01- 309, RM- 8658, Report and Order, FCC 03- 168 (rel. Aug. 14, 2003), recon. pending. 89 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 90 families and communities with high- wage, high- skill union jobs” because of Cingular’s commitment to “progressive human resources policies,” and that these benefits will ultimately be realized by consumers in the form of improved customer service. 550 However, the record is insufficient for us to draw any conclusions in this regard, and – unlike in the case of benefits based on technical factors – we do not have any independent basis on which to review this claim. j. Conclusion 236. In sum, while we find that this transaction is likely to result in transaction- specific public interest benefits, we are not able on the basis of this record, using the sliding scale approach described above, to conclude that they are sufficiently large or imminent to outweigh the potential harms we have identified in certain individual markets. In those markets, therefore, remedies are necessary to reduce the harms. B. Intermodal Competition 237. The Commission has taken note of the increasing development of intermodal competition between wireline and wireless services. 551 In this proceeding, evidence indicates that a limited but growing proportion of consumers in the mass market 552 use wireless as their primary line or have chosen to cut the cord and use wireless services in lieu of wireline services for all of their local exchange services. 553 We find it relevant, in analyzing this proposed transaction, that Cingular is owned by the second and third largest RBOCs. 554 Because BellSouth and SBC derive such a significant portion of their 550 CWA Comments at 4- 5. 551 See, e. g., Review of the Section 251 Unbundling Obligations of Incumbent Local Exchange Carriers, Implementation of the Local Competition Provisions of the Telecommunications Act of 1996, Deployment of Wireline Services Offering Advanced Telecommunications Capability, CC Docket Nos. 01- 338, 96- 98, 98- 147, Report and Order on Remand and Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 18 FCC Rcd. 16, 978, 17, 119 ¶ 230 (2003) (“ Triennial Review Order”), corrected by Errata, 18 FCC Rcd. 19, 020 (2003), aff’d in part, remanded in part, vacated in part on other grounds, United States Telecom Ass’n v. FCC, 359 F. 3d 554 (D. C. Cir. 2004), petitions for cert. filed, Nos. 04- 12, 04- 15, 04- 18 (June 30, 2004); Application by SBC Communications Inc., Nevada Bell Telephony Company, and Southwestern Bell Communications Services, Inc., for Authorization to Provide In- Region, InterLATA Services in Nevada, WC Docket No. 03- 11, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 18 FCC Rcd. 7196, 7210 ¶ 26 (2003) (“ SBC Nevada Order”). The Commission has also taken note of the increasing migration of toll calls from wireline to wireless services (i. e., “minute substitution” as opposed to replacement of one service with another); see also Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at ¶ 213; In the Matter of Section 272( f)( 1) Sunset of the BOC Separate Affiliate and Related Requirements, WC Docket No. 02- 112, Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 18 FCC Rcd. 10, 914, 10, 919 ¶ 8 (2003) (noting increasing substitution of mobile wireless service for traditional wireline service, “particularly for interstate calls”); In the Matter of Federal- State Joint Board on Universal Service, CC Docket No. 96- 45, Report and Order and Second Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 17 FCC Rcd. 24, 952, 24, 965, ¶ 21 (2002) (adjusting wireless carriers’ safe harbor for universal service contributions based on increase in the extent to which mobile wireless consumers utilize their wireless phones for interstate calls). 552 The mass market consists of residential customers and very small business customers. These categorizations are consistent with the Commission’s approach in prior merger orders. See, e. g., WorldCom- MCI, 13 FCC Rcd. 18, 025, 18, 040- 41 ¶¶ 25- 26 (1998); GTE- Bell Atlantic, 15 FCC Rcd. at 14, 088- 89 ¶ 102; Triennial Review Order, 18 FCC Rcd. at 17, 063 ¶ 126. 553 See infra ¶ 241. 554 SBC has approximately 28.8 million retail residential and 18.3 million retail business access lines within its region. See SBC 10- K at 5. BellSouth has approximately 14.1 million retail residential and 6. 9 million retail business lines within its region. See BellSouth 10- K at 30. 90 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 91 revenues from their in- region wireline operations, 555 these companies have an incentive to protect their wireline customer base from intermodal and intramodal competition. In this section, we examine the potential impact on intermodal competition of Cingular’s merger with the largest independent wireless carrier. 556 238. We conclude that any potential public interest harm to intermodal competition arising from the loss of AT& T Wireless as an independent competitor is mitigated by the limited level of wireless- wireline competition at this point in time, and by the continued existence of a number of independent national and regional wireless carriers in the markets relevant to this transaction. 557 We also find that any potential harm is outweighed by the potential benefits that the merged entity could bring to the majority of mass market consumers. At the same time, we caution that further losses of significant independent wireless carriers to wireline- affiliated carriers will be closely scrutinized, and absent significant offsetting public interest benefits, may lead to different conclusions. 1. Substitution between Wireless and Wireline Services 239. The Commission has previously found that consumers tend to use wireless and wireline services in a complementary manner and view the services as distinct because of differences in functionality. 558 As a result, a relatively limited number of mass market consumers have chosen to substitute one service for the other. 559 Thus, for purposes of this proceeding, we believe it would be 555 SBC’s wireline operations generate approximately 72.6 percent of its annual revenues, whereas BellSouth’s wireline operations generate approximately 61. 8 percent of its annual revenues. Cingular generates approximately 20. 7 percent of SBC’s annual revenue and approximately 18.5 percent of BellSouth’s annual revenue. See SBC 10-K at 5- 10; BellSouth at 24- 34. 556 See, e. g., Consumer Federation of America and Consumers Union Petition to Deny at 5, 9; Consumer Federation of America and Consumers Union Reply at 8, 12- 15. We use the term independent wireless carrier to mean a wireless carrier that is not owned or controlled by an incumbent LEC, or, if owned or controlled by an incumbent LEC, one that has wireline operations significantly smaller than its wireless operations. For example, we classify Sprint as an independent wireless carrier given that it operates as an incumbent LEC in a relatively small number of markets compared to its wireless footprint; it has significantly fewer local exchange access lines than wireless customers; and it derives a significantly larger portion of its revenues from its wireless operations than from its wireline operations. Sprint’s local wireline operation has approximately 7.9 million access lines, whereas it has more than 20 million wireless subscribers. See Sprint SEC Form 10- K for Year- End December 31, 2003 at 25- 38; Sprint SEC Form 10- K for Year- End December 31, 2003, Attach. F at 4. 557 Our conclusion is based on compliance with any conditions necessary to address horizontal concentration in individual wireless markets, as discussed elsewhere in this Order. We also note that SBC and BellSouth face competition in the mass market from other intermodal providers such as cable operators and VoIP providers, as well as intramodal competitors (e. g., carriers purchasing unbundled loop access). See Industry Analysis and Technology Division, Wireline Competition Bureau, FCC, Local Telephone Competition: Status as of Dec. 31, 2003, at 1- 2 (rel. June 2003), available at http:// www. fcc. gov/ wcb/ iatd/ stats. html; Anne Kandra, Should You Switch to a Net Phone? Making Calls Over Your Broadband Connection Can Save You Some Money, PC World, Nov. 2004 (2004 WL 65832115), at 1 (" The Yankee Group expects there will be 1 million VoIP subscribers by the end of 2004, up from just 131, 000 last year."). At the same time, we note that facilities- based competition is greater for enterprise services than for mass market services. 558 See, e. g., Triennial Review Order, 18 FCC Rcd at 17, 119 ¶ 230. 559 See Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at ¶ 212; Federal- State Joint Board on Universal Service, CC Docket No. 96- 45, Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking and Report and Order, 17 FCC Rcd 3752, 3757 ¶ 11 (2002); Application of BellSouth Corporation, BellSouth Telecommunications, Inc., and BellSouth Long Distance, Inc., for Provision of In-Region, InterLATA Services in Louisiana, CC Docket No. 98- 121, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 13 FCC Rcd 20, 599, 20, 624 ¶ 32 (1998). Whereas wireless services may have a comparative advantage over wireline services in providing the consumer mobility, wireline local exchange services may have comparative advantages in reliability, (continued....) 91 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 92 premature to consider the existence of a separate relevant market in which wireline and wireless services compete for mass market consumers. 560 Instead, in evaluating the extent of intermodal competition between wireline and wireless telecommunications voice services, we consider the number of consumers that have chosen to “cut the cord,” i. e., those that have substituted wireless for wireline service. 561 240. As the Commission has noted in other proceedings, a number of wireless carriers offer plans designed as a landline replacement service, e. g., MetroPCS, Leap Wireless (Cricket), and Triton, as these plans include unlimited local calling within some specified local calling area and offer a traditional monthly recurring fee long distance calling option that closely resembles the cost for wireline local exchange service. 562 Other wireless service plans that may also serve as a wireline replacement for some consumers are those that (1) are priced competitively to analogous wireline services, (2) include sufficient anytime minutes to accommodate a customer’s normal inbound and outbound calling patterns, and (3) avoid overage charges. 563 While we have insufficient information to determine the particular combination of anytime minutes and price points most desirable to mass market consumers that have either cut the cord or would consider cutting the cord, some record evidence indicates that wireless plans priced no greater than [REDACTED], with a significant number of anytime minutes, could result in a significant (... continued from previous page) E- 911 coverage, ubiquity, and lower- cost unlimited local calling. See, e. g., Triennial Review Order, 18 FCC Rcd at 17, 119 ¶ 230. 560 We do not separately consider a bundled wireline and wireless service package in connection with this proposed transaction because these service packages have only recently become available on the market, demand for them has been severely limited, and it is too early to evaluate their competitive impact. See Thrifty Petition to Deny at 4, 7; Applicants’ Joint Opposition to Petitions to Deny and Comments at 42- 43. 561 This approach is consistent with the Applicants’ position in other proceedings that the Commission must consider mobile wireless in its analysis of competition for local exchange and long distance services. See, e. g., Letter from Mary L. Henze, Asst. Vice President – Federal Regulatory, BellSouth, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, WC Docket No. 02- 112, CC Docket No. 00- 175, Attach. at 1- 10 (filed Oct. 21, 2003); Letter from Brett A. Kissel, Assoc. Director – Federal Regulatory, SBC, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, WC Docket No. 02- 112, CC Docket No. 00- 175, Attach. at 12- 15, 21 (filed Dec. 16, 2004); see also Letter from Dee May, Vice President – Federal Regulatory, Verizon, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, WC Docket No. 02- 112, CC Docket No. 00- 175, Attach. at 8- 11 (filed Feb. 13, 2004); SBC Reply Comments, Reply Declaration of Dennis W. Carlton, Hal Sider and Allan Shampine, WC Docket No. 02- 112, CC Docket No. 00- 175, ¶ 32 (filed May 19, 2003) (‘‘ Bundled local/ long distance services offered by ILECs and CLECs compete not only with each other but also with local services and long distance services offered on an unbundled basis and with bundled services offered by wireless carriers. ’’). It is also consistent with SBC’s position and our finding in the SBC Nevada Order that SBC had met the requirements of section 271( c)( 1)( A) for residential consumers in Nevada solely based on evidence that mass market residential customers subscribed to Cricket (a PCS mobile telephony service) in lieu of wireline local exchange service in SBC’s region in Nevada. See SBC Nevada Order, 18 FCC Rcd at 7206 ¶ 18; see also Application of Qwest Communications International, Inc., for Authorization to Provide In- Region, InterLATA Services in New Mexico, Oregon, and South Dakota, WC Docket No. 03- 11, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 18 FCC Rcd. 7325, 7339, ¶ 26 (2003). 562 See, e. g., Ninth Report, FCC 04- 216, at ¶¶ 215- 16. 563 We assume a consumer looking for a wireline replacement plan will consider only those wireless telecommunications voice service plans that are economical for him given his preferences for vertical features and his local and long distance calling patterns (e. g., frequency, duration, and time preference) and that have a relatively small price premium relative to wireline service. See AT& T Wireless July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at AWSFCC00194000- 48; AWSFCC00194193- 208; AWSFCC00197204- 13; AWSFCC00197955- 98; BellSouth July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at BLSFCC00038343- 69; BLSFCC00096193- 248; BLSFCC00098191- 212. 92 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 93 number of households choosing to cut the cord. 564 241. The record evidence demonstrates that while a small proportion of consumers have chosen to cut the cord, intermodal competition is growing and wireless services may become a more significant direct competitor to wireline services for a larger portion of the mass market in the future. Although the Census Bureau estimates that six percent of households have cut the cord nationwide, documents provided by Cingular, its parent companies, and AT& T Wireless indicate that this percentage is likely to grow in the near future. 565 These documents also indicate that there is significant variation in the proportion of consumers that have cut the cord across metropolitan areas and demographic groups. 566 The growing significance of intermodal competition is revealed in the evidence that these carriers consider the prospect of consumers’ subscription to wireless services in lieu of wireline services when engaging in research, and development of corporate strategies and market offerings. 567 However, other evidence suggests that most consumers may still continue to find the costs (including opportunity costs 568 ) of cutting the cord and using wireless telecommunications services in lieu of wireline telecommunications services to be prohibitive. 569 For example, the opportunity costs that the consumer may consider before cutting the cord could include the loss of an option to access the Internet via broadband or dial- up, 564 AT& T Wireless July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at AWSFCC00193510- 604; AWSFCC00193606- 641; AWSFCC00194193- 208. 565 See C. Tucker, et al., 2004 Telephone Service in U. S. Households in 2004, paper presented at the 59th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, May 2004 (2004 Telephone Service Paper). The U. S. Census Bureau estimates that there are approximately 115. 9 million households in the United States. Thus, we estimate that there are approximately 7 million households that have cut the cord. See also AT& T Wireless July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at AWSFCC00194000- 48; AWSFCC00194193- 208; AWSFCC00195361- 410; AWSFCC00197204- 13; AWSFCC00197237- 43; BellSouth July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at BLSFCC00008365- 402; BLSFCC00098191- 212; BLSFCC00155178- 205. 566 [REDACTED]. The U. S. Census Bureau results suggest the proportion of consumers that have cut the cord is increasing across demographic groups. See AT& T Wireless July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at AWS00197955- 98; SBC July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at SBCFCC00013167; SBCFCC00016362- 409; see also BellSouth July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at BLSFCC00002658- 71; BLSFCC00096067-115; BLSFCC00211764- 91; 2004 Telephone Service Paper. 567 See discussion of AT& T Wireless’s incentives and Cingular’s product offerings below; see also BellSouth July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at BLSFCC00002658- 71; BLSFCC00005025- 33; BLSFCC00008365- 402; BLSFCC00038763- 71; BLSFCC00096067- 115; BLSFCC00098191- 212; BLSFCC00155178- 91; BLSFCC00177285- 355; BLSFCC00211675- 719; BLSFCC00212603- 48; Cingular July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at CNGFCC02995653- 65; CNGFCC02998932- 55; CNGFCC02998975- 96; CNGFCC03000023- 29; CNGFCC03098350- 71; CNGFCC03099586- 606; SBC July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at SBCFCC00000037- 50; SBCFCC00000061- 129; SBCFCC00002065- 76; SBCFCC00002567- 78; SBCFCC00069982- 70013; Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President - External Affairs and Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, WT Docket No. 04- 70, Confidential Attach., Declaration of Ted Stine, ¶¶ 2- 7 (confidential) (filed Sept. 7, 2004) (AT& T Wireless Sept. 7 Ex Parte Letter). 568 The opportunity cost of an action is the value of the foregone alternative action. THE MIT DICTIONARY OF MODERN ECONOMICS, edited by David W. Peace, at 315 (1996). 569 See Hearings before the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, Subcommittee on Telecommunications and the Internet, 108th Congress, 2004 WL 84558556 (Feb. 4, 2004) (statement of Frank Louthan, Vice President Equity Research, Raymond James Financial, Inc.) (“ Factors such as a need for common points of contact, wireless handset and battery quality, connections to security/ monitoring services, and other practical limitations of wireless phones are . . . expected to play a part in multiple- person households retaining a wireline phone.") See also BellSouth July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at BLSFCC00096193- 248; SBC July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at SBCFCC00014806- 66. 93 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 94 possible effects on his credit rating, or inexpensive access to a home security system. 570 Prior to the recent implementation of wireless LNP, the consumer’s opportunity cost to disconnect his wireline local exchange service also included the forfeiture of his landline phone number. 571 242. Thus, while there is some evidence of a small, but growing number of consumers that have chosen to cut the cord and use wireless services in lieu of wireline service, this trend is a relatively recent phenomenon. Although we find that substitution between wireless and wireline services is currently limited, we nevertheless conclude that it has the potential to be a substantial source of facilities-based competition in the future. 572 2. AT& T Wireless’s Incentives as an Independent Wireless Carrier 243. As an independent wireless carrier, AT& T Wireless’s consumer offerings are designed to add subscribers to its network without regard to any adverse effect these offerings may have on subscription to wireline services. 573 Thus, unlike Cingular whose strategies are influenced by SBC’s and BellSouth’s concerns about wireline revenues and access lines, AT& T Wireless is not likely to be concerned with the impact of its strategies on wireline revenues or access lines, except to the extent that they represent a potential source of new wireless customers. In fact, the documentary evidence indicates that AT& T Wireless sought to encourage mass market consumers to cut the cord, 574 and to develop technological enhancements and service offerings to encourage consumers to abandon the wireline network and to use wireless services in lieu of wireline services. 575 While there is no evidence that its strategies were discontinued in response to the proposed acquisition, 576 it seems likely that AT& T 570 “Choosing Cell Over Landline Can Bring Unexpected Pain,” Wall Street Journal, July 9, 2004. Absent the availability of cable modem service at his residence or a non- BOC affiliated DSL provider in a consumer’s residential area, the consumer would forfeit his ability to obtain broadband service within SBC’s territory or within BellSouth’s territory in Georgia and Louisiana. http:// www02. sbc. com/ DSL_ new/ content_ new/ 1,, 18,00. html? pl_ co de= MSBC245C8952P192180B0S0& pl_ code= MSBC245C8952P185794B192143S0 (visited Sept. 23, 2004); http:// www. fastaccess. com/ content/ consumer/ conditions. jsp# one_ month_ free (visited Sept. 23, 2004). 571 While wireless LNP has yet to result in a significant movement of wireline phone numbers to a wireless carrier, the documents indicate that wireless LNP has increased the willingness of some consumers to cut the cord. From December 2003 through July 2004, the number of phone numbers ported (or moved) from a wireline to wireless carrier during a month ranged from 13,000 to 165, 000. Over this same time period, the number of phone numbers ported from a wireless to wireline carrier ranged from 1,000 to 3,000 per month. In contrast, the number of phone numbers ported from one wireline carrier to another ranged from 561, 000 to 809, 000 per month while 591,000 to 873,000 phone numbers per month were ported from one wireless carrier to another. (Calculations are based on confidential data, as of Aug. 12, 2004, from the Number Portability Administration Center databases maintained by NeuStar, Inc.) 572 The Commission estimates that the number of cable telephony lines, another form of intermodal competition for mass market wireline services, increased from 3 million to 3.2 million lines during the second half of 2003. Industry Analysis and Technology Division, Wireline Competition Bureau, FCC, Local Telephone Competition: Status as of Dec. 31, 2003, at 2 (rel. June 2003), available at http:// www. fcc. gov/ wcb/ intd/ stats. html. 573 See, e. g., AT& T Wireless Sept. 7 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach., Declarations of Ted Stine, ¶¶ 2- 7, and Judith E. Cavalieri, ¶¶ 2- 7. 574 AT& T Wireless Sept. 7 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach., Declarations of Ted Stine, paras. 2- 7, and Judith E. Cavalieri, paras. 2- 7; see also AT& T Wireless July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at AWSFCC00019144- 56; AWSFCC00194000- 48; AWSFCC00197237- 43; AWSFCC00198124- 96. 575 See AT& T Wireless July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at AWSFCC00016637- 728; AWSFCC00017128- 50; AWSFCC00194049- 68; AWSFCC00194333- 80; AWSFCC00195361- 410; AWSFCC00197204- 13; AWSFCC00198124- 96. 576 AT& T Wireless Sept. 7 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach., Declaration of Judith E. Cavalieri at ¶ 7. 94 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 95 Wireless would have continued to investigate and pursue methods to encourage the displacement of wireline services by wireless services because there is no evidence that AT& T Wireless disbanded the division tasked with these issues. 577 3. Cingular’s Product Offerings 244. Evidence in the record indicates that Cingular has developed and marketed many of its wireless products and services to complement – and specifically not to replace – residential wireline voice services. Cingular developed this strategy largely because SBC and BellSouth play a significant role in Cingular’s business decisions. For instance, the carriers created cross- company teams which have developed products and services for Cingular. 578 These products and services are designed to integrate Cingular’s wireless services with SBC’s and BellSouth’s wireline services, and thus, address the growth of wireline substitution. 579 Since 2002, the carriers have developed and refined a number of such products and services, 580 and Cingular has rolled out some of the initiatives into the market. 581 Evidence 577 AT& T Wireless July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at AWSFCC00026639- 51; see also AT& T Wireless Sept. 7 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach., Declaration of Judith E. Cavalieri, ¶ 1. 578 SBC states that SBC, BellSouth and Cingular “have dedicated significant resources and senior management attention to successfully implement their integration initiative: [r] epresentatives from nearly every SBC discipline are helping to bring the products to market; Cingular’s product development budget is one of the largest in its history; [t] he companies created a working structure that includes joint product- development teams and joint alliance, technology and marketing councils that include each company’s chief marketing, technology and information officers.” See http:// www. sbc. com/ Common/ files/ pdf/ sbc_ fact_ sheet. pdf (visited Sept. 23, 2004); see also SBC July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at SBCFCC00000037- 50; SBCFCC00004899- 902; SBCFCC00100487- 95; Cingular July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at CNGFCC03099262- 3. 579 According to SBC, “SBC Communications Inc., BellSouth and Cingular Wireless . . . are executing a ground breaking initiative to spur customer acquisition and retention by creating a new category of products that integrate wireline and wireless features and functionality – all through a wireless network overlap competitors cannot match. The integrated products will deliver greater value, simplicity and productivity to customers and will create marketplace distinction for all three companies.” See http:// www. sbc. com/ Common/ files/ pdf/ sbc_ fact_ sheet. pdf (visited Sept. 23, 2004); see also BellSouth July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at BLSFCC00002658- 71; BLSFCC00005025- 32; BLSFCC00008859- 927; BLSFCC00010005- 35; BLSFCC00038546- 76; BLSFCC00063774- 93; BLSFCC00095363- 402; BLSFCC00095436- 533; BLSFCC00096193- 248; BLSFCC00098191- 212; Cingular July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at CNGFCC02995653- 65; SBC July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at SBCFCC00000488- 500; SBCFCC00002567- 78; SBCFCC00012856- 99; SBCFCC00012900- 57; SBCFCC00112914- 21. 580 SBC states that it “is leveraging [Cingular’s and SBC’s] extensive wireline- wireless network overlap to create robust product bundles and to make more comprehensive use of distribution channels and marketing programs . . . [which allows] customers to consolidate their communications services with SBC companies or BellSouth,” and that “[ c] ustomers will be able to make a single call and receive discounted SBC or BellSouth wireline and Cingular wireless services on a single bill. Fully integrating these removes the distinction between wireline and wireless services, networks and devices.” See http:// www. sbc. com/ Common/ files/ pdf/ sbc_ fact_ sheet. p df (visited Sept. 23, 2004); see also BellSouth July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at BLSFCC00211675- 719; BLSFCC00214008- 22; SBC July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at SBCFCC00001383- 409; SBCFCC00002269- 330; SBCFCC00069651- 66; SBCFCC00069982- 70013; SBCFCC00100270- 4; SBCFCC00100608- 32; SBCFCC00103689- 703; SBCFCC00104927- 68; SBCFCC00113666- 87; SBCFCC00121701- 34; SBCFCC00129640- 707. 581 For example, in June 2003, Cingular, SBC, and BellSouth introduced MinuteShare as “a new service enabling SBC or BellSouth residential customers to share a single bucket of wireline long distance and [Cingular] wireless local and long distance minutes.” See http:// www. cingular. com/ about/ latest_ news/ 03_ 09_ 0 9 (visited Sept. 23, 2004). In September 2003, SBC and Cingular ran promotional discounts ranging from 5 percent to 20 percent for SBC landline customers who chose specified Cingular plans and also combined their wireline and (continued....) 95 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 96 shows that there are current plans for products in 2005 which continue to address wireline retention issues, 582 and the record also demonstrates that SBC and BellSouth plan to use the acquisition of AT& T Wireless to further Cingular’s existing wireline retention/ integration initiatives. 583 Thus, it is clear from the record that SBC and BellSouth influence the development of Cingular’s products and services; that some of Cingular’s products and services are focused on retaining/ integrating with its Bell Operating Company (“ BOC”) corporate parents’ wireline customers; and that SBC and BellSouth plan to use the acquisition of AT& T Wireless, to some degree, to further this goal. 4. Potential Loss of Intermodal Competition 245. It is likely that Cingular’s acquisition of AT& T Wireless will have some impact on the development of intermodal competition. 584 Cingular has sought to win wireless customers by encouraging them to use wireless service in a complementary manner to their wireline service, which is likely provided by one or the other of Cingular’s parent companies in the SBC and BellSouth regions. With the acquisition, Cingular will have a greater number of wireless subscribers in its parent company regions, which increases the number of actual or potential Cingular subscribers that have SBC or BellSouth as their wireline provider. This would further reduce Cingular’s incentives to make available wireless substitute offerings, as Cingular wireless customers would end up reducing the number of SBC and BellSouth wireline access lines by cutting the cord. As a result, it appears that Cingular is unlikely to initiate its own wireless substitute offering post- acquisition in the SBC and BellSouth regions. 585 Thus, one potential harm arising from Cingular’s acquisition of AT& T Wireless is an increased disincentive for the merged entity to offer new innovative plans that would further intermodal competition in these areas. 246. The acquisition will also affect intermodal competition through the likelihood that (... continued from previous page) landline billing. http:// www. sbc. com/ Common/ files/ pdf/ ff_ wireless_ momentum. pdf (visited Sept. 23, 2004). In addition, the carriers have also rolled out the following initiatives: “Simplified Ordering” — allows customers to order wireless service through SBC and BellSouth wireline sales channels; “Extensive Distribution Channels” — SBC and BellSouth call centers and Cingular retail locations are used to cross- sell wireline and wireless service; SBC Yahoo! DSL is also available in some Cingular retail stores; and “Wireless Co- branding” — the companies promote a co- branded tag line closely tying the SBC and BellSouth brands to the Cingular brand in advertising and marketing activities. http:// www. sbc. com/ Common/ files/ pdf/ sbc_ fact_ sheet. pdf (visited Sept. 23, 2004); see also SBC July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at SBCFCC00069982- 70013; SBCFCC00100608- 32; SBCFCC00103689- 703; SBCFCC00113666- 87. 582 According to SBC, the wireline/ wireless integrated platform “will allow possible future offerings, such as a single wireless and wireline phone number, interoperability between wireless and wireline instant messaging service, and integrated voice- activated services, such as voice- activated dialing and voice portal services that will allow customers to verbally request Internet content. Products include “Unified Communications,” which “gives subscribers a single message center that makes voice mail, e- mails and faxes accessible via phone, computer, or a PDA.” See http:// www. sbc. com/ Common/ files/ pdf/ sbc_ fact_ sheet. pdf (visited Sept. 23, 2004); see also BellSouth July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at BLSFCC00005029- 32. 583 BellSouth July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at BLSFCC00015716; Cingular July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at CNGFCC02997390- 466; CNGFCC02997441- 2. 584 Consumer Federation of America and Consumer Union Petition to Deny at 12; Thrifty Petition to Deny at 4. But see Joint Opposition to Petitions to Deny and Comments at 21, n. 68. 585 Although a review of carriers’ pricing plans in connection with this transaction indicates that some LEC- affiliated carriers may offer more attractive pricing plans outside of their LEC region, we note that Cingular does not appear to demonstrate strong regional differences in its plans. Cingular has filed an affidavit consistent with this analysis. Letter from David G. Richards, Cingular Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, WT Docket No. 04- 70, Confidential Attach., Declaration of Marc P. Lefar, ¶ 2 (filed Sept. 2, 2004). 96 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 97 Cingular will not pursue AT& T Wireless’s extensive plans for wireline replacement offerings. As discussed above, before the merger between the two wireless providers was announced, AT& T Wireless had consistently worked to develop an unlimited local wireless offering that could be marketed or used as a substitute for wireline service. Post- merger, AT& T Wireless’s incentive to continue offering service packages designed to induce consumers to cut the cord may be reduced. Even with an acquisition, AT& T Wireless’s plans could have been kept in place, so long as AT& T Wireless was acquired by an independent wireless carrier. Under that scenario, the merged entity would have experienced an increase in concentration of spectrum that could have prompted the introduction of innovative plans designed to encourage wireline replacement. 586 5. Public Interest Harms and Benefits 247. After considering the issues raised in the record, we conclude that the public interest harm potentially arising from the loss of AT& T Wireless as an intermodal competitor is presently quite limited. 587 As the record makes clear, most wireline customers do not now consider wireless service to be a close substitute for their primary line obtained from a wireline carrier. 588 Consumers are just beginning to evaluate the attractiveness of low- priced, high- minute plans as a possible replacement for their traditional wireline services. In addition, as the Commission has previously recognized, there remain qualitative differences between wireless and wireline services. 589 We therefore consider it likely that many wireline customers will continue to perceive wireline service as necessary for at least some of their communications needs, and thus limit the extent of primary line substitution between wireline and wireless for the foreseeable future. 248. To the extent additional wireline customers come to see wireless service as a close substitute for their primary line, moreover, other independent wireless carriers will have every incentive 586 We do not find much harm in the loss of AT& T Wireless as a potential partner in a competitive LEC’s offering of a wireline/ wireless service bundle as consumers have shown relatively low interest in such offerings. Additionally, other independent wireless carriers, such as Sprint, may be willing to enter into these relationships. See Mediacom to Sell Phone Service over Cable in Deal with Sprint, WALL STREET J., Aug. 25, 2004; see also AT& T Wireless July 15 Ex Parte Letter, Confidential Attach. at AWSFCC0018378- 403; AWSFCC00331190- 203. 587 We are not persuaded by the study submitted by CompTel/ ASCENT showing that prices for wireless and wireline services will increase as a result of the proposed acquisition because many of the study’s underlying assumptions, as well as the methodology of the study itself, are flawed. For example, the model used by the study to project the price change for wireline services (local exchange and interexchange services) assumes that SBC and BellSouth exercise monopoly power for all wireline services. This assumption is inconsistent with the regulation of local exchange services, the market structure for wireline interexchange services, and the ability of consumers to migrate wireline interexchange minutes to their wireless service. The analysis also fails to consider that wireline and wireless service are purchased in localized markets, which include significant variability in service plans across markets. Without an analysis of more disaggregated data, it is difficult to make informed conclusions about potential harms in any particular relevant geographic market or to consumer welfare in general. Furthermore, CompTel/ ASCENT’s proposed remedies do not adequately show a nexus between the alleged harms and proposed remedies. See CompTel/ ASCENT Oct 1 Ex Parte Letter at 2, Attach. at 5, 11- 17. 588 See 2004 Telephone Service Paper. 589 See, e. g., Triennial Review Order, 18 FCC Rcd at 17119 ¶ 230 (recognizing that wireless services may have a comparative advantage in mobility, but wireline services may have comparative advantages with respect to reliability and ubiquity); Application by Qwest Communications International, Inc. for Authorization to Provide In-Region, InterLATA Services in New Mexico, Oregon, and South Dakota, WC Docket No. 03- 11, 18 FCC Rcd 7325, 7334- 5 ¶ 18 (2003) (acknowledging that “there are certain technical and functional differences between broadband PCS and wireline exchange service” where commenters had raised differences related to E- 911 coverage and the use of multiple handsets, among others). 97 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 98 to exploit that market opportunity. After this merger, several national carriers as well as numerous regional carriers will continue to compete as independent wireless carriers in markets affected by this transaction. 590 The existence of such market participants should be sufficient to ensure that wireline subscribers willing to cut the cord will be able to choose from among several competitive alternatives. 591 The loss at this juncture of a single independent wireless carrier accordingly should have only a small adverse effect on the overall level of intermodal competition. 249. We also find that the potential public interest benefits from the proposed transaction outweigh the relatively limited public interest harm arising from the loss of AT& T Wireless as an independent wireless carrier. These benefits include the improvements in service quality that likely will arise from the combination of the Applicants’ spectrum and network assets, as well as the merged entity’s increased ability to extend its network into licensed areas that neither Applicant presently serves. The additional spectrum available to the merged entity also should facilitate its deployment of more robust and ubiquitous advanced services. In addition, this merger will create a stronger intermodal competitor outside of the SBC and BellSouth regions, which could possibly spark a competitive response from other wireless carriers. We find these public interest benefits sufficient to prevent the limited harm from loss of an independent wireless carrier from tipping the balance against the proposed transaction. 250. We caution, however, that we may take a different view with regard to any future transactions that would diminish significantly the ability of independent wireless carriers to offer intermodal alternatives to wireline service. At this time, we recognize that there are benefits to consumers from both wireline replacement offerings and complement offerings. We intend to monitor carefully further developments in this marketplace that may affect intermodal competition, and to consider carefully future transactions that may impede our efforts in that regard. The Commission has worked hard to create the regulatory conditions for robust intermodal competition, and it remains strongly committed to achieving that important policy goal. VI. CONDITIONS/ REMEDIES 251. Using the analytical standards outlined above, we found that the Applicants’ proposed transaction would pose significant competitive harms in a number of local mobile telephony markets. We conclude that, in these markets, these potential harms would not be outweighed by the proposed transaction’s alleged public interest benefits. Thus, if our analysis ended at this point, we would have to conclude that the Applicants have not demonstrated that the proposed transaction, on balance, would serve the public interest, convenience, and necessity. 590 Our conclusion is based on compliance with any conditions necessary to address horizontal concentration in individual wireless markets, as discussed elsewhere in this Order. We also note that SBC and BellSouth face competition in the mass market from other intermodal providers such as cable operators and VoIP providers, as well as intramodal competitors (e. g., carriers purchasing unbundled loop access). See Industry Analysis and Technology Division, Wireline Competition Bureau, FCC, Local Telephone Competition: Status as of Dec. 31, 2003, at 1- 2 (rel. June 2003), available at http:// www. fcc. gov/ wcb/ iatd/ stats. html; Anne Kandra, Should You Switch to a Net Phone? Making Calls Over Your Broadband Connection Can Save You Some Money, PC World, Nov. 2004 (2004 WL 65832115), at 1 (" The Yankee Group expects there will be 1 million VoIP subscribers by the end of 2004, up from just 131, 000 last year."). At the same time, we note that facilities- based competition is greater for enterprise services than for mass market services. 591 We note that regional carriers, such as MetroPCS and Leap Wireless, already offer plans that are designed to persuade consumers to cut the cord. These plans generally allow unlimited local calling within some specified local calling area and include a traditional monthly recurring fee long distance calling option that closely resembles the cost for wireline local exchange service. We also note that a national carrier, T- Mobile, already offers a plan with 3, 000 anytime local and long distance minutes for $49.99 per month within specified regional calling areas. Gilbert Declaration, Appendix at A5. 98 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 99 252. In its review of transactions, the Commission is empowered to impose conditions on the transfer of control of Commission licenses to mitigate the harms the transaction would likely create. Such conditions are tailored to address the specific harms anticipated based on economic analysis, examination of documents submitted in response to our inquiry, and public comment contained in the record of this proceeding. We conclude that the conditions set forth below alter the public interest balance of the proposed transaction by mitigating the potential public interest harms. Accordingly, with the conditions that we adopt in this Order, and assuming the Applicants’ compliance with these conditions, we find that the Applicants have demonstrated that the proposed transfer of licenses will serve the public interest, convenience, and necessity. 253. We received a number of additional proposals during the comment period from commenters. As we discuss more fully below, we decline to impose additional conditions proposed by various commenters which we find are not tied to merger- specific harms. A. Divestitures 1. Operating Units 254. In Section V. A. 3. d.( ii)., we found that the transaction, as proposed, would be likely to cause significant competitive harm in certain geographic markets. Specifically, our analysis indicated that, in certain markets, there will not be enough competing carriers remaining, post- merger, with sufficient network and spectrum assets, to deter anticompetitive behavior by the merged entity. We therefore condition this grant of authority to transfer control of licenses from AT& T Wireless to Cingular on the divestiture of AT& T Wireless operating units (including spectrum associated with such operating units) in the following markets: Market Market Name CMA045 Oklahoma City, OK CMA292 Sherman- Denison, TX CMA293 Owensboro, KY CMA326 Arkansas 3- Sharp CMA327 Arkansas 4- Clay CMA328 Arkansas 5- Cross CMA329 Arkansas 6- Cleburne CMA330 Arkansas 7- Pope CMA357 Connecticut 1- Litchfield CMA443 Kentucky 1- Fulton CMA494 Mississippi 2- Benton CMA496 Mississippi 4- Yalobusha CMA517 Missouri 14- Barton CMA598 Oklahoma 3- Grant CMA657 Texas 6- Jack CMA662 Texas 11- Cherokee 2. Spectrum 255. In two large markets with high population density, we found that the combined entity would have particularly high spectrum holdings. We found, specifically, that because these are dense 99 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 100 urban areas, spectrum needs by competing carriers would likely be higher. We therefore condition our approval of the transaction on divestitures of 10 MHz of PCS spectrum in each of these markets in order to enable competing carriers to acquire sufficient bandwidth to compete effectively against the combined entity: Market Market Name BTA112 Detroit, MI CMA009 Dallas, TX 256. In addition, as discussed in Section V. A. 3.d.( ii)., above, the Applicants have committed to divest spectrum held by the combined entity in excess of 80 MHz in any county in which it has interests in more than 80 MHz of cellular and Broadband PCS spectrum. 592 We find that this commitment will require spectrum divestitures in the following counties in addition to the divestitures we have ordered above, and we condition our approval of the transaction on divestiture down to no more than 80 MHz of such spectrum in each of the following counties: County CMA CEA Anderson, TN CMA079 CEA147 Blount, TN CMA079 CEA147 Knox, TN CMA079 CEA147 Union, TN CMA079 CEA147 Neuces, TX CMA112 CEA1880 San Patricio, TX CMA112 CEA1880 Victoria, TX CMA300 CEA8750 Murray, GA CMA371 CEA520 Whitfield, GA CMA371 CEA520 Floyd, GA CMA373 CEA520 Polk, GA CMA373 CEA520 Campbell, TN CMA645 CEA147 Cumberland, TN CMA645 CEA341 Hancock, TN CMA645 CEA147 Morgan, TN CMA645 CEA147 Roane, TN CMA645 CEA147 Scott, TN CMA645 CEA147 Cocke, TN CMA646 CEA147 Grainger, TN CMA646 CEA147 Hamblen, TN CMA646 CEA147 Jefferson, TN CMA646 CEA147 Sevier, TN CMA646 CEA147 Loudon, TN CMA649 CEA147 McMinn, TN CMA649 CEA053 Monroe, TN CMA649 CEA053 Jasper, TX CMA668 CEA840 Newton, TX CMA668 CEA840 Tyler, TX CMA668 CEA840 Dimmit, TX CMA669 CEA7240 592 See Cingular Opposition at 9; see also Application, Exhibit 1, at 19 n. 82. 100 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 101 Kinney, TX CMA669 CEA7200 Maverick, TX CMA669 CEA7240 Val Verde, TX CMA669 CEA7200 Zavala, TX CMA669 CEA7240 Brooks, TX CMA670 CEA1880 Duval, TX CMA670 CEA1880 Jim Wells, TX CMA670 CEA1880 Kenedy, TX CMA670 CEA1880 Kleberg, TX CMA670 CEA1880 Live Oak, TX CMA670 CEA1880 Aransas, TX CMA671 CEA1880 Bee, TX CMA671 CEA1880 Edwards, TX CMA671 CEA7200 Refugio, TX CMA671 CEA1880 257. We decline to require further limitation- based spectrum divestitures, as some commenters proposed, 593 because we believe such limitations too closely resemble our former cap on spectrum aggregation. In the analysis represented in this Order, we have fully taken account of the likely competitive effect of the aggregation of spectrum resulting from this transaction, and we have imposed remedies consistent with that analysis. 3. Operation of Divestitures 258. Divestiture of operating units including associated spectrum, as well as bare spectrum (the “Divestiture Assets”) as set forth above, will be accomplished in the following way. A management trustee (“ Management Trustee”) shall be appointed to serve as manager of the Divestiture Assets until such assets are sold to third party purchasers or transferred to a divestiture trustee (who may be the same person as the Management Trustee). During the period in which the Management Trustee is in day- to-day control of the Divestiture Assets, the Applicants shall retain de jure control and shall have the sole power to market and dispose of the Divestiture Assets to third party buyers, subject to the Commission’s regulatory powers and process with respect to license transfers and assignments. 259. Accordingly, we require that, within three calendar days from the date of release of this Order, the Applicants file an appropriate application with the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau to transfer the Divestiture Assets into the trust with the Management Trustee, which application shall also include a request to approve the identity of the Management Trustee and the terms of the trust agreement. We further require that the Divestiture Assets shall be transferred to the trust pursuant to this Order no later than 12 calendar days from that date on which the Applicants file their application. The trust agreement shall include all reasonable and necessary rights, powers, and authorities to permit the Management Trustee to perform his duties of day- to- day management of the Divestiture Assets, in the ordinary course of business, in order to permit expeditious divestiture. 594 The Management Trustee will 593 See, e. g., Comments of Donald Newcomb at 1 (arguing for 60 MHz cap in urban markets); Comments of Craig Paul at 1 (advocating reauction of spectrum that is not “actually required for service”); CFA/ CU Petition to Deny at 9 (suggesting condition that Applicants return spectrum in excess of 40 MHz in each market). 594 The duties and responsibilities of the Management Trustee and the terms relating to how the Divestiture Assets are to be preserved during the term of the trust are more fully set forth in that certain Preservation of Assets Stipulation and Order (“ Stipulation”), and Final Judgment (“ Final Judgment”) signed by the Applicants on October 25, 2004 and entered by the District Court for the District of Columbia. Except to the extent that any provisions (continued....) 101 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 102 serve at the cost and expense of the Applicants. 260. From the date of release of this Order, and until the divestitures ordered herein have been consummated, both the Applicants and the Management Trustee shall preserve, maintain, and continue to support the Divestiture Assets and shall take all steps to manage them in a way as to permit prompt divestiture. We require that the Applicants and the Management Trustee abide by the same provisions relating to the duties of the Management Trustee and the preservation of the Divestiture Assets as those contained in the Stipulation that the Applicants have entered into with the DOJ. We also require that, to the extent the Stipulation requires that the Applicants or the Management Trustee provide the DOJ with any reports or requires that the Applicants seek any approvals from the DOJ, the Applicants will also provide such reports to, and seek such approvals from, the Commission. 261. The Applicants will be allowed 120 days from the date of entry of the Final Judgment to divest the Divestiture Assets prior to the second stage of the divestiture procedures becoming operative. Upon application by the Applicants to the Bureau, the Bureau may grant one extension of no more than 60 days to allow the Applicants further time to dispose of the Divestiture Assets. 595 262. Upon expiration of the 120- day period, together with any approved extension, any Divestiture Assets that remain owned by the Applicants shall be irrevocably transferred to a divestiture trustee (the “Divestiture Trustee”) who shall be solely responsible for accomplishing disposal of the Divestiture Assets. The Applicants will submit to the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau (the “Bureau”), for approval, both the name of the proposed Divestiture Trustee and a draft of the trust agreement 596 to be entered into with said trustee together with an appropriate application to effect such transfer no later than 30 days prior to the expiration of the Management Trustee period set forth in paragraph 260 above. 597 The Divestiture Trustee will serve at the cost and expense of the Applicants and shall file monthly reports with the Bureau setting forth his efforts to divest the Divestiture Assets. 263. The Divestiture Trustee shall use its best efforts to sell the Divestiture Assets within six months of his appointment, subject to the Commission’s regulatory powers and process with respect to license transfers and assignments. The expeditious disposal of the Divestiture Assets during this period is of greater importance than the price that might otherwise be obtained for such assets. If a sale of any of the Divestiture Assets that consist of operating units and associated spectrum has not been effectuated within such period, the Divestiture Trustee shall file a report with the Bureau explaining the Divestiture Trustee’s efforts to sell the Divestiture Assets, the reasons why the Divestiture Assets have not been sold, and the Divestiture Trustee’s recommendations. The Commission will consider such report and will issue such further orders as it considers appropriate. (... continued from previous page) herein conflict, we require that the Applicants and the Management Trustee fully comply with such provisions as if they were set forth herein in extenso. 595 If the Applicants have filed an application with the Commission seeking consent to the sale of any of the Divestiture Assets to a third party within the time periods set forth above but the Commission has not acted by the end of such period, such period will be extended and shall expire five days after the Commission’s action with respect to such Divestiture Assets. 596 The Bureau will consult with the Office of General Counsel on matters relating to the name of the proposed divestiture trustee and the terms of the divestiture trust. 597 Except to the extent that any provisions herein conflict, the duties and responsibilities of the Divestiture Trustee are more fully set forth in the Final Judgment and we require that the Applicants and the Divestiture Trustee fully comply with such provisions as if they were set forth herein in extenso. 102 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 103 264. To the extent that any of the Divestiture Assets are included within the Stipulation and Final Judgment, we are willing to allow the Applicants to proceed to divest such assets in accordance with the terms of the agreements that are contained in those documents. To the extent that this Order requires divestitures in any market that are more extensive than those required by the DOJ, we require that the Applicants comply with this Order and completely dispose of the Divestiture Assets included in such markets. To the extent that we are requiring divestitures in additional markets to those of the DOJ, we will require the Applicants, prior to closing their transaction, to provide the Commission with documentation substantially similar to that provided to the DOJ with respect to the additional divestitures that we require herein. B. Treatment of Partial Interests 265. Our market- specific analysis also indicated that certain partial, non- passive interests retained by the Applicants in competing mobile telephony carriers could cause competitive harm. 598 Our analysis indicated that, if we attributed these partial interests to the Applicants, and granted the transfer of control without a condition, the combined entity would have a very high market share, as well as a high level of spectrum aggregation. We also found that there were fewer competing carriers in certain of these markets. Therefore, in the following markets, we require the combined entity to convert its partial non-passive interests held into partial passive interests: Market Market Name CMA100 Shreveport, LA CMA213 Pittsfield, MA CMA275 St. Joseph, MO CMA454 Louisiana 1- Claiborne 266. Specifically, with respect to CMAs 100 and 454, such interests are held by Cingular through a limited partnership called ALLTEL Communications of North Louisiana Cellular Limited Partnership. The interest in CMA 213 is held by AT& T Wireless through Pittsfield Cellular Telephone Co., and in CMA 275 by AT& T Wireless through CellTel Co. Such interests may be made passive to satisfy the requirements of this Order in one of two ways. The Applicants may treat such assets as part of the Divestiture Assets and dispose of them in the same way as any of the other Divestiture Assets herein. As an alternative, the Applicants may elect to retain such interests, provided that they demonstrate to the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, after such bureau has consulted with the Office of General Counsel, that the retained minority interest will become irrevocably and entirely passive and will not significantly diminish competition. If the Applicants elect to retain their interests, the Applicants must demonstrate that the interests have been made irrevocably and entirely passive within three calendar days from the date of release of this Order. C. Other Remedies 267. We condition our grant of this transaction on the consummation of two related transactions: (1) the Joint Venture Unwind agreement between Cingular and T- Mobile, as described in Section II. B. 2., above, and discussed in Section V. A. 3. d., above; and (2) AT& T Wireless’s agreement with Triton, as described in Section II. B. 3., above, and discussed in Section V. A. 3. d., above. In addition, the Applicants committed to a restriction on Cingular’s participation in our upcoming Auction 58. We condition our grant of this transaction on Cingular being so restricted, as described in Section V. A. 3. d., 598 See discussion supra Section V. A. 3.d.( ii). 103 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 104 above. Finally, we condition our grant of this transaction on the imposition of a condition regarding manual roaming, as described in Section V. A. 3. c.( ii)., above. VII. REQUESTS FOR WAIVER OF THE CELLULAR CROSS- INTEREST RULE 268. As part of the Application, the Applicants are seeking a waiver of section 22.942 of the Commission’s rules (“ Cellular Cross- Interest Rule”) 599 to allow Cingular to acquire from subsidiaries of AT& T Wireless cellular licenses in eleven rural service areas (“ RSAs”). 600 Under this rule, which is still technically in effect but which the Commission has recently decided to eliminate, Cingular is prohibited from acquiring the cellular A- block licenses currently held by AT& T Wireless subsidiaries, 601 because Cingular subsidiaries hold the cellular B- block licenses in parts of these eleven RSAs. 602 In the Rural Report and Order, the Commission decided to eliminate the Cellular Cross- Interest Rule in favor of the case- by- case analysis used in reviewing the competitive effects of all assignment and transfer of control applications, pursuant to section 310( d) of the Communications Act. 603 The Commission found that reliance on case- by- case review for aggregations of spectrum and cellular cross interests is a better approach than utilizing a prophylactic rule, 604 because “the public interest is better served by the benefits of case- by- case review with its greater degree of flexibility to reach the appropriate decision in each case, reduced likelihood of prohibiting beneficial transactions or levels of investment both in urban and rural areas, and ability to account for the particular attributes of a transaction or market.” 605 We have performed such review of these markets in the context of our general case- by- case analysis of this transaction, and have made individual judgments regarding any potential harms and the need for any remedies in these markets. Given that the Commission has decided to eliminate the rule and it remains in force only due to a procedural consideration, 606 we hereby waive the rule wherever necessary to effect the 599 47 C. F. R. § 22. 942. The Cellular Cross- Interest Rule states that an entity “that actually controls a licensee for one channel block in a [cellular geographic service area (“ CGSA”)] may not have a direct or indirect ownership interest of more than 5 percent in the licensee, ... or entity that actually controls a licensee for the other channel block in an overlapping CGSA.” 47 C. F. R. § 22. 942. The Commission, however, has stated that it will entertain and grant waivers of this rule if there is no “significant likelihood of substantial competitive harm.” 2000 Biennial Regulatory Review Spectrum Aggregation Limits For Commercial Mobile Radio Services, WT Docket No. 01- 14, Report and Order, 16 FCC Rcd. 22, 668, 22, 669 2 (2001). 600 See Application, Exhibit 1, at 43. 601 The licenses for which a waiver of section 22. 942 is requested are: KNKN833 (CMA357, Connecticut 1 – Litchfield); KNKN555 (CMA360, Florida 1 – Collier), KNKQ386 and KNKQ421 (CMA361, Florida 2 – Glades); KNKN738 (CMA363, Florida 4 – Citrus); KNKN550 and KNKQ422 (CMA364, Florida 5 – Putnam); KNKN627 (CMA598, Oklahoma 3 – Grant); KNKN472 (CMA657, Texas 6 – Jack); KNKN428 (CMA662, Texas 11 – Cherokee); KNKN456 (CMA669, Texas 18 – Edwards); KNKN525 (CMA670, Texas 19 – Atascosa); and KNKN452 (CMA671, Texas20 – Wilson). 602 Application, Exhibit 1, at 43. The cellular A- and B- block overlaps occur in 53 counties which are contained in parts of these eleven RSAs. See Application, Exhibit 1, at 49. 603 Facilitating the Provision of Spectrum- Based Services to Rural Areas and Promoting Opportunities for Rural Telephone Companies to Provide Spectrum- Based Services, WT Docket No. 02- 381, Report and Order and Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, FCC 04- 166, at 36, 39 ¶¶ 63- 64, 68 (rel. Sept. 27, 2004) (“ Rural Report and Order”) (“ We believe that no cross interest or transaction should be presumptively prohibited in RSAs and that we should consider such proposals under an approach that is consistent with the same case- by- case analysis that is employed in all other CMRS contexts”). 604 Id. at 36 ¶ 63. 605 Id. at 38 ¶ 67. 606 The Cellular Cross- Interest Rule will be eliminated on 60 days after the Rural Report and Order is published in the Federal Register. Id. at 88 ¶ 180. 104 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 105 market- specific judgments we have made above. VIII. CONCLUSION 269. As discussed above, we find that competitive harm is unlikely in most mobile telephony markets as a result of this transaction, primarily because of the presence of multiple other carriers who have the ability to act as effective competitive constraints on the behavior of the merged entity. Therefore, while the structure of these markets will change as a result of the transaction, we find that carrier conduct will remain sufficiently competitive to ensure that market performance will not be impaired, and, given the expected benefits, the public interest will be enhanced on balance. However, with regard to local mobile telephony markets, our case- by- case analysis shows that likely competitive harms exceed likely benefits of the transaction, and we therefore require remedies to ameliorate the expected harm and thereby ensure that carrier conduct in these markets will likewise remain effectively competitive and that market performance will not be impaired 270. We emphasize that our judgment in this matter does not mean that our analysis would be the same if additional consolidation in this sector were to be proposed in the future. Clearly, there is a point beyond which further consolidation would not be in the public interest. As we have here, when reviewing any future applications of this nature we will look closely at the competitive circumstances pertaining at that time in the affected markets and will make a considered judgment based on careful weighing of all the relevant circumstances. IX. ORDERING CLAUSES 271. Accordingly, having reviewed the applications, the petitions, and the record in this matter, IT IS ORDERED that, pursuant to sections 4( i) and (j), 309, 310( d) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U. S. C. §§ 154( i), (j), 309, 310( d), the applications for the transfer of control of licenses from AT& T Wireless to Cingular ARE GRANTED, to the extent specified in this order and subject to the conditions specified below. 272. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, pursuant to sections 4( i) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U. S. C. §§ 154( i), and sections 0.331 and 1. 925 of the Commission's Rules, 47 C. F. R. §§ 0.331 and 1.925, the Request for Waiver of the Commission’s Cellular Cross- Interest Rule, 47 C. F. R. § 22. 942, IS GRANTED. 273. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, pursuant to sections 4( i) and (j), 309, 310( d) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U. S. C. §§ 154( i), (j), 309, 310( d), the applications for the pro forma transfer of control of minority interests held by AT& T Wireless to Cingular ARE GRANTED, to the extent specified in this order and subject to the conditions specified below. 274. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, pursuant to sections 4( i) and (j), 309, 310( d) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U. S. C. §§ 154( i), (j), 309, 310( d), the applications for the pro forma assignment and transfer of control of licenses to effectuate the reorganization of Cingular ARE GRANTED. 275. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that the above grant shall include authority for Cingular to acquire control of: (a) any license or authorization issued to AT& T Wireless and its subsidiaries during the Commission's consideration of the transfer of control applications or the period required for consummation of the transaction following approval; (b) construction permits held by such licensees that mature into licensees after closing; and (c) applications filed by such licensees and that are pending at the time of consummation of the proposed transfer of control. 276. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, pursuant to section 214 of the Communications Act of 105 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 106 1934, as amended, 47 U. S. C. § 214, and section 63.18 of the Commission's rules, 47, C. F. R. § 63.18, the application to transfer control of AT& T Wireless’s international Section 214 authorization to provide global resale service and limited global facilities- based service, excluding the U. S.- South Africa route, to Cingular Wireless Corporation is GRANTED subject to the conditions applicable to international section 214 authorizations. 277. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, pursuant to section 214 of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U. S. C. § 214, and section 63.10 of the Commission's rules, 47, C. F. R. § 63. 10, AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. SHALL BE CLASSIFIED as a dominant international carrier in the provision of service on the U. S.- South Africa route. 278. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, pursuant to sections 4( i) and (j), 309, 310( d) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U. S. C. §§ 154( i), (j), 309, 310( d), the applications for the assignment of licenses from Cingular to T- Mobile ARE GRANTED. 279. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, pursuant to sections 1.9005 and 1.9030 of the Commission’s rules, 47 C. F. R. §§ 1. 9005, 1.9030, the applications filed by T- Mobile and Cingular to implement long- term de facto spectrum leasing arrangements ARE GRANTED. 280. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that the licenses to be acquired and the leases to be entered into by T- Mobile are subject to compliance with the provisions of the Agreement between Deutsche Telekom AG, VoiceStream Wireless Corporation, and VoiceStream Wireless Holding Corporation on the one hand, and the Department of Justice and the Federal Bureau of Investigation on the other, dated January 12, 2001, which Agreement is designed to address national security, law enforcement, and public safety issues of the FBI and the DOJ regarding the authority granted herein. Nothing in the Agreement is intended to limit any obligation imposed by Federal law or regulation including, but not limited to, 47 U. S. C. § 222( a) and (c)( 1) and the Commission’s implementing regulations. 281. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, pursuant to sections 4( i) and (j), 309, 310( d) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U. S. C. §§ 154( i), (j), 309, 310( d), the application for the assignment of a license from Lafayette to Triton and the applications for the exchange of licenses between Triton and AT& T Wireless ARE GRANTED. 282. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that the grant of the transfer of control of licenses from AT& T Wireless to Cingular is conditioned upon consummation of the T- Mobile Cingular Joint Venture Unwind and AT& T Wireless’s agreement with Triton. 283. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that the Commission’s grant of the transfer of control of licenses from AT& T Wireless to Cingular is conditioned upon the completion of the divestitures described in Section VI. 284. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that the grant of the transfer of control of licenses from AT& T Wireless to Cingular is conditioned upon Cingular’s commitment not to apply to bid in Auction 58 for any license in any BTA in which Cingular controls or has a 10 percent or greater interest in 70 MHz or more of cellular and/ or PCS spectrum. 285. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, with respect to roaming, Cingular may not prevent its customers from completing calls in the manner contemplated in 47 C. F. R. § 20.12( c), unless specifically requested to do so by a subscriber. 286. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that, pursuant to sections 4( i) and (j), 309, and 310( d) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U. S. C. §§ 154( i), (j), 309, 310( d), the Petitions to Deny the transfer of control of licenses and authorizations from AT& T Wireless to Cingular filed by AW 106 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 107 Acquisition Corp., Pace Communications Services Corporation, Edward Garcia dba Comm One Systex of Ohio and Conn One Wireless of Chicago, Ed Wicks dba Mercedes Wireless, Inc., Kempner Mobile Electronics, Inc., and Airborne Beepers and Video, Inc.; William Burnley; Cellular Emergency Alert Service Association; Consumer Federation of America and Consumers Union; Richard Giandomenica; Andrew Shepherd; and Thrifty Call, Inc. are DENIED for the reasons stated herein. 287. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that this Memorandum Opinion and Order SHALL BE EFFECTIVE upon release. Petitions for reconsideration under section 1.106 of the Commission's rules, 47 C. F. R. § 1.106, may be filed within thirty days of the date of public notice of this order. FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION Marlene H. Dortch Secretary 107 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 108 APPENDIX A LIST OF COMMENTERS Petitions to Deny Filed by: 1. AW Acquisition Corp., Pace Communications Services Corporation, Edward Garcia dba Comm One Systex of Ohio and Conn One Wireless of Chicago, Ed Wicks dba Mercedes Wireless, Inc., Kempner Mobile Electronics, Inc., and Airborne Beepers and Video, Inc.* 2. William Burnley* 3. Cellular Emergency Alert Service Association* 4. Consumer Federation of America and Consumers Union* 5. Richard Giandomenico* 6. Andrew Shepherd* 7. Thrifty Call, Inc.* Comments Filed by: 1. Alabama National Emergency Number Association 2. American Farm Bureau Federation 3. Marsha Biancota 4. City of Tulsa Oklahoma, Telecommunications and Information Services Department, Public Safety Communications Division 5. ComCARE Alliance 6. Communications Workers of America* 7. CompTel/ ASCENT 8. Connecticut Police Chiefs Association 9. Office of the Washington State Attorney General, Consumer Protection Division * 10. Etowah County Communications District 11. First Cellular of Southern Illinois 12. Representative Tre Hargett, Republican Leader, Tennessee House of Representatives 13. Highland Cellular, LLC* 14. Lee County Communications Center 15. Lexington Fayette Urban County Government 16. Massachusetts High Technology Council 17. Mississippi Farm Bureau Federation 18. Chris Nascimento 19. National Emergency Number Association 108 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 109 20. National Emergency Number Association, Pennsylvania State Chapter 21. National Spinal Cord Injury Association 22. Donald R. Newcomb* 23. Richard O'Krepki 24. Representative David W. Palsrok, Michigan House of Representatives 25. Craig Paul* 26. Wayne Perry, Edge Wireless 27. Public Service Communications, Rural Telecommunications Group, National Telecommunications Cooperative Association, and Organization for the Promotion and Advancement of Small Telecommunications Companies 28. Representative Roger Roy, Chairman, Telecommunications, Internet and Technology Committee, Delaware House of Representatives 29. Rural Enterprises of Oklahoma Incorporated 30. B. J. Sanchez 31. Self Help for Hard of Hearing People (SHHH)* 32. Small Business Survival Committee* 33. South Carolina Farm Bureau Federation 34. State of Connecticut, Department of Public Safety, Division of Fire, Emergency and Building Services, Office of Statewide Emergency Telecommunications 35. Bill Stoval, Speaker of the House Designate, Arkansas House of Representatives 36. Representative Brad Street, Michigan House of Representatives 37. Richard N. Taylor, ENP 38. Tennessee Emergency Number Association 39. Marlin Todd* 40. Town of Manchester 41. United States Cellular Corporation (USCC)* Joint Opposition to Petitions to Deny and Comments Filed by: 1. Cingular and AT& T Wireless Reply Comments Filed by: 1. Alliance for Public Technology* 109 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 110 2. AW Acquisition Corp., Pace Communications Services Corporation, Edward Garcia dba Comm One Systex of Ohio and Conn One Wireless of Chicago, Ed Wicks dba Mercedes Wireless, Inc., Kempner Mobile Electronics, Inc., and Airborne Beepers and Video, Inc. 3. Cellular Emergency Alert Systems Association 4. Cingular and AT& T Wireless 5. CompTel/ ASCENT Alliance 6. Consumer Federation of America and Consumers Union 7. Dobson Communications Corporation* 8. Kempner Mobile Electronics, Inc. 9. Lucent Technologies, Inc.* 10. Rural Cellular Corporation (RCC)* 11. Thrifty Call, Inc. 12. T- Mobile USA, Inc. * Pleadings filed during comment period. 110 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 111 APPENDIX B LIST OF RESPONSES Responses from AT& T Wireless: Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 15, 2004) (providing data and narrative responses to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 15, 2004) (providing the documents responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request on compact discs). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 16, 2004) (providing a portion of the boxes containing the documents responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 22, 2004) (providing additional documents on compact discs responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 22, 2004) (replacing hard drives containing responses to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request with new hard drives). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 26, 2004) (providing a portion of the boxes containing the documents responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 6, 2004) (providing the remaining boxes containing the documents responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 17, 2004) (providing reformatted compact disks responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 23, 2004) (replacing incorrect August 17, 2004 compact disks with corrected and reformatted versions). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 31, 2004) (responding to inquiries concerning intermodal competition). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 7, 2004) (responding to inquiries regarding business plans from the Wireline Competition Bureau). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 10, 2004) (providing revised data files requested by Martin Perry). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 20, 2004) (providing revised data files requested by Martin Perry). 111 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 112 Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 23, 2004) (submitting copies of agreements). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, and Brian F. Fontes, Vice President- Federal Relations, to Erin McGrath, Assistant Division Chief, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Oct. 5, 2004) (providing information regarding license, network, and service coverage areas) Responses from Cingular: Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Mar. 22, 2004) (providing data and written responses to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (July 14, 2004) (submitting boxes, on behalf of Cingular, containing a portion of the documents and document production summary responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 15, 2004) (providing data and written responses to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (July 15, 2004) (submitting boxes, on behalf of Cingular and SBC, containing a portion of the documents and document production summary responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (July 15, 2004) (submitting boxes, on behalf of Cingular and BellSouth, containing a portion of the documents and document production summary responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (July 15, 2004) (submitting copies of documents, on behalf of Cingular, SBC, and BellSouth, on compact discs responsive to the Commission’s June 30, 2004 Information Request). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 16, 2004) (submitting compact disks of materials supplementing July 15, 2004 response). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 19, 2004) (supplementing and replacing certain exhibits on compact discs associated with Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 3, 2004) (supplementing Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response with price plan data and more granular data on compact disks). 112 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 113 Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 9, 2004) (supplementing Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response with additional price plan information on compact discs). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 19, 2004) (supplementing Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response with additional information on compact discs). Letter from David G. Richards, Cingular Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 19, 2004) (responding to questions posed by the Wireless Telecommunications Burea regarding unilateral effects). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 23, 2004) (providing color copies of select pages of Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 23, 2004) (supplementing Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 27, 2004) (responding to questions posed by the Wireline Competition Bureau). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 30, 2004) (submitting corrected August 19, 2004 information supplementing and correcting minor errors in data in Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 30, 2004) (supplementing Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response with information regarding handset availability and measurements of capacity). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 30, 2004) (supplementing Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 2, 2004) (supplementing Cingular’s July 15, 2004 response). Letter from David G. Richards, Cingular Wireless, to Erin McGrath, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 2, 2004) (responding to inquiries from the Wireline Competition Bureau). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 22, 2004) (submitting copies of partnership agreements). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 23, 2004) (submitting additional materials relating to the partnership agreements submitted on September 22, 2004). 113 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 114 Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 29, 2004) (informing the Commission of a swap of minority partnership interests). Letter from Douglas I. Brandon, Vice President – External Affairs & Law, AT& T Wireless, and Brian F. Fontes, Vice President- Federal Relations, to Erin McGrath, Assistant Division Chief, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Oct. 5, 2004) (providing information regarding license, network, and service coverage areas) Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Erin McGrath, Assistant Division Chief, Spectrum and Competition Policy Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Oct. 12, 2004) (responding to questions regarding NRUF data). Letter from L. Andrew Tollin, counsel to Cingular Wireless Corporation, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Oct. 13, 2004) (providing confidential material to the Commission). Letter from Brian F. Fontes, Vice President- Federal Relations, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Oct. 18, 2004) (providing written responses to questions posed by Commission Staff regarding Cingular’s subscriber data). Response from ALLTEL: Letter from Glenn S. Rabin, Vice President, Federal Communications Counsel, ALLTEL Corporation, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 2, 2004) (providing ALLTEL’s response to July 16, 2004 Information Request). Responses from Nextel: Letter from To- Quyen T. Truong, counsel to Nextel Communications, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 12, 2004) (submitting Nextel’s first response to the July 16, 2004 Information Request). Letter from To- Quyen T. Truong, counsel to Nextel Communications, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 27, 2004) (submitting Nextel’s second response to the July 16, 2004 Information Request). Letter from To- Quyen T. Truong, counsel to Nextel Communications, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 10, 2004) (submitting Nextel’s third response to the July 16, 2004 Information Request). Letter from To- Quyen T. Truong, counsel to Nextel Communications, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 14, 2004) (submitting Nextel’s fourth response to the July 16, 2004 Information Request). Letter from To- Quyen T. Truong, counsel to Nextel Communications, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 15, 2004) (submitting Nextel’s fifth response to the July 16, 2004 Information Request). Letter from To- Quyen T. Truong, counsel to Nextel Communications, Inc., to Susan Singer Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 24, 2004) (submitting Nextel’s sixth response to the July 16, 2004 Information Request). 114 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 115 Responses from T- Mobile: Letter from Cheryl A. Tritt, counsel to T- Mobile USA, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 2 4, 2004) (reporting a call seeking clarification of July 16, 2004 letter and requesting an extension of reply date). Letter from Cheryl A. Tritt, counsel to T- Mobile USA, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 4, 2004) (submitting copies of documents and information responsive to the July 16, 2004 letter). Letter from Cheryl A. Tritt, counsel to T- Mobile USA, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 8, 2004) (submitting supplemental materials responsive to the July 16, 2004 letter). Responses from Sprint: Letter from Roger C. Sherman, Senior Attorney, Sprint, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (July 27, 2004) (reporting a call seeking clarification of July 16, 2004 letter and requesting an extension of reply date). Letter from Roger C. Sherman, Senior Attorney, Sprint, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 19, 2004) (submitting information responsive to the July 16, 2004 letter). Responses from USCC: Letter from Mark D. Schneider, counsel to United States Cellular Corporation, to Susan Singer, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (July 30, 2004) (submitting a portion of the information responsive to the July 16, 2004 letter and requesting additional time to provide the remaining information). Letter from Mark D. Schneider, counsel to United States Cellular Corporation, to Susan Singer, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 6, 2004) (supplementing July 30, 2004 response). Letter from Mark D. Schneider, counsel to United States Cellular Corporation, to Susan Singer, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 24, 2004) (delivering the remaining information requested in the July 16, 2004 letter) . Responses from Verizon Wireless: Letter from John T. Scott, III, Vice President and Deputy General Counsel, Verizon Wireless, to Erin McGrath, Assistant Chief, Mobility Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 6, 2004). Letter from John T. Scott, III, Vice President and Deputy General Counsel, Verizon Wireless, to Erin McGrath, Assistant Chief, Mobility Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 13, 2004). Letter from John T. Scott, III, Vice President and Deputy General Counsel, Verizon Wireless, to Erin McGrath, Assistant Chief, Mobility Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Aug. 23, 2004). 115 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 116 Letter from John T. Scott, III, Vice President and Deputy General Counsel, Verizon Wireless, to Erin McGrath, Assistant Chief, Mobility Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 2, 2004) (providing a portion of the information requested in the Commission’s July 16, 2004 Information Request). Letter from John T. Scott, III, Vice President and Deputy General Counsel, Verizon Wireless, to Erin McGrath, Assistant Chief, Mobility Division, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Federal Communications Commission (Sept. 24, 2004) (providing a portion of the information requested in the Commission’s July 16, 2004 Information Request). 116 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 117 APPENDIX C LIST OF MARKETS IDENTIFIED FOR FURTHER ANALYSIS BY INITIAL SCREEN CEAs: CEA Name CEA0120 Albany, GA CEA0220 Alexandria, LA CEA0240 Allentown- Bethlehem- Easton, PA CEA0440 Ann Arbor, MI CEA0450 Anniston, AL CEA0480 Ashville, NC CEA0500 Athens, GA CEA0520 Atlanta, GA- AL- NC CEA0600 Augusta- Aiken, GA- SC CEA0640 Austin- San Marcos, TX CEA0680 Bakersfield, CA CEA0720 Baltimore, MD CEA0743 Barnstable- Yarmouth, MA CEA0760 Baton Rouge, LA- MS CEA0840 Beaumont- Port Arthur, TX CEA0860 Bellingham, WA CEA0920 Biloxi- Gulfport- Pascagoula, MS CEA1000 Birmingham, AL CEA1020 Bloomington, IN CEA1123 Boston- Worcester- Lawrence- Lowell- Brockton, MA- NH- RI CEA1145 Brazoria, TX CEA1150 Bremerton, WA CEA1240 Brownsville- Harlingen- San Benito, TX CEA1260 Bryan- College Station, TX CEA1350 Casper, WY- ID- UT CEA1440 Charleston- North Charleston, SC CEA1520 Charlotte- Gastonia- Rock Hill, NC- SC CEA1560 Chattanooga, TN- GA CEA1600 Chicago, IL CEA1620 Chico- Paradise, CA CEA1640 Cincinnati, OH- KY- IN CEA1660 Clarksville- Hopkinsville, TN- KY CEA1740 Columbia, MO CEA1760 Columbia, SC CEA1880 Corpus Christi, TX CEA1920 Dallas, TX- OK CEA2000 Dayton- Springfield, OH CEA2020 Daytona Beach, FL CEA2030 Decatur, AL 117 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 118 CEA Name CEA2160 Detroit, MI CEA2190 Dover, DE CEA2320 El Paso, TX CEA2440 Evansville- Henderson, IN- KY- IL CEA2560 Fayetteville, NC CEA2580 Fayetteville- Springdale- Rogers, AR- MO- OK CEA2650 Florence, AL CEA2655 Florence, SC CEA2680 Fort Lauderdale, FL CEA2710 Fort Pierce- Port St. Lucie, FL CEA2720 Fort Smith, AR- OK CEA2750 Fort Walton Beach, FL CEA2800 Fort Worth- Arlington, TX CEA2840 Fresno, CA CEA2880 Gadsden, AL CEA2900 Gainesville, FL CEA2960 Gary, IN CEA2975 Glens Falls, NY CEA2980 Goldsboro, NC CEA3120 Greensboro- Winston- Salem- Hight Point, NC- VA CEA3160 Greenville- Spartanburg- Anderson, SC- NC CEA3200 Hamilton- Middletown, OH CEA3240 Harrisburg- Lebanon- Carlisle, PA CEA3283 Hartford- New Britain- Middletown- Bristol, CT CEA3350 Houma, LA CEA3360 Houston, TX CEA3440 Huntsville, AL- TN CEA3480 Indianapolis, IN CEA3560 Jackson, MS- LA CEA3580 Jackson, TN CEA3600 Jacksonville, FL- GA CEA3605 Jacksonville, NC CEA3620 Janesville- Beloit, WI CEA3660 Johnson City- Kingsport- Bristol, TN- VA CEA3710 Joplin, MO- KS- OK CEA3800 Kenosha, WI CEA3810 Killeen- Temple, TX CEA3840 Knoxville, TN CEA3880 Lafayette, LA CEA3920 Lafayette, IN CEA3960 Lake Charles, LA CEA4000 Lancaster, PA CEA4080 Laredo, TX CEA4120 Las Vegas, NV- AZ- UT 118 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 119 CEA Name CEA4280 Lexington, KY- TN- VA- WV CEA4400 Little Rock- North Little Rock, AR CEA4420 Longview- Marshall, TX CEA4480 Los Angeles- Long Beach, CA CEA4520 Louisville, KY- IN CEA4680 Macon, GA CEA4720 Madison, WI CEA4880 McAllen- Edinburg- Mission, TX CEA4900 Melbourne- Titusville- Palm Bay, FL CEA4920 Memphis, TN- AR- MS- KY CEA4940 Merced, CA CEA5000 Miami, FL CEA5015 Middlesex- Somerset- Hunterdon, NJ CEA5080 Milwaukee- Waukesha, WI CEA5160 Mobile, AL CEA5170 Modesto, CA CEA5200 Monroe, LA CEA5280 Muncie, IN CEA5330 Myrtle Beach, SC CEA5345 Naples, FL CEA5360 Nashville, TN- KY CEA5483 New Haven- Bridgeport- Stamford- Danbury- Waterbury, CT CEA5523 New London- Norwich, CT CEA5560 New Orleans, LA- MS CEA5640 Newark, NJ- PA CEA5775 Oakland, CA CEA5790 Ocala, FL CEA5880 Oklahoma City, OK CEA5910 Olympia, WA CEA5945 Orange County, CA CEA5960 Orlando, FL CEA5990 Owensboro, KY CEA6080 Pensacola, FL CEA6120 Peoria- Pekin, IL CEA6160 Philadelphia, PA- NJ CEA6240 Pine Bluff, AR CEA6323 Pittsfield, MA- VT CEA6483 Providence- Warwick- Pawtucket, RI CEA6580 Punta Gorda, FL CEA6680 Reading, PA CEA6720 Reno, NV- CA CEA6740 Richland- Kennewick- Pasco, WA CEA6780 Riverside- San Bernardino, CA- AZ 119 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 120 CEA Name CEA6920 Sacramento, CA CEA7000 St. Joseph, MO- KS CEA7040 St. Louis, MO- IL CEA7120 Salinas, CA CEA7160 Salt Lake City- Ogden, UT- ID CEA7200 San Angelo, TX CEA7240 San Antonio, TX CEA7320 San Diego, CA CEA7360 San Francisco, CA CEA7400 San Jose, CA CEA7480 Santa Barbara- Santa Maria- Lompoc, CA CEA7485 Santa Cruz- Watsonville, CA CEA7500 Santa Rosa, CA CEA7510 Sarasota- Bradenton, FL CEA7520 Savannah, GA- SC CEA7600 Seattle- Bellevue- Everett, WA CEA7640 Sherman- Denison, TX- OK CEA7680 Shreveport- Bossier City, LA- AR CEA7920 Springfield, MO CEA8003 Springfield, MA CEA8120 Stockton- Lodi, CA CEA8140 Sumter, SC CEA8320 Terre Haute, IN- IL CEA8360 Texarkana, TX- Texarkana, AR- AR- OK CEA8440 Topeka, KS CEA8480 Trenton, NJ CEA8560 Tulsa, OK- KS CEA8600 Tuscaloosa, AL CEA8640 Tyler, TX CEA8680 Utica- Rome, NY CEA8720 Vallejo- Fairfield- Napa, CA CEA8735 Ventura, CA CEA8750 Victoria, TX CEA8780 Visalia- Tulare- Porterville, CA CEA8800 Waco, TX CEA8840 Washington, DC- MD- VA- WV CEA8960 West Palm Beach- Boca Raton, FL CEA9160 Wilmington- Newark, DE- MD CEA9200 Wilmington, NC CEA9260 Yakima, WA CEA9270 Yolo, CA CEA9280 York, PA CEA9340 Yuba City, CA CEA9504 Jonesboro, AR- MO 120 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 121 CEA Name CEA9515 Paducah, KY- IL CEA9516 Bowling Green, KY CEA9518 Salisbury, MD- DE- VA CEA9524 Hattiesburg, MS CEA9526 Meridian, MS- AL CEA9527 Tupelo, MS- AL- TN CEA9528 Greenville, MS CEA9528 Greenville, MS CEA9559 Lufkin, TX CEA9566 Bluefield, WV- VA CMAs: CMA Name CMA002 Los Angeles- Long Beach/ Anaheim CMA003 Chicago, IL CMA004 Philadelphia, PA CMA005 Detroit/ Ann Arbor, MI CMA006 Boston- Lowell- Brockton- Lawrence- Haverhill, MA- NH CMA007 San Francisco- Oakland, CA CMA008 Washington, DC- MD- VA CMA009 Dallas- Fort Worth, TX CMA010 Houston, TX CMA011 St. Louis, MO- IL CMA012 Miami- Fort Lauderdale- Hollywood, FL CMA014 Baltimore, MD CMA017 Atlanta, GA CMA018 San Diego, CA CMA020 Seattle- Everett, WA CMA021 Milwaukee, WI CMA023 Cincinnati, OH- KY- IN CMA027 San Jose, CA CMA028 Indianapolis, IN CMA029 New Orleans, LA CMA032 Hartford- New Britain- Bristol, CT CMA033 San Antonio, TX CMA035 Sacramento, CA CMA036 Memphis, TN- AR- MS CMA037 Louisville, KY- IN CMA038 Providence- Warwick- Pawtucket, RI CMA039 Salt Lake City- Ogden, UT CMA040 Dayton, OH 121 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 122 CMA Name CMA041 Birmingham, AL CMA045 Oklahoma City, OK CMA046 Nashville- Davidson, TN CMA048 Toledo, OH- MI CMA049 New Haven- West Haven- Waterbury- Meriden, CT CMA051 Jacksonville, FL CMA054 Gary- Hammond- East Chicago, IN CMA055 Worchester- Fitchburg- Leominster, MA CMA057 Tulsa, OK CMA058 Allentown- Bethlehem- Easton, PA CMA060 Orlando, FL CMA061 Charlotte- Gastonia, NC CMA062 New Brunswick- Perth Amboy- Sayreville, NJ CMA067 Greenville- Spartanburg, SC CMA069 Wilmington, DE- NJ- MD CMA071 Raleigh- Durham, NC CMA072 West Palm Beach- Boca Raton, FL CMA073 Oxnard- Simi Valley- Ventura, CA CMA074 Fresno, CA CMA075 Austin, TX CMA076 New Bedford- Fall River, MA CMA079 Knoxville, TN CMA080 Baton Rouge, LA CMA083 Mobile, AL CMA084 Harrisburg, PA CMA085 Johnson City- Kingsport- Bristol, TN CMA087 Canton, OH CMA088 Chattanooga, TN- GA CMA090 Charleston- North Charleston, SC CMA091 San Juan- Caguas, PR CMA092 Little Rock- North Little Rock, AR CMA093 Las Vegas, NV CMA095 Columbia, SC CMA097 Bakersfield, CA CMA099 York, PA CMA100 Shreveport, Louisiana CMA101 Beaumont- Port Arthur, TX CMA105 Lancaster, PA CMA106 Jackson, MS CMA107 Stockton, CA CMA108 Augusta GA/ SC CMA111 Vallejo- Fairfield- Napa, CA CMA112 Corpus Christi, TX CMA113 Madison, WI 122 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 123 CMA Name CMA115 Utica- Rome, NY CMA116 Lexington- Fayette, KY CMA118 Reading, PA CMA119 Evansville, IN/ KY CMA120 Huntsville, AL CMA121 Trenton, NJ CMA123 Santa Rosa- Petaluma, CA CMA124 Santa Barbara- Santa Maria- Lompoc, CA CMA126 Salinas- Seaside- Monterey, CA CMA127 Pensacola, FL CMA128 McAllen- Edinburg- Mission, TX CMA136 Lorain- Elyria, OH CMA137 Melbourne- Titusville- Palm Bay, FL CMA142 Modesto, CA CMA145 Hamilton- Middletown, OH CMA146 Daytona Beach, FL CMA147 Ponce, PR CMA149 Fayettesville, NC CMA150 Visalia- Tulare- Porterville, CA CMA154 New London- Norwich, CT CMA155 Savannah, GA CMA160 Killeen- Temple, TX CMA163 Springfield, MO CMA165 Fort Smith AR- OK CMA167 Sarasota, FL CMA169 Mayaguez, PR CMA171 Reno, NV CMA174 Lafayette, LA CMA175 Santa Cruz, CA CMA179 Topeka, KS CMA180 Springfield, OH CMA182 Fayetteville- Springdale, AR CMA183 Ashville, NC CMA184 Houma- Thibodaux, LA CMA185 Terre Haute, IN CMA191 Yakima, WA CMA194 Waco, TX CMA197 Lake Charles, LA CMA202 Arecibo, PR CMA204 Aguadilla, PR CMA205 Alexandria, LA CMA206 Longview- Marshall, TX CMA208 Fort Pierce, FL CMA209 Clarksville- Hopkinsville, TN/ KY 123 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 124 CMA Name CMA211 Bradenton, FL CMA212 Bremerton, WA CMA213 Pittsfield, MA CMA214 Richland- Kennewick- Pasco, WA CMA215 Chico, CA CMA216 Janesville- Beloit, WI CMA217 Anderson, IN CMA218 Wilmington, NC CMA219 Monroe, LA CMA222 Tuscaloosa, AL CMA226 Florence, AL CMA227 Anderson, SC CMA234 Athens, GA CMA236 Muncie, IN CMA237 Tyler, TX CMA239 Joplin, MO CMA242 Olympia, WA CMA244 Kenosha, WI CMA245 Ocala, FL CMA247 Lafayette, IN CMA249 Anniston, AL CMA252 Pascagoula, MI CMA254 Redding, CA CMA258 Jacksonville, NC CMA264 Florence, SC CMA265 Fort Walton Beach, FL CMA266 Glens Falls, NY CMA270 Bellingham, WA CMA271 Kokomo, IN CMA272 Gadsden, AL CMA274 Yuba City, CA CMA275 St. Joseph, MO CMA277 Sheboygan, WI CMA278 Columbia, MO CMA280 Burlington, NC CMA281 Laredo, TX CMA282 Bloomington, IN CMA287 Bryan- College Station, TX CMA291 Pine Bluff, AR CMA292 Sherman- Denison, TX CMA293 Owensboro, KY CMA300 Victoria, TX CMA303 Aurora- Elgin, IL CMA304 Joliet, IL 124 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 125 CMA Name CMA307 Alabama 1 - Franklin CMA326 Arkansas 3 - Sharp CMA327 Arkansas 4 - Clay CMA328 Arkansas 5 - Cross CMA329 Arkansas 6 - Cleburne CMA330 Arkansas 7 - Pope CMA331 Arkansas 8 - Franklin CMA333 Arkansas 10 - Garland CMA334 Arkansas 11 - Hempstead CMA335 Arkansas 12 - Ouachita CMA339 California 4 - Madera CMA343 California 8 - Tehama CMA345 California 10 - Sierra CMA346 California 11 - El Dorado CMA347 California 12 - Kings CMA357 Connecticut 1 - Litchfield CMA359 Delaware 1 - Kent CMA360 Florida 1 - Collier CMA361 Florida 2 - Glades CMA362 Florida 3 - Hardee CMA363 Florida 4 - Citrus CMA364 Florida 5 - Putnam CMA371 Georgia 1 - Whitfield CMA373 Georgia 3 - Chattooga CMA374 Georgia 4- Jasper CMA378 Georgia 8- Warren CMA381 Georgia 11 - Toombs CMA384 Georgia 14 - Worth CMA396 Illinois 3 - Mercer CMA399 Illinois 6 - Montgomery CMA407 Indiana 5 - Warren CMA409 Indiana 7 - Owen CMA410 Indiana 8 - Brown CMA443 Kentucky 1 - Fulton CMA444 Kentucky 2 - Union CMA445 Kentucky 3 - Meade CMA448 Kentucky 6 - Madison CMA449 Kentucky 7 - Trimble CMA450 Kentucky 8 - Mason CMA452 Kentucky 10- Powell CMA453 Kentucky 11 - Clay CMA454 Louisiana 1 - Claiborne CMA456 Louisiana 3 - De Soto CMA457 Louisiana 4 - Caldwell 125 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 126 CMA Name CMA458 Louisiana 5 - Beauregard CMA459 Louisiana 6 - Iberville CMA460 Louisiana 7 - West Feliciana CMA461 Louisiana 8 - St. James CMA471 Massachusetts 2 - Barnstable CMA493 Mississippi 1 - Tunica CMA494 Mississippi 2 - Benton CMA495 Mississippi 3 - Bolivar CMA496 Mississippi 4 - Yalobusha CMA497 Mississippi 5 - Washington CMA498 Mississippi 6 - Montgomery CMA499 Mississippi 7 - Leake CMA500 Mississippi 8 - Claiborne CMA511 Missouri 8 - Callaway CMA514 Missouri 11 - Moniteau CMA517 Missouri 14 - Barton CMA521 Missouri 18 - Perry CMA522 Missouri 19 - Stoddard CMA545 Nevada 3 - Storey CMA546 Nevada 4 - Mineral CMA568 North Carolina 4- Henderson CMA570 North Carolina 6- Chatham CMA575 North Carolina 11- Hoke CMA577 North Carolina 13- Greene CMA594 Ohio 10 - Perry CMA598 Oklahoma 3 - Grant CMA623 Pennsylvania 12 - Lebanon CMA625 South Carolina 1- Oconee CMA626 South Carolina 2- Laurens CMA627 South Carolina 3- Cherokee CMA628 South Carolina 4- Chesterfield CMA629 South Carolina 5- Georgetown CMA630 South Carolina 6- Clarendon CMA631 South Carolina 7- Calhoun CMA632 South Carolina 8- Hampton CMA643 Tennessee 1 - Lake CMA646 Tennessee 4 - Hamblen CMA647 Tennessee 5 - Fayette CMA648 Tennessee 6 - Giles CMA649 Tennessee 7 - Bledsoe CMA650 Tennesse 8- Johnson CMA651 Tennessee 9 - Maury CMA657 Texas 6 - Jack CMA660 Texas 9 - Runnels CMA662 Texas 11 - Cherokee 126 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 127 CMA Name CMA663 Texas 12 - Hudspeth CMA668 Texas 17 - Newton CMA669 Texas 18 - Edwards CMA670 Texas 19 - Atascosa CMA673 Utah 1 - Box Elder CMA674 Utah 2 - Morgan CMA681 Virginia 1- Lee CMA682 Virginia 2- Tazewell CMA690 Virginia 10- Frederick CMA691 Virginia 11 - Madison CMA691 Virginia 11- Madison CMA692 Virginia 12- Caroline CMA693 Washington 1 - Clallam CMA697 Washington 5 - Kittitas CMA698 Washington 6 - Pacific CMA723 Puerto Rico 1 - Rincon CMA724 Puerto Rico 2 - Adjuntas CMA725 Puerto Rico 3 - Ciales CMA726 Puerto Rico 4 - Aibonito CMA727 Puerto Rico 5 - Ceiba CMA728 Puerto Rico 6 - Vieques CMA729 Puerto Rico 7 - Culebra 127 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 128 APPENDIX D MARKET- SPECIFIC ANALYSIS [REDACTED] 607 607 This is a confidential exhibit which is available pursuant to the terms of the Protective Order. A redacted version of this Appendix D will be made available separately. 128 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 129 APPENDIX E LIST OF T- MOBILE – CINGULAR JOINT VENTURE MARKETS CEAs: CEA Name CEA0680 Bakersfield, CA CEA1620 Chico- Paradise, CA CEA2840 Fresno, CA CEA4120 Las Vegas, NV- AZ- UT CEA4480 Los Angeles- Long Beach, CA CEA4940 Merced, CA CEA5170 Modesto, CA CEA5775 Oakland, CA CEA5945 Orange County, CA CEA6780 Riverside- San Bernadino, CA- AZ CEA6920 Sacramento, CA CEA7120 Salinas, CA CEA7320 San Diego, CA CEA7360 San Francisco, CA CEA7400 San Jose, CA CEA7480 Santa Barbara- Santa Maria- Lompoc, CA CEA7485 Santa Cruz- Watsonville, CA CEA7500 Santa Rosa, CA CEA8120 Stockton- Lodi, CA CEA8720 Vallejo- Fairfield- Napa, CA CEA8735 Ventura, CA CEA8780 Visalia- Tulare- Porterville, CA CEA9270 Yolo, CA CEA9340 Yuba City, CA CMAs: CMA Name CMA002 Los Angeles/ Long Beach, CA CMA007 San Francisco, CA CMA018 San Diego, CA CMA027 San Jose, CA CMA035 Sacramento, CA CMA073 Ventura, CA CMA074 Fresno, CA CMA093 Las Vegas, NV CMA097 Bakersfield, CA 129 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 130 CMA Name CMA107 Stockton, CA CMA111 Vallejo- Fairfield- Napa, CA CMA123 Santa Rosa- Petaluma, CA CMA124 Maria- Lompoc, CA CMA126 Monterey, CA CMA142 Modesto, CA CMA150 Visalia- Tulare- Porterville, CA CMA171 Reno, NV CMA175 Santa Cruz, CA CMA215 Chico, CA CMA254 Redding, CA CMA274 Yuba City, CA CMA339 California 4- Madera CMA343 California 8- Tehama CMA345 California 10- Sierra CMA346 California 11- El Dorado CMA347 California 12- Kings CMA545 Nevada 3- Storey CMA546 Nevada 4- Mineral 130 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 131 APPENDIX F LIST OF TRITON MARKETS CEAs: CEA Name CEA0480 Ashville, NC CEA0500 Athens, GA CEA0600 Augusta- Aiken, GA- SC CEA1440 Charleston- North Charleston, SC CEA1760 Columbia, SC CEA2560 Fayetteville, NC CEA2655 Florence, SC CEA2980 Goldsboro, NC CEA3120 Greensboro- Winston- Salem- Hight Point, NC- VA CEA3160 Greenville- Spartanburg- Anderson, SC- NC CEA3605 Jacksonville, NC CEA3660 Johnson City- Kingsport- Bristol, TN- VA CEA5330 Myrtle Beach, SC CEA8140 Sumter, SC CEA9200 Wilmington, NC CEA9528 Greenville, MS CMAs: CMA Name CMA067 Greenville- Spartanburg, SC CMA085 Johnson City- Kingsport- Bristol, TN CMA090 Charleston- North Charleston, SC CMA095 Columbia, SC CMA108 Augusta GA/ SC CMA149 Fayettesville, NC CMA155 Savannah, GA CMA183 Ashville, NC CMA218 Wilmington, NC CMA227 Anderson, SC CMA234 Athens, GA CMA258 Jacksonville, NC CMA264 Florence, SC CMA280 Burlington, NC CMA374 Georgia 4- Jasper CMA378 Georgia 8- Warren 131 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 132 CMA Name CMA452 Kentucky 10- Powell CMA568 North Carolina 4- Henderson CMA570 North Carolina 6- Chatham CMA575 North Carolina 11- Hoke CMA577 North Carolina 13- Greene CMA625 South Carolina 1- Oconee CMA626 South Carolina 2- Laurens CMA627 South Carolina 3- Cherokee CMA628 South Carolina 4- Chesterfield CMA629 South Carolina 5- Georgetown CMA630 South Carolina 6- Clarendon CMA631 South Carolina 7- Calhoun CMA632 South Carolina 8- Hampton CMA650 Tennesse 8- Johnson CMA681 Virginia 1- Lee CMA682 Virginia 2- Tazewell CMA690 Virginia 10- Frederick CMA691 Virginia 11- Madison CMA692 Virginia 12- Caroline 132 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 SEPARATE STATEMENT OF CHAIRMAN MICHAEL K. POWELL Re: Applications of AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation, For Consent to Transfer of Control of Licenses and Authorizations, WT Docket No. 04- 70, et al. (Adopted October 22, 2004). Today the Commission concludes -- with significant conditions -- that Cingular’s request to combine with AT& T Wireless serves the public interest. Cingular will emerge a stronger competitor with better coverage, improved customer service and a renewed commitment to innovation. This will not only be true in the voice market but also increasingly for data. The diverse cross section of support the transaction garnered from groups with disabilities, rural carriers, as well as labor and public safety organizations aptly demonstrates its benefits. Even in light of these attributes, the Commission concluded that the deal could not go forward absent several conditions, including: business unit divestitures in 16 markets, limits on Cingular's acquisition of spectrum in an upcoming auction, and additional spectrum divestitures. The Commission has assessed, on a market- by- market basis, whether Cingular's acquisition of AT& T's customers and spectrum holdings pose a threat to competition. Only after we looked seriously at the proposed transactions effect upon intermodal competition did we conclude that the transaction was in the public interest. We believe our conditions, combined with the benefits to the consumer experience brought by Cingular's new scale and scope, will ensure the public interest is served by this transaction. Indeed, both before and after, this transaction the wireless market is the most competitive and innovative within the Commission's jurisdiction. In their partial dissent, my colleagues incorrectly assert that we confined our merger evaluation to wireless intramodal issues. To the contrary, I took very seriously the complex issues that arise from the combination of wireless and wireline companies. This was and will remain a matter of focus and concern. However, at the end of the day, we did not believe that the evidence in the record was sufficient to justify and substantiate additional conditions beyond those already imposed by the Order. Finally, this Order is the culmination of an enormous amount of work by a talented and dedicated FCC staff. The researchers and drafters of this Order did an extraordinary job of identifying specific harms and crafting appropriate detailed conditions. It is primarily because of their dedicated efforts that we are able to bring this decision to a close today. 133 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 STATEMENT OF COMMISSIONER KATHLEEN Q. ABERNATHY Re: Applications of AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation For Consent to Transfer of Control of Licenses And Authorizations, WT Docket No. 04- 70 (adopted October 22, 2004). I am pleased to support this decision approving the merger of AT& T Wireless Services and Cingular Wireless, because, with the conditions we have imposed, it will lead to significant consumer benefits. One of the real success stories of the United States telecommunications market has been the competitive nature of the wireless industry. The wireless industry, and in particular the mobile wireless sector, is a shining example of what a well- functioning market can achieve when it is not hindered by unnecessary regulation. The FCC reaffirmed in its recent annual report on the state of wireless competition that the industry has continued to show significant growth despite a difficult economic environment. More specifically, the Commission found that the wireless industry continued to innovate, offered a wider variety of service offerings, and increased the availability of its services, all while reducing the prices charged to consumers. The wireless industry by all accounts is competitive, demonstrating how market- based solutions can best serve customers. Because of competition, the Commission found that 97 percent of the total population of the United States lives in a county with access to three or more different operators offering mobile telephone service, up from 95 percent in the previous year, and up from 88 percent in 2000, the first year these statistics were kept. It is against this competitive backdrop that I reviewed the merger of AT& T Wireless and Cingular to determine if its approval would serve the public interest, convenience, and necessity. After an extensive review of data that was submitted to the Commission to determine the competitive effects of this transaction, we have concluded that competitive harm is unlikely in most mobile telephony markets, primarily because of the presence of multiple carriers that have the capacity to add subscribers and the ability to supplement their current capacity as well. More specifically, even after the merger, 97 percent of the total U. S. population will continue to live in a county with access to three or more different operators offering mobile telephone service. In addition, populations in many other counties will have access to 4, 5, 6 or even 7 or more different mobile telephone operators. However, our careful review of the transaction did raise competitive concerns in several mobile telephony markets where our case- by- case review revealed that likely competitive harms exceed the likely benefits of the transaction. In these markets, the divestiture conditions that we are adopting should effectively ameliorate the expected harm. Therefore, with these conditions in place, in no area of the country will harm to users of mobile telephony services result from this acquisition. I also believe that consumers are likely to recognize many benefits in the forms of efficiencies from this merger. These include improvements in service quality that will likely arise from the combination of the applicants’ network operations and spectrum holdings, more ubiquitous and robust advanced services being deployed because of the additional spectrum available to the merged entity, and the ability of the merged entity to expand into previously unserved markets, among others. In the long term, it will be competitive marketplace that determines whether the merged entity is successful. Finally, just as this transaction will benefit consumers of wireless services, I am likewise convinced that it will not undermine competition in the wireline communications market. Opponents of the transaction raise two concerns, neither of which persuades me to oppose the merger or support additional conditions. First, some parties assert that SBC and BellSouth, Cingular’s corporate parents, will have the incentive and ability to discriminate against unaffiliated wireless providers. To the extent 134 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 STATEMENT OF FCC COMMISSIONER MICHAEL J. COPPS Approving in part, dissenting in part RE: Applications of AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation For Consent to Transfer of Control of Licenses and Authorizations (Memorandum Opinion & Order). Among the FCC’s many responsibilities under the public interest merger review standard, two stand out for purposes of analyzing this particular transaction. First, we must examine whether the combination results in a level of competition adequate to protect consumers as of this moment in time and as illuminated by our retrospective data. In this Order the FCC confines that analysis to an examination of intramodal wireless competition. Second, we must examine whether the merger will make changes to the communications marketplace that endanger Congress’s public interest goals more generally. For purposes of this merger, that analysis largely concerns damage to intermodal competition and the relationship between the merged entity and its wireline parents. I support the Order as it relates to intramodal competition within the wireless market. With the divestitures achieved in this order, I believe that an acceptable level of competition will continue to characterize the wireless market. I must dissent to those parts of the Order relating to the intermodal aspects of the merger, however, because of the increased potential for discrimination by the merged entities’ wireline parent companies and also because I find the lack of rigorous competitive analysis troubling. Intramodal Competition I have closely examined the data that the FCC staff has presented to me. My conclusion is that after the merger, an acceptable level of intramodal competition will remain in place in the wireless market in most geographic areas. While U. S. wireless telecommunications are characterized by effective competition in most markets, the market shares of various carriers are not equally distributed. In many markets the merged entity will have a nearly 50 percent market share. In some smaller markets the entity’s market share will be significantly higher. In most of these markets, however, four or more able competitors will continue to compete post- merger. Even where the market shares of these competitors are substantially below that of the merged entity, under current market conditions they retain the ability to constrain excessive pricing. These competitors stand ready to snatch away Cingular/ AWE customers who would become dissatisfied if the merged entity were to raise prices too high. Today, in fact, even in markets where the pre- merger Cingular has a very high market share, it has been unable to raise prices, presumably due to this competition. In some markets, however, the proposed merger would have created unacceptable competitive harms. The Order therefore imposes competitive remedies where markets would become dangerously concentrated post- merger. The Order concludes that even where a market contains four or more able competitors to the merged entity, if the merged entity’s market share is too high, competitors would not be able to discipline behavior. In one market, for example, the merged entity’s post- transaction market share would be close to 60 percent. Other substantial national carriers compete in this market; one with 18 percent, a second with 17 percent, and a third with 4 percent. In this market, despite the presence of competing carriers, the order concludes that competitors would not be able to discipline the merged entity’s behavior. 1 1 I have not identified the market in this example in order not to reveal proprietary information. Those with access to the unredacted version of the Order can reference the “Individual Market Analysis” to identify this market. 136 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 2 In other cases, even though another substantial carrier is competing, the Order concludes that “the merger would lead to an effective duopoly … [and that] [w] e have previously been highly skeptical of mergers that would lead to a duopoly, and the courts have found that mergers to duopoly are generally unacceptable.” The Order also finds that there are markets where the merged entity would control such a large amount of spectrum that competitors would not have the spectral resources to discipline its behavior. In many of these markets, the Order requires a spectrum divestiture. In other markets it imposes a condition that the merged entity cannot participate in the upcoming Auction 58. This latter enhancement of the Order will prevent the merged entity from denying new spectrum resources to potential competitors. In the interest of improving and quickening the review of future mergers, I must note that the data that we relied upon in making these decisions were not what they could have been. The item relies almost exclusively on the NRUF database of telephone numbers to determine market shares. I am not convinced that this database alone is adequate for this important determination. Recognizing this possibility, the Commission requested data from wireless firms about actual customers, so it would not have to rely so heavily on potentially faulty NRUF database. But today the Commission largely ignores the valuable data that we collected from carriers. Limited analysis of this data demonstrated that it might produce significantly different results than the NRUF database. Unfortunately, these important data were not made available to Commissioners. Going forward, now that we know of the potential for inconsistency in the data, we must insist upon the provision of these data and the opportunity to compare them to the NRUF database before rendering a decision. This option was unavailable to me in this case. I also want to note that the Order includes an analysis of Cingular’s efforts to provide communications technologies to the disabilities community. I have been very favorably impressed with Cingular’s efforts and the expansion of these efforts through the merger contributes significantly in Cingular’s favor in the public interest analysis. I look forward to this work continuing in the merged entity. It is vitally important to the disability community and, indeed, to the nation. Overall, I believe that the merger will not reduce intramodal competition in most markets to dangerous levels. It will, however, reduce this competition to some extent. The number of national carriers will shrink to five. A major competitor will disappear in hundreds of markets. The FCC has always been proud of the level of competition in the wireless market and of the fact that is has continuously grown. Here we create the potential for wireless competition to shrink, so we must now be far more vigilant to protect consumers. We are drawing down on the storehouse of intramodal competition that industry investment and wise FCC policy throughout the 1990’s created. With less competition left in the storehouse by today’s order, we need to be constantly monitoring, analyzing and preparing ourselves to deal with any competitive threats arising in the aftermath of this transaction. Intermodal Competition Turning now to our second responsibility, the Commission must examine whether the merger will make changes to the communications marketplace that endanger public interest goals more generally. In today’s Order, this analysis largely concerns damage to intermodal competition and the relationship between the merged entity and its wireline parents. This proceeding was harmed by the absence of rigorous analysis of the implications of this merger for intermodal competition. Again and again over the past few years the FCC has undermined competition to wireline incumbents. As a result, competitors have become far less effective. AT& T, the nation’s largest long distance competitor to the Bells, has announced huge layoffs. Indeed, the company has said that it will, amazingly, exit the residential long distance market. Nonetheless, we are told not to be alarmed or to fear that phone rates will rise— because intermodal competition will save the day. In 137 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 3 other words, even if there is inadequate wireline- to- wireline competition to the incumbent carriers, other competitors using non- wireline technologies will fight the Bell operating companies for customers, thereby keeping prices low. But who will these intermodal competitors be? Someday broadband over powerline may offer real competition. But today there are less than 10,000 BPL customers in the whole country. Maybe VoIP? I have high hopes here. But we need always to remember that as end- users of facilities- based carriers, VoIP competitors are beholden to the Bell and cable companies. We can cross our fingers and hope that growing duopoly does not discriminate so as to snuff out growing competition— but absent any commitment on the part of this Commission to insist on non- discrimination rules, I remain concerned for independent VoIP providers. Additionally, all customers desiring VoIP for their voice service must subscribe to expensive broadband services. As the U. S. continues its free- fall broadband descent— we are now Number13 in the world in penetration— and with broadband prices still out of the reach of many Americans, there is much to be done if VoIP is to fulfill its potential. So that leaves wireless. My colleagues often point to wireless as a strong intermodal competitor. After this merger, however, the chance that wireless will compete effectively with wireline incumbents is diminished. AT& T Wireless was the largest non- Bell- affiliated wireless company in the country. Cingular and Verizon, both affiliates of BOCs, will now be the number one and two wireless carriers. Together the Bell- affiliated companies will now be more than 5 times larger than the next largest competitor. 2 Once Cingular acquires AT& T Wireless, more than half of all wireless customers will be controlled by the Bell companies for the first time ever. In many markets BOC control of wireless customers will be even higher. Can we expect that Bell owned wireless carriers will compete tooth- and- nail against their wireline parents? I don’t think so. Even the Order agrees: “The acquisition will also affect intermodal competition through the likelihood that Cingular will not pursue AT& T Wireless’s extensive plans for wireline replacement offerings.” It also notes that rather than developing products designed to compete with wireline services, “Cingular has developed and marketed many of its wireless products and services to complement – and specifically not to replace – residential wireline voice services. Cingular developed this strategy largely because SBC and BellSouth play a significant role in Cingular’s business decisions.” The Order continues, “it appears that Cingular is unlikely to initiate its own wireless substitute offering post- acquisition in the SBC and BellSouth regions.” In other words, Bell- controlled wireless carriers will likely not be in- region intermodal competitors. Because Cingular and Verizon Wireless are the largest wireless carriers in their respective parents’ wireline regions, this means that many Americans can expect intermodal competition by wireless carriers to suffer from this merger. Despite these concerns, the Order devotes a mere 13 paragraphs of a more than 100 page order to the intermodal competition that stands at the center of so much of this Commission’s competition philosophy. In the end the Order dismisses the problem posed by the merger by asserting that wireless was never really an intermodal competitor after all because “most wireline customers do not now consider wireless service to be a close substitute in the antitrust sense for their primary line obtained from a wireline carrier,” and because “there remain qualitative differences between wireless and wireline services.” I guess this means we won’t be hearing so much rhetoric in the future about the power of wireless as an intermodal competitor. I also believe that the FCC should have followed the precedent of past mergers by including a non- discrimination condition. Specifically, the Commission should have prohibited SBC and BellSouth, 2 Securities and Exchange Commission, “Carrier Subscribers and Capital Expenditures,” Second Quarter 2004. 138 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 4 in regions where they are the wireline incumbent, from discriminating against Cingular’s wireless competitors. Today’s Order allows Cingular to combine with AT& T Wireless in many markets where the merged entity will have a very large market share compared to its nearest wireless competitor. In theory, such a market still will be characterized by adequate competition. This is because if the merged entity raises prices above a certain level, its customers will be able to leave and sign up with a competitor. In order for competitors to be able to discipline the merged entity’s behavior in this way, however, competitors must have the ability to absorb customers who want to leave because of the higher prices. In order for wireless competitors to ramp up to compete with the merged entity in such a situation, competitors will need to purchase inputs from a wireline carrier in the market at issue, unless they have excess capacity currently laying fallow. Even if they have excess capacity, they must rely on a wireline carrier to maintain their current service without raising prices. In particular, if special access or interconnection is offered to an independent wireless carrier at higher rates or with less favorable terms or conditions compared with a Bell- affiliated wireless carrier, the independent carrier will find it extremely difficult to provide a competitive check on the affiliated carrier. If the incumbent wireline carrier controls the largest wireless carrier in a region, it has an incentive to provide superior special access and interconnection rates, terms, and conditions to its affiliate. That is because by crippling potential competitors it will enhance its affiliate’s profits and thereby enhance its own profits. We could have made it clear that such behavior is unacceptable by including a non- discrimination condition in this merger. I welcome my colleagues’ assertion that Section 202 already prohibits such behavior. The test will come when we are asked to use Section 202 to combat discrimination. The history here is not encouraging and I would have much preferred to be explicit so we would have a more powerful tool if and when we are presented with such a challenge. To conclude, despite inadequate analysis and too dismissive an attitude toward the danger to intermodal competition posed by this merger, I welcome the Commission’s strong warning about the future. “We caution, however, that we may take a different view with regard to any future transactions that would diminish significantly the ability of independent wireless carriers to offer intermodal alternatives to wireline service. At this time, we recognize that there are benefits to consumers from both wireline replacement offerings and complement offerings. We intend to monitor carefully further developments in this marketplace that may affect intermodal competition, and to consider carefully future transactions that may impede our efforts in that regard. The Commission has worked hard to create the regulatory conditions for robust intermodal competition, and it remains strongly committed to achieving that important policy goal.” I agree. 139 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 SEPARATE STATEMENT OF COMMISSIONER KEVIN J. MARTIN Re: Applications of AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation for Consent To Transfer of Control of Licenses and Authorizations, Memorandum Opinion and Order, WT Docket No. 04- 70 The wireless industry is the poster child for the success of competition. There are now more than 161 million wireless subscribers in this country. There are over 205,000 jobs in the wireless industry. The industry has invested more than $146 billion. 96. 8% of the population live in counties with three or more wireless competitors. 93% live in counties with four or more. With this merger vigorous competition will remain. As the Order explains, we find that the license transfers at issue are in the public interest and that competitive harm is unlikely in most markets. We also find that any potential public interest harm to competition in the wireline market is mitigated by the limited level of wireless- wireline competition. These were difficult issues, as was deciding the appropriate divestitures and merger conditions. In the end, however, I think we put appropriate protections in place to address any concerns. Accordingly, I support this Order. 140 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 STATEMENT OF COMMISSIONER JONATHAN S. ADELSTEIN APPROVING IN PART, DISSENTING IN PART Re: Applications of AT& T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation, For Consent to Transfer of Control of Licenses and Authorizations; WT Docket No. 04- 70 et al I generally approve this merger because I believe it will create a stronger, more vibrant provider of mobile wireless communications. Our deliberation has been a challenging one, though, and I am pleased that, with one notable exception, we generally have imposed conditions appropriate for a merger of this magnitude. The growth of mobile wireless services over the last 10 years has been historic. Offering what was once considered a luxury item, only affordable to a few, the mobile wireless industry now serves more than 169 million customers – over a 50 percent penetration rate. Millions of customers have even “cut the cord,” forgoing or canceling their wireline service in favor of going exclusively wireless. We frequently hear about customers substituting wireline minutes with wireless ones as “bucket” and nationwide calling plans are exploited by subscribers. Competition has been the key driver of this growth. Without competition, we simply would not be where we are today. The Commission’s policies encouraged innovation and development, and the mobile wireless industry responded with vigorous competition. It has been an unabashed success. So now we have before us a merger of historic proportions. And it is up to this Commission to ensure that the competition that has benefited not only U. S. consumers, but the U. S. economy, is maintained. I take this charge seriously, and have viewed this merger through a number of different lenses. I have tried to consider the impact on customers in our larger, more populated cities, as well as those living in rural America. I have listened to groups representing our nation’s disabled community, as well as those advocating on behalf of competitive carriers and rural wireless companies. This merger touches on so many different stakeholders, and it is crucial to make sure that everyone is given fair consideration. At bottom, I support a large portion of this merger because for the most part the public interest benefits outweigh a number of the concerns identified in the item. I am hopeful about the creation of a stronger, more vibrant competitor that will dedicate its resources to provide better wireless service in more areas of the country. Cingular already has launched a campaign to work with its partners in rural America to push out the deployment of third generation wireless services. This is a positive development, and I believe the merger before us will drive wireless broadband services deeper and farther across America. I have heard the loud chorus of supporters of this merger. For example, several of the nation’s disability advocates support the merger and its impact on accessibility of telecommunications products and services for people with disabilities. We also have heard from many public safety entities that the merger will continue the increasingly rapid deployment of wireless E911 services. Union leaders have promoted the merger as being good for the economy and our nation’s workers. Finally, a number of rural wireless carriers believe that the merger will improve wireless services in rural areas because the merged entity will be a more effective provider across the country and thus a more effective partner in rural areas. Of course, a merger of this size requires a vigorous review to ensure that we do not inadvertently disadvantage the very communities we are trying to protect. An unchecked merger of this type could harm the competitive environment in some communities in ways that the market is unlikely to overcome. 141 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04- 255 2 Initially, it was unclear if our analysis took full advantage of the data available to us given time constraints, but I am pleased that we made some progress over the last few days by conducting a further review of some of the most sensitive markets affected by this merger. That is why I fully support our decision to require divestiture in the markets identified in the item. While I have lingering concerns that the item does not dig deep enough, I think that with our recent work, we have done our best to ensure that few, if any, markets have fallen through the cracks. I appreciate very much the efforts of the Commission staff in pulling this information together, and am pleased that my colleagues were willing to consider additional divestiture actions. I also am pleased that we have accepted an offer from the applicants to limit the ability of the merged entity to participate in Auction 58 with respect to a handful of markets. This is a simple but meaningful step that allows this transaction to go forward while ensuring that the merged entity does not gain even more spectrum within certain in– region markets so shortly after this massive transaction. In these limited markets, we ensure that a competitor will secure the Auction 58 spectrum, which will in turn appropriately protect competition in these markets. Unfortunately, the majority falls short in addressing the impact of the improved market position and incentives of Cingular and its parent companies in the SBC and BellSouth regions. In many major in-region markets, Cingular now will have almost half of the mobile wireless market share. And in allowing the acquisition of AT& T Wireless, we permanently remove an independent source of competition to Cingular, SBC and BellSouth. The majority declines to adopt any condition to ensure that intermodal competition does not disproportionately suffer as a result of our approval of the merger. They do so even though the item itself concludes that intermodal competition will suffer as a result of this merger. I find the unwillingness to confront this issue far too short- sighted for a Commission that is perfectly willing to look prospectively towards communications landscapes on the horizon when that approach is more convenient. For example, we could have dug deeper into bundling issues and tried to determine how we can minimize the competitive impact of the merger on this expanding market, as even the item recognizes that wireless-wireline bundling may be a significant product offering in the future. Ultimately, there were reasonable alternatives available to the Commission to guard against the merger’s potentially negative impact on competition, but the majority declines to adopt any such protective measures. As a result, Cingular, not to mention SBC and BellSouth, essentially gets a “pass” from the majority on these intermodal competition issues. For this reason, I must dissent in part from the item. I can only hope that, notwithstanding our rushed review, intermodal competition will not disproportionately suffer, and that the treatment of the next such merger application will be more considered. 142