Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 Before the Federal Communications Commission Washington, D.C. 20554 In the Matter of Implementation of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992 Development of Competition and Diversity in Video Programming Distribution: Section 628(c)(5) of the Communications Act: Sunset of Exclusive Contract Prohibition Review of the Commission’s Program Access Rules and Examination of Programming Tying Arrangements ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) MB Docket No. 07-29 MB Docket No. 07-198 REPORT AND ORDER AND NOTICE OF PROPOSED RULEMAKING Adopted: September 11, 2007 Released: October 1, 2007 Comment Date: 30 days after date of publication in the Federal Register Reply Comment Date: 45 days after date of publication in the Federal Register By the Commission: Chairman Martin and Commissioners Adelstein, Tate and McDowell issuing separate statements; Commissioner Copps approving in part, concurring in part and issuing a statement TABLE OF CONTENTS Heading Paragraph # I. INTRODUCTION AND EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................... 1 II. BACKGROUND.................................................................................................................................... 3 A. Exclusive Contract Prohibition ........................................................................................................ 3 B. Program Access Complaint Procedures........................................................................................... 8 III. DISCUSSION....................................................................................................................................... 12 A. Exclusive Contract Prohibition ...................................................................................................... 12 1. Standard of Review ................................................................................................................. 13 2. Status of the MVPD Market: 2002-2007................................................................................. 16 3. Ability and Incentive ............................................................................................................... 29 a. Ability ............................................................................................................................... 30 b. Incentive............................................................................................................................ 43 c. Impact on Programming.................................................................................................... 64 4. Scope of Exclusive Contract Prohibition................................................................................. 67 a. Narrowing the Prohibition ................................................................................................ 68 Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 2 (i) Narrowing Based on Status of Programming Network .............................................. 68 (ii) Narrowing Based on Status of Cable Operator .......................................................... 70 (iii) Narrowing Based on Status of Competitive MVPD................................................... 73 b. Expanding the Prohibition ................................................................................................ 75 (i) Expanding the Prohibition to Non-Cable-Affiliated Programming........................... 75 (ii) Expanding the Prohibition to Terrestrially Delivered Programming ........................ 75 5. Length of New Term ............................................................................................................... 79 6. Other Programming Issues ...................................................................................................... 82 B. Modification of Program Access Complaint Procedures............................................................... 83 1. Pleading Cycle......................................................................................................................... 86 2. Discovery................................................................................................................................. 91 3. Time Frame for Resolving Program Access Complaints ...................................................... 104 4. Arbitration ............................................................................................................................. 109 IV. NOTICE OF PROPOSED RULEMAKING ...................................................................................... 114 A. Procedure for Shortening Term of Extension of Exclusive Contract Prohibition........................ 114 B. Extending Program Access Rules to Terrestrially Delivered Cable-Affiliated Programming................................................................................................................................ 114 C. Expanding the Exclusive Contract Prohibition to Non-Cable-Affiliated Programming.............. 118 D. Tying of Desired Programming with Undesired Programming................................................... 119 E. Program Access Concerns Raised by Small and Rural MVPDs.................................................. 133 F. Modification of Program Access Complaint Procedures............................................................. 134 V. PROCEDURAL MATTERS.............................................................................................................. 138 A. Filing Requirements..................................................................................................................... 138 B. Initial and Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis......................................................................... 143 C. Paperwork Reduction Act Analysis ............................................................................................. 145 D. Congressional Review Act........................................................................................................... 151 VI. ORDERING CLAUSES..................................................................................................................... 152 APPENDIX A – List of Commenters APPENDIX B – Response to Cablevision Regarding Analysis in Adelphia Order APPENDIX C – Impact of Clustering on Withholding Strategy and Analysis of Profitability of Withholding Strategy APPENDIX D – Revised Rules APPENDIX E – Standard Protective Order and Declaration for Use in Section 628 Program Access Proceedings APPENDIX F – Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis APPENDIX G – Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis I. INTRODUCTION AND EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1. In areas served by a cable operator, Section 628(c)(2)(D) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended (“Communications Act”) generally prohibits exclusive contracts for satellite cable programming or satellite broadcast programming between vertically integrated programming vendors and cable operators (the “exclusive contract prohibition”).1 In this Order, we find that the exclusive contract prohibition continues to be necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming, and accordingly, retain it again for five years, until October 5, 2012. In the Order, we decline to narrow the scope of the exclusive contract prohibition based on the popularity of the programming network, based on the competitive circumstances in individual geographic areas served by a 1 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(2)(D). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 3 cable operator, or by precluding certain competitive multichannel video programming distributors (“MVPDs”)2 from benefiting from the prohibition. We also decline to expand the exclusive contract prohibition to apply to non-cable-affiliated programming, and we again conclude that terrestrially delivered programming is beyond the scope of the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D). In the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (“NPRM”), we seek comment on revisions to the Commission’s program access and retransmission consent rules and whether it may be appropriate to preclude the practice of programmers to tie desired programming with undesired programming. First, the Commission seeks comment on whether it can establish a procedure that would shorten the term of the five-year extension of the exclusive contract prohibition if, after two years (i.e., October 5, 2009) a cable operator can show competition from new entrant MVPDs has reached a certain penetration level in a Designated Market Area. Second, the NPRM seeks comment on whether it would be appropriate to extend the Commission’s program access rules to all terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming pursuant to various provisions of the Communications Act. Third, we seek comment on whether to expand the exclusive contract prohibition to apply to non-cable-affiliated programming that is affiliated with a different MVPD, principally a Direct Broadcast Satellite (“DBS”) provider. Fourth, given the problems associated with programming tying arrangements, the NPRM seeks comment on whether it may be appropriate for the Commission to preclude such arrangements. Accordingly, the NPRM (i) seeks comment on how retransmission consent negotiations are impacted when broadcasters tie carriage of their broadcast signals to carriage of other owned or affiliated broadcast stations in the same or a distant market or one or more affiliated non-broadcast networks; (ii) seeks comment on whether Section 628(b) requires satellite cable programmers to offer each of their programming services on a stand-alone basis to all MVPDs at reasonable rates, term, and conditions; and (iii) seeks comment on whether the Commission should require terrestrially delivered cable programming networks and programming networks affiliated with neither a cable operator nor a broadcaster to be offered on a stand-alone basis to all MVPDs at reasonable rates, term, and conditions. Fifth, the NPRM seeks comment on whether and how we should address additional program access concerns raised in this proceeding by small and rural MVPDs regarding allegedly onerous and unreasonable conditions imposed by some programmers for access to their content. In the NPRM, we also seek comment on whether to (i) establish a process whereby a program access complainant may seek a temporary stay of any proposed changes to its existing programming contract pending resolution of the complaint; and (ii) require parties to submit to the Commission, when requested, “final offer” proposals as part of the remedy phase of the complaint process. 2. Further, we modify our procedures for resolving program access disputes by (i) codifying the requirements that a respondent in a program access complaint proceeding that expressly relies upon a document in asserting a defense include the document as part of its answer; (ii) finding that in the context of a complaint proceeding, it would be unreasonable for a respondent not to produce all the documents either requested by the complainant or ordered by the Commission, provided that such documents are in its control and relevant to the dispute; (iii) codifying the Commission’s authority to issue default orders granting a complaint if the respondent fails to comply with discovery requests; and (iv) allowing parties to a program access complaint proceeding to voluntarily engage in alternative dispute resolution, including commercial arbitration, during which time Commission action on the complaint will be suspended. We also retain our goals of resolving program access complaints within five months from the submission of a 2 47 U.S.C. § 522(13) (“multichannel video programming distributor” means “a person such as, but not limited to, a cable operator, a multichannel multipoint distribution service, a direct broadcast satellite service, or a television receive-only satellite program distributor, who makes available for purchase, by subscribers or customers, multiple channels of video programming”). The term “competitive MVPD” refers to MVPDs that compete with incumbent cable operators. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 4 complaint for denial of programming cases, and within nine months for all other program access complaints, such as price discrimination cases. We decline to (i) mandate electronic filings of pleadings at this time (but we note that parties currently may voluntarily submit electronic copies of their pleadings to staff via e-mail); (ii) adopt a more expedited pleading cycle for program access complaints; (iii) mandate weekly status conferences; (iv) shift resolution of program access complaints to the Enforcement Bureau; or (v) adopt mandatory arbitration. II. BACKGROUND A. Exclusive Contract Prohibition 3. In enacting the program access provisions, adopted as part of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992 (“1992 Cable Act”), Congress intended to encourage entry into the MVPD market by existing or potential competitors to traditional cable systems by making available to those entities the programming necessary to enable them to become viable competitors.3 The 1992 Cable Act and its legislative history4 reflect Congressional findings that increased horizontal concentration of cable operators, combined with extensive vertical integration,5 created an imbalance of power, both between cable operators and program vendors and between incumbent cable operators and their multichannel competitors.6 Congress concluded at that time that vertically integrated program suppliers had the incentive and ability to favor their affiliated cable operators over other MVPDs, such as other cable systems, home satellite dish (“HSD”) distributors, direct broadcast satellite (“DBS”) providers, satellite master antenna television (“SMATV”) systems, and wireless cable operators.7 4. When the Commission promulgated regulations implementing the program access provisions of Section 628,8 it recognized that Congress placed a higher value on new competitive entry into the MVPD marketplace than on the continuation of exclusive distribution practices when such practices impede this entry.9 Congress absolutely prohibited exclusive contracts for satellite cable programming or satellite broadcast programming10 between vertically integrated programming vendors 3 See Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992, Pub. L. No. 102-385, 106 Stat. 1460 (1992). 4 See H.R. Rep. No. 102-628 (1992); S. Rep. No. 102-92 (1991), reprinted in 1992 U.S.C.C.A.N. 1133; H.R. Rep. No. 102-862 (1992) (Conf. Rep.), reprinted in 1992 U.S.C.C.A.N. 1231. 5 Vertical integration means the combined ownership of cable systems and suppliers of cable programming. 6 1992 Cable Act § 2(a)(2). 7 See Implementation of Sections 12 and 19 of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992: Development of Competition and Diversity in Video Programming Distribution and Carriage, 8 FCC Rcd 3359, 3365-67, ¶ 21 (1993) (“First Report and Order”), recon., 10 FCC Rcd 1902 (1994), further recon., 10 FCC Rcd 3105 (1994). 8 See First Report and Order, 8 FCC Rcd 3359 (1993). 9 See id. at 3384, ¶ 63. 10 The term “satellite cable programming” means “video programming which is transmitted via satellite and which is primarily intended for direct receipt by cable operators for their retransmission to cable subscribers,” except that such term does not include satellite broadcast programming. 47 U.S.C. § 548(i)(1); 47 U.S.C. § 605(d)(1); see also 47 C.F.R. § 76.1000(h). The term “satellite broadcast programming” means “broadcast video programming when such programming is retransmitted by satellite and the entity retransmitting such programming is not the broadcaster or an entity performing such retransmission on behalf of and with the specific consent of the broadcaster.” 47 U.S.C. § 548(i)(3); see also C.F.R. § 76.1000(f). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 5 and cable operators in areas unserved by cable,11 and generally prohibited exclusive contracts within areas served by cable: with respect to distribution to persons in areas served by a cable operator, [the Commission shall] prohibit exclusive contracts for satellite cable programming or satellite broadcast programming between a cable operator and a satellite cable programming vendor in which a cable operator has an attributable interest or a satellite broadcast programming vendor in which a cable operator has an attributable interest, unless the Commission determines . . . that such contract is in the public interest.12 Congress recognized that, in areas served by cable, some exclusive contracts may serve the public interest by providing offsetting benefits to the video programming market or assisting in the development of competition among MVPDs.13 Any cable operator, satellite cable programming vendor in which a cable operator has an attributable interest, or satellite broadcast programming vendor in which a cable operator has an attributable interest seeking to enforce or enter into an exclusive contract in an area served by a cable operator must submit a “petition for exclusivity” to the Commission for approval.14 5. Congress directed that the exclusive contract prohibition would cease to be effective on October 5, 2002, unless the Commission found in a proceeding conducted between October 2001 and October 2002 that the prohibition “continues to be necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming.”15 In October 2001, the Commission sought comment on this issue,16 and ultimately concluded that the exclusive contract prohibition did continue to be “necessary.”17 The Commission therefore extended the prohibition for five years (i.e., through October 5, 2007).18 The Commission explained that the prohibition remained necessary because, based on marketplace conditions at the time, cable-affiliated programmers retained the ability and incentive to 11 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(2)(C). 12 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(2)(D); see also 47 C.F.R. § 76.1002(c)(2). 13 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(2)(4). In determining whether an exclusive contract is in the public interest, Congress instructed the Commission to consider each of the following factors: (i) the effect of such exclusive contract on the development of competition in the local and national MVPD markets; (ii) the effect of such exclusive contract on competition from MVPD technologies other than cable; (iii) the effect of such exclusive contract on the attraction of capital investment in the production and distribution of new satellite cable programming; (iv) the effect of such exclusive contract on diversity of programming in the MVPD market; and (v) the duration of the exclusive contract. See id. 14 See 47 C.F.R. § 76.1002(c)(5). 15 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(5). 16 See Implementation of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992 – Development of Competition and Diversity in Video Programming Distribution: Section 628(c)(5) of the Communications Act: Sunset of Exclusive Contract Prohibition, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 16 FCC Rcd 19074 (2001) (“2001 Sunset NPRM”). 17 See Implementation of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992 – Development of Competition and Diversity in Video Programming Distribution: Section 628(c)(5) of the Communications Act: Sunset of Exclusive Contract Prohibition, Report and Order, 17 FCC Rcd 12124, 12153-54, ¶ 65 (2002) (“2002 Extension Order”). 18 See id. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 6 withhold programming from unaffiliated MVPDs such that competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming would be impaired without the rule:19 [t]he competitive landscape of the market for the distribution of multichannel video programming has changed for the better since 1992. The number of MVPDs that compete with cable and the number of subscribers served by those MVPDs have increased significantly. We find, however, that the concern on which Congress based the program access provisions – that in the absence of regulation, vertically integrated programmers have the ability and incentive to favor affiliated cable operators over nonaffiliated cable operators and programming distributors using other technologies such that competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming would not be preserved and protected – persists in the current marketplace.20 6. When it extended the exclusive contract prohibition, the Commission also resolved a number of other critical issues raised by commenters with respect to Section 628(c)(5), such as (i) the definition of “necessary” as used in Section 628(c)(5);21 (ii) whether the Commission can use its predictive judgment in assessing if the exclusive contract prohibition continues to be necessary;22 (iii) whether extending the exclusive contract prohibition withstands an intermediate scrutiny test pursuant to First Amendment jurisprudence;23 (iv) whether there exists a class of “must have” programming for which there are no readily available substitutes and, without access to which, competitive MVPDs would be limited in their ability to compete in the video distribution market;24 (v) the impact of increased clustering and consolidation of cable systems on competition in the video distribution marketplace and the necessity of the exclusive contract prohibition;25 (vi) the relevance of antitrust laws to the Commission’s 19 See id. at 12125, ¶ 3. 20 See id. at 12153-54, ¶ 65. 21 See id. at 12128-30, ¶¶ 10-14 (“[W]e conclude that the exclusivity prohibition continues to be ‘necessary’ if, in the absence of the prohibition, competition and diversity would not be preserved and protected.”) (footnotes omitted). 22 See id. at 12130-31, ¶ 16 (“While specific factual evidence is necessary, it alone may not be sufficient to make that determination; we believe that the Commission may also rely on economic theory and its predictive judgment.”) (footnotes omitted); id. at 12135-36, ¶ 25 (“[I]n determining whether to sunset the exclusivity prohibition, we will rely on the factual evidence available, economic theory and the Commission’s predictive judgment of the direction in which the future public interest lies.”). 23 See id. at 12143, ¶ 45 n.138 (“Further, we reject AOLTW’s argument that First Amendment concerns mandate sunset of the exclusivity prohibition. . . . The exclusivity prohibition was previously upheld in the face of a First Amendment challenge. . . . [A]s described herein, we believe the record fully supports our finding that vertically integrated programming continues to be necessary in order for competitive MVPDs to remain viable in the marketplace and diversity in the distribution of video programming preserved and protected.”). 24 See id. at 12139, ¶ 33 (“We agree with the competitive MVPDs’ assertion that if they were to be deprived of only some of this “must have” programming, their ability to retain subscribers would be jeopardized.”). 25 See id. at 12145, ¶ 47 (“We believe that clustering, accompanied by an increase in vertically integrated regional programming networks affiliated with cable MSOs that control system clusters, will increase the incentive of cable operators to practice anticompetitive foreclosure of access to vertically integrated programming.”); id. at 12150-51, ¶ 58 (“[C]onsolidation within the industry since passage of the 1992 Act affords [cable] operators greater direct incentives to advantage their own system operations even at the cost of some immediate advantage in terms of foregone revenues from content distribution to competitors.”). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 7 assessment of whether to permit the exclusive contract prohibition to sunset;26 (vii) the relevance of the impact of the exclusive contract prohibition on incentives to create programming;27 (viii) whether terrestrially delivered programming falls within the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D);28 (ix) whether treating all satellite cable programming and satellite broadcast programming uniformly for purposes of the exclusive contract prohibition is consistent with the text and intent of Section 628(c)(2)(D);29 and (x) whether other provisions of the Communications Act, such as Sections 628(b), 628(c)(2)(A), and 628(c)(2)(B), are adequate substitutes for the protection afforded under Section 628(c)(2)(D).30 No party sought reconsideration or other review of the Commission’s decision to extend the exclusive contract prohibition or its conclusions on these other critical issues. 7. The Commission further provided that, during the year before the expiration of the five- year extension of the exclusive contract prohibition, it would conduct another review to determine whether the exclusive contract prohibition continues to be necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming.31 We issued the Notice in February 2007 to initiate this review.32 Comments pertaining to the exclusive contract prohibition were filed by large incumbent cable operators,33 new and established competitors to these large incumbent cable operators,34 consumer groups,35 and other individuals and entities interested in the exclusive contract prohibition.36 26 See id. at 12143, ¶ 45 n.138 (“By passing Section 628, Congress already determined that antitrust laws were not a viable alternative for achieving the government’s goals in this instance.”) 27 See id. at 12152, ¶ 62 (“[I]n considering whether to retain the exclusivity prohibition, our primary focus should be on preserving and protecting diversity in the distribution of video programming.”) (emphasis added). 28 See id. at 12158, ¶ 73 (“[T]he Commission has concluded that . . . terrestrially delivered programming is ‘outside of the direct coverage of Section 628(c).’ We have been presented with no basis to alter that conclusion in this proceeding. To the contrary, the legislative history to Section 628 reinforces our conclusion.” (citing DIRECTV, Inc. v. Comcast Corp. et al., 15 FCC Rcd 22802 (2000))). 29 See id. at 12156, ¶ 69 (“We believe treating all satellite cable programming and satellite broadcast programming uniformly for purposes of the exclusivity prohibition is consistent with Section 628(c)(2)(D) and the definitions set forth in Sections 628(i)(1) and (3). We will therefore not narrow the scope of the exclusivity prohibition to only so- called essential programming services.”) (footnote omitted). 30 See id. at 12154, ¶ 65 n. 206 (“We do not believe other provisions in the statute – namely, Sections 628(b), 628(c)(2)(A), and 628(c)(2)(B) – are adequate substitutes for the particularized protection afforded under Section 628(c)(2)(D).”). 31 See id. at 12161, ¶ 80. 32 See Implementation of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992 – Development of Competition and Diversity in Video Programming Distribution: Section 628(c)(5) of the Communications Act: Sunset of Exclusive Contract Prohibition, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 22 FCC Rcd 4252, 4252-53, ¶ 1 (2007) (“Notice”). 33 In their comments, large incumbent cable operators urge the Commission to allow the exclusive contract prohibition to sunset. This group of commenters is collectively referred to herein as “cable multiple system operators” or “cable MSOs.” This group of commenters includes the following: Cablevision Systems Corp. (“Cablevision”); Comcast Corporation (“Comcast”); National Cable & Telecommunications Association (“NCTA”); and Time Warner Inc. (“Time Warner”). 34 In their comments, new and established competitors to the cable MSOs urge the Commission to allow the exclusive contract prohibition to continue. This group of commenters includes (i) established competitors (such as DBS operators); (ii) new competitors (such as wireline entrants, including telephone companies beginning to enter the video distribution market); and (iii) small and rural incumbent cable operators that assert that they do not have the means to invest in their own programming and thus stand to be harmed rather than benefit from sunset of the (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 8 B. Program Access Complaint Procedures 8. Section 628 of the Communications Act prohibits unfair methods of competition or unfair or deceptive practices that hinder or prevent any MVPD from providing satellite-delivered programming to consumers.37 Section 628(b) provides: It shall be unlawful for a cable operator, a satellite cable programming vendor in which a cable operator has an attributable interest, or a satellite broadcast programming vendor to engage in unfair methods of competition or unfair or deceptive acts or practices, the purpose or effect of which is to hinder significantly or to prevent any multichannel video programming distributor from providing satellite cable programming or satellite broadcast programming to subscribers or consumers.38 Section 628, among other things, protects access to vertically integrated cable programming services by competing MVPDs in order to increase competition and diversity in the MVPD market and foster the development of competition to traditional cable systems.39 9. Parties aggrieved by conduct alleged to violate the program access provisions have the right to commence an adjudicatory proceeding before the Commission.40 As instructed by Section 628(c), the Commission promulgated regulations implementing a program access complaint process.41 The Commission determined that a streamlined program access complaint process, with limited discovery procedures and adjudication based on a complaint, answer, and reply, would provide the most flexible and (Continued from previous page) exclusive contract prohibition. This group of commenters is collectively referred to herein as “competitive MVPDs.” This group of commenters includes the following: American Cable Association (“ACA”); AT&T Inc. (“AT&T”); Broadband Service Providers Association (“BSPA”); Coalition for Competitive Access to Content (“CA2C”); DIRECTV, Inc. (“DIRECTV”); EATEL Video, LLC (“EATEL”); EchoStar Satellite L.L.C. (“EchoStar”); National Rural Telecommunications Cooperative (“NRTC”); National Telecommunications Cooperative Association (“NTCA”); Organization for the Promotion and Advancement of Small Telecommunications Companies and the Independent Telephone and Telecommunications Alliance (“OPASTCO/ITTA”); Qwest Communications International Inc. (“Qwest”); RCN Telecom Services, Inc. (“RCN”); The Rural Independent Competitive Alliance (“RICA”); SureWest Communications (“SureWest”); The United States Telecom Association (“USTelecom”); and Verizon. 35 The Consumer Federation of America, Consumers Union, Free Press, Media Access Project, and Communications Workers of America (collectively, “Consumer Groups”) argue that the exclusive contract prohibition remains essential to promoting video competition and that the Commission should therefore extend the exclusive contract prohibition for at least an additional five years. See Consumer Groups Reply Comments at 7. 36 Other parties that filed comments include Carol L. Carlson; The Walt Disney Company, CBS Corporation, Fox Entertainment Group, and NBC Universal (collectively, the “Broadcast Networks”); and Office of Advocacy of the United States Small Business Administration (“SBA Advocacy Office”). 37 47 U.S.C. § 548. 38 Id. § 548(b). As part of the Telecommunications Act of 1996, Congress expanded program access protection to include common carriers and their affiliates that provide video programming by any means directly to subscribers, and to satellite cable programming vendors in which a common carrier has an attributable interest. See id. § 548(j). 39 Id. § 548(a). 40 Id. § 548(d). 41 See First Report and Order, 8 FCC Rcd 3359 (1993). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 9 expeditious means of enforcing the anti-discrimination program access provisions.42 The Commission further addressed program access complaint process issues in response to a petition for rulemaking filed by Ameritech New Media, Inc.43 The Commission resolved these and other issues in the 1998 Program Access Order.44 10. In the 1998 Program Access Order, the Commission affirmed its authority to impose damages on a case-by-case basis for program access violations and adopted guidelines for resolving program access disputes so that denial of programming cases, such as unreasonable refusal to sell, petitions for exclusivity, and exclusivity complaints, are resolved within five months of the submission of the complaint to the Commission and all other program access complaints, including price discrimination cases, are resolved within nine months of the submission of the complaint to the Commission. The Commission subsequently amended the program access rules as part of an overhaul of the Commission’s pleading and complaint rules.45 11. In the Notice, in addition to seeking comment on extension of the exclusive contract prohibition, we sought comment on whether and how our procedures for resolving program access disputes under Section 628 should be modified.46 We sought comment on the costs associated with the complaint process and whether the pre-filing notice, pleading requirements, evidentiary standards, timing, and potential remedies are appropriate and effective. We also sought comment on whether specific time limits on the Commission, the parties, or others would promote a speedy and just resolution of program access complaints. We asked whether the program access complaint rules and procedures, including those governing discovery and protection of confidential information, are adequate. We also asked whether we should adopt alternative procedures or remedies such as mandatory standstill agreements or arbitration, as the Commission has done in recent mergers.47 42 See id. at 3416, ¶ 123. 43 See Implementation of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992: Petition for Rulemaking of Ameritech New Media, Inc. Regarding Development of Competition and Diversity in Video Programming Distribution and Carriage, Memorandum Opinion and Order and Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 12 FCC Rcd 22840 (1997). Ameritech requested that the Commission amend its rules to provide time limits for the resolution of program access complaints; to provide program access litigants discovery as-of-right; and to impose damages for adjudicated program access violations. Id. at 22855-61, ¶¶ 37-49. 44 See Implementation of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992: Petition for Rulemaking of Ameritech New Media, Inc. Regarding Development of Competition and Diversity in Video Programming Distribution and Carriage, Report and Order, 13 FCC Rcd 15822 (1998) (“1998 Program Access Order”). 45 See 1998 Biennial Review - Part 76 Cable Television Service Pleading and Complaint Rules, Report and Order, 14 FCC Rcd 418 (1999) (“1998 Biennial Review”); recon. denied, FCC 99-258, 1999 WL 766253 (rel. Sept. 29, 1999). 46 See Notice, 22 FCC Rcd at 4259-60, ¶¶ 13-16. 47 See Applications for Consent to the Assignment and/or Transfer of Control of Licenses, Adelphia Communications Corporation, Assignors to Time Warner Cable, Inc., Assignees, et al., Memorandum Opinion and Order, 21 FCC Rcd 8203, 8274-77, ¶¶ 156-65 (2006) (“Adelphia Order”); In the Matter of General Motors Corporation and Hughes Electronics Corporation, Transferors and The News Corporation Limited, Transferee, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 19 FCC Rcd 473, 552-55, ¶¶ 172-79 (2004) (“Hughes Order”). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 10 III. DISCUSSION A. Exclusive Contract Prohibition 12. Our analysis of whether the exclusive contract prohibition “continues to be necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming” proceeds in five parts. Based on this five-part analysis, we conclude as explained below that the exclusive contract prohibition continues to be necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming and, accordingly, retain it again for five years. First, we review the standard we must apply in determining whether to allow the exclusive contract prohibition to continue. Second, we examine the changes that have occurred in the video programming and distribution markets since 2002 when we last decided that the exclusive contract prohibition continued to be necessary to preserve and protect competition. Third, in light of the changes that have occurred in the programming and distribution market since 2002, we assess whether vertically integrated program suppliers today retain both the ability and incentive to favor their affiliated cable operators over nonaffiliated MVPDs such that competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming would not be preserved and protected absent the rule. Fourth, we assess proposals presented by commenters to narrow the scope of the exclusive contract prohibition and to apply an exclusive contract prohibition to programming networks affiliated with non- cable MVPDs and to unaffiliated programming networks. Fifth, we consider the appropriate length of time for an extension of the exclusive contract prohibition. We also briefly address other issues raised by some small and rural MVPDs regarding program access issues other than the exclusive contract prohibition. 1. Standard of Review 13. Various cable MSOs repeat arguments made in response to the 2001 Sunset NPRM that the Commission should construe the term “necessary” as used in Section 628(c)(5) as requiring the exclusive contract prohibition to be “indispensable” or “essential” to prevent harm to competition.48 In the 2002 Extension Order, the Commission explained that the term “necessary” has been interpreted differently depending on the statutory context.49 In some cases, courts have interpreted the term to mean “useful,” “convenient,” or “appropriate”50 while in other contexts courts have interpreted the term in a more restrictive sense to mean “indispensable” or “essential.”51 Consistent with judicial precedent, the 48 See Cablevision Comments at 6; Comcast Comments at 5 n.4. 49 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12129-30, ¶ 14. 50 See id. at 12129, ¶ 14 n.30 (citing Morgan v. Commonwealth of Virginia, 328 U.S. 373, 377-78 (1946) (state legislation “invalid if it unduly burdens commerce in matters where uniformity is necessary in the constitutional sense of useful in accomplishing a permitted purpose”); Armour & Co. v. Wantouk, 323 U.S. 126, 129-30 (1944) (term “necessary” in the Fair Labor Standards Act, in context, means reasonably necessary to production, and not “indispensable,” “essential,” or “vital”); McCulloch v. Maryland, 17 U.S. (4 Wheat.) 316, 413 (1819) (term “necessary” in the “necessary and proper” clause of the U.S. Constitution means “convenient, or useful,” and does not limit congressional power to the “most direct and simple” means available); Independent Insurance Agents of America, Inc. v. Hawke, 211 F.3d 638 (D.C. Cir. 2000) (term “necessary” in the National Bank Act means “convenient” or “useful”)). See also AT&T Reply Comments at 3 n.4 (citing Cellco Partnership v FCC, 357 F.3d 88, 97 (D.C. Cir. 2004) (noting that “necessary” does not always mean “indispensable” or “essential”); Prometheus Radio Project v. FCC, 373 F.3d 372, 390-95 (3d Cir. 2004) (upholding a standard under which “necessary” means “convenient, useful, or helpful”), cert. denied, 545 U.S. 1123 (2005)). 51 See id. at 12129, ¶ 14 n.31 (citing Kirschbaum v. Arsenal Building Corp., 316 U.S. 517, 525-26 (1942) (term “necessary” in the Fair Labor Standards Act means “indispensable” and “essential”)). See also Cablevision (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 11 Commission construed the term “necessary” in its statutory context52 and determined that the exclusive contract prohibition continues to be “necessary” if, in the absence of the prohibition, competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming would not be preserved and protected.53 We find no basis to revisit the conclusions reached in the 2002 Extension Order, which, we note, were never challenged. We continue to believe that Section 628(c)(5), when construed in its statutory context, requires the exclusive contract prohibition to be extended if we find that, in the absence of the prohibition, competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming would not be preserved and protected. 14. We disagree with Cablevision to the extent it argues that the Commission must rely exclusively on specific factual evidence and cannot use its predictive judgment in assessing whether the exclusive contract prohibition continues to be “necessary” to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming.54 Rather, as the Commission concluded in the 2002 Extension Order, while specific factual evidence is a necessary part of our analysis, it may not be sufficient in order for us to make a reasoned determination. Indeed, because the exclusive contract prohibition has been in effect since 1992, it is difficult to obtain specific factual evidence of the impact on competition in the video distribution market if the prohibition were lifted.55 Accordingly, we continue to believe that we can also rely on economic theory and predictive judgment in addition to specific factual evidence in reaching our decision concerning the continued need for the exclusive contract prohibition. 15. We find that there is no statutory bar to a second extension of the exclusive contract prohibition. Cablevision claims that Section 628(c)(5) requires the Commission to conduct its review of the exclusive contract prohibition only once.56 There is nothing in the statute, however, that limits the Commission to a single review. Nor does Section 628(c)(5) specify a time period for how long the prohibition must continue in the event the Commission finds a continuing need for the prohibition. Rather, it was left to the Commission’s discretion to prescribe the period of any such extension.57 Establishing a fixed date for sunset of the prohibition without conducting a further proceeding to determine whether the prohibition is still “necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming” would not be consistent with congressional intent.58 The (Continued from previous page) Comments at 6 n.16; Comcast Comments at 5 n.4 (citing AT&T Corp. v. Iowa Utils. Bd. , 525 U.S. 366, 388-90 (1999); GTE Serv. Corp. v. FCC, 205 F.3d 416, 424 (D.C. Cir. 2000)). 52 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12130, ¶ 14 n.32 (citing Conroy v. Aniskoff, 507 U.S. 511, 515 (1993) (statute must be read as a whole, since the meaning of statutory language, plain or not, depends on context)). 53 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12129-30, ¶ 14. 54 See Cablevision Comments at 7. 55 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12135-36, ¶ 25; see also Verizon Comments at 3 (noting that it has not faced difficulty in obtaining satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming while the exclusive contract prohibition is in effect but that it expects the situation to change if the prohibition were allowed to sunset). We note, however, that for vertically integrated programming that is delivered terrestrially and therefore is beyond the scope of Section 628(c), there is specific factual evidence that cable operators have withheld this programming from competitors and that such withholding has had a material adverse impact on competition in the video distribution market. See infra Section III.A.3.b; see also AT&T Comments at 4; BSPA Comments at 17; CA2C Comments at 17; RICA Comments at 5; SureWest Comments at 5-6; EchoStar Reply Comments at 16-17. 56 See Cablevision Comments at n.13 (citing 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(5) (“The prohibition . . . shall cease to be effective 10 years after the date of enactment of this section, unless the Commission finds, in a proceeding conducted during the last year of such 10-year period, that such prohibition continues to be necessary . . . .”)). 57 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12159-60, ¶ 77. 58 See id. at 12160, ¶ 78; see AT&T Reply Comments at 13 n.50; EchoStar Reply Comments at 13 n.22. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 12 Commission thus concluded in the 2002 Extension Order that the adoption of a five-year extension was conditioned on an additional review during the last year of this extension.59 We note that neither Cablevision nor any other commenter challenged the Commission’s decision in the 2002 Extension Order to conduct a further review of the exclusive contract prohibition. 2. Status of the MVPD Market: 2002-2007 16. We examine below the changes that have occurred in the programming and distribution markets since 2002 when the Commission last reviewed whether the exclusive contract prohibition continued to be necessary to preserve and protect competition. As discussed below, the markets for both programming and distribution reflect some pro-competitive trends since 2002: (i) an increase in programming networks; (ii) a decrease in the percentage of popular national and regional networks that are affiliated with cable operators; and (iii) an increase in the market penetration of MVPDs that compete with incumbent cable operators.60 As discussed in Section III.A.3 below, however, we conclude that, even with these developments in the programming and distribution markets, the concerns upon which Congress based the program access provisions persist in the marketplace, and thus we find the exclusive contract prohibition continues to be necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming. 17. Satellite-Delivered National Programming Networks. The number of satellite-delivered national programming networks available to MVPDs has increased by 237 since 2002, from 294 networks61 to 531 networks.62 This amounts to an eighty percent increase in satellite-delivered national programming networks available to MVPDs. 18. Vertically Integrated Satellite-Delivered National Programming Networks. The number of satellite-delivered national programming networks that are vertically integrated with cable operators has increased by twelve since 2002, from 104 networks63 to 116 networks.64 The percentage of all satellite-delivered national programming networks that are vertically integrated with cable operators has declined since 2002, from 35 percent65 to 22 percent.66 EchoStar argues that, if international and non- 59 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12161, ¶ 80. 60 For the most part, the data noted herein comes from our 12th Annual Report on video competition, which reflects data on the video distribution and programming markets as of June 2005. See Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Twelfth Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd 2503 (2006) (“12th Annual Report”). To the extent indicated, we also note more recent data and significant changes since the 12th Annual Report which were provided by commenters. 61 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18 (citing Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Eighth Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd 1244, 1309-10, ¶ 157 (2002) (“8th Annual Report”)). 62 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157. Commenters do not provide data indicating that this information has changed significantly since the 12th Annual Report. See Cablevision Comments at 19 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157); Comcast Comments at 12 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157); USTelecom Comments at 19 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157). 63 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1309-10, ¶ 157). 64 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157. Commenters do not provide data indicating that this information has changed significantly since the 12th Annual Report. 65 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1309-10, ¶ 157). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 13 English programming is excluded, then the percentage of all satellite-delivered national programming networks that are vertically integrated with cable operators has only declined from 36 percent to 34 percent since 2002.67 Comcast contends that, if the vertically integrated iN DEMAND pay-per-view network is considered as a single network rather than sixty separate networks, then the percentage of all satellite-delivered national programming networks that are vertically integrated with cable operators is as low as 13.5 percent.68 19. The amount of the most popular programming that is vertically integrated with cable operators has declined slightly since 2002. While nine of the Top 20 (45 percent) satellite-delivered national programming networks (as ranked by subscribership) were vertically integrated in 2002 when the Commission last reviewed the exclusive contract prohibition,69 commenters state that this number has decreased to seven (35 percent): The Discovery Channel, CNN, TNT, TBS, TLC, Headline News, and Cartoon Network.70 As discussed below, we find that this number has decreased to six.71 EchoStar notes that four cable-affiliated networks are among the Top 10 networks as ranked by subscribership, the same number as in 2002.72 AT&T notes further that of the 91 non-premium cable programming networks with at least 20 million subscribers, 33 networks (or 36 percent) are affiliated with cable operators.73 While seven of the Top 20 (35 percent) satellite-delivered national programming networks (as ranked by prime time ratings) were vertically integrated in 2002,74 commenters state that this number has decreased to four (Continued from previous page) 66 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2509-10, ¶ 21 and 2575, ¶ 157. Commenters do not provide data indicating that this information has changed significantly since the 12th Annual Report. See Cablevision Comments at 19 and 28 n.100 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157); Comcast Comments at 12 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157); NCTA Comments at 5; Verizon Comments at 8 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2509-10, ¶ 21). 67 See EchoStar Comments at 9-10. Verizon notes that approximately 32 percent of the more than 250 regional and national networks that comprise Verizon’s FiOS TV service are vertically integrated with incumbent video providers. See Verizon Comments at 8. 68 Cable MSOs argue that the higher percentage (22 percent) calculated by the Commission in the 12th Annual Report is overstated because the Commission considered the iN DEMAND pay-per-view network as if it were sixty separate networks. See Comcast Comments at 12 n.36; NCTA Comments at 5 n.12; Comcast Reply Comments at 9 n.21. 69 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1363, Table D-6). 70 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2578-79, ¶ 163 and 2654, Table C-5. While the 12th Annual Report does not list Cartoon Network among the Top 20 networks as ranked by subscribership, AT&T notes data as of December 2006 that lists Cartoon Network among the Top 20. See AT&T Comments at 12 n.22 (citing “Top Cable Program Networks – as of December 2006,” available at http://www.ncta.com/ContentView.aspx?contentId=74 (citing Kagan Research, LLC, “Cable Program Investor,” Jan. 31, 2007) (last visited August 6, 2007)). 71 See infra ¶ 37. These networks are The Discovery Channel, CNN, TNT, TBS, TLC, and Headline News. See Kagan Research, LLC, Network Census: June 30; Cable Program Investor (July 28, 2006) at 11. 72 See EchoStar Comments at 6 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1363, Table D-6 and 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2654, Table C-5). These networks are The Discovery Channel, CNN, TNT, and TBS. See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2654, Table C-5. 73 See AT&T Comments at 12-13 (citing Kagan Research, LLC, Economics of Basic Cable Networks – 13th Annual Edition at 97-519 (2007)). 74 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1364, Table D-7). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 14 of the Top 20 (20 percent): TNT, TBS, The Discovery Channel, and Cartoon Network.75 As discussed below, we find that this number has remained the same at seven.76 Cablevision states that (i) less than one-third of the forty most-popular national programming networks as ranked by prime-time ratings are affiliated with cable operators; and (ii) only three cable-affiliated networks have an average prime-time rating above 1.0.77 AT&T notes that (i) TNT has remained the number one prime-time rated cable network for every year since 2002;78 and (ii) as ranked by all-day ratings, five cable-affiliated networks are among the Top 20, including two of the top three: TNT (ranked number two); Cartoon Network (ranked number three); TBS (ranked number seven); CNN (ranked number nineteen); and The Discovery Channel (ranked number twenty).79 20. Only the largest cable MSOs tend to own vertically integrated programming.80 In the 2002 Extension Order, the Commission noted that all vertically integrated programming was attributable to five cable operators, four of which were among the seven largest cable MSOs.81 Today, all vertically integrated programming is attributable to five cable operators, all of which are among the six largest cable MSOs: Comcast, Time Warner, Cox, Cablevision, and Advance/Newhouse.82 21. Regional Programming Networks. The number of regional programming networks available to MVPDs has increased by sixteen since 2002, from 80 networks83 to 96 networks.84 This amounts to a 20 percent increase since 2002 in regional programming networks available to MVPDs. The 75 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2579, ¶ 164 and 2655, Table C-6. In the 2002 Extension Order, the Commission noted data from the 8th Annual Report, which listed the Top 20 cable networks as ranked by prime time ratings. See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1364, Table D-7). The 12th Annual Report lists the Top 15 cable networks as ranked by prime time ratings, rather than the Top 20. See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2579, ¶ 164 and 2655, Table C-6. While the 12th Annual Report does not list Cartoon Network among the Top 15 networks as ranked by prime time ratings, AT&T cites recent data indicating that Cartoon Network is still among the Top 20. See AT&T Reply Comments at 7 n.22 (citing Kagan Research, LLC, Economics of Basic Cable Networks – 13th Annual Edition at 50 (2007)). 76 These networks are TNT, Adult Swim, HBO, TBS, American Movie Classics, Cartoon Network, and The Discovery Channel. See Nielsen Media Research, Top 50 Cable Networks Primetime (June 2006). 77 See Cablevision Comments at 2-3 (citing Kagan Research LLC, Economics of Basic Cable Networks at 50 (2006)); Cablevision Reply Comments at 9 (same). 78 See AT&T Reply Comments at 7 (citing Kagan Research, LLC, Economics of Basic Cable Networks – 13th Annual Edition at 50 (2007)). 79 See id. (citing Kagan Research, LLC, Economics of Basic Cable Networks – 13th Annual Edition at 51-52 (2007)). 80 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18. 81 See id. 82 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2620, Table B-3. 83 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12132, ¶ 19 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1354-56, Table D-3). 84 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2510, ¶ 22 and 2579-80, ¶ 166. Commenters do not provide data indicating that this information has changed significantly since the 12th Annual Report. See Cablevision Comments at 22 n.75 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2579-80, ¶ 166); EchoStar Comments at 6 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2579-80, ¶ 166); Verizon Comments at 9-10 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2510, ¶ 22). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 15 number of regional sports networks (“RSNs”) has increased by approximately 36 percent since 2002, from 28 networks85 to 39 networks, by some estimates.86 22. Vertically Integrated Regional Programming Networks. The number of regional programming networks that are vertically integrated with cable operators has increased by five since 2002, from 39 networks87 to 44 networks.88 The percentage of all regional programming networks that are vertically integrated with cable operators, however, has declined slightly since 2002, from 49 percent89 to 46 percent.90 The number of RSNs that are vertically integrated with cable operators has decreased by six since 2002, from 24 networks91 to 18 networks, by some estimates.92 The percentage of all RSNs that are vertically integrated has declined since 2002, from 86 percent93 to approximately 46 percent.94 85 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12132, ¶ 19 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1354-56, Table D-3). 86 We note that, according to the Commission’s most recent annual competition report, there were 37 RSNs as of June 2005. See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2510, ¶ 22 and 2586, ¶ 183. More recent data indicates that there are now 39 RSNs. See Cablevision Comments at 23 n.80 (stating that the 12th Annual Report did not include the Mid-Atlantic Sports Network (“MASN”), an RSN that is not affiliated with cable operators); Verizon Comments at 10 n.16 (stating that the 12th Annual Report did not include SportsNet New York, an RSN affiliated with Comcast). 87 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12132, ¶ 19 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1354-56, Table D-3). 88 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2510, ¶ 22 and 2579-80, ¶ 166. Commenters do not provide data indicating that this information has changed significantly since the 12th Annual Report. See EchoStar Reply Comments at 11-12 n.19 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2579-80, ¶ 166). 89 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12132, ¶ 19 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1354-56, Table D-3). 90 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2510, ¶ 22 and 2579-80, ¶ 166. Commenters do not provide data indicating that this information has changed significantly since the 12th Annual Report. See USTelecom Comments at 19 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2579-80, ¶ 166). Verizon states that eighty percent of the regional networks it offers as part of FiOS TV are vertically integrated with cable operators. See Verizon Comments at 9. 91 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12132, ¶ 19 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1354-56, Table D-3). 92 We note that, according to the Commission’s most recent annual competition report, there were 17 vertically integrated RSNs as of June 2005. See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2510, ¶ 22 and 2586, ¶ 183. More recent data indicates that there are now 18 vertically integrated RSNs. See Verizon Comments at 10 n.16 (stating that the 12th Annual Report did not include SportsNet New York, an RSN affiliated with Comcast, thereby increasing the number of vertically integrated RSNs to 18). 93 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12132, ¶ 19 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1354-56, Table D-3). 94 We note that, according to the Commission’s most recent annual competition report, 45.9 percent of RSNs were vertically integrated as of June 2005. See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2510, ¶ 22 and 2586, ¶ 183. If the unaffiliated MASN and the cable-affiliated SportsNet New York are included, then 18 out of 39 RSNs, or 46.1 percent, are vertically integrated. See Cablevision Comments at 23 n.80 (stating that the 12th Annual Report did not include MASN); Verizon Comments at 10 n.16 (stating that the 12th Annual Report did not include SportsNet New York). Comcast notes that it is affiliated with eight regional programming networks that show some sports programming: Comcast Sports Southeast; Comcast SportsNet Philadelphia; Comcast SportsNet Mid-Atlantic; (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 16 23. MVPD Market. Since the Commission last examined the exclusive contract prohibition in 2002, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from a cable operator has declined from 78 percent95 to 67 percent, by some estimates.96 The number of cable subscribers has declined by 3.4 million since 2002, from 69 million97 to 65.4 million.98 During this same period, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from a DBS operator has increased from 18 percent99 to over 30 percent, by some estimates.100 The number of DBS subscribers has increased by 11.6 million since 2002, from 18 million101 to 29.6 million, by some estimates.102 24. A significant development since 2002 is the emergence of video services offered by telephone companies, including AT&T, Qwest, and Verizon. As of the end of the second quarter of 2007, AT&T’s U-Verse fiber-based video and Internet service passed over 4 million households.103 AT&T also recently announced that its U-Verse video service has more than 100,000 customers.104 Qwest has (Continued from previous page) Comcast SportsNet Chicago; Comcast SportsNet West; SportsNet New York; Fox Sports New England; and Comcast Local (Detroit). See Comcast Comments at 13 n.39. 95 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12132-33, ¶ 20 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1247, ¶ 5). 96 We note that, according to the Commission’s annual competition reports, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from a cable operator was 78.11 percent as of June 2001 and 69.41 percent as of June 2005. Compare 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1338, Table C-1 (78.11 percent) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2617, Table B-1 (69.41 percent). More recent data indicates that the portion of MVPD subscribers served by cable operators is now approximately 67 percent. See Cablevision Comments at 2 (stating that cable’s market share is 67 percent); Comcast Comments at 8 (stating that cable’s market share is 67.8 percent as of the end of 2006); NCTA Comments at 4 (stating that cable’s market share is 66.9 percent). 97 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12132-33, ¶ 20 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1247, ¶ 7). 98 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2507, ¶ 10 and 2617, Table B-1; see also CA2C Comments at 5 (stating that there were 65.6 million cable subscribers as of December 2006). 99 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12134, ¶ 23 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1338, Table C- 1). 100 We note that, according to the Commission’s annual competition reports, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from a DBS operator was 18.2 percent as of June 2001 and 27.72 percent as of June 2005. Compare 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1388, Table C-1 (18.2 percent) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2617, Table B-1 (27.72 percent). More recent data indicates that the portion of MVPD subscribers served by DBS operators is now over 30 percent. See Letter from Stephanie L. Podey, Counsel for Comcast Corporation, to Ms. Marlene H. Dortch, FCC, MB Docket Nos. 07-29, 06-189 (June 13, 2007), Attachment at 1 (stating that DBS operators have an over 30 percent share of the MVPD market); see also NCTA Comments at 6 (same); Time Warner Reply Comments at 1 (same). 101 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12134, ¶ 23. 102 We note that, according to the Commission’s annual competition reports, the number of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from a DBS operator was 16.07 million as of June 2001 and 26.12 million as of June 2005. Compare 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1338, Table C-1 (16.07 million) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2617, Table B-1 (26.12 million). More recent data indicates that the number of DBS subscribers is now 29.6 million. See Letter from Stephanie L. Podey, Counsel for Comcast Corporation, to Ms. Marlene H. Dortch, FCC, MB Docket Nos. 07-29, 06-189 (June 13, 2007), Attachment at 1 (stating that, as of March 31, 2007, DIRECTV had 16.19 million subscribers and EchoStar had 13.42 million subscribers); see also Cablevision Comments at 12 (stating that DIRECTV has 16 million subscribers and EchoStar has 13.1 million subscribers). 103 See Media Kits: AT&T U-Verse, http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=5838 (last visited Sept. 4, 2007). 104 See More Than 100,000 Customers Choose AT&T U-verse Over Cable, http://www.att.com/gen/press- room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=24309 (last visited Sept. 7, 2007). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 17 twenty-one cable franchises and provides nearly 60,000 subscribers with multichannel video service in Arizona, Colorado, Nebraska, and Utah.105 Verizon, which introduced its fiber-based FiOS TV service in September 2005, had 515,000 video subscribers at the end of the second quarter of 2007.106 Verizon’s FiOS TV was available for sale to nearly 3.9 million premises in nearly 500 communities in 12 states as of the end of the second quarter of 2007.107 Other wireline Broadband Service Providers (“BSPs”) also offer video services in competition with cable operators, including RCN, WideOpenWest, Knology, and Grande.108 Some wireline entrants cite a 2004 Government Accountability Office (“GAO”) Report which concludes that wireline video entry provides more price discipline to cable than DBS and is more likely to cause cable operators to enhance their own services and to improve customer service.109 In response, cable MSOs argue that wireline entry does not have a greater impact on cable prices than DBS entry.110 Despite the significant investments made in competitive wireline networks, AT&T notes NCTA’s estimate that wireline entrants have no more than 1.9 percent of all MVPD subscribers.111 25. The cable industry also cites other potential sources of video competition, such as SMATV systems,112 providers of video on the Internet (such as YouTube, Google, and Akimbo),113 over- the-air broadcast television,114 DVDs and videotape purchases and rentals,115 municipal and non- municipal utilities,116 and providers of mobile video services.117 Comcast also argues that in every 105 See Qwest Comments at 1 n.2. 106 See Verizon Posts Strong 2Q 2007 Results Highlighted by Gains in Earnings, Consolidated Margins and Cash Flows, http://newscenter.verizon.com/press-releases/verizon/2007/verizon-posts-strong-2q-2007.html (last visited Sept. 4, 2007). 107 See id. 108 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2549-50, ¶¶ 89-90. 109 See BSPA Comments at 3 (citing Government Accountability Office (“GAO”), Telecommunications: Wire- Based Competition Benefited Consumers in Selected Markets, GAO-04-241 (Feb. 2004)); see also AT&T Comments at 3; CA2C Comments at 8 (citing Implementation of Section 3 of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992: Statistical Report on Average Rates for Basic Service, Cable Programming Service, and Equipment, Report on Cable Industry Prices, 21 FCC Rcd 15087, 15091 (2006) (“2006 Cable Price Report”)); Qwest Comments at 5-6; Verizon Reply Comments at 7-8. 110 See Comcast Reply Comments at 11. Comcast claims that the GAO Report cited by competitive MVPDs is deficient in significant respects. Id. NCTA cites a previous study which it claims demonstrate that lower prices are the result of anomalous circumstances not relevant to wireline entry. See NCTA Reply Comments at 5 (citing Reply Comments of NCTA, MB Docket No. 04-227 (August 25, 2004) (attaching Steven S. Wildman, “Assessing the Policy Implications of Overbuild Competition”)); see also Comcast Reply Comments at 10-12. 111 See AT&T Comments at 4 (citing NCTA Comments, MB Docket No. 06-189 (November 29, 2006) at 9). 112 See Cablevision Comments at 13 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2564-65, ¶ 130) and Appendix A at A-11. 113 See Cablevision Comments at 14, 21 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2567-68, ¶ 138) and Appendix A at A-12 - A-13; Comcast Comments at 8-11. Cable MSOs also note that some popular programs are available online in their entirety and that some networks are developing original content for the Internet. See Cablevision Comments at Appendix A at A-12 - A -13; Comcast Comments at 10. 114 See Cablevision Comments at 15; Comcast Comments at 9. 115 See Cablevision Comments at 15; Comcast Comments at 9. 116 See Cablevision Comments at 13-14 and Appendix A at A-10, A-18. 117 See Cablevision Comments, Appendix A at A-14 - A-18; Comcast Comments at 9. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 18 community, consumers can choose from a minimum of three MVPDs, and states that in many communities a fourth or fifth MVPD is available or will be soon.118 Cablevision states that DIRECTV and EchoStar have at least double the number of subscribers of every cable MSO, with the exception of Time Warner and Comcast.119 Comcast asserts that the competition that exists today far exceeds that which existed three years ago when the Commission concluded that “[T]he vast majority of Americans enjoy more choice, more programming and more services than any time in history.”120 26. Commenters in favor of extending the prohibition state that the figures cited by the cable industry are misleading. EchoStar claims that national DBS penetration figures obscure the extent of competition on a local or regional basis where DBS penetration is much lower than the national average.121 While the number of DBS subscribers has increased by 11.6 million since the 2002 Extension Order, CA2C notes that cable subscribership during the same period decreased by less than one million, demonstrating that cable operators have maintained their position in the market.122 Some competitive MVPDs argue that the continued ability of cable operators to raise prices in excess of inflation demonstrates the lack of competition in the video marketplace.123 Competitive MVPDs also assert that barriers in the MVPD market still persist, as demonstrated by the Commission’s efforts to promote greater competition.124 CA2C notes that the Commission in its decision on cable franchising reform found that in the vast majority of communities around the country, “cable competition simply does not exist.”125 Some competitive MVPDs disagree with the assertion by the cable industry that mobile video, Internet video, and DVDs are substitutes for cable television.126 Moreover, competitive MVPDs state that only 2.9 percent of MVPD subscribers receive service from an alternative provider to cable or DBS.127 27. Consolidation of the Cable Industry. The cable industry has continued to consolidate since 2002. During this period, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest cable MSOs (Comcast, Time Warner, Cox, and Charter) has increased from 48 percent128 to between 53 and 60 percent, by some estimates, after taking into account the recent 118 See Comcast Comments at 6-7. 119 See Cablevision Comments, Appendix A at A-1. 120 See Comcast Comments at 6 (citing Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Tenth Annual Report, 19 FCC Rcd 1606, ¶ 4 (2004)). 121 See EchoStar Reply Comments at 4-5 (stating that in some major markets, cable’s market share is above 80 percent, and noting that the two DBS operators have only a collective market share of 15 percent in Cablevision’s market areas). 122 See CA2C Comments at 5; see also AT&T Comments 3-4; USTelecom Comments at 4. 123 See CA2C Comments at 7 (stating that annual cable rate increases have been more than double the general rate of inflation in most markets); see also Consumer Groups Reply Comments at 2. 124 See CA2C Comments at 6 (citing Implementation of Section 621(a)(1) of the Cable Communications Policy Act of 1984 as amended by the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992, 22 FCC Rcd 5101 (2007) (“Local Franchising Report and Order”); Exclusive Service Contracts for Provision of Video Services in Multiple Dwelling Units and Other Real Estate Developments, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 22 FCC Rcd 5935 (2007) (“MDU Access NPRM”)); USTelecom Comments at 3. 125 See CA2C Comments at 5 n.7 (citing Local Franchising Report and Order, 22 FCC Rcd at 5110, ¶ 19). 126 See AT&T Reply Comments at 11; EchoStar Reply Comments at 6 n.8; RCN Reply Comments at 4-5. 127 See USTelecom Comments at 10 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2506-07, ¶ 8). 128 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12133, ¶ 21(citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1341, Table C- 3). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 19 acquisition by Comcast and Time Warner of cable systems formerly owned by Adelphia.129 Moreover, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs (Comcast, Time Warner, Cox, and Cablevision) has increased significantly since 2002, from 34 percent130 to between 54 and 56.75 percent, by some estimates.131 Thus, as EchoStar notes, while the market share of small-to-medium sized, non-vertically integrated cable operators has declined, the market share of the large vertically integrated cable operators has increased since 2002.132 Verizon notes that, in 2002, only three of the largest six cable operators owned satellite programming networks, whereas today five of the largest six cable operators own satellite programming networks.133 28. Clustering of Cable Systems. The amount of regional clustering of cable systems has remained significant.134 The percentage of cable subscribers that are served by systems that are part of 129 We note that, according to the Commission’s annual competition reports, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest cable MSOs was 47.67 percent as of June 2001 and 47.78 percent as of June 2005. Compare 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1341, Table C-3 (47.67 percent) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2620, Table B-3 (47.78 percent). More recent data indicates that the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest cable MSOs (Comcast, Time Warner, Cox, and Charter) has increased to between 53 and 60 percent. See Verizon Comments at 11 (calculating a percentage of 53 percent by adding the percentage of subscribers served by Adelphia (5.50 percent) to the percentage of subscribers served by Comcast (22.99 percent), Time Warner (11.69 percent), Cox (6.73 percent), and Charter (6.37 percent), as those figures are stated in the 12th Annual Report (21 FCC Rcd at 2620, Table B-3)); USTelecom Comments at 9 (calculating this percentage using market share figures for Cox (6.73 percent) and Charter (6.37 percent) from the 12th Annual Report (21 FCC Rcd at 2620, Table B-3) and for Comcast (28.7 percent) and Time Warner (17.9 percent) from the Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8206, ¶ 2). 130 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12133, ¶ 20 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1341, Table C- 3). 131 We note that, according to the Commission’s annual competition reports, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs was 34.26 percent as of June 2001 and 44.63 percent as of June 2005. Compare 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1341, Table C-3 (34.26 percent) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2620, Table B-3 (44.63 percent). More recent data indicates that the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs (Comcast, Time Warner, Cox, and Cablevision) has increased to between 54 and 56.75 percent. See EchoStar Comments at 5 (calculating a percentage of 56.75 percent using market share figures for Cox (6.73 percent) and Cablevision (3.22 percent) from the 12th Annual Report (21 FCC Rcd at 2620, Table B- 3) and for Comcast (28.90 percent) and Time Warner (17.9 percent) from the Adelphia Order (21 FCC Rcd at 8206, ¶ 2)); Cablevision Reply Comments at 10-11 n.36 (calculating a percentage of 54 percent taking into account an increase in the total number of MVPD households by 4.5 million since the Adelphia Order and Comcast’s net loss of 600,000 subscribers arising from its Patriot Media and Insight Communications transaction announcements). Cablevision contends that the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs is the same as in 2001. See Cablevision Reply Comments at 10-11 n.36. 132 See EchoStar Reply Comments at 4-5. 133 See Verizon Comments at 11-12 (citing 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18 and 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2622-25, Table C-1 and 2644-49, Table C-3). 134 Clustering refers to a strategy whereby cable MSOs concentrate their operations in regional geographic areas by acquiring cable systems in regions where the MSO already has a significant presence, while giving up other holdings scattered across the country. See Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8315, ¶ 264. This strategy is accomplished through purchases and sales of cable systems, or by system “swapping” among MSOs. See id. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 20 regional clusters has increased since 2002, from 80 percent135 to as much as 85 to 90 percent, by some estimates, taking into account the acquisition by Comcast and Time Warner of cable systems formerly owned by Adelphia.136 3. Ability and Incentive 29. Our analysis of whether the exclusive contract prohibition continues to be necessary requires us to assess whether, in the absence of the exclusive contract prohibition, vertically integrated programmers would have the ability and incentive to favor their affiliated cable operators over nonaffiliated competitive MVPDs and, if so, whether such behavior would result in a failure to protect and preserve competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming.137 As discussed below, we conclude that there are no good substitutes for some satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming and that such programming therefore remains necessary for viable competition in the video distribution market. Based on this finding, we conclude that vertically integrated programmers continue to have the ability to favor their affiliated cable operators over competitive MVPDs such that competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming would not be preserved and protected absent the rule. Although we find some trends in the markets for both video programming and video distribution since 2002 that might decrease the incentive of vertically integrated programmers to withhold programming from competitive MVPDs, we also find some trends that increase their incentive to withhold programming, such as the increase in horizontal consolidation of the cable industry, the increase in cable clustering, and the recent emergence of new competitors. We also find specific factual evidence that, where the exclusive contract prohibition does not apply, such as in the case of terrestrially delivered programming, vertically integrated programmers have withheld and continue to withhold programming from competitive MVPDs. We thus conclude that vertically integrated programmers continue to have the incentive to favor their affiliated cable operators over competitive MVPDs. Accordingly, we conclude that the exclusive contract prohibition “continues to be necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming.”138 We note, however, that Congress intended for the exclusive contract prohibition to sunset at a point when market conditions warrant. While we conclude herein that market developments since 2002 were not sufficient to allow us to lift the exclusive contract prohibition at this time, there nevertheless may come a point when these developments will be sufficient to allow the prohibition to sunset. We caution competitive MVPDs to take any steps they deem appropriate to prepare for the eventual sunset of the prohibition, including further investments in their own programming. 135 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12133-34, ¶ 22 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1252, ¶ 14). 136 We note that, according to the Commission’s annual competition reports, the percentage of cable subscribers served by systems that are part of regional clusters was 80.4 percent as of 2000 and 77.9 percent as of 2004. Compare 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1340, Table C-2 (stating that, as of 2000, 108 cable system clusters were serving 54.4 million subscribers, or 80.4 percent of cable subscribers) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2619, Table B-2 (stating that, as of 2004, 118 cable system clusters were serving 51.5 million subscribers, or 78.7 percent of cable subscribers). More recent data indicates that the percentage of cable subscribers that are served by systems that are part of regional clusters has increased to between 85 and 90 percent. See Consumer Group Reply Comments at 4-5 (estimating that 85 to 90 percent of cable subscribers are currently served by regional clusters after taking into account the acquisition by Comcast and Time Warner of cable systems formerly owned by Adelphia). 137 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12130-31, ¶ 16. 138 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(5). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 21 a. Ability 30. As discussed in this section, we conclude that satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming remains programming for which there are often no good substitutes and that such programming is necessary for viable competition in the video distribution market. In the 2002 Extension Order, the Commission determined that the question of whether satellite-delivered vertically integrated programmers retain the ability to favor their affiliated cable operators over nonaffiliated MVPDs requires us to assess whether satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming remains programming that is necessary to the viability of competitive MVPDs and for which there are often no good substitutes.139 If we conclude that satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming remains necessary to maintain the competitiveness of MVPDs in the current market, then favoritism by satellite-delivered vertically integrated programmers of their affiliated cable operators over competitive MVPDs would impair competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming.140 In assessing the ability of satellite- delivered vertically integrated programmers to favor their affiliated cable operators to the detriment of competing MVPDs, we consider whether developments in the last five years have diminished the importance of satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming or have affected the ability of satellite-delivered vertically integrated programmers to favor their affiliated cable operators over other MVPDs.141 31. Cable MSOs note that the number of satellite-delivered national programming networks available to MVPDs has increased from 294 in 2002142 to 531 in 2005.143 While the number of vertically integrated satellite-delivered national programming networks has increased by twelve since 2002, cable MSOs note that the percentage of all satellite-delivered national programming networks that are vertically integrated has declined from 35 percent in 2002 to between 13.5 percent and 22 percent at present.144 Comcast notes that 57 percent of national programming networks were vertically integrated when the exclusive contract prohibition in the 1992 Cable Act was enacted.145 Cablevision argues that with over 500 programming channels available and more than 80 percent of these channels unaffiliated with cable, it is implausible that competition would be harmed if competitive MVPDs were denied access to a cable- affiliated network.146 32. Competitive MVPDs counter that the decrease in the percentage of satellite-delivered national programming networks that are vertically integrated is meaningless because it is attributable to an increase in the number of total programming networks available, most of which they contend have minimal subscriber bases and are targeted towards niche markets.147 The more salient fact, competitive MVPDs argue, is that cable MSOs still control essential “must have” programming and that access to this 139 See id. at 12135, ¶ 24. 140 See id. 141 See id. 142 See id. at 12131-32, ¶ 18 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1309-10, ¶ 157). 143 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157; see also Cablevision Comments at 19 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157). 144 See supra ¶ 18; see also Cablevision Comments at 19 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157); Comcast Comments at 12 (same); NCTA Comments at 5-6 (same). 145 See Cablevision Comments at 19; Comcast Comments at 11-12; Comcast Reply Comments at 9. 146 See Cablevision Reply Comments at 8. 147 See CA2C Comments at 15; AT&T Reply Comments at 6-7; Verizon Reply Comments at 9. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 22 programming remains key to the ability of competitive MVPDs to compete in the video distribution market.148 They argue that it is not necessary for cable MSOs to control all essential programming to impact competition; rather, cable MSOs need only control certain programming that is “key to the decision by each major demographic group in choosing between alternate providers.”149 Numerous competitive MVPDs contend that, without access to such programming, their ability to compete will be compromised.150 33. With respect to regional programming, cable MSOs note that the number of regional programming networks, including RSNs, that are vertically integrated has declined since 2002.151 With respect to non-sports regional networks, Cablevision notes that DBS providers carry few, if any, of these networks even though they are satellite-delivered and therefore subject to the program access requirements, including the exclusive contract prohibition.152 Cablevision argues that this is consistent with the Commission’s previous conclusion that the record in the Adelphia proceeding did not indicate that an MVPD’s lack of access to regional non-sports programming would harm competition or consumers.153 With respect to RSNs, cable MSOs note that the number of vertically integrated RSNs has decreased from twenty-four in 2002 to seventeen in 2005.154 Moreover, Cablevision asserts that there are numerous substitutes for sports programming, such as unaffiliated team-owned and league-owned sports networks, sports content that is available over the Internet, and sports programming available from nearly every major broadcast network.155 While DBS operators claim competitive harm from being unable to 148 See ACA Comments at 4; AT&T Comments at 8; BSPA Comments at 4; CA2C Comments at 9, 14; DIRECTV Comments at 6-7; EATEL Video Comments at 4; EchoStar Comments at 2; NRTC Comments at 6-7; NTCA Comments at 1; OPASTCO and ITTA Comments at 5; Qwest Comments at 5-7; RCN Comments at 3; SureWest Comments at 2-4; USTelecom Comments at 12; Verizon at 9; Consumer Groups Reply Comments at 6; SureWest Reply Comments at 3. 149 See CA2C Comments at 14; see also BSPA Comments at 4; DIRECTV Comments at 6-7. 150 See EATEL Comments at 1 (arguing that sunset of the exclusive contract prohibition would “effectively destroy” its ability to offer service); EchoStar Comments at 9 (stating that access to programming will “make or break” the ability of new entrants to compete); NRTC Comments at 20 (stating that an MVPD cannot “operate successfully” if that system lacks access to cable-affiliated networks such as CNN, HBO, TNT, and The Discovery Channel); OPSATCO/ITAA at 4 (arguing that rural telephone companies that serve as MVPDs would “no longer be economically viable” if the exclusive contract prohibition were to sunset); RCN Comments at 4 (stating that competitive MVPDs will “confront serious problems retaining subscribers” if access to “must have” programming is denied); SureWest Comments at 2 (stating that it would not survive “without access to the most popular video content”). 151 See supra ¶ 22; see also Cablevision Comments at 23. 152 See Cablevision Comments at 22. 153 See id. at 22 (citing Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8279, ¶ 169). 154 But see supra ¶ 22 (concluding that there are now eighteen vertically integrated RSNs); see also Cablevision Comments at 23 (citing 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12145, ¶ 47; 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2586, ¶ 183). 155 See Cablevision Comments at 4, 24 and Appendix B at 21-22. Cablevision also contends that the claimed “must have” status of RSN programming is refuted by the fact that it lost only 2.1 percent of its subscribers during 2002 when it was unable to carry the YES network. See id. at 24. In response, Verizon argues that the “loss of a few subscribers by an entrenched incumbent cable operator due to the unavailability of programming pales in competitive significance to the inability of a new entrant to attract subscribers in the first place because it cannot offer ‘must have’ programming offered by the entrenched cable incumbent.” See Verizon Reply Comments at 10 n.28. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 23 access the terrestrially delivered Comcast SportsNet Philadelphia, Cablevision notes that DBS market penetration in Philadelphia has in fact tripled from four percent in 2000 to twelve percent at the end of 2006.156 Moreover, Cablevision claims that DBS market penetration in Philadelphia is higher than in other metropolitan areas (Hartford-New Haven, Providence, and Springfield) and comparable to Boston and Baltimore.157 Cablevision also notes that the Commission concluded in the Adelphia proceeding that DIRECTV failed to demonstrate that lack of access to an RSN in San Diego had a statistically significant effect on its market penetration.158 34. Competitive MVPDs counter that the ability of vertically integrated programmers to disadvantage unaffiliated competitors is particularly acute for regional programming – particularly RSNs.159 Competitive MVPDs argue that RSNs are “must have” programming and that there are no readily acceptable substitutes for such programming.160 Competitive MVPDs cite the Commission’s decision in the Adelphia proceeding that “programming provided by RSNs is unique because it is particularly desirable and cannot be duplicated.”161 Competitive MVPDs note that DBS market penetration in Philadelphia and San Diego drops almost in half due to the lack of access to RSNs as compared to other similar markets where they have access to RSNs.162 In response to the argument of cable MSOs that there is sufficient non-cable-affiliated sports programming available, competitive MVPDs argue that, where one MVPD has access to the most popular local sports programming and a competing MVPD does not, the availability of other sports programming to the competing MVPD is largely irrelevant.163 35. Cablevision disputes that there is any cable programming that can be considered “must have” and states that no commenter has provided empirical evidence to demonstrate that certain cable programming is “must have.”164 Cablevision argues that every type of national programming network faces ample competition.165 Moreover, Cablevision notes that some competitive MVPDs do not carry certain RSNs despite their claims that such programming is “must have.”166 In response, competitive 156 See Cablevision Comments at 25; Cablevision Reply Comments at 12. 157 See Cablevision Comments at 25; Cablevision Reply Comments at 12. 158 See Cablevision Comments at 26 (citing Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8271, ¶ 148). 159 See AT&T Comments at 15-16; BSPA Comments at 6, 17; CA2C Comments at 17; EchoStar Comments at 4; NTCA Comments at 4; OPASTCO/ITAA Comments at 5-6; RCN Comments at 4, 9; RICA Comments at 5; SureWest Comments at 3; USTelecom Comments at 14-15; Verizon Comments at 9-10; AT&T Reply Comments at 4; EchoStar Reply Comments at 11-12. 160 See ACA Comments at 6; NTCA Comments at 4; OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 5-6; RCN Comments at 4, 9; Verizon Comments at 9; AT&T Reply Comments at 4-5. 161 Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8287, ¶ 189. 162 See AT&T Comments at 17-18; CA2C Comments at 9. 163 See AT&T Reply Comments at 5; RCN Reply Comments at 8; Verizon Reply Comments at 10. 164 See Cablevision Reply Comments at 2, 8-9; see also Time Warner Reply Comments at 13 n.23. Cablevision, however, has referred to certain broadcast programming as “must have” in another Commission proceeding. See Comments of Cablevision Systems Corp., MB Docket No. 03-124 (June 16, 2003) at 3, 13-14, 18, 28 (referring to the Fox broadcast network as “must have”). 165 See Cablevision Comments, Appendix B at 14. 166 See Cablevision Reply Comments at 12 (stating that EchoStar declined to carry an RSN in Washington, D.C. (MASN) for two years, and that it still declines to carry an RSN serving New York City (YES)). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 24 MVPDs cite the Commission’s economic analysis in the Adelphia proceeding where it concluded that exclusive access of cable operators to RSNs reduces the number of DBS subscribers.167 Cablevision states that the Commission’s findings in the Adelphia Order were based on a flawed regression analysis, thus precluding the Commission from relying on that decision here.168 36. Competitive MVPDs argue that access to vertically integrated programming is particularly critical for recent entrants in the video distribution market, such as telephone companies that have begun to enter the market since we last reviewed the exclusive contract prohibition.169 They argue that access to vertically integrated programming is as critical for these recent entrants as it was for DBS entrants in the early 1990s.170 Cable MSOs counter that one class of recent entrant – telephone companies such as AT&T and Verizon -- have far more resources than the cable MSOs and, therefore, they do not need government assistance to compete.171 Moreover, they assert that there is no indication that recent entrants are having trouble securing programming.172 Some competitive MVPDs argue that “must have” programming is essential to offering a viable video service and, in turn, the ability to offer a viable video service is “linked intrinsically” to broadband deployment.173 Accordingly, CA2C argues that extending the exclusive contract prohibition is supported by Section 706 of the Telecommunications Act of 1996, which directs the Commission to encourage broadband deployment by utilizing “measures that promote competition … or other regulating methods that remove barriers to infrastructure investment.”174 37. Discussion. Despite some pro-competitive developments over the past five years, we find that access to vertically integrated programming continues to be necessary in order for competitive MVPDs to remain viable substitutes to the incumbent cable operator in the eyes of consumers. What is most significant to our analysis is not the percentage of total available programming that is vertically integrated with cable operators, but rather the popularity of the programming that is vertically integrated and how the inability of competitive MVPDs to access this programming will affect the preservation and 167 See Verizon Reply Comments at 10; see also EchoStar Reply Comments at 7-8. RCN also refers to surveys it conducted which determined that approximately 40 to 58 percent of subscribers would refuse to change MVPDs if the new MVPD did not carry local sports programming. See RCN Comments at 10 n.27. In response, Cablevision argues that (i) this survey is five years old; (ii) RCN provides no information on its survey methodology; and (iii) on its face, the survey indicates that up to 60 percent of subscribers are indifferent to local sports programming. See Cablevision Reply Comments at 12 n.41. 168 See Cablevision Comments, Appendix B at 24-25. 169 See AT&T Comments at 9; Qwest Comments at 5; USTelecom Comments at 4, 6; Verizon Comments at 3, 6-7; Verizon Reply Comments at 11. 170 See AT&T Comments at 2; CA2C Comments at 12. 171 See Cablevision Comments at 5 (“Cablevision faces competition from . . . Verizon and AT&T, whose market capitalizations are 10 and 25 times larger, respectively, than Cablevision’s. Each of those entities has the ability to invest in its own programming, just as Cablevision did.”); Comcast Comments at 20; Time Warner Reply Comments at 21. 172 See Cablevision Comments at 13; Comcast Comments at 18-21; Comcast Reply Comments at 17-19. 173 See Local Franchising Report and Order, 22 FCC Rcd at 5132-33, ¶ 62 (“The record here indicates that a provider’s ability to offer video service and to deploy broadband networks are linked intrinsically, and the federal goals of enhanced cable competition and rapid broadband deployment are interrelated.”) (footnote omitted); see also ACA Comments at 14; CA2C Comments at 19; OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 2; USTelecom Comments at 6-7; CA2C Reply Comments at 10-11; Qwest Reply at 3. 174 See Telecommunications Act of 1996, Pub. L. No. 104-104, § 706, 110 Stat. 56, 153 (codified at 47 U.S.C. § 157 note); see also CA2C Comments at 19; CA2C Reply Comments at 10-11. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 25 protection of competition in the video distribution marketplace.175 While there has been a decrease since 2002 in the percentage of the most popular programming networks that are vertically integrated, we find that the four largest cable MSOs (Comcast, Time Warner, Cox, and Cablevision) still have an interest in six of the Top 20 satellite-delivered networks as ranked by subscribership,176 seven of the Top 20 satellite-delivered networks as ranked by prime time ratings,177 almost half of all RSNs,178 popular subscription premium networks, such as HBO and Cinemax,179 and video-on-demand (“VOD”) networks, such as iN DEMAND.180 Moreover, as discussed in Section III.A.3.b below,181 the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs has increased from 34 percent182 to between 54 and 56.75 percent.183 The record thus reflects that popular national programming networks, such as CNN, TNT, TBS, and The Discovery Channel, among many others, in addition to premium programming networks, RSNs, and VOD networks, are affiliated with the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs and that such programming networks are demanded by MVPD subscribers. We thus find that cable-affiliated programming continues to represent some of the most popular and significant programming available today. As discussed in more detail below, the record 175 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12138, ¶ 32; DIRECTV Comments at 7 (“There is – to be sure – more programming available now than there was in 2002. But, as the Commission explained then, the sheer amount of programming available has little to do with the must-see nature of any particular network.”); see also AT&T Comments at 10-11; EchoStar Comments at 7; AT&T Reply Comments at 6-7; Qwest Reply Comments at 3-4; Verizon Reply Comments at 8-9. Indeed, the largest cable MSO – Comcast – concedes that “to the extent that MVPDs cannot survive without access to certain programming . . . what matters is whether that programming is ‘must-have’ in order to compete.” See Comcast Comments at 24. 176 These networks are The Discovery Channel, CNN, TNT, TBS, TLC, and Headline News. See Kagan Research, LLC, Network Census: June 30; Cable Program Investor (July 28, 2006) at 11. We note that AT&T cites data which also includes Cartoon Network among the Top 20 satellite-delivered networks as ranked by subscribership. See supra note 70. 177 These networks are TNT, Adult Swim, HBO, TBS, American Movie Classics, Cartoon Network, and The Discovery Channel. See Nielsen Media Research, Top 50 Cable Networks Primetime (June 2006). 178 See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2510, ¶ 22 and 2586, ¶ 183. 179 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12138, ¶ 32 (stating that although subscription premium networks such as HBO and Cinemax “are not among the top programming services in subscribership,” they nonetheless “make an important contribution to an MVPD’s revenue and profits”). Competitive MVPDs argue that first-run programming produced by HBO and other premium networks are essential for a competitive MVPD to offer to potential subscribers in order to compete with the incumbent cable operator. See AT&T Comments at 13-14 (quoting a cable executive as stating in 1990 that “certain channels such as . . . HBO are, for all practical purposes, ‘must carries’ for all cable systems” and contending that this statement “is only more true today” (citing Competition, Rate Deregulation and the Commission’s Policies Relating to the Provision of Cable Television Service, 5 FCC Rcd 4962, 5027, ¶ 118 (1990))); BSPA Comments at 6; Verizon Comments at 9 (stating that a new entrant needs to be able to offer customers premium programming such as HBO and Cinemax “in order to compete successfully against an established video provider”). 180 Competitive MVPDs argue that movie libraries owned by VOD networks are essential for a competitive MVPD to offer to potential subscribers in order to compete with the incumbent cable operator. See RCN Comments at 4 (“film libraries are similarly ‘must have’ for video on demand offerings (there is only one Gone with the Wind)”). 181 See infra Section III.A.3.b. 182 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12133, ¶ 20 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1341, Table C- 3). 183 See supra note 131 (discussing percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 26 shows that vertically integrated programming, if denied to cable’s competitors, would adversely affect competition in the video distribution market.184 38. We disagree with cable MSOs to the extent they argue that there is no programming that can be considered essential for viable competition and that all programming networks have one or more competitively equal substitutes.185 We recognize that there has been a net increase in the total amount of available programming networks and that there may be substitutes for some cable-affiliated programming networks.186 Nevertheless, there exists a continuum of vertically integrated programming, “ranging from services for which there may be substitutes (the absence of which from a rival MVPD’s program lineup would have little impact), to those for which there are imperfect substitutes, to those for which there are no close substitutes at all (the absence of which from a rival MVPD’s program lineup would have a substantial negative impact).”187 As we stated in the 2002 Extension Order, “cable programming – be it news, drama, sports, music, or children’s programming – is not akin to so many widgets.”188 We further explained that, when an MVPD “loses access to a popular national news channel, there is little competitive solace that there is a music channel or children’s programming channel to replace it. Even when there is another news channel available, an MVPD may not be made whole because viewers desire the programming and personalities packaged by the unavailable news channel. Moreover, even if an acceptable substitute is found, the competitive MVPD is still harmed because its competitor can likely offer to subscribers both the unavailable programming and its substitute.”189 Cable MSOs do not provide sufficient evidence of adequate substitutes for popular cable-affiliated programming.190 We doubt, for example, that fans of one of the most popular cable programs, such as HBO’s “The Sopranos,” had their competitive MVPD been denied access to the cable-affiliated HBO network, would have regarded the original programming on other premium networks, such as Showtime, an adequate substitute for their favorite show. Despite the increase in available programming over the past five years, we find that cable operators still own popular programming for which there are no close substitutes.191 The availability of new, non-integrated networks does not mitigate the adverse impact on competition of a competitive MVPD’s inability to access popular vertically integrated programming. The record reflects that numerous national programming networks, RSNs, premium programming networks, and VOD networks are cable- affiliated programming networks that are demanded by MVPD subscribers and for which there are no adequate substitutes.192 184 See infra ¶ 39 (discussing impact on competitive MVPD subscribership from withholding of cable-affiliated programming). 185 See Cablevision Reply Comments at 2, 8-9 and Appendix B at 14; see also Time Warner Reply Comments at 13 n.23. 186 See Cablevision Comments at 2-3, 18-27; Comcast Comments at 11-13; NCTA Comments at 5-7; Time Warner Reply Comments at 2. 187 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12139, ¶ 33. 188 Id. 189 Id. 190 Cablevision lists various cable networks that offer certain categories of programming (such as news, sports, weather, and music), but offers no evidence that these networks are substitutable for one another. See Cablevision Comments at 20 n.69. 191 See supra ¶¶ 18, 22, 37 (discussing cable’s ownership of significant programming networks). 192 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12138, ¶ 32 (“We agree with competitive MVPDs that access to vertically integrated programming continues to be necessary in order for these MVPDs to remain viable in the (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 27 39. We find that access to this non-substitutable programming is necessary for competition in the video distribution market to remain viable. An MVPD’s ability to compete will be significantly harmed if denied access to popular vertically integrated programming for which no good substitute exists.193 Because the exclusive contract prohibition applicable to satellite-delivered programming has been in effect since 1992, we do not have specific empirical evidence of the impact of withholding of satellite-delivered programming. However, for vertically integrated programming that is delivered terrestrially and therefore beyond the scope of Section 628(c)(2)(D), there is factual evidence that cable operators have withheld this programming from competitors and, in two instances – in San Diego and Philadelphia – there is empirical evidence that such withholding has had a material adverse impact on competition in the video distribution market. In the Adelphia Order, the Commission conducted an analysis which concluded that lack of access to RSN programming can decrease an MVPD’s market share significantly because a large number of consumers will refuse to purchase the MVPD’s service and will instead elect to purchase service from the cable operator that offers the RSN.194 The analysis concluded that, without access to the cable-affiliated RSN in Philadelphia, the percentage of television households (Continued from previous page) marketplace.”); infra ¶ 39 (discussing impact on competitive MVPD subscribership from withholding of cable- affiliated programming). 193 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12138, ¶ 32; Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8287, ¶ 189; id. at 8258- 59, ¶ 124 (stating that “RSNs are often considered ‘must-have’ programming. . . . Hence, an MVPD’s ability to gain access to RSNs and the price and other terms of conditions of access can be important factors in its ability to compete with rivals”); Hughes Order, 19 FCC Rcd at 535, ¶ 133 (stating that “the basis for the lack of adequate substitutes for regional sports programming lies in the unique nature of its core component: RSNs typically purchase exclusive rights to show sporting events, and sports fans believe that there is no good substitute for watching their local and/or favorite team play an important game”); 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2596, ¶ 205 (“Access to must have programming, including major national cable networks and regional sports networks, on a timely basis and at competitive rates is a key competitive issue for all MVPDs.”); see also AT&T Comments at 11 (“MVPDs still remain highly dependent on key programming owned by the established cable MSOs, including TBS, Discovery, TNT, CNN, TLC, and other popular basic cable networks, and also the regional sports network programming that the Commission found, in the Adelphia Order, could be used as a powerful weapon against potential competitors.”); EchoStar Comments at 7 (“Withholding a single ‘must have’ programming network from competitive MVPD platforms can hamper, if not foreclose, the development and preservation of viable competition.”). Numerous competitive MVPDs cite certain national programming networks as “must have” programming. See NRTC Comments at 20 (stating that an MVPD cannot “operate successfully” if that system lacks access to cable-affiliated networks such as CNN, HBO, TNT, and The Discovery Channel); SureWest Comments at 3 (“no MVPD could survive without access to the most popular, ‘must-have,’ programming channels such as CNN, TNT and HBO”); Qwest Comments at 5 (“Since subscribers ultimately are most interested in content, Qwest’s ability to serve its customers is tied directly to its access to ‘must-have’ vertically integrated programming, including CNN, HBO, TNT, iN DEMAND pay-per-view content, Discovery, and regional sports networks.”). Numerous competitive MVPDs also cite sports programming as “must have” programming. See AT&T Comments at 15 (stating that Congress and the Commission “have continued to recognize on multiple occasions the ‘must have’ nature of cable incumbents’ regional sports networks”); BSPA Comments at 6; RCN Comments at 4 (“‘Must have’ programming is programming that has no close substitutes and cannot be duplicated no matter how much time and money are committed. Clearly, sports programming is ‘must have’ programming.”); SureWest Comments at 3 (“sports programming is also core to an MVPD’s survival in a competitive market”); USTelecom Comments at 14- 15; Verizon Comments at 9 (stating that regional sports programming “is a key component of a competitive multichannel video service”). 194 Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8267-72, ¶¶ 140-51 and 8341-50, Appendix D; see id at 8271-72, ¶ 151(“We conclude that there is substantial evidence that a large number of consumers will refuse to purchase DBS service if the provider cannot offer an RSN.”); Hughes Order, 19 FCC Rcd at 546-47, ¶ 159 (stating that withholding of RSN programming will cause consumers to lose access to highly desired programming and some consumers will leave their preferred MVPD provider to access the foreclosed programming on a less-desired MVPD platform). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 28 that subscribe to DBS service in Philadelphia is 40 percent below what would otherwise be expected.195 In San Diego, the analysis concluded that lack of access to the cable-affiliated RSN results in a 33 percent reduction in the households subscribing to DBS service.196 We also believe that a competitive MVPD’s lack of access to popular non-RSN networks would not have a materially different impact on the MVPD’s subscribership than would lack of access to an RSN. We are unaware of examples of nationally distributed programming being withheld from willing buyers as has occurred with some RSNs. Instead, we must turn to indirect evidence of the popularity of nationally distributed programming networks. A number of networks receive ratings higher than or equal to those of RSNs that are currently withheld from DBS providers.197 While ratings are not a perfect predictor of consumer response to the withholding of a network, they do provide us with sufficient evidence to conclude that some nationally distributed networks are sufficiently valuable to viewers such that some viewers may switch to an alternative MVPD if the popular programming were not made available on their current MVPD. 40. We disagree with Cablevision’s criticisms of the Commission’s analysis in the Adelphia Order.198 In that decision, the Commission conducted a statistical (regression) analysis which found, after holding other relevant factors constant, that non-cable MVPDs had significantly lower market shares in markets where they were denied access to an RSN.199 As a threshold matter, the Commission’s regression analysis is just one component of an economic analysis of a possible “uniform price increase strategy” that a cable operator (in particular, one of the applicants to acquire Adelphia cable systems) might follow with regard to RSNs. Under this scenario, a vertically integrated cable operator that has just increased the number of homes that it passes in a market where it also owns an RSN raises the price of the RSN to all MVPDs in the market, but not by an amount large enough to induce the rival MVPD in the market to stop carrying the RSN. The question posed by the analysis is whether this (sustainable) price increase is greater than the five percent level specified in the Department of Justice (“DOJ”) Merger Guidelines. In the Adelphia Order, the Commission stated that “price increases of five percent or more would likely harm rival MVPDs’ ability to compete and/or be passed on to consumers in some form, such 195 See Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8271, ¶ 149. 196 See id. We also note that, according to data from Nielsen Media Research, in two cities where most competitive MVPDs are unable to access the cable-affiliated RSN (Philadelphia and San Diego), the collective market share of competitive MVPDs is well below their national average of 33 percent: Philadelphia (19.8 percent) and San Diego (13.7 percent). See DMA Household Universe Estimates July 2007: Cable And/Or ADS (Alternate Delivery Systems), http://www.tvb.org/nav/build_frameset.asp (follow “Research Central” hyperlink; then follow “Market Track” hyperlink; then follow “Cable and ADS Penetration by DMA” hyperlink) (last visited Aug. 2, 2007); see also AT&T Comments at 17 (noting that DIRECTV’s market share in San Diego is half of its national average); CA2C Comments at 9, 16; USTelecom Comments at 15; AT&T Reply Comments at 5 (stating that DBS subscription is lower in Philadelphia where Comcast has refused to provide RSN access). While Cablevision notes that DBS market penetration has in fact tripled in Philadelphia from 4 percent in 2000 to 12 percent at the end of 2006 despite the inability of DBS operators to access an RSN (see Cablevision Comments at 25; Cablevision Reply Comments at 12), cable market penetration is still significantly greater in Philadelphia (81.1 percent) than in metropolitan areas with a population similar to that of Philadelphia: Phoenix (70.1 percent), San Antonio (70.8 percent); and Dallas (53.5 percent). See id. 197 According to data collected by Nielsen, Comcast SportsNet earned a 1 rating and 2 share in the all-day time period during the May 2006 ratings period in the Philadelphia DMA. Three programming networks earned superior ratings or shares while six networks earned equivalent ratings and shares. In the San Diego DMA during the same period, four programming networks earned ratings and shares equivalent to those earned by San Diego Channel 4, the RSN which carries San Diego Padres baseball games. 198 See Cablevision Comments, Appendix B at 24-25. 199 Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8267-72, ¶¶ 140-51 and 8341-50, Appendix D. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 29 as increased rates or reductions in quality or customer service.”200 In other words, based on the analysis in the Adelphia Order showing that RSN prices would rise significantly in several markets post-merger, the Commission concluded that MVPD customers would be harmed. One of several parameters needed to assess the uniform price increase scenario is the amount by which subscribership to a competitive MVPD would fall if that MVPD were to choose not to carry the RSN. Cablevision’s critique does not address the full uniform price increase analysis. Rather, it focuses on the regression equation. Cablevision offers several criticisms of the regression model, most of which amount to the assertion that some relevant explanatory variables were left out of the equation. These and other criticisms are addressed in detail in Appendix B. As explained therein, some of the variables claimed to be left out were, in fact, included. Moreover, even if some relevant variables were left out, that does not, in and of itself, indicate that the coefficients on the relevant dummy variables are inaccurate or biased. Moreover, we have estimated additional regression equations designed to include some of the variables that Cablevision claims should have been included. The new results, in fact, support the Commission’s analysis in the Adelphia Order, and in some respects strengthen the conclusions reached in that decision. In sum, we do not find persuasive the Cablevision critique of our analysis in the Adelphia Order, including the regression analysis. We remain convinced that the regression analysis demonstrates that, with regard to RSNs and programming with similar characteristics (such as popularity and similar monthly per subscriber affiliate fee and network advertising revenue), withholding programming from rivals can be a profitable strategy for a vertically integrated cable programmer and that such withholding can have a significant impact on subscribership to the rival MVPDs. Such practices, in turn, predictably harm competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming, to the detriment of consumers. 41. We find that access to vertically integrated programming is essential for new entrants in the video marketplace to compete effectively. If the programming offered by a competitive MVPD lacks “must have” programming that is offered by the incumbent cable operator, subscribers will be less likely to switch to the competitive MVPD.201 We give little weight to the claims by cable operators that recent entrants, such as telephone companies, have not experienced “any trouble” to date in acquiring access to satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming.202 As an initial matter, we note that competitive MVPDs state that they pay significant amounts for access to satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming.203 Moreover, because the exclusive contract prohibition is currently in effect and has been since 1992, vertically integrated programmers delivering programming to MVPDs via satellite were not able to deny competitors access to their programming.204 As discussed in Section III.A.3.b below, however, there is substantial evidence that, when the exclusive contract prohibition does not apply, such as in the case of terrestrially delivered programming, vertically integrated programmers may have an 200 See id. at 8269, ¶ 143. 201 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12139, ¶ 34; Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8267-72, ¶¶ 140-51 and 8341-50, Appendix D; supra ¶ 39 (discussing impact on competitive MVPD subscribership from withholding of cable-affiliated programming). 202 See Comcast Comments at 21; Comcast Reply Comments at 17; but see AT&T Reply Comments at 10 (“AT&T and Verizon already have experienced the cold shoulder in trying to obtain regional sports programming from incumbent cable operators.”). 203 See EchoStar Reply Comments at 19 (stating that cable operators repeatedly increase license fees for their affiliated networks); see also AT&T Comments at 11 (stating that RCN has told investors that it pays 37 percent of its revenues to Time Warner and Comcast for programming). 204 See Verizon Comments at 3 (noting that it has not faced difficulty in obtaining satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming while the exclusive contract prohibition is in effect, but that it expects the situation to change if the prohibition were allowed to sunset). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 30 incentive to withhold programming from these recent entrants.205 We also reject the cable MSOs’ suggestion that the resources of some competitors in the video distribution market (i.e., telephone companies) should change our analysis of whether to extend the prohibition at this time.206 The competitors to which the cable operators refer are new entrants to the video distribution market, and have no established customer base. If cable operators have exclusive access to content that is essential for viable competition and for which there are no close substitutes, and they have the incentive to withhold such content, they can significantly impede the ability of new entrants to compete effectively in the marketplace, regardless of their level of resources.207 As we concluded in the Adelphia Order, excluding “must have” cable-affiliated content from DBS operators has reduced the percentage of households that subscribe to DBS service to as much as 40 percent below what would otherwise be expected.208 42. For the reasons discussed above, we conclude that there are no close substitutes for some satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming and that such programming is necessary for viable competition in the video distribution market.209 Having made this determination, we further conclude that vertically integrated programmers continue to have the ability to favor their affiliated cable operators over competitive MVPDs such that competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming would not be preserved and protected.210 Accordingly, assuming vertically integrated programmers continue to have the incentive to favor their affiliated cable operators, allowing vertically integrated programmers to enter into exclusive arrangements with their affiliated cable operators will fail to protect and preserve competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming.211 b. Incentive 43. We next assess whether vertically integrated programmers continue to have the incentive to favor their affiliated cable operators over competitive MVPDs.212 This requires us to analyze (i) whether cable operators, through the number of subscribers they serve, the number of homes they pass, and their affiliations with programmers, continue to have market dominance of sufficient magnitude that, in the absence of the prohibition, they would be able to act in an anticompetitive manner; and (ii) whether there continues to be an economic rationale for vertically integrated programmers to engage in exclusive agreements with cable operators that will cause such anticompetitive harms.213 As discussed in this 205 See infra Section III.A.3.b. 206 See Cablevision Comments at 2, 5; Comcast Comments at 20; Time Warner Reply Comments at 21. 207 See Verizon Reply Comments at 11-12. 208 See Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8271, ¶ 149. As competitive MVPDs note, DBS providers have been able to attract and retain millions of subscribers because of their ability to offer “must have” programming that is affiliated with cable operators. See AT&T Comments at 10 n.25; CA2C Comments at 12. Moreover, we note that the Commission has attributed the increased growth of DBS subscribership in part to the ability of DBS operators to offer local broadcast signals, which Cablevision has referred to as “must have” content. See Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Eleventh Annual Report, 20 FCC Rcd 2755, 2792 ¶ 54 (2005); Comments of Cablevision Systems Corp., MB Docket No. 03-124 (June 16, 2003) at 3, 13-14, 18, 28 (referring to the Fox broadcast network as “must have”). 209 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12135, ¶ 24. 210 See id. 211 See id. 212 See id. at 12139-40, ¶ 35. 213 See id. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 31 section, we conclude that vertically integrated programmers continue to have the incentive to favor their affiliated cable operators over competitive MVPDs. 44. We briefly reiterate here how a vertically integrated cable programmer might attempt to harm the ability of rival MVPDs to compete through the use of exclusive contracts.214 An exclusive arrangement between a cable-affiliated programmer and its affiliated cable operator will reduce the number of platforms distributing the cable-affiliated programming network and thus the total number of subscribers to the network. This results in a reduction in potential advertising or subscription revenues that would otherwise be available to the network. In the long term, however, the cable-affiliated programmer would gain from an increased number of subscribers as customers switch to the affiliated cable distribution service in order to receive the exclusive programming. Thus, an exclusive contract is a kind of “investment,” in which an initial loss of profits from programming is incurred in order to achieve higher profits later from increased cable distribution. This type of arrangement is most profitable when the costs of the investment are low and its benefits are high. The costs are lowest when the initial loss in programming revenue is low, such as when the rival distributors that are excluded serve relatively fewer customers. The benefits of the investment tend to be highest when the vertically integrated cable programmer ultimately expects to serve a large number of subscribers, and will be able to charge them substantially more for cable distribution service than it could if it faced a strong rival distribution platform. We explained that the number of subscribers that a vertically integrated cable programmer serves is of particular importance in calculating the benefits of withholding programming from rival MVPDs. The larger the number of subscribers controlled by the vertically integrated cable programmer, the larger the benefits of withholding that accrue to that programmer. Thus, as the number of subscribers rises, so does the likelihood that withholding would be profitable. 45. In their comments, cable MSOs assert that they do not have an economic incentive to enter into exclusive programming agreements. First, they argue that they do not have a sufficient share of the MVPD market to make withholding of vertically integrated programming a profitable strategy.215 Cablevision notes that the success of an exclusivity strategy depends on the ability of a vertically integrated programmer to recover a substantial portion of its lost revenues through increased distribution revenues.216 As the number of subscribers to competing distributors rises, the likelihood of a successful withholding strategy decreases.217 Cablevision contends that the nearly fifty percent increase in the number of customers served by rival MVPDs since 2002 has substantially increased the costs of an exclusivity strategy.218 Second, cable MSOs argue that a typical programming network, no matter the ownership structure, will not foreclose opportunities to be as widely distributed as possible on multiple platforms.219 Cablevision notes that a cable-affiliated programmer that enters into an exclusive arrangement with its affiliated distributor would risk being unable to recoup the significant license fees and advertising revenues that it loses by refusing access to competing platforms.220 Cable MSOs claim that the over 30 million subscribers served by competitive MVPDs today represent a significant revenue 214 See id. at 12140-41, ¶¶ 36-39. 215 See Cablevision Comments at 16 and Appendix B at 11. 216 See id. 217 See id. 218 See id. at 17. 219 See Cablevision Comments at 4; Comcast Comments at 21-22; Comcast Reply Comments at 22; NCTA Reply Comments at 6. 220 See Cablevision Comments at 16. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 32 source that no programmer can afford to ignore.221 Third, cable MSOs argue that competitive MVPDs in response to an exclusive arrangement are likely to engage in competitive counter-measures, such as cutting prices, acquiring other programming on an exclusive basis, or launching new services of their own.222 46. Competitive MVPDs argue that vertically integrated cable programmers continue to have powerful incentives to withhold vertically integrated programming to impede the viability of competitors.223 CA2C cites an April 2005 GAO Report which concludes that DBS operators have relatively fewer subscribers in urban and suburban markets where they face a content disadvantage compared to the incumbent cable operator. 224 CA2C also notes that DBS market share in Philadelphia and San Diego drops almost in half due to the lack of access to RSNs as compared to other similar high- density markets where DBS operators have access to RSNs.225 47. Competitive MVPDs disagree with claims by cable MSOs that the decrease in the collective market share of cable operators between 2002 and 2005 means they can no longer profitably withhold affiliated programming. First, they note that the 67 percent share of MVPD subscribers held by the cable industry remains the dominant market position.226 Second, they argue that the increase in horizontal consolidation of the cable industry increases the ability for cable MSOs to leverage power collectively through “cable only” exclusives – i.e., the withholding of programming from rival MVPDs while selling it to other cable operators with which they do not compete.227 For example, competitive MVPDs note that Comcast makes Comcast SportsNet Philadelphia available to all Philadelphia-area cable operators, but not to DIRECTV or EchoStar.228 They also emphasize that while the market share of small-to-medium sized, non-vertically integrated cable operators has declined, the market share of the four largest vertically integrated cable operators has increased substantially since 2002.229 Third, they point to an increase in regional clustering, which, they say, has increased the market share of individual cable operations within the footprints of regional programming and created expanded opportunities to implement exclusive arrangements.230 In response to these concerns, Comcast notes that both the Commission and the Director of the Bureau of Economics of the Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”) 221 See id. at 20; NCTA Comments at 6. 222 See Cablevision Comments at 8, 17; Cablevision Reply Comments at 11-12. 223 See AT&T Comments at 3, 18; BSPA Comments at 3, 10; CA2C Comments at 7-8; Qwest Comments at 3 & n.6; USTelecom Comments at 4-5, 7; Verizon Comments at 5; see also Consumer Groups Reply Comments at 5. 224 See CA2C Comments at 8 (citing Government Accountability Office (“GAO”), Telecommunications: Direct Broadcast Satellite Subscribership Has Grown Rapidly, but Varies Across Different Types of Markets, GAO-05-257 (April 2005)). 225 See id. at 9. 226 See DIRECTV Comments at 7-9 (quoting Judge Richard A. Posner as stating that “monopoly power” is “ordinarily inferred from possession of a dominant share (some courts set the threshold at 50 percent or occasionally even lower, others at 67 or even 70 percent) in a market sufficiently broadly defined to include all close substitutes of the defendant’s product” (citing Richard A. Posner, Antitrust Law 196 (2nd ed. 2001)); USTelecom Comments at 11. 227 See DIRECTV Comments at 9-10; EchoStar Comments at 6. 228 See AT&T Comments at 16; DIRECTV Comments at 10. 229 See EchoStar Reply Comments at 4-5. 230 See BSPA Comments at 17; CA2C Comments at 17-18; DIRECTV Comments at 10-11; RCN Comments at 7; Consumer Groups Reply Comments at 4-5; RCN Reply Comments at 10-11; SureWest Reply Comments at 3. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 33 have acknowledged that clustering may enable cable operators to achieve greater economies of scale and scope, thereby reducing costs.231 48. Some competitive MVPDs argue that the recent entry of telephone companies into the video market provides cable operators with an increased incentive to withhold programming to stifle competition.232 They contend that video service offered by telephone companies provides more price discipline to cable than does DBS and that telephone companies also offer broadband services in competition with cable operators.233 They also note that wireline entry is still well below two percent of the nation’s total MVPD subscribership.234 AT&T and Verizon characterize as insignificant the short-term costs to cable incumbents of foregoing revenues from providing programming to the minimal subscriber bases of new entrants.235 In the long term, they claim, the benefits to cable operators of limiting new entry will far outweigh the costs of lost revenues from excluding new entrants with minimal subscribership from their programming.236 AT&T notes that the Commission in the 2002 Extension Order found that cable operators had an economic incentive to withhold programming from DBS operators when the market share of DBS operators was 18 percent.237 AT&T claims that the incentive for cable-affiliated programmers to withhold programming from new telephone company entrants with only a two percent market penetration is far greater.238 49. While cable MSOs argue that they have no incentive to withhold programming, competitive MVPDs provide the following examples which they claim demonstrate that cable MSOs will withhold programming if advantageous and permitted.239 Competitive MVPDs argue that many of the examples listed below, involving terrestrially delivered programming (sports as well as non-sports) – for which the exclusive contract prohibition does not apply – demonstrate the incentive and ability of vertically integrated cable operators to deny access to programming where permitted by the statute. 231 See Comcast Reply Comments at 14 n.41 (citing Eighth Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1304-05, ¶ 140; Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Seventh Annual Report, 16 FCC Rcd 6005, 6076, ¶ 166 (2001); Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Sixth Annual Report, 15 FCC Rcd 978, 1051, ¶¶ 161-62 (2000); Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Fifth Annual Report, 13 FCC Rcd 24284, 24371-72, ¶¶ 144-48 (1998); Vertically Integrated Sports Programming: Are Cable Companies Excluding Competition?: Before the Senate Comm. on the Judiciary, 109th Cong. 4 (2006) (statement of Michael Salinger, Director, Bureau of Economics, FTC), available at: http://judiciary.senate.gov/testimony.cfm?id=2454&wit_id=5929). 232 See AT&T Comments at 22-24; RCN Comments at 12; SureWest Reply Comments at 2; AT&T Reply Comments at 8-9. 233 See AT&T Comments at 3, 22-23; USTelecom Comments at 6-7. 234 See CA2C Comments at 5 (citing Letter from Daniel L. Brenner, Senior Vice President, Law & Regulatory Policy, National Cable & Telecommunications Association, MB Docket No. 92-264 (Mar. 16, 2007) at 4); Qwest Comments at 2-3; USTelecom Comments at 10-11. 235 See AT&T Comments at 5; Verizon Comments at 12; RCN Reply Comments at 10. 236 See AT&T Comments at 18-19. 237 See AT&T Comments at 21 (citing 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12144-45, ¶ 46). 238 See id. 239 See AT&T Comments at 4; BSPA Comments at 17; CA2C Comments at 17; RCN Comments at 10-11; RICA Comments at 5; SureWest Comments at 5-6; USTelecom Comments at 15-16; Verizon Comments at 12-14; CA2C Reply Comments at 7-8; EchoStar Reply Comments at 16-17; Qwest Reply Comments at 4; Verizon Reply Comments at 5-6. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 34 Sports Programming · Comcast SportsNet Philadelphia. Some competitive MVPDs state that Comcast refuses to make the terrestrially delivered Comcast SportsNet Philadelphia channel available to EchoStar and DIRECTV.240 Competitive MVPDs cite the Commission’s conclusion in the Adelphia Order that the percentage of households that subscribe to DBS service in Philadelphia is 40 percent below what would otherwise be expected.241 In response, Comcast notes that Comcast SportsNet Philadelphia is available to RCN.242 · Channel 4 San Diego. Some competitive MVPDs claim that Cox makes available its Channel 4 San Diego network, which has exclusive rights to San Diego Padres baseball games, only to cable operators that do not directly compete with Cox and not to DIRECTV, EchoStar, and AT&T. 243 While competitive MVPDs state that DIRECTV’s market penetration in San Diego is half of its national average,244 Cablevision notes that DIRECTV in the Adelphia proceeding reported that it did not find a statistically significant effect on its market penetration in San Diego resulting from its inability to access this RSN.245 · Overflow sports programming in New York, NY. RCN notes that it was deprived of access to overflow sports programming from Cablevision after Cablevision revised its distribution system from satellite to terrestrial delivery.246 While RCN filed a program access complaint, the Cable Services Bureau denied the complaint because the programming was terrestrially delivered and thus beyond the scope of Section 628(c)(2)(D).247 The Bureau also found that Cablevision did not evade the Commission’s rules by changing its distribution system from satellite to terrestrial delivery.248 · RSNs Affiliated with Cablevision in New York and New England. Verizon notes that it was forced to file a program access complaint against Cablevision and its vertically integrated programming subsidiary, Rainbow Media Holdings, LLC, in order to obtain access to RSNs in the New York City metropolitan area and New England.249 While the dispute was eventually settled, competitive MVPDs state that the case illustrates the efforts of cable operators and their vertically integrated programmers to forestall competition from new entrants such as Verizon.250 240 See CA2C Comments at 16; EchoStar Comments at 9; RCN Comments at 10; USTelecom Comments at 15. 241 See AT&T Comments at 16 (citing Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8271, ¶ 149). 242 See Comcast Reply Comments at 20. 243 See AT&T Comments at 17; CA2C Comments at 16; USTelecom Comments at 15; Verizon Reply Comments at 5. 244 See AT&T Comments at 17. 245 See Cablevision Comments at 26 (citing Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8271, ¶ 148). 246 See RCN Comments at 10; see also CA2C Comments at 17. 247 See RCN Telecom Services of New York, Inc. v. Cablevision Systems Corporation et al., 14 FCC Rcd 17093 (CSB, 1999), affirmed RCN Telecom Services of New York, Inc. v. Cablevision Systems Corporation et al., 16 FCC Rcd 12048 (2001). 248 See id. 249 See Verizon Comments at 13. 250 See AT&T Comments at 18; USTelecom Comments at 15; Verizon Comments at 13. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 35 · High Definition (“HD”) Feeds of RSNs Affiliated with Cablevision. While Rainbow has made available standard definition feeds of its RSNs, Verizon states that Rainbow is delivering HD feeds of this programming terrestrially to avoid the program access rules.251 Verizon also claims that Cablevision’s advertising campaign in New York City emphasizes its ability to offer more HD sports than its competitors.252 In response, Comcast states that HD networks are distinct from their analog counterparts and that the Commission has recognized this distinction.253 Non-Sports Programming · New England Cable News (“NECN”) in Boston, MA. One commenter claims that RCN was provided with access to NECN, a terrestrially delivered network that is 50 percent owned by Comcast, only after the Senate Judiciary Committee indicated that they were considering legislative action to apply an exclusive contract prohibition to terrestrially delivered programming.254 · PBS Kids Sprout. AT&T and RCN claim that after PBS Kids Sprout became vertically integrated with Comcast, RCN lost access to the network, resulting in an 83 percent drop in the usage of its children’s VOD service.255 Comcast and PBS Kids Sprout dispute these allegations, stating that this programming is available to all MVPDs and, in fact, RCN, Verizon, and AT&T currently distribute PBS Kids Sprout.256 · iN DEMAND. CA2C notes that iN DEMAND is jointly owned by Time Warner, Comcast, and Cox.257 CA2C argues that iN DEMAND has taken the position that its programming is beyond the scope of the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) because iN DEMAND programming is delivered to MVPDs terrestrially.258 CA2C claims that iN DEMAND initially refused to provide its service to BSPs that competed with incumbent cable operators and that it reversed this position only after meetings were held with the Antitrust Subcommittee of the Senate Judiciary Committee.259 Nonetheless, CA2C contends that iN DEMAND has refused to provide its service to Hiawatha Broadband because of the technology Hiawatha uses for its distribution system.260 Qwest provides a declaration regarding its alleged inability to acquire iN DEMAND’s sports packages in a timely manner.261 251 See Verizon Comments at 13-14; Verizon Reply Comments at 5. 252 See Verizon Comments at 13. 253 See Comcast Reply Comments at 29 n.90 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2626-42, Table C-2). 254 See CA2C Comments at 16-17. 255 AT&T Comments at 15; RCN Reply Comments at 7. 256 See Comcast Reply Comments at 21; Letter from Sandy Wax, President, and Adrienne Byrd, Senior Director, Legal Affairs, PBS KIDS Sprout, to Ms. Marlene H. Dortch, FCC, MB Docket No. 07-29 (May 3, 2007). 257 See CA2C Reply Comments at 7. 258 See id. 259 See id. at 7-8. 260 See id. at 8. 261 See Qwest Reply Comments at 4; see also CA2C Reply Comments at 8. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 36 · CN8 – The Comcast Network. Qwest claims that CN8 – The Comcast Network is a local news and information channel that serves 12 states and 20 television markets but is only available to Comcast and Cablevision subscribers because it is terrestrially delivered and therefore beyond the scope of Section 628(c)(2)(D).262 · NRTC. NRTC, which acts as a “buying group” on behalf of its members, claims that it has been denied access to two vertically integrated programming networks, the identities of which it claims it cannot disclose due to non-disclosure agreements.263 AT&T argues that if cable-affiliated programmers had an economic incentive to distribute their programming as widely as possible, as cable MSOs claim, then there would be no examples of any such exclusionary behavior.264 AT&T also notes that cable operators actively advertise their exclusive access to certain content in order to attract and retain subscribers.265 Comcast contends these examples do not offer sufficient proof of market failure that requires government intervention.266 50. Discussion. We conclude that vertically integrated cable programmers retain the incentive to withhold programming from their competitors. We recognize the pro-competitive developments in the MVPD market since the 2002 Extension Order, such as the reduction in the cable industry’s share of MVPD subscribers from 78 percent to an estimated 67 percent and the increase in the DBS industry’s market share from 18 percent to approximately 30 percent.267 Despite these positive trends, however, almost seven out of ten subscribers still choose cable over competitive MVPDs, the percentage of all MVPD subscribers nationwide served by one of the four largest vertically integrated cable operators has increased substantially since 2002, and cable operators have continued to raise prices in excess of inflation.268 While cable MSOs claim that the emergence of telephone companies as new video competitors demonstrates that competition is flourishing, the fact is that, based on estimates provided by the cable industry, competitive MVPDs, excluding DBS operators, serve approximately three percent of all MVPD subscribers nationwide, which accounts for less than three million total MVPD subscribers.269 Moreover, as we explained in our decision on franchising reform, competition from cable overbuilders is minimal, with only a few hundred examples of competitive franchises throughout the nation.270 This is one reason why we have explored ways to lower barriers to entry in the video 262 See Qwest Comments at 4. 263 See NRTC Comments at 5. 264 See AT&T Comments at 19. 265 See id. at 19-20; AT&T Reply Comments at 4. 266 See Comcast Reply Comments at 19. 267 See supra note 100 (indicating that DBS operators have an approximate 30 percent share of the MVPD market). 268 See 2006 Cable Price Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 15087-88, ¶ 2. 269 See supra note 96 (indicating that cable operators have an approximate 67 percent share of the MVPD market); supra note 100 (indicating that DBS operators have an approximate 30 percent share of the MVPD market); USTelecom Comments at 10 (citing 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2506-07, ¶ 8 (stating that, as of June 2005, only 2.9 percent of MVPD subscribers receive service from an alternative provider to cable or DBS)); see also CA2C Comments at 5 (“Despite the growth of DBS, cable operators have still maintained their position in the market.”); USTelecom Comments at 9 (“Now, nearly five years since the [2002 Extension Order], the MSOs’ grip on the multichannel video market has remained firm . . . .”). 270 See Local Franchising Report and Order, 22 FCC Rcd at 5110, ¶ 19. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 37 marketplace.271 Although we are encouraged by developments since 2002, we do not believe these developments have been significant enough for us to reverse the Commission’s previous conclusion that cable operators have market dominance of sufficient magnitude that, in the absence of the prohibition, they would be able to act in an anticompetitive manner.272 51. We also conclude that cable-affiliated programmers continue to have an economic incentive to favor their affiliated cable operators over competitive MVPDs by entering into exclusive agreements. We agree that in many instances a cable-affiliated programmer may choose to provide its programming to as many platforms as possible in order to maximize advertising and subscription revenues. In other cases, however, cable-affiliated programmers will have an incentive to withhold programming from competitive MVPDs in order to favor their affiliated cable operator. Our conclusion that vertically integrated cable programmers retain the incentive to withhold programming from their competitors is reinforced by specific factual evidence that vertically integrated programmers have withheld and continue to withhold programming, including both sports and non-sports programming, from competitive MVPDs.273 While many of these examples pertain to terrestrially delivered programming that is beyond the scope of Section 628(c)(2)(D), we find that these examples are nonetheless significant because they demonstrate that, absent a prohibition, cable-affiliated programmers will engage in withholding of programming from competitive MVPDs. Moreover, because it is outside of the scope of the program access provisions, the withholding of terrestrially delivered programming presents the most direct, factually based evidence of cable MSO behavior if the prohibition is permitted to lapse. If vertically integrated programmers had no economic incentive other than to distribute their programming to as many platforms as possible, then we would not expect to see such examples of withholding.274 52. While the cable industry’s share of MVPD subscribers nationwide has decreased from 78 percent to approximately 67 percent since the 2002 Extension Order,275 we conclude that this market share is still sufficient to enable cable-affiliated programmers to make withholding vertically integrated programming a profitable strategy. Moreover, while the cable industry’s share of MVPD subscribers nationwide has declined since the 2002 Extension Order, it has remained above or near the 78 percent 271 See id. at 5111, ¶ 20; MDU Access NPRM, 22 FCC Rcd at 5938, ¶ 6. 272 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12143-45, ¶¶ 45-46. 273 See supra ¶ 49 (discussing evidence of withholding of cable-affiliated programming from competitive MVPDs); DIRECTV, Inc. v. Comcast Corporation, 15 FCC Rcd 22802, 22807-08, ¶¶ 11-14 (2000) (resolving program access dispute), aff’g, EchoStar Communications Corporation v. Comcast Corporation, 14 FCC Rcd 2089 (1999), DIRECTV, Inc. v. Comcast Corporation, 13 FCC Rcd 21822 (1998), aff’d sub nom. EchoStar Communications Corporation v. FCC, 292 F.3d 749 (D.C. Cir. 2002); RCN Telecom Services of New York, Inc. v. Cablevision Systems Corporation et al., 14 FCC Rcd at 17103-07, ¶¶ 20-27 (resolving program access dispute), affirmed RCN Telecom Services of New York, Inc. v. Cablevision Systems Corporation et al., 16 FCC Rcd 12048 (2001); see also EchoStar Comments at 9 (“Indeed, cable conglomerates have already demonstrated their willingness to abuse exclusive programming rights to gain market share and harm consumers. The well-worn example of Comcast’s conduct in Philadelphia with its SportsNet asset is again instructive.”). 274 While cable MSOs claim that competitive MVPDs were unable to demonstrate any harm to their ability to compete in one of these cases (Channel 4 San Diego) (see Cablevision Comments at 26 (citing Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8271, ¶ 148)), this is irrelevant to the issue of whether cable-affiliated programmers have the incentive to engage in withholding of programming from competitive MVPDs. These examples demonstrate that, absent a prohibition, cable-affiliated programmers have an incentive to engage in withholding. 275 See supra note 96 (indicating that cable operators have an approximate 67 percent share of the MVPD market). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 38 level in many Designated Market Areas (“DMAs”),276 indicating that cable operators retain the same share of MVPD subscribers in many markets as in 2002.277 In the 2002 Extension Order, based on the cable industry’s 78 percent national market share at the time, the Commission found that a “cable-only” distribution strategy would reduce potential subscribership or viewership for a cable-affiliated programming network by one-fifth.278 The Commission concluded that the revenues foregone by a cable- affiliated programmer by refusing to sell to competitive MVPDs would thus be “relatively low.”279 While the reduction in potential nationwide subscribership or viewership has now increased to one-third based on the cable industry’s current national market share of approximately 67 percent, we find that this reduction in potential subscribership or viewership has not reached a point where withholding would be unprofitable.280 Moreover, because the share of MVPD subscribers held by cable operators is above or near 78 percent in many DMAs, there is no reduction in potential subscribership or viewership in many regional areas from that which we observed in the 2002 Extension Order.281 As the Commission did in the 2002 Extension Order, we find that the costs (i.e., foregone revenues) incurred by a cable-affiliated programmer by refusing to sell to competitive MVPDs would be offset by (i) revenues from increased subscriptions to the services of its affiliated cable operator resulting from subscribers that switch to cable to obtain access to the cable-exclusive programming;282 (ii) revenues from increased rates charged by the 276 A DMA is a geographic market designation that defines each television market exclusive of others, based on measured viewing patterns. Each county in the United States is allocated to a market based on which home-market stations receive a preponderance of total viewing hours in the county. For purposes of this calculation, both over- the-air and cable television viewing are included. See Time Warner Entertainment, Memorandum Opinion and Order, DA 07-3400, 2007 WL 2159623, ¶ 2 (MB, 2007). 277 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12132-33, ¶ 20 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1247, ¶ 5). Based on data from Nielsen Media Research, as of July 2007, the share of MVPD subscribers held by cable operators exceeds 78 percent in 36 out of 210 DMAs and is between 75 and 78 percent in an additional 16 DMAs. See DMA Household Universe Estimates July 2007: Cable And/Or ADS (Alternate Delivery Systems), http://www.tvb.org/nav/build_frameset.asp (follow “Research Central” hyperlink; then follow “Market Track” hyperlink; then follow “Cable and ADS Penetration by DMA” hyperlink) (last visited Aug. 2, 2007). These include sixteen of the Top 50 most-populated DMAs: New York (No.1; 83.7 percent cable market share); Philadelphia (No. 4; 81.1 percent cable market share); Boston (No. 7; 87.1 percent cable market share); Tampa-St. Pete (No. 12; 81.1 percent cable market share); Seattle (No. 14; 79.3 percent cable market share); Cleveland-Akron (No. 17; 78.6 percent cable market share); Orlando (No. 19; 75.7 percent cable market share); Pittsburgh (No. 22; 79.6 percent cable market share); Baltimore (No. 24; 80.3 percent cable market share); San Diego (No. 27; 87.1 percent cable market share); Hartford-New Haven, CT (No. 28; 86.4 percent cable market share); Columbus (No. 32; 78 percent cable market share); Milwaukee (No. 34; 79.1 percent cable market share); Harrisburg-Lancaster, PA (No. 41; 79.5 percent cable market share); Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News, VA (No. 42; 77.6 percent cable market share); Las Vegas (No. 43; 75.9 percent cable market share). See id. 278 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12147-48, ¶ 53. 279 See id. 280 We also noted in the 2002 Extension Order that if vertically integrated programmers entered into exclusive arrangements with only the top ten MVPDs (excluding DBS providers), those programmers would still retain access to over 66 percent of all MVPD subscribers, which reflected a three percent increase from 1994. See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12148, ¶ 53 n.172. These figures are similar in the current video distribution market. Today, if vertically integrated programmers entered into exclusive arrangements with only the top ten MVPDs (excluding DBS providers), those programmers would still retain access to over 60 percent of all MVPD subscribers. See 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2620, Table B-3. 281 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12147-48, ¶ 53. 282 See id. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 39 affiliated cable operator in response to increased demand for its services resulting from its ability to offer exclusive programming;283 and (iii) revenues resulting from the ability of the cable-affiliated programmer to raise the price it charges for programming to other cable operators in return for exclusivity.284 Thus, particularly where competitive MVPDs are limited in their market share, a cable-affiliated programmer will be able to recoup a substantial amount, if not all, of the revenues foregone by pursuing a withholding strategy. In the long term, a withholding strategy may result in a reduction in competition in the video distribution market, thereby allowing the affiliated cable operator to raise rates. As discussed in Appendix C, we have also made critical value calculations which conclude that withholding of some nationally distributed programming networks could be profitable if as little as 1.9 percent of non-cable subscribers were to switch to cable as a result of the withholding.285 We believe that these subscriber numbers are sufficiently low as to make it likely that cable MSOs will pursue national “cable only” withholding strategies with some networks in the absence of the exclusivity prohibition. We thus conclude that the one-third share of the MVPD market held by competitive MVPDs remains limited enough to allow cable-affiliated programmers to successfully and profitably implement a withholding strategy. 53. We also find that three additional developments since 2002 provide cable-affiliated programmers with an even greater economic incentive to withhold programming from competitive MVPDs: (i) the increase in horizontal consolidation in the cable industry; (ii) the increase in clustering of cable systems; and (iii) the recent emergence of new entrants in the video market place, such as telephone companies. 54. Horizontal Consolidation. The cable industry has continued to consolidate since 2002. Since this time, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs (Comcast, Time Warner, Cox, and Cablevision) has increased from 34 percent286 to between 54 and 56.75 percent.287 Moreover, the percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest cable MSOs (Comcast, Time Warner, Cox, and Charter) has increased from 48 percent288 to between 53 and 60 percent after taking into account the recent acquisition by Comcast and Time Warner of cable systems formerly owned by Adelphia.289 Thus, while the evidence demonstrates that the market share of small-to-medium sized, non- vertically integrated cable operators has declined, the market share of large cable operators, and in particular those that own cable programming, has increased substantially since 2002. In the 2002 Extension Order, the Commission observed that because four of the five largest vertically integrated cable operators served 34 percent of all MVPD subscribers, they could reap a substantial portion of the gains from withholding programming from their rivals.290 Now that the market share of the four largest 283 See id. 284 See id. 285 See Appendix C, ¶ 21. 286 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12133, ¶ 20 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1341, Table C- 3). 287 See supra note 131 (discussing percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs). 288 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12133, ¶ 21. 289 See supra note 129 (discussing percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest cable operators). 290 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12147-48, ¶ 53. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 40 vertically integrated cable MSOs has increased to between 54 and 56.75 percent, the largest vertically integrated cable operators stand to gain even more from a withholding strategy.291 Thus, the increase in horizontal consolidation in the cable industry since 2002 increases the incentive to pursue anticompetitive withholding strategies. 55. Clustering. The cable industry has continued to form regional clusters since the 2002 Extension Order, when approximately 80 percent of cable subscribers were served by systems that were part of regional clusters.292 Today, taking into account the sale of Adelphia’s systems to Comcast and Time Warner, some estimate that the percentage of cable subscribers served by systems that are part of regional clusters has increased to between 85 and 90 percent.293 The Commission concluded in the 2002 Extension Order that horizontal consolidation and clustering combined with affiliation with regional programming contributed to the cable industry’s overall market dominance.294 Given the increase in horizontal consolidation and regional clustering since 2002, this statement is no less true today. With a regional programming denial strategy, a cable-affiliated programmer foregoes only those revenues associated with the subscribers of competitive MVPDs within the cluster, not the revenues associated with subscribers of competitive MVPDs nationwide.295 As the Commission concluded previously, in many cities where cable MSOs have clusters, the market penetration of competitive MVPDs is much lower and cable market penetration is much higher than their nationwide penetration rates.296 Moreover, due to the national distribution of DBS services and the insufficient mass of DBS subscribers on a regional basis, DBS operators do not have an economic base for substantial regional programming investments on a market-by-market basis.297 As a result, the cost to a cable-affiliated programmer of withholding regional programming is lower in many cases than the cost of withholding national programming. Moreover, the affiliated cable operator will obtain a substantial share of the benefits of a withholding strategy because its share of subscribers within the cluster is likely to be inordinately high.298 While Comcast claims that increased clustering may result in synergies and cost-saving efficiencies, this 291 See EchoStar Comments at 2-6; USTelecom Comments at 9-10; see also supra note 131 (discussing percentage of MVPD subscribers receiving their video programming from one of the four largest vertically integrated cable MSOs). 292 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12133-34, ¶ 22 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1252, ¶ 14). 293 See Consumer Groups Reply at 4-5. 294 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12125, ¶ 4. 295 See id. at 12148-49, ¶ 54. 296 See id. For example, according to data from Nielsen Media Research, the collective market penetration of competitive MVPDs in many DMAs where cable MSOs have clusters is far less than their collective nationwide market penetration rate (approximately 33 percent): San Diego (13.7 percent), New York (18.2 percent), Philadelphia (19.8 percent), and San Francisco (26.9 percent). See DMA Household Universe Estimates July 2007: Cable And/Or ADS (Alternate Delivery Systems), http://www.tvb.org/nav/build_frameset.asp (follow “Research Central” hyperlink; then follow “Market Track” hyperlink; then follow “Cable and ADS Penetration by DMA” hyperlink) (last visited Aug. 2, 2007). As the Commission acknowledged in the 2002 Extension Order, this market penetration data may not correspond exactly to cable MSO cluster boundaries, and there are likely other factors, such as line-of-sight, in addition to cable competition that affect city market penetration. See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12148-49, ¶ 54 n.177. Nevertheless, we believe that this market penetration data provide support for the position that market penetration of competitive MVPDs is lower in certain cable cluster areas than nationwide. See id. 297 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12151, ¶ 59. 298 See id. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 41 has no relevance to the issue of the impact of increased clustering on the potential for regional programming denial strategies.299 56. As discussed further in Appendix C, although cable’s national share of total MVPD subscribers has declined, the situation is somewhat different at the individual market level. In some markets, the cable share of MVPD subscribers remains high, well above the average level and, indeed, above the 2002 national level of 78 percent that we found problematic in the 2002 Extension Order.300 However, clustering -- an increase over time in the number of cable subscribers and homes passed by a single MSO in particular markets (accomplished via internal growth as well as by acquisitions) -- also enhances the potential profitability of withholding regional programming from rivals. To understand the impact of this development in the cable television sector, we consider the calculations of a vertically integrated satellite cable programmer (“VISCP”) that is contemplating a “cable-only” strategy of withholding its RSN from DBS and other non-cable MVPDs in the market. If the RSN is withheld, the VISCP will lose, initially, all those subscribers who were receiving the RSN via non-cable MVPDs. Some of those subscribers will switch to cable in order to retain access to the RSN. Of course, only those subscribers whose homes are passed by cable have the option to switch. Thus, the share of television households in the market that are passed by cable, either the VISCP’s cable affiliate or other operators, is of importance. With respect to those subscribers that switch to a cable operator other than the VISCP’s cable affiliate, the VISCP will simply regain the revenues (affiliation fee and network advertising revenue per subscriber) lost due to withholding from the non-cable MVPDs. However, with respect to those who switch to the VISCP’s cable affiliate, the VISCP will gain substantially more. Those who switch to the VISCP’s cable affiliate do not simply purchase the RSN. Rather, they must purchase a full video package from the VISCP’s cable affiliate. Thus, the VISCP and its cable affiliate gain the full additional profit from a new subscriber, in addition to regaining the network advertising revenue per subscriber lost temporarily due to the withholding.301 The key point is that the larger the share of television households in the market that is served by the VISCP’s cable affiliate (i.e., the larger the ratio of homes passed by the VISCP’s cable affiliate to total television households), the larger is the total number of switching subscribers that switch to the VISCP’s cable affiliate (as opposed to switching to another cable operator), and the greater is the potential compensating gain to the VISCP and its cable affiliate. 57. Thus, separate from what has been occurring in the national MVPD market, certain developments in the cable market may have made withholding of regional networks potentially more profitable than previously. Two types of empirical analyses can be performed to assess these developments. First, it is possible to track changes in clustering from 2002 to 2007 for certain key MSOs. Second, it is possible, under certain simplifying assumptions, to assess the circumstances under which withholding of regional programming would be profitable in the absence of the exclusivity restriction. 302 299 See Comcast Reply Comments at 13-14. 300 Nielsen Media Research data for May 2007 indicate that there are 40 DMAs with a wired cable percentage of total subscription television households greater than 78 percent. The 40 comprise: 13 in the top 50 markets, another 8 in the top 100 markets, and 19 in markets above 100. Of the 14 markets with shares between 75 and 78 percent, there are 4 in the top 50, another 5 in the top 100, and 5 above 100. See DMA Household Universe Estimates May 2007: Cable And/Or ADS (Alternate Delivery Systems), http://www.tvb.org/nav/build_frameset.asp (follow “Research Central” hyperlink; then follow “Market Track” hyperlink; then follow “Cable and ADS Penetration by DMA” hyperlink; then follow “ADS Archives” hyperlink) (last visited Aug. 2, 2007). 301 There is no gain in affiliation fee, since the VISCP is paying that to its affiliate for its own subscribers. 302 Hughes Order, 19 FCC Rcd at 633-48, Appendix D (explaining methodology). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 42 58. Analysis of Increase in Clustering from 2002 to 2007. Substantial increases in clustering, i.e., the number of DMAs in which homes passed by a single cable operator is a large share of total television households, would mean that withholding is likely more profitable than it was before. This calculus (assuming the market structure and financial parameters stated in Appendix C) applies not only to markets where there is a VISCP, but to any market, since, if the exclusivity limit were relaxed, any cable operator would be permitted to start a new regional network or acquire an existing one and then withhold it from rivals. As discussed in Appendix C, we conclude that there has been a substantial increase in clustering among the two largest vertically integrated cable operators since adoption of the 2002 Extension Order. 59. Analysis of Profitability of Withholding of Regional Programming. The second type of analysis we conducted was to estimate directly the profitability of withholding a regional network based on the structure of the market303and certain financial parameters.304 These calculations were made for all DMAs for which data were available, using Comcast and Time Warner subscriber and profitability estimates from public sources, and using 2006 data on the average affiliate fee and network advertising revenue per subscriber for an RSN. The analysis yields a “critical value,” representing the percentage of current non-cable MVPD subscribers in a DMA that would need to switch to cable in response to withholding of an RSN in order to make this strategy profitable. In order to determine what critical value is realistic, we examined the case of Philadelphia, where Comcast is currently withholding its RSN from DBS operators. As explained in Appendix C, withholding in the Philadelphia DMA of an RSN with average profile would be profitable if 5.45 to 8.4 percent of non-cable MVPD subscribers switched to cable. Conducting the analysis using the actual 2006 profile of the Comcast SportsNet Philadelphia RSN yields critical values in the 6.81 to 10.49 percent range. As explained in detail in Appendix C, the data demonstrates that (i) withholding would be profitable for Comcast in as many as 39 DMAs;305 and (ii) withholding would be profitable for Time Warner in as many as 20 DMAs.306 The calculations further demonstrate that, using Comcast profitability figures and the Comcast SportsNet Philadelphia RSN profile, withholding becomes profitable when a single MSO reaches homes passing roughly 60 percent of television households in a DMA. Using Time Warner profitability and the Comcast SportsNet Philadelphia RSN profile, withholding would become profitable when a single MSO reaches homes passing at least 80 percent of television households in a DMA. Our assessment of the calculated critical values convinces us that, in a significant range of cases, withholding of an RSN would be profitable for the VISCP and that, absent the exclusivity prohibition, valuable programming would be withheld from rival MVPDs. 60. Recent Entrants. Another significant development since 2002 is the emergence of new entrants into the video marketplace, including telephone companies.307 We agree that vertically integrated 303 Factors considered include: the share of television households in the market passed by a VISCP’s cable affiliate; the share of television households in the market passed by other cable operators; and the share of television households in the market that subscribe to a non-cable MVPD. 304 Factors considered include: per subscriber profits (net of amortized subscriber acquisition cost) earned per month by the VISCP’s cable affiliate on a new cable subscriber; affiliate fee revenue per subscriber earned by the VISCP from its regional network; and network advertising revenue per subscriber earned by the VISCP from its regional network. 305 The data indicates that Comcast provides service to at least part of 97 DMAs. 306 The data indicates that Time Warner provides service to at least part of 89 DMAs. 307 At the time of the 2002 Extension Order, competition in the video marketplace from telephone companies had not yet emerged. Indeed, we stated at the time that “the strong overbuild competition from local exchange carriers (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 43 cable programmers may have an even greater economic incentive to withhold programming from these recent entrants in the video marketplace. Because recent entrants have minimal subscriber bases at this time, the costs that a cable-affiliated programmer would incur from withholding programming from recent entrants are negligible.308 To be sure, a vertically integrated programmer that withholds programming from one competitive MVPD in a market would generally need to withhold the programming from all other competitive MVPDs in the market, thereby increasing the foregone revenues resulting from a withholding strategy.309 Even so, the short term costs to the vertically integrated programmer of withholding its programming from all competitive MVPDs (i.e., the reduction in potential advertising or subscription revenues) are likely to be outweighed by the long term benefits to its affiliated cable operator of (i) hindering and potentially eliminating competition from new entrants, including those with substantial resources such as incumbent telephone companies; and (ii) increased revenues resulting from attracting subscribers away from competitive MVPDs. Cable MSOs suggest that if the justification for extending the exclusive contract prohibition is the emergence of new competitors, then the exclusive contract prohibition could be extended in perpetuity whenever new potential competitors emerge.310 We disagree. As discussed above, vertically integrated programmers are likely to have the incentive to withhold programming only when their affiliated cable operators have a sufficient share of the distribution market to minimize the impact of foregone subscription and advertising revenues from denying access to other distributors. At this time, we conclude that vertically integrated programmers are likely to retain this incentive given the 67 percent share of the video distribution market held by cable operators. If competition in the MVPD market continues to develop and cable market share continues to decline, however, the incentive of vertically integrated programmers to engage in withholding will presumably diminish to the extent that we may be able to relax the exclusive contract prohibition. Moreover, the availability of exclusivity petitions pursuant to Section 628(c)(2) and (4) allows for appropriate treatment of unique competitive situations. 61. Cable MSOs argue that new entrants in the video marketplace such as AT&T and Verizon will never exit the video distribution market regardless of whether they are denied access to cable-affiliated programming because of the substantial sunk investments they have already made in video distribution networks.311 In considering whether to allow the exclusive contract prohibition to sunset, our primary focus is on the impact that sunset would have on competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming generally, not on individual competitors and not on programming (Continued from previous page) and others that Congress anticipated as a result of the 1996 amendments to the Communications Act has, as yet, failed to develop.” See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12144-45, ¶ 46. 308 See AT&T Comments at 5; Verizon Comments at 12; AT&T Reply Comments at 8-9; RCN Reply Comments at 10. 309 We note that, if the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) were to sunset, other program access provisions in Section 628 would remain, including the prohibition on discrimination. See 47 U.S.C. § 628(c)(2)(B); 47 C.F.R. § 76.1002(b). Thus, a vertically integrated programmer that withholds programming from a recent entrant with a minimal subscriber base but chooses to offer the programming to all other competitive MVPDs in the market could be found in violation of the program access rules based on an unreasonable refusal to sell. See First Report and Order, 8 FCC Rcd at 3412-13, ¶ 116 (stating that non-price discrimination could include a vendor’s refusing to initiate discussions with a particular distributor when the vendor has sold its programming to that distributor’s competitor). As discussed below, while other program access provisions in Section 628 would remain if Section 628(c)(2)(D) were to sunset, we find that these other provisions are insufficient to preserve and protect competition at this time. See infra n. 320. 310 See NCTA Reply Comments 2, 4; see also Comcast Comments at 5 n.5. 311 See Cablevision Comments at 15-16; Cablevision Reply Comments at 11; Time Warner Reply Comments at 21. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 44 diversity.312 Thus, the more salient point for our analysis is not whether individual competitors will remain in the market if the exclusive contract prohibition were to sunset, but how competition in the video distribution market will be impacted if the exclusive contract prohibition were to sunset. We find that absent the exclusive contract prohibition, the ability of competitive MVPDs, including large and established companies, to compete will be severely hindered, thereby adversely impacting the market for distribution of video services.313 Cablevision argues that a competitive MVPD could engage in competitive countermeasures in reaction to a cable-affiliated programmer’s decision to withhold “must have” programming, such as lowering prices, acquiring other programming on an exclusive basis, or launching new services of its own.314 We find, however, that these countermeasures would not be sufficient to deprive cable-affiliated programmers of the incentive to withhold programming or to mitigate the impact to the competitive MVPD of being unable to offer subscribers essential programming. The record reflects that, despite the availability of these countermeasures, cable-affiliated programmers have withheld programming from competitive MVPDs and in two instances – San Diego and Philadelphia – that such withholding has had a material adverse impact on competition in the video distribution market.315 As the Commission concluded in the 2002 Sunset Order, the prohibition on exclusivity therefore remains necessary to preserve and protect diversity in distribution of video programming. 62. We disagree with cable MSOs that argue that enforcement of antitrust laws will be sufficient to address anticompetitive use of exclusive contracts.316 In passing the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D), Congress concluded the opposite by requiring the Commission to enforce a presumptive ban on exclusive contracts rather than relying on reactive application of antitrust laws to existing exclusive arrangements.317 Moreover, the legislative history of the 1992 Cable Act reflects Congress’s concern regarding the “prohibitive cost of pursuing an antitrust suit.”318 As the Commission emphasized in the 2002 Extension Order, “Congress already determined that antitrust laws were not a viable alternative for achieving the government’s goals in this instance.”319 As discussed above, we do not believe that Congress’s goal of achieving competition and diversity in the video distribution marketplace has been achieved. Accordingly, we believe that continued reliance on the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) rather than reliance solely on antitrust laws better serves the intent of Congress.320 312 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(2)(D); see 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12150, ¶ 58 and 12152, ¶ 62; see infra Section III.A.3.c. 313 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12152-53, ¶ 63. 314 See Cablevision Comments at 8, 17; Cablevision Reply Comments at 11-12. 315 See supra ¶ 39 (discussing impact on competitive MVPD subscribership from withholding of cable-affiliated programming) and ¶ 49 (discussing evidence of withholding of cable-affiliated programming from competitive MVPDs). 316 See Comcast Comments at 23-24; Comcast Reply Comments at 22. 317 See CA2C Reply Comments at 3; EchoStar Reply Comments at 15-16; Qwest Reply Comments at 7 n.22; Verizon Reply Comments at 6. EchoStar notes that antitrust enforcement is slow, time-consuming, and provides no means to check anticompetitive behavior prospectively, other than through a stay. EchoStar Reply Comments at 15. 318 S. Rep. No. 102-92, at 29 (1991), reprinted in 1992 U.S.C.C.A.N. 1133, 1162. 319 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12143, ¶ 45 n.138. 320 As we concluded in the 2002 Extension Order, Sections 628(b), 628(c)(2)(A), and 628(c)(2)(B) of the Communications Act are not adequate substitutes for the particularized protection afforded under Section (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 45 63. We recognize the benefits of exclusive contracts and vertical integration cited by some cable MSOs, such as encouraging innovation and investment in programming and allowing for “product differentiation” among distributors.321 We do not believe, however, that these purported benefits outweigh the harm to competition and diversity in the video distribution marketplace that would result if we were to lift the exclusive contract prohibition. In addition, the Commission’s rules permit cable- affiliated programmers to seek approval to enter into an exclusive contract based on a demonstration that the exclusive arrangement serves the public interest consistent with factors established by Congress.322 Despite the option to seek approval to enter into exclusive contracts, only ten exclusivity petitions have been filed in the fifteen years since enactment of Section 628(c)(2)(D) in the 1992 Cable Act. Of these petitions, two were granted,323 three were denied,324 and five were dismissed at the request of the parties. Of the three exclusivity petitions that have been denied, all of the networks that were the subject of these petitions (Court TV, Speed, and Sci-Fi Channel) have flourished despite the lack of exclusivity.325 (Continued from previous page) 628(c)(2)(D). See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12153-54, ¶ 65 n. 206. We stated that (i) Section 628(c)(2)(D) places the burden on the party seeking exclusivity to show that an exclusive contract meets the statutory public interest standard and that no other program access provision provides this protection; (ii) these other provisions were all enacted as part of the 1992 Cable Act, indicating that, despite the existence of these other program access provisions, Congress found the exclusive contract prohibition to be necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity; (iii) as compared to Section 628(c)(2)(D), Section 628(b) carries with it an added burden “to demonstrate that the purpose or effect of the conduct complained of was to ‘hinder significantly or to prevent’ an MVPD from providing programming to subscribers or customers”; (iv) conduct of undue influence necessary to establish a violation of Section 628(c)(2)(A) “may be difficult for the Commission or complainants to establish”; and (v) the prohibition of “non-price discrimination” in Section 628(c)(2)(B) requires the complainant to demonstrate the conduct was “unreasonable” which may be difficult to establish. See id. (citing First Report and Order, 8 FCC Rcd at 3424, ¶ 145). No commenter provides any basis for us to revisit these conclusions. Moreover, we note that some competitive MVPDs argue that allowing the exclusive contract prohibition to sunset would provide cable-affiliated programmers with an incentive to enter into exclusive contracts with their affiliated cable operators to avoid allegations of unfair acts or practices or discrimination with respect to their dealings with unaffiliated distributors. See EchoStar Comments at 11 n.22; USTelecom Comments at 13. 321 See Cablevision Comments at 29 and Appendix B at 2 (arguing that exclusivity leads to beneficial “product differentiation,” whereby creators and distributors respond to exclusivity strategies of their rivals by producing and distributing distinct content offerings that enable them to maintain a unique presence in the marketplace); Comcast Comments at 13-18. Comcast notes that its competitor, DIRECTV, has used exclusive arrangements with various sports leagues as a competitive tool to attract customers away from cable operators. See Comcast Comments at 18. 322 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(4); see also 47 C.F.R. § 76.1002(c)(4). 323 See New England Cable News Channel, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 9 FCC Rcd 3231 (1994); NewsChannel, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 10 FCC Rcd 691 (CSB, 1994). 324 See Time Warner Cable, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 9 FCC Rcd 3221, 3230, ¶ 55 (1994) (denying exclusivity petition for Courtroom Television (“Court TV”)); Outdoor Life Network and Speedvision Network, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 13 FCC Rcd 12226, 12242, ¶ 28 (CSB, 1998) (denying exclusivity petition for the Outdoor Life Network (“OLN”) and Speedvision Network (“Speedvision”)); Cablevision Industries Corp. and Sci-Fi Channel, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 10 FCC Rcd 9786, 9791, ¶ 32 (CSB, 1995) (denying exclusivity petition for the Sci-Fi Channel). 325 The following data demonstrates that the three programming networks for which exclusivity was denied (Court TV, Speed, and Sci-Fi Channel) have prospered despite the lack of exclusivity. Court TV’s subscribership increased from 16.1 million in 1994 to 87.9 million in 2006, and its prime-time ratings increased from 0.15 in 1994 to 0.81 in 2005. See Kagan Research, LLC, Economics of Basic Cable Networks – 13th Annual Edition at 37-38, 50-52 (2007) (“Kagan Report 13th Edition”); Kagan Research, LLC, Economics of Basic Cable Networks – 9th Annual Edition at 42, 44 (2003) (“Kagan Report 9th Edition”). OLN’s (now known as Versus) subscribership increased from 18 (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 46 c. Impact on Programming 64. We find above that the exclusive contract prohibition continues to be necessary to preserve and protect diversity in the distribution of programming.326 While cable MSOs contend that the exclusive contract prohibition reduces incentives for cable operators and competitive MVPDs to create and invest in new programming, we find no evidence to support this theory.327 To the contrary, the number of vertically integrated satellite-delivered national programming networks has more than doubled since 1994 when the rule implementing the exclusive contract prohibition took effect328 and has continued to increase since 2002 when the Commission last examined the exclusive contract prohibition.329 Moreover, the number of national programming networks has increased by almost 400 percent since (Continued from previous page) million in 1998 to 67.8 million in 2006. See Kagan Report 13th Edition at 37-38, 50-52. Speedvision’s (now known as Speed) subscribership increased from 20 million in 1998 to 65.9 million in 2006. See id. The Sci-Fi Channel’s subscribership increased from 27.4 million in 1995 to 88.1 million in 2006, and its prime-time ratings increased from 0.65 in 1995 to 1.04 in 2005, making it the fifteenth-ranked programming network by prime-time ratings. See Kagan Report 13th Edition at 37-38, 50-52; Kagan Report 9th Edition at 42, 44; see also 12th Annual Report, 12 FCC Rcd at 2655, Table C-6; Qwest Reply Comments at 6-7 (“[N]otwithstanding the Commission’s refusal to give them an exemption from Section 628(c)(2)(D)’s prohibition on exclusivity, [Speed and Versus] have grown to become two of the more popular ‘niche-oriented’ cable channels in circulation.”). 326 As we stated in the 2002 Extension Order, while we recognize that the exclusive contract prohibition’s impact on programming diversity is one component of our analysis, Congress directed that “our primary focus should be on preserving and protecting diversity in the distribution of video programming -- i.e., ensuring that as many MVPDs as possible remain viable distributors of video programming.” See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12152, ¶ 62 (emphasis in original). 327 Cablevision argues that the exclusive contract prohibition (i) deprives cable operators of the incentive to invest in new programming because the prohibition requires them to share the programming with their competitors; and (ii) deprives competitive MVPDs of the incentive to invest in programming because the prohibition provides them with access to programming developed by their competitors. See Cablevision Comments at 10, 27-29 and Appendix B at 26-27. Cablevision and Comcast also argue that some new MVPDs, such as AT&T and Verizon, have sufficient resources to invest their own programming. See Cablevision Comments at 5, 10, 29; Comcast Reply Comments at 6. 328 Compare Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, First Report and Order, 9 FCC Rcd 7442, 7589-92 (1994) (“1st Annual Report”) (56 vertically integrated national programming networks) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157 (116 vertically integrated national programming networks). 329 Compare 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1309- 10, ¶ 157 (104 vertically integrated national programming networks)) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157 (116 vertically integrated national programming networks); see EchoStar Comments at 4 (“The number of new vertically integrated programming networks since 2002 described herein undercuts any suggestion that this prohibition prevents or limits the ability or desire of cable conglomerates to create new programming assets.”); USTelecom Comments at 19; Verizon Reply Comments at 4 (“[N]o reasonable basis exists for the Commission to conclude that the exclusive contract prohibition has had or will have any adverse impact on the development of programming, particularly when experience proves otherwise.”); see also Letter from Stephanie L. Podey, Counsel for Comcast Corporation, to Ms. Marlene H. Dortch, FCC, MB Docket Nos. 07-29, 06-189 (June 13, 2007), Attachment at 3 (stating that “Comcast continues to invest in new programming networks” and noting Comcast’s partnering in 2006 with CSTV to launch The mtn., a national network dedicated to sports programming, as well as Comcast’s investment in additional regional sports networks); EchoStar Comments at 7-8 (noting new vertically integrated cable networks launched since 2002). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 47 1994330 and by 80 percent since 2002.331 There is also evidence that some competitive MVPDs have begun to invest in their own programming despite their ability to access cable-affiliated programming based on the exclusive contract prohibition and the program access rules.332 Accordingly, we find no basis to conclude that extending the exclusive contract prohibition will create a disincentive for the creation of new programming.333 65. We are mindful that our decision to extend the exclusive contract prohibition must withstand an intermediate scrutiny test pursuant to First Amendment jurisprudence.334 As the D.C. Circuit explained in rejecting a facial challenge to the constitutionality of the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D), the prohibition will survive intermediate scrutiny if it “furthers an important or substantial governmental interest; if the governmental interest is unrelated to the suppression of free expression; and if the incidental restriction on alleged First Amendment freedoms is no greater than is essential to the furtherance of that interest.”335 For the reasons discussed herein, our decision to extend the exclusive contract prohibition satisfies this intermediate scrutiny test. First, in Time Warner, the court found that the governmental interest Congress intended to achieve in enacting the exclusive contract prohibition was “the promotion of fair competition in the video marketplace,” and that this interest was substantial.336 Moreover, the court noted Congress’ conclusion that “the benefits of these provisions -- the increased speech that would result from fairer competition in the video programming marketplace -- outweighed the disadvantages [resulting in] the possibility of reduced economic incentives to develop new programming.”337 We disagree with cable MSOs to the extent they argue that the substantial government interest in achieving competition in the video distribution market has been met.338 As discussed above, cable operators still have a dominant share of MVPD subscribers (approximately 67 330 Compare 1st Annual Report, 9 FCC Rcd at 7589-92 (107 satellite-delivered national programming networks) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157 (531 satellite-delivered national programming networks). 331 Compare 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12131-32, ¶ 18 (citing 8th Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 1309- 10, ¶ 157 (237 satellite-delivered national programming networks)) with 12th Annual Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 2575, ¶ 157 (531 satellite-delivered national programming networks). 332 For example, Verizon has invested in new programming for its FiOS TV service. In March 2007, Verizon announced that it was launching FiOS1, a local television channel for FiOS TV subscribers in the Washington, DC metropolitan area that offers local weather, traffic, news, sports, and community features. See FiOS1, Verizon’s First Local TV Channel, Debuts in Washington, D.C., Metro Area, FiOS TV Subscribers to Get Local Information, Sports and Features All Day on FiOS1, http://newscenter.verizon.com/press-releases/verizon/2007/fios1-verizons- first-local.html (last visited July 27, 2007). Verizon also announced that it expects to launch similar channels in other markets this year. See id. 333 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12153, ¶ 64. 334 See Cablevision Comments at 10; Comcast Reply Comments at 3; NCTA Reply Comments at 8-10; Time Warner Reply Comments at 20-21. 335 Time Warner Entertainment Co. L.P. v. FCC, 93 F.3d 957, 978 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (quoting Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. v. FCC, 512 U.S. 622, 662 (1994) (quoting United States v. O'Brien, 391 U.S. 367, 377 (1968)). 336 Id. Moreover, one of Congress’ express findings in enacting the 1992 Cable Act was that “[t]here is a substantial governmental and First Amendment interest in promoting a diversity of views provided through multiple technology media.” Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992, Pub. L. No. 102-385, 106 Stat. 1460 (1992), § 2(a)(6). 337 Time Warner Entertainment Co. L.P., 93 F.3d at 979 (citing S. Rep. No. 92, 102d Cong., 2d Sess. 4 (1991), at 26- 28, reprinted in 1992 U.S.C.C.A.N. 1133, 1159-61). 338 See NCTA Reply Comments at 9-10. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 48 percent), have raised prices in excess of inflation despite the emergence of new competitors,339 and still own significant programming networks.340 Accordingly, we conclude that competition and diversity in the video distribution market has not reached the level at which Congress intended the exclusive contract prohibition would sunset.341 Second, in Time Warner, the court held that the governmental objective in adopting the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) was unrelated to the suppression of free speech.342 In this Order, we extend the exclusive contract prohibition for an additional five years but do not otherwise modify the prohibition. Thus, the prohibition remains unrelated to the suppression of free speech, as the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals previously held.343 Third, in Time Warner, the court rejected claims that the exclusive contract prohibition was not narrowly tailored to achieve the stated government interest.344 In this Order, we extend the exclusive contract prohibition for a term of five years but do not otherwise modify the prohibition. Thus, the prohibition remains narrowly tailored to meet the statute’s objective, and any incidental restriction on alleged First Amendment freedoms is no greater than is essential to the furtherance of that objective.345 66. We note that cable MSOs argue that the exclusive contract prohibition is not narrowly tailored because it is allegedly both overinclusive (in that it applies to “new,” “unpopular,” and other types of programming that are arguably not essential to the viability of competition in the video distribution market) and underinclusive (in that it does not apply to certain non-cable-affiliated programming that may be necessary for viable competition in the MVPD market).346 We reject proposals to modify the scope of the exclusive contract prohibition for the reasons discussed in Section III.A.4. Moreover, we note that the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) is not absolute. Rather, cable-affiliated programmers may seek approval to enter into exclusive programming contracts that satisfy the criteria set forth by Congress in Section 628(c)(2) and (4).347 Thus, requests to enter into exclusive contracts for “new,” “unpopular,” and other types of programming cited by cable MSOs as non- essential to the viability of competition can be addressed through individual exclusivity petitions.348 Finally, as discussed above, we have found no evidence that the exclusive contract prohibition is creating 339 See 2006 Cable Price Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 15087-88, ¶ 2 (“Overall, cable prices increased more than 5 percent last year and by 93 percent since the period immediately prior to Congress’s enactment of the Telecommunications Act of 1996. Expanded basic prices rose more than 6 percent or twice the rate of inflation last year.”). 340 See supra Section III.A.2. 341 See AT&T Reply Comments at 13 n.48 (stating that the exclusive contract prohibition continues to materially advance an important or substantial government interest). 342 See Time Warner Entertainment Co. L.P., 93 F.3d at 978 (“[T]he vertically integrated programming provisions apply to only a limited number of companies for a perfectly legitimate reason: the antitrust concerns underlying the statute arise precisely because the number of vertically integrated companies is small. The vertically integrated programmer provisions are thus not ‘structured in a manner that raise[s] suspicions that their objective was, in fact, the suppression of certain ideas.’” (quoting Turner, 512 U.S. at 660, 114 S.Ct. at 2468)). 343 See id. at 978. 344 See id. at 978-79. 345 See id. 346 See Comcast Reply Comments at 3; NCTA Reply Comments at 9. 347 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(2) and (4). 348 As noted above, only ten exclusivity petitions have been filed to date. See supra ¶ 63. Of these petitions, two were granted, three were denied, and five were dismissed at the request of the parties. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 49 a disincentive for the creation of new programming.349 Despite claims that the exclusive contract prohibition deprives cable operators and others of the incentive to invest in new programming, thereby restricting the creation of new programming, the record reflects the opposite.350 Thus, contrary to these contentions, the prohibition has fostered, not restricted, speech. 4. Scope of Exclusive Contract Prohibition 67. Various commenters argue that the exclusive contract prohibition is both overinclusive and underinclusive with respect to the type of programming and MVPDs it covers. Some commenters ask the Commission to either narrow or expand the scope of the prohibition accordingly. Some cable MSOs argue that this alleged overinclusiveness and underinclusiveness render the exclusive contract prohibition arbitrary and capricious under the Administrative Procedures Act.351 As discussed below, we decline to either narrow or expand the exclusive contract prohibition. a. Narrowing the Prohibition (i) Narrowing Based on Status of Programming Network 68. For the reasons discussed below, we decline to narrow the scope of the exclusive contract prohibition based on the status of the programming network. The exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) and the implementing rules pertain to all satellite-delivered programming networks that are vertically integrated with a cable operator, regardless of their popularity. Some cable MSOs argue that the prohibition is thus overinclusive because it includes new and unpopular programming networks that are not essential to the ability of an MVPD to compete. These cable MSOs ask the Commission to narrow the scope of the exclusion contract prohibition based on the status of the programming network by (i) allowing exclusive arrangements for new and unpopular programming;352 (ii) allowing exclusive arrangements for regional non-sports programming;353 and (iii) allowing exclusive arrangements for RSNs in DMAs served by more than one unaffiliated RSN.354 69. As an initial matter, we note that in adopting the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D), Congress applied the prohibition to all cable-affiliated programming. Congress did not distinguish between different types of cable-affiliated programming. Instead, Congress in Section 628(c)(4) established criteria whereby cable-affiliated programmers could petition the Commission for authority to enter into exclusive arrangements despite the general rule prohibiting all such exclusive 349 See supra ¶ 63. 350 See id. 351 See, e.g., Cablevision Comments at 30-32; Comcast Comments at 24-26; Comcast Reply Comments at 25-28. These cable MSOs also raise First Amendment concerns, which we address above in Section III.A.3.c. 352 See Cablevision Comments at 31 (arguing that the following types of programming cannot be considered necessary to protect competition: (i) national networks with low average prime-time ratings; (ii) new programming services since they cannot be considered essential to the “continued” viability of competing MVPDs; and (iii) cable networks that are not deemed important by market participants to warrant carriage to a significant number of households). 353 See id. (stating that the Commission concluded in the Adelphia proceeding that access to regional non-sports programming is not essential to competition, citing Adelphia Order (21 FCC Rcd at 8279, ¶ 169)). 354 See id. (arguing that where RSNs are competing for sporting events, there is little risk that an exclusive arrangement for one network will foreclose competition). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 50 arrangements.355 Requests to remove certain cable-affiliated programming networks from the prohibition can be addressed through these individual exclusivity petitions.356 Accordingly, as the Commission concluded in the 2002 Extension Order, we believe that treating all satellite cable programming and satellite broadcast programming uniformly for purposes of the exclusive contract prohibition is consistent with Section 628(c)(2)(D) and the definitions set forth in Sections 628(i)(1) and (3).357 Moreover, no commenter has provided a rational and workable definition of “must have” programming that would allow us to apply the exclusive contract prohibition to only this type of programming. In the 2002 Extension Order, the Commission recognized “the difficulty of developing an objective process of general applicability to determine what programming may or may not be essential to preserve and protect competition” and further noted that any attempt to distinguish between different types of cable-affiliated programming is likely to raise Constitutional concerns.358 Cable MSOs asking us to narrow the scope of the prohibition suggest no workable mechanisms for alleviating these concerns. (ii) Narrowing Based on Status of Cable Operator 70. For the reasons discussed below, we decline to narrow the scope of the exclusive contract prohibition based on the status of the cable operator. Cable MSOs argue that we should narrow the exclusive contract prohibition by allowing certain types of exclusive arrangements based on the status of the cable operator, such as (i) those involving an affiliated cable operator whose network passes only a small number of households throughout the nation;359 (ii) those between a cable operator and an affiliated programming network outside the footprint of the affiliated cable operator;360 and (iii) those involving affiliated cable operators that face competition from both DBS and telephone companies.361 71. In adopting the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D), Congress applied the prohibition to all cable operators. Congress did not distinguish between different types of cable operators for purposes of Section 628(c)(2)(D). Moreover, in adopting the exclusive contract prohibition, Congress has already delineated a geographic demarcation applicable to the prohibition – “areas served 355 See 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(4); 47 C.F.R. § 76.1002(c)(4). 356 We remind those cable MSOs urging exemption of certain types of programming from the exclusive contract prohibition that the Commission will entertain individual exclusivity petitions as Congress mandated. See 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(4); 47 C.F.R. § 76.1002(c)(4). In the 2002 Extension Order, we provided an example of one type of vertically integrated programming that may qualify for exclusivity. See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12135-36, ¶ 25 (“if a vertically integrated programmer contemplates the introduction of innovative services with limited or niche audiences and believes that these services will not be economically viable without a period during which they are offered on an exclusive basis, we encourage such programmer to petition the Commission to approve a period of exclusivity”). 357 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12156, ¶ 69. 358 Id. 359 See Cablevision Comments at 30-31. 360 See Cablevision Comments at 30-31; Time Warner Reply Comments at 20. 361 See Cablevision Comments at 31-32. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 51 by a cable operator.”362 Congress did not provide that the exclusive contract prohibition should vary based on the competitive circumstances in individual geographic areas served by a cable operator.363 72. We also find that these attempts to narrow the exclusive contract prohibition would harm competition in the video distribution marketplace. One of the key anticompetitive practices that the exclusive contract prohibition addresses is the practice of leveraging cable’s market power collectively by withholding affiliated programming from rival MVPDs while selling the affiliated programming to other cable operators which do not compete with one another. A cable operator may gain by weakening a current or potential rival (such as a DBS operator) even in markets that the cable operator itself does not serve.364 Thus, proposals to narrow the exclusive contract prohibition by allowing exclusive arrangements outside of the footprint of the affiliated cable operator or with cable operators whose networks pass only a small number of households throughout the nation will impede competition in the video distribution marketplace. We similarly find that allowing exclusive arrangements for affiliated cable operators that face competition from both DBS and telephone companies would harm competition in the video distribution marketplace. We conclude herein that a cable operator will not lose the incentive and ability to enter into an exclusive arrangement in a given geographic area simply because it faces competition from both DBS operators and telephone companies in that area. As discussed above, the key consideration is the market share of the cable operator relative to other competitors. Indeed, in areas where a telephone company has recently entered the video distribution market, its market share will be minimal, providing cable operators with the ability and incentive to enter into exclusive arrangements that adversely impact competition.365 (iii) Narrowing Based on Status of Competitive MVPD 73. For the reasons discussed below, we decline to narrow the exclusive contract prohibition by precluding certain competitive MVPDs from benefiting from the prohibition. Comcast and Cablevision ask us to narrow the exclusive contract prohibition by precluding certain competitive MVPDs from benefiting from the prohibition, such as competitive MVPDs that (i) have been in the MVPD market 362 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(2)(D); see also 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12156-57, ¶ 70. 363 We again note that through individual exclusivity petitions, the Commission may determine (in accordance with statutory criteria) whether a particular exclusive contract, otherwise prohibited under Section 628(c)(2)(D), is in the public interest. See 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(4); 47 C.F.R. § 76.1002(c)(4). 364 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12140-41, ¶¶ 36-39; see also DIRECTV Comments at 8-9; CA2C Reply Comments at 7. 365 See supra ¶ 60 (discussing incentives of vertically integrated cable programmers to withhold programming from recent entrants in the video marketplace). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 52 for more than five years;366 (ii) have extensive resources;367 or (iii) enter into exclusive contracts for programming.368 74. Section 628 makes no distinction among MVPDs of the kind suggested by these commenters. Moreover, we find that adopting such restrictions on the entities that can benefit from the prohibition will limit competition in the video distribution market369 and will result in no discernible public interest benefits.370 The resources of competitors or the number of years they have spent in the market has no bearing on the goal of Section 628(c)(2)(D) to preclude exclusive contracts in order to facilitate competition in the video distribution market. Rather, if cable operators have exclusive access to non-substitutable content that is essential for viable competition and they have the incentive to withhold such content, the amount of resources of competitive MVPDs or their longevity in the market will not be able to overcome that competitive advantage.371 Comcast asks us to prevent competitive MVPDs that themselves enter into exclusive programming contracts from being the beneficiaries of the exclusive contract prohibition applied to cable-affiliated programmers.372 Section 628, however, does not exempt cable operators from its restrictions based on the contracting practices of non-cable MVPDs. b. Expanding the Prohibition (i) Expanding the Prohibition to Non-Cable-Affiliated Programming 75. For the reasons discussed below, we decline to apply an exclusive contract prohibition to non-cable-affiliated programming. The exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) and the implementing rules pertain only to programming networks that are vertically integrated with a “cable 366 See Comcast Comments at 26 (stating that, after five years in the video distribution business, “a competitor should be able to sink or swim on its own”); see also Cablevision Comments at 5 (“Cablevision faces competition from two DBS providers, each of which has a subscriber base at least four times larger than its own . . . . Each of those entities has the ability to invest in its own programming, just as Cablevision did.”). 367 See Comcast Comments at 26 (arguing that the benefits of the exclusive contract prohibition should not be available to a company with over 10 million customers or to a company that is part of an enterprise with a market capitalization of over $100 billion); see also Cablevision Comments at 5 (“Cablevision faces competition from . . . Verizon and AT&T, whose market capitalizations are 10 and 25 times larger, respectively, than Cablevision’s. Each of those entities has the ability to invest in its own programming, just as Cablevision did.”). 368 See Comcast Comments at 26. 369 See AT&T Reply Comments at 12-13 (stating that proposals by Cablevision and Comcast to narrow the exclusive contract prohibition “would gut the rule precisely where it might be of use to competitors with a viable opportunity to offer consumers a real alternative to cable: those with experience, those with capital, and those with a foothold in the market”); CA2C Reply Comments at 9 (stating that these proposals would “ensure that the rules have no application to any significant competitor” that Cablevision and Comcast face, thereby “making sure the rules are meaningless”); Verizon Reply Comments at 12-13. 370 See supra Section III.A.3.c (concluding that there is no evidence that the exclusive contract prohibition has had an adverse impact on the incentives for creation of new programming). 371 See Verizon Reply Comments at 11-12 (“That a new video entrant may have a large market capitalization or a sizeable number of telephone customers does not ensure competitive success in the video market when the entrant cannot offer the programming subscribers want to see.”). 372 See Comcast Comments at 26. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 53 operator,” as that term is defined in the Communications Act.373 Competitive MVPDs, as well as some cable MSOs,374 argue that the prohibition is thus underinclusive because it does not pertain to certain non- cable-affiliated programming that is necessary for MVPDs to compete. They ask the Commission to prohibit exclusive contracts for (i) all “must have” programming networks, regardless of whether the network is affiliated with a cable operator;375 and (ii) all programming networks vertically integrated with any MVPD, including DBS operators and new MVPDs such as AT&T and Verizon.376 76. As an initial matter, to the extent that an MVPD meets the definition of a “cable operator” under the Communications Act, the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) already applies to its affiliated programming and, thus, no further action is required on our part.377 We have previously explained that the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) does not extend to unaffiliated programming networks and programming networks affiliated with non-cable MVPDs, such as DBS operators.378 77. Moreover, the record before us in this proceeding does not provide sufficient evidence upon which to conclude that non-cable-affiliated programming is being withheld from MVPDs to a significant extent or that such withholding is adversely impacting competition in the video distribution market. Accordingly, we seek comment on this issue in the NPRM. We agree with DIRECTV that the economic premise underlying the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) is that the cable industry’s dominance of the video distribution market enables cable operators to successfully withhold affiliated programming from rival MVPDs in order to limit competition in the distribution market.379 The record before us in this proceeding does not provide us with adequate evidence to conclude that those exclusive programming arrangements entered into by non-cable MVPDs have harmed competition in the video distribution market.380 Because we have not been presented with sufficient evidence in this 373 See 47 U.S.C. § 522(5) (defining a “cable operator”); id. § 522(7) (defining a “cable system”); Definition of a Cable System, 5 FCC Rcd 7638, 7638-39, ¶¶ 6-11 (1990). 374 See, e.g., Comcast Comments at 24 (“[T]o the extent that MVPDs cannot survive without access to certain programming, it is irrelevant whether that programming is ‘affiliated;’ what matters is whether that programming is ‘must have’ in order to compete.”); see also Cablevision Comments at 27. 375 See NCTA Comments at 4-5; RCN Comments at 12-18; SureWest Comments at 9; ACA Reply Comments at 7- 8; RCN Reply Comments at 12-13; SureWest Reply Comments at 8-9. 376 See ACA Comments at 2, 8-9, 11-13; ACA Reply Comments at 6-7; SureWest Reply Comments at 8. 377 Moreover, as AT&T notes, Section 628(j) of the Communications Act provides that any provision of Section 628 that applies to a cable operator also applies to any common carrier or its affiliate that provides video programming. See 47 U.S.C. § 548(j); see also AT&T Reply Comments at 6 n.19. 378 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12158, ¶ 74 (“The program access rules, including the exclusivity prohibition, apply only to satellite-delivered program services in which a cable operator has an attributable interest.”). 379 See DIRECTV Reply Comments at 3 (“Section 628’s prohibition on exclusivity is specific for a reason. . . . Congress never considered exclusivity per se to be anticompetitive. Congress found, however, that, because cable operators possess market power, programmers affiliated with those cable operators could harm emerging competition by withholding affiliated programming from cable’s rivals.”) (footnotes omitted); see also Broadcast Networks Reply Comments at 3-4 (“[T]he program access rules are based on the narrow antitrust concern that a vertically-integrated programmer might withhold programming in order to prevent or hinder competition to that programmer’s MVPD operations. It is axiomatic that this concern has always been and remains entirely non- existent for non-vertically integrated programming.”) (footnotes omitted). 380 The one example of an exclusive programming arrangement entered into by a competitive MVPD is DIRECTV’s exclusive deals for certain national sports programming with the National Football League, college basketball, (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 54 proceeding to consider a rule that prohibits exclusive contracts for non-cable-affiliated programming, we need not address here our statutory authority to apply an exclusive contract prohibition to such programming.381 (ii) Expanding the Prohibition to Terrestrially Delivered Programming 78. We decline to apply an exclusive contract prohibition to terrestrially delivered programming at this time. Some competitive MVPDs argue that the Commission should apply the exclusive contract prohibition to terrestrially delivered programming networks, citing various provisions of the Communications Act in addition to Section 628(c) for statutory support.382 The exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) pertains only to vertically integrated “satellite cable programming” and vertically integrated “satellite broadcast programming.”383 The Communications Act defines both terms to include only programming transmitted or retransmitted by satellite for reception by cable (Continued from previous page) Major League Baseball, and NASCAR. See ACA Comments at 9 n.17; RCN Comments at 17-18. Unlike in the case of cable operators (see supra ¶ 52), there is no evidence in the record to conclude that a competitive MVPD can make exclusivity a profitable strategy over the long term. Moreover, commenters have not provided any evidence of competitive harm resulting from their inability to offer this programming. Unlike in the case of cable-affiliated regional sports programming, we have no evidence that the inability to access this sports programming has impacted MVPD subscribership. See supra ¶ 39 (discussing impact on MVPD subscribership of inability to access cable- affiliated RSNs). 381 Commenters cite provisions of the Communications Act other than Section 628(c)(2)(D) as providing the Commission with statutory support to apply an exclusive contract prohibition to non-cable-affiliated programming. See RCN Comments at 16-17 (citing Sections 4(i) and 628(b) of the Communications Act); SureWest Comments at 9 n.17 (referring to unspecified provisions of the Communications Act). We found no basis to consider DBS operators as “cable operators” as defined in Section 602 for purposes of the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D), as requested by RCN. See RCN Comments at 17 n.48. As we have concluded previously, the definition of a “cable system” and a “cable operator” in the Communications Act does not include DBS. See 47 U.S.C. § 522(5) (defining a “cable operator”); id. § 522(7) (defining a “cable system”); Definition of a Cable System, 5 FCC Rcd at 7638-39, ¶¶ 6-11; see also DIRECTV Reply Comments at 5-6. 382 See SureWest Comments at 7-8 (citing Section 4(i) of the Communications Act); Verizon Comments at 14 (same); id. at 14 (citing Section 303(r) of the Communications Act); SureWest Comments at 8 (citing Section 601(6) of the Communications Act); RICA Comments at 5 (citing Section 612(g) of the Communications Act); id. at 5 (citing Section 616(a) of the Communications Act); SureWest Comments at 7 (citing Section 628(b) of the Communications Act); see also AT&T Comments at 9 n.24; BSPA Comments at 16-18; EchoStar Comments at 4. The Commission previously declined to address arguments regarding the Commission’s statutory authority to address terrestrially delivered programming under Sections 4(i) and 303(r) of the Communications Act. See 1998 Program Access Order, 13 FCC Rcd at 15856, ¶ 71 n.222. The Commission has also stated that “given that 628 does not by its terms apply to terrestrially-delivered programming, it is not appropriate for the Commission to exercise ancillary jurisdiction to extend, in the context of a complaint proceeding, program access regulation to terrestrially-delivered programming.” RCN Telecom Services v. Cablevision Systems Corp., 16 FCC Rcd 12048, 12055, ¶ 18 (2001). The Commission has stated “there may be circumstances where moving programming from satellite to terrestrial delivery could be cognizable under Section 628(b) as an unfair method of competition or deceptive practice if it precluded competitive MVPDs from providing satellite cable programming.” Id. at 12053, ¶ 15; DIRECTV, 15 FCC Rcd at 22807; Implementation of Section 302 of the Telecommunications Act of 1996, Open Video Systems, 11 FCC Rcd 18223, 18325, ¶ 197 n.451 (1996) (“we do not foreclose a challenge under Section 628(b) to conduct that involves moving satellite delivered programming to terrestrial distribution in order to evade application of the program access rules and having to deal with competing MVPDs”). 383 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(2)(D). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 55 operators.384 Based on these definitions as well as the legislative history of the 1992 Cable Act, the Commission has previously concluded that terrestrially delivered programming (such as programming delivered by programmers to cable operators by fiber) is “outside of the direct coverage” of the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D).385 As we have concluded previously, we decline to apply the exclusive contract prohibition to terrestrially delivered programming pursuant to Section 628(c)(2)(D).386 Commenters have failed to provide any new evidence or arguments that would lead us to reconsider our previous conclusion that terrestrially delivered programming is “outside of the direct coverage” of Section 628(c)(2)(D).387 We continue to believe that the plain language of the definitions of “satellite cable programming” and “satellite broadcast programming” as well as the legislative history of the 1992 Cable Act place terrestrially delivered programming beyond the scope of Section 628(c)(2)(D).388 In the NPRM, we seek further comment on whether other provisions of the Communications Act provide the Commission with statutory authority to extend our program access rules, including an exclusive contract prohibition, to terrestrially delivered programming, and whether we should extend the prohibition to cover such programming.389 5. Length of New Term 79. We conclude that the exclusive contract prohibition will be extended for five years subject to review during the last year of this extension period (i.e., between October 2011 and October 2012). As we concluded in the 2002 Extension Order, we do not believe that establishing a fixed date for sunset of the exclusive contract prohibition without further review will serve the public interest. Section 628(c)(5) does not expressly state a term for how long the prohibition should continue if we decide that it should be extended, thereby providing the Commission with the discretion to prescribe this period.390 In the 2002 Extension Order, the Commission stated that establishing a fixed date for sunset of the prohibition without conducting a further proceeding to determine whether the prohibition is still “necessary to preserve and protect competition and diversity in the distribution of video programming” is not consistent with Congressional intent.391 We cannot predict now how future changes in the video distribution market will impact the continued need for the exclusive contract prohibition. Rather, we 384 The term “satellite cable programming” means “video programming which is transmitted via satellite and which is primarily intended for direct receipt by cable operators for their retransmission to cable subscribers,” except that such term does not include satellite broadcast programming. 47 U.S.C. § 548(i)(1); 47 U.S.C. § 605(d)(1); see also 47 C.F.R. § 76.1000(h). The term “satellite broadcast programming” means “broadcast video programming when such programming is retransmitted by satellite and the entity retransmitting such programming is not the broadcaster or an entity performing such retransmission on behalf of and with the specific consent of the broadcaster.” 47 U.S.C. § 548(i)(3); see also C.F.R. § 76.1000(f). 385 See DIRECTV, Inc. v. Comcast Corp. et al.,15 FCC Rcd 22802, 22807, ¶ 12 (2000); see also 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12158, ¶ 73. 386 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12158, ¶ 73; DIRECTV, Inc., 15 FCC Rcd at 22807, ¶ 12; 1998 Program Access Order, 13 FCC Rcd at 15856, ¶ 71; see also AT&T Comments at 9 n.24; SureWest Comments at 7- 8; SureWest Reply Comments at 6-8. 387 DIRECTV, Inc., 15 FCC Rcd at 22807, ¶ 12; see Comcast Reply Comments at 29-30. 388 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12158, ¶ 73. 389 See infra Section IV.B. 390 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12159-60, ¶ 77. 391 See id. at 12160, ¶ 78; see also AT&T Reply Comments at 13 n.50; EchoStar Reply Comments at 13 n.22. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 56 believe that providing for a limited extension subject to further review is a more prudent approach and comports better with Congressional intent than a predetermined sunset date. 80. In the Notice, we sought comment on whether the exclusive contract prohibition should automatically sunset upon a specific event or events in the marketplace.392 Commenters argue that the exclusive contract prohibition should not sunset upon the materialization of specific marketplace events.393 OPASTCO/ITTA argues that technological developments and marketplace evolutions are occurring too frequently for the Commission to predict when the rule should sunset without a thorough review.394 We agree that the evolving nature of the video distribution and programming markets makes it difficult if not impossible to determine in this proceeding what specific marketplace events would demonstrate that competition in the MVPD market is sufficient such that the exclusive contract prohibition can sunset. We note that commenters have not provided adequate suggestions as to such marketplace events. As discussed above, we believe that a more appropriate approach that is supported by Congressional intent is to continue to assess the developments in the video distribution and programming markets to determine if the market has evolved in a way that would allow us to abolish the exclusive contract prohibition. 81. As the Commission concluded in the 2002 Extension Order, we will review whether the exclusive contract prohibition remains necessary during the last year of the five-year extension. We believe that five years could be a sufficient amount of time for competition to develop in the video distribution and programming markets.395 Given the marketplace developments over the last five years, such as the emergence of telephone companies into the video distribution market as well as other pro- competitive trends, including an increase in the number of programming networks, a decrease in the percentage of popular national and regional networks that are vertically integrated with cable operators, and an increase in the market penetration of MVPDs that compete with incumbent cable operators, we conclude that this review of the continuing necessity of the exclusivity prohibition has been a useful exercise of Commission resources. Accordingly, we believe that five years is an appropriate period of time to revisit the exclusivity prohibition. We also emphasize that, if adequate competition emerges before five years, the Commission could initiate its review earlier either on its own motion or in response to a petition.396 Moreover, we will continue to evaluate petitions for exclusivity under the public interest factors established by Congress.397 6. Other Programming Issues 82. Small and rural telephone MVPDs raise additional concerns in their comments regarding the difficulties they face in trying to obtain access to programming, such as tying of desired with undesired programming and unwarranted security requirements.398 We find that these concerns are 392 See Notice, 22 FCC Rcd at 4258, ¶ 11. 393 See EATEL Video Comments at 5; OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 3-5; SureWest Comments at 2-4. 394 See OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 5. 395 A five-year extension was supported by a wide-range of competitive MVPDs and consumer groups. See AT&T Comments at 5; BSPA Comments at 4; CA2C Comments at ii-iii, 2; DIRECTV Comments at 12; EATEL Video Comments at 5; EchoStar Comments at 10; NTCA Comments at 3; OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 3-5; RICA Comments at 3; SureWest Comments at 2-4; Consumer Groups Reply Comments at 7. 396 See 2002 Extension Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 12126, ¶ 5. 397 See 47 U.S.C. § 548(c)(4); 47 C.F.R. § 76.1002(c)(4). 398 See NTCA Comments at 6-8; OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 5-8. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 57 beyond the scope of the programming issues raised in the Notice, which pertained only to the prohibition on exclusive contracts for satellite-delivered vertically integrated programming under Section 628(c)(2)(D) and the extension of that prohibition pursuant to Section 628(c)(5).399 We did not seek comment on these issues in the Notice and, accordingly, do not have a sufficient record upon which to address these concerns in this Order. We seek further comment on these issues in the NPRM. B. Modification of Program Access Complaint Procedures 83. As discussed below, we revise our program access complaint procedures. Specifically, we codify the existing requirement that respondents to program access complaints must attach to their answers copies of any documents that they rely on in their defense; find that in the context of a complaint proceeding, it would be unreasonable for a respondent not to produce all the documents requested by the complainant or ordered by the Commission, provided that such documents are in its control and relevant to the dispute; codify the Commission’s authority to issue default orders granting a complaint if a respondent fails to comply with discovery requests; and allow parties to choose, within 20 days of the close of the pleading cycle, to engage in voluntary commercial arbitration of their program access complaints. 84. In the Notice, the Commission sought comment on whether and how the procedures for resolving program access disputes under Section 628 should be modified.400 In general, Comcast, NCTA, and Time Warner, as well as the Broadcast Networks, argue that changes to the Commission’s program access complaint procedures are not necessary.401 Comcast asserts that the Commission has carefully designed the program access procedural rules to provide effective relief by placing the least evidentiary burdens on those seeking relief and ensuring a speedy resolution of complaints; and that proposed changes to the process will make the program access complaint process more complicated, more costly, and more time-consuming.402 NCTA asserts that most program access complaints have been disposed of relatively quickly or resulted in settlements.403 Time Warner asserts that the appropriate way to resolve carriage disputes is for the parties to hash out their differences at the bargaining table, and the Commission should retain its existing policies and procedures, which encourage such negotiations.404 Time Warner argues that expanding the program access rules would be inconsistent with the norm of relying on the marketplace to govern contracts between private parties.405 Time Warner asserts that because the rules apply to only a very small number of program networks, these networks are forced to face a burdensome regulatory regime not encountered by the vast majority of their program network competitors.406 The Broadcast Networks also opposes changes to the process.407 399 See Notice, 22 FCC Rcd at 4258, ¶ 12 (“we seek comment on any other issues appropriate to our inquiry in accordance with Section 628(c)(5)”). 400 See Notice, 22 FCC Rcd at 4259-4260, ¶¶ 13-16. 401 See Comcast Comments at 26-28; Broadcast Networks Reply Comments at 3; NCTA Reply Comments at 10; Time Warner Reply Comments at 5. 402 See Comcast Comments at 26-28. 403 See NCTA Comments at 9. 404 See Time Warner Reply Comments at 2. 405 See id. at 5. 406 Id. 407 See Broadcast Networks Reply Comments at 3. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 58 85. Parties recommending changes to the rules urge the Commission to focus on three areas of reform: acceleration of the deliberative process; providing a workable discovery mechanism; and protecting consumers during the pendency of complaint proceedings.408 OPASTCO/ITAA argues that the current process is so costly and time-consuming that it is impracticable for rural carriers to pursue a program access complaint.409 NTCA states that small rural carriers are at a disadvantage under the current procedures.410 EchoStar relies on its own experience to conclude that the current process does not provide an effective regulatory backstop to protect against protracted negotiations that can result in loss of subscribers and significant financial uncertainty for competitive MVPDs.411 In addition, EchoStar argues that the current procedures fail to provide a reliable means to ensure that all relevant documentation is available to Commission staff and the parties.412 AT&T urges reforms to make Section 628 a more effective deterrent to anticompetitive conduct by cable incumbents.413 Specifically, parties wishing to change the current process raise five issues: the length of the pleading cycle; discovery options; the parties’ status pending resolution of complaints; time limits for resolving complaints; and arbitration as an alternate route to filing a complaint. We address all these issues below with the exception of the parties’ status pending complaint resolution, which we address in the NPRM. 1. Pleading Cycle 86. In this Order, we retain our existing pleading cycle. The Commission’s existing rules provide that an MVPD aggrieved by conduct that it believes constitutes a violation of Section 628 and the Commission’s program access rules may file a complaint with the Commission.414 A complainant must first notify the programming vendor that it intends to file the complaint and allow the vendor 10 days to respond.415 Once a complaint is filed, the cable operator or satellite programming vendor must answer within 20 days of service of the complaint.416 Replies to the answer are due within 15 days of service of the answer.417 87. EchoStar asserts that a tighter pleading cycle will be more conducive to an efficient resolution of complaints.418 It suggests a 10-day limit for filing an answer and a 5-day reply period.419 It recommends that all service be electronic and that weekly status conferences be held to ensure progress.420 AT&T suggests that the Commission apply its existing formal complaint process to program 408 See EchoStar Comments at 30. 409 See OPASTCO/ITAA Comments at 8. 410 See NTCA Comments at 6. 411 See EchoStar Comments at 13. 412 See id. at 14. 413 See AT&T Reply Comments at 2. 414 See 47 C.F.R. §§ 76.7 and 76.1003. 415 47 C.F.R. § 76.1003(b). 416 47 C.F.R. § 76.7(b)(2)(ii); 47 C.F.R. § 76.1003(a). 417 47 C.F.R. § 76.7(c)(3); 47 C.F.R. § 76.1003(a). 418 See EchoStar Comments at 25. 419 See id. 420 See id. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 59 access complaints and delegate resolution to the Enforcement Bureau.421 NCTA opposes a more expeditious pleading cycle because the cycle is already among the shortest time frames in Commission regulation.422 NCTA argues that reducing the timing of the pleading cycle further would not materially affect the overall time frame for resolving disputes, and would impose additional hardship on respondents.423 88. The original program access complaint pleading cycle called for a 30-day response time and 20-day reply window. In the 1998 Program Access Order, the Commission adopted a more streamlined pleading cycle and reduced those times to 20 and 15 days respectively. The Commission’s rules generally require answers to complaints to “advise the parties and the Commission fully and completely of the nature of any and all defenses” and “respond specifically to all material allegations of the complaint” or risk being deemed in default and having the complaint granted.424 In addition, answers to program access complaints must contain specific information pertinent to the type of complaint, whether it is an exclusivity complaint, a discrimination complaint, or a price discrimination complaint, and must include written documentary evidence.425 89. Discussion. We find that the existing 20-day response time is necessary to allow sufficient time for a respondent to provide a complete defense. We encourage resolution of program access complaints based on the pleadings.426 A shorter pleading cycle would not necessarily improve the overall time for complaint resolution because incomplete or rushed responses could lead to the need for further pleadings and discovery. We therefore decline to adopt a more expedited pleading cycle. However, we believe that electronic filing may help improve the speed of resolution and, therefore, we will continue to study this issue internally to determine if it is technologically feasible to require electronic filing for program access complaints, which necessarily involve a number of confidential documents. Currently, parties may voluntarily submit electronic copies of their pleadings to staff via e- mail in order to expedite review. 90. Regarding mandatory weekly status conferences, the Commission currently has the authority to hold status conferences at any time and any party may request that a status conference be held.427 We believe that this provides the necessary flexibility to conduct status conferences as frequently as needed and decline to modify this rule to require mandatory weekly status conferences. Finally, we decline to shift the burden of complaint resolution to the Enforcement Bureau. We believe that program 421 See AT&T Comments at 30. As part of the 1996 Act, Congress enacted deadlines for the Commission’s resolution of complaints alleging unreasonably discriminatory or otherwise unlawful conduct filed against telecommunications carriers subject to the requirements of the Communications Act. See 47 U.S.C. §§ 208(b)(1), 260(b), 271(d)(6)(B), and 275(c); Implementation of the Telecommunications Act of 1996: Amendment of Rules Governing Procedures to be Followed When Formal Complaints are Filed Against Common Carriers, Report and Order, 12 FCC Rcd 22497, 22499-04 (1997) (“Formal Complaint Order”). In the Formal Complaint Order, the Commission adopted new or amended standards and procedures related to the processing and resolution of formal complaints against common carriers, including pre-filing negotiation requirements, pleading cycles, discovery, status conferences, damages procedures, prima facie claims, and burdens of proof. 422 See NCTA Comments at 9-10. 423 See id. at 9-10. 424 47 C.F.R. § 76.7(b)(2). 425 See 47 C.F.R. § 76.1003(e). 426 See First Report and Order, 8 FCC Rcd at 3389-90, ¶ 75. 427 See 47 C.F. R. § 76.8. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 60 access complaints are more appropriately handled by Media Bureau staff with expertise on the issues involved in program access disputes. 2. Discovery 91. In this Order, after reviewing our discovery rules pertaining to program access disputes, we codify the existing requirement that respondents to program access complaints must attach to their answers copies of any documents that they rely on in their defense; find that in the context of a complaint proceeding, it would be unreasonable for a respondent not to produce all the documents either requested by the complainant or ordered by the Commission, provided that such documents are in its control and relevant to the dispute; and emphasize that the Commission will use its authority to issue default orders granting a complaint if a respondent fails to comply with its discovery requests. The respondent shall have the opportunity to object to any request for documents.428 Such request shall be heard, and determination made, by the Commission. The respondent need not produce the disputed discovery material until the Commission has ruled on the discovery request. 92. Competitive MVPDs urge the Commission to revise the discovery rules applicable to program access complaint proceedings.429 USTelecom argues for mandatory automatic disclosure of specific information in response to a complaint to ensure adequate factual information is available to resolve the complaint.430 USTelecom urges the Commission to permit party-directed discovery on a case- by-case case basis and to craft case-specific confidentiality protections for sensitive information.431 RCN proposes that programmers’ carriage contracts be available, subject to confidential treatment, because such agreements are essential for determining whether the programmer is discriminating in price, terms, and conditions.432 RCN argues that restrictive confidentiality and non-disclosure requirements prevent buyers from knowing whether the rates, terms, and conditions offered are consistent with those provided to affiliated MVPDs and competitors.433 EchoStar argues for discovery that is simultaneous with the complaint that includes six carriage contracts, both affiliated and unaffiliated, with discovery disputes resolved within ten days.434 EchoStar also urges the Commission to incorporate the discovery mechanism used in common carrier complaint proceedings.435 93. According to CA2C, while the Commission may have been seeking to prevent excessive discovery cost and delay in establishing its current rules, the result has been that key documents are not made available in complaint proceedings, including programming contracts with competitors that are necessary to show prima facie discrimination.436 CA2C and BSPA urge the Commission to make clear that respondents to discrimination complaints must produce these contracts, subject to confidential treatment.437 These parties also request that the Commission make clear that staff may order discovery, in 428 See infra ¶¶ 95, 98. 429 See AT&T Comments at 30-32; CA2C Comments at 22-24. 430 See USTelecom Comments at 20. 431 See id. 432 See RCN Comments at 20. 433 See id. 434 See EchoStar Comments at 27. 435 See id. (citing 47 C.F.R. § 1.729). 436 See CA2C Comments at 23. 437 See id. (citing 47 C.F.R. § 76.9); BSPA Comments at 7. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 61 consultation with or at the request of the parties, in order to facilitate resolution of the case.438 AT&T asserts that the Commission should apply its procedures for adjudicating formal complaints to program access disputes, including rules governing pleading, discovery, and motions.439 AT&T asserts that respondents should submit copies of all contracts and documents relevant to the complaint, subject to a codified and standardized protective order.440 The Consumer Groups also supports additional tools for discovery.441 94. Comcast, NCTA, and Time Warner see no need for changes to the discovery rules.442 NCTA argues that the proposed changes would automatically force programmers to disclose highly confidential and proprietary information and that the Commission considered and rejected similar suggestions in 1998 when it affirmed the use of Commission-controlled discovery.443 Time Warner asserts that EchoStar’s proposal to require a programmer to submit six carriage contracts for comparison with the complainant’s contract would allow MVPDs to engage in “fishing expeditions” for highly confidential and competitively sensitive information and would give them substantially increased and unfair leverage in their negotiations with programmers.444 Time Warner argues that the current rules permit discovery where warranted and that expanded discovery would create a procedural quagmire due to the complex nature of programming contracts.445 Time Warner asserts that protective orders do not adequately eliminate the potential for harm from disclosure of confidential information.446 95. Discussion. We take measures to ensure that the Commission has the information necessary to expeditiously resolve program access complaints. In this regard, we take two actions: 1) we codify the requirement that a respondent must attach to its answer all documents that it expressly references or relies upon in defending a program access claim; and 2) we find that in the context of a complaint proceeding, it would be unreasonable for a respondent not to produce all the documents either requested by the complainant or ordered by the Commission, provided that such documents are in its control and relevant to the dispute. The respondent shall have the opportunity to object to any request for documents that are not in its control or relevant to the dispute. Such request shall be heard, and determination made, by the Commission. Until the objection is ruled upon, the obligation to produce the disputed material is suspended. Any party who fails to timely provide discovery requested by the opposing party to which it has not raised an objection as described above may be deemed in default and an order may be entered in accordance with the allegations contained in the complaint, or the complaint may be dismissed with prejudice. 96. Respondent’s Answer. In the 1998 Program Access Order, the Commission clarified that, to the extent that a respondent expressly references and relies upon a document or documents in defending a program access claim, the respondent must attach that document or documents to its 438 See CA2C Comments at 24; BSPA Comments at 7. 439 See AT&T Comments at 30 (citing 47 C.F.R. § 1.70, et seq.). 440 See id. at 30-32. 441 See Consumer Groups Reply Comments at 8. 442 See Comcast Reply Comments at 36; NCTA Reply Comments at 10, Time Warner Reply Comments at 7. 443 See NCTA Reply Comments at 11. 444 See Time Warner Reply Comments at 3. 445 See id. at 4. 446 See id. at 12. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 62 answer.447 In this Order, we expressly codify that requirement in the Commission’s rules.448 To the extent that there has been any confusion about this requirement in the past, we clarify that a respondent must attach the necessary documentation to its answer to a program access complaint, subject to our rules on confidential filings. Subsequent to the 1998 Program Access Order, the Commission, in the 1998 Biennial Review, further clarified the response requirements for specific types of program access complaints.449 To the extent that a respondent fails to include the permissive attachments identified in our rules that are necessary to a resolution of the complaint, the Commission may require the production of further documents.450 Moreover, a program access complainant is entitled, either as part of its complaint or through a motion filed after the respondent’s answer is submitted, to request that Commission staff order discovery of any evidence necessary to prove its case.451 Respondents are also free to request discovery. 97. Submission of Necessary Information. We believe that expanded discovery will improve the quality and efficiency of the Commission’s resolution of program access complaints. Accordingly, we find that it would be unreasonable for a respondent not to produce all the documents either requested by the complainant or ordered by the Commission,452 provided that such documents are in its control and relevant to the dispute. In reaching this finding, we agree with the assertions of RCN and other competitors that the availability of programmers’ carriage contracts, subject to confidential treatment, are essential for determining whether the programmer is discriminating in price, terms, and conditions. The Commission’s rules allow the Commission staff to order production of any documents necessary to the resolution of a program access complaint, including documents upon which a complainant must rely to make its prima facie case.453 The subject discovery may require the production of confidential material, including the disclosure of carriage contracts, subject to our confidentiality rules. While we retain this process for the Commission to order the production of documents and other discovery, we will also allow parties to a program access complaint to serve requests for discovery directly on opposing parties.454 98. Parties to a program access complaint may serve requests for discovery directly on opposing parties, and file a copy of the request with the Commission. As discussed above, the respondent shall have the opportunity to object to any request for documents that are not in its control or relevant to the dispute. Such request shall be heard, and determination made, by the Commission. Until the objection is ruled upon, the obligation to produce the disputed material is suspended. Any party who fails to timely provide discovery requested by the opposing party to which it has not raised an objection as described above may be deemed in default and an order may be entered in accordance with the allegations contained in the complaint, or the complaint may be dismissed with prejudice.455 447 See 1998 Program Access Order, 13 FCC Rcd at 15849-50, ¶ 56. 448 See Appendix D, § 76.1003(e). 449 1998 Biennial Review, 14 FCC Rcd at 438, Appendix A, ¶ 9 (modifications to § 76.1003); see 47 C.F.R. § 76.1003(e). 450 See 47 C.F.R. § 76.1003(e); 47 C.F.R. § 76.7(e)(2). 451 See 47 C.F.R. § 76.7(e), (f). 452 Indeed, in such circumstances, failure to produce the subject documents would also be a violation of a Commission order. 453 See 47 C.F.R. § 76.7(e), (f). 454 See Appendix D, § 76.1003(j). 455 Id. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 63 99. We reiterate that respondents to program access complaints must produce in a timely manner, the contracts and other documentation that are necessary to resolve the complaint, subject to confidential treatment.456 In order to prevent abuse, the Commission will strictly enforce its default rules against respondents who do not answer complaints thoroughly or do not respond in a timely manner to permissible discovery requests with the necessary documentation attached.457 Respondents that do not respond in a timely manner to all discovery ordered by the Commission will risk penalties, including having the complaint against them granted by default.458 Likewise, a complainant that fails to respond promptly to a Commission order regarding discovery will risk having its complaint dismissed with prejudice.459 Finally, a party that fails to respond promptly to a request for discovery to which it has not raised a proper objection will be subject to these sanctions as well.460 100. Confidential Material. We understand that this approach requires the submission of confidential and extremely competitively-sensitive information.461 Accordingly, in order to appropriately safeguard this confidential information we believe it is necessary to revise the standard protective order and declaration (“Protective Order”) for use in program access proceedings.462 The Protective Order sets out the methodology for producing and protecting pleading or discovery material that is deemed by the submitting party to contain confidential information.463 The Protective Order states that, once the authorized representative of the reviewing party has signed the appropriate declaration, the submitting party shall provide a copy of the confidential information to authorized representatives upon request. 464 Authorized representatives of reviewing parties are limited to counsel and their associated attorneys, paralegals, clerical staff and other employees, to the extent reasonably necessary to render professional services; specified persons, including employees of the reviewing parties, requested by counsel to furnish technical or other expert advice or service, or otherwise engaged to prepare material for the express purpose of formulating filings in the program access proceeding, other than persons in a position to use the confidential information for competitive commercial or business purposes; and any person designated 456 See 47 C.F.R. § 76.9. 457 See Appendix D, § 76.1003(j). 458 Id. 459 Id. 460 Id. 461 See, e.g., 47 C.F.R. § 0.457(d)(iv) (treating as presumptively privileged and confidential “programming contracts between programmers and multichannel video programming distributors”). In this regard, we note that in a recent program access dispute, the Media Bureau expeditiously granted a complainant’s request for discovery and issued a protective order to safeguard the highly confidential discovery subject matter. See EchoStar Satellite L.L.C. v. Home Box Office, Inc., CSR 7070-P (filed Nov. 15, 2006). 462 See 1998 Program Access Order, 13 FCC Rcd at 15865. The Protective Order is intended to facilitate and expedite review of documents containing privileged or confidential trade secrets and commercial or financial information. Id. 463 Id. at 15865-69, ¶ 3. Confidential information is information submitted to the Commission which the submitting party has determined in good faith (i) constitutes trade secrets and commercial or financial information which is privileged or confidential within the meaning of Exemption 4 of the Freedom of Information Act, 5 U.S.C. § 552(b)(4); and (ii) falls within the terms of Commission orders designating the items for treatment as confidential information. Id. at 15865, ¶ 1(c). The Commission may determine that all or part of the information claimed as confidential information is not entitled to such treatment. See also 47 C.F.R. § 76.9 (general procedures for protecting confidentiality of information). 464 1998 Program Access Order, 13 FCC Rcd at 15867, ¶ 9. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 64 by the Commission in the public interest, upon such terms as the Commission may deem proper.465 Confidential information shall not be used for competitive business purposes, and shall not be used or disclosed except in accordance with the Protective Order.466 101. To ensure that confidential information is not improperly used for competitive business purposes, we intend to make an important revision to the Protective Order. Specifically, we revise it to reflect that any personnel, including in-house counsel, involved in competitive decision-making are prohibited from accessing the confidential information. We more specifically define the limitations on access by including language that the Commission routinely uses in the merger protective orders.467 The Protective Order currently prohibits access to confidential information by specified persons that are in a position to use the information for competitive commercial or business purposes. We modify the language of the Protective Order to reflect that any counsel, or other persons, including in-house counsel, that are involved in competitive decision-making are prohibited from access to confidential material. We further define competitive decision-making to include any activities, association, or relationship with any person, including the complainant, client, or any authorized representative, that involves rendering advice or participation in any or all of said person’s business decisions that are or will be made in light of similar or corresponding information about a competitor.468 465 Id. at 15867, ¶ 7. Before an authorized representative may obtain access to confidential information, he or she must execute a declaration which states that under penalty of perjury he or she has agreed to be bound by the Protective Order. Id. at 15866, ¶¶ 5, 6 and at 15870. The declaration states that the reviewing party shall not disclose the confidential information to anyone except in accordance with the terms of the Protective Order and that the confidential information shall be used only for purposes of the program access proceeding. Id. 466 Id. at 15867, ¶ 11. 467 See, e.g., News Corporation and the DirecTV Group, Inc., Transferors, and Liberty Media Corporation, Transferee, For Authority to Transfer Control, Protective Order, 2007 WL 1482032 (MB, rel. May 21, 2007). 468 Id. The terminology we insert today concerning activities, associations or relationships that involve rendering advice or participation in business decisions that are or will be “made in light of similar or corresponding information about a competitor” has been standard language used in our merger protective orders. See Worldcom, Inc. and MCI Communications Corp, Transfer of Control, 13 FCC Rcd 11166, 11168 (1998). Our definition of “competitive decision-making” as such is consistent with federal court cases. See, e.g., U.S. Steel Corp. v. United States, 730 F.2d 1465, 1468 n.3 (Fed. Cir. 1984) (noting that the “competitive decision-making” is a shorthand for a counsel’s activities, association, and relationship with a client that are such as to involve counsel’s advice and participation in any or all of the client’s decisions ... made in light of similar or corresponding information about a competitor); see also Brown Bag Software v. Symantec Corp. 960 F.2d 1465, 1470 (9th Cir. 1992), cert. denied 506 U.S. 869 (1992) (defining “competitive decision-making” as advising on decisions about pricing or design made in light of similar or corresponding information about a competitor). This terminology was more recently discussed in Intervet, Inc. v. Merial Ltd., 241 F.R.D. 55 (D.D.C. 2007) as follows: “Thus, U.S. Steel would preclude access to information to anyone who was positioned to advise the client as to business decisions that the client would make regarding, for example, pricing, marketing, or design issues when that party granted access has seen how a competitor has made those decisions. E.g., Brown Bag Software, 960 F.2d at 1471 (counsel could not be expected to advise client without disclosing what he knew when he saw competitors’ trade secrets as to those very topics); Matsushita Elec. Indus. Co v. United States, 929 F.2d 1577, 1579-80 (Fed.Cir. 1991) (determination by agency forbidding access was arbitrary when lawyer precluded from access testified that he was not involved in pricing, technical design, selection of vendors, purchasing and marketing strategies); Volvo Penta of the Americas, Inc. v. Brunswick Corp., 187 F.R.D. 240, 242 (E.D.Va. 1999) (competitive decision-making involves decisions “that affect contracts, marketing, employment, pricing, product design” and other decisions made in light of similar or corresponding information about a competitor); Glaxo Inc. v. Genpharm Pharm., Inc., 796 F.Supp. 872, 876 (E.D.N.C. 1992) (improper to preclude in-house counsel from access to confidential information because he gave no (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 65 102. In order to appropriately safeguard confidential information, we revise the Protective Order for use in program access proceedings to find that any personnel, including in-house counsel, (i) that are involved in competitive decision-making, (ii) are in a position to use the confidential information for competitive commercial or business purposes, or (iii) whose activities, association, or relationship with the complainant, client, or any authorized representative involve rendering advice or participation in any or all of said person’s business decisions that are or will be made in light of similar or corresponding information about a competitor, are prohibited from accessing the confidential information.469 103. A protective order constitutes both an order of the Commission and an agreement between the party executing the declaration and the submitting party. The Commission has full authority to fashion appropriate sanctions for violations of its protective orders, including but not limited to suspension or disbarment of attorneys from practice before the Commission, forfeitures, cease and desist orders, and denial of further access to confidential information in Commission proceedings. We intend to vigorously enforce any transgressions of the provisions of our protective orders. 470 3. Time Frame for Resolving Program Access Complaints 104. In this Order, we retain our current goals for resolving program access complaints with the intent to expedite complaints filed by small companies without existing carriage contracts. Under the current process, the Commission has set forth goals for the resolution of program access complaints as five months from the submission of a complaint for denial of programming cases, and nine months for all other program access complaints, such as price discrimination cases.471 Competitive MVPDs believe that the Commission should establish a firm deadline by which program access complaints must be resolved.472 OPASTCO/ITTA claim that the current process is so time consuming and costly that rural carriers forgo filing complaints and they urge the Commission to establish procedures that will provide for timely resolution of complaints.473 ACA and the Consumer Groups also support mandatory time frames for complaint resolution. Verizon urges the Commission to establish a firm deadline of five months by which all complaints should be resolved.474 USTelecom suggests three months for denial of programming cases and six months for all other complaints.475 NTCA urges that a firm rather than suggested deadline be established. EchoStar argues for a 45-day “shot clock” deadline with a one-time 45-day extension for complex cases.476 105. CA2C advocates a 120-day time frame for all cases, beginning with the close of pleadings.477 The SBA Office of Advocacy and BSPA support this time frame.478 CA2C suggests, (Continued from previous page) advice to his client about competitive decisions such as pricing, scientific research, sales, or marketing).” Id. at 57- 58. 469 See Appendix E, Standard Protective Order and Declaration for Use in Section 628 Program Access Proceedings. 470 See Appendix D, § 76.1003(k). 471 See 1998 Program Access Order, 13 FCC Rcd at 15842-43, ¶ 41. 472 See AT&T Comments at 27-29; CA2C Comments at 22; Verizon Comments at 13-14. 473 See OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 8. 474 See Verizon Comments at 16. 475 See USTelecom Comments at 21. 476 See EchoStar Comments at 25. 477 See CA2C Comments at 22. We note that CA2C’s 120-day time limit beginning at the end of the pleading cycle is no shorter than the Commission’s current time frame for resolving routine program access complaints. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 66 however, that the time limit be suspended to facilitate settlement negotiations.479 CA2C asserts that, rather than complaints being resolved in the five- to nine-month time frame envisioned in the 1998 Program Access Order, complaints often take years to resolve, which has a disparate impact on new entrants, through prolonged delays in a competitor’s ability to carry must have programming pending resolution of denial of carriage complaints.480 CA2C also asserts that the existing time frames have a negative impact on existing competitive providers, by imposing the continued payment of discriminatory prices over a prolonged period of time in price discrimination cases, and forcing competitors to divert inordinate resources to prosecution of program access complaints.481 106. AT&T asserts that delays in processing a complaint can cripple the ability of a new entrant to attract new subscribers and tarnish public perception of a new entrant’s video offering during a critical period when consumers are forming initial impressions of that offering.482 AT&T argues that the Commission should adopt a 90-day binding deadline for complaint resolution, consistent with the 90-day deadline for Section 271 complaints.483 NCTA states that it does not oppose a more expedited time frame for Commission resolution of complaints, so long as cable operators and programmers are provided with sufficient time to respond to complaints.484 Comcast does not object to the Commission firming up its deadlines for action on complaints.485 107. Discussion. We agree that program access complaints should be resolved in a timely manner, but the time frames for resolving complaints must be realistic. We will retain our goals of resolving program access complaints within five months from the submission of a complaint for denial of programming cases, and nine months for all other program access complaints, such as price discrimination cases. In the 1998 Program Access Order, in imposing goals for the resolution of complaints, the Commission attempted to ascertain what can be accomplished on a consistent basis. The Commission found that a single time limit would require the Commission to adopt a longer time limit than would be necessary in many cases.486 Consistent with the Commission’s other statutory deadlines, the Commission adopted time frames that commenced from the time of the filing of a complaint. The Commission’s designation of a five-month limit was consistent with the five-month period in which Congress required the Commission to resolve certain complaints against common carriers.487 Other program access complaints, including price discrimination cases, were given a nine-month time frame for resolution, excluding the time necessary to resolve bifurcated damages issues.488 The Commission determined that these were realistic goals, achievable given the Commission’s limited resources and (Continued from previous page) 478 See BSPA Comments at 19; SBA Office of Advocacy Comments at 8. 479 See CA2C Comments at 22. 480 See id. at 21. CA2C offers no specific examples to establish that program access complaints often take years to resolve since adoption of the 1998 Program Access Order time frames. 481 See id. at 21. 482 See AT&T Comments at 28. 483 See id. at 29 (citing 47 U.S.C. § 271). 484 See NCTA Comments at 14. 485 See Comcast Reply Comments at 4. 486 See 1998 Program Access Order, 13 FCC Rcd at 15842, ¶ 39. 487 See id. at 15842, ¶ 41, n.121 (citing 47 U.S.C. §208(b)(1)); see also Formal Complaint Order, 12 FCC Rcd at 22499, n.4. 488 See 1998 Program Access Order, 13 FCC Rcd at 15842, ¶ 41. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 67 overall statutory duties. The Commission also provided for the suspension of the time limits upon motion by parties seeking to pursue settlement negotiations.489 108. We find that these time limits for resolution are still reasonable. We fail to see a direct correlation between a more expedited process for the resolution of program access complaints and lower litigation costs to complainants. Indeed, we believe that overly accelerated pleading and discovery time periods can lead to increased litigation costs if the parties are required to hire additional staff and counsel in attempting to meet unrealistic deadlines. However, we are concerned with delays in the resolution of complaints filed by new entrants, especially small businesses, and therefore, the Commission will expedite the resolution of such complaints and, as discussed above in Section III.B.2, will strictly enforce its default rules against respondents who do not answer complaints thoroughly with the necessary documentation attached.490 4. Arbitration 109. In this Order, we expand the use of voluntary arbitration for resolution of program access disputes, by increasing opportunities for parties to choose arbitration in lieu of Commission resolution of a pending complaint, and refrain from imposing a mandatory arbitration requirement at this time. Competitive MVPDs urge the Commission to implement arbitration measures into the program access complaint process. NTCA, OPASTCO/ITTA, and SureWest, as well as the SBA Office of Advocacy, all support some form of arbitration.491 ACA, BSPA, EchoStar, and RCN, as well as Consumer Groups, all urge the adoption of “baseball-style” commercial arbitration rules, similar to those approved in connection with two recent mergers (“Adelphia and Hughes Orders”).492 BSPA believes that the arbitration rules adopted in the two merger cases are a good template for arbitration rules that the Commission should adopt as part of its program access rules. BSPA and RCN point out that the ultimate goal of establishing an arbitration option is to push the parties toward agreement prior to a complete breakdown in negotiations.493 RCN points out that the rationale for adopting an arbitration remedy in the Adelphia and Hughes proceedings applies equally in this context because vertically integrated programmers have similar incentives to use temporary foreclosures during negotiations.494 BSPA argues that there is precedent for the use of third parties to adjudicate disputes under the Communications Act.495 EchoStar asserts that arbitration of program access complaints is consistent with all statutory 489 See id. at 15843, ¶ 42. 490 See 47 C.F.R. § 76.7(b)(2)(iii). 491 See NTCA Comments at 6; OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 8; SBA Office of Advocacy Comments at 8; SureWest Comments at 10. 492 See BSPA Comments at 7 (citing Adelphia Order; Hughes Order); ACA Comments at 10 (same); EchoStar Comments at 18 (same); RCN Comments at 19 (same); Consumer Groups Reply Comments at 7 (same). 493 See BSPA Comments at 8; RCN Comments at 19. 494 See RCN Comments at 19. 495 See BSPA Comments at 12-14 (citing Improving Public Safety Communications in the 800 MHz Band, et al., 19 FCC Rcd 14969, 15070-71, 15074-75 and n.509 (2004); Amendment of the Commission’s Rules to Establish New Personal Communications Services, 9 FCC Rcd 4957, 5037 (1994); Amendment of the Commission’s Rules Regarding a Plan for Sharing the Costs of Microwave Relocation, 11 FCC Rcd 8825 (1996)). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 68 requirements, including the 1992 Cable Act, the Administrative Procedure Act,496 and the Administrative Dispute Resolution Act of 1996,497 as well as with the subdelegation doctrine.498 110. Comcast states that the Commission should not require arbitration of disputes.499 Comcast asserts that Section 628 assigns the responsibility to adjudicate disputes to the Commission and there is no provision of law that authorizes the Commission to mandate binding arbitration.500 NCTA asserts that mandatory arbitration would improperly delegate the Commission’s responsibilities to an outside party or, if the Commission provides for de novo review of the arbitrator’s decision, would add an extra, time-consuming layer to what is now an expeditious process.501 NCTA states that establishing a mandatory commercial arbitration provision similar to those imposed in the Adelphia and Hughes proceedings would be neither lawful nor advisable.502 NCTA points out that the Commission already has procedures in place that allow parties to agree to invoke alternative dispute resolution (“ADR”) to resolve certain factual disputes in lieu of referral to an administrative law judge, consistent with the Commission’s ADR policy which relies on ADR as a “purely voluntary” measure.503 NCTA continues that Section 628 provides the Commission with no authority to adopt one-sided arbitration rules and a party cannot be involuntarily subjected to arbitration of these complaints.504 111. The Broadcast Networks urge the Commission to refrain from imposing binding arbitration as a catch-all solution, contending there is no problem in need of solution, the Commission already has sufficient and effective remedies in place to resolve program access disputes, and the overlay of an additional layer of process would serve to prolong the Commission’s deliberative process.505 Moreover, the Broadcast Networks argue that the Commission has no authority to delegate its statutory obligation to resolve program access complaints.506 Time Warner urges the Commission to reject mandatory arbitration of program access complaints.507 Time Warner argues that because arbitration is generally a matter of contract, and federal law prohibits an agency from requiring consent to arbitration in 496 5 U.S.C. § 551 et seq. 497 Id. §§ 571-584. 498 See EchoStar Comments at 20. Under subdelegation principles, agencies may refer matters outside the agency for fact-finding and the issuance of preliminary decisions, provided the decisions remain subject to final agency review. See United States Telecom Ass'n v. FCC, 359 F.3d 554, 565-68 (DC Cir. 2004), cert. denied, 125 S.Ct. 313, 316, 345 (2004). Providing for de novo review by the Commission of arbitration awards satisfies this requirement. See National Park & Conservation Association v. Stanton, 54 F. Supp. 2d 7, 18-19 (D.D.C. 1999) (rejecting as unlawful a procedure by which the agency “completely shift[ed] its responsibility” to an outside council and “retain[ed] virtually no final authority over the action -- or inaction -- of the Council”). 499 See Comcast Comments at 28. 500 See id. 501 NCTA Comments at 12-14. 502 Id. at 11. 503 See NCTA Reply Comments at 12 (citing Comcast Comments at 29); Use of Alternative Dispute Resolution Procedures in Commission Proceedings and Proceedings in which the Commission is a Party, 6 FCC Rcd 5669, 5670, ¶ 12 (1991). 504 See NCTA Reply Comments at 13. 505 See Broadcast Networks Reply Comments at 3-4. 506 See id. at 4. 507 See Time Warner Reply Comments at 4. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 69 order to ensure that it is truly voluntary, a mandatory arbitration requirement would be ultra vires and unlawful.508 112. Discussion. We decline to impose mandatory arbitration as a rule in all program access cases at this time. We would like to see how arbitration of program access disputes, either through a merger condition or through voluntary arbitration, is working over time, to determine if modifications to the arbitration process are necessary prior to imposing a mandatory requirement on all parties to all program access complaints. Once there is a track record for arbitration of program access disputes, we will be able to determine which types of disputes lend themselves more readily to resolution by arbitration and which may be more judiciously resolved by the Commission in the first instance. 113. The current rules allow parties to voluntarily engage in ADR, including arbitration, in lieu of an administrative hearing.509 However, we believe that parties to program access complaints should be able to voluntarily choose arbitration prior to the Commission making a determination to forward the complaint to an administrative law judge and that the Adelphia Order provide adequate guidance for the arbitration process.510 Therefore, the Commission will suspend action on a complaint where both parties agree to use ADR, including commercial arbitration, within 20 days following the close of the pleading cycle. Parties may agree that voluntary arbitration is a quick and productive way to resolve their commercial disputes. Moreover, we will continue to monitor developments in the marketplace and will, if necessary, revisit in the future whether to adopt a mandatory arbitration requirement. IV. NOTICE OF PROPOSED RULEMAKING A. Procedure for Shortening Term of Extension of Exclusive Contract Prohibition 114. In light of the five-year extension of the exclusivity ban, the Commission seeks comment on whether it can establish a procedure that would shorten the term of the extension if, after two years (i.e., October 5, 2009) a cable operator can show competition from new entrant MVPDs has reached a certain penetration level in the DMA. We seek comment on what this penetration level should be. And, we seek comment on whether two years or some other time frame is the appropriate period of time. Finally, we ask parties to comment on whether a market-by-market analysis is appropriate as both a legal and policy matter. B. Extending Program Access Rules to Terrestrially Delivered Cable-Affiliated Programming 115. In comments on the NPRM, competitive MVPDs provided various examples of withholding of terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming.511 Moreover, in the Order, we note the Commission’s previous findings that in two instances – Philadelphia and San Diego – withholding of terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming has had a material adverse impact on competition in 508 See id. 509 See 47 C.F.R. § 76.7(g)(2). Section 572(a) of the Administrative Dispute Resolution Act (“ADRA”) provides that “[a]n agency may use a dispute resolution proceeding for the resolution of an issue in controversy that relates to an administrative program, if the parties agree to such proceeding.” 5 U.S.C. § 572(a). Section 575(a)(1) authorizes the use of arbitration as an alternative means of dispute resolution “whenever all parties consent.” 5 U.S.C. § 575(a)(1). 510 See Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8836, Appendix B, and 8340, Appendix C. 511 See supra ¶ 49. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 70 the video distribution market.512 As discussed in the Order, however, the Commission has previously concluded that terrestrially delivered programming is “outside of the direct coverage” of the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D).513 In the Order, we state our continued view that the plain language of the definitions of “satellite cable programming” and “satellite broadcast programming” as well as the legislative history of the 1992 Cable Act place terrestrially delivered programming beyond the scope of Section 628(c)(2)(D).514 Commenters, however, cite various other provisions of the Communications Act as providing the Commission with statutory authority to extend the program access rules, including an exclusive contract prohibition, to terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming, such as Sections 4(i), 201(b), 303(r), 601(6), 612(g), 616(a), 628(b), and 706.515 116. As demonstrated by the examples of withholding of RSNs in San Diego and Philadelphia, we believe that withholding of terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming is a significant concern that can adversely impact competition in the video distribution market. To address this concern, we seek comment on whether it would be appropriate to extend our program access rules to all terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming pursuant to Sections 4(i), 201(b), 303(r), 601(6), 612(g), 616(a), 628(b), or 706, or any other provision under the Communications Act.516 In particular, we note our previous conclusion that the ability to offer a viable video service is “linked intrinsically” to broadband 512 See id. 513 See supra ¶ 78. 514 See id. 515 See SureWest Comments at 7-8 (citing Section 4(i) of the Communications Act); Verizon Comments at 14 (same); id. at 14 (citing Section 303(r) of the Communications Act); SureWest Comments at 8 (citing Section 601(6) of the Communications Act); RICA Comments at 5 (citing Section 612(g) of the Communications Act); id. at 5 (citing Section 616(a) of the Communications Act); SureWest Comments at 7 (citing Section 628(b) of the Communications Act); see also AT&T Comments at 9 n.24; BSPA Comments at 16-18; EchoStar Comments at 4. 516 See 47 U.S.C. § 154(i) (“The Commission may perform any and all acts, make such rules and regulations, and issue such orders, not inconsistent with this chapter, as may be necessary in the execution of its functions.”); 47 U.S.C. § 201(b) (“The Commission may prescribe such rules and regulations as may be necessary in the public interest to carry out the provisions of this chapter.”); 47 U.S.C. § 303(r) (“The Commission from time to time, as public convenience, interest, or necessity requires, shall . . . (r) Make such rules and regulations and prescribe such restrictions and conditions, not inconsistent with law, as may be necessary to carry out the provisions of this chapter . . . .”); 47 U.S.C. § 521(6) (stating that one of the purposes of Title VI (Cable Communications) of the Communications Act is to “promote competition in cable communications . . . .”); 47 U.S.C. § 532(g) (stating that when “cable systems with 36 or more activated channels are available to 70 percent of households within the United States and are subscribed to by 70 percent of the households to which such systems are available, the Commission may promulgate any additional rules necessary to provide diversity of information sources”); 47 U.S.C. § 536(a) (stating that the “Commission shall establish regulations governing program carriage agreements and related practices between cable operators or other multichannel video programming distributors and video programming vendors”); 47 U.S.C. § 548(b) (“It shall be unlawful for a cable operator, a satellite cable programming vendor in which a cable operator has an attributable interest, or a satellite broadcast programming vendor to engage in unfair methods of competition or unfair or deceptive acts or practices, the purpose or effect of which is to hinder significantly or to prevent any multichannel video programming distributor from providing satellite cable programming or satellite broadcast programming to subscribers or consumers.”); 47 U.S.C. § 157 nt. (stating that the Commission “shall encourage the deployment on a reasonable and timely basis of advanced telecommunications capability to all Americans . . . by utilizing, in a manner consistent with the public interest, convenience, and necessity, . . . measures that promote competition in the local telecommunications market, or other regulating methods that remove barriers to infrastructure investment”). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 71 deployment.517 We seek comment on whether the ability to offer terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming is needed to offer a viable video service and, accordingly, whether extending the program access rules, including the prohibition on exclusive contracts, to terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming would promote the goal of Section 706 to facilitate broadband deployment. In addition, we note that the plain language of Section 628(b), like Section 628(c)(2)(D), specifies “satellite cable programming” and “satellite broadcast programming.”518 We seek comment regarding whether we have the authority to extend our program access rules to all terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming by way of statutory provisions granting general authority to the Commission, in light of the specific authority in Section 628 that limits their scope to satellite programming. 117. We also seek comment on the extent to which cable operators are shifting delivery of affiliated programming from satellite delivery to terrestrial delivery and whether such action is intended to evade the program access rules. We note Verizon’s claim that Cablevision’s programming subsidiary, Rainbow, has made standard definition feeds of its RSNs available by satellite, but HD feeds available terrestrially, thereby avoiding the program access rules, including the exclusive contract prohibition, for HD feeds.519 We seek comment on whether the program access rules should apply to all feeds of the same programming, including both standard and HD feeds, regardless of whether one feed is delivered terrestrially. We also seek comment on whether shifting the HD feed of vertically integrated cable programming to terrestrial delivery is an unfair method of competition or an unfair or deceptive act in violation of Section 628(b) of the Communications Act.520 C. Expanding the Exclusive Contract Prohibition to Non-Cable-Affiliated Programming 118. We also seek comment on whether to expand the exclusive contract prohibition to apply to non-cable-affiliated programming that is affiliated with a different MVPD, principally a DBS provider. As discussed above, to the extent that an MVPD meets the definition of a “cable operator” under the Communications Act, the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D) already applies to its affiliated programming.521 Moreover, as noted above, Section 628(j) of the Communications Act provides that any provision of Section 628, including the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D), that applies to a cable operator also applies to any common carrier or its affiliate that provides video programming.522 Programming affiliated with other MVPDs, such as DBS providers, is beyond the scope of the exclusive contract prohibition in Section 628(c)(2)(D). We seek comment on 517 See Local Franchising Report and Order, 22 FCC Rcd at 5132-33, ¶ 62 (“The record here indicates that a provider’s ability to offer video service and to deploy broadband networks are linked intrinsically, and the federal goals of enhanced cable competition and rapid broadband deployment are interrelated.”) (footnote omitted). 518 See 47 U.S.C. §§ 548(b); 548(c)(2)(D). 519 See Verizon Comments at 13-14; Verizon Reply Comments at 5. 520 47 U.S.C.§ 548(b). The Commission has stated “there may be circumstances where moving programming from satellite to terrestrial delivery could be cognizable under Section 628(b) as an unfair method of competition or deceptive practice if it precluded competitive MVPDs from providing satellite cable programming.” See RCN Telecom Services v. Cablevision Systems Corp., 16 FCC Rcd 12048, 12053, ¶ 15; DIRECTV, 15 FCC Rcd at 22807; Implementation of Section 302 of the Telecommunications Act of 1996, Open Video Systems, 11 FCC Rcd 18223, 18325, ¶ 197 n.451 (1996) (“we do not foreclose a challenge under Section 628(b) to conduct that involves moving satellite delivered programming to terrestrial distribution in order to evade application of the program access rules and having to deal with competing MVPDs”). 521 See supra ¶ 76. 522 See supra note 377; see also 47 U.S.C. § 548(j). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 72 whether to extend the exclusive contract prohibition to non-cable-affiliated programming that is affiliated with a different MVPD, principally a DBS provider, pursuant to Sections 4(i), 201(b), 303(r), 601(6), 612(g), 616(a), 628(b), or 706, or any other provision under the Communications Act.523 D. Tying of Desired Programming with Undesired Programming 119. Small and rural cable operators and other MVPDs have raised concerns regarding tying of MVPDs’ rights to carry broadcast stations with carriage of other owned or affiliated broadcast stations in the same or a distant market or one or more affiliated non-broadcast network.524 For example, in 2002, the American Cable Association (“ACA”), representing small cable operators, filed a Petition for Inquiry stating that broadcast networks and station groups engage in unfair retransmission tying arrangements.525 ACA explains that tying harms small cable operators and their consumers by increasing the costs of basic cable and reducing program choices.526 Small and rural cable operators and other MVPDs, in addition to recent program access complainants, have also raised concerns regarding the practice of programmers to tie marquee programming, such as premium channels or regional sports programming, with unwanted, or less desirable, programming.527 For example, in their comments on the Notice, OPASTCO/ITAA, representing small and rural MVPDs, cites the practice of programmers to require carriage of less popular programming in specified (usually basic) tiers in return for the right to carry popular programming as an onerous and unreasonable condition that denies consumers choice and impedes entry into the MVPD market.528 120. When programming is available for purchase only through programmer-controlled packages that include both desired and undesired programming, MVPDs face two choices. First, the MVPD can refuse the tying arrangement, thereby potentially depriving itself of desired, and often economically vital, programming that subscribers demand and which may be essential to attracting and retaining subscribers. Second, the MVPD can agree to the tying arrangement, thereby incurring costs for programming that its subscribers do not demand and may not want, with such costs being passed on to subscribers in the form of higher rates, and also forcing the MVPD to allocate channel capacity for the unwanted programming in place of programming that its subscribers prefer. 529 In either case, the MVPD and its subscribers are harmed by the refusal of the programmer to offer each of its programming services on a stand-alone basis. We note that the competitive harm and adverse impact on consumers would be the same regardless of whether the programmer is affiliated with a cable operator or a broadcaster or is affiliated with neither a cable operator nor a broadcaster, such as networks affiliated with a non-cable MVPD or a non-affiliated independent network. Moreover, we note that small cable operators and MVPDs are particularly vulnerable to such tying arrangements because they do not have leverage in negotiations for programming due to their smaller subscriber bases.530 As discussed in more detail below, 523 See supra n. 516. 524 See supra ¶ 82. 525 American Cable Association’s Petition for Inquiry into Retransmission Consent Practices (filed October 1, 2002) (“ACA 2002 Petition”). 526 See id. at 2, 18. 527 EchoStar Satellite L.L.C. v. Home Box Office, Inc., CSR 7070-P, filed November 15, 2006, dismissed at the request of the parties on February 5, 2007, DA 07-2661. 528 See OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 5-8. 529 See ACA 2002 Petition at 2 (“Due to limited capacity of smaller cable systems, tying arrangements restrict the ability of those systems to carry additional services.”). 530 See NTCA Comments at 8. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 73 we seek comment on these various types of tying arrangements. Given the problems associated with such tying arrangements, we seek comment on whether it may be appropriate for the Commission to preclude them. We also seek comment on the extent to which these disparities in bargaining power are the result of media consolidation, and, if so, what steps the Commission can and should take to redress the imbalance. 121. Tying of Broadcast Programming. We seek comment on the tying of MVPDs’ rights to carry broadcast stations with carriage of other owned or affiliated broadcast stations in the same or a distant market or one or more affiliated non-broadcast networks. Section 325(b)(3)(C) of the Communications Act obligates broadcasters and multichannel video programming distributors to negotiate retransmission consent agreements in good faith.531 Specifically, the Commission must establish regulations that: until January 1, 2010, prohibit a television broadcast station that provides retransmission consent from engaging in exclusive contracts for carriage or failing to negotiate in good faith, and it shall not be a failure to negotiate in good faith if the television broadcast station enters into retransmission consent agreements containing different terms and conditions, including price terms, with different multichannel video programming distributors if such different terms and conditions are based on competitive marketplace considerations.532 122. In its Good Faith Order, the Commission adopted rules implementing the good faith negotiation provisions and the complaint procedures for alleged rule violations.533 The Good Faith Order adopted a two-part test for good faith.534 The first part of the test consists of a brief, objective list of negotiations standards.535 The second part of the good faith test is based on a totality of the circumstances standard.536 531 47 U.S.C. § 325(b)(3)(C). 532 47 U.S.C. § 325(b)(3)(C)(ii). Pursuant to the Satellite Home Viewer Extension and Reauthorization Act of 2004 (“SHVERA”), Congress extended 47 U.S.C. § 325(b)(3)(C) until 2010 and amended that section to impose a reciprocal good faith retransmission consent bargaining obligation on MVPDs. The Commission adopted rules implementing Section 207 of SHVERA. See In the Matter of: Implementation of Section 207 of the Satellite Home Viewer Extension and Reauthorization Act of 2004: Reciprocal Bargaining Obligation, 20 FCC Rcd 10339 (2005). (“Reciprocal Bargaining Order”). 533 Implementation of the Satellite Home Viewer Improvement Act of 1999: Retransmission Consent Issues, 15 FCC Rcd 5445 (2000) (“Good Faith Order”), recon. granted in part, 16 FCC Rcd 15599 (2001). 534 Good Faith Order, 15 FCC Rcd at 5457. 535 Id. at 5462-64. First, a broadcaster may not refuse to negotiate with an MVPD regarding retransmission consent. Second, a broadcaster must appoint a negotiating representative with authority to bargain on retransmission consent issues. Third, a broadcaster must agree to meet at reasonable times and locations and cannot act in a manner that would unduly delay the course of negotiations. Fourth, a broadcaster may not put forth a single, unilateral proposal. Fifth, a broadcaster, in responding to an offer proposed by an MVPD, must provide considered reasons for rejecting any aspects of the MVPD’s offer. Sixth, a broadcaster is prohibited from entering into an agreement with any party conditioned upon denying retransmission consent to any MVPD. Finally, a broadcaster must agree to execute a written retransmission consent agreement that sets forth the full agreement between the broadcaster and the MVPD. Id.; see 47 C.F.R. § 76.65(b)(1)(i)-(vii). 536 Good Faith Order, 15 FCC Rcd at 5458; 47 C.F.R. § 76.65(b)(2). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 74 123. The Commission has held that “[r]efusal by a Negotiating Entity to put forth more than a single, unilateral proposal” is a per se violation of a broadcast licensee’s good faith obligation.537 The Commission has also indicated that such requirement is not limited to monetary considerations, but also applies to situations where a broadcaster is unyielding in its insistence upon carriage of a secondary programming service undesired by the cable operator as a condition of granting its retransmission consent: “Take it, or leave it” bargaining is not consistent with an affirmative obligation to negotiate in good faith. For example, a broadcaster might initially propose that, in exchange for carriage of its signal, an MVPD carry a cable channel owned by, or affiliated with, the broadcaster. The MVPD might reject such offer on the reasonable grounds that it has no vacant channel capacity and request to compensate the broadcaster in some other way. Good faith negotiation requires that the broadcaster at least consider some form of consideration other than carriage of affiliated programming. This standard does not, in any way, require a broadcaster to reduce the amount of consideration it desires for carriage of its signal. This standard only requires that the broadcaster be open to discussing more than one form of consideration in seeking compensation for retransmission of its signal by MVPDs.538 124. As discussed above, ACA in 2002 filed a Petition for Inquiry regarding the Commission’s retransmission consent rules.539 ACA’s Petition raises concerns about broadcasters’ alleged abuse of the retransmission consent process.540 ACA asserts that broadcast networks and station groups engage in unfair retransmission tying arrangements. ACA asserts that small cable operators have minimal bargaining power during negotiations and are targets for abuse because of their lack of resources to file complaints and engage in disputes. 537 47 C.F.R. § 76.65(b)(1)(iv). 538 Good Faith Order, 15 FCC Rcd at 5463, ¶ 43. 539 American Cable Association’s Petition for Inquiry into Retransmission Consent Practices (filed October 1, 2002). This petition will be placed in the record of this proceeding. ACA also filed a “Petition for Rulemaking to Amend 47 CFR §§ 76.64,76.93 and 76.103” on March 2, 2005, which asserted that competition and consumers are harmed when broadcasters use exclusivity and network affiliate agreements to extract “supracomepetitive prices” for retransmission consent from small cable companies. See Public Notice, Report No. 2696, RM-11203 (March 17, 2005). 540 We note that that in its Retransmission Consent and Exclusivity Rules: Report to Congress Pursuant to Section 208 of the Satellite Home Viewer Extension and Reauthorization Act of 2004 (September 8, 2005) (available at http://www.fcc.gov/mb/policy/shvera.html), the Commission addressed the tying issue. The Commission noted “cable operators’ widespread concern that retransmission consent negotiations frequently involve broadcasters tying carriage of their signals to numerous affiliated non-broadcast programming networks.” Id. at 25. The Report noted that “since the Commission’s decision to deny broadcasters the ability to assert dual and multicast must carry, broadcasters have begun using their retransmission consent negotiations to negotiate carriage of their digital signals, thus furthering the digital transition by increasing the number of households with access to digital signals. If broadcasters are limited in their ability to accept in-kind compensation, they should be granted full carriage rights for digital signals, including all free over-the-air digital multicast streams. Should Congress consider proposals circumscribing retransmission consent compensation, we encouraged review of related rules and policies to maintain proper balance.” Id. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 75 125. We seek comment on the current status of carriage negotiations in today’s marketplace. We seek comment on whether broadcasters are tying carriage of their broadcast signals to carriage of other owned or affiliated broadcast stations in the same or a distant market or one or more affiliated non- broadcast networks and, if so, how retransmission consent negotiations are impacted. We ask if broadcast networks and station groups engage in retransmission consent tying arrangements that result in harm to small cable operators and their customers. We ask if the Commission’s good faith negotiation regulations provide enough protection for small cable operators and small broadcasters in the negotiation process, taking into account the administrative burdens and costs of engaging in a contested case before the Commission. We seek comment on whether and how the Commission’s good faith negotiation regulations should be modified to address these concerns. Also, we ask what the effect of any modifications would be on the economic underpinnings of broadcast-affiliated programmers. 126. We also seek comment on whether the Commission has the jurisdiction to preclude tying arrangements by broadcasters, without modification of the retransmission consent regime by Congress. The legislative history of Section 325 addresses the right of broadcasters to seek carriage of additional channels as part of retransmission consent transactions: “Other broadcasters may not seek monetary compensation, but instead negotiate other issues with cable systems, such as joint marketing efforts, the opportunity to provide news inserts on cable channels, or the right to program an additional channel on a cable system. It is the Committee’s intention to establish a marketplace for the disposition of the rights to retransmit broadcast signals; it is not the Committee’s intention in this bill to dictate the outcome of the ensuing marketplace negotiations.”541 Congress appeared to contemplate carriage of broadcast-affiliated cable channels as part of legitimate retransmission consent negotiations. 127. In addition, we seek comment regarding whether there are grounds for the Commission to depart from prior holdings that permitted broadcasters to negotiate the carriage of affiliated channels as part of retransmission consent negotiations. The Commission has stated that examples of bargaining proposals “presumptively… consistent with competitive marketplace considerations and the good faith negotiation requirement” include “proposals for carriage conditioned on carriage of any other programming, such as a broadcaster’s digital signals, an affiliated cable programming service, or another broadcast station either in the same or a different market.”542 We held that such a proposal contains “presumptively legitimate terms and conditions or forms of consideration” and found nothing to suggest that such a request is “impermissible” or anything “other than a competitive marketplace consideration.”543 In 2001, the Commission considered but refused to adopt rules specifically prohibiting tying arrangements.544 The Commission concluded that such arrangements are permitted, but stated it would continue to monitor the situation with respect to potential anticompetitive conduct by broadcasters. We seek comment on whether market circumstances and industry practices have changed to warrant a different conclusion. 128. Lastly, we ask whether Commission action to preclude tying arrangements is consistent with the First Amendment. On the one hand, it could be argued that restricting such arrangements infringes the right of broadcasters to express a message by packaging together certain content. On the other hand, we note that the Supreme Court has observed that “the programming offered on various 541 S.Rep. No. 102-92, at 35-36 (1991), accompanying S.12, 102nd Cong. (1991). 542 Implementation of the Satellite Home View Improvement Act of 1999; Retransmission Consent Issues, Good Faith Negotiation and Exclusivity, 15 FCC Rcd 5445, 5469 (2000). 543 Id. 544 Carriage of Digital Television Broadcast Signals; Amendments to Part 76 of the Commission’s Rules, Implementation of the Satellite Home View Improvement Act of 1999, 16 FCC Rcd 2598, 2613 (2001). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 76 channels” by video distributors consists of “individual, unrelated segments that happen to be transmitted together for individual selection by members of the audience.”545 Unlike newspapers and magazines, the Court suggested that these segments do not “contribute something to a common theme” expressed by the distributor to its subscribers.546 129. Tying of Satellite Cable Programming. Small and rural MVPDs as well as program access complainants have asserted that tying practices by satellite cable programmers constitute “unfair methods of competition or unfair or deceptive acts or practices, the purpose or effect of which is to hinder significantly or to prevent any [MVPD] from providing satellite cable programming…to subscribers or consumers” in violation of Section 628(b) of the Communications Act.547 At the time of the First Report and Order, the Commission declined to adopt specific rules under Section 628(b) to address tying, while clearly reserving the right to do so if necessary: Neither the record of this proceeding nor the legislative history offer much insight into the types of practices that might constitute a violation of the statute with respect to the unspecified “unfair practices” prohibited by Section 628(b)…. The objectives of the provision, however, are clearly to provide a mechanism for addressing those types of conduct, primarily associated with horizontal and vertical concentration within the cable and satellite cable programming field, that inhibit the development of multichannel video distribution competition. * * * * * Thus, although the types of conduct more specifically referenced in the statute, i.e., exclusive contracting, undue influence among affiliates, and discriminatory sales practices, appear to be the primary areas of congressional concern, Section 628(b) is a clear repository of Commission jurisdiction to adopt additional rules or to take additional actions to accomplish the statutory objectives should additional types of conduct emerge as barriers to competition and obstacles to broader distribution of satellite cable…programming.548 130. We seek comment on the current status of carriage negotiations in today’s marketplace. We seek comment on whether satellite cable programmers are tying carriage of their desirable channels to carriage of other less desirable owned or affiliated channels. We ask whether and how such tying arrangements affect small cable operators and their customers. We seek comment on whether “take-it-or- leave-it” tying arrangements (i.e., where the purchase of desired programming is conditioned on the purchase of undesired programming) without any alternative offer to provide the programming on a stand-alone basis are prevalent in the industry; and if so, whether such an arrangement is a violation of Section 628(b). As discussed above, in such situations, MVPDs are victims of an unfair method of competition that hinders significantly or prevents MVPDs from providing satellite cable programming to subscribers. 131. We also seek comment on whether the Commission has the jurisdiction to preclude tying arrangements by satellite cable programmers under Section 628(b) or any other statutory authority. We 545 Hurley v. Irish-American Gay, Lesbian, and Bisexual Group of Boston, Inc., 515 U.S. 557, 576 (1995). 546 Id. 547 47 U.S.C.§ 548(b). 548 First Report and Order, 8 FCC Rcd at 3373. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 77 seek comment on whether Section 628(b) requires satellite cable programmers to offer each of their programming services on a stand-alone basis to all MVPDs at reasonable rates, terms, and conditions. Moreover, to the extent that we decide in this proceeding to extend the Commission’s program access rules to terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming networks, we seek comment on whether we should also require terrestrially delivered cable-affiliated programming networks to be offered on a stand- alone basis to all MVPDs at reasonable rates, terms, and conditions. Lastly, we ask whether Commission action to preclude tying arrangements by satellite cable programmers is consistent with the First Amendment. 132. Tying of Other Programming. We also seek comment on whether we have the jurisdiction or authority to require networks that are affiliated with neither a cable operator nor a broadcaster, such as networks affiliated with a non-cable MVPD or a non-affiliated independent network, to be offered on a stand-alone basis to all MVPDs at reasonable rates, terms, and conditions. We seek comment on the extent to which such programming networks have engaged in unfair tying practices or other abusive practices that would require regulatory intervention. We seek comment on whether it would be appropriate to regulate these programming networks in such a manner pursuant to Sections 4(i), 201(b), 303(r), 601(6), 612(g), 616(a), and 706, or any other provision under the Communications Act. E. Program Access Concerns Raised by Small and Rural MVPDs 133. As discussed above, small and rural MVPDs raise additional issues in their comments regarding obstacles they face in trying to obtain access to programming.549 They ask the Commission to examine various conditions they describe as onerous and unreasonable, which they allege are imposed by programmers on small and rural MVPDs for access to content, including restrictions on the use of shared headends for receiving content.550 NTCA and OPASTCO/ITTA claim that use of a shared headend is an economical means for multiple rural MVPDs to provide video service in a high-cost area, but that programmers have expressed concern with the potential for the use of shared headends to result in unauthorized reception of programming.551 NTCA states that while shared headend providers are currently negotiating with content providers to resolve these issues, it is concerned that rural consumers served by shared headends may lose access to programming if these negotiations fail.552 In addition to the issue of shared headends, small and rural MVPDs ask the Commission to examine other conditions imposed by programmers, including (i) requiring MVPDs to enter into mandatory non-disclosure agreements with programmers, which prevents small and rural MVPDs from obtaining information about 549 See NTCA Comments at 6-8; OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 5-8. 550 See NTCA Comments at 6-7; OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 8. 551 See NTCA Comments at 7 (“Some small video providers serve less than 300 residents within their service areas. If many small rural video providers were required to invest approximately $1 to $3 million in a head-end, manage and maintain the network and absorb the programming costs, they could never expect to recover their investment nor provide affordable/competitive video services throughout their service areas.”). 552 See id. at 7; OPASTCO/ITTA at 8 (asking the Commission to establish that the use of shared headends may not serve as an excuse for programmers to impose inordinately high rates or unwarranted encryption restrictions beyond those necessary for a reasonable degree of protection). In response to these concerns, NCTA and Comcast argue that the issue of restrictions on the use of shared headends is not within the Commission’s authority under Section 628 and that the use of shared headends raises a security issue that is relevant to all programming networks, regardless of whether the programming network is affiliated with a cable operator. See NCTA Reply Comments at 14-15; Comcast Reply Comments at 31-32. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 78 the market value of programming;553 (ii) requiring small and rural MVPDs to provide programmers with “hundreds of advertising slots”;554 and (iii) mandating unwarranted security requirements that extend beyond the legitimate need to protect programming.555 OPASTCO/ITTA claim that all of these conditions impede the entry of small and rural telephone companies into the video distribution marketplace. We seek comment on the extent to which such practices are occurring in the marketplace and, if so, whether we should, and whether we have the authority to, take action to address these practices. F. Modification of Program Access Complaint Procedures 134. Remedies for Violations. We seek comment on whether to add an arbitration-type step as part of the Commission’s determination of an appropriate remedy for program access violations. We agree with commenters that commercial arbitration requires parties to put forth their best effort to resolve disputes or risk the arbitrator adopting the opposing parties’ proposals.556 This type of pressure can encourage the parties to resolve their differences through settlement. We believe that a modified version of this method can encourage negotiation among the parties. Therefore, we seek comment on whether, when feasible, the Commission should request, as part of its evaluation of the appropriate remedy to impose for program access violations, that the parties each submit their best “final offer” proposal for the rates, terms, or conditions under review. We seek comment on whether the Commission should have the discretion to adopt one of the parties’ proposals as the remedy for the program access complaint. 135. Status of Existing Contract Pending Resolution of Program Access Complaint. While we decline to adopt mandatory arbitration in lieu of the Commission’s complaint process in the Order, we issue this NPRM on the issue of a provision for complainants to request a stay of any action or proposed action that would change an existing program contract that is the subject of a program access complaint, pending the resolution of the program access complaint. Some competitive providers recommend a “standstill” requirement for pre-existing carriage contracts during adjudication of program access disputes, to preserve the status quo until the program access complaint has been resolved.557 In a recent merger transaction, in adopting conditions for arbitration of program access disputes, the Commission required that an aggrieved MVPD have continued access to the programming in question under the terms and conditions of the expired contract, pending resolution of the dispute.558 Verizon supports a five- month long standstill provision while complaints are being resolved. BSPA, RCN, and USTelecom support a standstill provision pending the resolution of the complaint, wherein carriage is continued and the parties are subject to the same price, terms, and conditions of the existing contract, with any new price 553 See OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 6; see also Comments of OPASTCO, MB Docket No. 06-189 (December 29, 2006), at 12. 554 See OPASTCO/ITTA Comments at 6. 555 See id. 556 See Echostar Comments at n. 36; BSPA Comments at n. 16 (citing Hughes Order, 19 FCC Rcd 473, 552, ¶ 174 and n.490, which concluded that final offer arbitration has the attractive “ability to induce two sides to reach their own agreement, lest they risk the possibility that a relatively extreme offer of the other side may be selected by the arbitrator” (citing Steven J. Brams, Negotiation Games: Applying Game Theory to Negotiation and Arbitration, Routledge, 2003 at 264)). 557 See BSPA Comment at 7; Verizon Comments at 16-17; BSPA Reply Comments at 15. 558 See Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8337, Appendix B, § B(2)(c). Provision of the disputed programming during the pendency of arbitration was not required in the case of the first time requests for programming where no carriage agreement had previously existed between the parties. See id., Appendix B, § B(2)(d). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 79 arising out of resolution to be applied retroactively to the date of the complaint.559 BSPA asserts that vertically integrated programmers covered by the program access rules have incentives to use temporary foreclosure strategies during negotiations for programming and, therefore, standstill agreements should be made part of the program access complaint procedures.560 Other parties favoring a standstill provision include ACA, EchoStar, and SureWest.561 EchoStar asserts that there can be no doubt that the Commission has the authority to promulgate a standstill requirement as a lesser interim remedy where interruption of carriage threatens to cause irreparable injury to the public.562 136. NCTA opposes any “standstill” provision and states that there is no authority that allows the Commission to interfere in the right to contract in this way.563 Time Warner asserts that the standstill requirement would prohibit a network from de-authorizing carriage by an MVPD, but would allow the MVPD to drop the network, creating an unfair bargaining situation.564 Time Warner believes that any standstill requirement would increase the likelihood of program access complaints because the MVPD will have a strong incentive to file a complaint just to protect the status quo and decrease the chances that parties will resolve their disputes because the incentive of either party to negotiate could be reduced once the status quo is protected.565 Comcast and the Broadcast Networks also oppose any “standstill” requirement.566 137. We agree that the threat of temporary foreclosure pending resolution of a complaint may impair settlement negotiations and may discourage parties from filing legitimate complaints.567 We request comment on whether the issuance of temporary stay orders would encourage parties to resolve program access disputes and to make use of the Commission’s complaint procedures when needed. We request comment on whether complainants must formally request such relief from the Commission and must establish that they are likely to prevail on the merits of their complaint; will suffer irreparable harm absent a stay; that the balance of harms to the parties favors grant of a stay; and that the public interest favors grant of the stay.568 We request comment on whether, as part of a showing of irreparable harm, 559 See BSPA Comments at 14-15; RCN Comments at 19-20; USTelecom Comments at 27. 560 See BSPA Comments at 15. 561 See ACA Comments at 8; EchoStar Comments at 30; SureWest Comments at 10. 562 See ACA Comments at 8; EchoStar Comments at 30; SureWest Comments at 10. 563 See NCTA Reply Comments at 14. 564 See Time Warner Reply Comments at 19. 565 See id. 566 See Broadcast Networks Reply Comments at 3; Comcast Reply Comments at 38. 567 In the Adelphia Order, the Commission discussed circumstances wherein temporary foreclosure of programming service may be profitable even where permanent foreclosure is not. See Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8257-58, ¶ 121. By temporarily foreclosing supply of the programming to an MVPD competitor or by threatening to engage in temporary foreclosure, the integrated firm may improve its bargaining position so as to be able to extract a higher price from the MVPD competitor than it could have negotiated if it were a non-integrated programming supplier. See id. The Commission included, as a measure to alleviate such foreclosure strategies, a requirement that, upon receiving timely notice of an MVPD’s intent to arbitrate, program carriage be continued under the existing terms and conditions. See id. at Appendix B, § B(2)(c); see also Hughes Order, 19 FCC Rcd at 544-48, ¶¶ 153-162 and 633, Appendix D. 568 See, e.g., Virginia Petroleum Jobbers Ass’n v. FPC, 259 F.2d 921, 925 (D.C. Cir. 1958); see also Hispanic Information and Telecomm. Network, Inc., 20 FCC Rcd 5471, 5480, ¶ 26 (2005) (affirming Bureau’s denial of request for stay on grounds applicant failed to establish four criteria demonstrating stay is warranted). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 80 complainants may discuss the likelihood that subscribers would switch MVPDs to obtain the programming in dispute for a long enough period to make the strategy profitable to the respondent. We request comment on whether these stays should be routinely granted when the facts support their issuance and that they will help to encourage settlement negotiations. We request comment on the nature of the stay, that is, whether both the complainant and the respondent will be subject to the stay order, and required to fulfill their respective obligations under the terms and conditions of the carriage contract in issue, while the stay is in effect. We request comment on whether complainants will be permitted to drop the programming that is the subject of the program access dispute unless and until a request to dismiss the complaint with prejudice is granted by the Commission. We request comment on whether the length of the stay should be entirely discretionary. Finally, we request comment on whether the Commission should include, as part of its final order resolving the complaint or resolving damages, adjustments to its remedies that make the terms of the new agreement between the parties retroactive to the expiration date of the previous agreement. V. PROCEDURAL MATTERS A. Filing Requirements 138. Ex Parte Rules. The Notice of Proposed Rulemaking in this proceeding will be treated as “permit-but-disclose” subject to the “permit-but-disclose” requirements under Section 1.1206(b) of the Commission’s rules.569 Ex parte presentations are permissible if disclosed in accordance with Commission rules, except during the Sunshine Agenda period when presentations, ex parte or otherwise, are generally prohibited. Persons making oral ex parte presentations are reminded that a memorandum summarizing a presentation must contain a summary of the substance of the presentation and not merely a listing of the subjects discussed. More than a one- or two-sentence description of the views and arguments presented is generally required.570 Additional rules pertaining to oral and written presentations are set forth in Section 1.1206(b). 139. Comments and Reply Comments. Pursuant to sections 1.415 and 1.419 of the Commission’s rules, 47 CFR §§ 1.415, 1.419, interested parties may file comments and reply comments on or before the dates indicated on the first page of this document. Comments may be filed using: (1) the Commission’s Electronic Comment Filing System (ECFS), (2) the Federal Government’s eRulemaking Portal, or (3) by filing paper copies.571 § Electronic Filers: Comments may be filed electronically using the Internet by accessing the ECFS: http://www.fcc.gov/cgb/ecfs/ or the Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://www.regulations.gov. Filers should follow the instructions provided on the website for submitting comments. § For ECFS filers, if multiple docket or rulemaking numbers appear in the caption of this proceeding, filers must transmit one electronic copy of the comments for each docket or rulemaking number referenced in the caption. In completing the transmittal screen, filers should include their full name, U.S. Postal Service mailing address, and the applicable docket or rulemaking number. Parties may also submit an electronic comment by Internet e-mail. To get filing instructions, filers should send an e-mail to ecfs@fcc.gov, 569 See 47 C.F.R. § 1.1206(b), as revised. 570 See id. § 1.1206(b)(2). 571 See Electronic Filing of Documents in Rulemaking Proceedings, 63 FR 24121 (1998). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 81 and include the following words in the body of the message, “get form.” A sample form and directions will be sent in response. § Paper Filers: Parties who choose to file by paper must file an original and four copies of each filing. If more than one docket or rulemaking number appears in the caption of this proceeding, filers must submit two additional copies for each additional docket or rulemaking number. Filings can be sent by hand or messenger delivery, by commercial overnight courier, or by first-class or overnight U.S. Postal Service mail (although we continue to experience delays in receiving U.S. Postal Service mail). All filings must be addressed to the Commission’s Secretary, Office of the Secretary, Federal Communications Commission. § The Commission’s contractor will receive hand-delivered or messenger-delivered paper filings for the Commission’s Secretary at 236 Massachusetts Avenue, NE, Suite 110, Washington, DC 20002. The filing hours at this location are 8:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m. All hand deliveries must be held together with rubber bands or fasteners. Any envelopes must be disposed of before entering the building. § Commercial overnight mail (other than U.S. Postal Service Express Mail and Priority Mail) must be sent to 9300 East Hampton Drive, Capitol Heights, MD 20743. § U.S. Postal Service first-class, Express, and Priority mail must be addressed to 445 12th Street, SW, Washington DC 20554. 140. People with Disabilities: To request materials in accessible formats for people with disabilities (braille, large print, electronic files, audio format), send an e-mail to fcc504@fcc.gov or call the Consumer & Governmental Affairs Bureau at 202-418-0530 (voice), 202-418-0432 (tty). 141. Availability of Documents. Comments, reply comments, and ex parte submissions will be available for public inspection during regular business hours in the FCC Reference Center, Federal Communications Commission, 445 12th Street, S.W., CY-A257, Washington, D.C., 20554. Persons with disabilities who need assistance in the FCC Reference Center may contact Bill Cline at (202) 418-0267 (voice), (202) 418-7365 (TTY), or bill.cline@fcc.gov. These documents also will be available from the Commission’s Electronic Comment Filing System. Documents are available electronically in ASCII, Word 97, and Adobe Acrobat. Copies of filings in this proceeding may be obtained from Best Copy and Printing, Inc., Portals II, 445 12th Street, S.W., Room CY-B402, Washington, D.C., 20554; they can also be reached by telephone, at (202) 488-5300 or (800) 378-3160; by e-mail at fcc@bcpiweb.com; or via their website at http://www.bcpiweb.com. To request materials in accessible formats for people with disabilities (Braille, large print, electronic files, audio format), send an e-mail to fcc504@fcc.gov or call the Consumer and Governmental Affairs Bureau at (202) 418-0531 (voice), (202) 418-7365 (TTY). 142. Information. For additional information on this proceeding, contact Steven Broeckaert, Steven.Broeckaert@fcc.gov; David Konczal, David.Konczal@fcc.gov; or Katie Costello, Katie.Costello@fcc.gov; of the Media Bureau, Policy Division, (202) 418-2120. B. Initial and Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis 143. Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis (“IRFA”). The Regulatory Flexibility Act of 1980, as amended (“RFA”),572 requires that a regulatory flexibility analysis be prepared for notice and 572 The RFA, see 5 U.S.C. §§ 601 – 612, has been amended by the Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act of 1996 (“SBREFA”), Pub. L. No. 104-121, Title II, 110 Stat. 857 (1996). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 82 comment rule making proceedings, unless the agency certifies that “the rule will not, if promulgated, have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities.”573 The RFA generally defines the term “small entity” as having the same meaning as the terms “small business,” “small organization,” and “small governmental jurisdiction.”574 In addition, the term “small business” has the same meaning as the term “small business concern” under the Small Business Act.575 A “small business concern” is one which: (1) is independently owned and operated; (2) is not dominant in its field of operation; and (3) satisfies any additional criteria established by the Small Business Administration (SBA).576 As required by the RFA,577 the Commission has prepared an Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis (“IRFA”) of the possible significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities of the proposals addressed in the NPRM. The IRFA is set forth in Appendix F. 144. Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis (“FRFA”). As required by the RFA,578 the Commission has prepared an FRFA relating to the Report and Order. The FRFA is set forth in Appendix G. C. Paperwork Reduction Act Analysis 145. Initial Paperwork Reduction Act Analysis. The NPRM has been analyzed with respect to the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (“PRA”),579 and contains proposed information collection requirements. The Commission, as part of its continuing effort to reduce paperwork burdens, invites the general public and the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) to comment on the proposed information collection requirements contained in this Notice, as required by the PRA. 146. Written comments on the PRA proposed information collection requirements must be submitted by the public, the OMB, and other interested parties on or before 60 days after publication in the Federal Register. Comments should address: (a) whether the proposed collection of information is necessary for the proper performance of the functions of the Commission, including whether the information shall have practical utility; (b) the accuracy of the Commission’s burden estimates; (c) ways to enhance the quality, utility, and clarity of the information collected; and (d) ways to minimize the burden of the collection of information on the respondents, including the use of automated collection techniques or other forms of information technology. In addition, pursuant to the Small Business Paperwork Relief Act of 2002,580 we seek specific comment on how we might “further reduce the information collection burden for small business concerns with fewer than 25 employees.” 573 5 U.S.C. § 605(b). 574 Id. § 601(6). 575 Id. § 601(3) (incorporating by reference the definition of “small business concern” in the Small Business Act, 15 U.S.C. § 632). Pursuant to 5 U.S.C. § 601(3), the statutory definition of a small business applies “unless an agency, after consultation with the Office of Advocacy of the Small Business Administration and after opportunity for public comment, establishes one or more definitions of such term which are appropriate to the activities of the agency and publishes such definition(s) in the Federal Register.” Id. § 601(3). 576 15 U.S.C. § 632. 577 See 5 U.S.C. § 603. 578 See 5 U.S.C. § 604. 579 The Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (“PRA”), Pub. L. No. 104-13, 109 Stat 163 (1995) (codified in Chapter 35 of title 44 U.S.C.). 580 The Small Business Paperwork Relief Act of 2002 (“SBPRA”), Pub. L. No. 107-198, 116 Stat 729 (2002) (codified in Chapter 35 of title 44 U.S.C.); see 44 U.S.C. 3506(c)(4). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 83 147. In addition to filing comments with the Office of the Secretary, a copy of any comments on the proposed information collection requirements contained herein should be submitted to Cathy Williams, Federal Communications Commission, 445 12th St, S.W., Room 1-C823, Washington, D.C., 20554, or via the Internet at PRA@fcc.gov; and also to Jasmeet Seehra, OMB Desk Officer, Room 10236 NEOB, 725 17th Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20503, or via Internet to Jasmeet_K._Seehra@omb.eop.gov, or via fax at 202-395-5167. 148. Further Information. For additional information concerning the PRA proposed information collection requirements contained in this NPRM, contact Cathy Williams at 202-418-2918, or via the Internet at PRA@fcc.gov. 149. Final Paperwork Reduction Act Analysis. This document contains new information collection requirements subject to the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (PRA), Public Law 104-13. It will be submitted to the OMB for review under Section 3507(d) of the PRA. OMB, the general public, and other Federal agencies are invited to comment on the new information collection requirements contained in this proceeding. In addition, we note that pursuant to the Small Business Paperwork Relief Act of 2002, Public Law 107-198, see 44 U.S.C. 3506(c)(4), we will seek specific comment on how the Commission might “further reduce the information collection burden for small business concerns with fewer than 25 employees.” 150. We have assessed the effects of the new information collection requirements, and find that those requirements will benefit companies with fewer than 25 employees by facilitating the resolution of program access complaints and that these requirements will not burden those companies. D. Congressional Review Act 151. Congressional Review Act. The Commission will send a copy of this Report and Order and Notice of Proposed Rulemaking in a report to be sent to Congress and the Government Accountability Office pursuant to the Congressional Review Act, see 5 U.S.C. § 801(a)(1)(A). VI. ORDERING CLAUSES 152. Accordingly, IT IS ORDERED, pursuant to the authority found in Sections 4(i), 303(r), and 628 of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U.S.C. §§ 154(i), 303(r), and 548, this Report and Order and Notice of Proposed Rulemaking IS ADOPTED. 153. IT IS ORDERED that, pursuant to the authority found in Sections 4(i), 303(r), and 628 of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U.S.C. §§ 154(i), 303(r), and 548, the Commission’s rules ARE HEREBY AMENDED as set forth in Appendix D. 154. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that (i) pursuant to 5 U.S.C. § 553(d)(3) and 47 C.F.R. § 1.427(b), the amendment to Section 76.1002(c)(6) and new Sections 76.1003(i) and 76.1003(k) WILL BECOME EFFECTIVE upon publication in the Federal Register;581 and (ii) the amendment to Section 581 See 5 U.S.C. § 553(d)(3) (“The required publication or service of a substantive rule shall be made not less than 30 days before its effective date, except ... as otherwise provided by the agency for good cause found and published with the rule.”); see also 47 C.F.R. §§ 1.103(a), 1.427(b). Section 76.1002(c)(6) provides that the exclusive contract prohibition set forth in Section 76.1002(c)(2) will expire on October 5, 2007. See 47 C.F.R. § 76.1002(c)(6). Accordingly, it is necessary for the five-year extension of this prohibition reflected in the amendment to Section 76.1002(c)(6) adopted herein to take effect by October 5, 2007. We thus find good cause to make the amendment to Section 76.1002(c)(6) effective upon publication in the Federal Register. We note further that this amendment extends an existing requirement and does not impose any new (continued….) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 84 76.1003(e)(1) and new Section 76.1003(j) contain information collection requirements subject to the PRA and WILL BECOME EFFECTIVE upon approval by the Office of Management and Budget.582 155. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that the Commission’s Consumer and Governmental Affairs Bureau, Reference Information Center, SHALL SEND a copy of this Report and Order and Notice of Proposed Rulemaking including the Initial and Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis, to the Chief Counsel for Advocacy of the Small Business Administration. 156. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that the Commission SHALL SEND a copy of this Report and Order and Notice of Proposed Rulemaking in a report to be sent to Congress and the Government Accountability Office pursuant to the Congressional Review Act, see 5 U.S.C. § 801(a)(1)(A). FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION Marlene H. Dortch Secretary (Continued from previous page) requirements on any entity. Accordingly, no entity will be harmed as a result of our decision to make this amendment effective upon publication in the Federal Register. We also find good cause to make the amendments to our procedural rules adopted herein, other than those that require OMB approval, effective upon publication in the Federal Register. These rules are (i) new Section 76.1003(i), which allows parties to a program access dispute to voluntarily engage in ADR; and (ii) new Section 76.1003(k), which pertains to the Commission’s authority to issue protective orders regarding confidential material submitted in program access complaint proceedings and to issue appropriate sanctions for violations of its protective orders. These new rules are essential to our goal of expeditiously resolving program access complaints. We find good cause to make these amendments effective upon publication in the Federal Register so that parties to all program access complaint proceedings, including those currently pending before the Commission, can benefit from these new rules. With respect to new Section 76.1003(i) regarding ADR, we note this procedure is voluntary and requires both parties to agree to engage in alternative dispute resolution; thus, no entity will be harmed as a result of our decision to make this amendment effective upon publication in the Federal Register. With respect to new Section 76.1003(k) regarding protective orders, we note that this rule enhances existing safeguards provided under our form protective order, and will facilitate and expedite the review of privileged and/or confidential documents; thus, no entity will be harmed as a result of our decision to make this amendment effective upon publication in the Federal Register. 582 The Commission will publish a document in the Federal Register announcing the effective date of the amendment to Section 76.1003(e)(1) and new Section 76.1003(j). Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 85 APPENDIX A List of Commenters Comments filed in MB Docket No. 07-29 American Cable Association AT&T Inc. Broadband Service Providers Association Cablevision Systems Corp. Carol L. Carlson Coalition for Competitive Access to Content Comcast Corporation DIRECTV, Inc. EATEL Video, LLC EchoStar Satellite L.L.C. National Cable & Telecommunications Association National Rural Telecommunications Cooperative National Telecommunications Cooperative Association Office of Advocacy of the United States Small Business Administration Organization for the Promotion and Advancement of Small Telecommunications Companies and the Independent Telephone and Telecommunications Alliance (Joint Comments) Qwest Communications International Inc. RCN Telecom Services, Inc. The Rural Independent Competitive Alliance SureWest Communications The United States Telecom Association Verizon Reply Comments filed in MB Docket No. 07-29 American Cable Association AT&T Inc. Cablevision Systems Corp. Coalition for Competitive Access to Content Comcast Corporation Consumer Federation of America, Consumers Union, Free Press, Media Access Project, and Communications Workers of America (Joint Reply Comments) DIRECTV, Inc. EchoStar Satellite L.L.C. National Cable & Telecommunications Association Qwest Communications International Inc. RCN Telecom Services, Inc. SureWest Communications Time Warner Inc. Verizon The Walt Disney Company, CBS Corporation, Fox Entertainment Group, and NBC Universal (Joint Reply Comments) Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 86 APPENDIX B Response to Cablevision Regarding Analysis in Adelphia Order 1. This Appendix provides further details of the review of Cablevision’s critique of the Commission’s RSN analysis in Appendix D of the Adelphia Order.1 In the Adelphia Order, the Commission conducted a statistical (regression) analysis that found, after holding other relevant factors constant, that non-cable MVPDs had significantly lower market shares in markets where they were denied access to a RSN.2 The regression analysis was part of a larger “uniform price increase strategy” analysis, designed to assess the impact of changes in regional market shares for Comcast and Time Warner on their incentives to raise RSN prices. The resulting calculations indicate that in some markets the largest applicant would have an incentive to raise RSN prices by more than five percent. This result formed part of the rationale for imposing certain conditions on the Adelphia applicants. 2. One parameter needed for the uniform price increase strategy analysis is the amount by which subscribership to a competitive MVPD would fall if that MVPD were to choose not to carry the RSN. Cablevision asserts that “the analysis confuses harm to competitors with harm to consumers . . . . Importantly, it tells us nothing about the effects of exclusive RSN deals on consumer welfare.”3 Neither the regression analysis nor the larger uniform price increase strategy analysis in which it is embedded purport to provide a numerical estimate of the strategy’s impact on consumer welfare. However, the results of the analysis inform the Commission’s predictive judgment, based on the mode of analysis employed in the Department of Justice (“DOJ”) Merger Guidelines, that withholding RSNs from rival MVPDs would reduce MVPD competition and harm customers. Therefore, we do not agree that the regression analysis tells us nothing about the effects of exclusive RSN deals on consumer welfare. 3. In order to assess Cablevision’s critique of the regression analysis itself, it is necessary to describe the analysis briefly. Commission staff specified and estimated a model to explain DBS penetration (the actual dependent variable is the “alternative delivery system” penetration, from Nielsen Media Research) as a function of “cable prices, cable system characteristics, population demographics, and DBS program offerings.”4 The cable system data came from the 2005 FCC Cable Price Survey and the demographic data for the county within which each cable system in the sample is located came from the U.S. Census. 4. The regression equation contains dummy variables for the three markets, Philadelphia, San Diego, and Charlotte, in which local RSNs were not made available to DBS. The estimated coefficients on these dummy variables are negative in all three cases and statistically significant in the case of Philadelphia and San Diego. The magnitude of the coefficients indicates that in Philadelphia, DBS penetration is 40.5% lower than it would be if the local RSN were available to DBS. The corresponding figure for San Diego is 33.3%. 5. Most of Cablevision’s criticisms of the regression model address the claimed omission of certain possibly relevant explanatory variables. However, some of the variables claimed to be left out 1 See Cablevision Comments, Appendix B at 24-25. 2 See Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8341-50, Appendix D. 3 See Cablevision Comments, Appendix B at 24-25. 4 See Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8344, Appendix D, ¶ 14. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 87 were, in fact, included. Moreover, omission of an explanatory variable does not necessarily indicate that the coefficients on the relevant dummy variables are inaccurate or biased. In other words, the impact on DBS penetration of withholding an RSN could still be measured accurately, even if not every relevant explanatory variable were included in the regression. Nevertheless, after reviewing some specific Cablevision comments, we report on supplementary regression results that explicitly include variables that the Cablevision critique claims were inappropriately omitted. 6. As an initial matter, we examine some specific assertions made by Cablevision: “The analysis simply tests whether DBS penetration is different in Philadelphia, San Diego, and Charlotte than it is elsewhere, but not why it is different in those places. Results of the FCC analysis show that the control variables do not explain all of the differences between Philadelphia, San Diego, and the rest of the nation, but provides no reason to believe that the lack of access to an RSN is the key factor. Many variables likely to be important in explaining DBS penetration are omitted, such as the extent of local marketing of DBS, the quality of local DBS service, terrain and foliage coverage, and the extent and local marketing of cable, among others. …the model should include some information about the number and quality of RSNs in an area…It is not possible to capture all the relevant information related to RSNs in a dichotomous variable indicating whether there is an exclusive RSN in a region. Moreover, the analysis should control for city or regional fixed effects, not include a few and claim that tests the effects of RSN access.”5 7. In fact, the analysis is designed to hold constant other relevant determinants of variations in DBS penetration. If it does so, then the coefficients on the dummy variables for the three cities would capture the effect of RSN exclusivity. Moreover, the fact that the control variables do not explain all of the variation in DBS penetration does not mean that the coefficients on the dummy variables are biased. Additionally, omitted variables would affect the coefficients of the dummy variables only if they are correlated with any included variables, and Cablevision does not assert any such correlation.6 Moreover, some of the variables Cablevision claims are omitted are actually included. The variable reflecting carriage of local broadcast signals is a prominent indicator of “the quality of local DBS service.” Other than that, DBS channel lineups do not differ across markets. Furthermore, the latitude variable takes account, albeit indirectly, of terrain variations. The “look angle” for a satellite dish is greater at lower latitudes, which means that it takes a greater degree of terrain roughness to obscure the view of the satellite. 8. One consequence of differences across markets in the number and quality of RSNs is differences in demand for these networks. The Commission analysis does, in fact, control for systematic differences across markets in demand for RSNs via the “key DMA” variable, which takes on a value of one when the relevant cable system is in a DMA that is home to a professional sports team from one of the four major sports leagues. The presumption is that demand for RSNs is higher in these home markets 5 See Cablevision Comments, Appendix B at 24-25. 6 See generally Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press) 2002 at 50-51, 61-70. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 88 than in others. To the extent that the primary determinant of RSN demand and quality is availability of local professional teams from the major sports leagues, the key issues are whether there is a local team or teams, and whether the team or teams is available to DBS subscribers as well as cable subscribers. By and large, all RSNs (even in markets with more than one RSN splitting carriage of local major league teams) are available to DBS in markets outside the three specified. Although Cablevision provides no specific suggestion on how to characterize RSN “quality” more precisely, we attempt to account for it in the new regression results reported below. 9. Cablevision also asserts that “even if one believes the model is valid, the results on the Charlotte dummy variable contradict the FCC’s interpretation.”7 In fact, the coefficient on the Charlotte dummy is negative, which is in accord with, rather than contradictory to, the hypothesis. However, the estimated coefficient does not meet standard benchmarks for statistical significance. The Charlotte RSN carried one relevant professional team and, as pointed out in the text of the Adelphia Order: “[T]he Charlotte Bobcats are a relatively new team and do not yet have a strong enough following to induce large numbers of subscribers to switch MVPDs.”8 Accordingly, this result may be one specific manifestation of the quality differences that Cablevision speaks of in general terms. Moreover, unlike many other cases, the Charlotte RSN was carried on the digital tier, which made it unusually expensive to acquire.9 10. Cablevision’s suggestion that a full-blown “fixed effects” model would be appropriate is reasonable in principle.10 However, Cablevision fails to note that, to estimate such a model, it would be necessary to have data for a time period or periods when the RSNs were made available to all MVPDs in addition to data for a time period or periods when the RSNs were withheld from rival MVPDs. Data for the former situation are not available, so it was not possible to estimate a full-blown “fixed effects” model. However, it is possible to estimate the Adelphia Order Appendix D model with some additional variables added. 11. The results reported below address Cablevision’s claim that the regression equation reported in Appendix D of the Adelphia Order suffers from omitted variable bias, which could call into question the results of that regression. Our analysis indicates that this claim is unfounded. Indeed, adding the variables suggested by Cablevision to our previous regressions appears to strengthen the conclusions in Appendix D of the Adelphia Order. Our analysis indicates that Appendix D of the Adelphia Order may have been unduly conservative in its assessment of the reduction in DBS subscribership in DMAs in which DBS operators are denied RSNs. 12. Cablevision claims that we did not adjust for the quality of the RSN in our regression, instead treating all RSNs as equal. We know of no available direct measure of RSN quality, but we did, in fact, include a rough proxy for RSN quality: “key DMA,” a dummy variable which equals one if there is a professional sports team in a given DMA, zero otherwise. This would adjust the regression if demand is different for multichannel video services in DMAs that contain professional sports teams. Nonetheless, in response to the critique we include in our analysis below an additional variable: a count of professional sports teams in each DMA, excluding National Football League teams, which generally do not appear on RSNs. Instead of just one or zero, this count ranges from zero to seven, and potentially could represent a 7 See Cablevision Comments, Appendix B at 24-25. 8 Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8271-72, ¶ 151. 9 See http://www.nba.com/bobcats/news/release_cset_preview_041202.html 10 Adelphia Order, 21 FCC Rcd at 8271-72, ¶ 151. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 89 supply-side “potential quality” measure for RSNs. As shown in the results below, this variable does not alter our previous conclusions and, in fact, strengthens them. 13. Cablevision also claims that adjusting for the roughness of terrain will explain variations in DBS subscribership, and the lack of a variable measuring terrain biases our results. Again, we previously included a rough proxy for terrain, the natural log of latitude. Since DBS satellites are located over the southern United States, as latitude increases moving northward, DBS dishes must be pointed closer to the horizon. Presumably, the closer the dish is pointed to the horizon, the more likely terrain will interfere with the required clear view of DBS satellites. As expected, this variable in our previous regression shows a negative sign, although it was not statistically significant.11 Nonetheless, we included several new variables that measure more directly the effect of terrain. First, we include the natural log of the standard deviation of the elevation in the county, which is a measure of roughness of terrain.12 The log of latitude remains, and we also include an interactive variable between the log of standard deviation of elevation and the log of latitude, which will capture the combined effect of roughness of terrain and dish angle. Again, addition of these variables only strengthens the conclusions reached in the Adelphia Order. 14. As before, we follow Wise and Duwadi (2005) in the specification of a model to examine DBS penetration and the variables that affect it. The model estimates the impact of cable prices, cable system characteristics, population demographics, and DBS program offerings on the percent of television households subscribing to DBS service. Each observation in our data corresponds to an incumbent cable system responding to the 2005 FCC Cable Price Survey.13 The survey provides information on the service rates and characteristics of the responding cable operators’ cable systems. We use an estimate from Nielsen Media Research of the number of households subscribing to “alternative delivery systems” in a county to construct our measure of DBS penetration. Demographic variables are also available at the county level from the 2000 Census. 15. We use a partial log-linear functional form where the dependent and continuous independent variables are transformed using the natural logarithm.14 We estimate variations of the following equation: LN DBS PENETRATION = B0 + B1?LN CABLE PRICE + B2?LN CABLE CHANNELS + B3?PHILLY + B4?SANDIEGO + B5?CHARLOTTE + B6? KEYDMA +B7? TEAM COUNT (or KEYDMA) + B8? DBSOVERAIR + B9? CABLECOMP + B10?HDTV + B11?INTERNET + B12?LN INCOME + B13?LN MULTIDWELL + B14?LN LATITUDE + B15?LN STANDARD DEVIATION ELEVATION + B16?LN STANDARD DEVIATION ELEVATION*LATITUDE + ? 11 The model in the Adelphia Order was based on Andrew S. Wise and Kiran Duwadi, Competition between Cable Television and Direct Broadcast Satellite: The Importance of Switching Costs and Regional Sports Networks, 1 J. COMPETITION L. & ECON. 679 (2005) (Wise and Duwadi (2005)), which showed a negative and statistically significant log of latitude coefficient. 12 The source of the added terrain variables is the SRTM Global Digital Elevation Model provided by ESRI, Inc., which is derived from the NASA/NGA Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) from the U.S. Geological Survey's EROS Data Center. The resolution is 3 arc seconds (90 meters). 13 We eliminate observations from cable systems that do not offer digital programming. Two more observations are lost when adding variables measuring terrain roughness discussed below. 14 This transformation allows the coefficients on the continuous variables to be interpreted as elasticities. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 90 Where: LN DBS PENETRATION is the log of the percent of television households subscribing to an “alternative delivery system” in the county containing the responding cable system; LN CABLE PRICE is the log of the recurring monthly charge for the basic tier plus the next additional package of channels offered by the responding cable system;15 LN CABLE CHANNELS is the log of the number of cable channels offered by the responding cable system on the basic tier plus the next additional package of channels; PHILLY is an indicator variable taking on the value of 1 when the responding cable system is located in the Philadelphia DMA; SANDIEGO is an indicator variable taking on the value of 1 when the responding cable system is located in the San Diego DMA; CHARLOTTE is an indicator variable taking on the value of 1 when the responding cable system is located in the Charlotte DMA; TEAM COUNT is a count of professional sports teams by DMA, excluding National Football League teams. KEYDMA is an indicator variable taking on the value of 1 when the responding cable system is located in a DMA that is home to a professional sports team that is a member of Major League Baseball, the National Basketball Association, the National Football League, or the National Hockey League; DBSOVERAIR is an indicator variable taking on the value of 1 when one or both DBS operators offer local broadcast signals in the DMA where the responding cable system is located; CABLECOMP is an indicator variable taking on the value of 1 when the cable system competes against a second cable operator; HDTV is an indicator variable taking on the value of 1 when the responding cable system offers one or more channels in high-definition format; INTERNET is an indicator variable taking on the value of 1 when the responding cable system offers high-speed Internet access; LN INCOME is the log of the median household income in the county containing the responding system; LN MULTIDWELL is the log of the percent of households in multiple dwelling units (“MDUs”) in the county containing the responding system;16 15 More than 90% of subscribers purchase at least the first two tiers of services. In addition, most regional sports networks are carried on one of these two tiers. 16 We define a multiple dwelling unit as one that contains two or more housing units in one building. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 91 LN LATITUDE is the log of the latitude of the county containing the responding system. LN STANDARD DEVIATION ELEVATION is the log of the standard deviation of the elevation of the county containing the responding system; and LN STANDARD DEVIATION ELEVATION*LATITUDE is an interaction variable between LN STANDARD DEVIATION ELEVATION and LN LATITUDE. 16. We use instrumental variables to account for possible endogeneity of the cable price and the number of cable channels. We use the natural logs of system capacity (MHz) and the number of subscribers served nationally by the cable system owner, as well as the number of networks with which the cable system owner is vertically integrated, as excluded instruments. We perform estimation using the generalized method of moments. 17. The first regression differs from the Adelphia Order only in adding TEAM COUNT. Table 1 DBS Penetration and RSN Access Dependent Variable: LN DBS PENETRATIONIndependent Variables Coefficient z-statistic LN CABLE PRICE 2.11* 2.15 LN CABLE CHANNELS -1.11* -2.61 PHILLY -0.53* -6.59 SANDIEGO -0.47* -5.52 CHARLOTTE -0.21 -1.45 KEYDMA 0.21* 3.29 TEAM COUNT -0.03 -1.94 DBSOVERAIR -0.09 -1.43 CABLECOMP 0.27 1.18 HDTV -0.12 -1.53 INTERNET -0.06 -0.52 LN INCOME -0.29* -2.44 LN MULTIDWELL -0.37* -10.45 LN LATITUDE -0.01 -0.03 CONSTANT -0.73 -0.26 Observations 676 Centered R-Squared 0.26 F-Statistic (14, 661) 40.57 Hansen J Statistic 27.22 * - significant at 95% confidence level Most coefficients change only slightly in terms of statistical significance or magnitude as compared to the results reported in Appendix D of the Adelphia Order. The magnitude of both PHILLY and SANDIEGO rise, and both are still highly statistically significant. CHARLOTTE drops slightly, but remains not statistically significant. In sum, the addition of TEAM COUNT only strengthens the approach taken in the Adelphia Order. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 92 18. The second regression differs from the Adelphia Order by adding TEAM COUNT, LN STANDARD DEVIATION ELEVATION and LN STANDARD DEVIATION ELEVATION*LATITUDE. Thus, it addresses all of the omitted variable claims. Table 2 DBS Penetration and RSN Access Dependent Variable: LN DBS PENETRATIONIndependent Variables Coefficient z-statistic LN CABLE PRICE 1.06 1.22 LN CABLE CHANNELS -0.72* -1.96 PHILLY -0.51* -6.59 SANDIEGO -0.87* -9.37 CHARLOTTE -0.22 -1.64 KEYDMA 0.23* 4.13 TEAM COUNT -0.04* -3.03 DBSOVERAIR -0.09 -1.59 CABLECOMP 0.04 0.18 HDTV -0.11 -1.57 INTERNET -0.02 -0.21 LN INCOME -0.21 -1.89 LN MULTIDWELL -0.39* -11.53 LN LATITUDE 0.38 0.91 LN STANDARD DEVIATION ELEVATION 1.01* 2.59 LN STANDARD DEVIATION ELEVATION*LATITUDE -0.25* -2.31 CONSTANT -1.08 -0.34 Observations 674 Centered R-Squared 0.42 F-Statistic (16, 657) 81.41 Hansen J Statistic 30.65 * - significant at 95% confidence level This model also does not change the conclusions in the Adelphia Order and, if anything, strengthens them. The magnitude of the PHILLY and CHARLOTTE coefficients are virtually the same (although CHARLOTTE is closer to statistical significance), but the magnitude of SANDIEGO is more than double. This indicates that we may, in fact, have underestimated the effect of denial of RSNs on DBS subscribership. 19. Conclusion. In summary, while the added variables may add some precision and understanding to the dynamics behind DBS subscription, they do not alter the conclusions of our earlier analysis. The addition or subtraction of variables will yield different magnitudes for the coefficients measuring the effect on DBS penetration in areas in which DBS is unable to carry RSNs, but whatever the mix of variables, the negative effect on DBS penetration of RSN withholding remains clear. Adding variables to our equation, in response to suggestions made by Cablevision, actually appears to strengthen our results and confirms that the analytic approach in the Adelphia Order was a reasonable one. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 93 APPENDIX C Impact of Clustering on Withholding Strategy and Analysis of Profitability of Withholding Strategy 1. This appendix (i) examines changes in the magnitude of clustering since the 2002 Extension Order; (ii) assesses the impact of clustering on the incentives of cable operators to withhold regional programming from rivals; and (iii) assesses the incentives of cable operators to withhold national programming from rivals. The analysis focuses on the two largest MSOs, Comcast and Time Warner, both of which are vertically integrated. I. Data 2. The analysis draws on two sets of data from Warren Publishing (“Warren”) pertaining to cable subscribership and homes passed, with each set designed as a census of all cable systems in the U.S. The first dataset contains data from January 2003, and the second dataset contains data from July 2007.1 From each one, we extracted the data for all systems owned by Time Warner and by Comcast. Once the data for each cable operator were extracted, systems were sorted according to the respective cable operator, and then were sorted again by Designated Market Area (DMA). For each cable operator, we counted all of the subscriber and homes passed (HP) data for each DMA served. Each of these figures was entered into a spreadsheet showing the total number of homes passed and subscribers that each cable operator had in each DMA for each time period. A column was then added to each spreadsheet to provide the Nielsen television household (TVHH) count for each DMA for the relevant time period. 3. Since Warren generates its datasets through polling of each system, and because the responses are voluntary, each of the Warren datasets contained missing or incomplete information. At times, the subscriber data presented exceeded Nielsen TVHH counts, and more often, the HP data presented exceeded Nielsen’s statistic for the number of TVHH in the DMA, or subscribers exceeded HP. In order to resolve these inconsistencies, we obtained datasets from another source for each of the two time periods examined. The additional data are from Centris, which uses random sampling to generate estimates of each MSO’s ownership of cable subscribers in each DMA.2 4. The following describes the cases in which we attempted adjustments to the Warren data and the adjustments actually made. Problem #1. Subscribers > Nielsen TVHH.3 In these cases, where possible, we replaced the subscriber figure according to formula #1. Problem #2. HP > Nielsen TVHH.4 In these cases, where possible, we replaced the HP figure according to formula #2. 1 Warren Publishing, CABLE: General Information-January 2003; Warren Publishing, CABLE: General Information-July 2007. 2 CENTRISBridge. We preferred Warren as a primary data source because it is based on polling of, or at least an attempt to poll, all cable systems rather than sampling. 3 Two cases: TW2007-49 Buffalo; Comcast2007-38 West Palm. Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 94 Problem #3. HP< Subs.5 In these cases, where possible, we replaced the HP figure according to formula #2. Problem #4. Subscriber data, HP data, or both were deemed insufficient because of lack of systems reporting in that DMA.6 In these cases, where possible, we replaced the Warren subscriber statistic according to formula #1, and we replaced the HP figure according to formula #2. The data adjustment formulas are as follows: Formula #1. Subscribers = Centris-reported subscribers (16 cases) Formula #2. HP = (Centris subscriber count for cable operator/Centris subscriber count for entire DMA)*Nielsen TVHH (79 cases).7 5. After making the modifications described, it became evident that some of these modifications had created new inconsistencies. We applied formula #1 or formula #2 as appropriate (6 cases).8 This process left 12 cases that required additional attention, because there was not sufficient Centris data available to apply our adjustment formulas. In four cases, we used an adaptation of Formula #2 as follows: (Continued from previous page) 4 Sixteen cases: TW2003-71 Honolulu, 161 Palm Springs, 192 Laredo; Comcast+AT&T2003-3 Chicago, 59 Richmond; TW2007-49 Buffalo, 58 Dayton, 72 Honolulu, 78 Rochester, 79 Syracuse, 157 Birmingham, 187 Laredo, 203 Zanesville; Comcast2007-11 Detroit, 18 Denver, 182 Charlottesville. 5 TW2003-31 Milwaukee, 44 Buffalo, 51 Jacksonville, 78 Omaha, 80 Syracuse, 91 Burlington, 103 Greenville, 167 Utica, 173 Elmira, 199 Mankato; Comcast+AT&T2003-21 Pittsburgh, 32 Cincinnati, 35 Greenville, 39 West Palm, 50 Louisville,53 Wilkes Barre, 83 Huntsville, 87 South Bend, 107 Tallahassee, 169 Missoula; Comcast w/o AT&T2003- 35 Greenville, 50 Louisville, 83 Huntsville, 107 Tallhassee; TW2007-19 Orlando; Comcast2007- 7Boston, 23 Portland, 25 Indianapolis, 38 West Palm, 48 Louisville, 61 Richmond, 64 Ft. Myers, 65 Charleston, 66 Flint, 84 Huntsville, 88 South Bend, 98 Johnstown, 148 Salisbury, 165 Hattiesburg, 181 Harrisonburg. 6Forty-one cases (six both, nine subs only, twenty-six HP only): Both Subs and HP missing: TW 2003-87 South Bend, TW2007-40 Birmingham, 44 Memphis, 109 Springfield, 132 Columbus,176 Watertown. Subs only missing: Comcast+AT&T2003-122 Macon, 127 Yakima; Comcast w/o AT&T2003-122 Macon; Comcast2007-74 Portland, 77 Spokane, 106 Ft. Wayne, 120 Eugene, 166 Clarksburg, 185 Meridian. HP only missing: TW2003-20 Orlando, 21 Pittsburgh, 60 Tulsa, 162 Gainesville; Comcast+AT&T2003-40 Birmingham, 118 Fargo, 119 Santa Barbara, 180 Bowling Green; Comcast w/o AT&T-17 Miami, 18 Denver, 53 Wilkes Barre, 59 Richmond, 111 Lansing, 119 Santa Barbara, 180 Bowling Green; TW2007-22 Pittsburgh, 35 Salt Lake, 38 West Palm, 110 Reno, 184 Greenwood; Comcast2007-40 Birmingham, 42 Norfolk, 51 Providence, 122 Obispo, 135 Monroe, 183 Bowling Green. 7 Note that Formula #2 assumes that TVHH is a rough proxy for total HP. Based on nationwide homes passed figures, this is not an unreasonable assumption. See infra note 14. In DMAs where Time Warner or Comcast was identified as the only provider in that DMA, the figure is exactly equal to the number of Nielsen TVHH in that DMA. Where Time Warner or Comcast is a provider among two or more providers, we thus allocated HP according to their share of subscribers in that DMA. 8 Six cases: Comcast+AT&T2003-122 Macon; Comcast w/o AT&T2003-17 Miami, 53 Wilkes Barre, 59 Richmond, 111 Lansing, 122 Macon; Federal Communications Commission FCC 07-169 95 Formula #3: HP = (Warren subscriber count for cable operator/Warren subscriber count for entire DMA)*Nielsen TVHH.9 6. Of the remaining cases, we eliminated seven from our dataset on the grounds that the presence of the MSO in question was apparently very small,10 and we eliminated one case, even though the presence of the MSO in question was not small, because we did not have enough additional data to correct properly the apparent inconsistency in the data.11 II. Analysis of Increase in Clustering from 2002 to 2007 7. The above-described procedures have generated a set of data that reasonably represents the state of ownership of cable systems by Comcast and Time Warner as of January 200312 and July 2007. It is also important to note that the 2002 Extension Order was adopted prior to Comcast’s acquisition of AT&T Broadband. For this reason, the following results include separate calculations for Comcast with and without AT&T Broadband. · For Comcast with AT&T Broadband, the share of homes passed in total television households increased in 61 markets, decreased in 57 markets, and remained the same in 90 markets. · For Comcast without AT&T Broadband, the share of homes passed in total television households increased in 73 markets, decreased in 25 markets, and remained the same in 110 markets.13 · For Time Warner, the share of homes passed in total television households increased in 60 markets, decreased in 40 markets, and stayed the same in 105 markets.14 8. Focusing on markets that saw the largest changes in the ratio of homes passed to television households by a single MSO: · Comcast with AT&T Broadband had 23 markets with an increase of at least 20 percentage points and only 16 with a decrease of at least that magnitude. 9 Four cases: TW2003-20 Orlando, 199 Mankato; Comcast+AT&T2003-169 Missoula; TW2007-19 Orlando. 10 Seven cases: TW2003-87 South Bend, 162 Gainesville; Comcast+AT&T2003-118 Fargo, 127 Yakima; TW2007- 25 Indianapolis, 38 West Palm, 88 South Bend. 11 Warren Publishing indicates that in 2003, Time Warner had three systems in the Jacksonville, Brunswick DMA. All three systems reported subscribers, but only two systems reported homes passed. As a result, we accounted for more subscribers than homes passed. In order to resolve this inconsistency in the data (Problem #3 - HP