Before the Federal Communications Commission Washington, D.C. 20554 In the Matter of Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions With Respect to Mobile Wireless, Including Commercial Mobile Services ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) WT Docket No. 09-66 (Terminated) FOURTEENTH REPORT Adopted: May 20, 2010 Released: May 20, 2010 By the Commission: Chairman Genachowski and Commissioners Copps and Clyburn issuing separate statements; Commissioners McDowell and Baker concurring and issuing separate statements. TABLE OF CONTENTS Heading Paragraph # I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 II. INTRODUCTION 5 III. MOBILE WIRELESS SERVICES: INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 20 A. Introduction 20 B. Overview of Service Providers 26 1. Facilities-Based Providers 26 2. Resale/MVNO Providers 31 3. Narrowband Data Providers 35 4. Mobile Satellite Service Providers 36 C. Horizontal Concentration 39 1. Number of Competitors 40 2. Concentration Measures 48 D. Entry and Exit Conditions 56 1. Regulatory Entry and Exit Conditions 58 2. Non-Regulatory Entry and Exit Conditions 60 E. Recent Entry and Exit 68 1. Entry 68 2. Exit 74 IV. MOBILE WIRELESS SERVICES: PROVIDER CONDUCT 85 A. Price Rivalry: Developments in Mobile Service Pricing Plans 87 1. Postpaid Service 89 2. Prepaid Service 98 B. Non-Price Rivalry 104 1. Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades 105 a. Service Provider Technology Deployments 111 b. Coverage by Technology Type 118 c. Roaming 124 2. Advertising, Marketing, Sales Expenditures, and Retailing 127 a. Advertising Expenditures 128 b. Marketing Campaigns 132 c. Retailing 134 3. Differentiation in Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices 135 4. Differentiation in Mobile Data Applications 148 V. MOBILE WIRELESS SERVICES: PERFORMANCE 153 A. Subscribership Levels 155 1. Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Type of Service 156 2. Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Pricing Plan 163 3. Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Age 165 B. Penetration Rates Across Economic Areas (EAs) 169 C. Net Adds/Subscriber Growth 171 1. Industry-Wide Subscriber Net Adds 171 2. Mobile Wireless Net Adds by Pricing Plan 173 3. Mobile Wireless Net Adds by Service Provider 175 D. Output and Usage Levels 176 1. Mobile Voice 176 2. Mobile Messaging 178 3. Mobile Data Traffic (Non-Messaging) 181 E. Pricing Levels, Changes, and Trends 185 1. Price Indicators 185 2. Wholesale Pricing 194 3. Intercarrier Roaming Rates and Revenue 196 F. Revenue 200 G. Investment 208 H. Profitability 214 1. Measuring Profitability 215 I. Network Quality 222 J. Economic Impact of Mobile Wireless Services 225 VI. MOBILE WIRELESS SERVICES: CONSUMER BEHAVIOR 228 A. Consumer Switching Costs 229 1. Access to Information on Mobile Wireless Services 231 2. Early Termination Fees (ETFs) 234 3. Handsets, Handset Locking, and Handset Applications 239 4. Number Portability 242 B. Churn as a Measure of Consumer Switching Costs 244 VII.INPUT AND DOWNSTREAM SEGMENTS OF THE MOBILE WIRELESS ECOSYSTEM 249 A. Input Segments 249 1. Spectrum 250 a. Availability of Mobile Wireless Services Spectrum 251 (i) Frequency Bands 253 (ii) Facilitating Access to Spectrum Among Multiple Providers 260 b. Analysis of Spectrum Holdings Overall 265 c. Analysis of Spectrum Holdings by Spectrum Characteristics 268 d. Competitive Effects of Spectrum Holdings 281 2. Infrastructure Facilities 284 a. Background 284 b. Communications Tower Industry 285 c. Barriers to Cell Site Deployment 287 d. Competitive Effects of Infrastructure Costs and the Independent Communications Tower Industry 290 3. Backhaul Facilities 293 a. Background 293 b. Competitive Landscape 295 c. The Growing Need for Backhaul Solutions and Alternatives 297 B. Downstream Segments 299 1. Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices and Operating Systems 299 a. Handsets/Devices 300 b. Key Factors Affecting Mobile Wireless Competition 311 (i) Bundling of Wireless Service Subscriptions with the Purchase of Handsets 312 (ii) Exclusive Handset Arrangements 316 2. Mobile Applications 318 3. Mobile Commerce 333 VIII. INTERMODAL COMPETITION 339 A. Voice Services 339 B. Broadband Services 341 C. Wireless Local Area Networks and Wireless-Wireline Convergence 343 IX. URBAN-RURAL COMPARISONS 351 X. INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS 359 A. ARPU 360 B. Average Revenue Per Minute 361 C. Usage 362 D. Penetration Rates 363 E. Concentration 364 XI. CONCLUSION 368 XII.PROCEDURAL MATTERS 369 APPENDIX A: Spectrum for Mobile Wireless Services APPENDIX B: Mobile Wireless Network Technologies APPENDIX C: Tables APPENDIX D: Maps APPENDIX E: List of Commenters Map 1: Mobile Wireless Competitors I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1. In this Mobile Wireless Competition Report, we present our findings regarding the state of competition in the mobile services marketplace, pursuant to Congress’s instruction in section 332(c)(1)(C) of the Communications Act. Promoting competition is a fundamental goal of the Commission’s policymaking. Competition has played and must continue to play an essential role in mobile – leading to lower prices and higher quality for American consumers, and producing new waves of innovation and investment in wireless networks, devices, and services. 2. In this Mobile Wireless Competition Report to Congress (Fourteenth Report or Report), we incorporate several important new forms of analysis that reflect fundamental shifts in the mobile marketplace. For example, whereas previous reports analyzed Commercial Mobile Radio Service (CMRS) competition and discussed a variety of metrics – including number of providers, subscribers, usage, and prices – this Report integrates an analysis of CMRS into an analysis of all mobile wireless services, such as voice, messaging, and broadband.  This Report also goes beyond previous reports in reflecting the transformative importance of mobile wireless broadband, which has resulted in a shift from devices that can place traditional phone calls to pocketable devices that can access the entire Internet. Because each of the interrelated segments of the mobile wireless ecosystem has the potential to affect competition, this Report analyzes competition across the entire mobile wireless ecosystem, including, for the first time, in-depth analyses of “upstream” and “downstream” market segments, such as infrastructure and devices. 3. As described in this Mobile Wireless Competition Report, the mobile wireless ecosystem is sufficiently complex that any review or analysis of competitive market conditions must take into consideration a multitude of factors. As a result, rather than reaching an overarching, industry-wide determination with respect to whether there is “effective competition,” the Report complies with the statutory requirement by providing a detailed analysis of the state of competition that seeks to identify areas where market conditions appear to be producing substantial consumer benefits and provides data that can form the basis for inquiries into whether policy levers could produce superior outcomes.1 As the mobile wireless marketplace evolves, driven in particular by mobile wireless broadband and data usage, the Commission’s analyses and policies with respect to key inputs – such as spectrum – also must evolve in order to ensure a robust level of competition going forward. 4. The Report – which reflects market conditions prevailing in 2008 and 20092 – finds evidence of several key trends in the mobile wireless industry: * Maturation of the Mobile Voice Segment. As of the end of 2008, 90 percent of Americans had a mobile wireless device, and Americans used these devices to talk for an average of 709 minutes each month. While usage statistics have generally increased over time, this year marks the first instance of reduced (though still substantial) voice usage, perhaps due to increased reliance on text and multimedia messaging. Voice revenues stayed relatively steady compared to past periods, with average revenue per user (ARPU) slightly decreasing but revenue per minute (RPM) slightly increasing. * Transition to a Data-Centric Market. Data traffic has grown significantly, due to the increased adoption of smartphones and data consumption per device. Indeed, with overall revenue per mobile customer generally remaining flat the past several years, revenue from newer data services is replacing revenue from traditional services. * Proliferation of Devices and Applications. Handset manufacturers have introduced a growing number of smartphones that provide mobile Internet access and other data services, and use operating systems that provide many of the functionalities of personal computers. The four nationwide providers launched about 67 new smartphones in 2008 and 2009, based upon several different platforms (e.g., Apple iPhone, Android, BlackBerry, Palm, and Windows Mobile). The Android and iPhone platforms have been particularly successful in creating an entire ecosystem of applications and services. As of December 2009, there were over 100,000 applications on the Apple App Store, and 15,000 on the Android Market. * Continued Industry Concentration.  Over the past five years, concentration has increased in the provision of mobile wireless services.  The two largest providers, AT&T, Inc. (AT&T) and Verizon Wireless, have 60 percent of both subscribers and revenue, and continue to gain share (accounting for 12.3 million net additions in 2008 and 14.1 million during 2009). The two next-largest providers, T-Mobile USA (T-Mobile) and Sprint Nextel Corp. (Sprint Nextel), had a combined 1.7 million net loss in subscribers during 2008 and gained 827,000 subscribers during 2009. One widely-used measure of industry concentration indicates that concentration has increased 32 percent since 2003 and 6.5 percent in the most recent year for which data is available. * Robust Capital Investment but Declining Relative to Industry Size. Providers continue to invest significant capital in networks, despite the recent economic downturn. One source reports capital investment at around $25 billion in both 2005 and 2008, while another shows that capital investment declined from around $25 billion to around $20 billion during the same period and that investment during the first half of 2009 was $8.9 billion. Because industry revenue has continued to grow, both sources show that capital investment has declined as a percentage of industry revenue over the same period (from 20 percent to 14 percent).3 * Role of Spectrum for Mobile Broadband. Especially as mobile wireless data usage grows, spectrum becomes an increasingly pivotal input. In particular, lower-frequency spectrum possesses superior propagation characteristics that create certain advantages in the provision of mobile wireless broadband service, especially in rural areas. Lower-frequency spectrum potentially allows for a higher quality of coverage with fewer cell sites, when compared to other frequency bands used to provide mobile services. Conversely, higher-frequency spectrum may be effective for increasing capacity, particularly within smaller, more densely-populated geographic areas. Recent auctions reflect that lower frequency bands are more highly valued than higher frequencies. A significant portion of spectrum below 1 GHz is held by the two largest providers: 67 percent of the 700 MHz band, and 91 percent of the Cellular band, based on megahertz-POPs (MHz-POPs).4 Selected developments and key metrics with respect to the current state of mobile wireless competition are highlighted below: Number of Providers & Network Deployment For the third consecutive Report, the Commission has conducted an analysis of service provider coverage by census block, based on data from American Roamer5 and population data from the 2000 Census.6 Mobile Voice Providers. The coverage analysis suggests that approximately 284 million people, or 99.6 percent of the U.S. population, are served by one or more mobile voice providers. Approximately 281 million people, or 98.6 percent of the population, are served by at least two mobile voice providers. Approximately 273 million people, or 95.8 percent of the population, are served by at least three mobile voice providers. Mobile Broadband Providers. Approximately 280 million people, or 98.1 percent of the U.S. population, are served by one or more mobile broadband providers,7 according to the coverage analysis. Approximately 255 million people, or 89.5 percent of the U.S. population, are served by two or more mobile broadband providers. Approximately 217 million people, or 76.1 percent of the population, are served by at least three mobile broadband providers. During 2008 and 2009, the four nationwide mobile wireless service providers (AT&T, Verizon Wireless, Sprint Nextel and T-Mobile), as well as other mobile operators, continued to expand service into new markets and to upgrade their networks with mobile broadband technologies. They also announced plans to deploy 4G network technologies. 3G/4G Deployment by Selected Mobile Wireless Service Providers Service Provider 3G Deployment 4G Deployment AT&T As of October 2009, HSPA network covered 230 million POPs in more than 350 metropolitan areas. Plans LTE trials in 2010 and deployment in 2011. Verizon Wireless As of mid-2009, EV-DO network covered 284 million POPs. Expects to launch LTE in 25-30 markets in 2010 and to cover 285 million POPs by 2013. Clearwire Not applicable. As of September 2009, WiMAX network covered over 10 million POPs, expected to cover 120 million POPs by end of 2010. Sprint Nextel As of August 2009, EV-DO network covered 271 million POPs. Ownership interest in Clearwire and reselling Clearwire WiMAX service. T-Mobile As of August 2009, HSPA network covered 121 million POPs, expected to cover 200 million POPs by year-end 2009. No U.S.-specific plans. The following table, again using data from the census block coverage analysis based on American Roamer data, depicts the growth in population coverage for mobile wireless broadband service over the past year: Mobile Wireless Broadband Network Population Coverage, Selected Facilities-Based Providers Service Provider Covered POPs November 2008 (millions) Covered POPs November 2009 (millions) AT&T 189.0 212.3 Verizon Wireless 241.7 266.7 Sprint Nextel 218.9 226.9 T-Mobile 88.4 133.9 Alltel 57.7 -- Leap 19.7 79.2 US Cellular 13.1 26.6 Subscribers and Net Adds With wireless market penetration approaching 90 percent as of the end of 2008, overall wireless industry growth has slowed down. At the end of 2008, based upon Numbering Resource Utilization Forecast (NRUF) data, there were over 277 million mobile wireless subscribers in the United States, up from 263 million at the end of 2007. As of the end of 2008, there were 25.1 million mobile wireless high-speed Internet access subscribers and 86 million mobile high-speed-capable devices in use in the United States. Mobile Wireless Subscribership Year Subscribers Subscribers - Increase from Previous Year Penetration Rate Penetration Rate – Percent Increase from Previous Year (millions) (millions) (percent) (percent)   NRUF* CTIA NRUF CTIA NRUF CTIA NRUF CTIA 1999 n/a 86 n/a 16.8 n/a 32% n/a 23% 2000 n/a 109.5 n/a 23.4 n/a 39% n/a 21% 2001 128.5 128.4 n/a 18.9 45% 45% n/a 16% 2002 141.8 140.9 13.3 12.4 49% 49% 9% 9% 2003 160.6 158.7 18.8 18 54% 55% 10% 12% 2004 184.7 182.1 24.1 23.4 62% 62% 15% 14% 2005 213 207.9 28.3 25.8 71% 70% 15% 13% 2006 241.8 233 28.8 25.1 80% 78% 13% 11% 2007 263 255.4 21.2 22.4 86% 85% 7% 9% 2008 277.6 270.3 14.6 14.9 90% 89% 5% 5% *NRUF data is not available for the calendar years prior to 2001. Industry net new subscriber additions (or “net adds”) totaled between 14.5 and 15 million during 2008, a 33 percent drop from the 2007 net additions. Net adds have not been distributed evenly among major service providers. The two largest providers garnered 12.3 million net new subscribers during 2008 and 14.1 million during 2009, while the two next-largest providers combined lost 1.7 million subscribers during 2008 and gained 827,000 subscribers during 2009. Net Additions by Service Provider Service Provider Subscribers Year-End 2008 (Thousands) 2008 Net Additions (Loss) 2008 Percent Increase (Loss) Subscribers Year-End 2009 (Thousands) 2009 Net Additions (Loss) 2009 Percent Increase (Loss) AT&T 77,009 6,785 9.7% 85,120 8,111 10.5% Verizon Wireless** 72,056 5,558 8.4% 91,249 19,193 26.6% Sprint Nextel 48,338 (4,667) (8.8%) 48,133 (205) (0.4%) T-Mobile 32,758 2,973 10.0% 33,790 1,032 3.2% Alltel 13,219 (181) (1.4%) -- -- -- US Cellular 6,196 74 1.2% 6,141 (55) (0.9%) MetroPCS 5,367 1,404 35.4% 6,640 1,273 23.7% Leap 3,845 981 34.3% 4,954 1,109 28.8% **Verizon Wireless’s 2009 subscriber figures include subscribers added as a result of the Alltel merger. If subscribers from the Alltel acquisition were excluded, Verizon Wireless’s “organic” net adds for 2009 would total approximately 5.97 million, an increase of 8.3 percent. Churn During the past year, churn has increased slightly from 1.9 percent to around 2.1 percent per month, with pre-paid churn rates significantly higher than post-paid churn rates. Churn rates of the two largest national service providers are half the rates for the next two largest providers. Annual Churn is an average for each of the four quarters Annual Churn is an average for each of the four quarters. Verizon Wireless is combined with Alltel churn. Usage In 2008, wireless voice usage per subscriber declined for the first time in 11 years. At the same time, use of text messaging and other wireless data services increased over the previous year. The decline in voice minutes-of-use, coupled with the increase in data use, suggests that although only about 40 percent of consumers currently use data services, these consumers may be substituting data services, such as text messaging, for traditional voice services. The following data describe top-line usage trends for specific service segments: Voice: Average minutes-of-use per subscriber per month (MOUs) declined to about 708 minutes for the six months ending in December 2008,8 down from 769 minutes in the same period of 2007, and the first decrease in MOUs since 1997. Text Messaging: The average mobile wireless subscriber sent 388 text messages per month during the second half of 2008, a 169 percent increase from the 144 text messages sent per month during the same period of 2007. Multimedia Messaging: The average mobile wireless subscriber sent 5.8 multimedia messages (MMS) per month during the second half of 2008, a 152 percent increase from the 2.3 multimedia messages sent per month during the same period of 2007. Mobile Broadband Services: The wireless industry does not currently report aggregate or per-subscriber mobile broadband/Internet traffic metrics (i.e., megabytes (MB) consumed). Nonetheless, one analyst estimates per-subscriber mobile data traffic by type of device and found that traditional handset users generate, on average, 25 MB of traffic each month, BlackBerry users generate 54 MB, iPhone users generate 275 MB, other smartphone users generate 150 MB, and laptop “aircard” users generate 1.4 gigabytes (GB). CPI and Unit Prices Two measures of pricing for wireless services are the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and unit price (revenue per user per month divided by average unit consumption per month). The annual Cellular CPI decreased by approximately 0.2 percent from 2007 to 2008, while the overall CPI increased by 3.8 percent during this period. After many years of declines, voice revenue per minute was $0.054 in December 2008, an increase of two percent from 2007. This slight increase reflects that a reported decrease in voice ARPU was more than offset by a decrease in minutes of use per subscriber per month (see below). The price of messaging services, on an average price per unit basis, continued to decline in 2008. Average revenue per text message in 2008 decreased by $0.014 from the prior year, from $0.025 in 2007 to $0.011 per message in 2008. Average revenue per text message was $0.036 in 2006. Revenue and ARPU Revenues for the mobile wireless industry have increased each year between 2004 and 2008, although the annual growth rate for industry revenues has been declining since 2007. Total mobile wireless industry revenue grew to $150.6 billion in 2008, up from $140.9 billion in 2007 for a 6.9 percent increase (a more modest annual growth rate than the prior year, when industry revenue was $127.1 million in 2006). For the first half of 2009, industry revenue totaled $75.8 billion, a 4.3 percent increase over the first half of 2008. Voice revenues grew to $118.3 billion in 2008 from approximately $117.7 billion in 2007, text messaging revenues grew to $11.4 billion in 2008 from approximately $9 billion in 2007, and other data revenues – including MMS and Internet access – grew to $21.0 billion in 2008 from $14.3 billion in 2007. Monthly ARPU remained nearly unchanged between 2007 and 2008, increasing $0.01 from $47.08 to $47.09. The average wireless consumer pays approximately $565 per year for service and the average household (of 2.5 persons) pays $1,271 per year for service. An average American household spends about the same proportion of its income on wireless services as it spends on electricity (2.5 percent on wireless services and 2.7 percent on electricity). Total ARPU has generally been flat over the past several years. Voice ARPU, which excludes the portion of ARPU generated by data, continued to decline between 2007 and 2008, decreasing from $39.32 to $36.98 per month. Declining monthly voice ARPU was offset by continued growth in monthly ARPU for text and other data services, such as mobile broadband. Text ARPU increased from $3.00 in 2007 to $3.55 in 2008 per month. Monthly ARPU for other data services, such as mobile Internet access and mobile messaging service, also continued to increase, rising from $4.76 in 2007 to $6.56 in 2008. In 2008, monthly ARPU for text and other data services accounted for approximately 21 percent of total monthly ARPU, up from approximately 16 percent in 2007, and compared to about 4 percent in 2004. Profitability Measures of profitability are useful indicators of absolute and relative provider performance, entry and exit conditions, growth conditions, and the intensity of rivalry. Because measuring the profitability of firms in a capital-intensive industry such as the mobile wireless industry is not as straightforward as in other industries, industry analysts often employ more than one measure. Analysts sometimes use Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) as an indicator of profitability, but this metric does not include the substantial cost of capital investment in tangible assets such as networks or in intangible assets such as spectrum licenses. For the first time, the Report includes indicators of service provider profitability – measured by EBITDA margin (EBITDA divided by service revenue), by EBITDA per subscriber, and by EBITDA minus capital expenditures (EBITDA minus CAPEX) per subscriber. While the seven largest mobile wireless service providers all had EBITDA margins over 20 percent during the second quarter of 2009, only four – AT&T, MetroPCS, T-Mobile, and Verizon Wireless – had EBITDA margins greater than 30 percent, and the two largest providers had the highest EBITDA margins. In addition, these two providers had the highest EBITDA minus CAPEX per subscriber of the top four providers in 2007 and 2008. Reported EBITDA Margins: 2002 – 2009 (Selected Providers) EBITDA minus CAPEX per Subscriber per Month (Selected Providers) Subscriber Net Additions vs. EBITDA Per Subscriber: 2008 Market Concentration The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) is used to measure concentration of mobile wireless service providers. Average HHI (weighted by Economic Area (EA) population) increased in 2008 relative to prior years. Both the lowest EA HHI value and the highest EA HHI value are both higher than preceding years’ lowest and highest EA HHI values. The weighted average of the HHIs (weighted by EA population) was 2848 in 2008, an increase from 2674 in 2007. The weighted average HHI has increased by nearly 700 since we first calculated this metric in 2003. Average Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Investment Data from the Census Bureau suggests that, after decreasing by more than 20 percent between 2006 and 2007, capital expenditures by wireless providers rebounded in 2008, increasing by approximately 15 percent over the previous year to more than $25.5 billion. CTIA–The Wireless Association (CTIA), however, reports that incremental capital investment by wireless operators totaled $20.2 billion in 2008, a 4.4 percent decrease from the $21.14 spent in 2007 and a 20 percent decrease from the $25.2 billion spent in 2005. CTIA also reports that capital investment for the first half of 2009 totaled $8.9 billion, a seven percent drop from the first half of 2008. Data from both CTIA and the Census Bureau show that annual capital investment as a percentage of total industry revenue has been declining. According to CTIA data, capital expenditures, as a percentage of total revenue, declined from 22 percent in 2005 to 14 percent in 2008. According to CTIA, 2008 saw an increase in the pace of new cell site deployment, with nearly 29,000 cell sites deployed (compared to about 18,000 the prior year).     Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices Wireless handsets have evolved from the more traditional handsets that offer basic features such as voice and text messaging, to smartphones that offer Internet connectivity. Over the past two years, the industry has experienced an increase in smartphone adoption, led by the Apple iPhone. Smartphones accounted for 44 percent of total handsets sold in the third quarter of 2009, up from 27 percent in the second quarter of 2008. Smartphone Adoption Rates in the United Sates The iPhone’s share of the smartphone business segment has grown as well, from 5 percent in the first quarter of 2008 to 17 percent in the third quarter of 2009. Google’s Android operating system was also a notable development in 2008-2009. The emergence of new smartphone operating systems – Apple, Android, Research in Motion Ltd. (RIM) BlackBerry, Palm, and Windows Mobile – represents a shift in the mobile wireless ecosystem. In addition to launching new smartphones, several service providers began offering a range of data-only devices, including netbook computers with embedded modems, wireless data cards, and mobile Wi-Fi hotspots. Spectrum Spectrum is a necessary component of providing mobile wireless service. Sufficient access to spectrum with propagation characteristics suited to the efficient provision of mobile broadband service may be a contributing factor in the ability of a wireless service provider to compete effectively. Access to lower-frequency spectrum may account for some of the disparities in operating economics among providers. Backhaul Consumers are increasingly adopting Internet-connected mobile computing devices, such as smartphones, for purposes such as video and Internet browsing. Such data services consume greater amounts of bandwidth than traditional voice services, resulting in a greater need for backhaul capacity. Further, the rollout of 4G networks using Long Term Evolution (LTE) and WiMAX technologies, which support higher data throughput rates and lower latencies, will make access to sufficient backhaul for wireless service even more critical over time. While copper circuits currently serve as the predominant choice for backhaul, fixed wireless (including microwave) and fiber solutions are gaining popularity. Allowing the more efficient installation of fiber facilities, as well as providing for the more flexible use of microwave frequencies for backhaul, may help promote access to backhaul solutions that are critical to the deployment of wireless broadband and other services. Roaming While reported annual roaming traffic has grown, roaming minutes as a percentage of total minutes has dropped significantly. Roaming minutes increased from 13 billion minutes in 1999 to 121.4 billion minutes in 2008. Yet this growth has been much slower than overall traffic growth, which increased from 147.7 billion minutes to 2.2 trillion minutes. Therefore, roaming as a percentage of overall traffic has decreased from 8.8 percent in 1999 to 5.5 percent in 2008, a relative decline of nearly 40 percent. Service Quality The J.D. Power and Associates (J.D. Power) 2009 Wireless Call Quality Performance Study (Volume 1) indicates that network quality for the industry overall has held steady since the 2008 study, with the number of problems reported by consumers remaining virtually unchanged at 15 problems per 100 calls. Intermodal Competition In the first half of 2009, 22.7 percent of households (or more than one out of every five), were wireless-only, up from 17.5 percent in the first half of 2008, 13.6 percent in the first half of 2007, and 10.5 percent in the first half of 2006. The percentages of adults and children living in such households are depicted in the chart below: Urban-Rural Comparisons Roughly 61 million people, or 21 percent of the U.S. population (including Puerto Rico), live in rural counties (defined as counties with a population density of 100 persons or fewer per square mile). These counties comprise 3.1 million square miles, or 86 percent of the geographic area of the United States. Analysis based on American Roamer data shows that 98.5 percent of the U.S. rural population, based on census blocks, receives coverage by at least one mobile wireless voice provider.9 In addition, 94.5 percent of the rural population lives in census blocks with two or more mobile voice operators competing to offer service, 83.1 percent live in census blocks with at least three competing mobile voice operators, and 65.5 percent live in census blocks with at least four competing mobile voice operators. The figures on the percentage of the U.S. rural population covered by a certain number of providers are similar to those in the Thirteenth Report. In that Report, the Commission estimated, based on July 2007 American Roamer data, that 94.2 percent of the rural population had a choice of at least two providers, 82.1 percent of the rural population had a choice of at least three providers, and 65.2 percent had a choice of at least four providers. Estimated Mobile Voice Providers in Rural Areas by Census Block Total Number of Providers in a Block Number of Rural Blocks POPs Contained in Rural Blocks % of Total U.S. POPs Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Total U.S. Square Miles Total for Rural U.S. 4,169,790 60,836,650 21.3% 3,367,687 88.6% % of Total Rural U.S. POPs % of Total Rural US Square Miles 1 or More 3,937,968 59,907,519 98.5% 2,310,870 68.6% 2 or More 3,575,744 57,469,158 94.5% 1,759,319 52.2% 3 or More 2,831,795 50,527,557 83.1% 1,131,548 33.6% 4 or More 1,978,475 39,828,360 65.5% 641,065 19.0% 5 or More 979,198 23,413,805 38.5% 257,068 7.6% 6 or More 220,472 5,327,376 8.8% 50,192 1.5% 7 or More 17,056 369,429 0.6% 3,918 0.1% Source: Commission estimates based on data supplied by American Roamer, Oct. 2009. Notes: POPs are from the 2000 Census, and the square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. Looking at mobile broadband service, the U.S. population in rural areas is not served by as many mobile broadband providers as other areas of the country. While 76 percent of the total U.S. population lives in census blocks with three or more mobile broadband providers, only 30 percent of the rural population is served by at least three broadband providers. In addition, 58 percent of the total U.S. population lives in census blocks with four or more mobile broadband providers; in rural areas, only ten percent of the population is served by four or more providers.10 Estimated Mobile Broadband Providers in Rural Areas by Census Block Total Number of Providers in a block Number of Blocks POPs Contained in Those Blocks % of Rural U.S. POPs Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Rural U.S. Square Miles 1 or More 3,422,482 55,990,890 92.0% 1,688,928 50.2% 2 or More 1,889,535 37,592,392 61.8% 706,670 21.0% 3 or More 635,043 18,032,174 29.6% 142,609 4.2% 4 or More 160,703 6,350,563 10.4% 24,500 0.7% Source: Commission estimates based on data supplied by American Roamer, Nov. 2009 (EV-DO/HSDPA/WiMAX Coverage). Notes: POPs are from the 2000 Census, and the square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. International Comparisons A comparison of the United States market with other developed markets reveals that consumers in the United States pay relatively more on a monthly basis than most other countries but also consume more airtime and enjoy lower unit rates. Despite the decrease in MOUs from 2007 to 2008, U.S. mobile subscribers continue to lead the world in voice usage by a substantial margin, with Western European subscribers averaging 158 MOUs and Japanese subscribers averaging 139 MOUs, compared to more than 700 minutes in the United States. Japan has the highest average monthly bill (ARPU) for mobile services ($56.82), followed by the United States ($51.54). The U.S. average monthly bill is significantly higher than the Western European average ($33.45). At $0.05 per minute, mobile calls remained less expensive on a per minute basis in the United States than in Western Europe, where voice RPM averaged $0.16 at the end of 2008, and Japan, where voice RPM averaged $0.26 at the end of 2008. At nearly 90 percent, U.S. mobile penetration is lower than average mobile penetration in Western Europe (128 percent) but higher than mobile penetration in Japan (86 percent). Country Penetration (% of Pops) Prepaid (% of Subs) MOUs Revenue per Minute ($) ARPU ($) Data (% of ARPU) Receiving Party Pays USA 88.9 17.1 829 0.05 51.54 25.5 Canada 64.8 21.2 444 0.09 49.24 17.8 Hong Kong 147.6 44.9 447 0.04 20.40 26.7 Singapore 135.8 48.6 377 0.06 32.08 27.3 Calling Party Pays UK 125.5 62.0 192 0.12 35.35 27.8 Germany 130.6 56.6 102 0.16 20.59 25.3 Italy 152.7 88.3 131 0.16 26.87 24.7 Sweden 123.6 35.0 206 0.10 28.05 20.9 France 91.9 34.2 246 0.14 44.37 18.3 Finland 127.5 12.7 244 0.12 33.91 18.9 Japan 85.7 1.4 139 0.26 56.82 41.0 South Korea 93.9 3.0 320 0.08 30.34 17.0 Australia 109.9 44.9 218 0.11 34.57 32.4 II. INTRODUCTION 5. In 1993, Congress created the statutory classification of Commercial Mobile Radio Services11 (CMRS) to promote the consistent regulation of mobile radio services that are similar in nature.12 At the same time, Congress established the promotion of competition as a fundamental goal for CMRS policy formation and regulation. To measure progress toward this goal, Congress required the Commission to submit annual reports that analyze competitive conditions in the industry.13 6. Congress called on the Commission to report on “competitive market conditions with respect to commercial mobile services.”14 In particular, the statute requiring the annual report on CMRS competition states: The Commission shall review competitive market conditions with respect to commercial mobile services and shall include in its annual report an analysis of those conditions. Such analysis shall include an identification of the number of competitors in various commercial mobile services, an analysis of whether or not there is effective competition, an analysis of whether any of such competitors have a dominant share of the market for such services, and a statement of whether additional providers or classes of providers in those services would be likely to enhance competition.15 In the Thirteenth Report, the Commission found effective competition in the CMRS market based on a variety of metrics, including the number of providers, subscribers, usage, and prices.16  Since the period covered by the Thirteenth Report, CMRS competition has grown stronger by some of the measures previously considered, but weaker by others.  To better comply with Congress’s mandate to assess market conditions, this Report looks beyond the metrics considered in the Thirteenth Report and undertakes a more expansive and detailed analysis of the mobile wireless industry than past reports. 7. In order to improve upon the competitive analysis of previous Reports, the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, in May 2009, released a Public Notice soliciting data and information in order to evaluate the state of competition among providers of CMRS.17 The Fourteenth Report Public Notice sought comment generally on which indicators are useful for analyzing competitive market conditions with respect to CMRS.18 In August 2009, the Commission released a Notice of Inquiry (NOI) seeking to expand and enhance its understanding of mobile wireless competition in various ways.19 The NOI requested input on the analytic framework the Commission should use to examine and describe competition in the mobile wireless market.20 The August 2009 NOI also sought information on the competitive effects of vertical relationships between wireless service providers and other markets that supply inputs that are required to produce the services, applications, and content used by consumers.21 In particular, it sought comment on the various input segments, the contractual relationships firms in these segments have with providers of mobile wireless services, and the effects of these relationships on mobile wireless competition.22 8. The Fourteenth Report integrates data on market conditions with respect to CMRS into a general analysis of competition in the mobile wireless services marketplace. Many providers of CMRS also offer a variety of mobile data services, including mobile broadband Internet access service, which is not classified as “CMRS,”23 and other mobile data services whose regulatory status the Commission has not addressed.24 For the Fourteenth Report, our analysis of the mobile wireless services industry includes voice, messaging, and broadband services because they often jointly use the same spectrum, network facilities, and customer equipment; and many mobile providers have integrated the marketing of these services, often offering them in bundles. Also, consumers are increasingly substituting among voice, messaging, and data services, and, in particular, are willing to substitute from voice to messaging or data services for an increasing portion of their communication needs. 9. The ongoing transition of mobile wireless services from interconnected mobile voice service to an array of voice, messaging, and broadband services provided on previous and next generation mobile networks has contributed to the growth in diverse mobile wireless market segments that are involved in bringing these information products to consumers. These interrelated market segments form the mobile wireless ecosystem, the various parts of the supply and production network that bring thousands of mobile wireless products to Americans every day. Each of the segments in the mobile wireless ecosystem has the potential to affect competitive and consumer outcomes in the mobile wireless services segment. As a result, unlike previous annual reports on the state of CMRS competition,25 this Report analyzes competition across the entire mobile wireless ecosystem, expanding its analysis to include new “upstream” and “downstream” market segments such as device and infrastructure, and how the vertical relationships among these segments affect mobile wireless competition.26 10. Figure 1 below provides an illustration of the mobile wireless ecosystem and the sections of the Fourteenth Report in which each of the ecosystem segments is discussed. The input segments are divided into spectrum, towers, network equipment, and backhaul facilities.27 Following these inputs, the transmission of mobile wireless services includes voice services, messaging services,28 and data services (including broadband). The downstream segments include mobile devices, device operating systems, and mobile applications, content, and mobile commerce.29 Mobile devices, the endpoints of mobile networks, are the last of many links in mobile wireless networks that connect consumers to the network. For more and more consumers, mobile devices are evolving from voice-only handsets to handheld computers with sophisticated operating systems capable of supporting many of the same functionalities and software applications of personal computers (e.g., Internet browsers, video players, and e-mail programs). Mobile devices can also include devices that do not even provide circuit-switched voice service, such as modems for portable computers and electronic books. The final layer of the mobile wireless ecosystem consists of the information products that are transmitted over mobile data networks and directly consumed by subscribers. These information goods include mobile applications, content (e.g., video and music files, web sites, photos, and documents), and mobile commerce (e.g., electronic shopping and financial transactions using a mobile device). It is recognized that these input segments can affect entry, competition, output, or prices in the provision of mobile wireless services. The importance of the downstream segments to consumers’ mobile wireless experience is increasing with the deployment of mobile broadband networks that support Internet-based applications. Figure 1. Mobile Wireless Ecosystem 11. In this Report, the discussion of the middle part of the mobile wireless ecosystem – mobile wireless services – includes a detailed analysis of mobile wireless service market conditions, including an analysis of whether there is effective competition in the CMRS market, as required by Section 332(c) of the Act. As discussed above, the statute requires an identification of the number of competitors in the various commercial mobile services, an analysis of whether any of the competitors have a dominant share of the market for the services, and a statement of whether additional providers or classes of providers in the services would be likely to enhance competition. In May 2009, the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau released a Public Notice seeking comment on which indicators are the most relevant for analyzing competitive market conditions and whether any specific criteria should be used to more precisely define a standard of effective competition.30 12. This competitive analysis of mobile wireless services in the Fourteenth Report considers data that provide information on whether any wireless service provider is exercising undue market power – the ability to profitably charge prices above cost for a sustained period of time due to a lack of competitive constraints.31 This analysis has been organized in four distinct categories: market structure, provider conduct, market performance, and consumer behavior.32 First, within market structure, the number of competitors is analyzed and measures of concentration are calculated because there is some relation between the ability to exercise market power and market concentration, i.e., without competitors or potential entry, there can be no competitive constraints on market power. The Report also investigates entry and exit of wireless service providers, the potential for any antitrust violations in the mobile wireless market, and the existence of any intermodal sources of competition. These factors provide additional valuable information on the amount of competitive pressure existing in the mobile wireless services market that can serve to restrain exercises of market power. Entry and exit conditions may affect the number of competitors that can enter and compete in the market, and, as discussed above, this in turn can influence whether any firm can exercise undue market power. Mergers, a type of exit, are closely reviewed by the Commission because mergers can potentially form stronger competitors that restrain competitors from exercising market power. At the same time, a merger may increase the risk that the merged firm may itself exercise undue market power. Last, although mobile wireless services have some unique characteristics, we regularly assess whether intermodal sources of competition (e.g., wireline, fixed wireless, and satellite communication services) can or will place competitive pressure on mobile wireless service providers. 13. Second, price and non-price rivalry are examined as part of provider conduct. We discuss product differentiation, network investment and technology upgrades, advertising and marketing, and innovation because such non-price modes of competition can impose significant competitive constraints, especially in high technology industries that experience rapid innovation. 14. Third, the section on market performance evaluates evidence of the outcomes of competitive conditions in the mobile wireless industry from the consumer’s point of view, focusing on the benefits to consumers of competition, such as lower prices, higher consumption, and better quality. In contrast, the sections on market structure, provider conduct, and consumer behavior examine various structural and behavioral determinants of such market outcomes. Within market performance, prices of services across competitors provide more direct evidence of competitive outcomes and the strength of competitive rivalry than do measures of concentration. The study of prices also provides evidence of any unusual increases or upward trends in prices. In addition, the quantity of services consumed is analyzed because exercises of undue market power are often accompanied by observable restrictions on the quantity of services produced.33 15. Accordingly, this Report complies with the statutory requirements for analyzing competitive market conditions with respect to commercial mobile services by employing the competition analysis described above. We analyze the extent of competitive pressure and rivalry present in the mobile wireless market, the benefits received by consumers, and trends in indicators of firm rivalry and consumer benefits over time. This analysis of competitive conditions also tries to identify areas where competition is strong and also areas that could benefit from increased competition. In some cases, the Report provides data that can form the basis for in-depth proceedings, special oversight, or targeted regulations that could promote competition and consumer welfare. 16. The mobile wireless ecosystem is sufficiently complex such that no single definition of effective competition adequately encompasses both general indicators of competition and challenges inherent in the mobile wireless industry, such as spectrum availability, network interconnection issues, and network access issues.34 Further, there is no definition of “effective competition” that is widely accepted by economists or competition policy authorities such as the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ).35 The DOJ’s position on competition policy is in agreement with the approach taken in the Fourteenth Report.36 The DOJ states, “[t]he operative question in competition policy is whether there are policy levers that can be used to produce superior outcomes, not whether the market resembles the textbook model of perfect competition.”37 We note as well that the Commission’s first seven Annual CMRS Competition Reports did not include an overall conclusion regarding whether or not the CMRS marketplace was effectively competitive. Instead, they provided an analysis and description of the CMRS industry’s competitive metrics and trends. Thus, this Report returns to the approach of those Reports, but with an expanded and more detailed analysis of the entire mobile wireless ecosystem. 17. Structure of the Report. The Fourteenth Report addresses the markets and market segments that constitute the mobile wireless ecosystem. The mobile wireless services market, including CMRS, is addressed in Sections III - VI. These sections follow the market structure-provider conduct-market performance-consumer behavior competitive analysis framework described above. The input segments of the mobile wireless services market are analyzed in Section VII.A and the handset/device market, mobile applications, and mobile commerce are analyzed in Section VII.B. Intermodal Competition is discussed in Section VIII. Differences across Geographic Markets, including Urban-Rural Comparisons and International Comparisons, are addressed in Section IX. The Appendices discuss spectrum available for mobile wireless services (Appendix A), provide an extended discussion on mobile wireless network technologies (Appendix C), and present tables and maps (Appendix D). 18. Data Timeframes. The Fourteenth Report focuses on conditions prevailing in the mobile wireless industry during 2008 and 2009. Given that the industry is dynamic and that market conditions are rapidly evolving, we strive to use the most recent data available in our analysis. In cases where our analysis relies on annual year-end metrics – such as with subscribership levels, penetration rates, and concentration – we use, and have included in the Report, year-end 2008 data. In other cases, where our analysis is based on metrics reported quarterly or semi-annually, we have included data through the second or third quarter of 2009, or mid-2009, respectively. The Report’s analysis of network coverage and the number of providers is based on data provided by American Roamer in October 2009 (for voice or overall network coverage) and November 2009 (for mobile broadband and next-generation network coverage). Many sections of the Report also discuss major industry developments, where relevant, that occurred during 2009 and early 2010. 19. Dollar Amounts. Dollar figures stated in this Report have not been adjusted for inflation (i.e., they are nominal dollars) unless stated otherwise. III. MOBILE WIRELESS SERVICES: INDUSTRY STRUCTURE A. Introduction 20. Mobile Wireless Services. The Fourteenth Report provides an analysis of competition in the mobile wireless services industry. Providers of mobile wireless services offer an array of mobile voice and data services, including interconnected mobile voice services, text and multimedia messaging, and mobile broadband Internet access services. The Report considers information and data on the mobile wireless services industry as a whole as well as on each of the individual segments where appropriate. From the standpoint of competitive analysis, the Report considers, for several reasons, the mobile wireless services industry as a whole rather than providing separate competitive analyses of all of the various segments. 21. First, a mobile wireless service provider may offer voice and data services using the same spectrum and network infrastructure. Therefore, it is difficult to extricate the cost structure of different services, which would be essential in determining comparative profitability or other important analyses. 22. Second, consumers typically receive mobile voice and data services on a single end-user device and purchase these services from a single provider. Although mobile data services are not always offered in conjunction with mobile voice service (e.g., mobile Internet access on a laptop computer or the wireless network connection for an e-reader such as Amazon.com Inc.’s (Amazon) Kindle), mobile wireless subscribers who use their handsets for data services typically purchase these services as either an add-on to voice services or as part of a bundled voice and data plan; in some cases, they may not be able to purchase data services independent of voice services. The combination of these factors may affect competition across the entire mobile wireless services industry and impact consumer choice with respect to these services. 23. Third, the availability of certain data employed in this Report reflects the entire mobile wireless services industry and not the individual segments. For example, the NRUF data provide an estimate of all mobile wireless devices in use that have a telephone number assigned to them.38 This includes traditional mobile handsets used primarily or exclusively for voice calls, as well as smartphones that are used for both voice and data services and devices used exclusively for data services, such as wireless modem aircards or e-readers.39 The NRUF data do not distinguish by the type of device used. 24. Defining the appropriate size of the local geographic area for mobile wireless services is necessary to assess competition. A basic economic principle for defining the scope of the relevant geographic area for a competitive analysis is to include the customers of a geographic area who face similar competitive alternatives. Because mobile wireless consumers are generally not willing to search for competitive alternatives that do not serve their local areas, the relevant geographic area is a local area. Accordingly, assessing competition in mobile wireless services at the national level could overstate the level of competition and industry concentration because the total number of providers in the entire United States exceeds the number of providers that compete with each other in any single region in which a consumer searches for a wireless provider. For example, two facilities-based providers that do not have overlapping network coverage do not directly compete with each other. 25. Defining the appropriate extent of the local geographic area for mobile wireless services is a highly complex exercise due to various factors, including: (1) the variety of geographic schemes used to license different spectrum bands; (2) the wide variation in providers’ geographic footprints; (3) the relatively large number of licensed providers; and (4) the difficulty of collecting accurate information on the geographic coverage of each mobile operator’s network in its license area(s). In this Report, we base our analysis of market concentration on uniform geographic areas that may be broader or narrower than the relevant geographic markets employed in other analyses conducted by the Commission. We estimate network coverage and the number of competitors serving an area using census blocks, and we provide concentration measures at the level of EAs. EAs are geographic units defined by the U.S. Department of Commerce that define geographic economic markets using data on commuting patterns. Although the Commission typically uses smaller geographic areas to calculate HHIs when it evaluates the competitive consequences of certain transactions, we use EAs in this Report to maintain continuity with past Reports and to ensure that we do not compromise the confidential information found in the NRUF data.40 B. Overview of Service Providers 1. Facilities-Based Providers 26. Facilities-based mobile wireless service providers offer mobile voice, messaging, and/or data services using their own network facilities. Most facilities-based providers currently offer circuit-switched mobile voice services that are interconnected with the public switched telephone network (PSTN). Many of the data and messaging services offered by facilities-based providers rely only on IP-based, packet-switched networks, while other services may continue to connect to the PSTN. Most mobile wireless voice providers also offer data-only services – such as mobile wireless Internet access for portable computers or mobile Wi-Fi hotspot41 connections – that are not bundled in a service plan with a mobile voice service. Certain mobile wireless service providers, such as Clearwire Corporation (Clearwire), offer mobile broadband data services but do not offer circuit-switched mobile voice services.42 Facilities-based providers compete with each other in offering individual mobile wireless services, as well as bundles of complementary services (e.g., mobile voice, text, and data services) in the same service plan designed to meet the voice and data communication needs of customers. 27. As of year-end 2008, there were four facilities-based mobile wireless service providers in the United States that industry observers typically describe as “nationwide”: AT&T, Sprint Nextel,43 T-Mobile,44 and Verizon Wireless.45 When a facilities-based provider is described as being nationwide, it does not literally mean that the provider’s network covers the entire land area or entire population of the United States.46 The four facilities-based providers that analyst reports typically describe as nationwide all have mobile wireless networks that cover in excess of 86 percent of the U.S. population in large proportions of the western, mid-western, and eastern United States.47 A map of the combined coverage areas of these four facilities-based providers can be found in Appendix D. 28. The next tier of facilities-based providers consists of companies that provide mobile wireless services on a regional, multi-metro, or local basis. Two facilities-based providers – Leap Wireless International, Inc. (Leap) and MetroPCS Communications Inc. (MetroPCS) – provide service in multiple large and medium-sized metropolitan areas across the nation. United States Cellular Corporation (US Cellular) is a large regional provider that serves regions in the western, mid-western, and eastern United States.48 Clearwire, a recent entrant to the mobile wireless services market, provides mobile wireless broadband services in several metropolitan areas across the country.49 A large, former regional provider, Alltel Corporation (Alltel), was acquired by Verizon Wireless in January 2009.50 29. There are over one hundred small facilities-based providers throughout the country that typically provide service in a single geographical area, many of them rural areas. Cincinnati Bell Wireless, one of the larger of these providers, provides service within the Cincinnati area of Ohio. Cellular South provides service in the southeastern part of the United States, primarily Mississippi. The total number of smaller, facilities-based providers remained unchanged between April 2008 and October 2009.51 Non-nationwide service providers typically rely on roaming agreements with nationwide facilities-based providers to extend their facilities-based network coverage.52 30. The population covered by the mobile wireless networks of the top eight facilities-based providers appears below. Table 1 presents mobile wireless voice network coverage, and Table 2 presents mobile wireless broadband network coverage. In addition, subscriber figures for the top eight service providers appear in Table 3 and Chart 1. From these data, we see that the four nationwide service providers account for 90 percent of the nation’s mobile wireless subscribers (including Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO) subscribers), with AT&T and Verizon Wireless accounting for 60 percent.53 The remaining, non-nationwide service providers account for ten percent (see Chart 1). Table C-4 in Appendix C provides a list of the 16 largest facilities-based service providers. Table 1 Mobile Wireless Network Coverage, Selected Facilities-Based Providers: Voice Networks 54 Service Provider Covered POPs October 2008 (millions) Covered POPs October 2009 (millions) Verizon Wireless 252.9 270.5 AT&T 260.1 262.8 Sprint Nextel 256.6 258.0 T-Mobile 237.6 246.2 Alltel55 77.4 -- MetroPCS 56.0 84.6 Leap 53.9 80.5 US Cellular 41.8 41.7 Table 2 Mobile Wireless Network Coverage, Selected Facilities-Based Providers: Broadband Networks 56 Service Provider Covered POPs November 2008 (millions) Covered POPs November 2009 (millions) Verizon Wireless 241.7 266.7 Sprint Nextel 218.9 226.9 AT&T 189.0 212.3 T-Mobile 88.4 133.9 Alltel57 57.7 -- Leap 19.7 79.2 US Cellular 13.1 26.6 Table 3 Mobile Wireless Subscribers: Selected Facilities-Based Service Providers58 Service Provider Q4 2008 (millions) Q2 2009 (millions) Verizon Wireless 72.1 87.7 AT&T 77.0 79.6 Sprint Nextel 48.3 47.9 T-Mobile 32.8 33.5 Alltel59 14.1 -- MetroPCS 5.4 6.3 US Cellular 6.2 6.2 Leap 3.8 4.5 Chart 1 Service Provider Share of Subscribers (Year-End 2008) and Revenues (4Q 2008)60 2. Resale/MVNO Providers 31. A reseller purchases mobile wireless services from facilities-based providers and resells the services to consumers. Many resellers are referred to as Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) because they typically do not own any network infrastructure or spectrum licenses. Verizon Wireless provides a definition of an MVNO: “MVNOs execute a contract with [the facilities-based provider] to buy wireless service from [the facilities-based provider] to resell under their own brand to customers and perform all marketing, billing, collections and customer service for the customers they activate. MVNOs establish and maintain the relationship with its customers. MVNOs own the relationship with their customers and establish their own calling plans and pricing.”61 MVNOs may target their service and product offerings at specific demographic, lifestyle, and market niches that have particular needs or interests. Their customers typically include a relatively large proportion of consumers who have a low income, are relatively price sensitive, do not want to commit to multiyear subscription contracts, have low usage needs, or do not want to buy a bundle that contains unwanted data services. 32. MVNOs are not counted as separate competitors from their hosting facilities-based providers in our analysis of market structure. MVNOs are mobile wireless service competitors which, like facilities-based providers, compete for subscribers. However, because MVNOs purchase their mobile wireless services in wholesale contracts from facilities-based providers, the ability of MVNOs to compete against their host facilities-based provider is limited. Also, MVNOs do not compete through network investments and upgrades as do facilities-based providers.62 Subscriber figures of MVNOs are usually accounted for in the subscriber figures of the hosting facilities-based provider and are categorized as “wholesale” subscribers.63 For these reasons, many industry analysts focus on facilities-based service providers to characterize market developments that define the state of competition in the mobile wireless industry.64 Many MVNOs are privately-held companies and do not report their subscribers. For purposes of this Report, the Commission does not count any MVNO or reseller as a competitor in the mobile wireless market when it calculates market concentration.65 33. At least 60 MVNOs were operating in the United States in the first quarter of 2010.66 The largest MVNO is Tracfone. At the end of 2009, Tracfone had over 14 million subscribers, making it the fifth largest mobile wireless service provider in the United States after the four nationwide facilities-based service providers.67 Tracfone is owned by América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V., a wireless service provider in Latin America and Puerto Rico, and offers mobile wireless services using the networks of AT&T and Verizon Wireless.68 Tracfone had 3.2 million net customer additions in 2009, 1.2 million of which were added in the fourth quarter alone.69 34. Another large MVNO, Virgin Mobile USA, was acquired by Sprint Nextel in the fourth quarter of 2009.70 Some mobile wireless service providers offer service both as MVNOs and facilities-based providers. For instance, Sprint Nextel offers mobile wireless voice and data services using its own networks and has entered an MVNO agreement with Clearwire to resell WiMAX service from Clearwire.71 3. Narrowband Data Providers 35. Narrowband data and paging services comprise a specialized market segment of mobile wireless industry. These services include two-way messaging, and machine-to-machine and other telemetry communications, and are consumed primarily by businesses, government users, and other institutions. According to Commission licensing databases there is approximately seven megahertz of spectrum allocated to narrowband and paging services, and there are hundreds of licensees for these services. Licensees include citizens, firms, and local and State governments. For instance, USA Mobility provides paging and two-way messaging products to the business, government, and health care sectors.72 USA Mobility states that, due to competition from mobile wireless service providers (using Cellular and broadband PCS spectrum), they expect demand for their messaging services to decline in the near future.73 Another narrowband provider, Space Data Corp., provides commercial telemetry services across the south-central United States to energy, utility, and transportation companies.74 SkyTel offers machine-to-machine services including tracking services, automated reading of utility meters, power grid communication services, wireless security services, and point of sale communication services.75 4. Mobile Satellite Service Providers 36. Mobile Satellite Services (MSS) providers also offer mobile wireless services by providing satellite-based communications to mobile devices. Traditionally, MSS has involved voice and narrowband data services, but licensees are increasing the number and variety of broadband service offerings.76 MSS services are generally targeted to users that require service in remote areas, in disaster response situation, or other places where terrestrial mobile wireless network access may be limited.77 Examples of MSS consumers include the oil industry, maritime users, public safety agencies, and other government/military operations. 37. While terrestrial mobile wireless service providers and satellite mobile wireless service providers both provide mobile wireless voice and data services, the Commission has recognized that terrestrial mobile wireless services and MSS have different characteristics and involve different consumer benefits, coverage, prices, product acceptance, and distribution methods.78 The two services, at the present time, are not perfectly interchangeable, appear to be imperfect substitutes for one another, and appeal to different market segments.79 The mobile satellite service industry, however, is undergoing major technological and structural changes.80 As with the rest of the telecommunications sector, technological advances in the mobile satellite industry are shifting the locus of consumer demand and competition to broadband services.81 Several MSS providers also have stated plans to offer high-speed data services, especially in connection with terrestrial networks using their Ancillary Terrestrial Component (ATC) authority.82 Such services in the future could potentially enhance competition in the provision of mobile terrestrial wireless services.83 As of the end of 2009, however, no mobile services have been offered using ATC.84 38. While the Twelfth and Thirteenth Reports discussed MSS spectrum, providers, and networks,85 the Commission’s forthcoming Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Domestic and International Satellite Communication Services will include a more detailed discussion of MSS, including ATC services.86 Accordingly, this Report does not include a further discussion of MSS, and does not include MSS in its analysis of the mobile wireless services industry. C. Horizontal Concentration 39. The level of market concentration can be measured by the number of competitors, shares of subscribers or sales, or the distribution of competitors’ respective shares of subscribers or sales. A high market concentration will occur whenever a small number of competitors each possess a relatively large share of subscribers or sales. In conjunction with entry conditions and the degree of rivalry among providers, market concentration affects the likelihood that a single provider unilaterally, or a group of providers through coordinated action, could successfully exercise market power that results in profitable and sustainable price increases. 1. Number of Competitors 40. In this section, we estimate the percentage of the U.S. population served by facilities-based mobile wireless service providers in more than 8 million U.S. census blocks.87 This analysis is based on provider coverage maps provided to the Commission through a contract with American Roamer, an independent consulting firm that tracks service provision for mobile voice and mobile data services.88 We note that the American Roamer analysis likely overstates the coverage actually experienced by consumers, because American Roamer reports advertised coverage as reported to it by many mobile wireless service providers, each of which uses a different definition of coverage.89 The data do not expressly account for factors such as signal strength, bit rate, or in-building coverage, and they may convey a false sense of consistency across geographic areas and service providers.90 Nonetheless, the data are useful for benchmarking mobile network deployment across the United States, especially over time. 41. Map 2 below depicts the number of facilities-based providers operating across the United States. More detailed regional maps are available in Appendix D. Map 2 Mobile Wireless Competitors91 42. Estimates of the total number of competitors by aggregate census block coverage, by population coverage, and by land area coverage are shown below. Table 4 presents coverage by all mobile wireless service providers, and Table 5 shows the extent of coverage in areas of the country excluding Federal lands. Table 6 and Table 7 present coverage by mobile wireless voice and broadband providers, respectively. Due to confidentially agreements with American Roamer, we cannot provide details about the census blocks served by individual facilities-based providers. Table 4 Estimated Mobile Wireless Service Providers by Census Block, Including Federal Land92 Total Number of Providers in a Block Number of Blocks POPs Contained in Those Blocks % of Total US POPs Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Total US Square Miles Total for US 8,262,363 285,230,516 100.0% 3,799,408 100.0%             1 or more 8,001,159 284,122,621 99.6% 2,782,734 73.2% 2 or more 7,608,107 281,287,053 98.6% 2,207,144 58.1% 3 or more 6,801,227 273,236,840 95.8% 1,547,456 40.7% 4 or more 5,812,155 259,248,116 90.9% 999,147 26.3% 5 or more 4,009,938 210,574,568 73.8% 480,056 12.6% 6 or more 1,334,038 70,492,955 24.7% 122,594 3.2% 7 or more 300,215 20,000,444 7.0% 15,436 0.4% Table 5 Estimated Mobile Wireless Service Providers by Census Block, Excluding Federal Land93 Total Number of Providers in a Block Number of Blocks POPs Contained in Those Blocks % of Total US POPs Excluding Those on Federal Land Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Total US Square Miles Excluding Federal Land Total for US 7,794,199 280,371,248 100.0% 2,652,534 100.0%             1 or more 7,630,576 279,465,237 99.7% 2,209,609 83.3% 2 or more 7,321,670 276,981,583 98.8% 1,876,215 70.7% 3 or more 6,604,650 269,434,807 96.1% 1,375,448 51.9% 4 or more 5,683,440 256,008,675 91.3% 918,467 34.6% 5 or more 3,950,485 208,505,981 74.4% 453,357 17.1% 6 or more 1,316,617 69,684,129 24.9% 118,040 4.5% 7 or more 297,391 19,784,321 7.1% 14,900 0.6% 43. Table 4 and Table 5 present estimates of how many competitors serve the U.S mobile wireless services market. Table 4 includes federally-owned or administered land, and Table 5 excludes such lands. Including or excluding Federal lands results in a similar number of competitors by population coverage; however, due to the large quantity of sparsely-populated Federal lands, the analysis shows significantly greater percentages of land coverage when Federal lands are excluded. For example, approximately 40.7 percent of the total U.S. land area is covered by three or more facilities-based providers, compared to approximately 51.9 percent of the land area when Federal lands are excluded. As the Commission has recognized, “[i]n many locations, covering certain government land may be impractical, because these lands are subject to restrictions that prevent a licensee from providing service or make provision of service extremely difficult. We also note that government lands often include only very small portions of the population in a license area.”94 Federally-owned lands constitute nearly 30 percent of the approximately 3.6 million square mile land area of the United States.95 A map showing the extent of Federal lands, with American Indian Reservations and Alaska Native Village Statistical Areas, can be found in Appendix D. 44. Table 4 shows that approximately 284 million people, or 99.6 percent of the total U.S. population, are served by at least one facilities-based provider, according to our census block level analysis using American Roamer data. Approximately 273 million people, or 95.8 percent of the total U.S. population, are served by three or more competitors offering mobile wireless service in the census blocks in which they live, and approximately 259 million people, or 90.9 percent of the U.S. population, live in census blocks served by four or more competitors. 45. Table 5, shows that approximately 279 million people, or 99.7 percent of the U.S. population, excluding those on Federal lands, are served by at least one facilities-based provider, according to the analysis. Approximately 269 million people, or 96.1 percent of the total U.S. population, are served by three or more competitors offering mobile wireless service in the census blocks in which they live, and approximately 256 million people, or 91.3 percent of the U.S. population, live in census blocks served by four or more competitors. Approximately 17 percent of the land area of the United States, when Federal lands are excluded, has no mobile wireless network coverage.96 Table 6 Estimated Mobile Wireless Voice Providers by Census Block, 200997 Total Number of Providers in a Block Number of Blocks POPs Contained in Those Blocks % of Total US POPs Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Total US Square Miles Total for US 8,262,363 285,230,516 100.0% 3,799,408 100.0%             1 or more 8,000,570 284,121,970 99.6% 2,782,606 73.2% 2 or more 7,607,934 281,286,168 98.6% 2,207,056 58.1% 3 or more 6,800,716 273,209,240 95.8% 1,547,420 40.7% 4 or more 5,806,406 258,958,719 90.8% 998,978 26.3% 5 or more 3,959,641 207,724,511 72.8% 478,046 12.6% 6 or more 1,087,150 54,416,664 19.1% 113,421 3.0% 7 or more 61,020 2,087,253 0.7% 8,632 0.2% Table 7 Estimated Mobile Wireless Broadband Providers by Census Block, 200998 Total Number of Providers in a block Number of Blocks POPs Contained in Those Blocks % of Total US POPs Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Total US Square Miles 1 or More 7,464,539 279,756,929 98.1 2,150,171 56.6 2 or More 5,662,923 255,187,772 89.5 1,073,018 28.2 3 or More 3,878,519 217,078,155 76.1 390,208 10.3 4 or More 2,457,193 165,393,450 58.0 139,625 3.7 46. The analysis estimates that approximately 284 million people, or 99.6 percent of the U.S. population, are served by one or more mobile voice providers, as depicted in Table 6. Equivalently, 1.1 million people, or 0.4 percent of the U.S. population, are not served by any mobile service provider. Approximately 273 million people, or 95.8 percent of the population, are served by at least three mobile voice providers.99 Approximately 259 million people, or 90.8 percent of the population, are served by at least four mobile voice providers.100 47. Table 7 shows the extent of mobile broadband coverage, which includes EV-DO, WCDMA/HSPA, or mobile WiMAX networks. Approximately 280 million people, or 98.1 percent of the U.S. population, are served by one or more mobile broadband providers. The percentage of the population served by at least two mobile broadband providers increased from 73 percent in May 2008 to nearly 90 percent in November 2009.101 In addition, the percentage of the population served by three or more providers increased from 51 percent in May 2008 to 76 percent in November 2009.102 Table 7 also shows that approximately 58 percent of the population is served by at least four mobile broadband providers.103 2. Concentration Measures 48. Measures of industry concentration aim to relate industry structure to industry performance. They can be useful indicators when evaluated together with firm conduct and actual industry performance. The number of competitors and shares of subscribers or sales are the most elementary measures of industry concentration.104 49. Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI). The HHI, a measure of market concentration, is employed by the Commission because it is the most widely-accepted measure of concentration in competition analysis. 105 In particular, it allows a comparison of different distributions of providers’ shares of subscribers using a common index. The range of the HHI is the positive numbers up to 10,000, with 10,000 representing a monopoly, the highest degree of concentration. Fewer competitors and higher shares of subscribers result in higher HHI index values.106 As a benchmark for comparison, the value of the HHI for a hypothetical market in which there are four facilities-based providers with equal shares of subscribers is 2500; if there are three facilities-based providers with equal shares of subscribers the value is 3333. For context, the DOJ antitrust guidelines consider a market to be “highly concentrated” if the post-merger HHI exceeds 1800.107 DOJ antitrust scrutiny is typically applied to a merger if it would trigger an increase in the HHI of 100 or greater when the post-merger HHI is between 1000 and 1800, and an increase of 50 or greater when the post-merger HHI is above 1800.108 As described below, the Commission has previously used a higher screen, 2800 for the HHI and 100 for the change in HHI, in reviewing mergers of mobile providers. 109 50. HHI Methodology. As in previous Reports, we apply the HHI to the shares of subscribers held by facilities-based mobile wireless providers at the level of EAs, calculating shares of subscribers from the providers’ numbers of subscribers.110 Hence, we use a facilities-based provider’s number of subscribers as a proxy for the provider’s actual output (i.e., minutes of use, MBs, etc.). The number of subscribers served by each provider is determined based on the Commission’s year-end 2008 NRUF data, which track phone number usage information for the United States.111 We emphasize that, in using the EA as the basis for calculating shares of subscribers in this Report, we are not concluding that the EA is the appropriate geographic market for other purposes.112 51. Current HHI values. As shown in Table 8, the weighted average of the HHIs (weighted by EA population) was 2848 at the end of 2008, up from 2674 at the end of 2007—an increase of 174, or 6.5 percent, year over year.113 The 2008 HHI data reflect several mergers that were completed during 2008,114 including the mergers of AT&T/Aloha (February 2008), T-Mobile/Suncom (February 2008), Verizon Wireless/Rural Cellular (August 2008), and Verizon Wireless/Alltel (January 2009).115  From 2003 (the first year the Commission calculated HHI using this methodology) to 2008, the average HHI has increased from 2151 to 2848, an increase of 697 (see Table 8 and Chart 2). The lowest EA HHI values and the highest EA HHI values both increased in 2008 relative to the 2007 HHI values.116 For 2008, the value of the HHI for individual EAs ranges from a low of 2123 in EA 63 (covering parts of southeastern Wisconsin) to a high of 8263 in EA 4 (covering parts of Vermont and New York). The increase in the 2008 HHI values relative to the 2007 HHI values could be attributed to fewer competitors and/or a greater inequality in the shares of subscribers held by providers. A merger can increase the HHI due to there being fewer providers in an EA and due to an increase in the subscribers in an EA of the post-merger provider. The change in the HHI from 2007 to 2008 may also reflect changes in subscribers that did not result because of a merger. 52. The HHI values can be viewed in the context of the “HHI screen” used by the Commission in its analysis of mergers and license transactions. The Commission employed an HHI screen in its review of transactions during 2009, including the AT&T/Centennial transaction.117 The HHI screen identified service areas in which (1) the post-transaction HHI would be both greater than 2800 and would increase by at least 100, or (2) the post-transaction HHI would have increased by at least 250. Service areas that met these criteria were flagged and subject to a further case-by-case competitive analysis.118 Table 8 Mobile Wireless Market Concentration119 Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Fourteenth Report Thirteenth Report Twelfth Report Eleventh Report Tenth Report Ninth Report Year 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 Average 2848 2674 2674 2706 2450 2151 High 8263 6272 6551 9042 7064 7155 Low 2123 1795 1609 1605 1554 1325 Chart 2 Average HHI of EAs120 53. HHI values tend to vary with the population density of different markets. Specifically, market concentration in EAs tends to increase as the EA population declines. Chart 3 shows the relationship between EA population densities and HHI values. The most concentrated EAs tend to be in rural areas, while major metropolitan areas lie in the least concentrated EAs. The median HHI value of EAs that lie within population density bands decreases as the population density increases (see Chart 4). This phenomenon likely reflects greater demand and greater cost efficiencies (per-user mobile wireless network deployment costs tend to decrease with increases in the population density) in more densely-populated areas. Chart 3 Plot of EA HHI Values on EA Population Densities Chart 4 Median HHI of EAs in Population Density Bands121 54. Apart from differences in population, EAs also vary significantly with regard to other determinants of market demand and facilities-based provider costs, such as per-capita income, the age distribution of the population, and the size and composition of the business sector.122 The economic determinants of industry concentration are discussed further in Section III.D, Entry and Exit Conditions below. 55. Relation between HHI and Market Power. Shares of subscribers and measures of concentration are not synonymous with market power – the ability to charge prices above the competitive level for a sustained period of time.123 High market concentration may be a reasonable proxy for significant market power when a reduction in the number of competitors or an increase in their shares of subscribers result in significantly fewer constraints on the market power of the remaining firms. However, market concentration, by itself, is an imperfect indicator of market power. This Report analyzes the strength of other factors, besides market concentration, which constrain market power. These include entry and exit conditions, the degree of price and non-price rivalry, and innovative activity that undercuts the market power of non-innovators by increasing product diversity and quality and lowering costs. While mobile wireless service prices and price margins are assessed below,124 this Report does not contain a summary estimate of market power – i.e., a numerical estimate of price mark-up over cost – due to the complexities of estimating market power in an industry with high fixed costs that are recovered gradually over time, difficulties with analyzing pricing plans for bundles of services, and the difficulties in obtaining accurate and suitable cost data. Our merger review process uses a market-by-market analysis of market concentration as one of many indicia used to find evidence of market power.  D. Entry and Exit Conditions 56. Actual entry and exit occurs in the context of underlying regulatory, market, and technological conditions that directly influence the total number of firms that can compete successfully in a market. Entry and exit conditions are relevant for determining if entry or exit will occur, and when entry or exit will occur – both of which are important for competition. 57. We distinguish regulatory from non-regulatory entry and exit conditions in order to distinguish spectrum and infrastructure policies from basic market factors. Regulatory entry conditions tend to be related to access to the inputs necessary to offer mobile wireless services. They include spectrum policy, which affects the total spectrum capacity available for mobile wireless services, and tower-siting regulations, which affect whether and how quickly mobile wireless networks can be deployed or expanded.125 Regulatory delay at the policy or licensee level can cause delay of entry and therefore is, in itself, a kind of adjustment cost126 or entry barrier.127 Non-regulatory or market conditions that influence entry and exit can be summarized by expected post-entry profitability and its associated risk factors, which in turn have several main market determinants that are discussed below.128 1. Regulatory Entry and Exit Conditions 58. Spectrum. Spectrum bandwidth is a vital input to the production of mobile wireless services. For an entering firm to employ spectrum that was previously unemployed in the mobile wireless services market, it must be able to access such spectrum. The effective supply of spectrum capacity that is available for mobile wireless service depends on several aspects of spectrum policy, including allocation and licensing polices, as well as interference and technical rules. First, increasing the total supply of spectrum bandwidth that the Commission allocates for mobile wireless service and licenses to mobile wireless service providers can increase network capacity and reduce the degree of frequency reuse required to achieve a given capacity.129 Therefore, spectrum policies affect the ability of potential entrants to access spectrum and hence the technological, economic, and legal resources required to expand capacity.130 Second, interference and technical rules can affect both spectrum access and spectrum efficiency, and, hence, overall network capacity.131 Spectrum is discussed in more detail in Section VII. 59. Tower Siting. State and local zoning rules for erecting wireless towers or attaching equipment to pre-existing structures can affect the deployment of mobile wireless networks. In particular, delays in zoning approvals can lengthen the process of cell site acquisition and deployment, thereby increasing costs for new or existing providers to enter into new markets. The Commission reported that in 2009, of 3,300 pending zoning applications for wireless facilities, over 760 (nearly one quarter) had been pending for more than a year and 180 had been pending for more than three years.132 In November 2009, the Commission issued a Declaratory Ruling that sets time frames for state and local zoning authorities to act on a zoning application –90 days for collocations and 150 days for all other towers.133 If a zoning authority does not act within the appropriate time period, and the parties have not agreed to extend the review period, the applicant can file for relief in federal court.134 Furthermore, the Declaratory Ruling acts to reduce regulatory barriers to entry by finding that it is a violation of the Communications Act for a state or local government to deny a wireless service facility-siting application because service is available from another provider.135 2. Non-Regulatory Entry and Exit Conditions 60. Non-regulatory entry and exit conditions are market-determined conditions that affect a firm’s ability to enter into or exit from a market. Service provider entry and exit decisions are primarily determined by market profitability estimates.136 Profitability depends on many factors, including providers’ costs, market demand projections, market supply and capacity projections, the intensity of rivalry, and market risks.137 Some of the major entry costs include (1) spectrum licenses or spectrum leasing costs; (2) network coverage costs such as site acquisition and preparation costs, site construction and leasing costs, network equipment costs, backhaul transport138 costs, and other potential interconnection and roaming costs; (3) the costs of offering customers a portfolio of attractive wireless devices; and (4) the costs of marketing and distributing wireless services and devices. Below, we briefly discuss these major costs of deploying a network and gaining a customer base. On the demand side, population, population density, income, other socioeconomic variables, and macroeconomic conditions affect the service revenue projections of potential entrants. 61. Market-determined costs, like regulatory entry conditions, can affect both if entry will occur and when entry will occur. Entry costs, on a per subscriber basis, are generally less in the mobile wireless industry than in the wireline industry.139 A high level of network deployment costs (a type of fixed cost 140 of building network capacity) in relation to the number of customers may limit the number of firms that can enter and survive in a market.141 For example, areas with a low population density tend to have fewer facilities-based competitors (and higher concentration) than areas that have a high population density.142 For an entrant to survive in the market, the market must be large enough for a potential entrant to recoup its network deployment costs over time from service revenues. Costs that delay entry, sometimes referred to as “adjustment costs,” are relevant for estimating exactly when entry will occur. 143 A role of competition policy is to estimate how the timing of entry depends on various costs and to determine whether there are any relevant regulatory policy tools that can reduce entry delay.144 62. Spectrum. A potential facilities-based entrant to a wireless service market can obtain spectrum in several ways including purchasing spectrum at Commission auctions, purchasing spectrum in the secondary market, and leasing spectrum in the secondary market. For instance, in the two recent major spectrum auctions, the average spectrum price ranged from $0.53/MHz/Pop for the AWS-1 (Advanced Wireless Service) band (1700/2100 MHz band) in Auction 66 to $1.28/MHz/Pop for the 700 MHz band in Auction 73.145 At these prices, aggregating a significant regional spectrum footprint would involve an outlay of hundreds of millions of dollars and a national footprint would require billions of dollars. Leasing spectrum in the secondary market can reduce initial spectrum acquisition costs, distributing the costs over time. Some companies such as Spectrum Bridge, Inc. provide online market places for spectrum exchange.146 Additional information about spectrum can be found in Section VII.A.1. 63. Network Coverage. To create a customer base, a new facilities-based entrant must provide network coverage that is sufficient to attract new customers, including enticing customers to switch from existing service providers.147 Major network deployment costs include cell site acquisition, preparation, engineering, and construction. Network cost studies analyze cost scenarios under diverse sets of assumptions. One network cost study estimates that the total capital cost of deploying a cell site, on average, can be upwards of $200,000.148 Regional wireless providers typically have hundreds or thousands of sites and national providers have tens of thousands of sites. A new entrant would therefore need to invest tens or hundreds of millions of dollars in capital expense for a regional network (depending on the size of the regions) and billions of dollars for a national network. We note that roaming on competitors’ networks can offer entrants access to greater network coverage while they are deploying their own networks. Providers, including new entrants to a mobile wireless market that typically deploy their planned networks gradually, may seek access to networks besides their own in order to achieve a competitive level of coverage while their network is being built out. Roaming can increase network coverage by allowing the entrant’s customers to have network coverage when they travel outside of the range of the entrant’s own network.149 64. Entrants often use backhaul provided by other firms, especially if construction of separate backhaul facilities is not cost-justified given the size of the market. Backhaul can be a significant cost for new entrants; estimates of average monthly costs range from hundreds of dollars (for a T1 line) to $6,000.150 The costs can vary widely by market and provider, and may affect the ability of entrants to compete successfully. 65. Overall cell site and backhaul costs also depend on the spectrum held by new entrants.151 For instance, a new entrant with more spectrum bandwidth would be able to reduce its cell site and backhaul costs by deploying fewer cell sites and potentially fewer backhaul transmission lines for a given traffic volume. Additionally, a new entrant utilizing spectrum only in higher frequency bands may need to deploy more infrastructure, including cell sites to cover the same land area and therefore incur higher cell site costs, compared to providers using lower band spectrum. Additional discussions on cell site deployment and backhaul facilities can be found in Sections VII.A.2-3. 66. Handsets and Devices. Mobile handsets and devices are the end points of mobile wireless networks that connect consumers to the networks.152 They directly affect the quality of a consumer’s mobile wireless experience, and, hence, they factor into a consumer’s choice of a wireless provider. Depending on the market strategy of the entrant, its portfolio of handsets and devices may be a significant non-price factor affecting its ability to compete for customers.153 Although handset manufacturers sell many handsets to any service provider with a compatible network, some handsets are subject to exclusivity arrangements that restrict their distribution to a single service provider in the United States.154 Exclusive handset arrangements held by existing providers can create a kind of adjustment cost for potential entrants if lack of access to the exclusive technology delays the entry of potential entrants.155 67. Marketing and Distribution. The ability of a potential entrant to compete for customers is also influenced by its expenditures on marketing and the development of its Internet and non-Internet sales and distribution networks. Marketing expenditures help to distribute product information and promote brand recognition. Marketing expenditures are a significant factor of non-price competition in the mobile wireless industry.156 The size of a provider’s sales and distribution networks is one measure of the provider’s penetration of the market. An entrant that has an existing customer base for other telecommunication services (for example, Cox Communications, discussed below) may expect to have lower expenditures on marketing, sales, and distribution than an entrant that does not have a customer base in potentially complimentary telecommunication services that can be marketed in bundles. Marketing and advertising expenditures are discussed in Section IV.B. E. Recent Entry and Exit 1. Entry 68. Data and information about the stages a firm has completed in the entry process can provide valuable information for estimating the timeframe during which entry will be completed. Entry normally proceeds through several stages that require a significant period of time to complete, including raising financial capital, acquisition of spectrum rights,157 deployment of the mobile wireless network, and a product launch stage during which a customer base is gained. Analysis of when entry will occur can be likened to a “pipeline” that is marked by increasing financial commitments and the completion of the various stages.158 In particular, estimating the date of potential entry is one factor in a more comprehensive entry analysis that predicts how soon there will be new rivals who are in a position to place competitive constraints on the existing competitors.159 Below we summarize entry commitments that are large enough to be consistent with entry that could introduce new competitive constraints at the regional or national level. 69. Clearwire Corporation. Clearwire is an independent corporation in which Sprint Nextel is a majority shareholder.160 In November 2008, with the Commission’s approval of the Sprint Nextel-Clearwire transaction, Sprint Nextel transferred its 2.5 GHz spectrum (both Broadband Radio Service (BRS) licenses and Educational Broadband Service (EBS) leases) and WiMAX network assets to Clearwire, which had significant holdings of 2.5 GHz spectrum.161 The Sprint Nextel-Clearwire transaction was valued at $3.3 billion.162 Clearwire holds 2.5 GHz spectrum in all markets across the United States. Comcast Corporation, Time Warner Cable Inc., Bright House Networks LLC, Google, and Intel Corporation agreed to invest $3.2 billion in Clearwire.163 In November 2009, Clearwire reached an agreement with some of its investors to invest an additional $1.56 billion, with approximately two-thirds of this sum attributable to Sprint Nextel and the remainder attributable to Comcast, Time Warner Cable, Intel, Eagle River Holdings, and Bright House Networks.164 Clearwire’s services consist primarily of wireless (mobile and fixed) broadband data in the 2.5 GHz BRS/EBS band; they offer a fixed wireless VoIP service, but not an interconnected mobile voice service.165 Clearwire valued its spectrum license holdings at $4.49 billion in the third quarter of 2009, including the 2.5 GHz spectrum licenses that were transferred from Sprint Nextel to Clearwire.166 70. Clearwire is currently operating and continuing to deploy a mobile wireless network using the 802.16e mobile WiMAX technology.167 As of December 31, 2009, Clearwire’s U.S. WiMAX network covered 27 markets and approximately 34.5 million people; it had approximately 392,000 wireless broadband Internet subscribers (under the brand “CLEAR”) and 46,000 wholesale subscribers.168 In its other 30 markets, covering 7.2 million people, Clearwire offered fixed and portable wireless broadband service using a propriety network technology standard.169 Clearwire has stated that it plans to upgrade the networks in the majority of these legacy markets to WiMAX technology over the next year.170 71. Clearwire has wholesale service agreements with its investors.171 For example, Clearwire has an MVNO agreement with Sprint Nextel under which Sprint Nextel can purchase (at wholesale) mobile broadband data services from Clearwire for resale to consumers, and Clearwire can purchase (at wholesale) 3G CDMA mobile wireless voice and data services from Sprint Nextel for resale to consumers. Sprint Nextel states that amounts attributable to its resale agreements with Clearwire were immaterial as of the third quarter of 2009.172 72. Leap and MetroPCS. The entry of current facilities-based providers into new geographic markets is an important form of entry.173 Leap and MetroPCS are metropolitan area service providers that have recently invested in new markets. Leap states that its business model is to keep “costs low by engineering high-quality, efficient networks covering only the urban and suburban areas where its potential customers live, work and play enabling it to sell its wireless minutes for less than it costs other carriers to produce theirs,”174 and “provide customers with unlimited wireless services for a flat rate without requiring a fixed-term contract or a credit check.”175 Leap, which holds many PCS licenses and AWS licenses (acquired at the 2006 auction) in markets throughout much of the country has expanded its coverage from approximately 53.9 million people in October 2008 to 80.5 million in October 2009, an increase of 26.6 million. MetroPCS states that it provides mobile wireless services in “selected major metropolitan areas in the United State[s,]” and it provides “a variety of wireless communications services to our subscribers on a no long-term contract, paid-in-advance, flat-rate, unlimited usage basis.” 176 MetroPCS, which holds PCS and AWS spectrum in many markets throughout the United States, has expanded its facilities-based coverage from October 2008, when it covered approximately 56.0 million people, to 84.6 million people in October 2009, an increase of 28.6 million. According to American Roamer 2008 and 2009 data, the coverage of Leap does not generally overlap with the coverage of MetroPCS, except near Philadelphia, PA and between Fresno and Sacramento, CA. 73. Cox Communications. Cox Communications (Cox) invested more than $500 million in spectrum in the AWS and 700 MHz bands and the development of infrastructure in 2006 and 2008.177 In 2008, Cox announced plans to deploy a 3G mobile wireless network in selected regions of the United States.178 In 2009, Huawei Technologies announced that it had signed a contract with Cox Communications to supply CDMA 1x and EV-DO network infrastructure and equipment for a Cox Communications mobile wireless network.179 Cox Enterprises, the parent company of Cox Communications, states that its planned mobile wireless services will be bundled with other Cox products and will initially be targeted at its existing customer base.180 Similarly, an industry press report asserts that Cox’s mobile wireless network deployment plans would focus on deploying in geographic markets where it already offers other products.181 Cox currently has about 6 million customers for its cable and broadband products.182 2. Exit 74. Exit of service providers, whether through mergers, acquisitions, or discontinuance, affects the structure of the mobile wireless market and potentially exerts both negative and positive effects on competitive performance and consumer welfare, depending on details of the pre- and post-exit competitors in the market. The main potential negative effect of the exit of a competitor is that with fewer competitors remaining in the market, there is an increased possibility of higher prices, reduced quality of services, or a slower rate of innovation. The main potential positive effects of the exit of a competitor occur in the context of a merger or acquisition that creates a stronger competitor due to cost efficiencies or greater network coverage.183 Since mergers and acquisitions can exhibit these positive and negative effects simultaneously, merger analysis typically involves a detailed analysis to evaluate the magnitude of the opposing effects and determine whether, on balance, the effects of the merger are positive or negative. If the cost savings generated by consolidation endow the merged provider with the ability to compete more effectively, consolidation could result in lower prices and new and innovative services for consumers.184 However, if the consolidation substantially increases the size of the firm, there may be reduced competitive pressure on the firm, potentially leading to higher consumer prices or lower incentive to improve its consumer services.185 Service providers in non-overlapping geographic markets are not considered competitors for present purposes. 75. Mergers and Acquisitions. Facilities-based providers have expanded their network coverage and capacity through mergers and acquisitions, as well as through increased investment and expansion of their existing assets. Through the years, the four nationwide facilities-based providers have all employed mergers or acquisitions as a growth strategy to realize nationwide networks.186 A summary of significant mergers or acquisitions since 2005 involving a nationwide facilities-based provider and the exit of another facilities-based provider appears in Table 9.187 The table provides an overview and background for the transactions discussed in detail below and indicates that each of the four nationwide facilities-based providers has used mergers or acquisitions to expand coverage since 2005. In many instances, the entities that were combined had not previously competed in the same geographic market; as a result these transactions resulted in the expansion of the coverage of the newly combined entity. In markets where the entities were significant competitors, the Commission may have required divestitures in specified markets as conditions of the transaction in order to prevent competitive harm.188 Below we summarize these transactions and report on the status of divestitures that were required in some recent transactions. Table 9 Selected Mergers and Acquisitions: 2005-2009 Year of Commission Approval Merger 2005 Sprint/Nextel 2007 AT&T/Dobson 2008 AT&T/Aloha T-Mobile/Suncom Verizon Wireless/Rural Cellular Verizon Wireless/Alltel Sprint Nextel/Clearwire 2009 AT&T/Centennial 76. Sprint Nextel – Sprint/Nextel and Sprint Nextel/Clearwire. In 2005, Sprint combined its PCS and BRS holdings with Nextel’s Specialized Mobile Radio (SMR), PCS, and 2.5 GHz (BRS licenses and EBS leases) spectrum holdings to create Sprint Nextel.189 As discussed above, in 2008, Sprint Nextel and Clearwire combined their 2.5 GHz spectrum holdings into a new company, also named Clearwire. The Commission consented to this transaction in November 2008, and the companies closed their transaction later that month.190 77. AT&T – AT&T/Dobson, AT&T/Aloha, and AT&T/Centennial. As mentioned in last year’s Report, in November 2007, following Commission approval, AT&T acquired Dobson Communications Corporation, which held cellular, PCS, and AWS licenses and related assets, subject to divestitures in four markets. 191 In February 2008, following Commission approval, AT&T acquired the 700 MHz spectrum holdings of Aloha Spectrum Holdings Company, which had acquired the licenses at auction in 2003. 192 78. More recently, on November 5, 2009, the Commission consented with conditions to AT&T’s acquisition of Centennial Communications Corp. (Centennial).193 On November 6, 2009, AT&T completed its acquisition of Centennial, with Centennial shareholders receiving approximately $945 million in cash in exchange for their shares.194 Centennial held cellular, PCS, and AWS spectrum and EBS leases. Using GSM-track technology, Centennial provided voice and data wireless service to approximately 633,100 wireless customers in two geographic clusters in the mainland United States in parts of Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio (the Midwest cluster) and parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas (the Southeast cluster).195 It also provided mobile wireless service to approximately 424,400 subscribers in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands using CDMA-track technology.196 79. The Commission determined that competitive harm was unlikely in most mobile wireless markets as a result of the AT&T/Centennial transaction, and that the public interest, convenience, and necessity were served by the transaction, subject to certain conditions imposed on the transaction in the Commission’s Memorandum Opinion and Order.197 To remedy likely anti-competitive harms in particular geographic markets stemming from the proposed transaction, the Commission required AT&T to divest virtually all of Centennial’s mobile wireless assets in seven geographic markets, six in Louisiana and one in Mississippi.198 The Commission also determined that the public interest would be served by requiring AT&T to honor the terms of Centennial’s existing roaming agreements, and in some cases to potentially extend their duration beyond the terms in the original roaming contracts.199 The Commission determined that the transaction, subject to the previously discussed conditions, would likely result in public interest benefits, including increasing the variety and quality of service and product offerings available to users of the Centennial wireless network,200 reducing the roaming fees of subscribers,201 increasing the seamless network coverage available to subscribers,202 and decreasing the amount of time required to upgrade the Centennial network to 3G and 4G quality and capacity.203 80. T-Mobile – T-Mobile/Suncom. In February 2008, following Commission approval, T-Mobile expanded its coverage footprint through its acquisition of Suncom, which held PCS spectrum and had operated in four states, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands serving more than 1.1 million customers. 204 81. Verizon Wireless – Verizon Wireless/Rural Cellular Corporation and Verizon Wireless/Alltel. In August 2008, following Commission consent that required divestitures in four markets, Verizon Wireless acquired Rural Cellular Corporation, which held cellular and PCS licenses covering markets in 12 states. 205 82. In June 2008, Verizon Wireless announced that it had agreed to acquire the equity of Alltel for approximately $5.9 billion and an aggregate transaction value of $28.1 billion based on Alltel’s projected net debt at closing of $22.2 billion.206 Alltel held Cellular, SMR, PCS, and 700 MHz spectrum holdings, and was serving more than 13 million customers in markets in 34 states, including 57 primarily rural markets that Verizon Wireless did not serve.207 Verizon Wireless claimed that it expected to realize synergies with a net present value, after integration costs, of more than $9 billion driven by reduced capital and operating expense savings.208 Verizon Wireless believed that the synergies of the merger would generate incremental cost savings of $1 billion in the second year after closing.209 According to Verizon Wireless’ Chief Executive Officer, the transaction would “create an enhanced platform of network coverage, spectrum and customer care to better serve the growing needs of both Alltel and Verizon Wireless customers for reliable basic and advanced broadband wireless services.”210 Verizon Wireless and Alltel filed a series of applications to seek Commission approval of their transaction.211 83. The Commission approved the Verizon Wireless/Alltel transaction on November 4, 2008.212 The Commission conditioned its approval of the transaction on the companies divesting the licenses and related operational and network assets in five markets where the Commission found potential for competitive harm.213 The Commission also conditioned the transaction on the companies’ voluntary commitment to divest the licenses and related operational and network assets in 100 markets and on Verizon Wireless’s voluntary commitments with respect to providing roaming services to other providers.214 The companies closed their transaction on January 9, 2009.215 84. Divestitures. The divestitures of the mobile wireless assets by Verizon Wireless and AT&T – as conditions of the Verizon Wireless/Rural Cellular, Verizon Wireless/Alltel, and AT&T/Centennial transactions, respectively – have not all received regulatory approval (by the Commission and the DOJ) as of the end of 2009.216 Subject to regulatory approval, Verizon Wireless has agreed to divest to AT&T 79 of the 105 service areas covered under the DOJ/Commission rulings on the Verizon/Alltel and Verizon/Rural Cellular transactions;217 and has agreed to divest to Atlantic Tele-Network Inc. (ATN) the remaining 26 service areas covered under the DOJ/Commission rulings on the Verizon Wireless/Alltel transactions.218 Subject to regulatory approval, AT&T has agreed to divest to Verizon Wireless five of the eight Centennial service areas covered under the DOJ/Commission rulings.219 The Commission has stated that divestiture transactions are evaluated, upon receipt of the application(s) for transfers, by the same competitive and public interest criteria that the Commission regularly applies to transactions.220 IV. MOBILE WIRELESS SERVICES: PROVIDER CONDUCT 85. In addition to industry structure, a second key element of our analysis of competition in the mobile wireless services sector is an examination of the conduct of mobile wireless services providers—in particular, whether they engage in price and non-price rivalry. 86. During 2008 and 2009, mobile wireless service providers continued to compete on the basis of pricing plans as well as on various non-price factors, such as network upgrades; product information and perception, which include advertising and marketing; and downstream product differentiation, which includes handset/device and application offerings.221 Indicators of non-price rivalry, which are discussed in detail below, include technology deployment and upgrades, advertising and marketing strategies and expenditures, and handsets/devices and application offerings. A. Price Rivalry: Developments in Mobile Service Pricing Plans 87. One way that mobile wireless providers compete is through differentiated pricing plans. In the mobile wireless sector, we observe varying pricing levels and structures, for varying service packages, with various handsets and policies on handset pricing. Today, all of the nationwide service providers, and many smaller operators, offer some version of a national flat-rate pricing plan in which customers can purchase a “bucket” of minutes to use on a nationwide or nearly nationwide network without incurring roaming or long-distance charges. All the nationwide service providers also offer some version of a family plan.222 88. Operators have experimented with various types of “unlimited” calling options.223 For example, some providers offer “calling circle” plans that allow subscribers unlimited free calling to and from a small number of designated numbers, regardless whether they are for wireline or wireless phone,224 while other providers offer plans that provide for free calls only to customers who use the same mobile wireless provider (“on-net” mobile-to-mobile options).225 In 2008, unlimited national flat-rate calling plans were launched by all the nationwide operators,226 and then spread from postpaid service to the prepaid and reseller segment of the market.227 Both postpaid and prepaid versions of these unlimited flat-rate plans include bundled options that combine unlimited nationwide calling with either unlimited text messaging or unlimited use of other data services as well as text messaging.228 Finally, a number of smaller, regional, and multi-metro providers, like Leap and MetroPCS, also have been offering unlimited local calling plans.229 As detailed below, the pricing conduct of mobile wireless providers in 2009 and early 2010 included changes in the monthly price of service plans, the attachment of additional features to existing plans, the introduction of new pricing options for customers who choose to forego discounted handsets, and the launch of new unlimited prepaid service offerings. 1. Postpaid Service 89. In the period since the release of the Thirteenth Report, pricing competition among the nationwide service providers in the postpaid market initially centered on changes in the composition of pricing plans, rather than outright price cuts.230 In general, there were three types of postpaid price changes: new features added to existing price plans, new unlimited calling plans, and ancillary terms and conditions. Each is described in turn below. 90. New Pricing Features. Some of the nationwide operators further differentiated their service plans by attaching additional features to existing plans, without changing core components such as the monthly recurring charge and the number of “anytime” minutes offered in each tier.231 While the monthly bill remains unchanged, the additional features are designed to create a perception that consumers are getting more value for their money. For example, in September 2009, AT&T introduced its “A-List” calling feature, which allows unlimited mobile calling to and from any five “VIP” domestic phone numbers for individual plans, and any ten numbers for family plans.232 The A-List feature, which was included at no additional charge with individual and family plans offering a minimum number of anytime minutes, was designed to compete with earlier unlimited “calling circle” options, such as T-Mobile’s myFaves and Verizon Wireless’s Friends and Family options.233 Also in September 2009, Sprint Nextel launched its “Any Mobile, Anytime” feature, which allows unlimited mobile-to-mobile calling to any domestic wireless number, rather than just a limited selection of designated wireless and wireline numbers.234 The Any Mobile, Anytime feature was offered at no additional charge with Sprint Nextel’s existing “Everything Data” plan, and was included with individual and family plans offering buckets of anytime minutes for calls to and from wireline numbers.235 91. Unlimited Calling Plans. The focus of price competition now appears to be shifting to unlimited service offerings. In an effort to reduce churn, T-Mobile introduced a lower-priced version of its unlimited national voice calling plan in the first quarter of 2009, but limited its availability to select existing customers.236 With the subsequent launch of its new “Even More” plans in October 2009, T-Mobile reset prices on tiered offerings at significant discounts to its legacy plans, and brought its pricing structure more closely into line with that of Sprint Nextel, the least expensive nationwide service provider.237 The biggest pricing changes were made on T-Mobile’s unlimited service offerings, which include bundled voice, text and data offerings as well as an unlimited voice-only calling plan.238 At the same time, T-Mobile discontinued its myFaves unlimited calling circle offer.239 92. Even before T-Mobile launched its new pricing plans, Verizon Wireless and AT&T priced their postpaid service offerings at a premium relative to those of T-Mobile and Sprint Nextel.240 According to analysts, this premium reflected the willingness of consumers to pay higher prices for access to preferred handsets and data offerings,241 and in Verizon Wireless’s case, positive perceptions of its network.242 T-Mobile’s price changes appear to have prompted Verizon Wireless and AT&T to narrow the price premium on unlimited service offerings.243 In January 2010, Verizon Wireless reduced the prices of its unlimited voice plans for both individual and shared family offerings.244 Later the same day, AT&T responded to Verizon Wireless’s changes with matching price reductions on its unlimited voice plans.245 While Verizon Wireless’s and AT&T’s unlimited plan price cuts were significant, their postpaid service offerings remained the most expensive in the industry, even following these price changes, as the prices of Sprint Nextel’s and T-Mobile’s equivalent or comparable unlimited plans had already declined sharply.246 Table 10 Comparison of Unlimited Pricing Plans247 Verizon Wireless AT&T T-Mobile Sprint Nextel Voice $69.99 $69.99 $59.99 Not offered Voice + Text $89.99 $89.99 $69.99 Not offered Voice + Text + Basic Data $99.99 $99.99 $79.99 Not offered Voice + Text + Smartphone Data $119.99 $119.99 $99.99 $99.99 93. Ancillary Terms and Conditions. While Verizon Wireless and AT&T shared a virtually identical tiered pricing structure before and after these pricing changes, in the past year Verizon Wireless has differentiated its pricing from that of AT&T and the other two national operators in three interrelated areas: early termination fees (ETFs), data plan requirements for advanced devices, and handset pricing and subsidies. 94. Under the postpaid handset subsidy model, customers are required to sign a one- to two-year service contract in exchange for purchasing a handset at a discount, and are subject to paying an ETF if they cancel their wireless service before the term of their service contract expires. In November 2009, Verizon Wireless introduced a new two-tiered structure for ETFs. The ETF starts at one amount for regular handsets, and double that amount for designated “advanced devices.”248 In either case, the ETF declines over time by a fixed amount for each full month of service completed by the customer, consistent with the policy of pro-rating ETFs instituted by Verizon Wireless in November 2006.249 Customers can also opt out of ETFs altogether by paying the full retail price upfront for advanced devices or regular handsets and choosing Verizon Wireless’s month-to-month contract option.250 95. Purchase of a monthly data plan is typically a requirement for smartphones such as the iPhone and its closest competitors. In January 2010, along with the pricing changes on its unlimited voice plans, Verizon Wireless introduced a three-tiered structure of data plan requirements for handsets.251 Verizon Wireless extended a requirement to purchase a 25 MB monthly data package from two devices to its entire line of 3G “multimedia” handsets. For more advanced 3G smartphones, including the Motorola Droid, Blackberry Storm, and Palm Pre, a more expensive 5 GB monthly data plan is still required. Customers using traditional handsets (labeled “simple feature” phones) have the option of purchasing the 25 MB data package, the unlimited monthly data package, or they can also continue to access mobile broadband and data services using a pay-as-you-go or pay-per-use pricing option by paying a fixed per-MB fee.252 96. The doubling of the ETF for advanced devices and the expansion of data plan requirements for multimedia phones followed a move by Verizon Wireless to discount handsets in the second half of 2009.253 One analyst estimates that, in the third quarter of 2009, Verizon Wireless lowered its average smartphone selling price 39 percent through discounts and promotions.254 According to the analyst, Verizon Wireless offered the least expensive average smartphone price after discount beginning in the third quarter of 2009 and continuing through the fourth of quarter of 2009.255 The same analyst argues that Verizon Wireless’s move to discount the prices of smartphones aggressively is a response to the launch of the iPhone 3GS and the lower price of the legacy 3G iPhone.256 The mandating of data plans for all new enhanced devices, with the resulting addition of a minimum monthly service charge for active data users, is interpreted by the analyst as a way of “cushioning the cost of additional handset discounts.”257 97. As noted in the Thirteenth Report, Verizon Wireless also offers a month-to-month pricing option that allows customers to purchase the company’s nationwide postpaid pricing plans without signing a one- to two-year service contract, provided the customers either purchase new devices at the full retail price or use their own technologically compatible devices.258 Customers who choose the month-to-month option pay the same recurring monthly charge as customers who purchase handsets at a discount, but unlike the latter they can terminate their service at the end of any month without paying an ETF. T-Mobile introduced a differentiated version of this pricing option, called “Even More Plus,” in the fall of 2009. The different tiers of Even More Plus correspond to those of T-Mobile’s Even More pricing plans, but handset prices are not discounted, no annual contract is required and the recurring monthly charges are lower.259 Thus, in contrast to Verizon Wireless’s month-to-month option, T-Mobile’s Even More Plus plan gives customers the option of paying a lower monthly price than the equivalent Even More plan if they purchase their handsets at the full retail price.260 2. Prepaid Service 98. In the United States, most mobile wireless subscribers pay their phone bills after they have incurred charges, which requires service providers to extend credit to their customers. This approach is known as postpaid service.261 Prepaid service, in contrast, requires customers to pay for service prior to making calls. Prepaid plans typically produce lower ARPUs and higher churn rates in comparison to postpaid service.262 For these reasons, the industry generally had not heavily promoted prepaid offerings in the past.263 More recently, however, the pool of unsubscribed customers qualified for postpaid plans declined to the point where prepaid offerings, which do not require credit checks, have become more attractive to service providers.264 In response, some service providers have introduced new prepaid plans, or entire “flanker brands,” for prepaid service.265 In some cases, providers have tailored prepaid offerings to suit segments of the market that do not want or cannot get a traditional service plan, particularly the youth market segment. As one 2009 analyst report put it, “As penetration of cellular phones has increased among more attractive demographics, providers have increasingly offered and promoted prepaid plans as they dig deeper and deeper into younger and poorer demographics to sustain growth.”266 In addition to facilities-based providers, many MVNOs offer prepaid plans rather than standard monthly billing. 99. The prepaid service segment has evolved in recent years due in part to the introduction and growth of unlimited prepaid service offerings.267 As one analyst explained, “The prepaid market used to be fairly homogenous, with customers buying minutes ahead of time on a card, or ‘European Style,’ and in general far overpaying for handsets and minutes relative to postpaid customers.”268 This kept prepaid usage and ARPU low. However, with the growth of unlimited prepaid offerings, among other developments, there is a trend to lower per-minute rates and increased usage and ARPU in prepaid services. As a result, analysts stress that the market segment for prepaid service appears to be “bifurcating” into a low-end segment and a high-end segment.269 The low-end segment comprises traditional pay-as-you-go prepaid service, while the high-end segment encompasses unlimited (“all you can eat”) prepaid offerings. 100. Tracfone Wireless is generally regarded as the leader in the low-end prepaid niche.270 Although Tracfone’s rates are slightly higher on a per minute basis than those of alternative prepaid offerings, the company targets low-usage and safety-oriented customers whom other prepaid service providers are reluctant to go after because the average monthly revenue per user (ARPU) they generate, at around $10-12, is so low.271 Tracfone purchases minutes predominantly from AT&T and resells them through a national distribution network under various brands, including Tracfone, Net10, and Safelink.272 The company’s phones and prepaid calling cards are sold at Wal-Mart Stores, Target, and RadioShack, in addition to drug stores and other local retail outlets.273 Analysts attribute much of Tracfone’s recent subscriber growth to its Safelink offer, a program supported by the Universal Service Fund (USF) that provides a free cell phone and credit for a limited amount of free monthly wireless service to eligible low-income families.274 101. The unlimited prepaid segment includes the earliest unlimited prepaid providers, Leap and MetroPCS, and more recent unlimited prepaid players such as Sprint Nextel’s Virgin Mobile and Boost Mobile prepaid brands.275 The latest entrant to the unlimited prepaid segment is Tracfone’s “Straight Talk” service, which became nationally available in October 2009 after a limited trial service that began the previous summer.276 As with other Tracfone prepaid brands, the Wal-Mart store chain distributes Straight Talk handsets and service.277 Unlike Tracfone’s other prepaid brands, however, Straight Talk runs on Verizon Wireless’s network and was initially marketed with Verizon Wireless’s name and logo on the box.278 In addition, whereas other Tracfone brands are targeted at low-usage customers in the traditional pay-as-you-go prepaid segment, Straight Talk’s unlimited prepaid offerings are targeted at customers with higher usage and ARPU. 102. Prepaid service providers have been the most aggressive in cutting the price of unlimited service offerings.279 In January 2009, Sprint Nextel reduced the monthly charge on its Boost Unlimited voice and data plan to roughly half the price of the cheapest postpaid version of an unlimited voice and data offering then available.280 One analyst argues that stranded capacity on Sprint Nextel’s iDEN network was the incentive for Sprint Nextel to offer the Boost Unlimited plan at a substantial discount to existing unlimited offerings.281 The unlimited voice, text and data offering launched by Tracfone under the Straight Talk brand later that same year was initially priced at a slight discount to Boost’s unlimited voice and data plan.282 In light of these unlimited prepaid offerings, one analyst estimated that all-you-can-eat plans have dropped by as much as 55 percent since the first unlimited national flat-rate calling plan was launched by Verizon Wireless in February 2008.283 103. Analysts see both the Straight Talk unlimited offering and the Boost Unlimited plan as competitive threats to unlimited players Leap and MetroPCS.284 Following the launch of Tracfone’s low-priced service offering, MetroPCS enhanced its unlimited local calling plan in August 2009 by reducing the monthly charges for add-on features such as text messaging and various other data services.285 Leap responded with similar changes to the pricing of add-on features for its Cricket service plans shortly thereafter.286 MetroPCS made another round of similar price cuts to add-on features in the fourth quarter of 2009, and Leap again followed suit.287 With each round of changes, MetroPCS and Leap lowered the monthly recurring charge for applicable features by five to ten dollars.288 B. Non-Price Rivalry 104. In addition to price, mobile wireless service providers compete on many other dimensions. This section identifies three broad categories of non-price rivalry among mobile wireless service providers: 1) network upgrades; 2) product information and perception, which include advertising and marketing; and 3) downstream product differentiation, which includes handset/device and application offerings.289 Indicators of non-price rivalry, which are discussed in detail below, include technology deployment and upgrades, advertising and marketing expenditures, and handsets/devices and application offerings. 1. Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades 105. Network investment remains a centerpiece of providers’ efforts to improve their customers’ mobile wireless service experience. During 2008 and 2009, mobile wireless service providers continued to improve the coverage, capacity, and capabilities of their networks, focusing largely on the upgrade and expansion of mobile broadband networks to enable high-speed Internet access and other data services for their customers.290 106. Industry analysts and commenters have highlighted the key role that mobile broadband networks – and the products, services, and applications that rely on them – play in mobile wireless competition. As mobile voice service has become commoditized and mobile voice penetration is reaching saturation, one way that mobile wireless service providers are differentiating themselves is with the speeds, reliability, capabilities, and coverage of their mobile broadband networks and with the handsets/devices, applications, and other products and services that run on those networks. According to one analyst, “[C]arriers with the most attractive, feature rich smartphones and robust networks have been performing strongly. … [S]uccess for the carriers who compete in the high end will largely hinge on retailing and upselling more data services.”291 107. As a component of investing in their networks, service providers can improve capacity, coverage, and service quality through their spectrum positions. As mentioned elsewhere in the Report, service providers have added to their spectrum holdings in recent years through the Commission’s spectrum auctions, the purchase of licenses in the secondary market, and mergers and acquisitions.292 These spectrum acquisitions have enabled certain operators – including Leap, MetroPCS, and T-Mobile – to expand networks into new markets, and to improve and enhance networks in existing markets.293 108. The Commission has largely adopted flexible licensing policies that do not mandate any particular technology or network standard for commercial mobile wireless licensees. Mobile wireless service providers have the flexibility to deploy the network technologies and services they choose as long as they abide by certain technical parameters designed to avoid radiofrequency interference with adjacent licensees.294 As a result of this approach, different U.S. service providers have deployed, over the past 15 years, different digital network technologies with divergent technology migration paths. The two main migration paths for 2G, 2.5G, and 3G technologies have been the CDMA and GSM technology paths, as shown in Figure 2 below.295 The major CDMA and GSM service providers are now planning to deploy LTE as a 4G technology.296 However, at least one other service provider is deploying an alternate 4G technology, WiMAX. Figure 2 Mobile Wireless Network Technology Evolution 109. One advantage of compatibility between competing wireless networks is that greater economies of scale in the production of both terminals and network infrastructure equipment tend to lower the unit cost of handsets, chipsets, and other network equipment.297 Lower equipment costs, in turn, may promote more rapid adoption of mobile wireless services.298 In addition, standardization tends to produce greater variety of handsets.299 However, it has been argued that the Commission’s market-based approach to wireless network standards helped to encourage the development of the CDMA wireless network technology.300 Competition among mobile wireless providers using incompatible wireless network technologies has other advantages that can benefit consumers, including greater product variety and differentiation of services,301 more technological competition,302 and greater price competition.303 110. In addition to upgrading their networks for mobile broadband systems, as described below, mobile wireless operators are also taking steps to improve indoor coverage through the use of new technologies such as distributed antenna systems (DAS) and femtocells.304 DAS provides enhanced coverage in highly trafficked areas such as shopping malls and office buildings. Femtocells are personal cell sites that can be installed in a consumer’s home; they receive cell phone signals within the home and nearby area and use an in-home broadband connection for the last-mile transport of calls and data transmissions.305 Several mobile wireless operators have made femtocells available to their customers to improve coverage in areas that might not otherwise have it.306 a. Service Provider Technology Deployments 111. During 2008 and 2009, the four nationwide mobile wireless service providers, as well as other mobile operators, continued to expand service into new markets and to upgrade their networks with mobile broadband technologies. Of the top four nationwide mobile wireless providers, AT&T and T-Mobile use GSM as their 2G digital technology and WCDMA as their 3G digital technology, while Verizon Wireless and Sprint Nextel followed a different technology path by upgrading their 2G CDMA technology to 3G EV-DO Rev. A technology.307 In addition, several providers have either begun to deploy 4G wireless technologies or announced plans to deploy 4G networks over the next few years, as shown in Table 11 below. For purposes of the report, we include the CDMA EV-DO and WCDMA/UMTS/HSPA technologies within the 3G category, and LTE and WiMAX in the 4G category. Additionally, we include all 3G and 4G network technologies in our discussion of mobile broadband. For additional information on mobile wireless network technologies, including the average and peak download speeds of the various technologies, can be found in Appendix B, Mobile Wireless Network Technologies, infra. Table 11 3G/4G Deployment by Selected Mobile Wireless Service Providers Service Provider 3G Deployment 4G Deployment AT&T Wireless As of October 2009, HSPA network covered 230 million POPs in more than 350 metropolitan areas.308 Plans LTE trials in 2010 and deployment in 2011.309 Verizon Wireless As of mid-2009, EV-DO network covered 284 million POPs.310 Expects to launch LTE in 25-30 markets in 2010 and to cover 285 million POPs by 2013.311 Clearwire NA As of September 2009, WiMAX network covered over 10 million POPs, expected to cover 120 million POPs by end of 2010.312 Sprint Nextel As of August 2009, EV-DO network covered 271 million POPs.313 Ownership interest in Clearwire and reselling Clearwire WiMAX service. T-Mobile As of August 2009, HSPA network covered 121 million POPs, expected to cover 200 million POPs by year-end 2009.314 No U.S.-specific plans. 112. The two nationwide CDMA operators, Verizon Wireless and Sprint Nextel, have deployed EV-DO and EV-DO Rev. A network technologies across significant portions of their networks. As noted in the Thirteenth Report, Verizon Wireless has upgraded its entire EV-DO network to EV-DO Rev. A technology,315 increasing download speeds for customers with Rev. A-capable devices from 400-700 kilobits per second (kbps) to 600 kbps-1.4 megabits per second (Mbps) and increasing upload speeds from 60-80 kbps to 500-800 kbps.316 At the end of 2007, the EV-DO Rev. A network footprint covered approximately 240 million people.317 Since that time, Verizon Wireless has added over 44 million POPs to its EV-DO Rev. A network footprint by expanding this network technology into new markets and acquiring Alltel’s EV-DO network, which covered approximately 61 million POPs at the end of 2008.318 As of mid-2009, Verizon Wireless’s EV-DO Rev. A network covered 284 million people.319 Verizon Wireless has also announced that it plans to deploy LTE as its 4G network technology beginning in 2010.320 LTE will further increase data rates; the company expects to deliver average download speeds of 5-12 Mbps.321 LTE will also provide lower latency and enable global roaming in countries where Vodafone, a major investor in Verizon Wireless, operates.322 Verizon Wireless expects to launch LTE in 25-30 U.S. markets in 2010 using its 700 MHz Band spectrum, and to expand LTE coverage to 210 markets covering 285 million people by 2013.323 The company is currently testing LTE in Boston and Seattle.324 113. Sprint Nextel continued to upgrade its network with EV-DO Rev. A technology during 2008 and 2009;325 however, the company’s mobile broadband deployment efforts during the period focused on launching the resale of 4G WiMAX service in several markets in conjunction with its relationship with Clearwire. As discussed above, Sprint Nextel transferred its WiMAX network assets and 2.5 GHz spectrum holdings to Clearwire in 2008, and currently holds a majority ownership interest in the company.326 During 2009, Sprint Nextel began reselling Clearwire’s WiMAX service in several markets across the country where Sprint Nextel also offers mobile wireless voice and data services over its own CDMA network.327 As of December 2009, Sprint Nextel was offering “Sprint 4G powered by WiMAX” in 27 markets.328 The company expects to launch 4G service in several additional markets – including Boston, Houston, New York, San Francisco, and Washington, D.C. – in 2010 and to offer service in 80 markets covering 120 million POPs by the end of 2010.329 As of January 2010, Sprint Nextel was offering a dual-mode USB (Universal Serial Bus) laptop card and mobile Wi-Fi hotspot device, which are compatible with both 4G WiMAX and 3G EV-DO networks.330 114. Apart from Sprint Nextel and Verizon Wireless, 22 other smaller, regional, and multi-metro CDMA operators also have deployed EV-DO technology within their networks.331 For example, Leap had deployed EV-DO across nearly all of its network footprint, which covered approximately 91 million POPs as of September 2009.332 Leap’s covered POPs increased 36 percent from 67 million at the end of 2008, and 72 percent from 53 million at the end of 2007.333 In addition, US Cellular’s EV-DO network has grown from covering one city at the end of 2006, to five markets at the end of 2008, to 75 percent of its customer base as of September 30, 2009.334 The EV-DO networks of the non-nationwide CDMA providers combined had been deployed in census blocks covering 113 million people, 40 percent of the U.S. population, as of November 2009.335 One additional CDMA operator, MetroPCS, has not upgraded its network with EV-DO but has announced that it plans to begin deploying LTE beginning in the second half of 2010 using its AWS spectrum licenses.336 115. In addition to the 3G deployments and 4G announcements by CDMA operators, AT&T and T-Mobile continued to expand and upgrade their HSPA networks during 2008 and 2009.337 As of August 2009, AT&T had deployed HSPA to more than 350 major metropolitan areas,338 up from 275 in May 2008.339 In early 2010, the company revealed that its 3G network covered 230 million Americans.340 In addition, AT&T has upgraded its entire HSPA network with an HSPA 7.2 software upgrade341 and is in the process of increasing the number of high-speed backhaul connections to its cell sites, primarily with fiber connections, to accommodate increased data speeds and traffic.342 According to analysts and the company, AT&T’s network upgrades are being done to improve consistency in accessing data sessions, increase efficiency, meet the rising demands on the network from bandwidth-heavy data applications, and address service quality problems – such as dropped calls, delayed text and voice messages, and slow download speeds – which typically occur during periods of peak use in dense urban areas with higher concentrations of iPhone users.343 AT&T claims that the backhaul upgrades will also be used to support its LTE deployment.344 The company plans to begin LTE trials in 2010 and LTE deployment in 2011 using its 700 MHz band and AWS spectrum.345 116. T-Mobile is also deploying an HSPA 3G network in cities across the United States. As mentioned in the Thirteenth Report, the company had launched HSPA service, using its AWS spectrum, in 13 major U.S. markets as of September 2008. Since that time, T-Mobile has expanded its HSPA coverage into new markets. As of August 2009, T-Mobile’s HSPA network covered 121 million people in 176 cities, and the company planned to cover 200 million people in an additional 100 cities by the end of 2009.346 T-Mobile also announced that it planned to upgrade its network with HSPA 7.2 technology by the end of 2009347 and that it is was running a trial of HSPA+, which has a theoretical peak maximum speed of 21 Mbps, in Philadelphia.348 The company expects to launch HSPA+ in select, high demand markets in 2010.349 117. In addition to the 3G networks deployed by the major mobile wireless service providers, Clearwire is the only service provider now offering 4G service, using mobile WiMAX technology in the 2.5 GHz BRS/EBS spectrum band.350 Clearwire launched commercial 4G mobile WiMAX service in Portland, OR in January 2009.351 As of September 2009, Clearwire’s WiMAX service was available in 14 markets covering 10.1 million POPs.352 Since that time, Clearwire has expanded the WiMAX network to an additional 16 markets and expects to reach 120 million POPs by the end of 2010.353 Clearwire’s WiMAX network provides average speeds of 3-6 Mbps with burst rates up to 10 Mbps.354 In all of the markets except Baltimore, WiMAX service is available under both Sprint Nextel’s 4G brand as well as Clearwire’s CLEAR brand.355 CLEAR service includes both mobile and fixed service plan and device options. In addition, since July 2009, Comcast has been reselling Clearwire’s WiMAX service under the brand name Comcast High-Speed 2go in five cities - Atlanta, Chicago, Philadelphia, Portland, and Seattle.356 The service is sold bundled with one of Comcast’s other Internet access, phone, or multichannel video products.357 Customers have the option of purchasing a 4G WiMAX-only data card, or a 3G/4G data card that will also work on Sprint Nextel’s 3G network.358 b. Coverage by Technology Type 118. Using a census block level analysis of American Roamer data, 359 we are able to estimate coverage by air interface type in the approximately 8 million census blocks.360 As of November 2009, virtually the entire population of the United States lived in census blocks where operators offer digital mobile wireless service, using CDMA, GSM/TDMA, or iDEN (including their respective next generation technologies), or some combination of the three. Table 12 Mobile Wireless Coverage by Technology361 Technology POPs in Covered Blocks362 % of Total POPs Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Total Square Miles CDMA 282,911,183 99.2% 2,603,946 68.5% GSM/TDMA 279,560,517 98.0% 2,170,954 57.1% iDEN 251,976,136 88.3% 936,119 24.6% Total Digital 284,108,955 99.6% 2,779,247 73.1% 119. As shown in Table 12, CDMA and GSM/TDMA have been deployed in census blocks containing 283 million and 280 million people, respectively. iDEN coverage is more limited, available in census blocks covering 252 million people, or 88 percent of the U.S. population. These figures are essentially unchanged from the Thirteenth Report, which was based on an analysis of May 2008 American Roamer data.363 120. Based on data supplied by American Roamer from November 2009, we also have estimated the extent of mobile data and mobile broadband network coverage. Table 13 below shows the population and land area covered by the 2.5G CDMA and GSM mobile data network technologies, as well as population and land area covered by the 3G and 4G mobile broadband network technologies, HSPA, EV-DO, and WiMAX. Table 13 Mobile Wireless Data/Broadband Network Coverage by Census Block Technology POPs in Covered Blocks % of Total POPs Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Total Square Miles CDMA Path (1xRTT/EV-DO/EV-DO Rev. A) 282,751,321 99.1% 2,574,498 67.8% GSM Path (GPRS/EDGE/WCDMA/HSPA) 279,587,859 98.0% 2,188,317 57.6% Total Mobile Data Coverage 284,014,858 99.6% 2,763,446 72.7% WCDMA/HSPA (3G) 217,440,872 76.2% 423,738 11.2% EV-DO/EV-DO Rev. A (3G) 279,153,300 97.9% 2,125,354 55.9% Mobile WiMAX (4G) 28,074,849 9.8% 13,895 0.4% Total Mobile Broadband Coverage (3G/4G) 279,756,907 98.1% 2,150,160 56.6% Source: Federal Communications Commission estimates based on data supplied by American Roamer, Nov. 2009. Notes: POPs are from the 2000 Census, and the square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. 121. Table 13 shows that mobile data networks, which include 2.5G technologies such as 1xRTT, GPRS, and EDGE, were widely deployed as of November 2009, covering 99.6 percent of the total U.S. population. While coverage by all mobile data network technologies increased slightly from May 2008 – CDMA path coverage grew from 98.8 percent to 99.1 percent, and GSM path coverage grew from 97.4 percent to 98.0 percent – the overall figure remained essentially unchanged.364 122. When looking at mobile broadband coverage, 98.1 percent of the U.S. population was covered by at least one mobile broadband network technology as of November 2009, up from 92.3 percent in May 2008, according to the analysis of American Roamer data.365 EV-DO coverage increased six percent from 263 million people, or 92.2 percent of the U.S. population, to 279 million people, or 97.9 percent of the U.S. population.366 The increase in HSPA coverage was more substantial, growing 42 percent from 153 million POPs (54 percent of the U.S. population) to 217 million POPs (76 percent of the U.S. population).367 In addition, mobile WiMAX networks, which were effectively non-existent in the Thirteenth Report, now cover approximately 28 million people. Mobile broadband coverage across different states and areas of the country is shown in Map D-28 in Appendix D. 123. Chart 5 below depicts the pace of 3G and 4G deployment over the past four years. In 2006, EV-DO networks covered 62.6 percent of the U.S. population. Today, they cover nearly all Americans, as measured by census blocks, with 98 percent covered as of November 2009.368 This is reflected in the network deployment activities of the two major EV-DO providers, Verizon Wireless and Sprint Nextel, which are beginning to focus on 4G offerings rather than 3G deployment – Verizon Wireless with LTE and Sprint Nextel with its investment in Clearwire. HSPA network coverage is not as extensive as EV-DO coverage. However, HSPA deployment has been increasing in recent years, rising from 20 percent of the U.S. population in 2006 to 76 percent in 2009.369 The largest HSPA network operators, AT&T and T-Mobile, are still in the process of actively expanding and upgrading their HSPA networks. Chart 5 The Pace of 3G and 4G Network Deployment370 c. Roaming 124. Due to the challenges inherent in building out a wireless network, which can include both economic and environmental obstacles, it may be more cost-effective in some areas for a mobile wireless provider to attain roaming agreements with other providers than to build out its own facilities.371 Roaming arrangements between commercial mobile wireless service providers allow customers of one mobile wireless provider to automatically receive service from another provider’s network when they are in areas that their provider’s network does not cover.372 As shown in Table 21, below, total annual intercarrier roaming revenues and minutes have declined as a percentage of total service revenues and total minutes, respectively, over the past ten years.373 From a customer perspective, many service plans now include nationwide roaming at no additional cost to subscribers. In addition, changes in the wireless industry over the last decade have resulted in larger geographic coverage areas, which may have affected roaming arrangements in some instances. 125. Despite the declining contribution of roaming relative to wireless industry revenues and minutes of use on the whole, roaming remains an important means for mobile wireless providers in areas where they do not have network coverage. As commenters have noted, no mobile wireless provider – including the four nationwide providers – has built out its entire licensed service area, and consequently all providers employ roaming to some extent to fill gaps in their coverage.374 In addition, as discussed above, there are various non-nationwide providers whose business plans are not focused on building out their networks nationally.375 Nonetheless, through roaming agreements with other mobile wireless providers, many of the non-nationwide providers are able to offer coverage and service plans that are national in scope.376 Accordingly, roaming can be particularly important for small and regional providers with limited network population coverage to remain competitive by meeting their customers’ expectations of nationwide service.377 Similarly, roaming may be important to new entrants who wish to begin offering service before they have fully built out their networks.378 126. The Commission has recognized the importance of roaming and in 2007 clarified that automatic roaming is a common carrier obligation for CMRS providers.379 In the 2007 Roaming Order and FNPRM, the Commission held that CMRS providers must provide automatic roaming services to other technologically compatible providers outside their home areas upon reasonable request and on a just, reasonable, and nondiscriminatory basis pursuant to Sections 201 and 202 of the Communications Act.380 Recently, the Commission adopted a Roaming Order on Reconsideration, which eliminates the home roaming exclusion and establishes the same general obligation to provide automatic roaming, regardless of whether the carrier requesting roaming holds spectrum in an area.381 In that Order, the Commission found that making automatic roaming arrangements available on just and reasonable terms and conditions will promote competition among multiple mobile wireless service providers, ensure that consumers have access to seamless coverage nationwide, and provide incentives for all providers to invest and innovate by using available spectrum and constructing wireless network facilities on a widespread basis.382 At the same time, the Commission also adopted a Second Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking seeking comment on whether to extend roaming obligations to data services such as mobile broadband and Internet access services and expanding the scope of the proceeding by seeking comment on obligations governing the provision of roaming for data services by providers that are not CMRS carriers, as well as by providers that also offer CMRS services.383 2. Advertising, Marketing, Sales Expenditures, and Retailing 127. Product information and perception is a second area of non-price competition among mobile wireless service providers. Firms may engage in advertising and marketing either to inform consumers of available products or services or to increase sales by changing consumer preferences. Mobile wireless service is an “experience good,”384 and in general, advertising for an experience good tends to be persuasive rather than informational in nature. CTIA, in its comments, cites economists who claim that advertising leads to lower prices, improved product quality, strong brands, and innovation.385 a. Advertising Expenditures 128. Advertising spending by wireless service providers in 2008 and 2009 fell slightly from its 2007 levels, and there is evidence that providers’ marketing efforts are becoming more segmented and less aimed at the mass market. According to Nielsen, advertising expenditures for mobile wireless service dropped eight percent from $3.7 billion in 2007 to $3.4 billion in 2008.386 For the first three quarters of 2009, wireless advertising spending totaled $2.55 billion, down 5.4 percent from $2.69 billion during the first three quarters of 2008.387 129. Despite the drop in overall advertising spending, wireless service providers continued to spend more on advertising than firms in many other industries. In Nielsen’s rankings of advertising spending by product category, “wireless telephone service” rose from 7th place in 2007 to 6th place in 2008 to fourth place in the first quarter through the third quarter of 2009.388 Nielsen also found that wireless service has the second-highest amount of advertising spending, after the automobile industry, on Spanish-language advertising during the first three months of 2009. Wireless service providers increased their Spanish-language advertising nearly five percent during this period from $319 million to $335 million.389 130. When looking at the advertising expenditures of individual firms, we see a similar picture: wireless and telecom advertising spending is significant, particularly in relationship to other industries,390 but has been declining in recent years. According to data from TNS, Verizon and AT&T were the second and fourth largest U.S. advertisers during 2008, spending $2.39 billion and $1.98 billion respectively.391 However, this was a 2.9 percent drop from the total advertising spending of these two companies in 2007.392 Advertising spending by Verizon and AT&T declined further in 2009. During the first three quarters of that year, Verizon’s advertising spending fell 5.8 percent while AT&T’s fell 6.1 percent, versus the same period in 2008.393 On the other hand, during that period, Sprint Nextel rose to become the seventh largest U.S. advertiser, increasing its advertising spending 51 percent over the first three quarters of 2009.394 131. According to Forrester, one reason for the slight decline in advertising spending could be that wireless service providers are focusing their advertising efforts less on the mass market and more on niche segments, with the two key segments being: 1) consumers purchasing unlimited, prepaid service, and 2) higher-ARPU consumers purchasing smartphones.395 Verizon targets its marketing efforts at various customer segments, including young adults, seniors, families, and small and large businesses.396 Leap also reports that its customer base is segmented; in Leap’s case, it is diversified geographically, ethnically, and demographically.397 Leap reports that it has decentralized its marketing efforts to customize them for local markets.398 b. Marketing Campaigns 132. In addition to investing in network infrastructure and acquiring spectrum, mobile wireless service providers have pursued marketing strategies designed to highlight their network quality and to differentiate it from rival offerings. 2008 and 2009 saw a shift in the focus of several providers’ marketing campaigns from voice quality and reliability to mobile broadband 3G network quality, coverage, speed, and reliability. 133. As discussed in the Thirteenth Report, many mobile wireless service providers have highlighted the quality of their networks in various advertising campaigns in recent years, including Verizon Wireless’s “Can You Hear Me Now?” advertisements and “America’s most reliable wireless network” slogan, AT&T’s “fewest dropped calls of any wireless carrier” claim. While certain service providers continue to emphasize network quality in their marketing and branding efforts, in 2009, the focus of these efforts shifted from voice to 3G mobile broadband services. For example, in July 2008, with the launch of the Apple iPhone 3G, AT&T began claiming in its advertisements that it has the nation’s fastest 3G network.399 Verizon Wireless countered this campaign by launching a series of advertisements, beginning in October 2009, comparing its 3G coverage to that of AT&T, parodying the Apple slogan, “There’s an app for that,” with its own version, “There’s a map for that.”400 In addition, Sprint Nextel claims to have “the most reliable 3G network.”401 c. Retailing 134. Mobile wireless service providers distribute and sell their products and services through a variety of direct and indirect retail channels in order to increase customer growth and reduce customer acquisition costs.402 The various distribution channels include: 1) direct retail outlets, such as provider-owned stores and kiosks; 2) indirect retail outlets, including mass-market electronics retailers such as Best Buy, Wal-Mart, Target, Costco, Radio Shack, and Amazon; 3) provider websites; and 4) telemarketers.403 Service providers report that those customers obtained through direct channels tend to be more loyal and generate higher revenue that those obtained through indirect channels. For instance, Verizon Wireless had approximately 2,500 company-owned and operated stores and kiosks as of December 31, 2008,404 and reports that the customers obtained through these channels are less likely to cancel their service than those obtained through mass-market channels.405 In addition, as of December 31, 1008, Leap had 263 company-owned stores and kiosks, which generated 23 percent of the company’s net adds in 2008, as well as 2,826 indirect distributor locations.406 These indirect distributor locations included 1,036 “premier” dealer stores, which are independently owned but usually sell Cricket products exclusively and look and function similar to company-owned stores.407 Leap reports that the premier stores tend to generate more sales that the other indirect retail outlets.408 The company also reports that its Internet and telephone sales are growing.409 3. Differentiation in Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices 135. In addition to network quality and advertising, a third component of non-price rivalry among mobile wireless service providers is the differentiation of the downstream products that they offer or that rely on their networks, including handsets/devices, operating systems, and mobile applications. With respect to handsets and devices, providers compete by introducing new handsets/devices, distinguishing their handset/device offerings from those of their competitors, responding to competitors’ handset/device innovations with rival offerings, offering certain handset/device models on an exclusive basis, and allowing handsets/devices that they do not sell directly to be used on their networks.410 The role of smartphone devices – such as the iPhone, Blackberry, Palm, and Android devices – in competition among mobile wireless service providers is discussed in detail below. The emergence of a handful of smartphone operating systems – Apple, Android, BlackBerry, Palm, and Windows Mobile – represents a shift in the mobile wireless ecosystem and one that is affecting the ability of mobile wireless service providers to differentiate themselves based on handsets and devices. 136. Smartphones. As discussed in previous reports, the 2007 launch of the iPhone and 2008 launch of the iPhone 3G catalyzed the development of a new type of device in the mobile wireless ecosystem, the smartphone.411 Over the past two years, wireless service providers, handset manufacturers, and platform developers have introduced an array of smartphones to respond to consumer demand for devices with advanced data capabilities and to compete with and mimic the features of the iPhone.412 While there is no industry standard definition of a smartphone, for purposes of this Report, we consider the distinguishing features of a smartphone to be an HTML browser that allows easy access to the full, open Internet; an operating system that provides a standardized interface and platform for application developers; and a larger screen size than a traditional handset.413 Many smartphones also have touch screens and/or a QWERTY keypad, and, as discussed below, run an operating system that offers a standard platform for application developers to create and sell device software through an application store. 137. Over the past two years, the industry has experienced an increase in smartphone adoption. As shown in Chart 6, smartphones accounted for 44 percent of total handset sales in the third quarter of 2009, up from 27 percent in the second quarter of 2008.414 CTIA also reports that smartphones represented 23 percent of all U.S. handset sales in the fourth quarter of 2008, up from 12 percent in 2007.415 Chart 6 Smartphone Adoption Rates (2Q08-3Q09)416 138. AT&T began offering, on an exclusive basis, Apple’s iPhone 3G in July 2008. Unlike the first generation iPhone, the iPhone 3G runs on AT&T’s faster HSPA network and includes direct access to the Apple App Store, launched at the same time.417 In June 2009, AT&T began selling the latest iPhone model, the iPhone 3GS.418 The iPhone 3GS includes a camera, video camera, speaker phone, digital compass, more memory, longer battery life and a new version of the iPhone operating system, OS 3.0.419 The 3GS is also able to connect to AT&T’s HSPA 7.2 Mbps network.420 As a sign that certain mobile consumers have switched to AT&T primarily to access an iPhone, AT&T reports that 40 percent of its iPhone customers switched to AT&T from another service provider.421 iPhone’s share of smartphone business has grown as well from 5 percent in the first quarter of 2008 to 17 percent in the third quarter of 2009 (see Chart 7). Chart 7 Apple iPhone Sales (1Q08-3Q09)422 139. To capitalize on the growing consumer demand for smartphones and to compete with the functionalities offered by the iPhone, several wireless service providers, equipment manufacturers, and mobile platform developers introduced new smartphone devices in 2008 and 2009. Table C-5 in Appendix C shows selected smartphones launched over the past two years, and Chart 8 below shows the number of smartphone launches by the four largest service providers, based on the information in Table C-5. These launches represent not only an attempt by service providers to prevent their subscribers from switching to the iPhone, and hence to AT&T, but also an effort to migrate their traditional handset customers to smartphones. Smartphone users typically have lower churn rates and generate higher data ARPU, which can, from the service provider’s perspective, offset the slowing growth in subscriber penetration and declining voice ARPU.423 On the other hand, smartphone users also typically have higher bandwidth consumption levels, which can strain wireless network capacity.424 Chart 8 Share of Smartphone Launches by Four Nationwide Service Providers in 2008-2009425 140. Many of the features and capabilities of the smartphones introduced in the past two years – such as touch screens, automatic rotation of images, easy-to-use web browsers, and application stores – can be viewed as an attempt to compete with those features originally introduced on the iPhone. For example, the Motorola DROID automatically rotates images from portrait to landscape and allows users to zoom in on web pages by tapping on the screen. However, several service providers have introduced smartphones that attempt to differentiate themselves based on other functionalities. For example, RIM’s BlackBerry devices continue to offer integration with corporate e-mail servers, Palm’s devices allow users to multitask among applications and save documents,426 and Windows Mobile devices have sought to replicate a Windows PC desktop experience on a mobile device.427 As with the iPhone, a number of these other smartphones were launched subject to exclusive handset arrangements.428 141. A notable development in smartphone differentiation in 2008-2009 was the introduction of devices that use Google’s Android operating system. As discussed in the Thirteenth Report, the first Android device to be made available in the United States was T-Mobile’s G1, manufactured by HTC, in October 2008.429 In 2009, T-Mobile unveiled the Android-based myTouch 3G, myTouch 3G Fender Limited Edition, Samsung Behold II, and Motorola CLIQ with MOTOBLUR,430 while Sprint Nextel launched the HTC Hero and Samsung Moment.431 In late 2009, Verizon Wireless began offering two Android devices: the HTC DROID Eris and Motorola DROID.432 And in January 2010, Google began selling its own version of an Android-based smartphone, the Nexus One, directly to end users as a reseller of wireless network services. 142. Like Apple, Google has been aiming to create an entire ecosystem of applications and services around its Android operating system.433 As of December 2009, the Android Market had 15,000 applications and 40 million downloads in 14 months, versus Apple App Store’s 100,000 applications and over 2 billion downloads in 17 months.434 Android is made available free of charge to handset manufacturers and wireless service providers, and is available on multiple devices and multiple service providers.435 Android is also an open source platform; the launch of applications and content by third-party developers through the Android Market application store requires no approval by either Google or the wireless service provider.436 In addition, Android combines and supports Google’s web-based applications, including its search engine, Gmail e-mail product, web browser, and mapping application, all of which come pre-loaded on Android devices.437 According to analysts, the Android operating system – because of the characteristics described above – is likely to compete more effectively with the Apple iPhone than handset manufacturers and mobile wireless service providers acting alone.438 143. As mobile operating systems and the functionalities they enable play a more prominent role in a consumer’s mobile wireless experience, consumers are showing an increasing loyalty to particular operating systems or device platforms. In cases where a particular mobile operating system is developed by a device manufacturer or vendor and available only on the devices produced by (or under contract for) that manufacturer or vendor, as with the Apple iPhone, a service provider can respond to demand for this consumer experience by making an arrangement with the manufacturer to be the exclusive network provider for those devices. AT&T’s arrangement to be the exclusive service provider for the Apple iPhone is the most notable example of such conduct. Of the 67 selected smartphone launches in 2008-2009, shown in Table C-5 in Appendix C, 32, including some of the most popular (e.g., Apple iPhone, Motorola DROID, Palm Pre), were launched on an exclusive basis from one of the four largest service providers, nearly half of which were by AT&T (see Chart 9). Chart 9 Exclusive Smartphone Launches by Four Nationwide Service Providers in 2008-2009439 144. In some cases, service providers offer a device exclusively, yet the operating system on that device is available on other devices available from other operators. For example, the Android-based Motorola DROID is offered exclusively from Verizon Wireless, yet several other Android devices are available from T-Mobile and Sprint Nextel. In addition, with the RIM Blackberry devices, the operating system and device are bundled and made by the same company, yet several different BlackBerry device models are available from a range of service providers. In cases where a popular platform is not offered exclusively but is available from multiple providers, operators may focus on differentiating the features of a particular device, which the provider does offer exclusively, from the other devices with the same OS.440 145. Data-Only Devices. In addition to launching new smartphone devices during 2008 and 2009, several service providers began offering a range of new devices to facilitate mobile broadband access on computers, including netbook computers with embedded modems, wireless data cards, and mobile Wi-Fi hotspots.441 AT&T, Verizon Wireless, and Sprint Nextel began offering netbook computers with embedded mobile broadband modems during 2009.442 The netbooks have typically been offered at a slightly lower upfront price than when purchased through an electronics retailer, but with the requirement that the customer purchase a $39.99-per-month or $59.99-per-month mobile broadband access plan with a two-year contract.443 In addition to netbooks, certain service providers began offering mobile Wi-Fi, or “Mi-Fi,” devices during 2009, which are credit card-sized, mobile Wi-Fi routers with mobile broadband wide-area connections that allow up to five Wi-Fi-enabled devices in short range to connect to the Internet via a Wi-Fi connection. Finally, most of the major mobile wireless service providers offer wireless data cards that can be attached to a desktop, laptop, or netbook computer through a USB port and provide mobile broadband connectivity for the computer. 146. In addition, certain mobile wireless service operators provide data connections for electronic reading devices.444 These devices, including the Amazon Kindle, are some of the most popular third-party, data-only devices used by U.S. consumers. Estimates of the number of Kindles sold as of January 2010 range from 2.5 million to 3 million.445 Data access for the Kindle was originally provided by Sprint Nextel. However, in October 2009, Amazon switched to AT&T as the data connection provider for the Kindle 2.446 147. Machine-to-Machine (M2M) Devices. Related to service providers’ launch of data-only devices are their efforts to differentiate themselves by opening their networks to outside devices that they do not brand or sell directly. In 2008 and 2009, several mobile wireless service providers launched initiatives that create a streamlined process for data-only mobile computing and M2M devices to be certified for use on their networks. For instance, in July 2009, Sprint Nextel announced that it had certified 300 third-party mobile computing and machine-to-machine devices for use on its network through its Open Device Initiative.447 In addition, as noted in the Thirteenth Report, Verizon Wireless began its Open Development Initiative in 2008 following its 2007 announcement to open its network to a wider array of devices and applications.448 The first third-party device was certified in July 2008, and several other devices have since been certified for use on the network and made commercially available, including data-only, M2M, and telemetry devices, as well as traditional handsets.449 In April 2009, Verizon Wireless released the initial set of technical specifications for devices seeking certification on the company’s LTE network to be deployed using 700 MHz Band spectrum,450 and in October 2009, the company opened its LTE Innovation Center lab for the design and testing of products – such as consumer electronics, appliances, healthcare devices, and telematics – that would rely on the LTE network for data connections.451 While service providers have undertaken programs to allow third-party devices to be used on their networks,452 M2M devices still account for a relatively small percentage of all mobile wireless devices. According to one analyst, 4.3 percent of all mobile network connections in the United States were used for M2M communications at the end of 2009.453 4. Differentiation in Mobile Data Applications 148. As mentioned above, one way mobile wireless service providers compete is by differentiating from their rivals the applications that they provide and allow on their networks.454 Service providers offer applications both directly and indirectly to mobile customers: directly by having applications pre-loaded on the devices they sell or through provider-branded, “walled garden” mobile platforms, and indirectly by allowing applications to be downloaded via web browsers or application stores.455 In recent years, there has been a shift from the former to the latter within the mobile wireless ecosystem.456 The ability to access a wider variety of applications and content and to browse the web more openly has become increasing popular with consumers. Recognizing and capitalizing on this trend, service providers have made their networks more open to third-party applications and have begun selling devices, smartphones in particular, that allow easier web browsing and the downloading of applications through web browsers and applications stores.457 149. Many of the open network initiatives launched by service providers, described above,458 extend to applications as well as devices, and several mobile service providers have launched websites, testing labs, developer conferences, and other initiatives or efforts designed to assist application developers in creating products for the devices and platforms that run on their networks.459 In addition to Verizon Wireless’s LTE Innovation Center described above,460 AT&T has created a Developer Program to assist application developers in getting their products to market.461 In addition, in December 2008, Sprint Nextel launched an open software platform designed to extend desktop computing and “Web 2.0” capabilities to mobile devices operating on its mobile broadband network, and has been hosting annual developer conferences.462 150. The emergence of web-friendly smartphones and a handful of smartphone operating systems with application stores have influenced the ability of mobile wireless service providers to differentiate themselves based on mobile applications. Competing less on the basis of exclusive content or applications available from a provider-branded platform or walled garden, operators instead are competing to a greater extent on, among other factors, the devices they sell and the types and quantity of applications that can be easily accessed on those devices via the web or application stores.463 According to CTIA, application stores allow consumers to have a direct role in the functionality of their handsets and devices.464 151. Many service providers have imposed certain restrictions on the types of mobile applications that consumers can access on their networks. For example, AT&T prohibits, as part of the terms and conditions of its wireless data service plans, the downloading of movies using peer-to-peer file sharing services because such applications can cause extreme network capacity issues and interference with the network.465 In addition, Verizon Wireless states that the downloading of applications with its data plans is subject to certain terms related to protecting the network and maintaining the quality of service to all users. However, in recent months, providers have announced that certain high-bandwidth, and in some cases previously-prohibited, applications could be used on their networks. For example, AT&T reported in August 2009 that Apple had agreed not to allow the iPhone to use AT&T’s 3G network for VoIP calling without first obtaining AT&T’s consent.466 However, in October 2009, AT&T reversed this decision and announced that it would allow iPhone customers to make VoIP calls on its 3G network.467 AT&T also announced, in February 2010, that its mobile broadband network would support the video streaming application, SlingPlayer Mobile.468 In February 2010, Verizon Wireless announced that all of its smartphone customers with a data plan would be able to use their device for unlimited Skype VoIP calling.469 152. Even in cases where service providers have taken steps to open their networks to a wider array of third-party applications, mobile operating system/platform developers may control consumer access to applications, particularly those available through their application stores. We note that the issues of consumer access to applications and content via mobile wireless Internet access and the application of nondiscrimination principles to mobile wireless broadband providers are the subject of another Commission proceeding.470 V. MOBILE WIRELESS SERVICES: PERFORMANCE 153. The structural and behavioral characteristics of a competitive market are desirable not as ends in themselves, but rather as a means of bringing tangible benefits to consumers such as lower prices, higher quality and greater choice of services. To determine if the market is producing these kinds of positive outcomes, in this section we analyze various metrics including pricing levels and trends, subscriber growth and penetration, MOUs, innovation and diffusion of services, and quality of service. 154. As in previous reports, the market performance section of this Report tracks the pricing of mobile wireless services using various pricing measures or proxies, including RPM and average revenue per message. In addition, the market performance section of this Report supplements the analysis of pricing trends with an analysis of measures of subscribership, net adds, output/usage, revenue, profitability, and the economic impact of mobile wireless service. The analysis of revenue decomposes total service revenue into three segments: voice, messaging, and other data service revenue. The analysis of profitability uses measures of profitability that account for cost data that are not reflected in pricing and revenue data. A. Subscribership Levels 155. Mobile wireless subscribership can be measured and segmented in various ways, including by type of service and device, by type of pricing plan, by age, and by geographic area. In looking at the number of subscribers using any type of mobile wireless device, we find that mobile wireless subscribership increased six percent in 2008 to 277.6 million subscribers, which translates into a nationwide penetration rates of 90 percent. Other sources indicate that there were 25 million subscribers to mobile high-speed services (Internet access at speeds over 200 kbps in at least one direction) and 86 million mobile high-speed devices in service in the United States at the end of 2008. Prepaid and wholesale subscribers as a percentage of all mobile wireless subscribers increased slightly in 2008 from 19.1 percent to 20.2 percent, and increased further in 2009 to 21.5 percent as of mid-2009. Mobile wireless penetration rates are high among nearly every age group in United States, but are highest among young adults (96 percent) and lowest among adults over 65 (89 percent). Finally, we have analyzed sub-national mobile wireless subscribership by estimating penetration rates by EAs. EA penetration rates range from a low of 68 percent in the La Crosse, WI-MN EA to a high of over 100 percent in six EAs.471 1. Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Type of Service 156. Mobile wireless subscribership increased in 2008. According to the year-end 2008 NRUF data, we estimate that there were 277.6 million mobile wireless subscribers at the end of 2008,472 which translates into a nationwide penetration rate of 90 percent.473 This addition of 14.6 million subscribers from 263 million at the end of 2007 represents a 5.6 percent growth in the number of subscribers during 2008. Between 2005 and 2008, mobile wireless service subscribership has increased over 30 percent. We estimate the number of mobile wireless subscribers using NRUF data. NRUF tracks the number of phone numbers that have been assigned to mobile wireless devices and therefore serves as a proxy for mobile wireless subscribers.474 With the increase in the use of mobile wireless devices – particularly the number of non-voice devices, such as access devices (e.g., wireless modem cards, mobile broadband-enabled laptops and netbooks, and mobile Wi-Fi hotspots), e-readers such as the Kindle, and telematics systems such as OnStar – many consumers have more than one mobile wireless device with a phone number assigned to it.475 Therefore, the mobile wireless penetration rate is overstated in terms of the number of individuals that have at least one mobile wireless device. It is possible for the maximum national penetration rate to exceed 100 percent, and, indeed, it does currently exceed 100 percent in certain EAs, as discussed below.476 The value of the calculated wireless penetration rate as a measure of subscribership lies more in the change observed from year to year, rather than the absolute value. Table 14 NRUF and CTIA - Estimated Mobile Wireless Subscribers477 NRUF CTIA Subscribers (millions) Increase from previous year (millions) Penetration Rate Subscribers (millions) 2001 128.5 n/a 45 % 128.4 2002 141.8 13.3 49 % 140.8 2003 160.6 18.8 54 % 158.7 2004 184.7 24.1 62 % 182.1 2005 213.0 28.3 71 % 207.9 2006 241.8 28.8 80 % 233.0 2007 263.0 21.2 86 % 255.4 2008 277.6 14.6 90 % 270.3 157. CTIA reported similar growth in mobile wireless subscribership during 2008. 478 CTIA’s estimate for year-end 2008 was 270.3 million subscribers, a 5.8 percent increase over its estimate of 255.3 million subscribers as of year-end 2007.479 According to CTIA, since the end of 2005, mobile wireless subscribers increased by approximately 30 percent.480 158. The Commission’s Form 477 data collection provides data on both the number of mobile wireless high-speed Internet access subscribers and the number of mobile high-speed-capable devices (those capable of sending or receiving information at speeds greater than 200 kbps in at least one direction) in service on a nationwide and state-by-state basis.481 Under the Commission’s revised Form 477 data collection adopted in 2008, terrestrial mobile wireless providers are required to report, on a state-by-state basis and by speed tier, their number of subscribers whose device and subscription permit them to access the lawful Internet content of their choice at data rates exceeding 200 kbps in at least one direction.482 In addition, mobile broadband providers report, on a state-by-state basis, their number of devices in service that are capable of sending or receiving information at speeds greater than 200 kbps in at least one direction, regardless of whether the user subscribes to a mobile Internet access plan.483 As of the end of 2008, the Commission reported that there were about 25 million mobile wireless high-speed Internet access service subscribers and 86 million mobile high-speed capable devices in service in the United States (see Chart 10).484 Because reporting practices previously varied among providers to a largely unknown degree, neither of the December 2008 figures is directly comparable to mobile wireless high-speed connections reported for earlier dates. Chart 10 Mobile Wireless High-Speed Subscribers and Devices in Use485 159. In addition to the Form 477 data on mobile high-speed Internet access subscribership, CTIA estimates that, at the end of 2008, there were 228 million data-capable handsets in service, 227 million SMS-capable handsets, 203 million web-enabled handsets, and 7.2 million wireless laptops/aircards (see Chart 11).486 In 2009, CTIA began reporting data on the number of smartphones in use and reported that, as of June 30, 2009, there were 40.7 million smartphones in service.487 According to a survey from ChangeWave Research, an estimated 42 percent of U.S. consumers owned a smartphone in December 2009, up from 32 percent in December 2008 and 21 percent in October 2007 (see Chart 12). Chart 11 Mobile Wireless Subscriber Metrics by Source Chart 12 Smartphone Penetration Rates488 160. Certain individual service providers have reported data on the number of data-capable devices in use by their subscribers. For instance, Verizon Wireless reported that, at the end of 2009, 15 percent of its postpaid subscribers had a smartphone and 11 percent had a multimedia device.489 In addition, AT&T has reported its number of 3G laptop connect cards in service for several quarters, as shown in Chart 13. The number of laptop cards increased significantly during 2007 and 2008, nearly doubling from 646,000 at the end of 2007 to 1.2 million at the end of 2008. Chart 13 AT&T 3G Laptop Connect Cards490 161. In addition to the data on the number of subscribers by type of device, the Pew Internet & American Life Project (Pew) has released data on the percentage of mobile wireless subscribers who use different types of mobile wireless services and applications. Pew estimated that 69 percent of American adults used some type of non-voice, mobile data service in April 2009, up from 58 percent in December 2007.491 Among the mobile data services used, Pew estimates that 43 percent of subscribers used text messaging, 15 percent used e-mail, 14 percent accessed the Internet, 10 percent used instant messaging, 9 percent used games, 3 percent obtained maps or directions, and 3 percent watched a video. Texting remains one of the highest use activities, with 74 percent of 18- to 29-year-olds and 51 percent of 30-49 year olds using it on a typical day.492 162. Analysts at Credit Suisse have also estimated the number of mobile wireless data subscribers and the mobile wireless data penetration rates (see Chart 14). According to these estimates, there were 180 million mobile data subscribers at the end of 2009, which translates into a penetration rate of 63 percent. The number of mobile data subscribers has increased 11 percent from 160 million at the end of 2008, and 22 percent from 140 million at the end of 2007. Chart 14 Mobile Data Subscribers and Penetration Rates493 2. Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Pricing Plan 163. As previously noted, prepaid subscribers as a percentage of total subscribers has been increasing over the past few years.494 While the majority of subscribers in the United States today are in postpaid plans, the prepaid and resale/wholesale subscriber segments have been growing much faster than the postpaid segment. As shown in Chart 15, the postpaid subscribers as a percentage of total wireless subscribers decreased from 81.9 percent in the second quarter of 2007, to 78.5 percent in the second quarter of 2009. During this same period, the number of prepaid subscribers increased 37.6 percent, while the number of wholesale subscribers increased 32.5 percent.495 As discussed above, increased prepaid subscribership levels may be a reflection of the lower prices and an increasing number of prepaid service plans, as well as a response to the economic recession.496 One analyst has noted that consumers are purchasing prepaid plans “as a way to cut costs and avoid the lengthy contracts and occasional billing surprises that come with traditional cellphone plans.”497 The increase in wholesale/reseller subscribers may indicate that the use of devices that use mobile wireless data service on a wholesale basis, such as e-readers, is growing as well. While these devices as a percentage of all mobile wireless devices is growing, the overall ARPU for these subscribers is often substantially lower than for postpaid subscribers. For example, average revenue per Kindle device is estimated at $2 per month.498 Chart 15 Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Type of Pricing Plan499 164. Mobile wireless service providers also offer family plans that give discounted rates for households with multiple handsets as a way to increase penetration on a household basis.500 Most family plans include one line at an average of $45 per month for voice service for the first line and additional lines for approximately $10 per month per line, for up to four more lines.501 As shown in Chart 16, Credit Suisse estimates that 67 percent of all mobile wireless subscribers were part of a family plan in 2009, up from just 35 percent in 2004.502 In addition, Nielsen estimates that the 66 percent of all non-corporate wireless subscribers were family plan subscribers in the third quarter of 2009, up from 63 percent in the third quarter of 2008.503 Family plan subscriber uptake is typical during non-promotional periods504 when, for example, couples or parents upgrade their handsets or children come of age. Family plans allow service providers to increase their subscribership levels to other members of the same household or family, such as children, grandparents, or other relatives. According to one analyst, in the second quarter of 2008, Sprint Nextel and T-Mobile made an effort to restructure their family plan pricing options in order to align them with their unlimited plans and to allow family groups to realize some of the value of unlimited plans.505 Verizon Wireless and AT&T have not adopted this approach, requiring unlimited plan customers to take individual plans.506 Chart 16 Family Plan Subscribers and Penetration of Postpaid Base507 3. Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Age 165. Morgan Stanley provides data on mobile wireless subscribership by age (see Chart 17). While penetration rates are high at nearly every age group, they are highest among 18- to 24-year-olds, where penetration has reached 96 percent. The only age group with a penetration rate less than 90 percent is the 65 and over age range, where penetration is 89 percent. Chart 17 Mobile Wireless Penetration by Age508 166. In addition, a recent Pew study provides data on mobile wireless subscribership among teenagers (see Table 15). According to the Pew study, which reports data as of September 2009, age is an important factor in predicting mobile wireless subscribership. As the following table indicates, there is a substantial difference in mobile wireless penetration between 12-year-olds and 17-year-olds.509 Among the 12- to 17-year-old age group as a whole, mobile wireless subscribership has increased from 45 percent in 2004 to 75 percent in 2009.510 Pew found that, beyond age, there were differences in mobile wireless subscribership among demographic groups of teens, such as gender and race/ethnicity.511 The one area where penetration rates varied was household income; 59 percent of teens in households earning less than $30,000 per year had a cell phone, as compared to more than 75 percent of teens from families with higher incomes.512 Table 15 Mobile Wireless Penetration Among Teenagers Age Penetration Rate 12 yrs 58% 13 yrs 73% 14 yrs 76% 15 yrs 79% 16 yrs 82% 17 yrs 83% 167. The Pew study also indicates that young adults are more likely than older adults to own a cell phone, with 93 percent of adults in the 18- to 29-year-old age group owning a cell phone compared to 83 percent of all adults over 18 years old owning a cell phone.513 This compares to penetration figures in 2004 of 71 percent and 65 percent, respectively, for these age groups.514 168. Also, one marketing analyst has reported that advanced mobile technology that enables web browsing, e-mail and use of applications is more frequently adopted by users in the 18 to 24 and 25 to 44 year old age groups than by older users.515 The smartphone ownership rate of mobile users by age group is shown in Table 16 below. This marketing analyst also reports that adoption of SMS is highest among users in the 18 to 24 year old age group, but that this adoption is reaching a plateau (see Table 16 below). In addition, older age groups continue to show an increase in SMS adoption.516 Table 16 Smartphone and SMS Adoption by Age Group517 Age Range Smartphone Ownership Rate SMS Adoption Rate 18 to 24 year-olds 29% 83% 25 to 44 year-olds 29% 65% 45 to 54 year-olds 24% 52% 55 to 64 year-olds 13% 33% B. Penetration Rates Across Economic Areas (EAs) 169. To analyze mobile wireless subscribership across geographic areas, we have estimated mobile wireless penetration rates in the EAs of the United States using NRUF data.518 As discussed above, we use EAs as the geographic unit for measuring the level of concentration in the mobile wireless services industry in order to maintain continuity with past Reports519and ensure that we do not compromise the confidential information found in the NRUF data.520 170. Regional penetration rates for the 172 EAs covering all 50 states, as of December 2008, can be seen in Appendix C, Table C-3. In addition, a map showing regional penetration rates by EAs can be found in Appendix D.521 Several EAs – including Detroit, MI; Birmingham, AL; Farmington, NM; Washington, DC; San Diego, CA; and Beaumont, TX – had penetration rates exceeding 100 percent, which is likely due to subscribers having more than one device.522 In 53 of the 160 EAs, the penetration rates exceeded 90 percent, up from 24 EAs at the end of 2007. Only two EAs, with a combined population of just 415,000, had penetration rates under 70 percent. The EA with the lowest reported penetration rate was La Crosse, WI-MN (EA 105), with a penetration rate of 68 percent.523 The EA with the lowest population density, Anchorage, AK (EA 171), had a penetration rate of 86 percent, while the EA with the highest density, Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL (EA 34), had a penetration rate of 92 percent. As previously stated, based on an analysis of NRUF data, the national penetration rate at the end of 2008 was 90 percent. C. Net Adds/Subscriber Growth 1. Industry-Wide Subscriber Net Adds 171. As the wireless industry has reached penetration levels nearing 90 percent of the US population, the growth of net new subscribers has decelerated. Mobile wireless service providers are reporting that net adds have slowed on both a quarterly and an annual basis. 172. According to data from Bernstein Research, “2008 marked a new low in the wireless industry’s net additions and percentage growth.”524 Total mobile wireless subscriber growth in 2008 was 5.9 percent, down from 9.8 percent growth in 2007 and 12 percent growth in 2006.525 According to the Commission’s NRUF data, there were 14.6 million mobile wireless subscriber net adds in 2008, compared to 21.2 million in 2007, which represents a 31 percent decline.526 Quarterly net adds are shown in Chart 18 below. Chart 18 Total Mobile Wireless Subscriber Quarterly Net Adds527 2. Mobile Wireless Net Adds by Pricing Plan 173. In recent years, net adds have varied by type of pricing plan, as shown in Chart 19 below. The number of unlimited prepaid plan net adds has grown in recent quarters, both in terms of absolute numbers and as a percentage of total net adds. During the fourth quarter of 2007, unlimited prepaid subscribers accounted for 10.5 percent of total net adds. This figure grew to 21.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008 and to 50.1 percent in the second quarter of 2009. The number of unlimited prepaid net adds increased from 708,000 in the fourth quarter of 2007 to 854,000 in the fourth quarter of 2008, and to 1.5 million in the second quarter of 2009. This trend may be a reflection of the lower prices and increased number of offerings for prepaid plans, as discussed above, and of the economic recession, which may have moved consumers to seek lower-priced, higher-value mobile wireless service with no long term contracts.528 Chart 19 Mobile Wireless Net Adds by Pricing Plan529 174. The number of postpaid subscribers continued to grow during 2008 and the first half of 2009, but at a slower rate than in previous years. There were 3.3 million postpaid net adds in the fourth quarter of 2007 versus just 2 million in the fourth quarter of 2008, a 39 percent decrease. Postpaid net adds also dropped from 2.4 million in the second quarter of 2008 to 1.2 million in the second quarter of 2009. Postpaid net adds accounted for 70.6 percent of total net adds in the second quarter of 2008, versus just 43 percent in the second quarter of 2009, when unlimited prepaid dominated the net add mix. 3. Mobile Wireless Net Adds by Service Provider 175. As shown in Chart 20 below, the net subscriber additions have not been evenly distributed across all service providers. During 2009, AT&T and Verizon Wireless gained 8.1 million and 6 million net adds, respectively, while T-Mobile had just over 1 million net adds and Sprint Nextel had a 205,000 net subscriber loss. MetroPCS and Leap, while smaller than the top four providers, increased their subscriber bases by about 24 and 29 percent, respectively during 2009. Chart 20 Net Adds by Service Provider530 D. Output and Usage Levels 1. Mobile Voice 176. As a measure of mobile voice usage, CTIA reports the average MOUs for six-month periods.531 As shown in Chart 21 below, MOUs declined eight percent during 2008, from 769 for the second half of 2007 to 708 during the second half of 2008. When comparing the first half of 2008 with the first half of 2009, MOUs declined two percent from 751 to 735. The trend of declining voice minutes may be due to substitution by mobile messaging services.532 177. Chart 22 below shows the MOUs for the four nationwide mobile wireless service providers, and it reveals that T-Mobile’s MOU levels have been consistently higher than those of the other three providers but have been flat over the past several quarters. The average voice MOUs of AT&T and Sprint Nextel subscribers have been declining slightly, while those of Verizon Wireless have increased slightly. Chart 21 Average MOUs Per Subscriber Per Month533 Chart 22 MOUs Per Subscriber: Four Nationwide Service Providers534 2. Mobile Messaging 178. Mobile text messaging traffic has grown significantly over the past two years. According to data reported by CTIA, which is presented in Chart 23, text messaging volumes grew 177 percent from a total of 363 billion in 2007 to just over 1 trillion in 2008.535 In 2009, monthly text messaging traffic increased 92 percent from 385 billion messages during the first half of 2008 to 740.3 billion messages in the first half of 2009.536 Mobile wireless subscribers are also sending more photo, video, and other multimedia messages (MMS) with their devices. As shown in Chart 24 below, CTIA reports that a total of 14.9 billion MMS messages were sent during 2008, a 144 percent increase from the 6.1 billion sent during 2007. MMS messages sent during the first half of 2009 rose 83 percent to 10.3 billion MMS messages from the 5.6 billion sent during the first half of 2008.537 179. We can estimate the number of text and MMS messages per subscriber per month by dividing the total number of messages by the average number of mobile wireless subscribers, while recognizing that not all mobile wireless subscriber use messaging services. As shown in Table 17, the average mobile wireless subscriber sent 388 text messages and 5.8 MMS messages per month during the second half of 2008. This represents a 169 percent increase in the average number of text messages per subscriber per month from the second half of 2007, and a 152 percent increase in the average number of MMS messages per subscriber per month during the same period. Chart 23 Monthly Text Messaging Traffic Volumes538 Chart 24 Six-Month MMS Traffic Volumes539 Table 17 Average Text and MMS Messages Per Subscriber Per Month540 Six-Month Period Ending Average Text Messages Per User Per Month Average MMS Messages Per User Per Month Jun-05 29 0.3 Dec-05 40 0.7 Jun-06 51 0.9 Dec-06 69 1.2 Jun-07 103 1.8 Dec-07 144 2.3 Jun-08 248 3.6 Dec-08 388 5.8 Jun-09 451 6.3 180. A major driver of growth in mobile messaging is intensive use among the teen segment. The results of a study conducted by Nielsen Media, presented in Chart 25 below, reveal that consumption of text messaging services among teenagers in the United States is extraordinarily high.541 This study indicates that teenagers send an average of 3,146 messages per month, which is the equivalent of more than ten messages every hour that they are not sleeping or in school. In the under-12 age group, Nielsen estimates that children are sending an average of 1,146 messages per month. As discussed above, the average price per text messages has been declining as more subscribers have shifted to unlimited or bucket messaging plans.542 Chart 25 Use of Texting by Children and Teenagers543 3. Mobile Data Traffic (Non-Messaging) 181. Unlike voice and text messaging services, CTIA does not currently provide usage data for non-messaging mobile data and mobile Internet traffic. Therefore, we base our discussion of mobile data usage on information from other sources. Estimates from other sources indicate that mobile data usage is growing significantly both in the United States and globally.544 For instance, Cisco estimates that global mobile data traffic grew 157 percent from 33 terabytes in 2008 to 85 terabytes in 2009.545 In addition, Nokia Siemens Networks estimates that mobile data traffic grew fourfold during 2008.546 Data traffic is increasing with the growth in smartphone subscribers, who use the Internet and send and receive content more than average mobile wireless users.547 182. Data on mobile data usage by type of device for the second half of 2009, based on estimates from Validas, is shown in Chart 26 below.548 Traditional handset users had the lowest levels of data usage, averaging 25 MB per month. Data traffic from smartphone users was significantly higher, ranging from 54 MB per month for Blackberry users to 275 MB per month for iPhone users. Mobile wireless subscribers using laptops and aircards/wireless modem cards had the highest data usage, averaging 1.4 GB per month. The Validas study also shows that the majority of Blackberry and other smartphone users had relatively low data levels of data usage, generating between 0 and 50 MB per month on average. Only 16 percent of iPhone users, on the other hand, generated between 0 and 50 MB per month; and 52 percent generated between 100 and 500 MB per month. Meanwhile, 59 percent of laptop/aircard users transferred over 500 MB of data traffic per month. As a point of comparison, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch estimated that, in leading mobile broadband markets around the world, per-capita mobile data usage was around 100 MB per month as of December 2009.549 Chart 26 Estimated Mobile Data Usage by Type of Device550 183. Individual mobile wireless service providers, such as AT&T and Verizon Wireless, confirm that their customers are migrating from voice-centric services to data-centric services. AT&T reported that its network experienced an 18-fold increase in mobile data traffic during the two-and-a-half years after the iPhone was introduced, and that its mobile data traffic increased over four times between June 2008 and June 2009.551 AT&T has also reported that its mobile data traffic increased 5000 percent from mid-2006 to mid-2009.552 According to AT&T, three percent of its smartphone users are responsible for 40 percent of total data usage.553 According to one analyst, the average iPhone user consumes five to ten times more bandwidth on a monthly basis than the average smartphone customer,554 while another analyst estimates that the average iPhone user consumes twice the monthly bandwidth of the average smartphone user and five to seven times the monthly bandwidth of the average wireless voice subscriber.555 Verizon Wireless reported that the main drivers of data traffic growth on its network during the fourth quarter of 2008 were broadband access plans, e-mail, and messaging.556 184. According to a report by Allot Communications, mobile data traffic during the second quarter of 2009 was generated by the following applications: web browsing (35 percent), HTTP streaming (23 percent), messaging (21 percent), web downloads (16 percent) and other applications (5 percent).557 E. Pricing Levels, Changes, and Trends 1. Price Indicators 185. Wide variations in the non-price terms and features of wireless service plans make it difficult to characterize the price of mobile wireless service; consequently, it is difficult to identify sources of information that track mobile wireless service prices in a comprehensive manner.558 As documented in previous reports, there is ample evidence of a sharp decline in mobile wireless prices in the period since the launch of PCS service. However, after posting across-the-board declines in 2007,559 some indicators of mobile wireless service pricing showed price decreases in 2008, while others showed increases.560 The price of mobile wireless service, as measured by the CPI for mobile services, decreased. However, unit prices of voice and messaging services show different trends. Voice RPM increased slightly in 2008, while the average revenue per text message decreased. It is possible that these trends are interrelated, as consumers substitute messaging for voice on some occasions. We note that it is not possible to calculate unit prices for non-messaging mobile data services because the industry does not report comparable mobile data revenue and traffic figures. 186. Cellular CPI. One source of price information is the cellular telephone services’ component of the CPI (Cellular CPI) produced by the United States Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).561 Cellular CPI data is published on a national basis only.562 From 2007 to 2008, the annual Cellular CPI decreased by approximately 0.2 percent while the overall CPI increased by 3.8 percent. The Cellular CPI has declined 35.8 percent since December 1997, when BLS began tracking it.563 Table 18 Change in CPI564 CPI Cellular CPI All Telephone CPI Local Telephone CPI Long Distance Telephone CPI Index Value Annual Change Index Value Annual Change Index Value Annual Change Index Value Annual Change Index Value Annual Change Dec 1997 100   100   100   100   100   1998 101.6   95.1   100.7   101.6   100.5   1999 103.8 2.2% 84.9 -10.7% 100.1 -0.6% 103.4 1.8% 98.2 -2.3% 2000 107.3 3.4% 76.0 -10.5% 98.5 -1.6% 107.7 4.1% 91.8 -6.5% 2001 110.3 2.8% 68.1 -10.4% 99.3 0.8% 113.3 5.2% 88.8 -3.3% 2002 112.1 1.6% 67.4 -1.0% 99.7 0.4% 118.5 4.5% 84.9 -4.4% 2003 114.6 2.3% 66.8 -0.9% 98.3 -1.4% 123.3 4.1% 77.8 -8.4% 2004 117.7 2.7% 66.2 -0.9% 95.8 -2.5% 125.1 1.5% 70.9 -8.9% 2005 121.7 3.4% 65.0 -1.8% 94.9 -0.9% 128.5 2.7% 67.5 -4.8% 2006 125.6 3.2% 64.6 -0.6% 95.8 0.9% 131.1 2.1% 68.3 1.2% 2007 129.2 2.8% 64.4 -0.3% 98.247 2.6% 136.2 3.8% 71.453 4.6% 2008 134.1 3.8% 64.2 -0.2% 100.451 2.2% 141.0 3.6% 74.846 4.7% Dec 1997 to 2008 34.1% -35.8% 0.5% 41.0% -25.2% 187. Blended Revenue per Minute. Alternatively, some analysts believe RPM is a good proxy for mobile pricing.565 This metric is calculated by dividing an estimate of average monthly revenue per subscriber (often referred to as average revenue per unit, or “ARPU”) by average monthly minutes of use for the equivalent period.566 188. Using estimates of industry-wide ARPU567 and MOUs from CTIA, shown in Table 19 we estimate that RPM was $0.07 in December of 2008, which is an increase of nine percent from the estimate of $0.06 in December of 2007. Prior to 2008, RPM had fallen almost steadily from $0.47 in December of 1994 to $0.06 in December of 2007, which represented a decline of 87 percent.568 The estimate of $0.07 in December 2008 represents a decline of 85 percent from the December 1994 peak and a decline of approximately 30 percent since December 2003. 189. Revenue per Voice Minute. As the contribution of data services to total revenues has increased, RPM has become an increasingly inaccurate measure of the pricing of mobile voice service. Until the last four years, revenues from wireless data services were a relatively insignificant portion of the average wireless subscriber’s bill. However, in recent years, data has become an ever increasing portion of that bill. Since the Twelfth Report, this Report has included a revised version of RPM, “Voice RPM,” which excludes that portion of ARPU generated by data services.569 While RPM and Voice RPM have been mostly identical over time, in absolute value and trend, in 2004 they began to diverge somewhat, with the decline in Voice RPM steeper, and its absolute value slightly lower, than RPM. 190. We estimate that Voice RPM was $0.05 in December of 2008. As indicated in Table 11, although this estimate of Voice RPM is unchanged from the previous year due to rounding, the absolute value of Voice RPM in December of 2008 represents an increase of two percent from its absolute value in December of 2007. Thus, Voice RPM also registered a slight increase from 2007 to 2008, but the rise in Voice RPM was much less steep than the rise in RPM. As a result, the gap between RPM and Voice RPM widened still further in 2008. Table 19 Average Revenue Per Minute570 Average Local Monthly Bill Minutes of Use Per Month Average Revenue Per Minute Annual Change in Overall RPM Wireless Data Revenue as Percent of Total Service Revenues Average Local Monthly Bill (excl. Data Revenues) Average Revenue Per Voice Minute Annual Change in Voice RPM 1993 $61.49 140 $0.44 n/a $61.49 $0.44 1994 $56.21 119 $0.47 8% n/a $56.21 $0.47 8% 1995 $51.00 119 $0.43 -9% n/a $51.00 $0.43 -9% 1996 $47.70 125 $0.38 -11% n/a $47.70 $0.38 -11% 1997 $42.78 117 $0.37 -4% n/a $42.78 $0.37 -4% 1998 $39.43 136 $0.29 -21% n/a $39.43 $0.29 -21% 1999 $41.24 185 $0.22 -23% 0.2% $41.16 $0.22 -23% 2000 $45.27 255 $0.18 -20% 0.4% $45.09 $0.18 -21% 2001 $47.37 380 $0.12 -30% 0.9% $46.94 $0.12 -30% 2002 $48.40 427 $0.11 -9% 1.2% $47.82 $0.11 -9% 2003 $49.91 507 $0.10 -13% 2.5% $48.66 $0.10 -14% 2004 $50.64 584 $0.09 -12% 4.8% $48.21 $0.08 -14% 2005 $49.98 708 $0.07 -19% 8.3% $45.83 $0.06 -22% 2006 $50.56 714 $0.07 0% 13.5% $43.73 $0.06 -5% 2007 $49.79 769 $0.06 -9% 17.9% $40.88 $0.05 -13% 2008 $50.07 708 $0.07 9% 23.2% $38.45 $0.05 2% 191. Revenue per Text Message. A proxy for the pricing of text messages can be derived by dividing an estimate of text messaging revenues by an estimate of the number of text messages sent during a specified period. 192. The average price for text messages continued to decline in 2008. Based on CTIA estimates of annual text messaging revenues and the annual volume of text messaging traffic, we estimate that the price per text message dropped to $0.011 in 2008, down from $0.025 in 2007 and $0.036 in 2006.571 This is likely the result of customers purchasing bucket or unlimited texting plans rather than paying for texting on a per-use basis. In such cases, the marginal price of sending an additional text message is nearly zero, and usage has increased dramatically. The average price of text messaging is decreasing, while text messaging ARPU is increasing, as discussed below. Table 20 Average Revenue Per Text Message572 Year Text Traffic Volume Average Messages Per User Text Messaging Revenues Average Revenue Per Text Message 2005 81,208,225,767 476 $2,991,666,181 $0.037 2006 158,648,546,798 779 $5,672,984,205 $0.036 2007 362,549,531,172 1,572 $8,976,574,961 $0.025 2008 1,005,144,143,136 4,183 $11,355,095,991 $0.011 193. Broadband Price Unit Metrics. In contrast to mobile voice service, there is no single common unit of measure analogous to MOUs that can be used to track pricing trends for mobile broadband services on an aggregated basis. Although it is possible, using CTIA data, to derive average revenue per user for non-messaging data services (the numerator), CTIA does not report MB usage (the denominator). Therefore, we do not include a unit price measure for this increasingly important wireless service segment. 2. Wholesale Pricing 194. Resellers and MVNOs purchase minutes at wholesale prices from facilities-based mobile service providers. Contractual agreements between mobile network operators and resellers or MVNOs for wholesale prices differ among MVNOs because they depend upon rates that each MVNO negotiates with facilities based providers. These negotiated rates are generally not publicly available so it is difficult to track wholesale pricing in the mobile wireless sector in a comprehensive manner. 195. One analyst has estimated the pricing for Sprint Nextel’s wholesale deal with Virgin Mobile USA prior to Sprint Nextel’s acquisition of Virgin Mobile. According to this analyst, Virgin paid Sprint Nextel approximately $0.02 per minute.573 The analyst states that the pricing was almost all variable, and Sprint Nextel’s price structure was based on a tiered pricing system in which the company paid a certain per-minute rate for the first level of MOUs and then a lower per-minute rate for the next tiered level of usage, with the rate dropping for only the incremental minutes at the next tier level rather than for all the minutes used. Based on Virgin Mobile’s retail pricing structure, the analyst estimated that Sprint Nextel received about 25 percent of the revenues generated by a Virgin Mobile customer.574 3. Intercarrier Roaming Rates and Revenue 196. Intercarrier roaming rates are set by contractual agreements that are confidential, and particular rates vary across agreements depending on what service providers have negotiated. However, an aggregate proxy for intercarrier roaming rates – average roaming revenue per minute of use of roaming service – can be derived from dividing reported annual roaming revenues by reported annual roaming minutes of use. 197. CTIA reported that “outcollect” roaming revenues575 for the entire mobile wireless industry decreased to $3.739 billion in 2008 from $3.742 billion in 2007.576 This is consistent with the trend over the past decade where annual roaming revenues have fluctuated between $3.5 billion and $4.2 billion. However, during this same period total industry revenues increased dramatically, from $40 billion to $148.1 billion. Therefore, the contribution of roaming revenues to total service revenues continued its decline: from 4.1 percent in 2004, to 3.3 percent in 2005, to 2.8 percent in 2006, to 2.7 percent in 2007, and to 2.5 percent in 2008, which is down from over ten percent in 1999.577 198. Similarly, while reported annual roaming traffic has grown significantly during this same period, roaming minutes as a percentage of total minutes has dropped significantly. Roaming minutes increased from 13 billion minutes in 1999 to 121.4 billion minutes in 2008. Yet this growth has been much slower than overall traffic growth, which increased from 147.7 billion minutes to 2.2 trillion minutes. Therefore, roaming as a percentage of overall traffic has decreased from 8.8 percent in 1999 to 5.5 percent in 2008, a nearly 40 percent relative decline. 578 199. As reported in Table 21 below, average roaming revenue per minute has progressively declined over time, from just over 30 cents per minute in 1999 to between three and four cents per minute in recent years. Table 21 Roaming Revenues and Rates579 Roaming Revenues (in $000s) Percent Change Percent of Total Service Revenues Roaming MOUs Percent of Total MOUs Average Roaming Revenue Per Minute580 1999 $4,085,417 16.71% 10.2% 13,038,555,635 8.8% $0.31 2000 $3,882,981 (4.96%) 7.4% 20,852,266,390 8.1% $0.19 2001 $3,752,826 (3.35%) 5.7% 27,811,907,410 6.1% $0.13 2002 $3,895,511 3.80% 5.1% 43,846,470,833 7.1% $0.09 2003 $3,766,267 (3.32%) 4.3% 56,828,973,359 6.8% $0.07 2004 $4,210,330 11.79% 4.1% 71,440,711,110 6.5% $0.06 2005 $3,786,332 (10.07%) 3.3% 115,008,338,841 7.7% $0.03 2006 $3,494,294 (7.71%) 2.8% 91,991,570,460 5.1% $0.04 2007 $3,742,015 7.09% 2.7% 107,615,715,912 5.1% $0.03 2008 $3,739,274 (0.07%) 2.5% 121,438,208,469 5.5% $0.03 F. Revenue 200. Revenues for the U.S. mobile wireless industry have increased each year between 2004 and 2008, although the annual growth rate for industry revenues has been in decline since 2007 (see Chart 27). In 2008, mobile wireless service providers generated approximately $150.6 billion in revenues, up 6.9 percent from 2007. For the first half of 2009, industry revenue totaled $75.8 billion, a 4.3 percent increase over the first half of 2008.581 Chart 27 Wireless Industry Service Revenues582 201. We examine mobile wireless service revenues by dividing CTIA’s estimates of service revenue into three segments: voice, messaging, and other data services.583 As shown in Chart 28, all three revenue categories – voice, text messaging, and other data revenues – continued to grow in 2008. However, the share of messaging and other data revenue in total service revenue rose while the share of voice revenue declined proportionally. Chart 28 Total Mobile Wireless Industry Revenues584 202. ARPU is a financial metric widely-used in analyzing the mobile wireless industry. In 1999, one estimate of ARPU used by CTIA, average local monthly bill (ALMB), began increasing following a decade of declines, rising to $50.64 in December 2004, a 28 percent increase from the low of $39.43 in 1998 (see Table 19).585 Since the 2004 peak, ALMB has fluctuated around the $50 level, and closed 2008 at $50.07. As seen in Table 19, declining industry-wide voice ARPU (as measured by ALMB excluding data revenues) continued to be offset by growth in data ARPU. According to CTIA, in the last half of 2008, data revenues amounted to 23.2 percent of total wireless service revenues, compared to 17.9 percent a year earlier. 203. CTIA’s alternate measure of ARPU shows that both messaging and other data ARPU rose steadily between 2004 and 2008, while voice ARPU steadily declined during the same period (see Chart 29). In 2008, the increases in messaging ARPU and other data ARPU just offset the decline in voice ARPU, leaving blended ARPU virtually unchanged from 2007 at slightly more than $47.00. Of this total, voice ARPU represented nearly $37.00, with messaging ARPU at $3.55 and other data ARPU at $6.56. Messaging ARPU and other data ARPU represented a proportionally larger share of blended ARPU in 2008 as compared with 2007. Chart 29 Monthly ARPU by Type of Service586 204. The growth in data revenue as a percentage of total revenue for the individual four nationwide service providers is shown in Chart 30. While data revenues have been growing at all four providers, data accounts for a larger percentage of total revenue at Verizon Wireless and AT&T. In the second quarter of 2009, data revenue accounted for close to 30 percent of Verizon Wireless’s and AT&T’s total revenue, as compared to 25 percent at Sprint Nextel and 21 percent at T-Mobile. Chart 30 Wireless Data Revenue as a Percentage of Total Revenue587 205. We believe the trends of declining voice ARPU and rising data ARPU are the result of several factors, including further declines in the per-minute price of mobile voice calls; an increase in the share of subscribers who typically spend less per month on mobile calls, such as prepaid and family plan customers;588 and an increase in mobile data usage and subscribership.589 206. The ARPU data shown below do not reflect the unlimited plan pricing changes, discussed above, that Verizon Wireless and AT&T announced in January 2010, and it is unclear how these pricing changes will affect ARPU going forward.590 While the shift of existing unlimited plan customers to the discounted plans would depress ARPU, this effect could be offset to the extent other customers respond to the reduction in the price of unlimited plans by migrating upward from lower-priced limited plans to unlimited offerings, and also to the extent new customers choose unlimited plans rather than less expensive limited plans.591 In addition, Verizon Wireless’s pricing plan changes were accompanied by the introduction of a new data plan requirement for certain types of handsets. The resulting increase in data revenue may offset the revenue impact of the reduction in unlimited voice pricing, leaving revenue and ARPU unchanged or slightly higher.592 207. CTIA does not collect and report data on non-service revenue, specifically, revenue from the sale of handsets and other wireless equipment. Macquarie Research estimates that non-service revenue from equipment sales has also grown steadily since 2004, amounting to nearly $20 billion in 2008.593 G. Investment 208. Investment, as measured by capital expenditures, also referred to as “capital spending” or “CAPEX,” is funds spent during a particular period to acquire or improve long-term assets, such as property, plant, or equipment.594 209. Over the past decade, mobile wireless providers have invested significantly in wireless structures and equipment. Between 1998 and 2008, industry-wide capital expenditures by wireless providers exceeded $240 billion.595 In the mobile wireless industry, CAPEX primarily consists of spending to upgrade and expand networks to increase data connection speeds, enable more reliable service, and improve coverage.596 210. Data from two sources reveal slightly different capital investment trends. As shown in Table 22, data from the Census Bureau suggests that, after decreasing by more than 20 percent between 2006 and 2007, capital expenditures by wireless providers rebounded in 2008, increasing by approximately 15 percent over the previous year to more than $25.5 billion. However, data from CTIA suggests that, while the mobile wireless industry has continued to invest in network expansions and upgrades, capital investment has been declining over the past four years. CTIA reports that incremental capital investment by wireless operators totaled $20.2 billion in 2008, a 4.4 percent decrease from the $21.14 spent in 2007 and a 20 percent decrease from the $25.2 billion spent in 2005.597 CTIA also reports that capital investment during the first half of 2009 totaled $8.9 billion for the wireless industry, a 7.4 percent drop from the first half of 2008.598 Table 22 Annual Capital Expenditures by Wireless Service Providers599 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Census Bureau: Total Annual Capital Expenditures (in billions) $24.0 $27.3 $27.9 $22.2 $25.5 Census Bureau: Percent Change in Capital Expenditures from Previous Year 14.3% 13.9% 2.2% (20.5%) 15.1% CTIA: Total Annual Incremental Capital Investment (in billions) $14.1 $25.2 $24.4 $21.1 $20.2 CTIA: Percent Change in Incremental Capital Investment from Previous Year (12.0%) 78.8% (3.2%) (13.4%) (4.6%) 211. According to CTIA, incremental capital investment per subscriber has been declining as well over the past four years and at greater rates than total investment, as shown in Chart 31. During 2008, capital investment per subscriber fell 11 percent to $76.73 from its 2007 level of $86.57. From 2005 to 2008, annual capital investment per subscriber fell 40 percent. Chart 31 Annual Incremental Capital Investment per Subscriber600 212. Data from both CTIA and the Census Bureau show that annual capital investment as a percentage of total industry revenue has been declining (see Chart 32). According to CTIA data, CAPEX as a percentage of total revenue declined from 22 percent in 2005 to 14 percent in 2008. Census Bureau data shows that CAPEX as a percentage of total industry revenue fell from 19.5 percent in 2005 to 13.8 percent in 2008. Chart 32 Annual Capital Investment as a Percentage of Industry Revenue601 213. As shown in Chart 33, CAPEX trends in recent years have varied from operator to operator. AT&T, for example, reported that its wireless CAPEX increased 42 percent in 2008 and was used primarily to expand the capacity of its network and for HSPA upgrades.602 In addition, T-Mobile’s CAPEX increased 35 percent during 2008 as the company has been building out its 3G network.603 On the other hand, Sprint Nextel’s CAPEX declined 53 percent in 2008 and an additional 52 percent in 2009. Sprint Nextel’s average quarterly CAPEX as a percentage of service revenue also dropped from 14.3 percent in 2007 to 6.2 percent in 2008, and to 3.8 percent for the first three quarters of 2009.604 According to one analyst, the reasons for Sprint Nextel’s decrease in CAPEX include the company’s negative growth, which resulted in reduced capacity needs and reduced investment in cell sites,605 and the company’s decision to resell 4G service, thereby reducing its need to invest directly in further network upgrades. As discussed below, Sprint Nextel has invested in Clearwire and holds an ownership interest in the company, and is currently reselling Clearwire’s 4G WiMAX service.606 Chart 33 Capital Expenditures by Service Provider607 H. Profitability 214. In order to improve upon the competitive analysis of previous Reports, the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, in May 2009, released a Public Notice soliciting data and information on suitable profitability measures.608 The Fourteenth Report Public Notice discussed measures of profitability including various rates of return, free cash flow, and EBITDA.609 Measures of profitability and provider performance are widely used by industry observers and analysts.610 They can provide useful indicators of absolute and relative provider performance, entry and exit conditions, growth conditions, costs, the intensity of rivalry, and provider pricing policies. Previous Reports have considered indicators of provider performance such as market share, exit from the industry, net additions, churn, and ARPU. For some purposes, measures of profitability and cash flow improve on these other indicators of provider performance because measures of profitability reflect firm costs and can be used to compute rates of return. 1. Measuring Profitability 215. A true measure of economic profit, especially in a capital intensive industry such as the mobile wireless industry, 611 would reflect cash flows over a period of time that is long enough to recoup investment costs, and would account for a firm’s weighted average cost of capital. Examples of such a measure include Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)612 or Economic Value Added (EVA).613 Such a metric would depart from the net income (i.e., accounting profits) that communication providers report to the Securities and Exchange Commission, in several respects. First, it may value capital costs on a basis that may differ from the depreciation methods providers use to calculate net income. 614 Second, it would require some data that is currently reported only in a consolidated statement, which includes non-wireless operating units, to be either reported or estimated at the level of the provider’s mobile wireless operating segment.615 Because limitations on data availability make it difficult to measure true economic profit, we consider some proxy metrics in place of a true measure of profitability. Below we discuss three readily available measures of cash flow of mobile wireless segments that industry observers often use as indicators of mobile wireless segment profitability and as metrics to compare the performance of mobile wireless segments of different communication providers. Each of these indicators incorporates different elements of a firm’s costs. 216. Earning Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT). EBIT is the accounting profit of a company before interest expenses and corporate taxes are deducted.616 EBIT deducts from revenue the cost of equipment sold to users (e.g. the price paid by a provider for the handsets that it sells to consumers), service costs (e.g. network interconnection, roaming, and long-distance costs), selling, general, and administrative costs, but it does not deduct costs such as interest payments on debt and corporate income taxes. EBIT has the advantages of being a general indicator of the performance of mobile wireless segments and it deducts operating costs that would also be deducted in more detailed profitability estimates. However, as interest payments on debt and corporate income taxes are generally recurrent cash flow obligations, some experts argue that these measures may not always be good estimates of operating cash flow.617 Federal and State corporate income taxes can be over one-third of pre-tax income and they are deducted in most profit formulas.618 Further, EBIT data is sensitive to accounting practices for depreciation and mergers. We do not discuss EBIT data in this Report. 217. Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA). EBITDA equals accounting profits before deducting interest expenses, corporate income taxes, depreciation, and amortization.619 EBITDA differs from EBIT in that EBIT deducts depreciation and amortization. An advantage of EBITDA is that it is widely used by industry observers, such as equity analysts, as an indicator of profitability in the telecommunications sector.620 However, EBITDA does not account for capital expenditures or cash flow expenses such as interest and taxes. To the extent that capital expenditures are proportionately similar across firms and over time, EBITDA can be a useful measure of relative performance. We discuss EBITDA data below. 218. EBITDA minus Capital Expenditures (EBITDA minus CAPEX). EBITDA minus CAPEX equals EBITDA, discussed above, less the capital investment incurred in the same time period. EBITDA minus CAPEX incorporates capital spending into the profitability measure, and as such provides a rough approximation of free cash flow. 621 Although it is a better approximation of cash flow than EBITDA because it deducts capital expenditures, we note that capital expenditures may differ from estimates of annual capital costs that are often used to replace depreciation figures in estimates of economic profits.622 Also, EBITDA minus CAPEX does not account for purchases of spectrum licenses, a significant expense of mobile wireless providers. We discuss EBITDA minus CAPEX data below. 219. EBITDA per subscriber data for selected service providers are presented in Chart 34. Standardizing EBITDA by subscribers facilitates cross-provider comparisons and makes EBITDA directly comparable to ARPU, another measure of provider performance discussed in this Report. As shown in Chart 34, in 2008, the difference between the provider with the highest EBITDA per subscriber (Verizon Wireless) and the provider with the lowest (Leap) was $14.09. Among the four national providers, AT&T and Verizon Wireless had the highest EBITDA per subscriber since 2007. Sprint Nextel has seen its EBITDA per subscriber decline significantly over the past several years. The differences in EBITDA per subscriber across providers may reflect many underlying factors including different characteristics of service and product offerings, different customer preferences, different network designs and capabilities, different cost structures, scale economies, and the degree of competitive rivalry. The changes in EBITDA per subscriber for individual providers can also reflect changes particular to the provider; for example, acquisitions of networks in mergers or changes in service and product offerings over time. It is possible that some of the correlated changes across providers reflect macroeconomic effects on demand. Chart 34 EBITDA per Subscriber (Selected Providers)623 220. EBITDA minus CAPEX per subscriber data for selected service providers, presented in Chart 35, may provide a sense of the relative profitability of the providers on a per subscriber basis. As with EBITDA per subscriber data, EBITDA minus CAPEX per subscriber data are directly comparable to ARPU data. Between 2006 and 2008, the EBITDA minus CAPEX per subscriber of the top four nationwide providers varied between a low of $5.9 for AT&T in 2006 to a high of $16.5 for Verizon Wireless in 2008. In these three years Sprint Nextel and T-Mobile have remained in a range between $6.5 and $10. The difference between the highest and lowest EBITDA minus CAPEX per subscriber was $5.9 in 2006, $6.2 in 2007, and $9.9 in 2008. Verizon Wireless experienced annual increases between 2006 and 2008, whereas the other three nationwide providers have experienced both increases and decreases. ARPU, EBITDA, and EBITDA minus CAPEX are presented together in Chart 36 to facilitate comparison within this family of measures. Chart 35 EBITDA minus CAPEX per Subscriber per Month (Selected Providers)624 Chart 36 Comparison of ARPU, EBITDA, and EBITDA minus CAPEX625 221. EBITDA as a percentage of service revenue, also called EBITDA margin, appears in Chart 37 and provides another indicator of mobile wireless segment profitability. Standardizing EBITDA by service revenues facilitates cross-provider comparisons. In 2008, the difference between the provider with the highest EBITDA margin (Verizon Wireless) and the provider with the lowest (Leap) was 29.6 percent. Since 2007, the two largest national providers were the only providers with EBITDA margins greater than 35 percent. Verizon Wireless has remained in a band between 43 percent and 48 percent since 2005, increasing in 2008 relative to 2007. AT&T has remained between 31 percent and 39 percent, decreasing in 2008 relative to 2007. Between 2004 and 2008, Sprint Nextel declined from nearly 35 percent to approximately 22 percent. Since 2005, T-Mobile and MetroPCS remained between 28 percent and 33 percent. Chart 37 Reported EBITDA Margins: 2002 – 2009 (Selected Providers)626 I. Network Quality 222. A semi-annual study conducted by J.D. Power measures wireless call quality performance in terms of the number of problems per 100 calls (PP100), where a lower score reflects fewer problems and higher wireless call quality performance.627 Prior to the 2009 study, the number of reported wireless call quality problems for the industry overall declined for three consecutive reporting periods and then remained relatively stable from 2007 to 2008 at 15 problems per 100 calls, the lowest level in the history of the study.628 The J.D. Power 2009 Wireless Call Quality Performance Study (Volume 1) indicates that network quality for the industry overall has held steady since the 2008 study, with the number of problems reported by consumers remaining virtually unchanged at 15 problems per 100 calls.629 223. The same study further indicates that, while overall industry performance has remained the same, the gap in call quality performance among the major providers included in the study has closed significantly as compared with previous years.630 In particular, while call quality performance among wireless providers still varies at the regional level, the gap between the highest- and lowest-ranked providers for the overall industry has narrowed from eight problems per 100 calls in the 2008 Volume 2 study to only five problems per 100 calls in the 2009 Volume 1 study.631 According to J.D. Power, this trend toward greater parity is primarily the result of decreases in reported problems by customers of AT&T and Sprint Nextel and slight increases in reported problems by customers of both Verizon Wireless and Alltel.632 Based on these findings, J.D. Power concludes that there is now less differentiation between the better-performing providers and those that struggle with network quality performance, compared with previous studies.633 Nevertheless, despite experiencing a slight increase in reported problems, Verizon Wireless remains the industry leader in network performance overall.634 224. One challenge facing service providers is ensuring that bandwidth consumption by data-intensive smartphone users does not degrade the quality of service for those users and other mobile wireless subscribers on the network.635 Reports suggest that iPhone users have experienced service quality problems on AT&T’s broadband network, including dropped calls, delayed text and voice messages, and slow download speeds, particularly during periods of peak use in dense urban areas with higher concentrations of iPhone users.636 According to reports, the deterioration in service quality is due in part to the popularity of the iPhone and the challenges associated with architecting a network to keep up with the increased demand for data services.637 As detailed above, AT&T is devoting the majority of its capital spending to various measures aimed at upgrading and expanding the capacity of its 3G network in order to fix these problems and meet the rising demands on the network from bandwidth-heavy data applications.638 Although reports have focused on the quality of service on AT&T’s network, rival service providers may confront the same network challenges as smartphone penetration increases. J. Economic Impact of Mobile Wireless Services 225. Wireless industry contributions to the U.S. economy include investment, job creation, and increased productivity. According to CTIA, wireless services delivered close to $100 billion in “value added” contributions to the U.S. GDP in 2007.639 In addition, one study estimates that during the fifteen years between 1992 and 2007, economic contributions from wireless services grew faster than the rest of the U.S. economy, averaging over 16 percent annual growth compared to approximately 3 percent for the remainder of the economy.640 However, the same study also reveals that the average annual growth rate for economic contributions from wireless services decreased to 11.2 percent for the period from 2002 to 2007, down from 19.1 percent for the period between 1997 and 2002.641 226. As discussed above, mobile wireless service providers have invested heavily in network deployment and equipment, including mobile broadband networks. According to one recent study, there is a multiplier effect for investment in mobile wireless broadband networks, with a seven-to-tenfold increase in GDP compared to the initial investment.642 As the authors explain, investment in wireless broadband infrastructure is similar to building a roadway in that it “not only generates jobs and income for the builders of the road, but provides opportunities for others to create new businesses and homes along the roadway.”643 As a result, while investment in mobile wireless infrastructure increases the availability, capacity, speed, and reliability of services, it also provides indirect benefits, such as creating new businesses and sources of revenue, enhancing health care and public safety services, and helping consumers reach goods, services, jobs, and educational opportunities.644 Moving forward, new investment in mobile broadband infrastructure may offer additional opportunities for investment and economic growth in both the wireless sector and economy as a whole. 227. Investment and growth in the wireless sector in recent years has also spurred job creation and generated additional economic benefits through increased productivity. For instance, wireless providers directly employ more than 268,000 people, a number that has grown about six percent year-over-year for the last four years.645 Beyond direct employment by wireless providers, CTIA claims that approximately 2.4 million American jobs are either directly or indirectly dependent upon the U.S. wireless industry.646 In addition, one study predicts that the U.S. wireless industry may create two to three million new jobs between 2005 and 2015.647 Wireless services also create opportunities for increased productivity in American businesses, with one study projecting that productivity gains from the deployment and use of wireless broadband services could generate nearly $860 billion in additional GDP between 2005 and 2016.648 VI. MOBILE WIRELESS SERVICES: CONSUMER BEHAVIOR 228. Consumer behavior in response to price increases and adverse changes in service is an important indicator of the level of competition in the mobile wireless services industry. If consumers are sufficiently well-informed to take prices and other non-price factors into account, they are in a better position to choose the provider that offers the best terms. If enough consumers have the ability and propensity to switch service providers in response to a change in price or non-price factors, then mobile wireless service providers will have an incentive to compete vigorously to gain customers and retain their current customers. Consumers will be more effective in constraining wireless service provider behavior when the transaction costs they incur in choosing and switching providers are low. Transaction costs depend on, among other factors, subscribers’ access to and ability to use information, and economic and non-economic barriers to switching providers. A. Consumer Switching Costs 229. In the context of mobile wireless services, consumer switching costs are costs that a consumer incurs when past investment specific to her current service provider must be duplicated for a new service provider. First, there is the information cost associated with the consumer’s need to obtain sufficiently detailed information about the offerings of other service providers. Second, wireless service consumers that have entered into multi-month service subscriptions with their service providers may be liable for early termination fees (ETF) if they choose to prematurely terminate their contracts. Third, there are the costs associated with obtaining a new wireless handset or unlocking the old handset when changing service providers. A potentially related handset change cost is the cost of reacquiring applications purchased for their current handset that may not be transferrable to a new handset. 230. A reasonable proxy to determine whether switching costs are high enough to prevent consumers from making changes is churn. As discussed below, churn refers to the percentage of current customers an operator loses over a given period of time, i.e., a company’s gross loss of customers during that time period. By examining the magnitude and trend over time of service provider churn, we can quantify the degree to which consumers have both the desire and the ability to change service providers to better meet their mobile wireless service needs.649 1. Access to Information on Mobile Wireless Services 231. In order to make informed decisions, consumers need detailed information about the availability, quality, and features of mobile wireless services. Obtaining such information requires the expenditure of time and, in some cases, money on the part of the wireless service consumer. A number of third parties – such as Consumer Reports, trade associations, marketing and consulting firms, and several web sites – provide consumers with an overview and comparison of the mobile wireless services available in their area.650 In addition, J.D. Power’s web site posts the results of its annual wireless user surveys, which rate wireless service providers by region based on overall customer satisfaction, call quality, and customer service.651 232. Implementation of initial trial periods in multi-month service subscriptions is a policy that may alleviate a “buyer’s regret” problem. Some wireless service providers have implemented formal procedures to permit consumers to use their service on a trial basis for periods ranging from 14 to 30 days, consistent with one of the elements of CTIA’s Consumer Code.652 233. The Commission continues to receive consumer complaints about various aspects of mobile wireless service. As GAO notes in a November 2009 report about mobile wireless service, about 84 percent of adult wireless users are very or somewhat satisfied with their wireless service, but approximately ten percent are very or somewhat dissatisfied.653 The GAO Report also notes that 19 states have rules or regulations governing wireless service.654 The Commission is working to address the issues raised in the GAO Report by improving consumer access to needed information and coordinating with states to more efficiently and effectively respond to consumer complaints about mobile wireless services. In August 2009, the Commission initiated a Notice of Inquiry proceeding seeking comment on consumer information, disclosure, and truth-in-billing practices for services it regulates.655 The Commission now has a record that was created in response to that inquiry, which will help determine whether or not additional regulatory actions may be needed to ensure that consumers have sufficient information to make informed decisions about a mobile wireless service provider.656 In addition, in May 2010, the FCC’s Consumer and Governmental Affairs Bureau sought comment on the feasibility of instituting usage alerts and cut-off mechanisms that would provide mobile wireless consumers with a way to monitor their voice, text, and data usage, as well as the various charges they may incur in connection with such usage.657 2. Early Termination Fees (ETFs) 234. The practice of assessing ETFs against postpaid subscribers when they cancel their wireless service agreement or plan before the expiration of its term represents probably the largest quantifiable cost to consumers who wish to switch service providers. According to information obtained by the Commission from Telogical Systems, these charges are the same nationwide and range from $175 to $350 per phone number among the four nationwide mobile wireless service providers.658 Additional ETFs may be imposed by certain authorized agents or third-party vendors.659 235. As discussed in previous Reports, all four nationwide providers have implemented policies to pro-rate ETFs over the course of the contract term, and pro-rated ETFs lower the costs to consumers who switch service providers by progressively reducing the fee they pay to cancel their service early.660 However, the Consumer and Governmental Affairs Bureau (CGB) and the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau (WTB) have sought information from certain mobile wireless providers regarding their assessment of ETFs, especially in connection with advanced devices and smartphones, and the impact such ETFs have on consumers’ ability to switch providers. Specifically, on December 4, 2009, the CGB and WTB requested information from Verizon Wireless regarding its assessment of a $350 early termination fee for advanced devices. CGB and WTB asked, among other things, why the provider decided to increase the ETF for smartphones from $175 to $350, how it defines a device as an “advanced device,” and how consumers receive information about the ETF.661 Verizon Wireless responded to the CGB and WTB on December 18, 2009, stating in part that the “higher [ETF] associated with advanced devices reflects the higher costs associated with offering those devices to consumers at attractive prices, the costs and risks of investing in the broadband network to support these devices, and other costs and risks.”662 236. Subsequently, on January 26, 2010, the Chiefs of CGB and WTB sent letters to four mobile wireless service providers – Verizon Wireless, Sprint Nextel, AT&T, and T-Mobile – as well as Google, asking each company to detail how it determines and assesses the ETFs, as well as how it notifies consumers about ETFs.663 The letters noted that “[o]ur discussions with wireless companies since December indicate that there is no standard framework for structuring and applying ETFs throughout the wireless industry,” noting that the ETFs are substantial (and in some cases are increasing) and have an important impact on consumers’ ability to switch providers.664 CGB and WTB also stated that it is essential that consumers fully understand what they are signing up for – both in the short term and over the life of the contract – when they accept a service plan with an early termination fee.665 In light of those concerns, the Bureaus requested, among other things, that each wireless company provide a description of how it set up its ETFs, the rationales for the fees, and what options consumers have to learn about the fees and manage their obligations.666 All of the five companies responded by February 23, 2010, describing their practices regarding disclosure of ETFs to consumers and stating generally that they give consumers adequate notice about the applicable ETFs that apply; that ETFs allow them to subsidize handset purchases — including purchases of smartphones — for customers; and that wireless providers normally recover those subsidies over the life of a contract, but cannot do so when a customer ends a contract early.667 237. Some providers offer service plans that do not have ETFs. For example, in addition to its multi-month plans with ETFs, Verizon Wireless also offers a month-to-month agreement with all of its nationwide pricing plans that allows customers to terminate their plans at the end of any month without paying an ETF.668 Customers who choose Verizon Wireless’s new month-to-month option either purchase new devices from Verizon Wireless at the full retail price, or procure their own CDMA devices.669 Another way that consumers can avoid ETFs entirely is to purchase mobile wireless service on a prepaid basis, instead of agreeing to enter into a long-term service contract.670 In addition, the five largest mobile wireless service providers have all implemented various policies that allow subscribers to change elements of their service contracts without triggering the start of a new contract term, thus reducing the likelihood these subscribers will be affected by an ETF.671 238. The emergence of a secondary market segment for mobile wireless service contracts may also help promote competition by facilitating consumers’ ability to switch service providers. In most cases, wireless service providers allow customers to get out of their contracts without paying an ETF by transferring the remaining contract term to someone else who meets the provider’s credit requirements.672 A number of websites exist to facilitate transfers of mobile wireless contracts under these provisions.673 In particular, the websites help mobile wireless customers avoid paying penalties for early termination by putting them in touch with people seeking a mobile wireless contract. Although these sites charge existing mobile wireless customers a range of fees to transfer or cancel a mobile wireless service contract, the fees to transfer a contract through these web sites generally are much lower than the ETFs customers would otherwise have to pay.674 As an additional enticement to potential contract buyers, many contract sellers offer to transfer their mobile handsets free of charge.675 In addition to a possible free handset, other potential advantages to contract buyers include avoiding a service activation fee and obtaining a shorter contract than if they had contracted directly with a mobile wireless service provider. Finally, at least one wireless service provider, Cellular South, offers to pay the ETF to entice a consumer to move to its network, thus eliminating the ETF as a cost of switching.676 3. Handsets, Handset Locking, and Handset Applications 239. Another potential cost of switching to a new service provider is the cost of replacing the handset when a consumer wishes to change from one wireless service provider to another that employs a different air interface. Even if both providers employ the same underlying air interface, handset replacement may be necessary because there is also the fact that many handset models are produced to the specifications of a single wireless service provider to enable certain functionalities unique to that service provider. 240. In addition, most handsets sold in the United States are “locked,” meaning that they normally will operate only on a single wireless network. Locking can prevent a consumer from taking a handset from one service provider to another, unless the handset is reprogrammed.677 The ability of a consumer to unlock a handset varies depending on the service provider. For example, GSM operators have different policies regarding handset unlocking. Whereas T-Mobile will provide an “unlock code” after the subscriber account has been active at least 90 days so that the same handset can be used on another operator’s GSM network,678 AT&T only releases unlock codes to subscribers under certain circumstances, and will not do so at all for iPhones.679 CDMA handsets are more difficult to unlock because they do not use a removable Subscriber Identification Module (SIM) card and must be reprogrammed by CDMA provider in order to be unlocked.680 241. Another increasingly important switching cost associated with smartphones is the stranding of mobile applications purchased for a particular handset that cannot be transferred to or used on a new handset. Mobile applications are typically tied to a single mobile wireless operating system. As a result, if a consumer with a smartphone were to contemplate switching either to a new service provider or to new handset using a different operating system with the same service provider, she would likely consider the cost associated with reacquiring applications purchased for use on the current handset that could not be used on the new handset. 4. Number Portability 242. Local number portability (LNP) refers to the ability of users of telecommunications services to retain, at the same location, existing telecommunications numbers when switching from one telecommunications carrier to another.681 Subscribers can port numbers between two mobile wireless service providers (intramodal porting) or between a mobile wireless provider and wireline carrier (intermodal porting).682 243. Prior to the Commission’s actions to require local number portability, the cost and inconvenience to consumers of changing to a new telephone number was considered a significant barrier to switching, reducing the likelihood a consumer would move to a new service provider and thus impeding competition. Now that consumers can retain their telephone numbers within a given geographic area, this switching cost has been significantly reduced as a consideration in determining whether or not to change mobile wireless service providers. In fact, the average number of wireless subscribers per month porting their phone number from one mobile wireless provider to another has been steadily increasing over the past few years to approximately 1.2 million per month in 2008.683 B. Churn as a Measure of Consumer Switching Costs 244. Churn refers to the percentage of current customers an operator loses over a given period of time, i.e., a company’s gross loss of customers during that time period.684 Mobile wireless service providers usually express churn in terms of a percent of their subscribers per month. For example, an operator might report an average monthly churn of two percent, which is equivalent to the loss of about 24 percent of its current customers per year. 245. Most providers report churn rates for postpaid subscribers of between 1.5 percent and 3.3 percent per month (see Chart 38).685 Churn rates had been decreasing for a number of years; however, the trend has shown a slight increase over the last few quarters, with the nationwide providers averaging a monthly churn rate of two percent in the fourth quarter of 2008.686 Prepaid subscriber churn is typically significantly higher, over four percent per month, as seen in the graph of “comparative churn” below. Churn is a significant expense for the mobile wireless industry. The magnitude of this expense can be estimated by multiplying the number of subscribers lost by the average cost to acquire a new subscriber. For example, using data for the end of 2008, AT&T lost an estimated 1.2 million subscribers per month, multiplied by its estimated average cost to acquire a new subscriber of $528.93, yielding an estimated cost to replace the 1.2 million lost subscribers in a month of almost $652 million.687 Chart 38 Blended Churn Reported by Four Nationwide Service Providers688 246. Comparative Churn. Many service providers report churn for postpaid subscribers separately from prepaid subscribers. As can be seen in the following graph of comparative churn rates, prepaid subscribers are more likely than a post paid subscriber to terminate a relationship with a wireless service provider because they are not constrained by a contract.689 Chart 39 helps to illustrate the trends in churn for different subscriber types. Chart 39 Comparative Churn690 247. Subscriber Lifetime. Based on industry and reported service provider churn, one can also calculate the number of months an average subscriber is expected to remain a customer of a particular wireless service provider. This measure is referred to as the subscriber lifetime, and is calculated by dividing one by the monthly churn rate. Subscriber lifetime can also be used to derive ancillary subscriber metrics (such as Total Lifetime Revenue per user, and Lifetime revenues for voice and data revenues). As indicated by Table 23, the national weighted average lifetime of a subscriber to one of the four national providers has recently ranged between 48 and 56 months.691 The lifetime of subscribers to prepaid service providers, such as Leap and MetroPCS, is significantly lower at a range of 19 to 30 months for Leap and 17 to 25 months for Metro PCS, reflecting the higher churn rates experienced by these companies.692 Table 23 Lifetime of Subscribers (Months)693 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 National Operators   AT&T 59 63 59 59 59 63 59 63 63 67 Verizon Wireless 91 77 77 83 77 83 71 67 67 71 Sprint Nextel 43 48 43 42 37 48 45 45 45 48 T-Mobile 38 37 34 36 38 37 33 30 32 32 National Wtd. Average 56 56 53 53 48 53 50 50 53 56 Regional/Other Operators                     US Cellular 59 48 45 48 56 53 48 50 53 45 Alltel 56 59 53 56 56 53 50 -- -- -- Centennial Cellular 45 56 43 42 43 50 37 40 45 45 Centennial PCS 37 42 42 38 42 40 38 36 34 34 Cincinnati Bell 29 28 28 29 30 27 25 23 29 31 Leap 29 23 19 24 28 26 23 26 30 23 MetroPCS 25 21 19 21 25 22 21 20 20 17 Regional/Other Wtd. Avg. 45 42 37 40 37 34 30 30 31 26 Industry Wtd. Average 53 53 50 53 48 53 48 48 50 53 248. Churn can serve as a reasonable proxy to measure whether or not consumer switching costs are detrimental to competition among mobile wireless service providers.694 Churn rates indicate that approximately one quarter of customers switch their service providers each year, thereby providing some indication that some customers are not locked in, although all consumers may incur costs when switching service providers. VII. INPUT AND DOWNSTREAM SEGMENTS OF THE MOBILE WIRELESS ECOSYSTEM A. Input Segments 249. In the following sections, we consider key factors of production of wireless services. We examine whether and how such “upstream” or input segments, including spectrum, infrastructure and backhaul facilities, affect market performance. As we observe below, these critical input segments may affect competition in the provision of mobile wireless service. 1. Spectrum 250. In this section, we briefly describe the Commission’s allocation and licensing of commercial wireless spectrum that is used for the provision of mobile voice, and mobile broadband and other data services. We then provide an overview of the overall spectrum holdings among different providers. We also discuss how spectrum in different frequency bands can affect an operator’s ability to provide broadband service. a. Availability of Mobile Wireless Services Spectrum 251. Access to spectrum is a precondition to the provision of mobile wireless service. Ensuring that sufficient spectrum is available for incumbent licensees, as well as for entities that need spectrum to enter the market, is critical for promoting competition, investment, and innovation. Incumbent licensees may need additional spectrum to increase their coverage or capacity as they grow their subscriber bases and meet increasing demand, while new entrants need access to spectrum to enter the market and compete with established licensees. Through the years, the Commission has increased the amount of spectrum available for the provision of mobile wireless services. This spectrum has been made available in different frequency bands, in different bandwidths and licensing areas. 252. Currently, mobile wireless operators primarily use licenses associated with three different frequency bands to provide mobile voice and, in most cases, mobile data services: Cellular (in the 850 MHz band), SMR (in the 800/900 MHz band), and broadband PCS (in the 1.9 GHz band). Over the past several years, additional spectrum bands have become available – BRS/EBS in the 2.5 GHz band, AWS in the 1.7/2.1 GHz band, and the 700 MHz band – which are beginning to enable the provision of additional and competitive voice and mobile data services.695 By examining the history of the available frequency bands and associated service rules, it is possible to trace the growth of the mobile wireless industry and the introduction of new competition in the mobile wireless marketplace..696 (i) Frequency Bands 253. Cellular. The Commission began licensing Cellular spectrum in 1982, eventually making a total of 50 megahertz available. The band was divided into two blocks, licensed by Cellular Market Area (CMA). At the time of initial licensing, one of the two cellular channel blocks in each market was awarded to a local incumbent wireline carrier, while the other block was awarded to another entity in order to promote competition. The Commission completed licensing the majority of cellular operators in 1991. Cellular licensees provided the first widely-used mobile services.697 Historically, they have held much of the share of mobile services provided in most markets across the country. 254. SMR. By the early 1990s, mobile voice services were also provided using approximately 20 megahertz of SMR spectrum in the 800 and 900 MHz bands. The Commission had established SMR in 1974 to provide for land mobile communications on a commercial basis. The Commission initially licensed SMR spectrum in non-contiguous bands, on a site-by-site basis.698 The Commission has since licensed additional SMR spectrum on an EA basis, through the auction process. Although the primary use for SMR traditionally was dispatch services,699 providers such as Nextel acquired significant amounts of SMR spectrum and were successful in launching mobile telephony services in the 1990s, which competed with licensees using cellular spectrum in the provision of mobile telephony services.700 255. Broadband PCS. Between 1995 and 1999, the Commission auctioned 120 megahertz of broadband PCS, in different bandwidths and licensing areas, in the 1850-1910 MHz and 1930-1990 MHz bands. More efficient digital wireless technologies had been developed, representing an advancement over existing analog cellular networks. This newly available spectrum facilitated the growth and development of a more competitive mobile wireless marketplace. By 1998, 87 percent of the U.S. population (by Basic Trading Area) was served by three or more providers, and 54 percent by five or more providers;701 by 2008, 96 percent of the U.S. population (by census block) was served by three or more providers, and 65 percent by five or more.702 Between 1995 and 2008, the price per minute of mobile wireless service dropped 84 percent,703 while the number of subscribers increased over 700 percent.704 With increased competition came increased innovation: broadband PCS service providers offered new pricing plans, introduced smaller handsets with increased functionality, and facilitated mass market acceptance of mobile wireless service. This heightened competition and investment was fueled by the great investment made by the mobile industry during this timeframe: cumulative investment in the industry more than tripled from $19 billion to over $70 billion from 1994 to 2000,705 and the number of cell sites more than quadrupled, from 18,000 to over 80,000.706 256. BRS and EBS. In 2004, the Commission adopted revisions to the rules and band plan governing BRS and EBS in the 2.5 GHz band that restructured this band to facilitate the use of this spectrum, totaling approximately 194 megahertz, for mobile and fixed broadband services.707 Since then, BRS and EBS licensees have been transitioning to the revised band plan, a process that is nearly complete. In 2008, Clearwire began deploying mobile broadband services using this spectrum in various markets across the country.708 257. AWS. In 2006, the Commission auctioned a total of 90 megahertz of AWS spectrum. Since 2008, several licensees (e.g., T-Mobile, MetroPCS, and Leap) have begun to deploy AWS services across the country.709 Several other major holders from the 2006 auction (e.g., Verizon Wireless, AT&T, and SpectrumCo) have not yet announced deployment plans for this spectrum. 258. 700 MHz. The auctions of 700 MHz spectrum in 2003 and 2008, combined with the completion of the Digital Television transition in June 2009, have made an additional 74 megahertz of spectrum available for mobile and fixed commercial services.710 Of this total, 58 megahertz is paired spectrum with sufficient channel widths to support mobile broadband. Beginning in 2010, Verizon Wireless, AT&T, and other licensees of 700 MHz spectrum are expected to begin rolling out services for mobile broadband in this band.711 259. Other Spectrum Bands. Other spectrum bands that are potentially available for the provision of mobile voice and broadband services include spectrum in the Wireless Communications Service (WCS) in the 2.3 GHz band, the 1.4 GHz band, and the 1670-1675 MHz band,712 as well as MSS spectrum.713 These bands are not discussed further here because, as yet, services offered in these bands do not impact competition in mobile wireless services. Table 24 Flexible Use Spectrum Usable for Mobile Wireless Services714 Spectrum Band Megahertz (Rounded) Cellular 50 SMR* 19 Broadband PCS 120 AWS-1 90 700 MHz 70 BRS/EBS** 194 WCS 20 1.4 and 1.6 GHz 13 1910-15/1990-95 MHz*** 10 * Includes post-800 MHz Band Reconfiguration ESMR spectrum at 817-824 MHz and 862-869 MHz. **BRS/EBS spectrum is calculated based on the post-transition band plan described in 47 C.F.R. §27.5(i)(2). EBS licenses must be held by educational institutions; however, EBS licensees can lease a significant portion of their spectrum to commercial operators. *** Held by Sprint Nextel as a result of the 800 MHz Band Reconfiguration. (ii) Facilitating Access to Spectrum Among Multiple Providers 260. In addition to increasing the availability of commercial mobile wireless spectrum, the Commission has had different policies relating to service and technical rules, licensing and assignment, and spectrum aggregation that have affected market entry. We discuss here several prominent Commission policies that have affected spectrum holdings over the past two decades. 261. Flexible Use Policies. Initially, the Commission’s rules restricted the use of cellular spectrum to analog service. More recently, the Commission has adopted a general policy of providing licensees with significant flexibility to decide which services to offer and what technologies to deploy on spectrum used for the provision of mobile wireless services. For example, licensees have the flexibility to deploy next-generation wireless technologies that allow them to offer high-speed mobile data services using their existing spectrum.715 262. Spectrum Aggregation. The Commission has adopted different policies through the years with regard to aggregation of commercial mobile spectrum. As mentioned above, when first licensing 50 megahertz of Cellular spectrum, the Commission required that two different Cellular licensees serve each local market in order to promote competition between mobile telephony providers. In 1994, as the Commission prepared to make an additional 120 megahertz of spectrum available through broadband PCS auctions, it adopted a CMRS spectrum cap as a means to preserve competitive opportunities in the mobile communications marketplace, retain incentives for innovation, and promote the efficient use of spectrum.716 Under these CMRS spectrum aggregation limits, which were modified in 1999, no entity could control more than 45 megahertz of Cellular, SMR, and broadband PCS spectrum (which altogether totaled approximately 190 megahertz) in any given cellular market.717 The Commission eliminated the spectrum cap beginning in 2003, moving instead to a case-by-case market analysis of proposed merger transactions to address potential competitive concerns if providers sought to aggregate their spectrum holdings in particular markets.718 263. Spectrum Screen. In 2004, the Commission adopted a “spectrum screen” to assist in its analysis of potential competitive concerns raised by transactions in which providers were aggregating spectrum. This screen identified particular markets in which the spectrum aggregation exceeded a pre-determined amount of spectrum, set at approximately one-third of the critical spectrum input.719 In those markets, the Commission conducted further analysis to determine whether sufficient spectrum capacity would be available to other providers to compete effectively; in markets where this would not be the case, the Commission required divestiture of spectrum.720 As additional spectrum has become available in recent years, the Commission has continued to revise its policies for analyzing spectrum aggregation, including modifications to its spectrum screen, as it seeks to ensure competition in the provision of mobile wireless services.721 264. Secondary Market Transactions and Spectrum Leasing. The Commission also has adopted secondary market policies to facilitate spectrum access. Subject to the Commission’s approval, which includes review of spectrum aggregation for potential competitive harm, licensees may buy and sell licenses, in whole or in part (through partitioning and/or disaggregation), on the secondary market. In 2003, as part of its secondary market policies, the Commission adopted rules to permit mobile wireless licensees to lease all or a portion of their spectrum usage rights for any length of time within the license term, and over any geographic area encompassed by the license.722 Further, the Commission’s secondary markets policies also allow licensees to enter into “dynamic” leasing arrangements, where the licensee and spectrum lessee can share use of the same spectrum through the use of cognitive radio technologies.723 The Commission’s secondary market policies allow existing licensees to obtain additional spectrum capacity and expand their coverage areas to better meet the needs of their customers, while also providing new entrants with additional opportunities to access to spectrum so that they can compete. b. Analysis of Spectrum Holdings Overall 265. Because spectrum is a key input to the provision of mobile wireless service, the different spectrum holdings of major providers potentially affect their ability to compete. These spectrum holdings include licenses obtained when the spectrum was first licensed for mobile services, such as through the original Cellular assignments or through the auction process (e.g., PCS, AWS, or 700 MHz spectrum), as well as spectrum obtained through various secondary market transactions. As the tables and charts below illustrate, several wireless providers hold significant amounts of spectrum that is usually considered viable for mobile service.724 266. Verizon Wireless and AT&T each hold significant amounts of 700 MHz, Cellular, broadband PCS, and AWS spectrum. Sprint Nextel holds SMR spectrum, acquired through its merger with Nextel in 2005, as well as substantial holdings of PCS licenses. T-Mobile’s spectrum holdings are in both the PCS and AWS bands.725 Regional provider US Cellular holds Cellular, PCS, and AWS licenses, while MetroPCS and Leap chiefly hold PCS and AWS spectrum. Unlike the rest, Clearwire, which is affiliated with Sprint Nextel,726 has holdings in the 2.5 GHz band, where it holds the predominant amount of BRS spectrum, and has access to much EBS spectrum through leasing arrangements. Finally, as the charts below reveal, smaller providers also hold Cellular, 700 MHz, PCS, and AWS licenses in parts of the United States. 267. Table 25 reveals that five providers together – Verizon Wireless, AT&T, T-Mobile, as well as Sprint Nextel and Clearwire – hold more than 80 percent of all of the spectrum, measured on a MHz-POPs basis, that is suitable for the provision of mobile wireless services. Table 26 shows megahertz holdings for each provider, weighted by population. Finally, Chart 40 is a graph of providers’ spectrum holdings by frequency band, measured on a MHz-POPs basis. Table 25 Percentage Spectrum Holdings, Measured on a MHz-POPs Basis by Provider, by Frequency Band* (Providers Listed by Number of Subscribers as of 2Q 2009) Licensee 700 MHz Cellular (850 MHz) SMR (800/900 MHz) PCS (1.9 GHz) AWS (1.7/2.1 GHz) BRS (2.5 GHz) EBS Leases (2.5 GHz) Verizon Wireless 42.7% 48.5% 0.0% 15.4% 15.0% 0.0% 0.0% AT&T 24.3% 42.3% 0.0% 25.9% 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% Sprint Nextel 0.0% 0.0% 93.0%* 26.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% T-Mobile 0.0% 0.0%** 0.0% 19.7% 27.5% 0.0% 0.0% MetroPCS 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% US Cellular 2.7% 4.3% 0.0% 1.8% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% Leap 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% Other 29.8% 4.9% 7.0%* 5.5% 29.6% 13.7%* 38.0%* Clearwire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 86.3%* 62.0%* Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% * These are estimates based on the available data. ** T-Mobile holds a very small amount of Cellular spectrum. Table 26 Population-Weighted Average Megahertz Holdings* by Provider, by Frequency Band (Providers Listed by Number of Subscribers as of 2Q 2009) Licensee 700 MHz Cellular SMR PCS AWS BRS EBS Verizon Wireless 29.9 24.3 0.0 20.0 13.5 0.0 0.0 AT&T 17.0 21.2 0.0 33.7 10.1 0.0 0.0 Sprint Nextel 0.0 0.0 17.7 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 T-Mobile 0.0 0.0** 0.0 25.6 24.8 0.0 0.0 MetroPCS 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.4 5.3 0.0 0.0 US Cellular 1.9 2.2 0.0 2.3 1.8 0.0 0.0 Leap 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.9 0.0 0.0 Other 20.9 2.5 1.3 7.2 26.6 10.1 42.8 Clearwire 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 63.4 69.8 * Weighted average megahertz is the sum of the provider’s MHz-POPs, divided by the U.S. population. ** T-Mobile holds a very small amount of Cellular spectrum. Chart 40 Mobile Wireless Provider Spectrum Holdings by Band Weighted by Population c. Analysis of Spectrum Holdings by Spectrum Characteristics 268. In addition to considering the quantity of spectrum to which providers have access, we also consider the characteristics of particular spectrum that is available for licensing and assignment. Two licensees may hold equal quantities of bandwidth but nevertheless hold very different spectrum assets. As discussed below, it has long been recognized that spectrum resources in different frequency bands can have widely disparate technical characteristics. In particular, in the United States, there are frequency bands suitable for mobile broadband services at very different frequencies: the 700 MHz and Cellular (850 MHz) bands fall below 1 GHz,727 and the AWS, PCS, and BRS/EBS bands – at around 2 and 2.5 GHz – are well above 1 GHz. The different propagation characteristics of these bands impact how they can be used to deliver mobile services to consumers. Bidders in recent auctions in the United States also appear to have recognized these differences, which helps explain the significantly different prices per MHz-POP in the AWS-1 and 700 MHz auctions. There may be important complementarities associated with a provider having access to spectrum in both the lower and higher frequency bands. Not only has the Commission recognized these differences in past proceedings, but regulators in other countries have also adopted policies taking these differences into account as additional spectrum becomes available. 269. Lower frequency bands – such as the 700 MHz and Cellular bands – possess more favorable intrinsic spectrum propagation characteristics than spectrum in higher bands.728 “Low-band” spectrum can provide superior coverage over larger geographic areas, through adverse climate and terrain, and inside buildings and vehicles. As the Commission has noted in the 700 MHz band proceeding, this lower frequency spectrum had “excellent propagation” characteristics that, in contrast to higher frequency bands such as PCS and AWS spectrum, “make it ideal for delivering advanced wireless services to rural areas.”729 Several commenters in this and related proceedings also have noted the advantages of lower frequency spectrum for coverage and penetration.730 In its consideration of mobile wireless competition issues, DOJ has noted the differences between the use of lower and higher frequency bands.731 Regulators in other countries also have recognized the distinctive characteristics between lower and higher frequency bands. As lower frequency spectrum is becoming available for mobile services in other countries, some regulators are adopting policies intended to help facilitate the wider distribution of this newly available spectrum.732 Low-band spectrum is sometimes referred to as “beachfront” spectrum given its superior propagation features.733 270. Low-band spectrum can enable the same level of service, at a lower cost, than higher-frequency bands, such as the 1.9 GHz PCS band, the 1.7/2.1 GHz AWS band, and the 2.5 GHz BRS/EBS band.734 A licensee that exclusively or primarily holds spectrum in a higher frequency range generally must construct more cell sites (at additional cost) than a licensee with primary holdings at a lower frequency in order to provide equivalent service coverage, particularly in rural areas.735 The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) developed a propagation model comparing the 700 MHz, 1.9 GHz, and 2.4 GHz spectrum bands. It concluded that the favorable propagation characteristics meant that coverage using the same transmission power differed significantly, translating into the need for less infrastructure: while it required nine cells at 2.4 GHz and four cells at 1.9 GHz to span 100 meters squared, it was projected to require only one cell at 700 MHz.736 Similarly, an analysis using the Okumura-Hata model shows that rural, suburban, and urban cell sizes at 700 MHz are more than three times larger than cells in the PCS band.737 271. The higher value that many providers have placed on low-band spectrum with respect to the provision of mobile service – especially mobile broadband service – is demonstrated by a comparison of market valuations. The recent auctions of AWS and 700 MHz spectrum (Auctions 66 and 73, respectively) provide a basis for comparison, as both auctions involved large quantities of paired spectrum in a relatively close timeframe. In the 2008 auction of 700 MHz spectrum, the average price for the 700 MHz spectrum was $1.28 per MHz-pop.738 This unit price was more than twice the average price of $0.54 per MHz-pop for AWS spectrum auctioned in 2006.739 272. Conversely, higher-frequency spectrum may be particularly effective for providing significant capacity, or increasing capacity, within a smaller geographic area.740 In certain situations, higher frequency bands can achieve greater improvements in capacity. For instance, capacity enhancement technologies such as MIMO may perform better at higher frequencies.741 In addition, while spectral efficiency is the same for all spectrum bands when using a given technology (and bandwidth),742 there currently is significantly more spectrum above 1 GHz that is potentially available for use (as shown by Table 24, above). Further, in many parts of these higher bands, spectrum is licensed in larger contiguous blocks,743 which can enable operators to deploy wider channels and simplify device design. Thus higher-frequency spectrum can be ideally suited for providing high capacity where it is needed, such as in high-traffic urban areas.744 273. Some analysts also have observed that there can be important complementarities that come with holding spectrum assets in different frequency bands, noting that combination of sub-1 GHz and higher frequency spectrum may be optimal.  For example, low frequency spectrum can be deployed ubiquitously with relatively few cell sites, providing a base layer of coverage that extends to wide areas in rural America as well as deep into buildings in urban areas. However, in urban areas where traffic concentration is high, this base coverage layer may be complemented with a capacity layer using high frequency spectrum.745 In this sense, higher-frequency spectrum is made more valuable by being combined with lower-frequency spectrum, and vice versa. Given these different spectrum characteristics, a licensee’s particular mix of spectrum holdings may affect its ability to provide efficient mobile wireless services. 274. Spectrum Holdings Below 1 GHz. Three nationwide providers – Verizon Wireless, AT&T, and Sprint Nextel – hold licenses for CMRS/mobile broadband spectrum below 1 GHz, as do regional providers, such as US Cellular and Cellular South, MetroPCS, and several smaller companies, many of which have holdings in more rural areas of the country. T-Mobile, the fourth nationwide provider, has very few spectrum licenses below 1 GHz. 275. Of the sub-1 GHz spectrum, Verizon Wireless and AT&T each hold a significant amount of the Cellular and 700 MHz spectrum, while Sprint Nextel holds the majority of SMR spectrum (see Table 25). Specifically, when measured on a licensed MHz-POP basis, Verizon Wireless holds 48.5 percent of the Cellular spectrum and 42.7 percent of the 700 MHz spectrum, and AT&T holds 42.3 percent of the Cellular spectrum and 24.3 percent of the 700 MHz band spectrum. Adding these two bands together, Verizon Wireless holds 45 percent of the licensed MHz-POPs of the combined Cellular and 700 MHz band spectrum, AT&T holds 33 percent, and US Cellular holds approximately 5 percent. Several other, smaller providers’ combined holdings total less than four percent of the Cellular but nearly a third of the 700 MHz spectrum. Meanwhile, Sprint Nextel holds nearly all of the SMR spectrum. 276. As discussed in previous reports, providers have been utilizing Cellular spectrum for mobile voice and data services for many years, using CDMA-based and GSM-based technologies (which continue to evolve), while providers have been utilizing SMR spectrum to offer mobile voice and data services using iDEN-based technologies. In recent years, providers have been upgrading their Cellular-based networks from 2G and 2.5G technologies to 3G technologies in most markets across the United States. As discussed earlier, SMR spectrum generally is not as suitable for broadband operations.746 Deployment of networks in the 700 MHz unpaired spectrum blocks have generally be limited, to date, to mobile multichannel one-way video programming services.747 Verizon Wireless and AT&T have announced plans to deploy 4G broadband networks in the 700 MHz paired spectrum blocks in the coming years.748 277. Spectrum Holdings Above 1 GHz. All four nationwide providers hold spectrum above 1 GHz. Verizon Wireless, AT&T, and T-Mobile each hold a substantial number of PCS and AWS licenses, while Sprint Nextel holds significant amounts of PCS spectrum. Of the PCS and AWS spectrum held by nationwide providers, again based on MHz-POPs, Verizon Wireless holds approximately 15.3 percent of the PCS and 15 percent of the AWS spectrum, AT&T holds around 25.9 percent of the PCS and 11.2 percent of the AWS spectrum, Sprint Nextel approximately 26.8 percent of the PCS and none of the AWS, and T-Mobile approximately 19.7 percent of the PCS and nearly 28 percent of the AWS. US Cellular, MetroPCS, and Leap each hold some PCS and a somewhat higher percentage of the more recently auctioned AWS spectrum. Finally, other smaller providers hold approximately 5.5 percent of the PCS spectrum and nearly 30 percent of the AWS spectrum. Each of the nationwide providers, along with many others, offers mobile broadband and data services on 3G networks using some of this spectrum. MetroPCS also has announced plans to deploy 4G services using its AWS spectrum.749 278. Finally, as noted above, Clearwire holds substantial amounts of 2.5 GHz spectrum, comprised of BRS and EBS spectrum. It has been offering 4G broadband data services, using WiMAX technology, in markets across the country. None of the nationwide providers hold BRS/EBS spectrum, although Sprint Nextel has a majority ownership interest in Clearwire. Several smaller providers, including Xanadoo and Digital Bridge, are, like Clearwire, deploying WiMAX in their BRS and EBS spectrum holdings.750 279. Relative Distribution of Spectrum Holdings Below and Above 1 GHz. Chart 41 shows the spectrum holdings of nationwide wireless providers by frequency – licensees’ holdings under 1 GHz versus licensees’ holdings above 1 GHz. It provides a side-by-side comparison of each licensee’s holdings, in terms of total population-weighted average megahertz under 1 GHz and above 1 GHz. Chart 41 Population-Weighted Average Megahertz Under/Over 1 GHz (Licensed Spectrum Only) 280. Distribution of Spectrum by Population Density. Chart 42 below shows how spectrum is nationally distributed by population density. Generally, as the population density decreases, the sub-1 GHz spectrum holdings of the large providers decrease, and those of regional and smaller companies increase. Chart 42 Average Sub-1GHz Spectrum by Population Density Deciles d. Competitive Effects of Spectrum Holdings 281. The Commission’s competition policies with respect to spectrum holdings have been designed to preserve competitive opportunities in the mobile wireless marketplace and retain incentives for efficiency and innovation. Its policies have evolved over the years as more and more spectrum has been made available for mobile services. These policies have also changed as the marketplace changes and technology evolves. 282. The mobile CMRS marketplace for mobile telephone services in 1995, when the First Report was issued, was very different from today’s marketplace. Until 2007, the Commission’s competition policies concerning the spectrum input market for mobile services focused on spectrum associated with three frequency bands – Cellular, SMR, and broadband PCS. These were the specific frequency bands that, until that time, the Commission had determined to be spectrum “suitable” for the provision of mobile services in the relevant product market, which the Commission had defined as the product market for “mobile telephony” services.751 For purposes of its competitive analysis, the Commission has evaluated whether particular spectrum bands are “suitable” for mobile wireless services by determining whether the spectrum is capable of supporting mobile services given its physical properties and the state of the equipment technology, whether the spectrum is licensed with a mobile allocation and corresponding service rules, and whether the spectrum is committed to another use that effectively precludes its uses for mobile telephony.752 Since the Commission first began applying a “spectrum screen” as part of its competitive analysis, the Commission has determined that additional spectrum should be part of its spectrum input analysis – including 700 MHz,753 AWS, and BRS spectrum754 – and has continued to modify the spectrum screen as more spectrum has become available.755 The Commission also has recognized that the mobile services marketplace – including the product market – has evolved. In 2008, the Commission revised its competition policies, no longer limiting its competitive analysis to examination of the mobile telephony product market. Given the increasing prevalence of mobile broadband services, the Commission began examining a combined product market for both mobile telephony services and mobile broadband services.756 283. As discussed above, spectrum resources in different frequency bands have distinguishing features that can make some frequency bands more valuable or better suited for particular purposes. For instance, given the superior propagation characteristics of spectrum under 1 GHz, particularly for providing coverage in rural areas and for penetrating buildings, providers whose spectrum assets include a greater amount of spectrum below 1 GHz spectrum may possess certain competitive advantages for providing robust coverage when compared to licensees whose portfolio is exclusively or primarily comprised of higher frequency spectrum. As discussed above, holding a mix of frequency ranges may be optimal from the perspective of providing the greatest service quality at low cost. 2. Infrastructure Facilities a. Background 284. Infrastructure facilities are a major input into the provision of mobile wireless service. These facilities are comprised largely of cellular base stations and towers or other structures on which the base stations are situated. A base station generally consists of radio transceivers, antennas, coaxial cable, a regular and backup power supply, and other associated electronics. These base stations are generally placed atop a purpose-built communications tower, or on a tall building, water tower, or other structure providing sufficient height above the surrounding area.757 The number of cell sites in use by wireless providers continues to grow in order to satisfy the increased demand created by new subscribers, accommodate additional airtime usage per subscriber largely caused by increased use of data services including broadband wireless and mobile Internet, expand geographic service area coverage and to improve coverage in existing service areas, and accommodate newer technologies. According to CTIA, the total number of cell sites in use by CTIA’s members was 245,912 as of June 30, 2009.758 This represents an increase in the number of cell sites of 1.6 percent since December 31, 2008, 41 percent since June 30, 2004, and 66.5 percent since June 30, 2003.759 According to company reports, 204,817 of these cell sites, or 83 percent, were associated with the four major wireless providers.760 For the four major wireless service providers, the percentage increase in the number of cell sites in use between the end of the September 2008 and the end of September 2009 has been as follows: AT&T (5.5 percent), Sprint Nextel (0.8 percent), T-Mobile (6.6 percent), and Verizon Wireless (39.5 percent).761 b. Communications Tower Industry 285. The most visible cell sites are those that are situated on relatively tall communications towers. As noted above, cell sites may also be located on buildings, municipal water towers, and church steeples, and some cell sites are located inside buildings to fill indoor coverage gaps. In addition, cell sites may be located at the lower levels of taller towers built to support other communications services, such as broadcast or public safety. With the growth of cell sites required to meet the needs of wireless service providers and their subscribers, a communications tower industry has evolved. A typical communications tower can accommodate five to six tenants, though the industry average of wireless tenants per tower is currently approximately 2 to 2.5.762 This industry includes companies that own large numbers of towers on which they lease space to wireless service providers. In addition, there are a number of companies that help wireless service providers identify available tower or building space in needed geographic areas or, alternatively, arrange to construct towers where no appropriate facilities exist. The five largest independent tower companies are American Tower Corporation (American Tower), Crown Castle International (Crown Castle), Global Tower Partners, SBA Communications (SBA), and TowerCo.763 Additionally, the major wireless service providers own or lease a large number of cell sites.764 286. Analyst reports about the communications tower industry indicate that the financial health of this industry is dependent to a large extent on the wireless service providers and whether or not they have the capital resources to expand service to new geographic areas or to enhance the quality of service in current service areas. Analysts seem to be optimistic that the expansion of new wireless providers, such as Clearwire, into new markets,765 together with the deployment of newer technologies by existing wireless service providers to, bodes well for growth of the tower industry. Clearwire is reportedly planning to deploy approximately 19,000 cell sites by the end of 2010, while Verizon Wireless indicates it will need to have in place a total of between 60,000 and 70,000 cell sites in order to accommodate its current needs and the deployment of its LTE network,766 a projected increase of between 18,000 and 28,000 cell sites from June 30, 2009.767 This growth potential, together with low churn – due to the high cost to wireless service providers of switching towers – and the annuity-like revenue stream from long-term leases, which include standard annual price escalators of 3-5 percent, contribute to a favorable financial outlook for the tower industry.768 For example, American Tower reported that its revenue increased 8.5 percent between the third quarter of 2008 and the third quarter of 2009, and 9.7 percent between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the fourth quarter of 2009;769 Crown Castle reported that its revenue increased 13 percent between the third quarter of 2008 and the third quarter of 2009, and 12 percent between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the fourth quarter of 2009;770 and SBA reported that its revenue increased 17.4 percent between the third quarter of 2008 and the third quarter of 2009, and 7.9 percent between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the fourth quarter of 2009.771 c. Barriers to Cell Site Deployment 287. Two significant constraints faced by wireless services providers that need to add or modify cell sites are obtaining the funds needed to finance the capital expenditure, and obtaining the necessary regulatory and zoning approvals from state and local authorities.772 288. Co-locating base station equipment on an existing structure is often the most efficient and economical solution for existing and new wireless service providers that need new cell sites. Co-location is also commonly encouraged by zoning authorities to reduce the number of new communications towers.773 Due to the high cost to construct new towers, and the often considerable delay to obtain approvals from state and local authorities, wireless service providers will typically look first for existing towers or other suitable structures for new cell sites. Co-location is particularly useful in areas in which it is difficult to find locations to construct new towers. 289. The issue of excessive delays in the zoning approval process was the subject of a Petition for Declaratory Ruling filed by CTIA in 2008. CTIA sought Commission assistance to alleviate unnecessary delays in the process of obtaining approval to construct a new cell site, or to modify an existing site.774 The Commission solicited comments on the CTIA petition and developed a full and robust record. Based on the evidence in that record, the Commission agreed that the lack of timely action on a significant number of cell site applications was impeding the ability of wireless providers to improve and expand their service offerings. On November 18, 2009, the Commission adopted a Declaratory Ruling which, among other things, defined presumptively reasonable time parameters for state or local zoning authorities to decide whether or not to approve a cell site application.775 d. Competitive Effects of Infrastructure Costs and the Independent Communications Tower Industry 290. Infrastructure capital expenses for a new entrant can be higher than those for existing service providers. Infrastructure capital expenses per cell site vary depending primarily on whether the infrastructure is to be added to an existing cell site or entails building a completely new cell site. Additionally, a new entrant would need to construct a core network that includes such components as switches to connect its cell sites, gateways to access other networks, authentication capabilities, and back-office capabilities such as billing and customer service. The infrastructure operating expenses should be quite similar regardless of whether they are associated with an existing or new cell site for an existing wireless service provider, or a new cell site for a new wireless service provider. 291. When communications towers are owned by independent companies rather than wireless service providers, it may increase efficiency in the industry, ease entry, and enhance wireless service competition. Unlike wireless service providers that may have an economic incentive to forestall competition in a given area by restricting or delaying competitors’ access to towers or antenna structures that they own, tower companies independent of wireless service providers have an incentive to maximize revenues by leasing space to as many service providers as possible. Therefore, it may be easier for wireless service providers to add cell sites on independently-owned towers in order to expand their geographic coverage area or to enhance service within a current coverage area. In addition, the ability of wireless service providers to lease space for new cell sites on established towers can ease and speed their entry into new geographic areas by eliminating the need to build a new tower. The use of existing towers also reduces the capital requirements for both new entrants and existing wireless service providers because they only need to finance the purchase and installation of the transmission equipment to be used at the cell site. 292. However, we note that, in many geographic areas, the most desirable positions for antennas on communication towers are occupied by existing tenants, leaving subsequent tenants with a choice of antenna positions that may not be optimal for their needs. Even with the reduced entry costs associated with an independent tower industry, tower siting costs and scarcity of desirable antenna position may constitute significant entry barriers to new providers. 3. Backhaul Facilities a. Background 293. Backhaul connections are an integral component of a wireless service provider’s network. Backhaul facilities link mobile providers’ cell sites to wireline networks, carrying wireless voice and data traffic for routing and onward transmission. As wireless data services increase as a percentage of a mobile wireless provider’s overall traffic, consuming vastly greater bandwidth, existing backhaul solutions are increasingly strained. Wireless providers must have access to sufficient backhaul, in terms of capacity and speed, to avoid creating a communications bottleneck.776 As discussed above, estimates of average monthly backhaul costs range from hundreds of dollars (for a T1 line) to several thousand dollars per month.777 Cell site backhaul capacity is forecast to increase fourfold between 2007 and 2011.778 294. There currently are three major technologies for backhaul transmission: copper lines, microwave (fixed wireless), and optical fiber.779 Historically, copper circuits have been the predominant choice for backhaul traffic. The heavy reliance on copper transmission is diminishing. For example, one study estimated that 70.9 percent of backhaul traffic in 2009 would be carried via copper, 16.8 percent via fiber, and 12.3 percent via fixed wireless (including microwave).780 In comparison, in 2005, 85.5 percent of backhaul traffic was carried via copper, 5.8 percent by fiber, and 8.7 percent by fixed wireless. 781 In other words, the incidence of copper as the medium for backhaul transmission is estimated to have decreased by nearly 15 percent over four years. b. Competitive Landscape 295. Providers of backhaul services include incumbent local exchange carriers, independent wireline companies, cable providers, and independent wireless operators. Wireless providers may purchase special access services,782 including DS1s and DS3s, from third parties for backhaul. Wireless providers that are unaffiliated with a wireline provider often purchase special access services from the incumbent local exchange carriers against whose wireless affiliates they compete.783 One wireless service provider has claimed that over 98 percent of all DS1 circuits are purchased from incumbent local exchange carriers (LECs), as are the vast majority of DS3 connections.784 296. Backhaul costs currently constitute a significant portion of a mobile wireless operator’s network operating expense, and the demand for backhaul capacity is increasing.785 Wireless providers unaffiliated with a wireline provider often must rely on their competitors’ affiliates for access. The Commission is examining the current state of competition for special access services to ensure that rates for these services are just and reasonable.786 In light of the growing need for backhaul, cost-efficient access to adequate backhaul will be a key factor in promoting robust competition in the wireless marketplace. c. The Growing Need for Backhaul Solutions and Alternatives 297. Several recent trends in the mobile wireless market have led to the increased demands on backhaul capacity, making access to sufficient backhaul an increasingly central component of a mobile wireless provider’s overall performance. First, the increased adoption of Internet-connected mobile computing devices, incorporating such advanced functionalities as video and Internet browsing, is consuming greater amounts of bandwidth. As the smartphone penetration rate increases, bandwidth-consuming data services are becoming an increasing percentage of a mobile wireless provider’s overall traffic. As discussed above, it is estimated that global mobile data traffic grew 157 percent, from 33 terabytes in 2008 to 85 terabytes in 2009.787 Second, the proliferation of fixed-rate mobile Internet access plans enables subscribers to consume more services and greater bandwidth. As noted earlier, AT&T reported its network has seen an 18-fold increase in data traffic since the iPhone was introduced, with mobile data traffic increasing by over four times during the June 2008 to June 2009 period alone.788 Third, mobile wireless network data speeds have increased as technology has evolved, with the forthcoming 4G WiMAX and LTE technologies supporting even higher data throughput rates and lower latencies. 298. In light of the foregoing factors, identifying solutions to satisfy the growing demand for mobile backhaul is taking on increasing importance. The special access proceeding affects services generally provided over copper or fiber by wireline carriers regulated under price caps.789 Many wireless providers also use point-to-point microwave transmission. We note that the recently released National Broadband Plan recommends that the Commission take action to ensure that sufficient microwave spectrum is available to meet current and future demand for wireless backhaul, especially in the bands below 12 GHz.790 The National Broadband Plan also recommends that the Commission take further actions to enhance the flexibility and speed with which companies can obtain access to spectrum to use for wireless backhaul, which is critical to the deployment of wireless broadband and other wireless services.791 The National Broadband Plan also includes several recommendations to facilitate the more efficient and economic installation of fiber facilities that may be used to meet the rapidly increasing demand for additional wireless backhaul capacity.792 B. Downstream Segments 1. Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices and Operating Systems 299. Handsets and devices are becoming increasingly central to the dynamics of the overall wireless market. Recent studies show handsets playing an increasingly important role for consumers as a basis for choosing providers, although these studies differ as to the level of importance of handsets to consumers. For example, a recent report from Consumers Union provides data that suggests that many consumers switched to new wireless service providers in order to obtain a particular handset. Specifically, the report states that during the two-year period of 2008 through 2009, 38 percent of respondents who had switched providers did so because it was the only way to obtain the handset that they wanted.793 The same report also indicates that 27 percent of all respondents had a specific wireless handset in mind when they went shopping for a new handset.794 A first quarter 2009 survey by Nielsen Company shows handsets were the seventh most important reason consumers chose their existing wireless provider, although handset choice increased in importance to 6.4 percent from 2.9 percent in the third quarter of 2006.795 Recent analyst reports also identify access to handsets as an increasing challenge faced by mid-sized and small providers.796 An examination of the handsets/devices and operating systems segments reveals their importance to mobile wireless consumers and service providers. a. Handsets/Devices 300. Number of Manufacturers. From 2006 to 2009 the number of mobile wireless handset manufacturers that distribute in the U.S. market has increased from eight to sixteen (Table 27).797 In June 2009, there were sixteen handset manufacturers offering a total of 260 handset models to mobile wireless service providers in the United States.798 Nine of these handset manufacturers each offered at least ten handset models. Table 27 Handset Manufacturers and Handset Models Offered, U.S., 2006-2009 2006 (Nov.) 2007 (Nov.) 2008 (Dec.) 2009 (June) Total Number of Reporting Handset Manufacturers 8 12 12 16 Total Number of Reporting Handset Manufacturers Offering Ten or More Handset Models 5 8 8 9 Total Number of Handset Models Offered by Reporting Handset Manufacturers 124 168 346 260 301. Innovation. Over the past two years handset manufacturers have introduced a growing number of smartphones with the following features: an HTML browser that allows easy access to the Internet, an operating system that provides a standardized interface and platform for application developers, and a larger screen size than a traditional handset.799 In contrast to traditional handsets with applications that include voice and messaging, smartphones have more user-friendly interfaces that facilitate access to the Internet and software applications. Ten handset manufacturers offered a total of 56 smartphones in June 2009.800 Table 28 lists the top five smartphone and handset manufacturers, by number of models offered, that distributed in the United States in June 2009. RIM, HTC and Samsung offered the most smartphone models, while Samsung, Motorola and LG offered the most handset models in June 2009.801 Table 28 Smartphone Manufacturers Offering Largest Number of Smartphone Models (U.S., June 2009) Top Five Smartphone Manufacturers Number of Smartphone Models RIM 13 HTC 11 Samsung 10 LG 5 Palm 4 Total 38 Table 29 Handset Manufacturers Offering Largest Number of Handset Models (U.S., June 2009) Top Five Handset Manufacturers Number of Handset Models Samsung 72 Motorola 52 LG 31 Sony Ericsson 22 Nokia 21 Total 177 302. Since Apple entered the handset business in June 2007 with the touchscreen iPhone, many handset manufacturers have responded with their own touchscreen smartphones. For example, Sony Ericsson launched its first touchscreen smartphone, XPERIA™ X1, based on the Window Mobile 6.1 platform, in February 2008.802 HTC introduced the smartphone G1, powered by the Android operating system, in September 2008.803 Nokia unveiled its touchscreen smartphone 5800 XpressMusic based on the Symbian operating system in October 2008.804 Palm launched its touchscreen smartphone Pre, based on the Palm webOS platform, in June 2009.805 Motorola announced its touchscreen smartphone DROID based on the Android 2.0 platform in October 2009.806 Garmin, a leading Global Positioning System (GPS) device provider, entered the smartphone business with its touchscreen Nuviphone G60 in October 2009.807 Huawei introduced its touchscreen smartphone Tap in October 2009.808 Google recently started selling its own smartphone Nexus One (manufactured by HTC) in its online store.809 LG offers at least 17 touchscreen smartphones810 and Nokia offers at least six.811 303. With the convergence of mobile wireless handsets and portable computing technologies, other traditional computer manufacturers (besides Apple) have entered the handset/device business and are offering touchscreen smartphones. Acer, a computer manufacturer, entered the handset/device business when it unveiled multiple models at the World Mobile Congress trade show in Barcelona in January 2010.812 Dell announced it will soon offer its first Android-based smartphone, Mini 3, for AT&T.813 Lenovo, another computer manufacturer, introduced its first Android-based smartphone, LePhone, in January 2010.814 304. Share of Mobile Devices. According to comScore, a marketing information company, in December 2009, the top five handset manufacturers in the United States accounted for 82.8 percent of mobile devices currently in use, and all other manufacturers accounted for the remaining 17.2 percent (Table 30).815 Table 30 Share of Mobile Devices in Use, U.S., 2009 Handset Manufacturer Share of Mobile Devices in Use Motorola 23.5% LG 21.9% Samsung 21.2% Nokia 9.2% RIM 7.0% All Others 17.2% 305. Technological Standards. Handsets are manufactured for each of the commonly used wireless families of air interface standards, including the CDMA family (including 1xRTT and EV-DO), the GSM/WCDMA family (including GSM, GPRS, EDGE, WCDMA, HSDPA, and HSUPA), and iDEN.  As the technical standards within each of these families progress, handsets are often built to support multiple air interfaces common to that family.  This facilitates backwards compatibility with older technologies and migration to more efficient air interfaces over time.  Handsets that are manufactured for one air interface family usually do not function on competing families of standards, although some handsets are designed to operate over more than one family.  As of June 2009, handset variety was greatest for the GSM/WCDMA family, followed by the CDMA 1xRTT/EV-DO family. The iDEN standard has a comparatively small number of handsets. Table 31 Handset Models Offered by Air Interface, U.S., 2006-2009 Total Handset Models Offered by Reporting Handset Manufacturers Air Interface 2006 (Nov.) 2007 (Nov.) 2008 (Dec.) 2009 (June) CDMA/1xRTT/ EV-DO816 81 118 146 115 GSM/WCDMA817 40 42 177 129 GSM/CDMA 0 0 0 2 iDEN 11 8 21 14 Total 124 168 346 260 Table 32 Smartphone Models Offered by Handset Manufacturers by Air Interface, U.S., June 2009 Air Interface Type Estimated Smartphone Models, June 2009 CDMA/1xRTT/ EV-DO 19 GSM/WCDMA818 35 GSM/CDMA 1 iDEN 1 Total 56 306. Operating Systems. The operating system of a smartphone is one of the major factors that determine the smartphone’s ability to support mobile applications and Internet-based services. Applications and services may not be available for all operating systems, and applications that work with one operating system may not be readily transferable to another operating system. Smartphone operating systems are discussed more extensively in the section on mobile applications. Table 33 states that 96.2 percent of smartphones in use in December 2009 have an operating system from a top-five mobile operating system provider, while the remaining 3.8 percent of smartphones in use have other operating systems.819 Table 33 Share of Smartphones in Use by Operating System, U.S., December 2009 Operating System Share of Smartphones in Use RIM 41.6% Apple 25.3% Microsoft 18.0% Palm 6.1% Google 5.2% All Others 3.8% 307. The prevailing model for the distribution of handsets to U.S. consumers is a provider-as-retailer model in which manufacturers sell handsets in bulk quantities to service providers and then service providers sell them to consumers in handset-service bundles, either in pre-paid service plans or post-paid subscription service plans. Generally, handset manufacturers make their handsets available to many service providers and consumers have a wide choice of handsets from different service providers. However, there are two types of contractual arrangements that affect the distribution of handsets. The first is bundling contracts, which are contracts between a service provider and a consumer for a handset-service subscription bundle; the second is exclusive handset arrangements, where handset manufacturers grant exclusive distribution territories to providers. Both of these types of contracts potentially affect outcomes in the handset/device and mobile wireless services businesses and are discussed below.820 308. Service providers carry diverse handset portfolios and offer their customers a wide selection of handsets. As shown in Table 34, the average number of handset models offered by the eight largest facilities-based mobile wireless service providers821 increased from 28 in November 2006 to 43 in December 2009. The average number of handset models offered by non-top eight service providers increased from 10 in November 2006 to 23 in December 2009.822 Chart 43 shows the number of handset models and smartphone models offered by each of the top eight facilities-based service providers.823 All of the top eight providers sell at least one smartphone, except Leap, which, according to industry press reports, will begin offering its first 3G smartphone in 2010.824 Table 35 shows the number of service providers (including resellers) offering a particular manufacturer’s smartphone models. Table 34 Average Number of Handset Models Offered by Mobile Wireless Service Providers 2006 (Nov.) 2007 (Nov.) 2008 (Dec.) 2009 (Dec.) Average Number of Handset Models Offered by Top Eight Service Providers 28 30 46 43 Average Number of Handset Models Offered by Non-Top Eight Service Providers 10 12 20 23 Chart 43 Total Handset and Smartphone Models Offered by the Top Eight Facilities-Based Service Providers, Dec. 2009 Table 35 Number of Service Providers (including Resellers) Offering a Manufacturer’s Smartphones, Dec. 2009825 Manufacturer Number of Service Providers (including Resellers) HTC 128 RIM 116 Pantech 66 Samsung 66 Palm 55 Nokia 44 LG 40 Hewlett Packard 27 Motorola 14 Apple 5 Garmin 4 Sony Ericsson 3 Acer 1 Sharp 1 309. Smartphone sales and adoption rates have increased in recent years, as shown in Chart 44. Smartphones as a percentage of total handset sales increased from 27 percent in the second quarter of 2008 to 44 percent in the third quarter of 2009. Fifty percent of total handset upgrades were smartphones in the third quarter of 2009, up from 29 percent in the second quarter of 2008; and 39 percent of gross additions were smartphone users in the third quarter of 2009, up from 24 percent in the second quarter of 2008.826 Another analyst reports that smartphone sales increased from 9 million units in 2006 to 37 million units in 2008.827 Chart 44 Smartphone Adoption Rates in the United States 2008-2009828 310. According to one analyst, the average retail prices for all handsets and the smartphone subset, net of provider subsidies, decreased between 2006 and 2009. Chart 45 shows that the average price of smartphones after discounts decreased from $220 in the fourth quarter of 2006 to $120 in the fourth quarter of 2009, while the average price of all handsets after discounts decreased from $85 in the fourth quarter of 2006 to $50 in the fourth quarter in 2009.829 This analyst also estimates that the average discount offered on the original price (the advertised price before contract-related discounts) of available handsets was 80 percent for the U.S. wireless industry in the last quarter of 2009, up from an average discount of 60 percent in late 2006.830 Chart 45 Average Price After Discount for PDAs/Smartphones and All Handsets831 b. Key Factors Affecting Mobile Wireless Competition 311. Competition among the mobile wireless handset manufacturers (discussed above) affects competitive outcomes in the mobile wireless service market through price and non-price competition by handset manufacturers and it is also shaped by the provider-as-retailer model of handset distribution. Bundling contracts and exclusive handset arrangements are firm conduct that occurs frequently in the provider-as-retailer model of handset distribution.832 Bundling is discussed first, then exclusive handset arrangements. (i) Bundling of Wireless Service Subscriptions with the Purchase of Handsets 312. In a bundling contract a provider conditions the sale of a handset upon the consumer’s agreement to purchase a multi-month wireless service subscription, typically for a minimum of one or two years.833 In a bundling contract, the wireless handset and wireless service plan are effectively sold as a single bundled product, with the price distributed over the length of the subscription. Service providers typically enforce these contracts by “locking” subsidized devices, so that they cannot be easily ported to a competitor’s network, and by charging early termination fees for subscribers who break the contract early. 313. These bundles have both disadvantages and advantages for consumers. Some of the disadvantages of buying a handset-service subscription bundle are “buyer’s remorse” at having entered a multiyear contract after the commitment was made, opaqueness surrounding how the handset price and the monthly subscription price are aggregated to obtain the price of the bundle, and monthly subscription prices that are seemingly independent of how long the customer has been paying off the initial discount on the handset price.834 Some of the advantages of buying a handset-service subscription bundle are the conveniences of one-stop shopping, access to better technical support for handsets supported by the provider vis-à-vis handsets that are not in the provider’s handset portfolio, obtaining a discount on the price of the handset, and distributing the price of expensive handsets over the course of the subscription. 314. Wireless service plans are generally available without bundled contracts, but most postpaid plans consumers have strong incentives to buy a subsidized device. Most providers allow customers to use a compatible unlocked handset with a postpaid network service plan.835 Unlocked devices, while not widely distributed through the major retail channels, are available in some specialty stores and through some manufacturer websites (e.g., Motorola and Nokia).836 However, when customers bring an unlocked device to a postpaid plan, they generally do not receive a device subsidy from the provider nor do they typically receive a lower-priced service plan that would reflect the fact that the provider does not have to recoup the cost of the subsidy. Therefore, most customers have incentives to purchase subsidized devices from the provider and, indeed, this is the overwhelming U.S. industry practice. 315. For pre-paid and pay-as-you-go service plans, the incentives are slightly different, and indeed, at least one provider (T-Mobile) has begun to emphasize this fact. Prepaid plans also typically involve handset subsidies, although they may be smaller since providers expect prepaid plans to have higher churn than postpaid plans. In 2009, T-Mobile introduced its “Even More Plus” plan that offers a lower monthly service price for customers that use unsubsidized handsets.837 This appears to be the first attempt by a national provider to change the incentives associated with device subsidies and service plan rates in a way to encourage mass market customers to use an unsubsidized device. (ii) Exclusive Handset Arrangements 316. An exclusive handset arrangement (EHA) is an arrangement in which a handset manufacturer or vendor agrees to sell a particular handset model to only one wireless service provider, usually for a specified period of time. EHAs fall within a class of contractual arrangements known as territorial restraints or exclusive territory agreements. 838 EHAs may also involve sharing financial commitments and sharing market risks, with the manufacturer typically assuming some research and development commitments and the provider typically assuming some marketing and minimum volume commitments. Territorial restraints between manufacturers and their distributors are not per se illegal,839 although they raise competitive issues. 317. There is some data available on the prevalence and duration of EHAs, although confidentiality clauses in EHAs have restricted the availability of certain data. First, EHAs are often employed in the market launch of innovative handsets that are on the technological frontier, e.g., smartphones. Second, the duration of EHAs, although typically private contractual information, appears to have ranged from six months or less840 to a few years or more.841 Third, many handset manufacturers use EHAs to distribute some, but not all, of their smartphones. EHAs apply to particular handset models; they do not prevent a manufacturer or vendor from selling other handset models to other providers, and they do not block a provider from selling handsets made by other manufacturers or vendors.842 For instance, inspection of providers’ online stores reveals that many handset manufacturers and vendors – including RIM, HTC, LG, Palm, Samsung, Motorola, and Nokia – sell many of the same smartphone models, or variants, to multiple U.S. service providers, including non-nationwide service providers.843 In contrast, Apple and Garmin, both relatively recent entrants to the handset business, distribute their handsets at present only through AT&T (and its affiliates).844 Fourth, handset manufacturers generally employ EHAs with providers that have larger customer bases and extensive network penetration. For instance, all nationwide providers have some EHAs, while non-nationwide service providers typically do not have EHAs. Table C-5 in Appendix C lists 67 selected smartphone launches that occurred in 2008 and 2009. Of the 67 smartphones listed, 32 were subject to EHAs at launch, including some of the most popular (e.g., Apple iPhone, Motorola DROID, Palm Pre), while 35 were not subject to EHAs. 2. Mobile Applications 318. A range of different communication functionalities is now available to mobile wireless consumers, depending on the capabilities of the device they use and the network to which they connect. These functionalities include both voice and data services, with devices increasingly being used for data services. Morgan Stanley estimates that, in 2008, the average mobile wireless subscriber spent 70 percent of his/her time on a mobile device making voice calls and 30 percent using a data application, with half of the data time spent on text messaging and the remaining time on a combination of e-mail, Internet access, games, music, and other applications.845 Data use is higher among the growing segment of smartphone users in general and iPhone users in particular. In 2008, the estimated usage pattern of the average iPhone subscriber was 45 percent voice and 55 percent data.846 319. Mobile data functionalities include text and multimedia messaging, which typically do not require a highly sophisticated device or high mobile network speed, as well as e-mail access, web browsing, and mobile applications, which typically require a smartphone device and a mobile broadband network connection. Thousands of different mobile applications – software programs that can be used on a mobile device847 – are now available to consumers through various channels. They may be accessed through web browsers, operating system application stores, or service provider-branded platforms.848 In addition, certain applications may be native to, or pre-loaded on, a device, or may be side-loaded from a PC. 320. Both the number of mobile applications launched and the number of applications downloaded by consumers has grown significantly over the past two years. For example, there were over 100,000 applications available from the Apple App Store as of December 2009, and the number of applications downloaded from Apple’s App Store grew from 100,000 in 2008 to over 2 billion in 2009.849 In addition, Morgan Stanley has estimated that, as of December 2009, the Android Market had 15,000 available applications and 40 million downloads; and the Nokia Ovi Store had 6,000 available applications and 50 million downloads.850 321. Many different types of mobile applications, developed by a range of different third-party developers, are available through mobile application stores and web browsers. The major categories of applications include: web searching, news and information, e-mail and messaging, games, social networking, location-based services, photo sharing, music and video streaming, and VoIP. Thousands of niche applications, each serving a unique purpose, have been designed for specific uses, hobbies, interests, and industries by various third-party application developers. 322. Certain applications require a mobile Internet connection in order to be downloaded on a mobile device, but then may not rely on an Internet connection when used thereafter on the device. One example of such an application would be a non-networked game that is played only by the individual user on his or her device. Many other applications require a mobile Internet connection in order to function on a device. These would include applications related to specific web sites or web-based content, such as news and information content, mapping and location-based applications, and social networking sites. Moreover, certain applications – such as VoIP and video conferencing applications – may require a low-latency Internet connection in order to function properly. 323. In order to provide an overview of the structure of the mobile applications segment, we provide below data on the adoption and usage of different types of mobile applications across the entire U.S. market, regardless of the device or operating system used. In addition, because certain devices are designed to facilitate the use of mobile applications, we provide data on mobile application use and adoption by type of device as well. 324. Adoption rates for mobile data services vary significantly by type of application. According to comScore, 63.1 percent of U.S. mobile subscribers used text messaging on their mobile devices in December 2009 (see Table 36).851 In contrast, browsers were used by only 27.5 percent of U.S. mobile subscribers, while 21.6 percent of subscribers played mobile games and 15.9 percent accessed a social networking site or blog.852 Nielsen Mobile estimates that, in May 2008, 40.4 million Americans had used the mobile Internet at least once in the past month, up from 22.4 million in July 2006.853 Table 36 Mobile Content Adoption Rates by Type of Application854 Share (%) of U.S. Mobile Subscribers September 2009 December 2009 Sent text message to another phone 61.0% 63.1% Used browser 26.0% 27.5% Played games 21.4% 21.6% Used downloaded apps 16.7% 17.8% Accessed social networking site or blog 13.8% 15.9% Listened to music on mobile phone 11.7% 12.1% 325. Survey research also shows that mobile Internet usage is growing and that accessing the Internet via a mobile device is becoming a more frequent activity for many subscribers. According to comScore, the number of mobile subscribers who used their mobile devices to access news and information on the Internet rose to nearly 63.2 million in January 2009, up 71 percent from January 2008.855 In addition, among those subscribers who accessed news and information via their mobile devices in January 2009, comScore estimates that nearly 22.4 million, or 35 percent, did so daily, more than double the number of daily users in January 2008.856 326. ComScore found that the use of mobile search applications grew 68 percent in the United States between the second quarter of 2007 and the second quarter of 2008, from 5.8 percent to 9.2 percent of all mobile wireless subscribers.857 And, according to comScore, 6.5 million Americans, or approximately two percent of all mobile wireless subscribers, watched video on a mobile device during August 2008. On-demand video was the most popular form of video content, with 3.6 million viewers.858 327. Analysts believe that one of the major applications driving mobile data usage is social networking.859 Social networking saw the largest growth rate from August 2007 to August 2008 in comScore’s survey, growing 8.8 percent to 14.9 million users, or 6.6 percent of all mobile wireless subscribers, during this period. The major social networking sites include Facebook, MySpace, Twitter, LinkedIn, and Foursquare. Facebook is the segment leader with 430 million users worldwide as of October 2009, compared to 110 million for MySpace and 58 million for Twitter.860 Facebook and MySpace are popular on the mobile Internet as well as on the wired Internet. Facebook and MySpace rank #4 and #9, respectively, among top web domains accessed on desktop computers in the United States, but rank #2 and #4, respectively, among top web domains accessed on mobile devices.861 Foursquare is a social networking site and that combines GPS and location functionalities, allowing users to see where their friends are located at any time.862 328. Certain mobile applications are available for download through mobile web browsers and/or through one or multiple mobile application stores, such as the Apple App Store, the Android Market, or the Blackberry App World. Users can access these application stores on mobile devices that run the operating system that supports them. The application stores are specific to particular operating systems, and, in many cases, the application stores may be available only on devices running a certain, more recent version of an operating system or on devices with certain hardware features. For instance, the Blackberry App World is available on Blackberry smartphones running BlackBerry Device Software v4.2 or higher with a trackball, trackpad, or touch screen.863 329. Mobile data application usage varies among iPhone users, smartphone users, and average mobile wireless subscribers, with iPhone user adoption rates leading average smartphone user adoption rates in every category.864 The most popular paid applications downloaded from the Apple App store are games, while the most popular free applications are social networking applications.865 Table 37 Mobile Application Adoption Rates by Device iPhone Smartphone Average Mobile User Music 65% 35% 12% Games 61% 48% 21% Social Networking 58% 43% 14% Web Search 52% 40% 12% Instant Messaging 48% 42% 15% News 40% 31% 9% Video 23% 16% 4% Personal Banking 22% 16% 4% Restaurant Guides 18% 14% 4% Online Shopping 14% 9% 2% Source: Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report 330. In order to provide an application through an application store, third-party application developers must design their products in accordance with the specifications of a particular application store and operating system, and must abide by the conditions of the operating system and, in some cases, the mobile wireless service provider. As discussed below, the conditions set by the operating system developers and their level of control over the applications available through their application stores vary from provider to provider. 331. Aside from the parameters placed on third-party applications by operating system developers, the emergence of mobile web browsers and a handful of mobile operating systems in recent years has brought greater efficiency and standardization to the mobile application segment, to the benefit of both third-party developers and consumers. Under the typical mobile application distribution model of previous years, an application developer seeking to provide a product to mobile consumers often had to design an application differently for each handset on each mobile network, and the launch of an application required the approval of the wireless service provider, which acted as a gatekeeper for its “walled garden” content. As discussed above, mobile wireless service providers have to some degree opened their networks to smartphone devices with web browsers and application stores.866 With the emergence of applications stores, developers can design their products for each application store, rather than each device. While the application development system has become more accessible and less fragmented than in previous years,867 some mobile wireless service providers and application stores act as gatekeepers, deciding which applications are allowed to run on particular devices or networks, and approval processes are not always transparent or predictable.868 332. Mobile applications are a downstream segment within the mobile wireless ecosystem. Factors influencing the development of mobile applications – such as the ways in which consumers can access applications, technological innovations, and the barriers to entry faced by application developers – are, for the most part, common across all applications. However, the entire mobile application segment is also fragmented into many different types of applications, and the applications themselves may be part of separate product markets. For instance, mobile mapping applications may compete with GPS devices and even printed maps in the larger market for road navigation. And mobile gaming applications may compete with portable and fixed gaming platforms as part of the larger gaming market. 3. Mobile Commerce 333. Mobile commerce refers to commercial transactions made using a mobile wireless device. It can include online banking and shopping via the mobile web, applications designed to enable mobile commerce, mobile advertising, mobile coupons, and using a mobile device to make payments as a substitute for credit cards and cash. 334. With consumers using mobile devices to browse the web and access application stores, rather than only for simpler functionalities such as texting, there is a greater potential for these devices to be used for mobile commerce.869 Mobile commerce is just emerging but is expected to grow quickly. Estimates of mobile commerce spending in 2009 range from $500 million to $1.3 billion in 2009 to $12 billion in 2013.870 Data from comScore shows that 10 percent of smartphones and 12 percent of iPhones have been used to access online retail sites, as compared to only one percent of traditional handsets.871 According to Morgan Stanley, mobile devices have distinct attributes that will enable them to expand electronic commerce beyond fixed devices.872 For example, mobile devices can be used for location-based services which enable real-time physical retail and service opportunities.873 Certain mobile applications provide better, more transparent information on pricing by, for example, allowing consumers to compare instantly local and online prices.874 Mobile devices can also offer instant gratification with immediate digital product and content delivery regardless of where a consumer is located.875 Finally, mobile devices allow consumers to take advantage of time-based selective Internet sales more easily.876 335. Certain applications available from mobile browsers or mobile application stores are designed to enable various mobile commerce functionalities, including making online purchases from a mobile device, providing transparent pricing information, coupons, and mobile banking. For example, eBay offers an application for the iPhone which allows consumers to buy and sell products through its website and which generated $380 million in gross merchandise value during the first nine months of 2009.877 ShopSavvy and Amazon.com offer applications that allow users to scan a bar code using their device cameras and compare the price of a product in the physical store with its price online.878 The Coupon Sherpa application allows consumers to scan a barcode with a smartphone camera and receive a discount at checkout.879 In addition, Bank of America and Wells Fargo both offer banking applications for the iPhone.880 336. Using mobile wireless handsets and devices to replace credit cards or cash, by making on-the-spot, contactless payments via a short-range wireless link from the device, is another functionality that is emerging, largely in Japan and South Korea, although not yet widely available in the United States.881 In order for mobile payment applications to be successful, analysts argue that they must offer greater functionality than simple credit card replacement.882 According to a study by the Information Technology & Innovation Foundation (ITIF), mobile payment applications could be used to pay for taxis, movie tickets, parking meters, parking garages, vending machines, and subway rides.883 They could also potentially be used for hotel and airport check-in, taking attendance at school, and entry into health clubs or apartment buildings.884 337. The widespread use of mobile payment applications requires investment, buy-in, and coordination from several stakeholders – including mobile wireless service providers, device manufacturers, third-party application developers, financial institutions, merchants, public transit authorities, government agencies, and consumers – in order to deploy both devices that are capable of making contactless mobile payments and terminals that can accept such payments.885 338. Over 500,000 contactless credit card terminals have been deployed in the United States by 140,000 merchants, and contactless credit cards have been issued to more than 100 million Americans. MasterCard has begun running pilot programs that allow mobile devices, linked to a customer’s account, to make contactless mobile payments at MasterCard’s PayPass terminals.886 VIII. INTERMODAL COMPETITION A. Voice Services 339. The number of adults who rely exclusively on mobile wireless for voice service has increased significantly in recent years. According to the 2009 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), 21.1 percent of adults, or one out of every 5, lived in households with only wireless phones in the first half of 2009, up from 16.1 percent in the first half of 2008, 12.6 percent in the first half of 2007, and 9.6 percent in the first half of 2006. The results of this survey, which are shown in Chart 46, reveal that the proportion of wireless-only adults aged 30 years and older has steadily increased in recent years.887 In the first half of 2009, the majority of wireless-only adults (57.2 percent) were aged 30 and over, up from 48.4 percent three years earlier. More than one-third of adults aged 18-24 years (37.6 percent) and nearly half of adults aged 25-29 years (45.8 percent) lived in households with only wireless telephones. Approximately one-third of adults aged 30-34 years (33.5 percent) also lived in households with only wireless telephones. However, as age increases above 35 years, the survey found that the percentage of adults living in households with only wireless telephones decreases: 21.5 percent for adults aged 35-44; 12.8 percent for adults aged 45-64; and 5.4 percent for adults aged 65 years and over. Nevertheless, the percentage of wireless-only adults within each age group has increased over time. 340. In the first half of 2009, according to the NHIS survey, 22.7 percent of households, or more than one out of every five, were wireless-only, up from 17.5 percent in the first half of 2008, 13.6 percent in the first half of 2007, and 10.5 percent in the first half of 2006.888 A recent Nielsen Company survey shows a similar rising trend in households who have “cut the cord.”889 In the second quarter of 2009, according to the Nielsen survey, 21 percent of households, or over one in five, reported they are wireless cellular only, a 16 percent increase from 18 percent of households in 2008, and up from 15 percent of households in both 2006 and 2007.890 Chart 46 Wireless-Only Households891 B. Broadband Services 341. As noted previously in this Report, the Commission estimates that there were approximately 25 million terrestrial mobile wireless high-speed Internet access connections in use at the end of 2008.892 Mobile wireless connections represented nearly 25 percent of the more than 102 million high-speed connections in the United States in December 2008.893 In addition, at the end of 2008, there were approximately 86 million mobile devices in use capable of sending or receiving information at speeds exceeding 200 kbps in at least one direction.894 342. It is not yet clear whether mobile wireless Internet access services can substitute completely for fixed wireline Internet access technologies such as cable modem, DSL, or fiber.895 The extent to which mobile wireless services can impose some competitive discipline on wireline providers will depend on how technology, costs, and consumer preferences evolve, and on the business strategies of providers that offer both wireless and wireline Internet access services.896 Mobile wireless Internet access service could provide an attractive alternative to wireline offerings for consumers who are willing to trade off speed for mobility, and also consumers who are relatively indifferent with regard to the attributes, performance, and pricing of mobile and fixed platforms.897 Moreover, while mobile wireless service currently is not competitive with wireline for those consumers who value high speeds over other attributes, advances in wireless technologies, coupled with increases in the supply of spectrum, have the potential to make mobile wireless service a more viable competitor at higher data speeds at some future date.898 C. Wireless Local Area Networks and Wireless-Wireline Convergence 343. Using both unlicensed and licensed spectrum, wireless providers employ technologies, such as wireless local area networks (WLANs) and femtocells, which converge wireless and wireline networks and play an increasingly important role as a competitor and supplement to the services offered by the CMRS industry. WLANs, which are widely deployed and operate on an unlicensed basis, enable consumers to obtain high-speed wireless Internet connections within a range of 150 to 250 feet from a wireless access point. 899 The most prevalent WLAN technology is equipment manufactured in accordance with the IEEE 802.11 family of standards, commonly known as “Wi-Fi,” short for wireless fidelity. Peak WLAN data transfer rates range from speeds of up to 11 Mbps for 802.11b, up to 54 Mbps for 802.11a and 802.11g, and up to 600 Mbps for 802.11n. 344. With off-the-shelf, “plug-and-play” equipment widely available, WLANs have proliferated in homes and businesses.900 In addition, WLAN users can access high-speed Internet connections at so-called “hot spots,” including locations such as restaurants, coffee shops, hotels, airports, convention centers, and city parks.901 Estimates of the number of public Wi-Fi hot spots in the United States vary considerably, and there are a number of Wi-Fi directories available on-line for consumers to find public Wi-Fi hot spots.902 According to one study, there continues to be significant growth in Wi-Fi hot spots globally, with an estimated 47 percent increase in hot spot usage for 2009, bringing the total number of global hot spot connects to approximately 1.2 billion.903 345. Several mobile wireless providers have entered the hot spot operation business through acquisitions, partnerships, or independent deployments.904 For instance, AT&T, Verizon Wireless, and T-Mobile each currently offer Wi-Fi access at thousands of hot spot locations throughout the United States.905 Furthermore, according to one estimate, AT&T has experienced 500 percent growth in hot spot usage from 2008 to 2009.906 Whereas Verizon Wireless’ hot spot access requires a monthly broadband plan, both AT&T and T-Mobile offer hot spot access to consumers without a term contract.907 In addition, both AT&T and Verizon Wireless provide hot spot access to select customers without additional charge, while T-Mobile offers the service to its existing customers at a discounted price of $9.99 per month.908 While the mobile wireless providers’ hot spots are fixed wireless networks, they offer service that complements mobile broadband data services and could function as a competitive constraint on competing mobile broadband networks. 346. As discussed in the Thirteenth Report, many retailers now offer Wi-Fi hot spot access in their stores as a way to attract customers.909 For instance, through agreements with AT&T, national chains such as Starbucks, McDonald’s, and Barnes & Noble offer Wi-Fi access in their establishments.910 Starbucks offers complimentary two-hours per day of Wi-Fi access for Starbucks’ customers when they register a Starbucks’ Card and use it once a month.911 Additionally, AT&T’s Wi-Fi customers have complimentary access to the Starbucks’ hot spots, as do T-Mobile’s Wi-Fi customers through a roaming agreement between AT&T and T-Mobile.912 Barnes & Noble and McDonald’s also both offer complimentary Wi-Fi access.913 In addition, Borders recently signed an agreement with Verizon for Verizon to provide free Wi-Fi access in more than 500 of Borders’ stores nationwide.914 347. While fixed wireless hot spot usage continues to grow, several mobile wireless providers have also introduced mobile hot spot devices capable of creating a personal, portable Wi-Fi hot spot that can connect multiple Wi-Fi enabled devices to the provider’s mobile broadband network. For instance, the Sprint Personal Hotspot PHS300S tethers to Sprint Nextel USB modems to provide Wi-Fi access anywhere within Sprint Nextel’s mobile broadband coverage.915 The Novatel Wireless MiFi 2200, available to both Verizon Wireless and Sprint Nextel customers, is “about the size of eight stacked credit cards” and supports up to five Wi-Fi enabled devices.916 Additionally, Sprint Nextel has introduced the Overdrive 3G/4G Mobile Hotspot by Sierra Wireless, which functions similarly to the MiFi 2200 but also includes access to 4G data speeds.917 In July of 2009, Novatel Wireless unveiled the MiFi 2372 HSPA, a newer version of its Intelligent Mobile Hotspot with multi-mode operation, including HSPA, UMTS, EDGE and GPRS.918 348. A number of mobile wireless providers now offer dual-mode handsets that operate on both cellular and Wi-Fi networks.919 According to CTIA, consumers in the United States have access to 29 different Wi-Fi enabled handsets,920 and 20 percent of new devices are now equipped with Wi-Fi capability.921 As one example, the Apple iPhone runs on AT&T’s EDGE and UMTS/HSDPA networks but can use a Wi-Fi connection when one is available.922 With the increasing prevalence of Wi-Fi enabled handsets, such as the iPhone, hotspot usage by handsets has increased significantly as well.923 According to one study, handsets accounted for 35 percent of all hot spot connects in 2009, up from 20 percent in 2008, and are projected to account for half of all hot spot connects by 2011.924 Furthermore, with the recent growth of wireless data traffic, Wi-Fi provides a means for providers to offload some data traffic from their wireless networks. For example, studies suggest that about 40 percent of iPhone traffic in the United States is transmitted over a Wi-Fi connection.925 349. In addition to using Wi-Fi as a means of data access, certain mobile providers use WLANs to augment their CMRS-based voice services with voice connections at Wi-Fi hot spots. T-Mobile and Cincinnati Bell Wireless offer Wi-Fi-based services – “T-Mobile @Home” and “Fusion WiFi,” respectively – featuring dual-mode mobile handsets that offer seamless voice connections on both Wi-Fi and the operators’ GSM cellular networks for about $10 per month.926 These services offer improved, in-building coverage and unlimited calling through a specified home or office Wi-Fi router or at provider-branded hot spot locations. Through these services, consumers can avoid using their GSM voice minutes from their monthly service plans when they use service through a Wi-Fi hot spot.927 350. Several other providers also supplement their network coverage with services similar to the Wi-Fi router services discussed above. However, instead of connecting calls through a home Wi-Fi router operating over unlicensed spectrum, these other providers rely on femtocell devices. A femtocell is a miniature base station that transmits in the licensed spectrum of the wireless provider offering the device and provides improved coverage within a subscriber’s home. It uses the subscriber’s home broadband connection for backhaul. Sprint Nextel’s femtocell service, called Airave™, allows subscribers to make unlimited wireless calls from their homes for a monthly service fee.928 Sprint Nextel began offering its Airave™ service nationwide on August 17, 2008.929 In 2009, both Verizon Wireless and AT&T introduced their own femtocell products. The Verizon Wireless Network Extender was unveiled in January of 2009 and allows customers to place calls using their current phones and calling plans.930 In late 2009, AT&T conducted a public trial of its femtocell product – the AT&T 3G MicroCell – in Charlotte, North Carolina.931 According to one study, approximately 350,000 femtocells were shipped in 2009, although the study also notes that the pace of adoption for femtocells has been slower than previously expected.932 IX. URBAN-RURAL COMPARISONS 351. Since the release of the Sixth Report,933 the Commission has attempted to obtain a better understanding of the state of competition below the national level, and particularly in rural areas. The Communications Act does not include a statutory definition of what constitutes a rural area.934 The Commission used Rural Services Areas (RSAs) as a proxy for rural areas for certain purposes, such as the former cellular cross-interest rule and the former CMRS spectrum cap, stating that “other market designations used by the Commission for CMRS, such as [EAs], combine urbanized and rural areas, while MSAs and RSAs are defined expressly to distinguish between rural and urban areas.”935 Since its 2004 Report and Order concerning deployment of wireless services in rural areas, however, the Commission has adopted a “baseline” definition of rural as a county with a population density of 100 persons or fewer per square mile.936 For this reason, we adopt this same definition to analyze service availability in rural areas in this Report. 352. By this definition, roughly 61 million people, or 21 percent of the U.S. population,937 live in rural counties. These counties comprise 3.1 million square miles, or 86 percent of the geographic area of the United States.938 The distribution of rural counties across the United States can be seen in Map 3 below. Approximately 79 percent of the U.S. population lives on 14 percent of the land, while 21 percent live on the remaining 86 percent of the land. Map 3 U.S. County Density939 353. Using coverage maps provided by American Roamer, we find that 98.5 percent of the U.S. rural population, based on census blocks, has coverage by at least one mobile wireless voice provider.940 This is only slightly lower than the percentage of the entire U.S. population, 99.6 percent, with coverage by at least one mobile voice provider. As shown in Table 38 and Chart 47 below, the percentage of the rural population with coverage by one or more providers (98.5 percent), or two or more providers (94.5 percent) is comparable to coverage for entire U.S. population.941 Just over 900,000 people in rural areas have no mobile wireless coverage, and approximately 2.5 million have coverage by only one provider, down from approximately 2.6 million in July 2008. In addition, there is a disparity in the percentage of rural and total U.S. population covered by three or more, four or more, five or more, and six or more mobile voice providers. The largest gap is with five or more providers: 73 percent of the total U.S. population is covered by five or more mobile voice providers, while just 39 percent of the rural population is covered by five or more mobile voice providers.942 Table 38 Estimated Mobile Voice Providers in Rural Areas by Census Block Total Number of Providers in a block Number of Rural Census Blocks POPs Contained in Rural Census Blocks % of Total U.S. POPs Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Total U.S. Square Miles Total for Rural U.S. 4,169,790 60,836,650 21.3% 3,367,687 88.6% % of Total Rural US POPs % of Total Rural US Square Miles 1 or More 3,937,968 59,907,519 98.5% 2,310,870 68.6% 2 or More 3,575,744 57,469,158 94.5% 1,759,319 52.2% 3 or More 2,831,795 50,527,557 83.1% 1,131,548 33.6% 4 or More 1,978,475 39,828,360 65.5% 641,065 19.0% 5 or More 979,198 23,413,805 38.5% 257,068 7.6% 6 or More 220,472 5,327,376 8.8% 50,192 1.5% 7 or More 17,056 369,429 0.6% 3,918 0.1% Source: Commission estimates based on data supplied by American Roamer, Oct. 2009. Notes: POPs are from the 2000 Census, and the square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. There are approximately 8 million census blocks and 300 million people in the entire United States. Chart 47 Mobile Voice Providers in Rural Areas 354. The figures on the percentage of the U.S. rural population covered by a certain number of providers are similar to those in the Thirteenth Report.943 In that Report, the Commission estimated, based on July 2007 American Roamer coverage maps, that 94.2 percent of the rural population had a choice of at least two providers, compared to 94.5 percent in October 2009. In addition, 82.1 percent of the rural population had a choice of at least three providers in July 2007, compared to 83.1 percent in October 2009; and 65.2 percent had a choice of at least four providers in July 2007, compared to 65.5 percent in October 2009. 355. Looking at mobile broadband service, Table 39 and Chart 48 below show that 92 percent of the U.S. rural population, based on a census block analysis of American Roamer data, has coverage by at least one mobile wireless broadband provider, compared 98 percent of the entire U.S. population.944 The U.S. population in rural areas is not served by as many providers as other areas of the country. While 76 percent of the total U.S. population lives in census blocks with three or more mobile broadband providers, only 30 percent of the rural population is served by at least three broadband providers. In addition, 58 percent of the total U.S. population lives in census blocks with four or more mobile broadband providers; in rural areas, only ten percent of the population is served by four or more providers.945 Table 39 Estimated Mobile Broadband Providers in Rural Areas by Census Block Total Number of Providers in a Block Number of Blocks POPs Contained in Those Blocks % of Rural U.S. POPs Square Miles Contained in Those Blocks % of Rural U.S. Square Miles 1 or More 3,422,482 55,990,890 92.0% 1,688,928 50.2% 2 or More 1,889,535 37,592,392 61.8% 706,670 21.0% 3 or More 635,043 18,032,174 29.6% 142,609 4.2% 4 or More 160,703 6,350,563 10.4% 24,500 0.7% Source: Commission estimates based on data supplied by American Roamer, Nov. 2009 (EV-DO/HSDPA/WiMAX Coverage). Notes: POPs are from the 2000 Census, and the square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. Chart 48 Mobile Broadband Providers in Rural Areas 356. In the fall of 2008, the National Telecommunications Cooperative Association (NTCA) surveyed its members regarding their provision of wireless services.946 Population density in most NTCA member service areas is extremely rural, between one and five persons per square mile.947 According to the survey report, 59 percent of survey respondents are offering wireless service to their customers.948 Among those respondents, 78 percent indicated that “competition from national carriers” was a major concern, and the average respondent indicated that their company competes with between one and four other providers, down from two to five other providers in the 2007 report.949 In addition, the percentage of respondents who claim that obtaining financing is “very difficult” or “virtually impossible” rose from 13 percent in 2007 to 34 percent in 2008.950 357. When looking at the features and services offered to wireless customers, a large percentage of the NTCA survey respondents that provide mobile wireless service offer family plans (92 percent), text messaging (83 percent), and unlimited local calling (75 percent).951 A smaller, though still significant, percentage offer Internet access (67 percent), e-mail (58 percent), prepaid service (58 percent), and games by subscription (42 percent).952 RTG claims that many rural service providers continue to offer regional rate plans, a practice nearly abandoned by nationwide providers.953 RTG also argues that mobile consumers in rural areas do not have the same choices that are available to consumers in urban and suburban areas, especially with respect to mobile broadband services.954 358. As discussed above, key inputs for the provision of mobile wireless services include spectrum, infrastructure, and backhaul, and such access to such inputs can affect entry into the mobile wireless services market in both urban and rural areas.955 Areas with low population density, such as rural areas, tend to have fewer facilities-based competitors than areas with higher population densities because the market may not be large enough for a potential entrant to recoup its network deployment costs over time from service revenues.956 Spectrum below 1 GHz can be crucial for the deployment of mobile wireless service in rural areas because its excellent propagation characteristics allow providers to cover a relatively large geographic area with a relatively small number of cell sites.957 Therefore, we have examined the current spectrum holdings of service providers in rural areas in the frequency bands both above and below 1 GHz. Chart 49 below shows that 58 percent of the MHz-POPs in the spectrum below 1 GHz in rural areas are held by the two largest service providers, Verizon Wireless and AT&T.958 The spectrum holdings above 1 GHz, on the other hand, are less concentrated and held by a range of different service providers. As shown in Chart 50, the two largest providers hold only 23 percent of the MHz-POPs in the frequencies above 1 GHz. Chart 49 MHz-POP Shares in Rural Areas: Below 1 GHz959 Chart 50 MHz-POP Shares in Rural Areas: Above 1 GHz960 X. INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS 359. This section compares mobile market structure and performance in the United States, Western Europe and Asia-Pacific countries of comparable income levels.961 To ensure that a consistent methodology is used to compile the data for different countries, the comparison is based on international cross-section data compiled by Bank of America Merrill Lynch.962 Consequently, the estimates of mobile penetration, MOUs, average RPM, and concentration (as measured by HHI) for the U.S. mobile market cited in this section differ somewhat from estimates provided in previous sections of the Report because they come from different sources.963 In general, the comparison shows the following: (1) market structure is converging to three or four national competitors per market in many countries; (2) the calling party pays system used in most other countries tends to result in lower average voice usage (MOUs) and higher revenue per minute of voice service (RPM) than the receiving party pays system used in the United States;964 (3) the average monthly subscriber bill in the United States is much higher than the average bill in Western Europe, although Japan has a higher average monthly bill than either the United States or Western Europe; and (4) international differences in regulatory policy and business environment have produced a wide variety of successful models for the mobile sector, with no one model dominating on all dimensions of market performance. Table 40 Mobile Market Performance in Selected Countries965 Country Penetration (% of Pops) Prepaid (% of Subs) MOUs Revenue per Minute ($) ARPU ($) Data (% of ARPU) Receiving Party Pays USA 88.9 17.1 829 0.05 51.54 25.5 Canada 64.8 21.2 444 0.09 49.24 17.8 Hong Kong 147.6 44.9 447 0.04 20.40 26.7 Singapore 135.8 48.6 377 0.06 32.08 27.3 Calling Party Pays UK 125.5 62.0 192 0.12 35.35 27.8 Germany 130.6 56.6 102 0.16 20.59 25.3 Italy 152.7 88.3 131 0.16 26.87 24.7 Sweden 123.6 35.0 206 0.10 28.05 20.9 France 91.9 34.2 246 0.14 44.37 18.3 Finland 127.5 12.7 244 0.12 33.91 18.9 Japan 85.7 1.4 139 0.26 56.82 41.0 South Korea 93.9 3.0 320 0.08 30.34 17.0 Australia 109.9 44.9 218 0.11 34.57 32.4 A. ARPU 360. The average monthly subscriber bill (ARPU) in the United States, at $51.54, is much higher than the Western European average of $33.45.966 As explained below, however, although U.S. subscribers on average spend more per month for mobile services than their European counterparts, they also consume more mobile service, on average, compared to Europe. We note that Japan has a higher ARPU than either the United States or Western Europe. As indicated below and in the Table 42 above, the relatively high average monthly subscriber bill in Japan reflects two key factors – a relative high price per minute of voice service and relatively higher monthly spending per subscriber on data services. B. Average Revenue Per Minute 361. As noted above, some analysts regard RPM as a good proxy for mobile pricing.967 RPM in Western Europe averaged about $0.16 in the fourth quarter of 2008, and ranged from a low of $0.10 in Sweden to a high of $0.29 in Switzerland.968 At $0.05, RPM in the United States during the same period remained less than one-third of the European average.969 Revenue per minute in Japan, at $0.26, was more than five times the U.S. figure at the end of 2008.970 C. Usage 362. Bank of America Merrill Lynch estimates that U.S. mobile subscribers talked an average of 829 minutes per month on their mobile phones in the fourth quarter of 2008.971 This compares with 139 MOUs in Japan and an average across Western Europe of 158 MOUs, with estimated MOUs in individual European countries ranging from a low of 102 in Germany to a high of 246 in France.972 D. Penetration Rates 363. According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, mobile penetration in the United States was almost 89 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008.973 In comparison, Japan finished 2008 with mobile penetration nearing 86 percent, while mobile penetration averaged an estimated 127.7 percent in Western Europe at the end of 2008 and ranged from 92 percent in France to nearly 202 percent in Greece.974 In most West European countries, estimated mobile penetration exceeded 100 percent at the end of 2008, due in part to a high percentage of prepaid subscribers and ownership of multiple devices or subscriber identity module (SIM) cards.975 E. Concentration 364. Bank of America/Merrill Lynch’s Global Wireless Matrix provides a cross-country comparison of HHIs calculated at national level.976 For the United States, the HHI at the national level is calculated by summing the squares of the subscriber market shares of the four nationwide operators and the residual subscriber market share of all remaining regional and local operators combined. Overall, this methodology understates concentration in industries, such as mobile wireless service, where the relevant geographic market is sub-national, and where the choice of competing providers is not relatively uniform throughout the country.977 The U.S. mobile market, for instance, is characterized by significant regional variation in choice of competing providers. 365. The Bank of America/Merrill Lynch study estimated that the U.S. mobile market had an HHI of 2220 at the end of 2008, the lowest among comparable countries in Western Europe and the Asia Pacific region, as shown in Table 41.978 As discussed above, we estimated an average HHI for the United States of 2848 at the end of 2008, based on EA subscriber market shares.979 Table 41 Mobile Market Structure in Selected Countries (Merrill Lynch Calculation)980 Country Nationwide HHI Number of Competitors981 Top 2 Share (%) USA 2220 4 55.2% UK 2240 5 50.6% Germany 2920 4 70.2% Italy 3020 4 71.7% Canada 3110 3 67.4% Australia 3120 4 73.3% Sweden 3370 4 75.9% France 3390 3 78.1% Finland 3490 3 77.0% Japan 3590 3 77.6% 366. The relatively low level of concentration in the UK mobile market reflects the presence of five national operators and the roughly equal market shares of the top four operators.982 However, in September 2009, Deutsche Telekom and France Telecom announced a deal to merge their UK subsidiaries, third and fourth largest mobile operators in the UK – T-Mobile UK and Orange UK – to form the country’s largest mobile wireless operator, with a combined subscriber market share of roughly 38 percent.983 The European Commission approved the transaction, with conditions, on Mar. 1, 2010.984 This merger will likely result in a significant increase in the national HHI for the UK mobile market. 367. The higher levels of concentration in the other Western European countries and Japan reflect two factors. One is the smaller number of competitors per market, with four national operators in Germany, Italy and Sweden and three national operators in France, Finland and Japan. Second, each market tends to be dominated by the top two competitors, which have a combined market share ranging from approximately 70-72 percent in Germany and Italy to approximately 77-78 percent in France, Finland and Japan.985 XI. CONCLUSION 368. In the Thirteenth Report, the Commission found effective competition in the CMRS market based on a variety of metrics, including the number of providers, subscribers, usage, and prices.  Since the period covered by the Thirteenth Report, CMRS competition has grown stronger by some of the measures previously considered, but weaker by others.  To better comply with Congress’s mandate to assess market conditions, this Report looks beyond the metrics considered in the Thirteenth Report and undertakes a more expansive and detailed analysis of the mobile wireless industry than past reports. This Report concludes that CMRS is now one class of services that are part of the larger mobile wireless services industry. For instance, many providers of CMRS also offer a variety of mobile data services, including mobile broadband Internet access service, which is not classified as a “commercial mobile radio service.” Therefore, this Report integrates the analysis of CMRS competition into a more comprehensive analysis of competition across all mobile wireless services, including voice, messaging, and broadband services. This Report is also more expansive in terms of the scope of its competitive analysis. As with past reports, this Report examines the structure of the mobile wireless industry, the conduct of service providers, industry performance metrics, and consumer responses to mobile wireless service offerings. For the first time, the Fourteenth Report analyzes competition throughout the entire mobile wireless ecosystem, expanding its analysis to include key mobile wireless service inputs – such as spectrum and backhaul facilities – as well as downstream products, such as handsets/devices and mobile applications. Key findings of this Report are discussed in Section I, Executive Summary. XII. PROCEDURAL MATTERS 369. This Fourteenth Report is issued pursuant to authority contained in Section 332(c)(1)(C) of the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, 47 U.S.C. § 332(c)(1)(C). 370. It is ORDERED that copies of this Report be sent to the appropriate committees and subcommittees of the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate. 371. It is FURTHER ORDERED that the proceeding in the WT Docket No. 09-66 IS TERMINATED. FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION Marlene H. Dortch Secretary APPENDIX A Spectrum Bands Available for Mobile Wireless Service 1. Currently, mobile telephone operators primarily use market based spectrum licenses to provide mobile voice and, in most cases, mobile data services. These licenses are issued by a competitive bidding process for a range of predefined spectrum blocks (e.g., 10 megahertz, 20 megahertz or some other amount) over a defined geographic area (e.g., a Major Economic Area as outlined in section 27.6 of the Rules). Initially, the Commission authorized up to eight different mobile telephone licenses (two cellular in the 800 MHz band and six broadband PCS in the 2 GHz band) in every geographical area of the country.1 However, over the years, additional services have been created that allow similar operations in different bands – including 700 MHz, AWS-1, BRS/EBS, WCS, and 1670-1675 MHz,– that are licensed under the Commission’s flexible Part 90, Part 27 or Part 24 rules and can be used to provide CMRS services.2 Under Commission rules, licensees may lease spectrum resources to a third party for a period of time; or may disaggregate (divide the spectrum into smaller amounts of bandwidth) and/or partition (divide the license into smaller geographical areas) their licenses to other entities.3 Many licensees hold more than one license in a particular market.4 We discuss in more detail below spectrum bands potentially available for terrestrial CMRS. Band plan diagrams for each spectrum band depict where the frequencies are located.  Spectrum described in this section may be used for a variety of CMRS products including mobile telephony, broadband data and mobile video services. In addition to the terrestrial spectrum described in this section, there is an additional 157.7 megahertz of mobile satellite spectrum available for CMRS voice and data services.  A. Cellular 2. The Commission began licensing commercial cellular providers in 1982 and completed licensing the majority of operators by 1991. The Commission divided the United States and its possessions into 734 cellular market areas (CMAs), including 305 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), 428 Rural Service Areas (RSAs), and a market for the Gulf of Mexico.5 Two cellular systems were licensed in each market area. The Commission designated 50 megahertz of spectrum in the 800 MHz frequency band for the two competing cellular systems in each market (25 megahertz for each system). Initially, cellular systems offered service using analog technology, but today cellular systems use digital modulation technologies for increased capacity and service options. B. Broadband PCS 3. The Broadband PCS was established in the mid 1990s to expand spectrum options and the competitive marketplace for mobile services beyond the cellular service. Broadband PCS systems operate in different spectrum bands and have been designed from the beginning to use a digital format. Broadband PCS licenses have been assigned through auction, beginning in 1995.6 The Commission has set aside the spectrum between 1850 MHz and 1990 MHz for broadband PCS. While this spectrum (120 megahertz total) originally accommodated telephony and limited messaging services, many licensees have evolved their networks to now provide third generation mobile services, which include broadband applications such as internet access and media applications. This spectrum was divided originally into three blocks of 30 megahertz each (blocks A, B, and C) and three blocks of 10 megahertz each (blocks D, E, and F).7 Two of the 30 megahertz blocks (A and B blocks) are assigned on the basis of 51 Major Trading Areas (MTAs).8 One of the 30 megahertz blocks (C block)9 and all three of the 10 megahertz blocks are assigned on the basis of 493 Basic Trading Areas (BTAs).10 C. SMR 4. The Commission first established SMR in 1979 to provide for land mobile communications on a commercial basis. The Commission initially licensed spectrum in the 800 and 900 MHz bands for this service, in non-contiguous bands, on a site-by-site basis.11 The Commission has since licensed additional SMR spectrum through auctions.12 In total, the Commission has licensed 19 megahertz of SMR spectrum, plus an additional 7.5 megahertz of spectrum that is available for SMR as well as other services.13 While Commission policy permits flexible use of this spectrum, including the provision of paging, dispatch, mobile voice, mobile data, facsimile, or combinations of these services,14 the primary use for SMR traditionally was dispatch services.15 With the development of digital technologies that increased spectral efficiency, SMR providers such as Sprint Nextel (on its iDEN network) and SouthernLINC Wireless, a unit of the energy firm Southern Company, became more significant competitors in mobile telephony, while also maintaining dispatch functionality as a part of their service offerings. Furthermore, in apparent response to the dispatch functionality of SMR services, many cellular and broadband PCS providers now offer push-to-talk (PTT) functionality on their networks, including Verizon Wireless and AT&T. SMR spectrum is also used for certain data-only networks. 1. 800 MHz Band Reconfiguration and 1.9 GHz Spectrum Exchange 5. On July 8, 2004, the Commission adopted a new band plan for the 800 MHz band to resolve the problem of interference to public safety radio systems operating in the band from CMRS providers operating systems on channels in close proximity to those utilized by public safety entities.16 The new band plan addresses the root cause of the interference problem by separating generally incompatible technologies, with the costs of relocating 800 MHz incumbents to be paid by Sprint Nextel. To accomplish the reconfiguration, the Commission required Sprint Nextel to give up rights to certain of its licenses in the 800 MHz band and all of its licenses in the 700 MHz band. In exchange, the Commission modified Sprint Nextel’s licenses to provide the right to operate on two five-megahertz blocks in the 1.9 GHz band – specifically 1910-1915 MHz and 1990-1995 MHz – conditioned on Sprint Nextel fulfilling certain obligations specified in the Commission’s decision. As a new entrant in the 1.9 GHz band, Sprint Nextel is also obligated to fund the transition of incumbent users to comparable facilities. The Commission determined that the overall value of the 1.9 GHz spectrum is $4.8 billion, less the cost of relocating incumbent users. In addition, the Commission decided to credit to Sprint Nextel the value of the spectrum rights that Sprint Nextel is relinquishing and the actual costs Sprint Nextel incurs to relocate all incumbents in the 800 MHz and 1.9 GHz bands. To the extent that the total of these combined credits is less than the assessed value of the 1.9 GHz spectrum rights, Sprint Nextel will make an anti-windfall payment equal to the difference to the United States Department of the Treasury at the conclusion of the relocation process. 6. Significant progress has been made reconfiguring licensees to the new 800 MHz band plan in non-border regions of the country. In addition, the Public Safety and Homeland Security Bureau released an order, on May 9, 2008, establishing a reconfigured 800 MHz band plan for U.S. licensees along the U.S. – Canada border.17 Furthermore, the Commission, in conjunction with the State Department, is continuing to discuss a modified 800 MHz band plan with Mexico for U.S. licensees operating along the U.S.-Mexico border. D. 700 MHz Band 7. The 698-806 MHz band (the “700 MHz band”) was reclaimed from use by broadcast services in connection with the transition of the analog television service to digital television (DTV).18 The Digital Television Transition and Public Safety Act of 2005 (DTV Act)19 set a deadline of February 17, 2009 for the 700 MHz band spectrum to be cleared of analog transmissions and made available for public safety and commercial services as part of the DTV transition. This deadline subsequently was extended to June 12, 2009.20 This spectrum is being made available for wireless services, including public safety and commercial services.21 8. The DTV Act also established two specific statutory deadlines for the auction of licenses for recovered spectrum in the 700 MHz band: (1) the auction was required to begin no later than January 28, 2008; and (2) the auction proceeds were required to be deposited in the Digital Television Transition and Public Safety Fund by June 30, 2008.22 The Commission met both of these statutory deadlines. 9. Prior to holding the auction, the Commission revisited the rules governing the 700 MHz band in light of the DTV Act, recent developments in the market for commercial wireless communications, and the evolving needs of the public safety community for advanced broadband communications.23 Specifically, in the 700 MHz Second Report and Order, the Commission adopted a new band plan and revised certain of the service rules relating to both the commercial and public safety spectrum in the 700 MHz band.24 The new band plan provided a balanced mix of geographic service area licenses and spectrum blocks sizes for the commercial spectrum to be auctioned.25 Among other service rules, the Commission provided that licensees for one of the commercial blocks of spectrum in the 700 MHz band, the Upper 700 MHz C Block would be subject to an “Open Platform” condition.26 Accordingly, licensees must “allow customers, device manufacturers, third-party application developers, and others to use or develop the devices and applications of their choosing in C Block networks, so long as they meet all applicable regulatory requirements and comply with reasonable conditions related to management of the wireless network (i.e., do not cause harm to the network).” 27 In addition, C Block licensees “may not block, degrade, or interfere with the ability of end users to download and utilize applications of their choosing on the licensee’s C Block network, subject to reasonable network management.”28 The Commission also took two steps to promote the rapid construction and deployment of a nationwide, interoperable broadband public safety network. First, in the public safety spectrum, the band plan established a spectrum block designated for broadband communications, the public safety broadband spectrum, and provided that the spectrum would be licensed on a nationwide basis to a non-profit entity (the Public Safety Broadband Licensee) representative of the public safety community in accordance with a specific selection process.29 Second, the Commission established a block in the commercial spectrum, the Upper 700 MHz D Block (D Block), to be licensed on a nationwide basis to a single entity, and required the winning bidder for the D Block to enter into a public/private partnership with the Public Safety Broadband Licensee to enable the construction of a nationwide network operating over the spectrum associated with both licenses and providing broadband services to both commercial and public safety users.30 10. The auction of the 700 MHz Band licenses, designated Auction 73, closed on March 18, 2008.31 The auction concluded with provisionally winning bids covering 1091 licenses. While the bids for licenses associated with four of the five Upper 700 MHz Band blocks (the A, B, C, and E Blocks) exceeded the applicable reserve prices, bids for the fifth block (the D Block) license did not meet the reserve price and thus, there was no winning bid in Auction 73 for that license. Accordingly, the Auction 73 winning bids totaled $19,120,378,000 and the net winning bids (reflecting bidders’ claimed bidding credit eligibility) totaled $18,957,582,150 .32 11. The total 84 megahertz of commercial spectrum in the 700 MHz band will generally be available for a broad range of flexible uses.33 This spectrum has many permissible uses: new licensees may use the spectrum for fixed, mobile (including mobile wireless commercial services), and broadcast services.34 In addition, the Commission optimized the power rules in the remaining paired spectrum specifically for mobile use.35 The Commission expects that many of the new technologies to be developed and deployed in this band will support advanced wireless applications.36 12. Because the auction of the D Block did not result in a winning bid, on May 14, 2008, the Commission issued the 700 MHz Second Further Notice, revisiting the rules governing the D Block licensee, the mandatory public/private partnership, and the Public Safety Broadband Licensee.37 The Commission sought comment broadly on how it might modify those rules to achieve the goal of a nationwide, interoperable public safety network, whether it should continue to mandate a public/private partnership between the D Block licensee and Public Safety Broadband Licensee, and if so, under what terms and conditions.38 13. On September 25, 2008, the Commission adopted the 700 MHz Third Further Notice that proposed licensing the D Block spectrum as part of a revised 700 MHz Public/Private Partnership, with modifications to the rules governing both the D Block and the Public Safety Broadband License, in order to maximize the public safety and commercial benefits of a nationwide, interoperable broadband network in the 700 MHz band.39 Although the D Block proceeding still is pending, in its recent National Broadband Plan report to Congress, the Commission contended that the D Block should be auctioned for commercial use with limited technical requirements that would ensure technical compatibility between the D Block and the adjacent public safety broadband spectrum block. The Commission also contended that the commercial D Block should enable, but not obligate, the licensee to enter into a spectrum-sharing partnership with the neighboring Public Safety Broadband Licensee.40 E. 1710 – 2180: Advanced Wireless Services 14. To further the goal of promoting the deployment of advanced services, the Commission has made efforts to allocate and license additional spectrum suitable for offering AWS.41 As noted in the Eleventh Report, in 2002 the Commission, together with the National Telecommunications and Information Administration (“NTIA”), allocated 90 megahertz of spectrum in the 1710-1755 MHz and 2110-2155 MHz (“AWS-1”) bands that can be used to offer advanced wireless services, including 3G services.42 15. Subsequently, the Commission completed the process of establishing service rules for the 1710-1755 MHz and 2110-2155 MHz bands. This included a the spectrum could be used for any wireless service that is consistent with the spectrum’s fixed and mobile allocations and would be licensed under the Commission’s flexible, market-oriented Part 27 rules,43 and also a band plan that provided for a significant amount of the spectrum to be licensed on a small geographic basis to encourage the participation of small and rural providers in the AWS auction.44 16. The Commission held Auction 66 in 2006.45 Of the 1,122 licenses offered, 104 winning bidders won 1,087 licenses, with net bids of more than $13.7 billion,46 and all 1,087 licenses were awarded in 2007. In August 2008 the Commission’s Auction 78 included the 35 AWS-1 licenses for which no winning bids were submitted in Auction 66.47 Winning bids were submitted for all 35 AWS-1 licenses, with net winning bids for those licenses of $13,372,850.48 As of early March 2010, the Commission has granted licenses to 9 out of 14 AWS applicants. 17. The Commission also has taken significant steps toward licensing other bands of spectrum for use by AWS. In 2004, the Commission allocated an additional twenty megahertz of spectrum in the 1915-1920 MHz, 1995-2000 MHz, 2020-2025 MHz and 2175-2180 MHz bands (“AWS-2”).49 The Commission additionally released the AWS-2 Service Rules NPRM, which sought comment on appropriate service rules for the1915-1920 MHz, 1995-2000 MHz, 2020-2025 MHz and 2175-2180 MHz bands, and also offered some tentative conclusions consistent with existing AWS service rules, such as allowing flexible use of this spectrum and licensing this spectrum under Part 27 of the Commission’s rules. 18. In 2005, the Commission designated yet another 20 MHz of spectrum for AWS, specifically the 2155-2175 MHz band (“AWS-3”), thus establishing 70 MHz of contiguous AWS spectrum in the 2.1 GHz band (from 2110 to 2180 MHz).50 On September 19, 2007, the Commission released a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM), seeking comment on service rules for the AWS-3 spectrum.51 On June 20, 2008, the Commission released a Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (FNPRM), seeking comment on the Commission’s proposed AWS-3 rules, which include adding 5 megahertz of spectrum (2175-80 MHz) to the proposed AWS-3 band (2155-75 MHz). The FNPRM proposes to require licensees of that spectrum to provide – using up to 25 percent of its wireless network capacity – free, two-way broadband Internet service at engineered data rates of at least 768 kbps downstream.52 In October 2008, the Commission’s Office of Engineering and Technology released the Advanced Wireless Service Interference Tests Results and Analysis, which analyzed data from earlier laboratory bench tests performed by FCC staff together with interested parties.53 F. Broadband Radio Service 19. The Commission has transformed the 2496-2690 MHz band by providing licensees with greater flexibility and establishing a more functional band plan.54 The Commission has taken several steps to restructure the BRS/EBS band and facilitate more efficient use of the spectrum. First, the Commission created a new BRS/EBS band plan for the 2496-2690 MHz band that eliminated the use of interleaved channels and created distinct band segments for high power operations, such as one-way video transmission, and low power operations, such as two-way fixed and mobile broadband applications. By grouping high and low power users into separate portions of the band, the new band plan reduces the likelihood of interference caused by incompatible uses. The new band plan also creates incentives for the development of low-power, cellularized broadband operations, which were inhibited by the prior band plan. 20. In addition, the Commission provided licensees with the flexibility to employ the technologies of their choice in the band and to lease spectrum under the Commission’s secondary market spectrum leasing policies and procedures. The Commission also implemented geographic area licensing for all licensees in the band, which will allow increased flexibility while reducing administrative burdens on both licensees and the Commission. 21. In April 2006, the Commission continued its transformation of the rules governing BRS and EBS by revising the mechanism for transition from the existing band configuration to the new band plan.55 BRS and EBS licensees have largely completed the process of transitioning the 2.5 GHz band to the new band plan.  As of March 8, 2010, the transition has been completed in 438 out of 493 BTAs.56 In the remaining BTAs, virtually all other licensees are subject to a pending transition plan or have filed self-transition plans. 22. The Commission has continued to revise the rules relating to the 2.5 GHz band in 2008 and 2009 by clarifying its policies concerning leasing of EBS stations, setting forth auction rules for unassigned BRS spectrum, seeking further comment on how to license the available and unassigned “white spaces” in the EBS spectrum band, issuing a Declaratory Ruling clarifying the “splitting-the-football” methodology that licensees should use to divide overlapping geographic service areas for licenses that expired and are later reinstated, and proposing to give new BRS licensees four years from the date of initial license grant to demonstrate substantial service.57 The Commission held Auction 86, the auction of available BRS licenses, in the fourth quarter of 2009.58 Of the 78 licenses offered in Auction 86, ten winning bidders won 61 licenses, with net bids of $19,426,600.59 23. The changes made to the 2496-2690 MHz band, together with technological and business developments, is facilitating the development of a nationwide WiMAX network by Clearwire that has the potential to compete with cable and DSL broadband providers. The 2496-2690 MHz band can speed the arrival of a wireless broadband pipe that will increase competition and consumer choice, make possible new services, and promote the availability of broadband for all Americans. This band also can play an important role in extending broadband service to rural and underserved areas. Moreover, the changes to this band have enabled BRS/EBS providers to use this spectrum in a more technologically and economically efficient manner. G. Wireless Communications Service (WCS) 24. The Commission has licensed 30 megahertz of spectrum in the 2.3 GHz band, at 2305-2320 MHz and 2345-2360 MHz, for the Wireless Communications Service (“WCS”). While the service rules governing WCS allow for both fixed and mobile applications, the technical limits imposed to protect adjacent Satellite Radio operations have not permitted the development of mobile equipment for the band, but these rules are the subject of a rulemaking proceeding before the Commission. 25. The WCS spectrum was auctioned in 1997 and licensed on a Major Economic Area (“MEA”) and Regional Economic Area Grouping (“REAG”) basis.   The WCS spectrum is adjacent to and separated by the spectrum band for the Satellite Digital Audio Radio Service (“SDARS”), which is used by Sirius XM Radio Inc. to provide satellite radio service.  On December 18, 2007, the Commission released a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking and Second Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking seeking comment on appropriate rules and policies for licensing SDARS digital repeaters and considering changes to the technical rules governing WCS licenses.[1]  In particular, the Commission sought to consider what changes may be necessary to facilitate the coexistence of SDARS and WCS licensees in such a way that will enable the continued provision of high-quality satellite radio service as well as the deployment of new broadband services to the public. H. 1.4 GHz Bands 26. The Commission completed the auction of licenses in the paired 1392-1395 MHz and 1432-1435 MHz bands and in the unpaired 1390-1392 MHz band.60 The paired spectrum was offered as two 3-megahertz blocks in the six REAGs.61 The unpaired spectrum was auctioned as one 2-meghertz block in each MEA.62 Like other spectrum bands under Part 27 of the Commission’s rules, the service rules for the 1.4 GHz band are flexible. In the auction, two winning bidders won a total of 64 licenses, raising a total of $123,599,000.63 I. 1670-1675 MHz 27. In April 2003, the FCC auctioned five megahertz of unpaired spectrum in the 1670-1675 MHz band as a single, nationwide license. As with the other spectrum bands licensed under Part 27 of the Commission’s rules, such as AWS and WCS, the service rules for the 1670-1675 MHz band are flexible, and licensees can use the spectrum to deploy a variety of fixed or mobile wireless services. The license was won at auction by Crown Castle. In July 2007, Crown Castle entered into a long-term agreement to lease the spectrum to a wholly-owned subsidiary of TVCC Holding Company, LLC (“TVCC Holding”).64 In late 2008, control of TVCC Holding was transferred, so that 13.13 percent was held by a company wholly owned by Rajendra Singh and the Singh family; 11.86 percent by Columbia Capital IV, LLC, subsidiaries; and 75 percent by Harbinger-related entities.65 J. 3650-3700 MHz 28. The Commission adopted service rules for the 3650 – 3700 MHz band in June 200766 and began accepting applications licenses in the service in November 2007.67 Terrestrial operations in the band are licensed on a nationwide, non-exclusive basis, with all licensees registering their fixed and base stations in a common data base (ULS) prior to operation. Licensees are subject to restrictions on their operations in geographic areas occupied by grandfathered Fixed Satellite Service (FSS) and Federal Government stations. The rules also provide that terrestrial licensees have the mutual obligation to cooperate and avoid harmful interference to one another, and are required to use one of two types of “contention-based” technologies (restricted or unrestricted) that accommodate shared use of the band by multiple users. Equipment using “restricted” contention-based protocols (i.e., equipment capable of avoiding interference only to other devices using the same protocol) is allowed to operate only on the lower 25 megahertz portion of the band (3650 – 3675 MHz). Unrestricted equipment (i.e., equipment capable of avoiding interference to other devices, even those that use a different protocol) is allowed to operate within the entire 50 megahertz of the band. Mobile stations are required to positively receive and decode an enabling signal transmitted by a base station. Devices certified by the FCC as mobiles or portables do not require a separate license or registration.68 APPENDIX B Mobile Wireless Network Technologies 1. Cellular, PCS, and digital SMR networks use the same basic design. All use a series of low-power transmitters to serve relatively small areas (“cells”), and reuse spectrum to maximize efficiency.1 In the past, cellular and SMR networks have used both analog and digital cellular technologies, while PCS and AWS networks were designed from the start to use a digital format. Digital technology provides better sound quality and increased spectral efficiency than analog technology. From a customer’s perspective, digital service in the cellular band or SMR bands is virtually identical to digital service in the PCS and AWS bands. After the sunset of analog cellular service in February 2008, only digital cellular technologies are used in the mobile wireless industry. 2. The two main digital technologies used in the United States are Code Division Multiple Access (“CDMA”) and Global System for Mobile Communications (GSM). In addition, there are two other, less-widely used (by subscribers), technologies: integrated Digital Enhanced Network (“iDEN”) and the once-common Time Division Multiple Access (TDMA). These four technologies are commonly referred to as Second Generation, or 2G, because they succeeded the first generation of analog cellular technology, Advanced Mobile Phone Systems (AMPS).2 U.S. carriers have been phasing out TDMA service over the past several years.3 3. Beyond the 2G digital technologies, mobile telephone providers have been deploying next-generation, or 2.5G and 3G, network technologies4 that allow them to offer mobile data services at higher data transfer speeds and, in some cases, to increase voice capacity.5 For GSM/TDMA providers, the first step in the migration to next-generation network technologies is General Packet Radio Service (GPRS), a packet-based data-only network upgrade that allows for faster data rates by aggregating up to eight 14.4 kbps channels.6 Beyond GPRS, many U.S. GSM/TDMA providers deployed Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution (EDGE) technology, which offers average data speeds of 100-130 kbps. Wideband CDMA (WCDMA, also known as Universal Mobile Telecommunications System, or UMTS) is the next migration step for GSM providers beyond EDGE and allows maximum data transfer speeds of up to 2 Mbps and average user speeds of 220-320 kbps.7 Finally, deployment of WCDMA with HSPA (High Speed Packet Access, which includes both High Speed Downlink Packet Access, HSDPA, and High Speed Uplink Packet Access, HSUPA) technology allows average download speeds of 400-700 kbps with burst rates of up to several Mbps,8 average upload speeds of 500-800 kbps, when HSUPA technology is deployed.9 Some service providers have deployed, or announced plans to deploy, additional HSPA upgrades that allow for faster peak and average data transfer speeds, such as HSPA 7.2 Mbps and HSPA+, which allows a peak download speed of 21 Mbps.10 4. Many CDMA providers have upgraded their networks to CDMA2000 1xRTT (also referred to as CDMA2000 1X or 1xRTT), CDMA2000 EV-DO (evolution-data optimized, EV-DO) Revision 0, and EV-DO Revision A (Rev. A) technologies. 1xRTT doubles voice capacity and delivers peak data rates of 307 kbps in mobile environments and typical speeds of 40-70 kbps.11 EV-DO allows maximum data throughput speeds of 2.4 Mbps, while EV-DO Rev. A increases maximum data throughput speeds to 3.1 Mbps.12 Typical, user-experienced download speeds with EV-DO range from 400 to 800 kbps, while upload speeds average 50-70 kbps.13 The EV-DO Rev. A network upgrade increases average download speeds to 600 kbps to 1.4 Mbps and significantly improves average upload speeds to 350-800 kbps.14 Whereas WCDMA and WCDMA/HSDPA are incompatible with earlier technologies on the GSM migration path, the more advanced technologies on the CDMA migration path are backwards compatible.15 Deployment of these various technologies by service providers is discussed above. Maps showing CDMA and GSM network coverage, as well as mobile broadband coverage, can be found in Appendix D. 5. Beyond WCDMA/HSDPA/HSUPA and EV-DO, there are two main competing technologies for next-generation wireless broadband networks: Long Term Evolution (LTE) and WiMAX. Both of these technologies, which are often referred to as fourth-generation (4G) technologies, are generally based on the Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access (OFDMA) modulation technology.16 LTE can support up to 58 Mbps for upper link transmission and 173 Mbps for downlink transmission with 20 MHz spectrum and a 2x2 Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) antenna structure.17 The Mobile WiMAX technology can support peak downlink data rates up to 63 Mbps and peak upper link data rates up to 28 Mbps in a 10 MHz channel.18 APPENDIX C Tables Table of Contents Table C-1: CTIA’s Semi-Annual Mobile Wireless Industry Survey 217 Table C-2: FCC’s Semi-Annual Local Telephone Competition Survey: Mobile Telephone Subscribership 218 Table C-3: Economic Area Penetration Rates 3 Table C-4: Top 16 Mobile Wireless Operators by Subscribers 3 Table C-5: Selected Smartphone Launches in 2008-2009 3 Table C-6: Mobile Wireless High-Speed Capable Devices and Subscribers by State 3 Table C-7: Mobile Wireless Resellers and Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) 3 Table C-1: CTIA’s Semi-Annual Mobile Wireless Industry Survey Date Estimated Total Subscribers Year End over Year End Subscriber Increase 12-Month Total Service Revenues (in $000s) 12-Month Roamer Services Revenues (in $000s) Cell Sites Direct Service Provider Employees Average Local Monthly Bill (Dec. Survey Periods) 1985 340,213 248,613 $482,428 N/A 913 2,727 N/A 1986 681,825 341,612 $823,052 N/A 1,531 4,334 N/A 1987 1,230,855 549,030 $1,151,519 N/A 2,305 7,147 $96.83 1988 2,069,441 838,586 $1,959,548 N/A 3,209 11,400 $98.02 1989 3,508,944 1,439,503 $3,340,595 $294,567 4,169 15,927 $83.94 1990 5,283,055 1,774,111 $4,548,820 $456,010 5,616 21,382 $80.90 1991 7,557,148 2,274,093 $5,708,522 $703,651 7,847 26,327 $72.74 1992 11,032,753 3,475,605 $7,822,726 $973,871 10,307 34,348 $68.68 1993 16,009,461 4,976,708 $10,892,175 $1,361,613 12,805 39,775 $61.48 1994 24,134,421 8,124,960 $14,229,922 $1,830,782 17,920 53,902 $56.21 1995 33,785,661 9,651,240 $19,081,239 $2,542,570 22,663 68,165 $51.00 1996 44,042,992 10,257,331 $23,634,971 $2,780,935 30,045 84,161 $47.70 1997 55,312,293 11,269,301 $27,485,633 $2,974,205 51,600 109,387 $42.78 1998 69,209,321 13,897,028 $33,133,175 $3,500,469 65,887 134,754 $39.43 1999 86,047,003 16,837,682 $40,018,489 $4,085,417 81,698 155,817 $41.24 2000 109,478,031 23,431,028 $52,466,020 $3,882,981 104,288 184,449 $45.27 2001 128,374,512 18,896,481 $65,316,235 $3,752,826 127,540 203,580 $47.37 2002 140,766,842 12,392,330 $76,508,187 $3,895,512 139,338 192,410 $48.40 2003 158,721,981 17,955,139 $87,624,093 $3,766,267 162,986 205,629 $49.91 2004 182,140,362 23,418,381 $102,121,210 $4,210,331 175,725 226,016 $50.64 2005 207,896,198 25,755,836 $113,538,221 $3,786,331 183,689 233,067 $49.98 2006 233,040,781 25,144,583 $125,456,825 $3,494,294 195,613 253,793 $50.56 2007 255,395,599 22,354,818 $138,869,304 $3,742,014 213,299 266,782 $49.79 2008 270,333,881 14,938,282 $148,084,170 $3,739,274 242,130 268,528 $50.07 Source: CTIA, Background on CTIA’s Semi-Annual Wireless Industry Survey (Annualized Wireless Industry Survey Results – December 1985 To December 2008: Reflecting Domestic U.S. Commercially-Operational Cellular, ESMR and PCS Providers). Table C-2: FCC’s Semi-Annual Local Telephone Competition Survey: Mobile Telephone Subscribership Source: Local Telephone Competition: Status as of June 30, 2008, Federal Communications Commission, August 2009 (Table 14: Mobile Wireless Telephone Subscribers). Table C-3: Economic Area Penetration Rates EA EA Name Subscribers 2008 Estimated EA Population 2008 Penetration Rate 2008 HHI 2007 HHI EA Density 57 Detroit-Ann Arbor-Flint, MI 7,279,508 6,949,314 105% 2971 2822 364.07 78 Birmingham, AL 1,750,967 1,661,353 105% 2542 2714 137.13 155 Farmington, NM-CO 224,144 213,552 105% 3877 3817 16.04 13 Washington-Baltimore, DC-MD-VA-WV-PA 9,567,739 9,215,733 104% 2731 2734 402.76 82 Biloxi-Gulfport-Pascagoula, MS 397,022 387,725 102% 2465 2255 143.45 83 New Orleans, LA-MS (see note 1) 1,602,718 1,576,305 102% 3247 3038 171.93 161 San Diego, CA 3,062,637 3,001,072 102% 2574 2605 660.48 87 Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX 451,330 446,851 101% 3037 3094 89.2 31 Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL 6,060,744 6,114,085 99% 2250 2557 483.2 135 Odessa-Midland, TX 401,917 406,313 99% 3671 3512 10.13 85 Lafayette, LA 617,580 629,216 98% 4660 4436 99.99 122 Wichita, KS-OK 1,163,451 1,182,342 98% 2798 1967 20.49 10 New York-North New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT-PA 25,840,149 26,646,432 97% 2640 2632 890.56 81 Pensacola, FL 668,261 686,522 97% 2657 2085 154.06 20 Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC 1,748,338 1,818,132 96% 2775 2058 289.89 22 Fayetteville, NC 530,982 554,048 96% 2857 1988 164.57 90 Little Rock-North Little Rock, AR 1,615,294 1,689,753 96% 4210 4044 46.09 172 Honolulu, HI 1,239,506 1,288,198 96% 2365 2369 187.2 12 Philadelphia-Wilmington-Atlantic City, PA-NJ-DE-MD 7,186,730 7,570,454 95% 2614 2652 778.84 80 Mobile, AL 677,754 710,168 95% 3106 2801 74.75 97 Springfield, IL-MO 490,209 514,014 95% 3910 3800 58.2 131 Houston-Galveston-Brazoria, TX 6,378,099 6,691,432 95% 2279 2278 169.25 133 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX 1,138,690 1,202,189 95% 3025 3803 221.96 141 Denver-Boulder-Greeley, CO-KS-NE 4,313,611 4,540,177 95% 2339 2326 52.02 170 Seattle-Tacoma-Bremerton, WA 4,344,695 4,566,164 95% 2615 2571 190.45 29 Jacksonville, FL-GA 2,036,509 2,156,622 94% 2381 2228 112.52 86 Lake Charles, LA 506,078 539,898 94% 3354 3154 52.41 132 Corpus Christi, TX 524,058 559,249 94% 2471 2850 46.47 15 Richmond-Petersburg, VA 1,475,224 1,593,807 93% 3206 2355 124.03 79 Montgomery, AL 457,762 494,455 93% 2531 1838 66.86 121 North Platte, NE-CO 55,308 59,249 93% 5577 6272 4.95 128 Abilene, TX 202,179 216,950 93% 3457 3371 20.35 143 Casper, WY-ID-UT 407,544 439,965 93% 5256 5031 5.17 160 Los Angeles-Riverside-Orange County, CA-AZ 18,348,656 19,635,950 93% 2488 2542 286.1 163 San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CA 8,886,433 9,606,859 93% 2610 2526 271.07 34 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 2,519,668 2,733,761 92% 2291 1801 890.99 37 Albany, GA 457,309 497,476 92% 3040 2228 62.74 40 Atlanta, GA-AL-NC 6,254,177 6,776,384 92% 2411 2342 246.04 42 Asheville, NC 447,936 488,874 92% 4132 3930 128.63 59 Green Bay, WI-MI 625,112 681,496 92% 2837 2708 34.15 93 Joplin, MO-KS-OK 255,563 277,263 92% 3584 3404 74.68 99 Kansas City, MO-KS 2,426,298 2,651,516 92% 2290 2237 88.73 127 Dallas-Fort Worth, TX-AR-OK 8,238,206 8,944,362 92% 2623 2479 119 3 Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowewell-Brockton, MA-NH 7,477,030 8,182,770 91% 2800 2700 421.83 26 Charleston-North Charleston, SC 622,882 683,525 91% 2969 1961 149.8 28 Savannah, GA-SC 685,861 756,214 91% 2433 1795 91.95 30 Orlando, FL 4,044,360 4,435,636 91% 2486 2539 265.84 55 Cleveland-Akron, OH-PA 4,179,189 4,591,498 91% 3773 2641 427.84 70 Louisville, KY-IN 1,370,748 1,509,949 91% 2520 2534 180.92 71 Nashville, TN-KY 2,525,249 2,785,768 91% 2679 2699 105.12 84 Baton Rouge, LA-MS 738,091 807,491 91% 4999 4686 140.3 89 Monroe, LA 301,514 329,618 91% 4320 4271 56.12 136 Hobbs, NM-TX 178,509 196,227 91% 3073 3548 11.21 23 Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC 2,214,894 2,473,299 90% 3059 2273 240.5 24 Columbia, SC 915,227 1,013,410 90% 3634 2235 125.95 25 Wilmington, NC-SC 916,535 1,018,797 90% 2760 1910 107.39 35 Tallahassee, FL-GA 710,634 786,450 90% 3084 2287 63.51 39 Columbus, GA-AL 463,777 515,179 90% 2888 2122 84.08 44 Knoxville, TN 978,794 1,091,091 90% 2816 2739 165.64 51 Columbus, OH 2,255,320 2,517,488 90% 3080 2839 190.4 64 Chicago-Gary-Kenosha, IL-IN-WI 9,758,562 10,863,175 90% 2140 2151 556.54 73 Memphis, TN-AR-MS-KY 1,758,238 1,959,370 90% 2709 2593 102.99 153 Las Vegas, NV-AZ-UT 2,090,698 2,311,014 90% 2297 2517 23.74 95 Jonesboro, AR-MO 273,192 305,662 89% 5032 4778 51.3 130 Austin-San Marcos, TX 1,578,703 1,765,864 89% 2640 2632 156.06 134 San Antonio, TX 2,250,096 2,518,581 89% 2220 2481 82.99 137 Lubbock, TX 343,283 387,146 89% 2832 2878 27.17 142 Scottsbluff, NE-WY 78,969 88,903 89% 6801 5666 7.81 41 Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC-NC 1,204,661 1,364,738 88% 4047 2792 183.62 50 Dayton-Springfield, OH 986,040 1,116,999 88% 2615 2590 318.52 69 Evansville-Henderson, IN-KY-IL 759,745 861,317 88% 4433 4340 75.31 124 Tulsa, OK-KS 1,275,769 1,451,768 88% 3222 3227 72.44 126 Western Oklahoma, OK 121,529 137,340 88% 3170 3110 12.04 19 Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC 1,939,647 2,232,251 87% 2965 2141 188.38 53 Pittsburgh, PA-WV 2,510,463 2,891,964 87% 3157 3079 284.77 67 Indianapolis, IN-IL 2,838,314 3,264,138 87% 3033 2983 171.37 77 Jackson, MS-AL-LA 1,283,565 1,480,716 87% 3333 3225 49.67 88 Shreveport-Bossier City, LA-AR 507,029 580,798 87% 3810 3374 57.96 96 St. Louis, MO-IL 3,214,497 3,681,336 87% 2674 2708 127.01 107 Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI-IA 4,179,353 4,824,484 87% 2588 2061 82.98 111 Minot, ND 91,788 105,574 87% 4304 4117 7 5 Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY 1,037,835 1,202,416 86% 3352 3289 134.71 27 Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC 543,513 634,830 86% 3781 2203 89.79 32 Fort Myers-Cape Coral, FL 777,730 908,394 86% 2429 2515 234.27 36 Dothan, AL-FL-GA 301,007 349,130 86% 2536 2080 53.7 38 Macon, GA 705,680 818,370 86% 3662 2958 62.88 43 Chattanooga, TN-GA 674,119 784,456 86% 3494 3294 145.32 45 Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA 515,676 598,600 86% 3936 2293 144.51 98 Columbia, MO 338,299 395,491 86% 4082 3843 58 103 Cedar Rapids, IA 360,877 420,766 86% 2561 2600 101.33 138 Amarillo, TX-NM 422,603 489,740 86% 2668 2644 11.79 167 Portland-Salem, OR-WA 2,842,754 3,286,569 86% 2469 2315 76.01 171 Anchorage, AK 587,874 686,293 86% 3927 3873 1.07 18 Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC-VA 1,693,560 1,995,855 85% 2786 1985 189.09 101 Peoria-Pekin, IL 449,514 526,468 85% 3424 3366 90.99 125 Oklahoma City, OK 1,547,547 1,811,951 85% 3444 3486 65.04 154 Flagstaff, AZ-UT 408,492 478,450 85% 3833 2835 8.24 156 Albuquerque, NM-AZ 883,070 1,035,714 85% 2843 2103 20.89 164 Sacramento-Yolo, CA 2,278,601 2,680,240 85% 2621 2600 188.08 2 Portland, ME 657,097 782,854 84% 2812 2493 98.56 8 Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY-PA 1,212,940 1,447,692 84% 3324 3222 212.89 11 Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA 1,013,427 1,208,890 84% 3235 3130 292.42 17 Roanoke, VA-NC-WV 720,763 857,872 84% 2439 1831 97.83 21 Greenville, NC 730,656 874,488 84% 2641 2235 87.74 56 Toledo, OH 1,076,840 1,275,362 84% 4566 3258 163.94 63 Milwaukee-Racine, WI 1,965,243 2,331,492 84% 2123 2200 366.88 75 Tupelo, MS-AL-TN 526,224 627,150 84% 5403 5275 49.76 102 Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL 469,626 558,029 84% 2585 2548 108.27 151 Reno, NV-CA 643,698 768,870 84% 2556 2282 7.56 6 Syracuse, NY-PA 1,559,887 1,884,621 83% 4002 3884 104.74 33 Sarasota-Bradenton, FL 720,731 871,874 83% 2733 2074 273.56 49 Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN 1,935,674 2,337,216 83% 2247 2225 294.08 66 Fort Wayne, IN 613,053 741,382 83% 3038 3088 158.5 118 Omaha, NE-IA-MO 912,444 1,100,498 83% 3495 2128 62.4 120 Grand Island, NE 236,032 284,487 83% 6672 5989 11.56 157 El Paso, TX-NM 863,810 1,045,239 83% 2370 2050 33.04 158 Phoenix-Mesa, AZ-NM 3,664,125 4,440,500 83% 2683 2108 93.91 159 Tucson, AZ 985,051 1,183,947 83% 2622 2006 60.03 7 Rochester, NY-PA 1,214,616 1,478,494 82% 4389 4247 167.21 68 Champaign-Urbana, IL 513,173 629,200 82% 3378 3265 73.47 91 Fort Smith, AR-OK 286,419 347,505 82% 4121 4114 46.51 94 Springfield, MO 782,275 951,629 82% 3690 3514 48.14 108 Wausau, WI 401,743 489,282 82% 2477 2371 34.13 123 Topeka, KS 386,173 468,643 82% 2623 1850 35.62 169 Richland-Kennewick-Pasco, WA 624,145 759,564 82% 2723 2516 27.68 72 Paducah, KY-IL 186,310 229,282 81% 5938 5846 70.02 106 Rochester, MN-IA-WI 271,204 335,650 81% 3272 2799 55.65 139 Santa Fe, NM 221,840 272,281 81% 4568 2806 13.06 147 Spokane, WA-ID 742,292 914,396 81% 3338 3076 23.63 152 Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT-ID 2,060,297 2,533,880 81% 2265 2226 35.68 9 State College, PA 636,118 798,593 80% 4204 4238 92.41 60 Appleton-Oshkosh-Neenah, WI 368,450 458,449 80% 2618 1927 143.62 100 Des Moines, IA-IL-MO 1,378,065 1,727,108 80% 2982 2679 47.32 119 Lincoln, NE 324,131 403,030 80% 4909 4251 50.24 140 Pueblo, CO-NM 231,849 291,066 80% 2986 2646 8.71 150 Boise City, ID-OR 572,748 711,937 80% 2856 2703 13.69 144 Billings, MT-WY 347,514 441,859 79% 5375 5062 4.89 46 Hickory-Morganton, NC-TN 425,021 548,060 78% 2742 2646 131.9 48 Charleston, WV-KY-OH 924,959 1,178,626 78% 3442 2999 85.35 52 Wheeling, WV-OH 238,554 306,292 78% 4538 4436 124.54 62 Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland, MI 1,521,485 1,961,947 78% 2935 2709 206.76 65 Elkhart-Goshen, IN-MI 743,583 955,560 78% 2571 2332 185.73 129 San Angelo, TX 161,249 206,905 78% 2237 2464 10.05 166 Eugene-Springfield, OR-CA 664,561 847,451 78% 2322 1850 43.1 4 Burlington, VT-NY 478,471 620,023 77% 8263 4776 57.62 14 Salisbury, MD-DE-VA 313,773 409,070 77% 5507 5263 111.17 16 Staunton, VA-WV 271,405 350,536 77% 2881 2093 50.99 47 Lexington, KY-TN-VA-WV 1,473,102 1,921,072 77% 3807 3683 80.39 61 Traverse City, MI 230,588 300,465 77% 2882 4178 50.67 104 Madison, WI-IA-IL 774,390 1,002,884 77% 3442 3530 71.33 117 Sioux City, IA-NE-SD 192,264 248,114 77% 4240 4025 39.51 148 Idaho Falls, ID-WY 271,012 350,332 77% 4361 2388 10.85 149 Twin Falls, ID 135,160 176,400 77% 4175 2232 14.08 165 Redding, CA-OR 279,110 361,915 77% 2888 2273 14.36 1 Bangor, ME 408,137 533,602 76% 4250 4365 20.94 116 Sioux Falls, SD-IA-MN-NE 420,355 554,970 76% 5179 4288 15.11 162 Fresno, CA 1,233,651 1,633,280 76% 2962 2932 98.64 92 Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO-OK 378,621 506,212 75% 4729 4629 88.43 113 Fargo-Moorhead, ND-MN 288,111 384,153 75% 4313 3286 16.4 115 Rapid City, SD-MT-ND-NE 165,888 224,401 74% 5140 4952 5.04 54 Erie, PA 371,032 509,551 73% 4241 4120 116.41 168 Pendleton, OR-WA 144,625 204,130 71% 2894 2150 8.67 76 Greenville, MS 158,768 226,125 70% 3575 3491 40.96 145 Great Falls, MT 112,542 163,194 69% 4910 4685 4.23 105 La Crosse, WI-MN 170,756 252,006 68% 3823 3815 53.67 58 Northern Michigan, MI * 267,688 * 4261 4270 28.53 74 Huntsville, AL-TN (see note 2) * 1,066,914 * 2550 * 119.14 109 Duluth-Superior, MN-WI * 348,380 * 4107 3504 18.53 110 Grand Forks, ND-MN * 220,264 * 4755 3848 10.16 112 Bismarck, ND-MT-SD * 179,144 * 5015 4891 6.26 114 Aberdeen, SD * 77,619 * 5000 4983 5.39 146 Missoula, MT * 436,309 * 6327 6043 10.79 *Data withheld to maintain firm confidentiality. Source: Federal Communications Commission internal analysis based on year-end 2008 filings for Numbering Resource Utilization in the United States. Density is persons per square mile. EA populations are based on Census estimates as of July 1, 2008. Note 1: As discussed in the Twelfth Report, the penetration rate in EA83 (New Orleans) appears to be an aberration. That EA lost over 260,000 people between 2000 and 2006, while its subscriber count remained relatively unchanged, creating a large increase in its penetration rate. One explanation for this may be that, after the flooding, people leaving the area took their cell phones (and cell phone numbers) with them. Thus, those numbers may still be associated with New Orleans rate centers, even though the people actually no longer live anywhere near there. Note 2: We believe there was a discrepancy in the data for this EA, making the subscriber data and HHI for this market unreliable. Table C-4: Top 16 Mobile Wireless Operators by Subscribers (with publicly-available subscriber counts, in thousands) Year-End 2007 Year-End 2008 Operator Total Operator Total 1 AT&T (1) 70,052 AT&T (1) 77,009 2 Verizon Wireless (1) 65,707 Verizon Wireless (1) 72,056 3 Sprint Nextel (1) 53,003 Sprint Nextel (1) 48,338 4 T-Mobile 28,685 T-Mobile (1) 32,758 5 Alltel (1, 2) 13,400 Alltel (1, 2) 13,219 6 US Cellular (1) 6,122 US Cellular (1) 6,196 7 MetroPCS 3,963 MetroPCS 5,367 8 Leap 2,864 Leap 3,845 9 Centennial 1,093 Centennial (3) 1,100 10 América Móvil / Claro (4) 3,496 América Móvil / Claro (4) 4,809 11 Cellular South (6) 700 Cellular South (6) 800 12 iPCS 630 iPCS (5) 691 13 Cincinnati Bell Wireless 571 Cincinnati Bell Wireless 551 14 Clearwire 394 Clearwire 475 15 Ntelos 407 Ntelos 435 16 Pocket Comm. (7) 200 Pocket Comm. 300 Sources: For 2007, see Thirteenth Report, Table A-4 at xxxx. Some numbers in 2007 were adjusted or corrected as noted below. For 2008, publicly-available company documents such as operators’ news releases and SEC filings. Subscriber information for privately-held companies is taken from news reports, as noted below. Notes: (1) For 2008, AT&T number includes 60,098 (in thousands) postpaid and 16,911 prepaid customers. Verizon number includes 70,021 retail customers and 2,035 wholesale customers. SprintNextel number includes 36,678 direct post-paid customers and 3,597 direct pre-paid customers (Boost subscribers), 8,063 wholesale subscribers, but not 927 affiliated company subscribers. (SprintNextel number in 2007 was correctly due to a mistake in the Thirteenth Report.) T-Mobile number includes 26,806 postpaid and 5,952 prepaid customers. Alltel includes 12,813 retail customers and 406 wholesale customers derived from Verizon’s pro forma numbers. US Cellular number includes 5,420 postpaid, 287 prepaid, and 489 wholesale customers. Cincinnati Bell includes 404 postpaid and 147 prepaid subscribers. (2) On January 5, 2009, Verizon Wireless completed its acquisition of Alltel. Alltel number in 2007 is substituted by its number in the first quarter of 2008. Alltel numbers are derived from Verizon’s pro forma numbers. (3) On November 6, 2009, AT&T completed its acquisition of Centennial with estimated 1.1 million subscribers. (4) This includes Claro subscribers in Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico and Jamaica. No separated subscriber counts were reported. The number for 2007 was adjusted accordingly from the Thirteenth Report. Tracfone’s subscriber counts were not included. (5) On October 19, 2009, SprintNextel announced it is acquiring its wireless affiliate iPCS. (6) For 2008 subscriber counts, see TRDaily, January 20, 2010; for 2007 subscriber counts, see http://memphis.bizjournals.com/memphis/stories/2007/12/10/daily7.html. (7) Pocket Communications subscriber count in 2007 was corrected from 175 to 200. Table C-5: Selected Smartphone Launches in 2008-2009 Smartphone Date Launched Wireless Service Provider(s) Offered Exclusively at Launch?1 Handset Manufacturer Platform/ Operating System BlackBerry 88202 Mar. 2008 AT&T T-Mobile Cellular One No RIM BlackBerry BlackBerry Pearl 81203 Apr. 2008 AT&T T-Mobile Corr No RIM BlackBerry BlackBerry Curve 83304 Apr. 2008 Sprint Nextel Verizon Wireless ACS Alltel Appalachian Bluegrass Boost Carolina West Cbeyond Cellcom Cellular One (Montana) Cellular South Closecall Credo Mobile Metro PCS nTelos Pioneer US Cellular No RIM BlackBerry BlackBerry Pearl 81105 Apr. 2008 AT&T Cellular One of NEPA Long Lines Viaero West Central No RIM BlackBerry XV69006 Apr. 2008 Verizon Wireless Yes; phone is no longer available from provider HTC Windows Mobile 6 Professional N787 June 2008 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.3, S60 rel. 3.2 iPhone 3G8 July 2008 AT&T Yes Apple iPhone OS Treo 800w9 July 2008 Sprint Nextel Yes; phone is no longer available from carrier Palm Windows Mobile 6.1 Professional E7110 July 2008 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.2, S60 rel. 3.1 UI Q Global11 Aug. 2008 AT&T Yes Motorola Windows Mobile 6.1 Treo Pro12 Sept. 2008 Unlocked Sprint Nextel Alltel No Palm Windows Mobile 6.1 BlackBerry Pearl Flip 822013 Oct. 2008 T-Mobile Cellular One (Montana) Iowa Wireless Viaero West Central No RIM BlackBerry Epix14 Oct. 2008 AT&T Yes Samsung Windows Mobile 6.1 G115 Oct. 2008 T-Mobile Yes HTC Google Android Touch Pro16 Oct. 2008 Sprint Nextel Verizon Wireless Alltel US Cellular No; phone is no longer available from providers HTC Windows Mobile 6.1 Professional N9617 Nov. 2008 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.3, S60 rel. 3.2 BlackBerry Bold 900018 Nov. 2008 AT&T Yes RIM BlackBerry Fuze19 Nov. 2008 AT&T Yes; phone is no longer available from provider HTC Windows Mobile 6.1 Incite20 Nov. 2008 AT&T Yes LG Windows Mobile 6.1 BlackBerry Storm21 Nov. 2008 Verizon Wireless Yes RIM BlackBerry Omnia22 Nov. 2008 Verizon Wireless Yes Samsung Windows Mobile 6.1 Professional XPERIA X123 Nov. 2008 Unlocked No; phone is no longer available through manufacturer Sony Ericsson Windows Mobile 6.1 N7924 Dec. 2008 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.3, S60 v. 3.2 UI N8525 Dec. 2008 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.3, S60 rel. 3.2 BlackBerry Curve 8350i26 Dec. 2008 Sprint Nextel SouthernLINC No RIM BlackBerry E6327 Jan. 2009 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.2, S60 v. 3.1 UI 5800 Xpress Music28 Feb. 2009 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.4, S60 rel. 5 BlackBerry Curve 890029 Feb. 2009 AT&T T-Mobile Cellular One (Montana) Cellular One of East Texas Corr Long Lines MTPCS/Cellular One/Chinook Viaero West Central No RIM BlackBerry E7530 Apr. 2009 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.3, S60 rel. 3.2 Propel Pro31 Apr. 2009 AT&T Yes Samsung Windows Mobile 6.1 Nokia E71x32 May 2009 AT&T Yes Nokia Symbian OS 9.2, S60 rel. 3.1 UI Jack33 May 2009 AT&T Yes Samsung Windows Mobile 6.1 Pre34 June 2009 Sprint Nextel Verizon Wireless No Palm Palm OS iPhone 3G S35 June 2009 AT&T Yes Apple iPhone OS BlackBerry Pearl Flip 823036 June 2009 Verizon Wireless ACS Alltel Appalachian Bluegrass Carolina West Cellcom Cellular One of NEPA Cellular South Inland Nex-Tech/United nTelos Panhandle/PTCI US Cellular No RIM BlackBerry Snap37 June 2009 Sprint Nextel US Cellular No HTC Windows Mobile 6.1 Ozone38 June 2009 Verizon Wireless Yes HTC Windows Mobile 6.1 N9739 June 2009 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.4, S60 rel. 5 N8640 July 2009 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.3, S60 rel. 3.2 Dash 3G41 July 2009 T-Mobile Yes HTC Windows Mobile 6.1 Surge42 July 2009 AT&T Yes Nokia Symbian OS, S60 3.2 Edition myTouch 3G43 Aug. 2009 T-Mobile Yes HTC Google Android BlackBerry Curve 852044 Aug. 2009 AT&T T-Mobile Iowa Wireless Long Lines MTPCPS/Cellular One/Chinook No RIM Blackberry Touch Pro 245 Aug. 2009 T-Mobile Sprint Nextel Verizon Wireless US Cellular No HTC Windows Mobile 6.1 Professional BlackBerry Tour46 Aug. 2009 Sprint Nextel Verizon Wireless ACS Alltel Appalachian Bluegrass Carolina West Cellcom Cellular South Credo Mobile Inland nTelos Panhandle/PTCI Pioneer US Cellular No RIM BlackBerry Touch Diamond47 Sept. 2008 Sprint Nextel Verizon Wireless No HTC Windows Mobile 6.1 Professional Pure48 Oct. 2009 AT&T Yes HTC Windows Mobile 6.5 Imagio49 Oct. 2009 Verizon Wireless Yes HTC Windows Mobile 6.5 Hero50 Oct. 2009 Cellular South Sprint Nextel No HTC Google Android BlackBerry Storm 251 Oct. 2009 Verizon Wireless Yes RIM BlackBerry N97 Mini52 Oct. 2009 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.4, S60 rel. 5 Tilt 253 Oct. 2009 AT&T Yes HTC Windows Mobile 6.5 Moment54 Nov. 2009 Sprint Nextel Yes Samsung Google Android CLIQ55 Nov. 2009 T-Mobile Yes Motorola Google Android DROID56 Nov. 2009 Verizon Wireless Yes Motorola Google Android DROID Eris57 Nov. 2009 Verizon Wireless Yes HTC Google Android Pixi58 Nov. 2009 Sprint Nextel Yes Palm Palm OS E7259 Nov. 2009 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.3, S60 v. 3.2 UI N90060 Nov. 2009 Unlocked No Nokia Maemo 5 Linux Behold II61 Nov. 2009 T-Mobile Yes Samsung Google Android BlackBerry Curve 853062 Nov. 2009 Sprint Nextel Verizon Wireless Alltel US Cellular No RIM BlackBerry BlackBerry Bold 970063 Nov. 2009 AT&T T-Mobile No RIM Blackberry Ipaq64 Nov. 2009 AT&T Yes HP Windows Mobile 6.5 Omnia 265 Dec. 2009 Verizon Wireless Yes Samsung Windows Mobile 6.5 eXpo66 Dec. 2009 AT&T Yes LG Google Android 5800 Navigation Edition67 Dec. 2009 Unlocked No Nokia Symbian OS 9.4, S60 rel. 5 Nexus One68 Jan. 2010 T-Mobile (locked or unlocked) Unlocked (other GSM providers) No HTC Google Android Table C-6: Mobile Wireless High-Speed Capable Devices and Subscribers by State State Mobile Wireless High-Speed Capable Devices Mobile Wireless High-Speed Subscribers Alaska 99,263 43,073 Alabama 970,480 281,221 Arkansas 547,605 178,042 Arizona 1,809,386 522,283 California 12,011,071 3,493,995 Colorado 1,523,199 460,860 Connecticut 1,223,598 337,695 District of Columbia 316,042 180,733 Delaware 311,648 77,462 Florida 4,625,734 1,542,128 Geogria 2,522,273 773,067 Guam * * Hawaii 421,662 145,919 Iowa 575,653 115,476 Idaho 502,251 133,160 Illinois 3,405,338 1,057,326 Indiana 1,623,844 383,545 Kansas 731,369 207,224 Kentucky 671,274 246,419 Louisiana 1,026,180 395,066 Massachusetts 2,117,106 565,699 Maryland 2,011,551 595,144 Maine 166,934 39,589 Michigan 2,379,563 605,567 Minnesota 1,337,231 357,180 Missouri 1,191,487 364,192 Northern Mariana Islands * * Mississippi 412,925 142,010 Montana * * North Carolina 2,433,544 701,010 North Dakota 240,813 40,691 Nebraska 532,865 151,973 New Hampshire 401,763 84,607 New Jersey 3,849,463 903,269 New Mexico 536,659 140,604 Nevada 786,593 256,832 New York 5,864,099 1,708,429 Ohio 3,343,239 816,038 Oklahoma 643,785 239,088 Oregon 1,010,635 267,457 Pennsylvania 3,657,848 871,477 Puerto Rico 383,990 126,088 Rhode Island 295,152 80,601 South Carolina 1,185,162 313,073 South Dakota * * Tennessee 1,754,405 452,014 Texas 6,082,603 2,348,605 Utah 749,847 189,217 Virginia 2,802,441 900,735 Virgin Islands * * Vermont * * Washington 2,219,293 681,902 Wisconsin 1,184,522 306,326 West Virginia 258,231 80,118 Wyoming 221,208 42,695 TOTAL 85,765,327 25,117,013 Source: High-Speed Services for Internet Access: Status as of December 31, 2008, Federal Communications Commission, February 2010 (Table 14: High-Speed Connections by Technology by State as of December 31, 2008); Form 477 filings with the Commission. Notes: * = Data withheld to maintain form confidentiality. ** The reported number of business and residential subscribers whose mobile devices are capable of sending or receiving data at information transfer rates exceeding 200 kbps in at least one direction. Table C-7: Mobile Wireless Resellers and Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) Name Number of Subscribers 7-11 Speak Out Not Available Advanced Communications Technology Not Available Air Voice Wireless AT&T Not Available AirLink Mobile Not Available Albany Mutual Tel. Association; Not Available Beaver Creek Cooperative Telephone Company Not Available Beyond Mobile 50,203 total customers as of 12/31/09* Bratz Mobile Not Available Camellia Communications Not Available CenCom, Inc. Not Available Champaign Not Available Christensen Communications Not Available Circle K Stores Inc Not Available Consolidated Communications Network, Inc. More than 20,000* Consumer Cellular, Inc Not Available Credo Mobile, Inc. Not Available DFT Local Service Corporation Not Available eCall Plus Not Available En-Tel Not Available Firefly Communications, Inc. Not Available Garden Valley Telephone Co. Not Available Germantown Cellular Not Available Hawaiian Telcom Services Company, Inc. Not Available Hayneville Telephone Company, Inc. Not Available Home TeleNetworks Not Available Hood Canal Not Available HTC Not Available IdeaOne Not Available Jitterbug Not Available Kennebec Telephone Co. Not Available KMTelecom; Not Available Lakedale Telephone Company Not Available Liberty Wireless Not Available Lightyear Network Solutions, LLC More than 60,000* Locus Telecommunications More than 300,000 Movida Not Available Nehalem TeleCommunications, Inc. Not Available New Ulm Telecom Not Available One Communications Corp. More than 160,000 businesses* Otter Tail Telcom Not Available Page Plus Cellular Not Available PemTel Wireless Not Available Pend Oreille Telephone Company Not Available PlatinumTel Wireless Not Available Randolph Telephone Company Not Available Red River Rural Telephone Association Not Available Silverado Not Available Sleepy Eye Telephone Company Not Available STI Mobile Not Available Total Call Mobile Not Available TouchTone Not Available Tracfone.  14.4 million as of Dec. 2009 Tuyo Mobile Not Available Venture Communications Coop. Not Available Virgin Mobile USA Not Available Warwick Not Available Winn Telephone Company Not Available Yadkin Valley Telephone Not Available Zapp Unlimited LLC Not Available Zone Telecom, Inc. Not Available * According to company website, the figure appears to be customers for all services, not just wireless subscribers. APPENDIX D Maps Table of Contents Map D-1: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers 239 Map D-2: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers (2) 240 Map D-3: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (Overview) 241 Map D-4: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (1) 242 Map D-5: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (2) 243 Map D-6: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (3) 244 Map D-7: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (4) 245 Map D-8: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (5) 246 Map D-9: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (6) 247 Map D-10: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (7) 248 Map D-11: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (8) 249 Map D-12: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (9) 250 Map D-13: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (10) 251 Map D-14: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (11) 252 Map D-15: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (12) 253 Map D-16: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (13) 254 Map D-17: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (14) 255 Map D-18: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (15) 256 Map D-19: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (16) 257 Map D-20: Coverage of the Top 4 Mobile Wireless Service Providers 258 Map D-21: U.S. Federal Lands 259 Map D-22: U.S. County Density 260 Map D-23: Mobile Wireless Digital Coverage 261 Map D-24: Mobile Wireless Digital Coverage (2) 262 Map D-25: Mobile Wireless Nextgen Coverage: CDMA Path 263 Map D-26: Mobile Wireless Nextgen Coverage: CDMA Path (2) 264 Map D-27: Mobile Wireless Nextgen Coverage: GSM Path 265 Map D-28: Mobile Wireless Nextgen Coverage: GSM Path (2) 266 Map D-29: Mobile Wireless Broadband Coverage 267 Map D-30: Mobile Wireless Broadband Coverage (2) 268 Map D-31: Mobile Wireless Penetration 269 Map D-32: Spectrum Not Licensed to the Nationwide Providers and Their Affiliates 270 Map D-33: Available Licensed Spectrum 271 Note: Additional maps of the existing spectrum holdings of many mobile wireless service providers and licensees are now accessible through the Commission’s online Spectrum Dashboard tool, available at http://reboot.fcc.gov/spectrumdashboard. The Spectrum Dashboard provides a public means of reviewing how spectrum bands are allocated and for what uses, and who holds licenses and in what areas. It provides basic, plain language information about frequencies generally deemed appropriate for most commercial mobile wireless services in the 225 MHz to 3700 MHz band range. In addition, it contains detailed information, mapping, and research capabilities for the spectrum bands where most mobile wireless services, in particular broadband services, are either already available or potentially could be provided. These bands include, among others, 700 MHz, 800 MHz Cellular, AWS, Broadband PCS, BRS/EBS, WCS. Map D-1: Mobile Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers Map D-2: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers (2) Map D-3: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (Overview) Map D-4: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (1) Map D-5: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (2) Map D-6: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (3) Map D-7: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (4) Map D-8: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (5) Map D-9: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (6) Map D-10: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (7) Map D-11: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (8) Map D-12: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (9) Map D-13: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (10) Map D-14: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (11) Map D-15: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (12) Map D-16: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (13) Map D-17: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (14) Map D-18: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (15) Map D-19: Wireless Coverage by Number of Providers by Region (16) Map D-20: Coverage of the Top 4 Mobile Wireless Service Providers Map D-21: U.S. Federal Lands Map D-22: U.S. County Density Map D-23: Mobile Wireless Digital Coverage Map D-24: Mobile Wireless Digital Coverage (2) Map D-25: Mobile Wireless NextGen Coverage: CDMA Path Map D-26: Mobile Wireless NextGen Coverage: CDMA Path (2) Map D-27: Mobile Wireless NextGen Coverage: GSM Path Map D-28: Mobile Wireless NextGen Coverage: GSM Path (2) Map D-29: Mobile Broadband Network Coverage Map D-30: Mobile Broadband Network Coverage (2) Map D-31: Mobile Wireless Penetration by EAs Map D-32: Spectrum Not Licensed to the Nationwide Providers and Their Affiliates Map D-33: Available Licensed Spectrum APPENDIX E List of Commenters Public Notice Comments AT&T Inc. Bright House Networks Cellular South, Inc. Consumer Federation of America, Consumers Union, Free Press, Media Access Project, New America Foundation, and Public Knowledge Cricket Communications, Inc. CTIA – The Wireless Association MetroPCS Communications, Inc. Mobile Satellite Services & Ancillary Terrestrial Component Coalition National Telecommunications Cooperative Association Rural Telecommunications Group, Inc. Satellite Industry Association Sprint Nextel Corporation Verizon Wireless Wireless Communications Association International Public Notice Reply Comments AT&T Inc. Bright House Networks Consumer Federation of America, Consumers Union, Free Press, Media Access Project, New America Foundation, and Public Knowledge Cox Wireless Cricket Communications, Inc. CTIA – The Wireless Association NTELOS, Inc. Rural Cellular Association Rural Telecommunications Group, Inc. Skype Communications, S.A.R.L. T-Mobile USA, Inc. Timothy J. Tardiff and Dennis L. Weisman Notice of Inquiry Comments AT&T Inc. Bright House Networks CDMA Development Group Cellular South, Inc. Cincinnati Bell Wireless LLC Clearwire Corporation Consumer Federation of America, Consumers Union, Free Press, Media Access Project, New America Foundation, and Public Knowledge Council Tree Investors, Inc. Cricket Communications, Inc. CTIA – The Wireless Association Everett M. Ehrlich, Jeffrey A. Eisenach, and Wayne A. Leighton William King Bryant Mathis Mercatus Center at George Mason University MetroPCS Communications, Inc. Charles Miller II Mobile Marketing Association National Cable & Telecommunications Association National Telecommunications Cooperative Association New Jersey Division of Rate Counsel NTELOS, Inc. PCIA – The Wireless Infrastructure Association and The DAS Forum, a membership section of PCIA Public Knowledge Planet TV Air-Tower Systems Gregory L. Rosston and Michael D. Topper Rural Cellular Association Rural Telecommunications Group, Inc. Sprint Nextel Corporation T-Mobile USA, Inc. Telecommunications Certification Body Council, Inc. Telecommunications Industry Association United States Cellular Corporation Verizon Wireless Steven A. Zecola Notice of Inquiry Reply Comments ACS Wireless, Inc. AT&T Inc. California Public Utilities Commission and the People of the State of California Center for Media Justice, Center for Rural Strategies, Main Street Project, Media Action Grassroots Network, Minnesota Digital Justice Coalition, People’s Production House, and Rural Broadband Policy Group Columbia Capital and M/C Ventura Partners Consumer Federation of America, Consumers Union, Free Press, Media Access Project, New America Foundation, and Public Knowledge CTIA – The Wireless Association DBSD North America, Inc. William King MetroPCS Communications, Inc. Progressive Concepts, Inc. d/b/a Hawk Electronics Public Service Communications, Inc. Skype Communications, S.A.R.L. Southern Communications Services, Inc. d/b/a SouthernLINC Wireless Sprint Nextel Corporation TerreStar Networks Inc. United States Cellular Corporation Verizon Wireless Steven A. Zecola STATEMENT OF CHAIRMAN JULIUS GENACHOWSKI Re: Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Mobile Wireless, including Commercial Mobile Services, WT Docket No. 09-66. Having world-leading mobile networks and services will be essential to our nation’s global competitiveness, and to creating jobs and growing the economy here in the United States. Competition in the wireless voice market over the past 15 years has spurred investment, innovation, and in many cases higher quality for lower prices for American consumers. It is vital that competition continue to serve these goals as consumers and industry migrate from voice to high-speed data and 4G mobile broadband. This Report is one of several Congressionally-mandated reports that the Commission releases each year focusing on competition in different sectors of the communications landscape. Late last summer, I announced the goal of upgrading our competition reports across the board to provide important information to all stakeholders and to create solid, fact-based foundations for predictable policy. I am pleased that today’s Mobile Competition Report is the first example of this effort, and I thank the staff of the Wireless Bureau, as well as the staff of the Office of Strategic Planning and Policy Analysis for their great work in getting us to where we are today. One of the first changes to this report is its title. Prior efforts have been called the “Annual Commercial Mobile Radio Services Report” – quite a mouthful – known around these parts as our yearly CMRS Report – not a particularly illuminating title given the importance of mobile communications to so many Americans. The change in title to the Mobile Wireless Competition Report is emblematic of an approach that is applied throughout the Report: to present information in way that will be relevant and understandable to a wide variety of audiences—including consumers, investors, companies of all sizes, engineers, researchers and policy-makers across government. The data presented in this year’s Report cover traditional areas of inquiry such as voice service, spectrum holdings, and the number of providers, subscribers, and usage—as well as newer ones such as the ongoing deployment of 4G networks and the explosion of innovation in and around smartphones. This Report does not seek to reach an overly-simplistic yes-or-no conclusion about the overall level of competition in this complex and dynamic ecosystem, comprised of multiple markets. Instead, the Report complies with Congress’s mandate to assess market conditions by providing data on trends in competition and choice over time – an approach that fits best with the role of the FCC as a fact-based, data-driven agency responsible for promoting competition and protecting consumers, and fostering investment and innovation. I won’t attempt to summarize the other many facts in this thorough Report. I’ll simply say this: In so many ways, this explosion of mobile innovation is great news for American consumers. Perhaps no sector of our economy holds more promise for 21st Century U.S. leadership in innovation and investment than wireless broadband. And of course this is why the National Broadband Plan included major recommendations for ways to accelerate wireless broadband deployment, and recover sufficient spectrum to allow our innovative companies and American consumers to seize and benefit from the full opportunities ahead. The new trends do also present real challenges for busy American families when it comes to selecting the mix of mobile devices and services that matches their needs and budgets. Indeed, in difficult economic times such as these, the importance of empowering consumers is especially great. As the National Broadband Plan and our Notice on Consumer Information that we released last fall both recognize, the better consumers understand the terms and conditions of the services being offered to them, the more they can make the market work effectively. This is why the National Broadband Plan includes recommendations about increasing transparency to consumers – for example, about broadband speeds. And it is also why we began an inquiry last week into how the Commission and the wireless industry can take advantage of new technologies to avoid “bill shock,” the unwelcome surprise that some consumers experience when their monthly bill is dramatically larger than expected. I’m pleased that our new Consumer Task Force, headed by Joel Gurin and involving many key leaders at the agency, is already producing results. STATEMENT OF COMMISSIONER MICHAEL J. COPPS Re: Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Mobile Wireless, including Commercial Mobile Services, WT Docket No. 09-66. I welcome the Mobile Wireless Competition Report before us today.  It is far-and-away the most informed and informative Competition Report that we have seen over the years.  For the first time in my nine years at the Commission, I find the kind of comprehensive and granular analysis that I have been looking for since I got here.  I commend the Bureau staff for the hard work that went into producing a truly worthy report to Congress on the state of competition in our commercial mobile services markets.  This competition analysis comports with the expert input of the Department of Justice and reflects the richness and complexity of our mobile wireless ecosystem. Recognizing the obvious – that wireless is not just about voice anymore – the Mobile Wireless Competition Report takes an important step forward by integrating the range of exciting wireless products and services into our analysis.  It’s hard to believe how far the wireless industry has brought us in terms of wireless innovation.  Mobile wireless providers offer an ever-expanding array of mobile voice, messaging and broadband tools.  The future of mobility holds even greater promise to us individually and to us as a nation.    Today’s Report provides us with a solid going-forward analytical foundation.  As we build upon this foundation in addressing the countless wireless policy challenges we face, our decision-making must be informed by the reality of its findings.  This is all the more timely given the critical role that wireless will play in ensuring that the goals of our National Broadband Plan are met and that all Americans reap the benefits of enabling technology. A robust wireless future—part of a robust broadband future—depends in no small part upon robust competition.  Competition is about benefiting consumers.  The FCC is about benefiting consumers, too, so we must always be working to ensure the reality of a competitive environment. Competition has proven itself time and time again to be the most reliable tool to bring innovation, choice, value and quality to consumers.  Unfortunately this report’s findings are not always encouraging.  Some are downright sobering—and worrying, too.  Specifically, the Report confirms something I have been warning about for years—that competition has been dramatically eroded and is seriously endangered by continuing consolidation and concentration in our wireless markets.  One number sticks out like a sore thumb: the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index—a widely-recognized and highly-credible measurement of industry concentration—shows that the concentration of mobile wireless service providers has skyrocketed to a weighted average of 2848.  That’s a jump of nearly 700 since we first calculated this metric a mere 7 years ago!  So without denying those things that are right in the wireless world—and they are many—the facts also tell us that some things are not right.  And that should flash a bright caution light for this Commission as we go about the business of advancing competition and consumer well-being in the Broadband Age.  We are going to need an extra dose of vigilance going forward and use whatever policy levers we have available to ensure good outcomes for American consumers. CONCURRING STATEMENT OF COMMISSIONER ROBERT M. McDOWELL Re: Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Mobile Wireless, including Commercial Mobile Services, WT Docket No. 09-66. The record in this proceeding, and the report itself, contain a wealth of facts that demonstrate the important role the mobile industry plays in the lives of everyday Americans, not to mention in the U.S. economy. The wide-ranging and competitive wireless sector has and continues to deliver innovative services at low cost, all the while exhibiting some of the most impressive capital expenditure numbers of any industry in the world. The greatest beneficiaries of these investments are American consumers who have steadily incorporated advanced wireless technologies into their daily lives. To be clear, I support the Commission’s more granular examination of the mobile wireless marketplace. I fully appreciate the transformative importance of mobile wireless broadband, which has resulted in a shift from devices that can place traditional phone calls to pocket-sized computers that access the Internet in one click. I vote to concur, however, because, even under the “new forms of analysis,” set forth in today’s report, we have not identified new or particularly revealing information that would prevent us from opining as to “whether or not there is effective competition,” as the statute requires. Further, by its terms, the report seeks to identify “areas where it would be fruitful to inquire whether policy levers could produce superior outcomes.” This point in particular is outside the scope of our statutory mandate to produce the report, and appears to lay the foundation for more regulation. Furthermore, I cannot support this new theory as it suggests that government policy would manufacture a better result than the everyday choices made by consumers in a competitive marketplace. If nothing else, the report shows that the wireless sector is dynamic, ever-improving and responsive to consumer demand. Thus, we all should tread cautiously – especially industry players. Keep in mind that seeking regulation of your competitor today may well harm your company tomorrow. Given this context, therefore, it is understandable that good news abounds in this report. Here are just a few examples: * Competitive choices. With respect to mobile service providers, the report reveals that 74 percent of American consumers have access to five or more mobile wireless service providers. This number is up since we issued our 13th Report – by nine percentage points. With respect to mobile broadband service providers, the percentage of the population served by three or more providers increased from 51 percent to 76 percent. Moreover, the percentage of people served by at least two mobile broadband providers increased from 73 percent to nearly 90 percent. These numbers illustrate that the vast majority of consumers have a meaningful opportunity to change providers if they cannot withstand a “bill shock” or are unhappy with their mobile broadband experience. And, even though this statistic does not account for any market changes since the FCC-approved mergers that occurred in late 2008, there is reason to believe that this statistic will nevertheless rise: For instance, Clearwire is not yet fully deployed, and neither Skyterra nor the numerous WCS licensees have begun to build out their mobile networks to give consumers even more choices. It is important to acknowledge that citizens living in rural areas are not served by as many mobile broadband providers as other areas of the country, as is indicated in our report. Even there, however, 62 percent have a choice of two or more providers and almost one-third have a choice of three or more providers. That said, we can and we must do better. Bringing the benefits of mobile broadband to rural America is an important priority. I applaud Verizon Wireless’ creative plan to partner with rural providers to accelerate investment in advanced mobile networks. I hope this is the beginning of a positive trend, and I look forward to learning of additional examples of industry-led innovation. * Job creation. As cited in the report, one estimate predicts that the United States wireless industry may create two to three million new jobs between 2005 and 2015. Wireless services also create opportunities for increased productivity in American businesses. The same research study predicts that gains from the deployment and use of wireless broadband services could generate nearly $860 billion in additional GDP between 2005 and 2016. * Investment. According to the report, one research firm estimates that during the fifteen years between 1992 and 2007, economic contributions from wireless services grew faster than the rest of the U.S. economy, averaging over 16 percent annual growth compared to approximately three percent for the remainder of the economy. Although the report points out that the average annual growth rate for economic contributions decreased to 11.2 percent from the period from 2002 to 2007, an 11.2 percent rate of growth in a maturing industry is nonetheless impressive. * Consumer benefits. Finally, while the report opines that the FCC-approved mergers have had a negative effect on consumers, it is important to note the opposite view that some mergers have also benefited consumers. Much of the recent activity has occurred when a national or large regional carrier purchased a smaller carrier serving a rural or underserved area. As a result, in many cases, the new entity brought consumers in those areas access to the same services and products that are available to customers in the most densely populated areas, including access to next-generation networks, innovative voice and data plans, and advanced devices. I thank the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau. This is a tremendous body of work and we are grateful for your efforts. STATEMENT OF COMMISSIONER MIGNON L. CLYBURN Re: Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Mobile Wireless, including Commercial Mobile Services, WT Docket No. 09-66. I applaud the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau for the impressive report you have produced and presented to us today. This report significantly expands our understanding about critical segments of the industry. Indeed, this is the first competition report in which the Commission has provided such extensive information about key input segments such as spectrum, towers, network equipment, and backhaul transport facilities. The Bureau’s robust, granular review of these costs highlights the difficulties that large carriers and smaller service providers face when trying to expand their service in certain license areas or when trying to enter new ones. Our goal is a mobile wireless market in which investment goes primarily towards fueling innovation rather than simply meeting the costs to provide basic mobile services. Therefore, it is imperative that we do all we can to lower the costs that these input segments impose on carriers and service providers. Gathering detailed information about the costs involved in providing mobile services is also important in order to encourage greater investment in those areas of the country, particularly rural areas, where consumers do not have meaningful choices among providers. For example, the Urban Rural Comparisons section of this Report reveals that, despite the hundreds of billions of dollars that have been invested over the past decade, more than 900,000 people live in rural areas where they have no access to any wireless service provider. More than 2.4 million people live in geographical areas covered by only one service provider. And more than seven million people live in areas served by only two service providers. In this regard, I am heartened by reports that Verizon Wireless intends to offer spectrum to providers serving rural areas, and I look forward to hearing more about how such a proposal could lead to more options for consumers in these areas. When the Commission releases a Public Notice seeking comment to enable us to prepare the next mobile wireless competition report, I encourage commenters to provide us with as much information as possible about how we can encourage more investment in these rural areas. I commend the staff of the Wireless Telecommunications Bureau for their hard work on this report. CONCURRING STATEMENT OF COMMISSIONER MEREDITH A. BAKER Re: Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Mobile Wireless, including Commercial Mobile Services, WT Docket No. 09-66. I would like to thank the Chairman and the Bureau for presenting us with a comprehensive, fact-filled Report that thoroughly explores the mobile wireless ecosystem. I am grateful for their hard work. However, I can only concur with this Report because I believe we should have made an affirmative finding of a competitive market based on the year-over-year trends set forth in the Report and the significant consumer opportunities and investment provided by the wireless industry. Prior Annual Reports have drawn such conclusions, and I see no reason to depart from that approach here. The data in the Report demonstrate a vibrant competitive environment across the mobile wireless sector – from network providers to device manufacturers and application providers. Our analysis should focus on overall competition and consumers not individual competitors in the market. 91.3 percent of Americans can choose from four or more wireless voice providers, and 98.8 percent can choose between two competing voice providers. This translates into consumer opportunity and options. Over 90 percent of consumers subscribed to wireless services in 2008. The Report finds that this high level of competition has resulted in the lowest average monthly voice bill ever and that two-thirds of households subscribe to family packages that did not exist a decade ago. Substantial innovation and investment by the four nationwide carriers, continued growth of regional players, and exciting announcements by new entrants in both the terrestrial and satellite space promise even greater competition in the years ahead. As the voice market continues to mature, the Report finds significant growth in mobile broadband: the number of Americans with three or more available mobile broadband providers jumped from 51 percent to 76 percent from 2008 to 2009. The Report finds analogous growth in adoption: the number of mobile data subscribers more than doubled from 2005 to 2009 and 42 percent of consumers carried a smartphone in 2009, compared to only 15 percent in 2006. Smartphone pricing has also dropped almost in half from 2006 to 2009. The Report illustrates that mobile broadband growth has attracted significant new investment in handsets and operating systems. There were twice as many handset manufacturers in 2009 as there were in 2006, and Apple and Google have now entered the operating system market. This burgeoning market has also attracted application developers, which has resulted in billions of downloaded applications and entire new business opportunities and jobs. New wireless data-only offerings provide another area of new investment. As network operators continue to invest in upgrading their 3G infrastructure and deploy 4G services, we will soon benefit from another cycle of innovation and investment throughout the mobile wireless ecosystem. Faster and more robust 4G mobile broadband services offer the promise of greater intermodal broadband competition and choice for consumers. The overall health of wireless competition is demonstrated further in the Report’s findings on capital investment and advertising. Despite poor national macroeconomic conditions, over $240 billion has been poured into our nation’s wireless infrastructure from 1998 to 2008, including over $20 billion alone in 2008. Industry announcements and commitments demonstrate that this track record of investment has, and will, continue. Similarly, the robustness of competition is reflected in the Report’s analysis that 3 out of the top 7 nationwide advertisers in 2009 were wireless providers. Moreover, with respect to international comparisons, the Report finds that U.S. consumers benefit from the lowest revenue per minute among comparable European and Asian nations and is the least concentrated market. In concluding, let me say that I welcome the dialogue with those who have concerns, but I see nothing in this Report that should lead us to question the overall competitiveness and vitality of the mobile wireless industry in the U.S. Indeed, this Report cannot provide factual support for any shift in the flexible manner in which we auction, license, or regulate wireless services. Again, I thank the Chairman and the staff for their efforts in compiling this Report. I appreciate the expanded scope and the significant additional work it entailed. I look forward to working with my colleagues to ensure that our long-term policies continue to promote a healthy competitive market for mobile wireless services. 1 For a more detailed discussion of our analysis of effective competition, as required by Section 332(c) of the Communications Act, see paragraphs 11-16 infra. 2 Where possible, the Report uses the most current data available, including network coverage data from American Roamer from the fourth quarter of 2009. In other instances, particularly where year-end metrics are discussed or annual comparisons are made, the Report uses year-end 2008 data. See Section II, Introduction, infra, for an additional discussion of data timeframes. 3 All dollar figures included in this Report have not been adjusted for inflation (i.e., they are nominal dollars) unless stated otherwise. 4 “MHz-POPs” refers to the amount of spectrum in a given license or set of frequencies multiplied by the population covered by the geographic area of the spectrum license. For example, the MHz-POPs of a 20 megahertz license covering a geographic area with a population of 1,000 would be 20,000. 5 We note that the American Roamer analysis likely overstates the coverage actually experienced by consumers, because American Roamer reports advertised coverage as reported to it by many mobile wireless service providers, each of which uses a different definition of coverage. The data do not expressly account for factors such as signal strength, bit rate, or in-building coverage, and they may convey a false sense of consistency across geographic areas and service providers. Nonetheless, the analysis is useful because it provides a quantitative baseline that can be compared across network types, technologies, and carriers, over time. Connecting America: The National Broadband Plan, FCC, at 39 (Chapter 4) (rel. Mar. 16, 2010), available at www.broadband.gov (National Broadband Plan). We also recognize that an analysis of coverage at the nationwide level provides only a general benchmark. A nationwide average will mask regional disparities in coverage and create an overall picture that does not capture variances across the country. See Section III.C.1, Number of Competitors, infra. 6 Unless otherwise noted, population data in the Report is taken from U.S. Census Bureau (Census Bureau). For purposes of calculating numbers on broader geographic bases, such as the nationwide penetration rate, we use Census Bureau population estimates as of July 1, 2008. See infra note 473. For purposes of calculating the extent of service provision based on census blocks, we use 2000 Census population figures because that is the Census Bureau’s most recent data about population at the census block level. 7 For purposes of this Report, “mobile broadband” refers to mobile Internet access and other data services provided using Third Generation (3G) and Fourth Generation (4G) mobile network technologies, CDMA EV-DO, WCDMA/HSPA, and WiMAX. Therefore, this coverage analysis estimates the U.S. population, based on census blocks, covered by these technologies. See Section IV.B.1, Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades and Appendix B, Mobile Wireless Network Technologies, infra, for an additional discussion. 8 Data is averaged over a six-month period. 9 See infra note 5 for a discussion of American Roamer data. 10 See Section III.C.1, Number of Competitors, infra. 11 Commercial Mobile Services came to be known as the Commercial Mobile Radio Services, or “CMRS.” CMRS includes a large number of terrestrial services and some mobile satellite services. See 47 C.F.R. § 20.9(10). 12 The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Pub. L. No. 103-66, Title VI, § 6002(b), amending the Communications Act of 1934 and codified at 47 U.S.C. § 332(c). As in the past, this Report bases its analysis on a consumer-oriented view of mobile services by focusing on specific product categories, regardless of their regulatory classification. In some cases, this includes an analysis of offerings outside the umbrella of “services” specifically designated as CMRS. However, because these other services can affect competition in the CMRS market and because providers of these other services can compete with CMRS providers, the Commission has indicated that it is important to consider them in the analysis. As the Commission said, paraphrasing the Department of Justice/Federal Trade Commission guidelines on merger review, “When one product is a reasonable substitute for the other in the eyes of consumers, it is to be included in the relevant product market even though the products themselves are not identical.” Application of Echostar Communications Corporation, General Motors Corporation, and Hughes Electronics Corporation (Transferors) and Echostar Communications Corporation (Transferee), Hearing Designation Order, 17 FCC Rcd 20559, 20606, ¶ 106 (2002). 13 47 U.S.C. § 332(c)(1)(C). 14 47 U.S.C. § 332(c)(1)(C). As noted in previous Reports, any individual proceeding in which the Commission defines relevant product and geographic markets, such as an application for approval of a license transfer, may present facts pointing to narrower or broader markets than any used, suggested, or implied in this Report. See, e.g., Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd 2241, 2252, n. 5 (2008) (Twelfth Report). 15 47 U.S.C. § 332 (c)(1)(C). 16 Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd 6185 (WTB 2009) (Thirteenth Report). 17 “Wireless Telecommunications Bureau Seeks Comment on Commercial Mobile Radio Services Market Competition,” WT Docket No. 09-66, Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd 5618 (WTB 2009) (Fourteenth Report Public Notice). 18 Fourteenth Report Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd at 5619-5620. 19 Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Mobile Wireless, including Commercial Mobile Services, Notice of Inquiry, 24 FCC Rcd 11357, 11359, ¶ 5 (2009) (Competition Report NOI). 20 Id. 21 Id. See Appendix E for a list of commenters. 22 Competition Report NOI, 24 FCC Rcd at 11364-11366, ¶¶ 23-27. 23 In 2007, the Commission classified wireless broadband Internet access service as an information service under the Communications Act and found that wireless broadband Internet access service using mobile technologies was not a “commercial mobile service” as defined in the Act. Appropriate Regulatory Treatment for Broadband Access to the Internet over Wireless Networks, WT Docket No. 07-53, Declaratory Ruling, 22 FCC Rcd 5201 (2007). 24 We note that the regulatory classification of a particular wireless service offered by a CMRS carrier is determined on a case-by-case basis. See Amendment of the Commission’s Rules to Permit Flexible Service Offerings in the Commercial Mobile Radio Service, WT Docket No. 96-6, Second Report and Order and Order on Reconsideration, 15 FCC Rcd 14680, 14683, ¶ 7, 14687, ¶ 15 (2000). Aside from broadband Internet access service, the regulatory classification of services and applications that rely on Internet Protocol (IP-enabled services) is pending. See IP-Enabled Services, WC Docket No. 04-36, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 19 FCC Rcd 4863 (2004). In addition, the Bureau has sought comment on a petition seeking clarification on the regulatory classification of text messaging services. See “Wireless Telecommunications Bureau Seeks Comment on Petition for Declaratory Ruling That Text Messages and Short Codes Are Title II Services or Are Title I Services Subject to Section 202 Non-Discrimination Rules,” Public Notice, 23 FCC Rcd 262 (WTB 2008). 25 See Implementation of Section 6002(b) of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993, Annual Report and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to Commercial Mobile Services, First Report, 10 FCC Rcd 8844 (1995); Second Report, 12 FCC Rcd 11266 (1997); Third Report, 13 FCC Rcd 19746 (1998); Fourth Report, 14 FCC Rcd 10145 (1999); Fifth Report, 15 FCC Rcd 17660 (2000); Sixth Report, 16 FCC Rcd 13350 (2001); Seventh Report, 17 FCC Rcd 12985 (2002); Eighth Report, 18 FCC Rcd 14783 (2003); Ninth Report, 19 FCC Rcd 20597 (2004); Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd 15908 (2005); Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd 10947 (2006); Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd 2241; Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd 6185. The reports can also be found on the Commission’s website at http://wireless.fcc.gov/index.htm?job=cmrs_reports. 26 Commenters have supported expansion of the analysis of the mobile wireless ecosystem. See, e.g., California PUC Reply at 2; New Jersey Division of Rate Council Comments at 4. 27 Spectrum, towers, network equipment, and backhaul facilities can be viewed as input or upstream markets because of their input relation to mobile wireless networks. 28 Messaging includes text and multimedia (photo and video) message services, also referred to as SMS (Short Message Service) and MMS (multimedia messaging services), respectively. 29 Mobile devices, device operating systems, and mobile applications, content, and mobile commerce can be viewed as edge or downstream markets because they are products that utilize mobile wireless services. 30 Fourteenth Report Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd at 5619-5621. 31 See Dennis W. Carlton and Jeffrey M. Perloff, Modern Industrial Organization (4th ed.), Addison, Wesley, Longman, Inc., 2005, at 8, 249-251 (Modern Industrial Organization). 32 This organization is a variant of the Structure-Conduct-Performance framework in economics. We employ this framework as a taxonomy to organize the data, and we recognize the modern critique of economists that this framework is a descriptive model and some of its assumptions are not found in current economic models. See, e.g., Modern Industrial Organization at 2, 268. Numerous commenters supported the use of this framework. See, e.g., Mercatus NOI Comments at 2; CTIA NOI Comments at 72-75, and Verizon Wireless NOI Comments at 2, 7, 8, and 12. 33 See Ernest Gellhorn, Antitrust Law and Economics (4th ed.), West Publishing, 1994, at 117 (stating “Market shares are not synonymous with market power; they should mark the beginning for careful analysis, not the end of it.”) (Antitrust Law and Economics). See also, Michael Whinston, Antitrust Policy toward Horizontal Mergers, in Handbook of Industrial Organization, Volume 3, edited by Mark Armstrong and Robert Porter, at 2411-2414; Massimo Motta, Competition Policy: Theory and Practice, Cambridge University Press, at 117 (Competition Policy). 34 See e.g., Ex Parte Submission of the United States Department of Justice, GN Docket No. 09-51, at 11 (filed Jan. 4, 2010) (stating that “[w]e do not find it helpful to define an abstract notion of whether or not broadband markets are ‘competitive.’”); AT&T PN Comment at 10 (stating that “[r]eal world markets are incredibly complex and cannot be simplified to “silver bullet” or bright-line indicator metrics”). We also note that the Commission’s first seven Annual CMRS Competition Reports did not include an overall conclusion regarding whether or not the CMRS marketplace was effectively competitive. 35 See Ex Parte Submission of the United States Department of Justice, GN Docket No. 09-51 at 11 (filed Jan. 4, 2010). 36 See id. 37 Id. 38 See Section V.A, Subscribership Levels, infra. 39 Even though data-only devices, such as wireless modem cards, mobile Wi-Fi devices, and e-readers, are not used to make circuit-switched voice calls, they are typically assigned telephone numbers because that is the method wireless service providers use to establish accounts and provide access to their networks. 40 See also Section III.C.2, Concentration Measures, infra. 41 Mobile Wi-Fi hotspot devices, such as the Novatel MiFi, can provide mobile broadband Internet access to multiple Wi-Fi-enabled devices, such netbooks, MP3 players, and smartphones. 42 Fixed wireless services, such as those offered by Stelera Wireless, are currently not included in our analysis of mobile wireless services. 43 Sprint Nextel was created by the merger of Sprint Corp. and Nextel Communications, Inc. See Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15931, ¶ 60. 44 T-Mobile USA is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG (Deutsche Telekom). 45 Verizon Wireless is the brand name of Cellco Partnership. See Cellco Partnership, SEC Form 10-Q, filed Oct. 29, 2009, at 5. Verizon Wireless is a joint venture of Verizon Communications, Inc. (Verizon) and Vodafone Group PLC (Vodafone). Verizon owns 55 percent of Verizon Wireless, and Vodafone owns 45 percent. See Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2009, at 3. 46 Rather, a nationwide network covers a sufficiently large percentage of the population such that it would be inappropriate to categorize it as a regional network. 47 These providers have spectrum holdings in different bands, including cellular, SMR, PCS, AWS, 700 MHz, and 2.5 GHz (both BRS licenses and EBS spectrum leases). Their respective holdings are discussed in more detail in Section VII.A.1, Spectrum, and Appendix A, infra. 48 United States Cellular Corp., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 29, 2009, at 1 (stating that US Cellular has 185 geographical markets covering 26 states). 49 Clearwire is discussed in more detail in Section III.E.1, Entry, infra. 50 See Section III.E.2, Exit, infra. 51 American Roamer database, Apr. 2008 and Oct. 2009. The calculation excludes the top-16 facilities-based providers at each date. 52 See Section IV.B.1.c, Roaming, infra. 53 These shares are not necessarily representative of the shares in individual EAs. See Section V.B, Penetration Rates Across Economic Areas (EAs), infra, for a discussion of EA penetration rates. See also, MetroPCS PN Comments at 2. 54 American Roamer database, Oct. 2008 and Oct. 2009; population figures based on census blocks using 2000 Census data. 55 Verizon Wireless and Alltel closed their transaction on January 9, 2009. See Section III.E, Recent Entry and Exit, infra. 56 Includes coverage by WCDMA/HSPA and EV-DO networks. American Roamer database, Nov. 2008 and Nov. 2009; population figures based on census blocks using 2000 Census data. 57 Verizon Wireless and Alltel closed their transaction on January 9, 2009. 58 John C. Hodulik, et al., US Wireless 411 – Version 31.0, UBS Investment Research, UBS, Mar. 23, 2009, at 13 (US Wireless 411 4Q08); John C. Hodulik, et al., US Wireless 411 – Version 33.0, UBS Investment Research, UBS, Aug. 14, 2009, at 13 (US Wireless 411 2Q09). Verizon Wireless Q2 2009 subscriber figure includes Alltel. 59 Verizon Wireless and Alltel closed their merger transaction on January 9, 2009. 60 US Wireless 411 4Q08; Company SEC 10-K filings. These shares are not necessarily representative of the shares in individual EAs. 61 Verizon Wireless, Authorized Retailers and MVNOs, http://www.verizonwireless.com/b2c/aboutUs/reseller/authorizedAgentIndex.jsp (visited Jan. 11, 2010). 62 See Section IV.B.1, Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades, infra. 63 Robert F. Roche and Lesley O’Neill, CTIA’s Wireless Industry Indices, Semi-Annual Data Survey Results: A Comprehensive Report from CTIA Analyzing the U.S. Wireless Industry, Mid-Year2009 Results, Nov. 2008, at 11 (CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report) (“[s]ubscribers to [MVNOs] are accounted for in the results reported by the facilities-based companies that support the [MVNO] offerings.”) 64 See, e.g., Glen Campbell, Get Ready for the Wireless Revenue Bounce, Bank of America, Global Wireless Matrix 4Q09, Dec. 13, 2009, at 10 (Bank of America Global Wireless Matrix 4Q09); John C. Hodulik, et al., US Wireless 411, Version 34.0, UBS, Nov. 16, 2009 (US Wireless 411 3Q09). However, TracFone has received some attention due to its size in the prepaid market. See Phil Cusick, et al., Prepaid Wireless Services, Just Who is TracFone Anyway?, Macquarie Research, June 10, 2009, at 1 (Macquarie - Just Who is TracFone Anyway?). 65 See Section III.C, Horizontal Concentration, infra. 66 See Table C-7, Appendix C. CTIA estimates that there are at least 43 MVNOs. CTIA PN Comments at 6. 67 América Móvil, S.A.B. De C.V., SEC Form 6-K, filed Feb. 3, 2010, at 4. 68 See Phil Cusick, et al., Macquarie - Just Who is TracFone Anyway?, at 1; TracFone, About Us, http://www.tracfone.com/about.jsp?nextPage=about.jsp&task=about (visited Jan. 11, 2010). 69 América Móvil, S.A.B. De C.V., SEC Form 6-K, filed Feb. 3, 2010, at 16. 70 Sprint Nextel Completes Acquisition of Virgin Mobile USA, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Nov. 24, 2009. Prior to this acquisition, Sprint Nextel held an approximate 13 percent interest in Virgin Mobile USA. Sprint Nextel to Acquire Virgin Mobile USA, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, July 28, 2009. 71 Sprint Nextel, SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 6, 2009, at 7. 72 See USA Mobility, Wireless Messaging – Products and Services, http://www.usamobility.com/products/messaging/ (visited Jan. 18, 2010); Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15923, ¶ 33. 73 USA Mobility Inc., SEC Form 10-K, Feb. 25, 2010, at 4. 74 Space Data Corp., Overview of SkySite Network, and http://www.spacedata.net/company.html (visited Jan. 15, 2008); Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15923, ¶ 34. 75 See Skytel, Powering Innovations using SkyTel’s Network-on-Demand Communications Platform, http://www.skytel.com/index.html (visited Apr. 20, 2010). 76 See generally Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6302-09, ¶¶ 253-73; SkyTerra Communications, Inc., Transferor, And Harbinger Capital Partners Funds, Transferee, Applications for Consent to Transfer of Control of SkyTerra Subsidiary, LLC, IB Docket No. 08-184, Memorandum Opinion and Order and Declaratory Ruling, DA 10-535, ¶¶ 33-36 (rel. Mar. 26, 2010) (SkyTerra/Harbinger). 77 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6301, ¶ 247; SIA PN Comments at 2-3. 78 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6301, ¶ 247. See also, SIA PN Comments at 2. 79 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6301, ¶ 247. See also, SIA PN Comments at 2; Flexibility for Delivery of Communications by Mobile Satellite Service Providers in the 2 GHz Band, the LBand, and the 1.6/2.4 GHz bands; Review of the Spectrum Sharing Plan Among Non-Geostationary Satellite Orbit Mobile Satellite Service Systems in the 1.6/2.4 GHz Bands, Report and Order and Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 18 FCC Rcd 1962, 1984, ¶ 39 (2003), modified sua sponte, Order on Reconsideration, 18 FCC Rcd 13590 (2003), on reconsideration, Memorandum Opinion and Order and Second Order on Reconsideration, 20 FCC Rcd 4616 (2005), further recon. pending. 80 See generally SkyTerra/Harbinger, ¶¶ 40-54. 81 Id. at ¶ 40. 82 Id. at ¶¶ 33-36, 40. 83 Id. at ¶ 62. 84 Some fixed wireless services are being offered, under ATC authority, by Open Range Communications, which is leasing spectrum from MSS licensee Globalstar LLC. 85 See Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2345-2352, ¶¶ 259-289; Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd 24 at 6298-6309, ¶¶ 240-273, 86 See “IB Invites Comment for Third Annual Report to Congress on Status of Competition in Satellite Services Market,” Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd 5424, 5426 (2009). 87 A census block is the smallest geographic unit for which the Census Bureau tabulates decennial census data. See, U.S. Census Bureau, Glossary Of Basic Geographic And Related Terms - Census 2000, http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tiger/glossary.html#glossary (visited Dec. 15, 2008). Many blocks correspond to individual city blocks bounded by streets, but blocks – especially in rural areas – may include many square miles and may have some boundaries that are not streets. The Census Bureau established blocks covering the entire nation for the first time in 1990. Previous censuses back to 1940 had blocks established only for part of the nation. Over 8 million blocks are identified for Census 2000. U.S. Census Bureau, Question & Answer Center, http://www.census.gov (visited Oct. 2, 2008). The mean size of a census block is .0460 square miles, and its median size is 0.016 square miles with a range of 0.0000001 to 8,081 square miles; its mean population is 34.3 people, while its median population is 8.0 people, with a range of 0 to 23,373 people. Commission analysis is based on Census 2000 “Summary File 1 (SF 1),” U.S. Census Bureau, United States Census 2000, http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/2001/sumfile1.html (visited Dec. 15, 2008). 88 American Roamer provides data on carriers under contract as coverage boundary maps based on the coverage boundaries provided to them by mobile wireless network operators. American Roamer began in 1985 as the original vendor of custom printed roaming guides for cellular carriers, but has since evolved into a provider of data and mapping for the mobile wireless industry. See American Roamer, http://www.americanroamer.com (visited Dec. 16, 2008). 89 National Broadband Plan, at 39 (Chapter 4). 90 Id. 91 An enlarged version of this map can be found in Appendix D. 92 Commission estimates based on American Roamer database, Oct. 2009 and Nov. 2009. The estimates include Clearwire’s mobile WiMAX network coverage from November 2009. Population and land area are based on census blocks. POPs are from the 2000 Census, and square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. 93 Commission estimates based on American Roamer database, Oct. 2009 and Nov. 2009. The estimates include Clearwire’s mobile WiMAX network coverage from November 2009. Population and land area are based on census blocks. POPs are from the 2000 Census, and square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. In this analysis, Federal lands consist of lands owned or administered by the Federal Government, including the Bureau of Land Management, the Bureau of Reclamation, the U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service, the Department of Defense, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, the National Park Service, the Tennessee Valley Authority, and other agencies. Only areas of one square mile (640 acres) or more are included. Indian lands are not included in Federal lands. See U.S. Department of the Interior, Federal Lands of the United States, http://www.nationalatlas.gov/mld/fedlanp.html (visited Dec. 16, 2008). 94 Service Rules for the 698-746, 747-762 and 777-792 MHz Bands; Revision of the Commission’s Rules to Ensure Compatibility with Enhanced 911 Emergency Calling Systems; Section 68.4(a) of the Commission's Rules Governing Hearing Aid-Compatible Telephones; Biennial Regulatory Review – Amendment of Parts 1, 22, 24, 27, and 90 to Streamline and Harmonize Various Rules Affecting Wireless Radio Services; Former Nextel Communications, Inc. Upper 700 MHz Guard Band Licenses and Revisions to Part 27 of the Commission’s Rules; Implementing a Nationwide, Broadband, Interoperable Public Safety Network in the 700 MHz Band; and Development of Operational, Technical and Spectrum Requirements for Meeting Federal, State and Local Public Safety Communications Requirements Through the Year 2010, Second Report and Order, 22 FCC Rcd 15289, 15350, ¶ 160 (2007). 95 See U.S. Department of the Interior, Federal Lands and Indian Reservations, http://www.nationalatlas.gov/printable/fedlands.html (visited Jan. 18, 2010). 96 See Table 5; RTG PN Comments at 2. 97 Commission estimates are based on American Roamer database, Oct. 2009. The estimates exclude Clearwire’s mobile WiMAX network coverage. Population and land area are based on census blocks. POPs are from the 2000 Census, and square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. 98 Commission estimates are based on American Roamer database, Nov. 2009. The estimates include coverage by all EVDO, EVDO Rev. A, HSPA/UMTS/WCDMA, and mobile WiMAX networks. Population and land area are based on census blocks. POPs are from the 2000 Census, and square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. 99 Equivalently, 12 million people, or 4.2 percent of the U.S. population, are not served by three or more mobile service providers. 100 Equivalently, 26 million people, or 9.2 percent of the U.S. population, are not served by four or more mobile service providers. 101 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6258, ¶ 146, Table 10. 102 Id. 103 The estimated percentage of the population covered by four or more mobile broadband providers was not provided in the Thirteenth Report. 104 Due to confidentiality requirements, the Commission does not publish subscriber share data for local markets. See Section III.B, Overview of Service Providers, supra, for estimates and a discussion of subscriber shares at a nationwide level. 105 The HHI is calculated by summing the squares of all provider subscriber shares in the EA. When a single firm is the sole supplier in the relevant market (a pure monopoly), the HHI attains its maximum value of 10,000 (100 x 100). If there are ten providers, each with ten percent of the market, the value of HHI would be 1,000 [(10)2 x 10]. As the structure of a market becomes progressively more atomistic, the value of HHI approaches 0. 106 The value of the HHI decreases as the number of firms increases (provided that no existing firm’s share of subscribers increases). For a given number of firms, the value of the HHI can increase as the inequality in subscriber shares increases. For example, if four carriers are identified as participants in the relevant markets and each carrier accounts for 25 percent of total sales, the value of HHI would be 2500 [(25)2 x 4]. If there are still only four carriers but the top carrier has a 40 percent subscriber share while each of the remaining three carriers has 20 percent, the value of HHI increases from 2500 to 2800 [(40)2 + (20)2 x 3]. If the number of carriers increases to five, each with a 20 percent subscriber share, the value of the HHI declines to 2000 [(20)2 x 5]. 107 U.S. Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission, Horizontal Merger Guidelines, Rev. Apr. 8, 1997, at § 1.51, available at http://www.justice.gov/atr/public/guidelines/horiz_book/hmg1.html (visited Apr. 21, 2010) (Horizontal Merger Guidelines). In April 2010, the FTC proposed that an HHI above 2500 be the guideline for a market to be considered highly concentrated in the Horizontal Merger Guidelines. See FTC, Horizontal Merger Guidelines, For Public Comment, (rel. Apr. 20, 2010), available at http://www.ftc.gov/os/2010/04/100420hmg.pdf. 108 Horizontal Merger Guidelines, at § 1.51. 109 Applications of AT&T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation For Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations, File Nos. 0001656065, et al., Memorandum Opinion & Order, 19 FCC Rcd 21522, 21568 ¶ 108 (2004). 110 See Section III.A, Introduction, supra. Although the Commission typically uses 734 CMAs to calculate HHIs when it evaluates the competitive consequences of certain transactions, we use 172 EAs to calculate HHIs in this Report. We use EAs in this Report to maintain continuity with past Reports and to avoid compromising the confidential information found in the NRUF data. The subscribers of MVNOs are included with the subscribers of their hosting facilities-based providers. 111 The methodology used to compile NRUF data is described in Section V.A, Subscribership Levels, infra. 112 For instance, in the Commission’s review of the transfers and assignments of mobile wireless licenses, it has typically used CMAs, which generally are smaller than EAs, as the relevant geographic market for calculating HHIs. 113 See Appendix C, Table C-3, infra, for EA subscribership levels, penetration rates, and population densities. The weighted average assigns proportionately greater (less) weight to EAs that have a higher (lower) population. The simple average (not weighted by population) is 3775. If one weights by market output shares (i.e. number of subscribers) a similar figure is obtained. 114 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6259, ¶ 151. 115 The Verizon/Alltel transaction was approved by the Commission in November 2008 and closed on January 9, 2009. See Section III.E, Recent Entry and Exit, infra. The HHI calculations allocate to Verizon Wireless those Alltel subscribers that are not to be divested under the order. 116 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6212, ¶ 46. The lowest EA value was 1795 in EA 28 and the highest was 6272 in EA 121. 117 Applications of AT&T Inc. and Centennial Communications Corp. For Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses, Authorizations, and Spectrum Leasing Arrangements, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 24 FCC Rcd 13915 (2009) (AT&T-Centennial Order). 118 The service areas that met the screen were not subject to an automatic divestiture condition. In some cases, the parties agree to a voluntary divestiture of service areas that meet the HHI screen, in which case no further competitive analysis is necessary. 119 Population-weighted average of 172 EAs based on Commission estimates using NRUF and Census Bureau population data. 120 Based on data shown in Table 8. 121 The highest population density, 891, occurs in EA 34 (Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL), and the lowest population density, 1, occurs in EA 171 (Anchorage, AK). 122 The Commission conducted a regression analysis of data at the EA level in September 2008, which indicates that concentration in the mobile wireless market (measured by the HHI) tends to decline with increases in market size, population density, per capita income, and percentage of the population living in urban areas. 123 See Jonathan B. Baker and Timothy Bresnahan, “Economic Evidence in Antitrust: Defining Markets and Measuring Market Power” in Handbook of Antitrust Economics, ed. Paolo Buccirossi, (Cambridge: MIT Press, 2008), 15. See also, Antitrust Law and Economics, at 117. 124 See Section IV.A, Price Rivalry: Developments in Mobile Service Pricing Plans, infra. 125 See Sections VII.A.1, Spectrum and VII.A.2, Infrastructure Facilities, infra, for a further discussion. 126 Adjustment costs are costs that delay entry or delay entry by incumbents into new markets. See Dennis W. Carlton, Why Barriers to Entry are Barriers to Understanding, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2004, 94: 2, at 468-469 (Barriers to Understanding). See also R. Preston McAfee, et al., What Is a Barrier to Entry?, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2004, 94: 2, at 463 (What Is a Barrier to Entry?). 127 One example of a regulatory delay would be the clearing of a spectrum band. Economists argue that some operating licenses and other legal restrictions that serve to limit access to the market are barriers to entry, i.e., they create positive economic profits for incumbents. See Jean Tirole, The Theory of Industrial Organization, MIT Press, 1988, at 305 (The Theory of Industrial Organization). See also, Hal R. Varian, Intermediate Microeconomics: A Modern Approach, W. W. Norton and Company, 1999, at 395 (Intermediate Microeconomics). Legal entry conditions that are not included under regulatory entry conditions could include corporate tax rates, a factor that directly affects profit calculations and hence entry conditions. 128 See Modern Industrial Organization at 12, 61-62. See also, The Theory of Industrial Organization, at 34; George S. Ford, et al., Competition After Unbundling: Entry, Industry Structure, and Convergence, FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS LAW JOURNAL, 2007, 59: 2, at 342 (Competition After Unbundling). 129 See Theodore S. Rappaport, Wireless Communications: Principles and Practice (2nd ed.), Prentice Hall, 2002, at 58. 130 Further discussion and data on the market for spectrum, recent spectrum auctions, upcoming spectrum auctions, and spectrum policy can be found in Section VII.A.1, Spectrum, infra and Appendix A, infra. 131 See FCC, Spectrum Policy Task Force, Report of the Spectrum Efficiency Working Group, 2002, at 16, (Spectrum Policy Task Force Report). A discussion of the Commission’s flexible licensing policies and their effects on network deployment can be found in Section IV.B.1, Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades, infra. 132 Petition for Declaratory Ruling to Clarify Provisions of Section 332(c)(7)(B) to Ensure Timely Siting Review and to Preempt Under Section 253 State and Local Ordinances that Classify All Wireless Siting Proposals as Requiring a Variance, WT Docket No. 08-165, Declaratory Ruling, 24 FCC Rcd 13994, 14005 ¶ 33 (2009). 133 Id. at 13995, ¶ 4. 134 Id. at 13995 ¶ 4, 14013 ¶ 49. 135 Id. at 13995-96, ¶ 5. 136 High economic profits encourage entry to the market, low economic profits discourage entry, and prolonged negative economic profits induce exit from the market. See Intermediate Microeconomics, at 394-395, 503; Modern Industrial Organization, at 61, 76. See also, Competition After Unbundling, at 334. 137 See Competition After Unbundling, at 344. See also, Andreu Mas-Colell, et al., Microeconomic Theory, Oxford University Press, 1995, at 383-384, 423. 138 The backhaul transport link generally refers to the communications link between the cell site radio equipment and the core network. 139 See, e.g., Ex Parte Submission of the United States Department of Justice, GN Docket No. 09-51 (Economic Issues in Broadband Competition, A National Broadband Plan for our Future), at 14; and Jonathan E. Nuechterlein and Philip J. Weiser, Digital Crossroads, American Telecommunications Policy in the Internet Age, MIT Press, 2005, at 274. 140 Fixed costs are costs that are associated with fixed factors in production and are generally incurred independent of the quantity of output. However, fixed costs can change if maximum production capacity is changed. They can be financed in many ways, including over time. See Intermediate Microeconomics, at 353. 141 See W. Kip Viscusi, et al., Economics of Regulation and Antitrust (3rd ed.), MIT Press, 2000, at 150 (Economics of Regulation and Antitrust). See also, Competition Policy, at 51, 76. See also, Avner Shaked and John Sutton, Product Differentiation and Industrial Structure, THE JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, Vol. 36, No. 2 (Dec. 1987), at 131, 141 (arguing that markets are concentrated because market demand is high and the advancing technological frontier requires recurrent fixed costs). See also, Competition After Unbundling, at 332, 337. For the use of fixed costs to estimate market concentration, see, e.g., Modern Industrial Organization, at 41; Economics of Regulation and Antitrust, at 150. For the relevance of the size of sunk costs to predict market concentration, see Competition Policy, at 76-79; Competition After Unbundling, at 337; and Barriers to Understanding, at 467. See also, Written Statement of George S. Ford, Ph.D., Chief Economist, Phoenix Center for Advanced Legal & Economic Public Studies, Before the House of Representatives, Committee on Energy and Commerce, Subcommittee Telecommunications and the Internet, Hearing on “An Examination of Competition in the Wireless Industry,” May 7, 2009, at 5, (estimating that three to five nationwide carriers will be able to provide mobile services, including mobile broadband). 142 See Section III.C, Horizontal Concentration, infra. 143 See Barriers to Understanding, at 468; What is a Barrier to Entry?, at 463. 144 See, e.g., Barriers to Understanding, at 469; Malcolm B. Coate, Theory Meets Practice: Barriers to Entry in Merger Analysis, REVIEW OF LAW AND ECONOMICS, vol. 4, Feb. 2008, at 190 (Theory Meets Practice); What is a Barrier to Entry?, at 463-465. The difference between an adjustment cost and a barrier to entry (i.e. a permanent asymmetry in firms’ costs) may, in practice, be a matter of degree, depending on the length of the delay caused by the adjustment cost. See What is a Barrier to Entry?, at 464 (arguing that economies of scale are not barriers to entry), and 465 (arguing that sunk costs cause firms to delay entry because of their option value). 145 Calculated by dividing the total net auction revenue by spectrum bandwidth and by the population in the year 2000. 146 Spectrum Bridge Inc.’s online market exchange, SpecEx, can be accessed at http://www.specex.com/Default.aspx (visited Apr. 21, 2010). 147 A scale effect can occur when positive network externalities increase with the size of the network, a relationship known as “network effects.” See Competition Policy, at 82 (stating that greater network coverage, by increasing the pool of network users, increases the quality of the service, and, hence, the benefits consumers derive from the good). 148 See Comments of Mobile Satellite Ventures Subsidiary LLC, WT Docket No. 06-150, Service Rules for the 698-746, 747-762 and 777-792 MHz Bands (filed June 20, 2008), at 49 (MSV 700 MHz Comments). 149 See Section IV.B.1.c, Roaming, infra, for an additional discussion of roaming. 150 See MSV 700 MHz Comments. See also, Space Data Corporation Comments, WT Docket No. 06-150, PS Docket No. 06-229, Exhibit A (filed June 20, 2008) (backhaul cost ranging from $2,500 to $6,000); Clearwire NOI Comments at 8. 151 See Section VII.A.1, Spectrum, infra. 152 See Sections IV.B.3, Differentiation in Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices and VII.B.1, Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices and Operating Systems, infra, for a more detailed discussion of handsets and devices. 153 According to the Nielsen Company’s Mobile Insights survey, in the first quarter of 2009, the specific handset was the seventh ranking factor in consumers’ choice of a provider. Roger Entner, When Choosing A Carrier Does the iPhone Really Matter?, NIELSEN WIRE, Aug. 10, 2009 (citing data from The Nielsen Company’s Mobile Insights survey). 154 See Section VII.B.1, Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices and Operating Systems, infra. 155 Lack of access to a particular good due to a legal restriction may have an effect on potential entrants similar to the good having a high price. However, see Competition Policy, at 378 (stating that it is well-known that exclusivity agreements can benefit innovation and consumers; the trade-offs must be evaluated in a case-by-case cost-benefit analysis). 156 See Barriers to Understanding, at 467 (Advertising, like investments that raise product quality, is as common a competitive behavior in high-technology industries as price competition is in industries that are characterized by less product innovation). See also, Modern Industrial Organization, at 80 (If an incumbent has never had any rivals [i.e. it is a monopolist] then asymmetries in advertising costs between the incumbent and entrant can constitute a barrier to entry, because the monopolist has never had to bear these costs). However, the wireless telephony/broadband market is not a monopoly, and incumbent providers incur significant advertising costs as a component of their rivalry. 157 We note that acquisition of spectrum, in itself, is not necessarily a good predictor of timely entry into a market. For a discussion of the discrepancy between the spectrum license coverage of some facilities-based providers and their network coverage, see Section VII.A.1, Spectrum, infra. 158 See Theory Meets Practice, at 206. 159 Id. at 190. 160 Sprint Nextel Corporation, SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 11, 2009, at 13. 161 Sprint Nextel Corporation, SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 27, 2009, at 3. 162 Id. 163 See NCTA NOI Comments at 3. 164 Clearwire Corp., SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 10, 2009, at 26. 165 Clearwire Corp., SEC Form 10-K, filed Mar. 26, 2009, at 3, 9 (“Mobile WiMAX technology enables us to offer mobile and fixed communications services over a single wireless network.”); Clear, Mobile Internet, http://www.clear.com/shop/services/mobile (visited Apr. 20, 2010); Clear, Home Internet, http://www.clear.com/shop/services/home (visited Apr. 20, 2010). 166 Clearwire Corp., SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 10, 2009, at 3. 167 Id. at 29. 168 Clearwire Corp., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2010, at 2. 169 Id. 170 Id. 171 Clearwire Corp., SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 10, 2009, at 30. 172 See Sprint Nextel Corporation, SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 11, 2009, at 7. 173 For example, the Twelfth Report discusses how, following the acquisition of new spectrum holdings in 2006, T-Mobile, Leap, and MetroPCS entered new markets. See Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2265, ¶ 75. See also, Cellular South, About Us, https://www.cellularsouth.com/aboutus/index.html (visited Jan. 4, 2010) (stating that, since 2006, Cellular South has significantly increased the size of its regional coverage). 174 Leap, About Leap, http://www.leapwireless.com/l1_about_leap.htm (visited Jan. 13, 2010). 175 Leap Wireless International Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Mar. 1, 2010, at 1. Verizon Wireless claims that Leap and MetroPCS have been achieving penetration rates of between 8 and 13 percent in markets where they have been active for five or more years. See Verizon Wireless PN Comments at 4. 176 MetroPCS Communications Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Mar. 1, 2010, at 5. 177 Cox to Launch Next Generation Bundle with Wireless in 2009, Press Release, Cox, Oct. 27, 2008. Cox holds the spectrum through the SpectrumCo LLC joint venture, the entity that purchased the AWS spectrum at the Commission’s 2006 AWS-1 Auction and originally included three other cable operators. The other operators subsequently left the SpectrumCo venture, and Cox is the only remaining member. Marguerite Reardon, Cox Wireless Coming in March, CNET NEWS, Jan. 14, 2010, available at http://news.cnet.com/8301-30686_3-10434831-266.html. 178 Cox to Launch Next Generation Bundle with Wireless in 2009, Press Release, Cox, Oct. 27, 2008; NCTA NOI Comments at 2. 179 See Huawei to Provide CDMA Technology for Cox Communications’ Wireless Network, Press Release, Huawei Technologies, Apr. 1, 2009. See also, Amol Sharma and Sarah Silver, Huawei Tries to Crack U.S. Market, WALL STREET JOURNAL, Mar. 26, 2009, at B2. 180 See Cox Enterprises, 2008 Annual Report, at 3, available at http://www.corporatereport.com/cox2008/index.html (visited Apr. 20, 2010). 181 See Amol Sharma and Vishesh Kumar, Cox Plans to Launch a Cellular Network, WALL STREET JOURNAL, Apr. 8, 2009, at B5. 182 See Cox, Cox Communications Fact Sheet, http://ww2.cox.com/aboutus/oklahomacity/newsroom/press-resources/fact-sheet.cox (visited Jan. 4, 2010). 183 See Competition Policy, at 238. See also, Daniel Birke and G. M. Peter Swann, Network Effects and the Choice of Mobile Phone Operator, JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY ECONOMICS, 2006, 16: 65 – 84. 184 See Jonathan B. Baker, Developments in Antitrust Economics, JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES, 1999, 13: 1, 182. 185 See Economics of Regulation and Antitrust, at 126. 186 See Section III.B.1, Facilities-Based Providers, supra, for a discussion of the term “nationwide.” 187 The Commission must consent to the transfer of control or assignment of all non pro-forma spectrum licenses used to provide wireless telecommunications services. 47 C.F.R. § 1.948. 188 See, e.g., AT&T-Centennial Order, 24 FCC Rcd at 13915. 189 The Commission consented to that merger in August, 2005. Applications of Nextel Communications, Inc. and Sprint Corporation For Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations, File Nos. 0002031766, et al., WT Docket No. 05-63, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 20 FCC Rcd 13967 (2005). 190 Sprint Nextel Corporation and Clearwire Corporation, Applications for Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses, Leases, and Authorizations, WT Docket No. 08-94, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 23 FCC Rcd 17570 (2008) (Sprint Nextel-Clearwire Order). See also, Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6218, ¶¶ 59-60. 191 Applications of AT&T Inc. and Dobson Communications Corporation For Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations, File Nos. 0003092368 et al., WT Docket No. 07-153, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 22 FCC Rcd 20295 (2007) (AT&T-Dobson Order). 192 Application of Aloha Spectrum Holdings Company LLC (Assignor) and AT&T Mobility II LLC (Assignee) Seeking FCC Consent For Assignment of Licenses and Authorizations, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 23 FCC Rcd 2234, 2337 ¶ 13 (2008); Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2241 ¶ 64. 193 AT&T-Centennial Order. 194 AT&T Completes Acquisition of Centennial Communications, Press Release, AT&T, Nov. 6, 2009. See also, AT&T Inc., SEC Form 8-K, filed Nov. 6, 2009. 195 AT&T-Centennial Order, 24 FCC Rcd at 13919, ¶ 8. 196 Id. at 13919, ¶ 9. 197 Id. at 13981, ¶ 166. 198 Id. at 13961, ¶ 111. The DOJ required divestiture in an additional market. Id. at 13926, ¶ 23. 199 Id. at 13968, ¶ 129. 200 Id. at 13955-57, ¶¶ 94, 99, 100. 201 Id. at 13955, ¶ 95. 202 Id. 203 Id. at 13956, ¶¶ 96-98. 204 Applications of T-Mobile USA, Inc. and SunCom Wireless Holdings, Inc. For Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations and Petition for Declaratory Ruling that the Transaction is Consistent with Section 310(b)(4) of the Communications Act, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 23 FCC Rcd 2515, 2526 ¶ 27 (2008); Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2272, ¶¶ 67-68. 205 Applications of Cellco Partnership d/b/a Verizon Wireless and Rural Cellular Corporation, for Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses, Authorizations, and Spectrum Manager Leases, and Petitions for Declaratory Ruling that the Transaction is Consistent with Section 310(b)(4) of the Communications Act, WT Docket No. 07-208, Memorandum Opinion and Order and Declaratory Ruling, 23 FCC Rcd 12463, 12465 ¶ 3 (2008) (Verizon-RCC Order); Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6217, ¶¶ 57-58. 206 Verizon Wireless To Acquire Alltel; Will Expand Nation’s Most Reliable Wireless Network, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, June 5, 2008. 207 Id. 208 Id. 209 Id. 210 Id. 211 “Verizon Wireless and Atlantis Holdings LLC Seek FCC Consent to Transfer Licenses, Spectrum Manager and De Facto Transfer Leasing Arrangements, and Authorizations, and Request a Declaratory Ruling on Foreign Ownership,” WT Docket No. 08-95, Public Notice, 23 FCC Rcd 10004 (WTB 2008). 212 Applications of Cellco Partnership d/b/a Verizon Wireless and Atlantis Holdings LLC For Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses, Authorizations, and Spectrum Manager and De Facto Transfer Leasing Arrangements and Petition for Declaratory Ruling that the Transaction is Consistent with Section 310(b)(4) of the Communications Act, WT Docket No. 08-95, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 23 FCC Rcd 17444, 17546-47 ¶ 233 (2008) (Verizon Wireless-Alltel Order). 213 Id. at 17491-93, ¶¶ 100-106. 214 See id. at 17515-16, 17524-25, 17546-47, ¶¶ 157, 178-181, 233. The Commission conditioned its approval of the transaction on Verizon Wireless’s compliance with a voluntary commitment to phase out its requests for federal high-cost universal service support over a five-year transition period and with a voluntary commitment to use counties for measuring compliance with the Commission’s wireless E911 location accuracy rules governing handset-based technologies. Id. at 17532-33, ¶¶ 197 & 201. 215 Verizon Wireless Completes Purchase of Alltel; Creates Nation’s Largest Wireless Carrier, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Jan. 9, 2009. 216 For a discussion of the divestiture requirements of these transactions, see Verizon-RCC Order 23 FCC Rcd at 12512-15, ¶¶ 110-122; Verizon Wireless-Alltel Order, 23 FCC Rcd 17491-93, 17515-18, ¶¶ 99-106, 157-162; AT&T-Centennial Order, 24 FCC Rcd 13960-63, ¶ 109-119. 217 AT&T Updates Anticipated Completion Date of Divestiture Properties From Verizon Wireless, Press Release, AT&T, Dec. 11, 2009. See “AT&T Inc. and Cellco Partnership d/b/a Verizon Wireless Seek FCC Consent To Assign or Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations and Modify a Spectrum Leasing Arrangement,” WT Docket No. 09-104, Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd 8171 (WTB 2009). These service areas include areas in Alabama, Arizona, California, Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, Virginia and Wyoming. See AT&T to Acquire Divestiture Properties from Verizon Wireless, Enhance Network Coverage and Customer Service, Press Release, AT&T, May 8, 2009. 218 See “Atlantic Tele-Network, Inc. and Verizon Wireless Seek FCC Consent To Assign or Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations,” WT Docket No. 09-119, Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd 9035 (WTB 2009); Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-Q, filed Oct. 29, 2009, at 8. 219 AT&T Completes Acquisition of Centennial Communications, Press Release, AT&T, Nov. 6, 2009. See “Cellco Partnership d/b/a Verizon Wireless and AT&T Inc. Seek FCC Consent To Assign or Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations and Request a Declaratory Ruling on Foreign Ownership,” WT Docket No. 09-121, Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd 11314 (WTB 2009). 220 Verizon Wireless-Alltel Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 17518, ¶ 162. 221 See CTIA NOI Comments, at 63-64. 222 See Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15946, ¶ 98. 223 See Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2292, ¶ 113; CTIA PN Comments at 24-28. 224 Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 10984, ¶ 91. See also Allie Winter, Verizon Wireless Apes Alltel’s My Circle With New Small Businesses Calling Plan, RCR WIRELESS NEWS, June 11, 2008 (reporting that, in June 2008, Verizon Wireless also introduced a new plan for businesses, allowing unlimited calling between a Verizon Wireless number and up to five wireline numbers for $5 per line). 225 Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 10984, ¶ 91. 226 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6244, ¶112. 227 Id. at 6246, ¶118. 228 Id. at 6247, ¶120. 229 See id. at 6295, ¶231; RTG PN Comments at 10. 230 David W. Barden, et al., Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, Bank of America, Equity Research, Oct. 5, 2009, at 6 (Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building). 231 Id. at 1, 5. 232 Id. at 6. 233 Id. 234 Id. 235 Id.; John C. Hodulik, et al., Waiting for T-Mobile to Pull the Price Lever, UBS, Global Equity Research, Oct. 12, 2009, at 3 (T-Mobile Price Lever). 236 T-Mobile Price Lever, at 3; Craig Moffet, et al., U.S. Wireless ’09: A Recipe for Disaster?, Bernstein Research, Mar. 5, 2009, at 15 (Recipe for Disaster). 237 David W. Barden, et al., Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Tick Tock, Bank of America, Equity Research, Jan. 10, 2010, at 1-2, 5-6 (Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Tick Tock); Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, at 1, 3. 238 Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Tick Tock, at 1-2, 5. 239 Id. at 5. 240 Id. at 6; Recipe for Disaster, at 26. 241 Recipe for Disaster, at 26. 242 Roger Cheng, Wal-Mart Wireless Expands, Wall Street Journal, Oct. 15, 2009. See also, Roger Entner, When Choosing a Carrier, Does the iPhone Really Matter?, NIELSENWIRE, Aug. 10, 2009, at 2 (noting that “the number of consumers who perceive Verizon Wireless as having the best mobile network has shot up over the last two years and it leads its closest competitor now by an almost 2:1 margin”). 243 T-Mobile Price Lever, at 2. 244 Verizon Wireless Offers Simple, Affordable Convenience With New Unlimited Voice Plans, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Jan. 15, 2010; Simon Flannery et al., Quick Comment: Verizon’s Price Plan Changes Should Not Rattle Postpaid Market, Morgan Stanley, Equity Research, Jan. 15, 2010, at 1-2 (Verizon’s Price Plan Changes). 245 AT&T Announces New Unlimited Plans, Press Release, AT&T, Jan. 15, 2010. 246 Jonathan Chaplin, et al., Breaking View: VZ Pricing Changes Not Deflationary, Credit Suisse, Equity Research, Jan. 15, 2010, at 1, 6. 247 Tony Adam, The Ultimate Cell Phone Plans Comparison, BillShrink.com, Jan. 18, 2010, available at http://androidandme.com/2010/01/news/billshrink-compares-smartphone-data-plans-t-mobile-comes-out-on-top/. 248 Letter from Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC, and Mark Stone, Acting Chief, Consumer and Governmental Affairs Bureau, FCC, to Steven E. Zipperstein, Vice President – Legal and External Government Affairs, General Counsel and Secretary, Verizon Wireless, WT Docket No. 05-194, CG Docket No. 09-158, (Dec. 18, 2009) (WTB ETF Letter to Verizon Wireless). 249 Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2293, ¶ 115; Verizon Wireless Expands the ‘Worry-Free Wireless Guarantee’ It Pioneered, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Nov. 16, 2006. Verizon Wireless reduces its $175 ETF for regular handsets by $5 per month for each full month the customer retained Verizon Wireless’s service, while it reduces its $350 ETF for designated advanced devices by $10 per month for each full month of service completed by the customer. 250 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6245, ¶115; Verizon Wireless Statement on Wireless Service Pricing Options, Press Release, Verizon, Nov. 9, 2009. 251 Verizon Wireless Offers Simple, Affordable Convenience With New Unlimited Voice Plans, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Jan. 15, 2010; Jonathan Chaplin, et al., Breaking View: VZ Pricing Changes Not Deflationary, Credit Suisse, Equity Research, Jan. 15, 2010, at 1, 6; Verizon’s Price Plan Changes, at 1. 252 Verizon Wireless Offers Simple, Affordable Convenience With New Unlimited Voice Plans, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Jan. 15, 2010. See also, Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6246-48, ¶¶ 119-122, for a detailed discussion of the variety of pricing options for mobile broadband and data services. 253 Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Tick Tock, at 9-10; Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, at 1-2. 254 Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, at 1-2, 16. 255 Id. at 16; Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Tick Tock, at 9. 256 Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, at 1-2. 257 Id. at 2. 258 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6245, ¶ 115. 259 T-Mobile, Plans, http://www.t-mobile.com/shop/plans/Cell-Phone-Plans-Overview.aspx?WT.z_HP=shop_plans_DL (visited Feb. 22, 1010). 260 Saul Hansell, Is There is Method in Cellphone Madness?, NEW YORK TIMES, Nov. 15, 2009. 261 See Section V.A.2, Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Pricing Plan, infra, for information on mobile wireless subscribers by pricing plan. 262 Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2293-94, ¶ 116. 263 Id. 264 Id. 265 Id. 266 Recipe for Disaster, at 20. 267 Phil Cusick et al., Slumdog Millionaires, Macquarie Capital, Equity Research, May 1, 2009, at 3 (Slumdog Millionaires). 268 Slumdog Millionaires, at 3. 269 Craig Moffett et al., U.S. Wireless Industry Scorecard: The Haves and the Have-Nots Diverge, Bernstein Research, Nov. 6, 2009, at 1, 9 (The Haves and the Have-Nots Diverge); Slumdog Millionaires, at 4. 270 The Haves and the Have-Nots Diverge, at 9; Slumdog Millionaires, at 1; Roger Cheng, TracFone’s Prepaid Niche, WALL STREET JOURNAL, Mar. 4, 2009 (TracFone’s Prepaid Niche). 271 TracFone’s Prepaid Niche; Slumdog Millionaires, at 4, 24. 272 Slumdog Millionaires, at 24; CTIA PN Comments at 26. 273 TracFone’s Prepaid Niche. 274 The Haves and the Have-Nots Diverge, at 10; Slumdog Millionaires, at 25; TracFone’s Prepaid Niche. 275 See Verizon Wireless PN Comments at 6 (“Prepaid and no-contract options for consumers are growing, and though they’ve been pioneered by smaller companies, the national providers are starting to respond to this competition by expanding their own prepaid and no-contract options”); CTIA PN Comments at 24-26. 276 Roger Cheng, Wal-Mart Wireless Expands, WALL STREET JOURNAL, Oct. 15, 2009 (Wal-Mart Wireless Expands). 277 Wal-Mart Wireless Expands. 278 Wal-Mart Wireless Expands; Craig Moffett et al., Weekend Media Blast: Tilt, Bernstein Research, Jul. 10, 2009, at 1 (Weekend Media Blast: Tilt). 279 Recipe for Disaster, at 16. 280 Id. at 14; Slumdog Millionaires, at 5, 16. 281 Slumdog Millionaires, at 5. 282 Wal-Mart Wireless Expands; Weekend Media Blast: Tilt, at 1. 283 Weekend Media Blast: Tilt, at 1. 284 Wal-Mart Wireless Expands; Recipe for Disaster, at 14. 285 Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, at 6-7. 286 Id. at 7. 287 Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Tick Tock, at 2-3. 288 Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, at 6-7; Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Tick Tock, at 2-3. 289 See CTIA NOI Comments, at 63-64. 290 See AT&T PN Comments at 16; AT&T NOI Comments at 36. As discussed in the Thirteenth Report, network upgrades in previous years have focused on improving voice quality and call-completion rates, minimizing dead zones and dropped calls, and adding calling features. Providers have addressed many of these issues by increasing the number of cell sites in their networks, and adding micro-cell sites, repeaters, and in-building wireless systems. See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6262, ¶ 159. 291 Simon Flannery, et al., Telecom Services – 3Q09 Preview: Expecting Solid Earnings Despite Competition Concerns, Morgan Stanley, Oct. 20, 2009, at 20. 292 See Section III.D, Entry and Exit Conditions, supra, and Section VII.A.1, Spectrum, infra. Section VII.A.1 also highlights the key importance of spectrum holdings in influencing service providers’ network deployment costs and network capacity. 293 See Section III.E, Recent Entry and Exit, supra, and Section VII.A.1, Spectrum, infra. According to T-Mobile, “the launch of the 3G network also enables T-Mobile to accommodate and serve more customers more efficiently through the use of its AWS spectrum, effectively doubling T-Mobile USA’s spectrum position.” T-Mobile USA Begins Commercial 3G Network Rollout, Press Release, T-Mobile, May 5, 2008. 294 In contrast, the European Community mandated a single harmonized standard for second-generation mobile telecommunications services (GSM), and also has adopted a single standard for third-generation services (WCDMA). Neil Gandal, et al., Standards in Wireless Telephone Networks, TELECOMMUNICATIONS POLICY, Vol. 27, No. 5-6, June-July 2003, at 325 (Standards in Wireless Telephone Networks). The authors note that, although the European Community backed away from mandating a single standard for third-generation services, the absence of a mandate has had little practical effect as all European mobile operators have opted for the same standard and migration path. Id. at 330. 295 Additional information on mobile wireless network technologies, including definitions, background, and average and peak download speeds for the various technologies, can be found in Appendix B, Mobile Wireless Network Technologies, infra. 296 See Table 11. See also, Verizon Wireless PN Comments at 8 (Verizon Wireless, AT&T, Cox, and MetroPCS have all announced plans to deploy LTE); CTIA PN Comments, Attach. A, at 14. 297 Id. at 329. 298 See Carl Shapiro and Hal R. Varian, Information Rules, Harvard Business School Press, 1999, at 264 (Information Rules) (noting that “the Europeans managed to adopt new digital wireless telephone technology more rapidly than in the United States”); Stephen C. Littlechild, Mobile Termination Charges: Calling Party Pays Versus Receiving Party Pays, TELECOMMUNICATIONS POLICY, Vol. 30, No. 5-6, June-July 2006, at 242-77 (finding that “technical concentration,” measured as the percent of subscribers on GSM networks, increases mobile penetration). 299 Standards in Wireless Telephone Networks, at 329. 300 Id. at 328-30; Information Rules, at 264. 301 Standards in Wireless Telephone Networks, at 329-330 (noting, for example, that CDMA networks “have offered more and better data services than were available on GSM networks”). 302 Id. at 330. See also Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 10993, ¶ 113 (noting that the former Cingular was pressured to upgrade its network to WCDMA/HSDPA, rather than the slower, interim WCDMA technology, in an effort to compete with Verizon Wireless’s EV-DO network, which offers speeds similar to WCDMA/HSDPA and faster than WCDMA) and at 11025-26 (arguing that this technological competition helped give the United States an edge over Europe with regard to the deployment of high-speed wireless data networks). 303 Standards in Wireless Telephone Networks, at 330. Technological competition may pressure providers to cut rates and provide larger handset subsidies to attract a sufficiently large customer base to ensure their chosen technology survives as a standard. See Simon Flannery et al., 3G Economics a Cause for Concern, Morgan Stanley, Equity Research, Feb. 1, 2005, at 11. In addition, use of multiple incompatible wireless network standards may act as a constraint on providers’ ability to engage in explicit or tacit coordination that would impair price competition. See Horizontal Merger Guidelines, at § 2.11 (noting that standardization of pricing and product variables on which firms could compete may facilitate reaching terms of coordination that would harm consumers). 304 CTIA NOI Comments, at 16-17. 305 Id. 306 Id. 307 Sprint Nextel also uses iDEN on the former Nextel network. In addition, through February 18, 2008, all operators using cellular spectrum were required to deploy AMPS, an analog technology, throughout the part of their networks using cellular spectrum. 47 C.F.R. § 22.901(b). In 2002, the Commission decided to eliminate the requirement after a five-year transition period, which ended February 18, 2008. Year 2000 Biennial Regulatory Review – Amendment of Part 22 of The Commission’s Rules to Modify or Eliminate Outdated Rules Affecting The Cellular Radiotelephone Service and Other Commercial Mobile Radio Services, Report and Order, 17 FCC Rcd 18401, 18414 ¶ 22 (2002). 308 AT&T Brings 3G Mobile Broadband Network to Champaign-Urbana Area, Press Release, AT&T, Oct. 8, 2009. 309 AT&T to Deliver 3G Mobile Broadband Speed Boost, Press Release, AT&T, May 27, 2009; AT&T Doubling 3G Capacity, TELEPHONY ONLINE, Apr. 20, 2009, available at http://telephonyonline.com/wireless/news/att-3g-network-capacity-increase-0420/ (referring to statement by AT&T executive on use of 700 MHz and AWS spectrum). 310 Verizon Wireless, Network Facts, http://aboutus.vzw.com/bestnetwork/network_facts.html (visited Oct. 7, 2009); Verizon Reports Revenue Growth and Continued Improvement in Cash Flow in 2Q, Press Release, Verizon, July 27, 2009. 311 See Presentation by Tom Sawanobori, Vice President of Network Technology and Strategy, Verizon Wireless, at FCC Workshop: Deployment Wireless – General, Aug. 12, 2009; Verizon Uses New Network for First Time, AP, Aug. 14, 2009. 312 See Clearwire Introduces CLEAR(TM) 4G WiMAX Internet Service in 10 New Markets, Press Release, Clearwire, Sept. 1, 2009; Clearwire to Bring WiMAX to 10 More Markets, Wireless – CNET News, Aug. 3, 2009; Sprint 4G Blazes into Milledgeville, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Oct. 5, 2009; Clearwire, SEC Form 10-K, filed Mar. 26, 2009, at 2-3. 313 HTC Touch Pro2 from Sprint Pairs a Dynamic Must-Have Business Device with the Best Value in Wireless, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Aug. 31, 2009. 314 Caroline Gabriel, T-Mobile USA to Upgrade Network and Move to HSPA+ Next Year, RETHINK WIRELESS, Sept. 16, 2009, at http://www.rethink-wireless.com/article.asp?article_id=1901&keywords=t-mobile (citing Cole Brodman, T-Mobile Chief Technology Officer). 315 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6254, ¶ 136; see also Verizon Wireless, Network Facts, http://aboutus.vzw.com/bestnetwork/network_facts.html (visited Oct. 7, 2009). When EV-DO subscribers travel to other parts of the country where EV-DO networks have not been deployed, they can seamlessly roam on and access Verizon Wireless’s 1xRTT network because the more advanced technologies on the CDMA migration path are backwards compatible. See Ninth Report, 19 FCC Rcd at 20652. 316 Verizon Wireless, Mobile Broadband, http://www.verizonwireless.com/b2c/mobilebroadband/?page=coverage (visited Jan. 14, 2010). 317 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6254, ¶ 136. 318 Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2009, at 8. Verizon Wireless stated in September 2009 that it planned to complete the upgrade of all of Alltel’s EV-DO Rev. 0 markets to EV-DO Rev. A by the end of 2009. Verizon Wireless NOI Comments, at 82. 319 Verizon Wireless, Network Facts, http://aboutus.vzw.com/bestnetwork/network_facts.html (visited Oct. 7, 2009); Verizon Reports Revenue Growth and Continued Improvement in Cash Flow in 2Q, Press Release, July 27, 2009, at http://newscenter.verizon.com/press-releases/verizon/2009/verizon-reports-revenue.html; Presentation by Tom Sawanobori, VP of Network Technology and Strategy, Verizon Wireless, FCC Workshop: Deployment Wireless – General, Aug. 12, 2009. 320 Presentation by Tom Sawanobori, VP of Network Technology and Strategy, Verizon Wireless, FCC Workshop: Deployment Wireless – General, Aug. 12, 2009; Verizon Uses New Network for First Time, AP, Aug. 14, 2009; Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6254, ¶ 136. 321 Presentation by Tom Sawanobori, VP of Network Technology and Strategy, Verizon Wireless, FCC Workshop: Deployment Wireless – General, Aug. 12, 2009; Verizon Uses New Network for First Time, AP, Aug. 14, 2009; Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6254, ¶ 136. 322 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6254, ¶ 136. 323 Presentation by Tom Sawanobori, VP of Network Technology and Strategy, Verizon Wireless, FCC Workshop: Deployment Wireless – General, Aug. 12, 2009; Verizon Uses New Network for First Time, AP, Aug. 14, 2009; CTIA NOI Comments at 33. 324 Presentation by Tom Sawanobori, VP of Network Technology and Strategy, Verizon Wireless, FCC Workshop: Deployment Wireless – General, Aug. 12, 2009; Verizon Uses New Network for First Time, AP, Aug. 14, 2009. 325 At the end of 2007, Sprint Nextel’s EV-DO network covered nearly 234 million people and its EV-DO Rev. A network covered 222 million people. Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6255, ¶ 137. As of August 2009, Sprint’s EV-DO network covered 271 million POPs, including roaming, and had been deployed in census blocks covering 232 million POPs, excluding roaming. HTC Touch Pro2 from Sprint Pairs a Dynamic Must-Have Business Device with the Best Value in Wireless, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Aug. 31, 2009; American Roamer database, Aug. 2009. 326 See Section III.E, Recent Entry and Exit, supra. See also, Sprint Nextel, SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 6, 2009, at 7. 327 Sprint Nextel, SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 6, 2009, at 7. 328 Sprint 4G Rollout Blazes on with Maui Launch, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Dec. 1, 2009; Sprint Nextel, SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 6, 2009, at 20. 329 Id. 330 Overdrive 3G/4G Mobile Hotspot by Sierra Wireless Can Bring Sprint’s 4G Speeds to More Than 400 Million W-Fi-Enabled Devices, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Jan. 10, 2010; Sprint Nextel, Turbocharge your Now Connection. Get 4G Speeds up to 10x Faster Than 3G, http://mobilebusiness.sprint.com/broadband/index.html?pid=5 (visited Jan. 19, 2010). Sprint is also offering a 4G-only desktop modem device. Sprint 4G Desktop Modem CPEi25150 by Motorola Fact Sheet, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Dec. 14, 2009. 331 American Roamer database, Nov. 2009. See also, CDMA Development Group Comments at 6. 332 Leap Wireless International, Inc., SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 9, 2009, at 39, 41. American Roamer database, Nov. 2009. 333 Leap Wireless International, Inc., SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 9, 2009, at 41. 334 United States Cellular Corp., SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 5, 2009, at 26; United States Cellular Corp., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 26, 2009, at 11 (US Cellular launched EV-DO in Milwaukee, WI in Nov. 2006, then in Chicago, Des Moines, Tulsa, and southern Wisconsin during 2008). 335 American Roamer database, Nov. 2009. 336 Unlimited Wireless Carrier MetroPCS Announces Vendors for 2010 4G LTE Launch, Press Release, MetroPCS, Sept. 15, 2009. At that time, MetroPCS announced deals with LTE equipment vendors Ericsson and Samsung. Id. 337 See CTIA PN Comments, Attach. A, at 14. 338 AT&T Brings 3G Mobile Broadband Network to Champaign-Urbana Area, Press Release, AT&T, Oct. 8, 2009. In August 2009, AT&T stated that it planned to deploy HSPA to 20 additional markets, including 2,000 cell sites, by the end of 2009. Presentation by Kris Rinne, Senior VP, AT&T, FCC National Broadband Plan Workshop: Technology-Wireless, Aug. 13, 2009. 339 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6256, ¶ 139. 340 See AT&T, The Truth About 3G (television advertisements), http://www.att.com/truthabout3g/?WT.srch=1 (visited Feb. 1, 2010). In May 2009, AT&T announced that it was migrating its 850 MHz Cellular band network to HSPA technology in order to improve coverage and increase capacity. AT&T to Deliver 3G Mobile Broadband Speed Boost, Press Release, AT&T, May 27, 2009. 341 When combined with the backhaul upgrade, HSPA 7.2 will support theoretical peak maximum download speeds of 7.2 Mbps, with actual speeds being lower and varying due to a number of factors. AT&T Upgrades 3G Technology at Cell Sites Across Nation, Press Release, AT&T, Jan. 5, 2010. See also, CTIA NOI Comments at 33. As of January 2010, AT&T offered 10 HSPA 7.2-compatible devices and planned to introduce additional HSPA 7.2-compatible devices in 2010. Id. 342 In December 2009, AT&T began the backhaul upgrades at cell sites in six cities – Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, and Miami – and plans to continue upgrading cell sites across its network during 2010 and 2011. AT&T Upgrades 3G Technology at Cell Sites Across Nation, Press Release, AT&T, Jan. 5, 2010. For additional information on backhaul, see Section VII.A.3, Backhaul Facilities, infra. 343 AT&T Upgrades 3G Technology at Cell Sites Across Nation, Press Release, AT&T, Jan. 5, 2010. Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, at 2; Jenna Wortham, Customers Angered as iPhones Overload AT&T, NEW YORK TIMES, Sept. 3, 2009. See Section V.I, Network Quality, infra. 344 AT&T Upgrades 3G Technology at Cell Sites Across Nation, Press Release, AT&T, Jan. 5, 2010. 345 AT&T to Deliver 3G Mobile Broadband Speed Boost, Press Release, AT&T, May 27, 2009; AT&T Doubling 3G Capacity, TELEPHONY ONLINE, Apr. 20, 2009, available at http://telephonyonline.com/wireless/news/att-3g-network-capacity-increase-0420/ (referring to statement by AT&T executive on use of 700 MHz and AWS spectrum). 346 Caroline Gabriel, T-Mobile USA to Upgrade Network and Move to HSPA+ Next Year, RETHINK WIRELESS, Sept. 16, 2009, available at http://www.rethink-wireless.com/article.asp?article_id=1901&keywords=t-mobile (citing Cole Brodman, T-Mobile CTO). 347 Taylor Wimberly, T-Mobile 3G to Reach 21Mbps in 2010, ANDROID & ME, Sept. 14, 2009, available at http://androidandme.com/2009/09/carriers/t-mobile-news/t-mobile-3g-to-reach-21mbps-in-2010/ (citing T-Mobile CTO, Cole Brodman, in an interview with Om Malik, available at http://www.livestream.com/gigaomtv). 348 Sascha Segan, Hands-On with T-Mobile’s Super 3G HSPA+ Network, PC MAG, Sept. 25, 2009, available at http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2353300,00.asp; CTIA NOI Comments at 33. 349 Caroline Gabriel, T-Mobile USA to Upgrade Network and Move to HSPA+ Next Year, RETHINK WIRELESS, Sept. 16, 2009, available at http://www.rethink-wireless.com/article.asp?article_id=1901&keywords=t-mobile (citing Cole Brodman, T-Mobile CTO). 350 NCTA NOI Comments at 3. 351 Clearwire Corp., SEC Form 10-K, filed Mar. 26, 2009, at 2. Prior to the close of the transaction, Sprint had launched WiMAX service in Baltimore, MD. Sprint 4G Rollout Blazes on with Maui Launch, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Dec. 1, 2009. 352 Clearwire Corp., SEC Form 10-Q, filed Nov. 11, 2009, at 29. 353 Clearwire, Where is CLEAR?, http://www.clear.com/coverage (visited Jan. 19, 2010); Clearwire Corp., SEC Form 10-K, filed Mar. 26, 2009, at 2-3. 354 Clearwire, How Fast is “Super Fast”?, http://www.clear.com/discover/network (visited Jan. 19, 2010). 355 Sprint 4G Rollout Blazes on with Maui Launch, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Dec. 1, 2009; Clearwire, Where is CLEAR?, http://www.clear.com/coverage (visited Jan. 19, 2010). Only Sprint offers WiMAX service in Baltimore. Sprint states that it offers 4G service in 27 markets; however, the company’s press release does not list Tacoma, Everett-Snohomish, and Kitsap, WA as separate markets from Seattle, whereas Clearwire’s website coverage map does. Id. The 4G coverage map on Sprint’s website shows coverage in these areas. See, e.g., Sprint Nextel, Sprint Coverage Tool, http://coverage.sprintpcs.com/IMPACT.jsp?covType=wimaxdual&serviceType=data&mapcity=Snohomish&mapstate=WA (visited Jan. 20, 2010). 356 Comcast Begins National Rollout of High-Speed Wireless Data Service, Press Release, Comcast, Jun. 29, 2009; Comcast, 4G Coverage Map, http://www.comcast.com/highspeed2go/#/coverage (visited Apr. 9, 2010). 357 Comcast Begins National Rollout of High-Speed Wireless Data Service, Press Release, Comcast, Jun. 29, 2009. 358 Comcast Begins National Rollout of High-Speed Wireless Data Service, Press Release, Comcast, Jun. 29, 2009. 359 See Section III.C.1, Number of Competitors, supra, for a discussion of the limitations of American Roamer data. 360 By utilizing such a small geographic area to analyze technological availability, we are able to minimize the concerns regarding the over-counting of population and geographic area covered that were inherent in previous reports’ county-based analyses (there are approximately 3,200 in the United States). See Section III.C.1, Number of Competitors, supra. 361 Commission estimates based on American Roamer database, Oct. 2009. POPs are from the 2000 Census, and the square miles include the United States and Puerto Rico. 362 A covered block has at least one provider. 363 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6257, ¶ 143, Table 8. 364 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6257, ¶ 145, Table 9. 365 Id. 366 Id. 367 Id. 368 See Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 10985, ¶ 95, Table 8. 369 See id. 370 Commission estimates based on American Roamer database, Nov. 2009 (for 2009 data). See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6257, ¶ 145; Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2304, ¶ 143; Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 10995, ¶ 117. 371 See AT&T NOI Comments, at 74 (stating that “the economics of providing any type of product or service – including wireless – are more challenging in rural areas, because the lower population density of these areas typically entails higher average delivery costs”); NTCA PN Comments, at 3 (acknowledging the “difficulties inherent to providing wireless service to rural areas, such as challenging topography and low customer density”). 372 All mobile calling plans specify a calling area – such as a particular metropolitan area, a state, a region, the provider’s entire network, or the entire United States – within which the subscriber can make a call without incurring additional charges. Outside of this calling area, roaming services are obtained by a carrier for its customers through a roaming agreement with another carrier. 373 See Section V.E.3, Intercarrier Roaming Rates and Revenue, infra. 374 See Cricket PN Comments, at 6 (stating that “[a]utomatic roaming agreements play a critical role in the wireless industry, plugging coverage holes that exist in every carrier’s network so that subscribers can obtain seamless coverage wherever they travel.”); T-Mobile Petition, Oct. 1, 2007, WT Docket No. 05-265, at 2 (stating that “on a geographic basis, no wireless carrier operating in the United States has close to a nationwide footprint using solely its own facilities”). One potential measure of the significance of roaming in the wireless industry is roaming revenues, which are discussed in detail below. See Section V.E.3, Intercarrier Roaming Rates and Revenue, infra. 375 See Section III.B.1, Facilities-Based Providers, supra. For example, Leap and MetroPCS focus mainly on offering service to customers in metropolitan areas, while US Cellular offers regional coverage in 185 operating markets throughout 26 states. 376 See, e.g., Cricket, Coverage, http://www.mycricket.com/coverage/cell-phone-coverage (visited Jan. 20, 2010) (stating that “Cricket Wireless offers nationwide cell phone coverage all over the U.S.”); Cricket, Wireless Coverage Maps, http://www.mycricket.com/coverage/maps/wireless (visited Jan. 20, 2010) (providing an interactive U.S. map showing Cricket’s roaming coverage); MetroPCS, Compare Plans, http://www.metropcs.com/plans/ (visited Jan. 20, 2010) (showing MetroPCS plans that include nationwide coverage); MetroPCS, Coverage Map, http://www.metropcs.com/coverage/ (visited Jan. 20, 2010) (providing an interactive U.S. map showing the various types of coverage provided by MetroPCS in different geographic areas); US Cellular, Plans, http://www.uscc.com/uscellular/SilverStream/Pages/r_zip.html?call=2&tabPlan=2 (visited Jan. 20, 2010) (after entering a valid zip code, shows US Cellular national plans); US Cellular, Voice and Data Maps, http://www.uscc.com/uscellular/SilverStream/Pages/x_page.html?p=map_home (visited Jan. 20, 2010) (providing an interactive U.S. map depicting US Cellular “National Voice Coverage”). 377 See RCA NOI Comments, at 11-12 (stating that smaller rural and regional carriers “must be in a position to meet their customers’ expectations,” which “increasingly include the provision of a nationwide footprint”); SouthernLINC NOI Reply, at 4 (stating that “[c]onsumers expect to be able to use their wireless handsets when they travel outside their local areas”). 378 See RTG PN Reply, at 17 (stating that “[f]or each and every new market entrant to become fully deployed across their license area overnight, or at least prior to a commercial launch, is completely impractical”). 379 See Roaming Obligations of Commercial Mobile Radio Service Providers, Report and Order and Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 22 FCC Rcd 15817, 15828 ¶ 27 (2007) (2007 Roaming Order and FNPRM) (“[W]e recognize that automatic roaming benefits mobile telephony subscribers by promoting seamless CMRS service around the country, and reducing inconsistent coverage and service qualities.”) 380 Id. at 15818-19 ¶ 2. The common carrier obligation to provide roaming extends to real-time, two-way switched voice or data services that are interconnected with the public switched telephone network and utilize an in-network switching facility that enables the provider to reuse frequencies and accomplish seamless hand-offs of subscriber calls. The Commission also extended the automatic roaming requirement to push-to-talk (PTT) and text messaging services, and in its Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking sought comment on whether the roaming obligation should be extended to services that are classified as information services and services that are not CMRS. 381 Reexamination of Roaming Obligations of Commercial Mobile Radio Service Providers, Order on Reconsideration and Second Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, FCC 10-59 (rel. Apr. 21, 2010) (Roaming Order on Reconsideration). 382 Id. 383 Id. 384 An experience good is a product or service that the customer must consume before determining its quality. See Dennis W. Carlton and Jeffrey M. Perloff, MODERN INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION (3rd ed.), Addison, Wellsley, Longman, Inc., 1999, at 484. 385 CTIA NOI Comments, at 53. 386 Nielsen Reports 2008 U.S. Ad Spend Down 2.6%, NIELSEN WIRE, Mar. 13, 2009, available at http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/consumer/nielsen-reports-2008-us-ad-spend-down-26/. 387 Ad Spending in U.S. Down 11.5 Percent in First Three Quarters of 2009, NIELSEN WIRE, Dec. 10, 2009, available at http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/consumer/ad-spending-in-u-s-down-11-5-percent-in-first-three-quarters-of-2009/. 388 Nielsen Reports 2008 U.S. Ad Spend Down 2.6%, NIELSEN WIRE, Mar. 13, 2009, available at http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/consumer/nielsen-reports-2008-us-ad-spend-down-26/; Ad Spending in U.S. Down 11.5 Percent in First Three Quarters of 2009, NIELSEN WIRE, Dec. 10, 2009, available at http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/consumer/ad-spending-in-u-s-down-11-5-percent-in-first-three-quarters-of-2009/. 389 Nielsen Ad Intelligence Spotlight on Multi-Cultural Advertising, Nielsen, Oct. 2009, available at http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/MultiCulturalSpotlight10.23.09.pdf, at 3. 390 See AT&T PN Comments at 49. 391 TNS Media Intelligence Reports U.S. Advertising Expenditures Declined 4.1 Percent in 2008, Press Release, TNS Media Intelligence, May 4, 2009, available at http://www.tns-mi.com/news/05042009.htm. The advertising expenditures of Verizon and AT&T include those companies’ wireline businesses as well. 392 Id. 393 TNS Media Intelligence Reports U.S. Advertising Expenditures Declined 14.7 Percent in First Nine Months of 2009, Press Release, TNS Media Intelligence, Dec. 9, 2009, available at http://www.tns-mi.com/news/2009-Ad-Spending-Q3.htm. 394 Id. 395 Mike Shields, Calling on Niche Markets, BRANDWEEK, June 8, 2009 (citing Charles Golvin, principal analyst at Forrester Research, who stated, “There has been a lot of competition around the low end. Companies have been spending to get that message out, that they offer predictability. No hidden fees, no charges sneaking up,” and “At the high end, carriers are willing to spend on advertising. ... It’s worth it to get those highly profitable users. These are people who are better insulated against tough times and can handle expensive plans.”) 396 Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2009, at 7. 397 Leap Wireless International, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 27, 2009, at 4. 398 Id. 399 AT&T Offers Nation’s Fastest 3G Network, Press Release, AT&T, July 10, 2008 (the claims are based on “data compiled by leading independent wireless research firms”). A 12-city test of 3G network speeds conducted by Gizmodo in December 2009 also found that AT&T had the fastest download speeds. See Our 2009 12-City 3G Data Mega Test: AT&T Won, GIZMODO, Dec. 22, 2009, available at http://gizmodo.com/5428343/our-2009-12+city-3g-data-mega-test-att-won. 400 See Joshua Topolsky, Verizon Removes Gloves, Begins ‘There’s a Map for That’ Anti-AT&T Ad Campaign, ENGADGET MOBILE, Oct. 5, 2009, available at http://mobile.engadget.com/2009/10/05/verizon-removes-gloves-begins-theres-a-map-for-that-anti-atand/. In the ads, Verizon Wireless claims it has five times the 3G coverage as AT&T. 401 Sprint Named Denver’s Most Reliable Network in PC World’s 3G Comparison Test, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, July 15, 2009. Similar press releases were issued for seven other cities and can be found at http://newsreleases.sprint.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=127149&p=irol-news_newsroom&nyo=1. See also, Mark Sullivan, A Day in the Life of 3G, PC WORLD, June 28, 2009, available at http://www.pcworld.com/article/167391/a_day_in_the_life_of_3g.html. 402 Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2009, at 7; Leap Wireless International, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 27, 2009, at 6. 403 Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2009, at 7; Sprint Nextel Corp., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 27, at 3; CTIA PN Comments at 33-34. In addition, service providers use direct sales representatives to sell services to business and government customers. Id. 404 Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2009, at 7. This included Verizon Wireless’s “store-within-a-store” kiosks within Circuit City and BJ’s Wholesale Club stores. On February 19, 2009, Verizon Wireless closed all of its Circuit City kiosks following Circuit City’s bankruptcy and liquidation of assets. Id. 405 Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2009, at 7. 406 Leap Wireless International, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 27, 2009, at 6. 407 Id. 408 Id. 409 Id. at 4. 410 See Verizon Wireless PN Comments at 15; AT&T PN Comments at 34, AT&T NOI Comments at 47; TIA NOI Comments at 8. 411 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6264-65, ¶ 165; Twelfth Report 23 FCC Rcd at 2315-16, ¶ 177. 412 See CBW NOI Comments at 3; Bright House Networks NOI Comments at 10. 413 See The Mobile Internet Report, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Research, Dec. 15, 2009, at 110 (Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report); Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2009, at 6; Wikipedia, Smartphone, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smartphone (visited Mar. 8, 2010). In addition to smartphones and traditional handsets, the third category of devices, for purposes of this Report, is data-centric devices, which includes devices with no inherent voice capability, such as USB wireless modem laptop cards, mobile Wi-Fi devices, and laptops and netbooks with embedded mobile wireless modems. The traditional handset category includes voice-centric handsets that do not allow or are not designed for easy web browsing. 414 See Section VII.B.1, Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices and Operating Systems, infra. 415 CTIA PN Comments at 33. The market shares of the smartphone operating systems in use in the United States in December 2009 are shown in Table 33, infra. 416 Simon Flannery and Daniel Gaviria, Survey: Smartphone Adoption Steadily Rising, Morgan Stanley, Nov. 13, 2009, at 3 (Smartphone Adoption Steadily Rising). 417 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6265-66, ¶¶ 165-166. 418 iPhone 3GS Available at AT&T Tomorrow, Press Release, AT&T, June 18, 2009. 419 Apple Announces the New iPhone 3GS – The Fastest, Most Powerful iPhone Yet, Press Release, Apple, June 8, 2009. 420 Id. The iPhone 3.0 OS on the 3GS also includes automatic authentication at AT&T’s Wi-Fi hotspots, allowing customers to move seamlessly from AT&T’s 3G network to its Wi-Fi network without a call or data connection being dropped. iPhone 3GS Available at AT&T Tomorrow, Press Release, AT&T, June 18, 2009. 421 Roger Entner, Is Handset Exclusivity Really the Issue of the Day?, NIELSEN WIRE, Aug. 27, 2009, available at http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/handset-exclusivity/. 422 See Tal Liani, et al., Finding Value in Smartphones, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Dec. 14, 2009, at 15 (Finding Value in Smartphones). 423 See Finding Value in Smartphones, at 7, 26; Smartphone Adoption Steadily Rising, at 1, 2. 424 Smartphone Adoption Steadily Rising, at 1, 2. 425 Based on Table C-5, Appendix C, infra. 426 Steven Levy, Palm Pre, WIRED, June 4, 2009, at http://www.wired.com/reviews/product/palmpre; Tom Krazit, Can a Palm Pre Multitask Better Than an iPhone?, CNET NEWS, May 6, 2009, at http://news.cnet.com/8301-1035_3-10234043-94.html. 427 See Finding Value in Smartphones, at 25. However, Windows Mobile 7, scheduled to be released later in 2010, will likely include additional features and functionalities, such as a touchscreen system with highly simplified menus, music syncing, and application support. David Liu, Can Windows 7 Mobile Compete in an iPhone World?, INFORMATIONWEEK SMB, Mar. 31, 2010, available at http://bmighty.informationweek.com/mobile/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=224200868. 428 See infra Appendix C, Table C-5. 429 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6269, ¶ 174. 430 T-Mobile myTouch 3G with Google Now Available for Pre-Sale for Current T-Mobile Customers, Press Release, T-Mobile, July 8, 2009; T-Mobile Unveils Holiday Handsets Including Broadest Selection of Android-Powered Devices, Press Release, T-Mobile, Oct. 7, 2009. 431 Samsung’s First Android-Powered Phone, Samsung Moment with Google, Coming to America’s Most Dependable 3G Network, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Oct. 7, 2009; The Innovation and Openness of a True Mobile Internet Experience Coming Soon to America’s Most Dependable 3G Network from Sprint on HTC Hero with Google, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Sept. 3, 2009; Sprint Nextel NOI Comments at 14.. 432 Bring an Android Device Home for the Holidays with DROID ERIS by HTC, Exclusively from Verizon Wireless, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Nov. 5, 2009; Hello Humans: Droid by Motorola Arrives Next Week, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Oct. 28, 2009. AT&T has announced plans to begin selling five Android devices during the first half of 2010. AT&T Announces Major Initiative to Bring ‘Apps to All’ Company Also Plans to Launch Five Android-Based Devices in First Half of 2010, Press Release, AT&T, Jan. 6, 2010. 433 See Finding Value in Smartphones, at 9. 434 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 157. 435 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6269, ¶ 172; Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 158. Wireless service providers are able to customize elements of the platform to promote their own services and content. Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6269, ¶ 172. While it makes the operating system available for free, Google has focused on bringing in revenue through advertising and monetizing user usage information. 436 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 156. Customers are still subject to the terms and conditions of their contracts with wireless service providers. 437 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6269, ¶ 172; Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 155; Finding Value in Smartphones, at 9-10. 438 See Finding Value in Smartphones, at 9-10; Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 159. 439 Based on Table C-5, Appendix C, infra. 440 Service providers may also focus on competing based on other factors, as described above: price, coverage, and network quality. See Sections IV.A, Price Rivalry: Developments in Mobile Service Pricing Plans and IV.B.1, Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades, supra. See also Niraj Sheth, AT&T Prepares Network for Battle, WALL STREET JOURNAL, Mar. 31, 2010, at B1. 441 See Section V.A, Subscribership Levels, infra, for data on the number of mobile wireless subscribers by device type. 442 AT&T to Offer New Suite of Mobile Broadband Netbooks Online and in Stores Nationwide, Press Release, AT&T, July 20, 2009; Stay Connected in More Places with Wireless Access on PC Cards, Mifi, Netbooks and More from Verizon Wireless, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, May 14, 2009. 443 Marguerite Reardon, Sprint Sells Netbooks for a Buck, CNET NEWS, July 7, 2009, available at http://news.cnet.com/8301-1035_3-10280886-94.html. Sprint Nextel and Best Buy sold the HP Mini for 99 cents as a promotion in July 2009, while the same netbook was offered through Verizon Wireless and AT&T for $199. In all cases, the service providers required the purchase of a two-year service contract. The non-bundled price for the netbook at that time was $389.99 from Best Buy. Id. 444 See CTIA NOI Comments at 21-22. 445 Douglas MacMillan, Amazon CEO: “Millions” of Kindles Sold, The Tech Beat, BUSINESSWEEK, Jan. 28, 2010, available at http://www.businessweek.com/the_thread/techbeat/archives/2010/01/amazon_ceo_mill.html. 446 Priya Ganapati, Gadget Lab – Amazon Dumps Sprint for Kindle 2, Embraces AT&T, WIRED, Oct. 23, 2009, available at http://www.wired.com/gadgetlab/2009/10/sprint-kindle-att/. Analysts believe Amazon switched to AT&T because AT&T’s network uses the same technology standard (GSM/WCDMA) used in many other countries, and the per-unit equipment costs for Amazon are lower if the company can produce a single Kindle model that can be sold in multiple countries. Id (citing Forrester Research analyst, Charles Golvin). 447 Sprint Certifies 300th Embedded Device on the Now Network, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, July 23, 2009; Sprint Nextel NOI Comments at 13-14. 448 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6267, ¶ 168. 449 Verizon Open Network Gets First, Unsexy Device, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, July 16, 2008. The device was a modem that connects to a sensor that dips into large storage containers, such as diesel tanks at construction sites. See Verizon Wireless, Open Development – Latest News Headlines, https://www22.verizon.com/opendev/media_room.aspx (visited Feb. 19, 2010). Verizon Wireless also has certified three labs for the testing of third party devices. Id; A Look Back at 2008: Open Development at Verizon Wireless, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Jan. 5, 2009; Rajani Baburajan, Verizon Wireless Approves Intertek as the Testing Lab for Open Development Initiative, TMCNET.COM, Oct. 22, 2008, available at http://www.astricon.net/topics/broadband-mobile/articles/43611-verizon-wireless-approves-intertek-as-testing-lab-open.htm. Some of the devices certified include tablet PCs, routers, SmartGrid equipment, Mobile Clinical Assistants, and the Jitterbug phone. See Verizon Wireless, Open Development – Latest News Headlines, https://www22.verizon.com/opendev/media_room.aspx (visited Feb. 19, 2010). 450 Verizon Wireless Drives 4G LTE Innovation with Open Device Development Specifications, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Apr. 17, 2009. 451 Developers: The Verizon Wireless LTE Innovation Center Lab Opens, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Oct. 5, 2009. 452 See CTIA NOI Comments at 55-56. 453 Berg Insight Says Machines Account for 1.4 Percent of Mobile Network Connections Worldwide, Press Release, Berg Insight, Dec. 14, 2009. 454 Applications can be narrowly defined as a software program that runs on a mobile device, or more broadly defined as any functionality on a mobile device, such as text messaging, voice, etc. Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 134. 455 CTIA NOI Comments at 28. 456 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 5, 185, 214-215. 457 See Mercatus NOI Comments at 17. Mobile wireless service providers often require that customers comply with terms and conditions of service, and may approve or reject certain applications developed by third-party application developers for certain devices or operating systems. 458 See Section IV.B.3, Differentiation in Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices, infra. 459 Sprint Nextel NOI Comments at 13; CTIA NOI Comments at 56. 460 The LTE Innovation Center lab and online portal are designed to facilitate the creation of non-traditional devices, as well as applications for those devices. Verizon Wireless, LTE Innovation Center – Frequently Asked Questions, https://www.lte.vzw.com/NewsResources/FrequentlyAskedQuestions/tabid/5780/Default.aspx#LTETIT1 (visited Feb. 21, 2010); Developers: the Verizon Wireless LTE Innovation Center Lab Opens, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Oct. 5, 2009. As stated in the Thirteenth Report, Verizon Wireless is the licensee for the 700 MHz Upper C Block license and is therefore required to allow third-party application developers to develop applications of their choosing for networks in that band. Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6267, ¶ 169 461 AT&T, Why AT&T Developer Program?, http://developer.att.com/developer/index.jsp?page=why (visited Feb. 21, 2010). 462 Sprint Launches Open Software Platform at Eighth Annual Application Developer Conference to Help Millions More Developers Create Products for Sprint Customers, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Dec. 9, 2008. In October 2009, Sprint outlined the tenets of its open approach: let consumers determine application winners, be easy to do business with, create a developer’s “garage,” use the proven open Internet model as a guide, and open networks still require management. Sprint Outlines “Open” Approach at Ninth Annual Developer Conference, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Oct. 27, 2009. 463 See T-Mobile NOI Comments at 15; Verizon Wireless NOI Comments at 127-132; Mercatus NOI Comments at 17. 464 CTIA NOI Comments at 57. 465 AT&T, Wireless Data Service Terms and Conditions, http://www.wireless.att.com/cell-phone-service/legal/plan-terms.jsp (visited Apr. 9, 2010). 466 Letter from James W. Cicconi, Senior Executive Vice President – External and Legal Affairs, AT&T, to Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC, R-11361, RM-11497 (filed Aug. 21, 2009), at 6. 467 AT&T Extends VoIP to 3G Network for iPhone, Press Release, AT&T, Oct. 6, 2009. 468 AT&T and Sling Media Collaborate on SlingPlayer Mobile App for 3G Mobile Broadband Network, Press Release, AT&T, Feb. 4, 2010. 469 Verizon Wireless and Skype Join Forces to Create a Global Mobile Calling Community, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Feb. 16, 2010. 470 Preserving the Open Internet, Broadband Industry Practices, GN Docket No. 09-191, WC Docket No. 07-52, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 24 FCC Rcd 13064 (2009). 471 See Section V.B, Penetration Rates Across Economic Areas (EAs), infra. 472 Commission estimate, based on preliminary year-end 2008 NRUF filings, adjusted for porting. 473 The nationwide penetration rate is calculated by dividing total mobile wireless subscribers by the total U.S. population. According to the Bureau of the Census, the combined population of the 50 states, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico as of July 1, 2008 was estimated to be 308.3 million. See U.S. Census Bureau, National and State Population Estimates: Annual Population Estimates 2000 to 2009, http://www.census.gov/popest/states/tables/NST-EST2009-01.xls (visited Feb. 24, 2010). 474 In NRUF, carriers do not report numbers that have been ported to them. Therefore, in order to develop an estimate of mobile wireless subscribership, it is necessary to adjust the raw NRUF data to account for mobile wireless subscribers who have transferred their wireline numbers to wireless accounts. Porting adjustments are developed from the telephone number porting databases managed by Neustar, acting as the administrator of the regional Number Portability Administration Centers (NPACs). The databases contain all ported numbers currently in service. They also contain information about when the number was most recently ported (to a carrier other than the carrier to which the number originally was assigned) or, in some cases, when the database was updated to reflect a new area code. Trends in Telephone Service, FCC, Apr. 2005, at 8-2 – 8-3. 475 See Section III.A, Introduction, supra. 476 See Section V.B, Penetration Rates Across Economic Areas (EAs), infra. 477 Commission estimates based on NRUF data. Robert F. Roche and Lesley O’Neill, CTIA’s Wireless Industry Indices, Semi-Annual Data Survey Results: A Comprehensive Report from CTIA Analyzing the U.S. Wireless Industry, Year-End 2008 Results, May 2009, at 26-27 (CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report). See also, CTIA PN Comments at 42. 478 While the Commission now uses NRUF data as the basis for its estimate of mobile wireless subscribership for the purposes of this Report, we continue to report the CTIA data as a benchmark for comparison because these figures are readily available and are used widely by industry analysts. A detailed explanation of the differences between the NRUF data and CTIA’s survey can be found in the Seventh Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 13004. 479 See Appendix A, Table A-1, infra. 480 Id. 481 See Table C-6, Appendix C, infra. 482 Development of Nationwide Broadband Data to Evaluate Reasonable and Timely Deployment of Advanced Services to All Americans, Improvement of Wireless Broadband Subscribership Data, and Development of Data on Interconnected Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) Subscribership, WC Docket No. 07-38, Report and Order and Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 23 FCC Rcd 9691, 9700, ¶ 20 (2008) (Broadband Data Order). 483 Broadband Data Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 9703, ¶ 23. In addition, mobile wireless broadband providers are required to report the percentage of the total subscribers in each state that are residential (not billed to a corporate, business, government, or institutional account). Broadband Data Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 9703 ¶ 24. Terrestrial mobile wireless providers are not required to submit their number of mobile high-speed Internet access subscribers broken down on a Census Tract basis, as other broadband providers are required to do. Broadband Data Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 9698, ¶ 16. We note that the Form 477 mobile wireless broadband subscriber data do not capture those mobile data users who access the mobile Internet on a casual or a la carte basis but do not have a monthly or longer-term subscription to a mobile wireless Internet access service. 484 For the year-end 2007 and prior reporting periods, mobile wireless broadband providers were instructed to report only “the number of subscribers whose mobile device was capable of sending or receiving data at speeds above 200 kbps,” and not whether their subscriptions permitted broadband Internet access. High-Speed Services for Internet Access: Status as of December 31, 2008, Industry Analysis and Technology Division, Wireline Competition Bureau, FCC, Feb. 2010, at 3, available at http://hraunfoss.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DOC-296239A1.pdf. 485 Commission estimates based on Form 477 data. 486 CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report; CTIA PN Comments at 48. 487 CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report. 488 Paul Carton and Jean Crumrine, New Survey Shows Android OS Roiling the Smartphone Market, ChangeWave Research, Jan. 4, 2010, available at http://www.changewaveresearch.com/articles/2010/01/smart_phone_20100104.html. 489 Phil Goldstein, Verizon Benefits from Droid Momentum, FIERCEWIRELESS, Jan. 26, 2010, available at http://www.fiercewireless.com/story/verizon-notches-2-2m-subs-q4/2010-01-26#ixzz0h2Sz4kWV (citing Verizon CFO Jon Killian). Verizon noted that all of these devices now require a subscription to a data plan. The company expects to continue to see strong growth in wireless data. Id. 490 AT&T Fourth Quarter 2008 Earnings Release. 491 John Horrigan, Wireless Internet Use, More Than Half of Americans – 56% - Have Accessed the Internet Wirelessly on Some Device, Such as a Laptop, Cell Phone, MP3 Player, or Game Console, Pew Internet & American Life Project, July 2009 (survey conducted March 26 - April 19, 2009), at 21-22. 492 Id. 493 Data provided by Credit Suisse First Boston. 494 See Section V.A.2, Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Pricing Plan, supra. 495 US Wireless 411 3Q09, at 4. 496 See Section V.A.2, Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Pricing Plan, supra. 497 Jenna Wortham, More Customers Give Up the Cellphone Contract, NEW YORK TIMES, Feb. 20, 1009, available at http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/21/technology/21prepaid.html. 498 Lynnette Luna, Kindle May Generate $2 ARPU, But Is It Really That Bad?, FIERCE BROADBAND WIRELESS, May 28, 2009, available at http://www.fiercebroadbandwireless.com/story/arpu/2009-05-28. 499 US Wireless 411 3Q09, at 4. 500 See Section IV.A, Price Rivalry: Developments in Mobile Service Pricing Plans, supra. 501 John C. Hodulik, et al., MetroPCS - Growth Stays Strong, +CF on the Way, UBS, UBS Investment Research, May 8, 2009, at 2. 502 In addition, UBS estimates that roughly two-thirds of AT&T’s and Verizon Wireless’s postpaid customers subscribe to family plans. John C. Hodulik, et al., Telecommunications - Prepaid Will Set the Pace in Wireless, UBS, UBS Investment Research, Mar. 23, 2009, at 6. 503 The Nielsen Company: Mobile Insights 2009. 504 Non-promotional periods occur when service providers are not running promotions, such as during the holiday season. 505 Jonathan Epstein and Stephen Douglas, Wireless Service and Handset Pricing Analysis – Sprint-T-Mobile Reset Family Plans, iPhone Subsidy Not Huge in Context, Bank of America, June 19, 2008. 506 Id. 507 Data provided by Credit Suisse First Boston. 508 Data provided by Morgan Stanley Research, Morgan Stanley AlphaWise. 509 Amanda Lenhart, et al., Social Media & Mobile Internet Use Among Teens and Young Adults, Pew Internet & American Life Project, Feb. 3, 2010, at 9. 510 Id. 511 Id. 512 Id. 513 Id. at 17. 514 Id. 515 Marketing Sherpa, Consumer Behavior in the Mobile Channel: 4 Trends Marketers Should Note, Dec. 22, 2009, available at https://www.marketingsherpa.com/sample.cfm?ident=31481. 516 Id. 517 Marketing Sherpa, Consumer Behavior in the Mobile Channel: 4 Trends Marketers Should Note, Dec. 22, 2009, available at https://www.marketingsherpa.com/sample.cfm?ident=31481. 518 NRUF data is collected on a small area basis and thus allows the Commission to compare the spread of mobile wireless subscribership across different areas within the United States. NRUF data is collected by the area code and prefix (NXX) level for each provider, which enables the Commission to approximate the number of subscribers that each provider has in each of the approximately 18,000 rate centers in the country. Rate center boundaries generally do not coincide with county boundaries. However, for purposes of geographical analysis, rate centers (including those that cross county boundaries) can be associated with the county that contains the (usually) centralized geographic point for that rate center. Counties, for which population and other data exist, can be aggregated together and associated with several larger geographic areas based on counties, such as EAs and Cellular Market Areas (CMAs). Aggregation to larger geographic areas reduces the level of inaccuracy inherent in combining non-coterminous areas such as rate center areas and counties. 519 There are 172 EAs, each of which is an aggregation of counties. Each EA is made up of one or more economic nodes and the surrounding areas that are economically related to the node. The main factor used in determining the economic relationship between the two areas is commuting patterns, so that each EA includes, as far as possible, the place of work and the place of residence of its labor force. See Kenneth P. Johnson, Redefinition of the EA Economic Areas, SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, Feb. 1995, at 75 (Redefinition of the EA). For its spectrum auctions, the Commission has defined four additional EAs: Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands (173); Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands (174); American Samoa (175); and Gulf of Mexico (176). See FCC, FCC Auctions: Maps, available at http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/data/maps.html (visited Dec. 15, 2008). In November 2004, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released updated definitions of EAs; however, for consistency, we use the previous release of definitions. See New BEA Economic Areas For 2004, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Nov. 17, 2004. As noted above, the Commission typically has used smaller geographic areas, such as CMAs, for analyzing mobile wireless transactions. See, e.g., Sprint Nextel-Clearwire Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 17591, ¶¶ 51-52; Verizon Wireless-Alltel Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 17472-73, ¶ 52. 520 Wireless providers have considerable discretion in how they assign telephone numbers across the rate centers in their operating areas and, according to one analyst, assign numbers so as to minimize the access charges paid to local wireline companies. See Linda Mutschler et al., Wireless Number Portability, Merrill Lynch, Equity Research, Jan 9, 2003, at 8 (“For wireless operators, the standard practice is to aggregate phone numbers within the same area code onto the same or several rate centers, whose physical locations would result in the least amount of access charges paid to ILECs. Therefore, in each market, wireless operators are present in only a small number of rate centers. According to our industry sources, this percentage is probably below 20%, and could be meaningfully lower than 20%”). Therefore, a mobile wireless subscriber can be assigned a phone number associated with a rate center that is a significant distance away from the subscriber’s place of residence or usage, but generally still in the same EA. See Linda Mutschler, et al., US Wireless Services: Wireless Number Portability – Breaking Rules, Merrill Lynch, Equity Research, Feb. 28, 2003, at 3 (“Once the NPA-NXX (i.e., 212-449) is assigned to the wireless carrier, the carrier may select any one of its NPA-NXXs when allocating that number to a particular subscriber. Therefore, with regard to wireless, the subscriber’s physical location is not necessarily a requirement in determining the phone number assignment – which is very different from how wireline numbers are assigned”). 521 See Map D-30, Appendix D, infra. 522 We excluded New Orleans, LA-MS (EA 83) from this analysis due to what we believe to be an aberration with the statistics. See Appendix C, Table C-3: Economic Area Penetration Rates, note 1 infra. 523 In seven EAs, the penetration rate could not be reported for confidentiality reasons because the number of competing providers in the EA is less than four. 524 A Recipe for Disaster. 525 Id. 526 See Table 14, supra. 527 Data provided by Bernstein Research. 528 See Section IV.A, Price Rivalry: Developments in Mobile Service Pricing Plans, supra. 529 US Wireless 411 2Q09, at 4. 530 See Company 2009 SEC 10-K Filings (2009 subscriber data); Table C-4, Appendix C (2008-2007 subscriber data); Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6320-21, Table A-4 (2006 subscriber data); Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2361-62, Table A-4 (2005 subscriber data). This research includes wholesale subscribers. Pro-forma calculations were made to account for mergers and show only “organic” net adds generated independent of mergers. Verizon Wireless’s reported net additions for 2009, including the subscribers acquired from Alltel, totaled 19,193,000. Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K (Portions of Verizon Annual Report to Shareholders), filed Feb. 26, 2010, available at http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/732712/000119312510041685/dex13.htm. 531 CTIA aggregates all of the service providers’ MOUs from January 1 through June 30, or from July 1 through December 31, then divides by the average number of subscribers for the period, and then divides by six. See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6284, note 582. 532 Simon Flannery, et al., 3Q Trend Tracker – Signs of Life for Telecom, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Research – North America, Dec. 4, 2009, at 60 (“MOU and text messages per user combined is rising as a result of the explosion in texts per subscriber each month. We believe that some of what would be voice minutes are now being replaced by text messages”). Mobile messaging traffic is discussed in Section V.D.2, Mobile Messaging, infra. 533 CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report. 534 US Wireless 411 2Q09. 535 CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report, at 201; CTIA PN Comments at 43. 536 CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report, at 201. 537 Id. at 203. 538 CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report. 539 CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report; CTIA PN Comments at 43. 540 CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report; Commission estimates. 541 Roger Entner, Under-aged Texting: Usage and Actual Cost, NIELSEN WIRE, Jan. 27, 2010, available at http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/under-aged-texting-usage-and-actual-cost/. 542 According to Nielsen, only a small percentage of people who text message do so on a pay-as-you-go basis at the 20 cent per message rate. Nielsen estimates that the average price per text message dropped 47 percent between the first quarter 2008 and third quarter 2009 and is now around 1 cent. Nielsen also argues that text messaging is offered in a similar way to newspapers and magazines in the United States. Newspaper and magazine subscriptions are offered at a 40 to 80 percent discount off the newsstand price, while text messaging subscriptions offer messages at a 95 percent discount off the a la carte rate. Roger Entner, Under-aged Texting: Usage and Actual Cost, NIELSEN WIRE, Jan. 27, 2010, available at http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/under-aged-texting-usage-and-actual-cost/. 543 Reproduced from: Roger Entner, Under-aged Texting: Usage and Actual Cost, NIELSEN WIRE, Jan. 27, 2010, available at http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/under-aged-texting-usage-and-actual-cost/. 544 Cisco, Cisco Virtual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2009-2014, http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/white_paper_c11-520862.html (visited Mar. 15, 2010); Informa Industry Outlook, available at http://io2010.informatm.com/; Mobile Opportunity, The Mobile Data Apocalypse and What It Means to You, http://mobileopportunity.blogspot.com/2009/11/mobile-data-apocalypse-and-what-it.html (visited Apr. 28, 2010). 545 Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Traffic Forecast Update, Cisco, Jan. 29, 2009, at 6. 546 Nick Wood, Mobile Data Traffic Growth 10 Times Faster Than Fixed Over Next Five Years – Nokia Siemens, TOTAL TELECOM, Sept. 7, 2009, available at http://www.totaltele.com/view.aspx?ID=448681 (citing Mika Vehvilainen, CTO, Nokia Siemens Networks); Dan Warren, Reality Check: All Roads Lead to LTE (Eventually), RCR WIRELESS, Sept. 29, 2009, available at http://www.rcrwireless.com/ARTICLE/20090929/FRONTPAGE/909289993/reality-check-all-roads-lead-to-lte-eventually. 547 Simon Flannery, et al., 3Q Trend Tracker – Signs of Life for Telecom, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Research – North America, Dec. 4, 2009, at 59. See Section VII.B.2, Mobile Applications, infra. 548 Validas LLC, http://www.myvalidas.com/industryanalytics.aspx. Validas is a company that offers web-based wireless bill analysis and optimization services to consumers and businesses. See Jeff Blyskal, iPhones Hog Much More Data Than Other Smartphones, Consumer Reports Electronics Blog, Feb. 10, 2010, available at http://blogs.consumerreports.org/electronics/2010/02/iphone-data-usage-smart-phones-smartphones-blackberry-mb-network-att-carrier-istress.html. 549 See Finding Value in Smartphones, at 28. 550 Validas LLC, http://www.myvalidas.com/industryanalytics.aspx. 551 MobileData: Traffic Jam Ahead?, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Feb. 2, 2010. AT&T indicated that the Pandora and XM streaming music applications on the iPhone are two of the highest traffic drivers. Id. 552 Presentation by Kris Rinne, Senior VP, AT&T, FCC National Broadband Plan Workshop: Technology-Wireless, Aug. 13, 2009; Michelle Megna, AT&T Faces 5000 Percent Surge in Traffic, INTERNETNEWS.COM, Oct. 8, 2009, at http://www.internetnews.com/mobility/article.php/3843001 (citing AT&T CTO John Donovan). 553 Tom Kaneshige, AT&T IPhone Users Irate at Idea of Usage-Based Pricing, PCWORLD, Dec. 14, 2009. 554 Id. (citing Nielsen’s Roger Entner, who told USA TODAY that the typical iPhone customer uses 400 MBs of wireless capacity per month, whereas the typical smartphone customer consumes about 40 to 80 MBs per month). 555 Id. (citing Bernstein Research analyst Toni Sacconaghi). 556 Verizon Q4 2008 Earnings Conference Call, Jan. 27. 2009 (citing Doreen Toben, Verizon Executive Vice President and CFO). 557 Allot Communications, Global Mobile Broadband Traffic Report, July 2009. 558 See Fourth Report, 14 FCC Rcd at 10164-10165. 559 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6274-6276, ¶¶ 188-193. 560 Only indicators of the price of mobile wireless services are discussed in this section. See Section VII.B.1, Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices and Operating Systems, infra, for information on handset and device pricing. 561 See Table 18, infra. The CPI is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market basket of consumer goods and services. The basket of goods includes over 200 categories including items such as food and beverages, housing, apparel, transportation, medical care, recreation, education, and communications. The CPI provides a way for consumers to compare what the market basket of goods and services costs this month with what the same market basket cost a month or a year ago. Starting in December of 1997, this basket of goods included a category for cellular/wireless telephone services. All CPI figures discussed in this paragraph were taken from BLS databases found on the BLS Internet site available at http://www.bls.gov. The index used in this analysis, the CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), represents about 87 percent of the total U.S. population. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index: Frequently Asked Questions, available at http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpifaq.htm (visited Aug. 26, 2008). While the CPI-U is urban-oriented, it does include expenditure patterns of some of the rural population. Transcript, at 59. Information submitted by companies for the CPI is provided on a voluntary basis. Transcript, at 53. 562 Transcript, at 50. The Cellular CPI includes charges from all telephone companies that supply “cellular telephone services,” which are defined as “domestic personal consumer phone services where the telephone instrument is portable and it sends/receives signals for calls by wireless transmission.” This measure does not include business calls, telephone equipment rentals, portable radios, and pagers. Bureau of Labor Statistics, How BLS Measures Price Change for Cellular Telephone Service in the Consumer Price Index, available at http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpifactc.html (visited Sept. 26, 2008). 563 From December 1997 compared to the annual index. 564 Bureau of Labor Statistics. All CPI figures were taken from BLS databases found on the BLS Internet site available at http://www.bls.gov. 565 See US Wireless Matrix 1Q07, at 52. 566 The average monthly minutes of use figure reflects voice minutes used and captured as network traffic, rather than minutes paid for as part of a monthly service package. 567 Note that this version of ARPU is CTIA’s “Average Local Monthly Bill” (“ALMB”), which does not include toll or roaming revenues where they are not priced into a calling plan. See infra note 585. 568 See Table 19, infra; Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6275-76, ¶ 192. 569 To generate Voice RPM, we subtracted wireless data revenues, derived from CTIA’s survey, from ALMB (we assumed this was the same percentage of wireless data revenues in CTIA’s measure of total service revenues), then we divided that number by CTIA’s average MOUs per month. See also Twelfth Report, 23 FCC Rcd at 2323-24, ¶ 200. 570 Dec 2008 CTIA Survey, at 115 (Chart 28: Data ARPU as a Percentage of Total ARPU), and at 191-92 (Table 79: Approximate Billable MOUs per Subscriber). See Appendix C, Table C-1 (ARPU). Data covers the last six months of each year. For purposes of this presentation in this table, RPM is rounded to two decimal places, but RPM change is based on absolute RPM. 571 See CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report, at 115, 198-200. 572CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report, at 115, 198-200; Commission estimates. 573 Slumdog Millionaires, at 22. 574 Id. at 24. 575 CTIA’s measure is one of “outcollect” roamer traffic revenues; in other words, the revenues generated by roamers in the providers’ markets. CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report, at 92-99. 576 See also Table C-1, Appendix C, infra. 577 Id. This is for the entire 12-month period. 578 CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report, at 185. 579 CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report. 580 This is a blended average. 581 CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report. 582 CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report. 583 We estimate voice revenue by excluding CTIA’s estimate of wireless data revenue from its estimate of total service revenue. The estimate of text messaging revenue, which includes instant messaging and SMS, is collected and reported as a separate revenue category by CTIA. We estimate other data revenue by excluding CTIA’s estimate of text messaging revenue from its estimate of wireless data revenue. Other data revenue includes Internet access and various other data services such as games, ringtones, application downloads and multimedia messaging services. We estimate ARPU for voice, messaging and other data services by dividing each of the revenue estimates by CTIA’s yearly estimate for total subscribers. 584 CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report. 585 There are different ways of calculating ARPU. The measure used here and shown in Table 19 is CTIA’s “average local monthly bill,” which does not include toll or roaming revenues (CTIA calls it “the equivalent of ‘local ARPU’”). Robert F. Roche and John-Paul Edgette, CTIA’s Wireless Industry Indices, Semi-Annual Data Survey Results: A Comprehensive Report from CTIA Analyzing the U.S. Wireless Industry, Year-End 2007 Results, May 2008, at 183 (CTIA Year-End 2007 Wireless Indices Report). CTIA defines an alternative measure of ARPU, which includes roaming revenues but not toll revenue. For a comparison between these two measures, see Id. at 185. 586 CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report; Commission analysis. Voice ARPU calculation includes toll revenues. 587 Data provided by Sanford Bernstein Research. 588 See, e.g., Simon Flannery et al., Deteriorating Wireless Trends, Revisited, Morgan Stanley, Equity Research, Jan. 18, 2007, at 3 (“a growing portion of these net adds are coming from lower-ARPU family plans, prepaid customers, and others receiving larger buckets of minutes at lower per-minute prices.”) 589 See Sections V.D.3, Mobile Data Traffic (Non-Messaging), and V.A.1, Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Type of Service, infra. 590 See Section IV.A, Price Rivalry: Developments in Mobile Service Pricing Plans, supra. 591 Simon Flannery et al., Quick Comment: Verizon’s Price Plan Changes Should Not Rattle Postpaid Market, Morgan Stanley, Equity Research, Jan. 15, 2010, at 1. 592 Jonathan Chaplin, et al., Breaking View: VZ Pricing Changes Not Deflationary, Credit Suisse, Equity Research, Jan. 15, 2010, at 1. However, since, as discussed above, Verizon Wireless may have introduced the new data plan requirement as a means of recovering the cost of steeper handset subsidies, ARPU is not necessarily a reliable indicator of the net effect of these changes. See Section IV.A, Price Rivalry: Developments in Mobile Service Pricing Plans, supra. 593 Data provided by Macquarie Research. 594 A Dictionary of Finance and Banking (2nd ed.), Oxford University Press, 1997, at 50-51. There are differing opinions on what constitutes capital spending versus non-capital spending. 595 See U.S. Census Bureau, Annual Capital Expenditures Surveys, 1999-2008. 596 AT&T Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 25, 2009, at 8, 24; Sprint Nextel, SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 27, 2009, at 17; CTIA NOI Comments at 32. 597 CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report, at 124; CTIA PN Comments at 13; CTIA NOI Comments at 32. 598 CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report, at 127. 599 U.S. Census Bureau, Service Annual Survey Data, 2007-2008; U.S. Census Bureau, Annual Capital Expenditures Surveys, 2004-2008; CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report. 600 CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report. 601 U.S. Census Bureau, Annual Capital Expenditures Surveys, 2004-2008; CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report. 602 AT&T Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 25, 2009, at 8, 24. 603 See Chart 33; The Haves and the Have-Nots Diverge, at 20. 604 US Wireless 411 3Q09, at 50. 605 Craig Moffett, et al., U.S. Wireless Industry Scorecard: The Haves and the Have-Nots Diverge... Industry Growth Stabilizes at 4.2% in Q3, Bernstein Research, Nov. 6, 2009, at 20; Sprint Nextel, SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 27, 2009, at 55. Sprint stated that the decline in Capex in 2008 was also the result of fewer IT projects and the completion in 2007 of various wireless initiatives. Sprint Nextel, SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 27, 2009, at 55. 606 See Section IV.B.1.a, Service Provider Technology Deployments, infra. Sprint Nextel, SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 27, 2009, at 3, 17, 24 (“[W]e are dependent on Clearwire to quickly build, launch and operate a viable, national 4G network. . . . Our intention is to integrate these 4G services with our products and services”). 607 US Wireless 411 3Q09, at 47; John C. Hodulik, et al., US Wireless 411, Version 25.0, UBS, Sept. 18, 2009, at 67; Verizon Communications, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Feb. 24, 2009. 608 Fourteenth Report Public Notice 24 FCC Rcd at 5629. Discussions of profitability measures were included in Consumer Federation of America, et al. Comments at 38, and Mercatus Comments at 12-13. 609 Fourteenth Report Public Notice 24 FCC Rcd at 5629. 610 See, e.g., US Wireless 411 4Q08 and US Wireless 411 2Q09; Clearwire Corporation Subscriber Trends Encouraging, Churn a Concern, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Research, Feb. 25, 2010; Verizon Mobile Subs Strong But Wireline Disappoints, REUTERS, Jan. 26, 2010; MetroPCS, Leap Both Bitten By Competition, WALL STREET JOURNAL, Aug. 7, 2009. 611 Mobile wireless networks are relatively capital intensive. See Section III.D.2., Non-Regulatory Entry and Exit Conditions, and Section IV.B.1, Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades, infra. 612 See, Tom Copeland, et al., Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies (2nd ed.), John Wiley & Sons, 1995, at 163. 613 See James Grant, Foundations of Economic Value Added (2nd ed.), Wiley, 2002. 614 For example, deducting CAPEX from EBITDA is an alternative to depreciating CAPEX over its useful lifetime. Depreciation assumptions and methods can vary across firms and not all depreciation methods are suitable for calculating profitability measures. See A Dictionary of Finance and Banking (2nd ed.), Oxford University Press, 1997, at 100. See also, Modern Industrial Organization, at 249-250. 615 For example, some providers report some interest and tax expenses only on a consolidated basis across their wireline, wireless, and other segments. 616 See A Dictionary of Finance and Banking (2nd ed.), Oxford University Press, 1997, at 112 (defining EBIT as “The profit of a company as shown on the profit and loss account, before deducting the variables of interest and tax. This figure, which is used in calculating many ratios, enables better comparisons to be made with other companies”). 617 See, e.g., B. Tunick, In the GAAP/EBITDA World Nothing’s Easy, INVESTMENT DEALER’S DIGEST, Sept. 16, 2002, Vol. 68, Issue 35, at 30; M. Fridson, EBITDA Is Not King, Journal of Financial Statement Analysis, Spring 1998, Vol. 3, Issue 3, at 59; Let’s Agree to Agree on What EBITDA Means, Bank Loan Report, Vol. 23, No. 26, June 30, 2008. See D. Shook, EBITDA’s Foggy Bottom Line, BUSINESSWEEK ONLINE, Jan. 14, 2003, available from the database Business Source Premier, (stating that if a firm has interest payments equal to 20 percent of EBITDA then EBITDA will ignore one of the firm’s largest expenses). 618 The statutory federal corporation income tax is 35 percent for corporate income over $18,333,333. See IRS, Publication 542, Corporations, at 17, Rev. Feb. 2006, available at http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p542.pdf. 619 The definition of EBITDA is an extension of EBIT, also excluding Depreciation and Amortization. EBITDA is readily calculated from a provider’s SEC 10-K form even if the provider does not report EBITDA. 620 See, e.g., US Wireless 411 2Q09, at 2 (EBITDA is the accounting definition used for operating cash flow). 621 See Donald E. Kieso, et al., Intermediate Accounting (11th ed.), John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2004, at 197 (Defining free cash flow as net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures less dividends. Some companies do not subtract dividends because they believe these expenditures to be discretionary. Net cash provided by operating activities adjusts net income for depreciation and amortization, but not for interest expenses and tax expenses. Free cash flow is interpreted as the amount of discretionary cash flow a company has for purchasing additional investments, retiring its debt, purchasing treasury stock, or adding to its liquidity.) See, also, Tom Copeland, et al., Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies (2nd ed.), John Wiley & Sons, 1995, at 167 (stating that free cash flow is the total after-tax cash flow generated by the company and available to all providers of the company’s capital, both creditors and shareholders). 622 See also, Modern Industrial Organization, at 247. 623 UBS, US Wireless 411 Reports, 2006 – 2009. 624 UBS, US Wireless 411 Reports, 2006 – 2009 625 UBS, US Wireless 411 Reports, 2006 – 2009 626 UBS, US Wireless 411 Reports, 2006 – 2009. Data is for the fourth quarter, except for 2009, which is second quarter data. 627 J.D. Power and Associates Reports: The Gap in Call Quality Performance Among Carriers Narrows As Competition Intensifies Across the Wireless Service Industry, Press Release, J.D. Power, Mar. 18, 2009 (“Gap in Call Quality Performance Among Carriers Narrows”); J.D. Power, 2009 Wireless Call Quality Volume 1, available at http://jdpower.com/telecom/articles/2009-Wireless-Call-Quality-Volume-1 (2009 Wireless Call Quality Volume 1). The study measures wireless call quality based on seven customer-reported problem areas that impact overall carrier performance: dropped calls; static/interference; failed connection on first try; voice distortion; echoes; no immediate voicemail notification; and no immediate text message notification. The 2009 Wireless Call Quality Volume 1 is based on responses from 27,754 wireless customers. The study was fielded between July and December 2009. 628 Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6286-6287, ¶¶ 214-216. 629 2009 Wireless Call Quality Volume 1. 630 Id. 631 Gap in Call Quality Performance Among Carriers Narrows. 632 2009 Wireless Call Quality Volume 1. 633 Id. 634 Id. 635 Tom Kaneshige, AT&T IPhone Users Irate at Idea of Usage-Based Pricing, PCWORLD, Dec. 14, 2009. As discussed above, iPhone and other smartphone users are responsible for a significant portion of data traffic and consume significantly more bandwidth than average mobile wireless subscribers. See Section V.D.3, Mobile Data Traffic (Non-Messaging), supra. 636 Jenna Wortham, Customers Angered as iPhones Overload AT&T, NEW YORK TIMES, Sept. 3, 2009; Jared Newman, Network Woes? Hate the iPhone, Not AT&T, PCWORLD, Sept. 4, 2009. Service quality problems are reported to be particularly pronounced in the cities of New York and San Francisco, where Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster estimates that AT&T’s network “shoulders as much as 20 percent of all the iPhone users in the United States.” Jenna Wortham, Customers Angered as iPhones Overload AT&T, NEW YORK TIMES, Sept. 3, 2009. 637 Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, at 2; Jenna Wortham, Customers Angered as iPhones Overload AT&T, NEW YORK TIMES, Sept. 3, 2009. 638 See Section IV.B.1, Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades, supra. Wireless Service and Handset Pricing – Pressure Building, at 2; Jenna Wortham, Customers Angered as iPhones Overload AT&T, NEW YORK TIMES, Sept. 3, 2009. 639 Letter from Christopher Guttman-McCabe, CTIA, to Chairman Julius Genachowski, et al., FCC, GN Docket No. 09-51, WT Docket Nos. 08-165, 09-66 (filed July 9, 2009) at 2. 640 Id. at Attach., Harold Furchtgott-Roth, The Wireless Sector: A Key to Economic Growth in America (Jan. 2009) at 1. 641 Letter from Christopher Guttman-McCabe, CTIA, to Chairman Julius Genachowski, et al., FCC, GN Docket No. 09-51, WT Docket Nos. 08-165, 09-66 (filed July 9, 2009), Attach., Harold Furchtgott-Roth, The Wireless Sector: A Key to Economic Growth in America (Jan. 2009) at 27, Table 11. 642 Alan Pearce and Michael S. Pagano, Accelerated Wireless Broadband Infrastructure Deployment: The Impact on GDP and Employment, 18 MEDIA L. & POL’Y, Spring 2009, at 12, 15. 643 Id. at 13. 644 Id. at 15-18. 645 Letter from Christopher Guttman-McCabe, CTIA, to Chairman Julius Genachowski, et al., FCC, GN Docket No. 09-51, WT Docket Nos. 08-165, 09-66 (filed July 9, 2009) at 18, citing CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report. 646 Letter from Christopher Guttman-McCabe, CTIA, to Chairman Julius Genachowski, et al., FCC, GN Docket No. 09-51, WT Docket Nos. 08-165, 09-66 (filed July 9, 2009) at 18. 647 Roger Entner and David Lewin, Ovum, The Impact of the U.S. Wireless Telecom Industry on the U.S. Economy – A Study for CTIA-The Wireless Association, Sept. 2005, at 3, 30. 648 Roger Entner, Ovum, The Increasingly Important Impact of Wireless Broadband Technology and Services on the U.S. Economy: A Follow Up to the 2005 Ovum Report on the Impact of the U.S. Wireless Telecom Industry on the U.S. Economy – A Study for CTIA-The Wireless Association, 2008, at 4, 10. 649 Churn only measures consumers that have left a particular service provider; it does not measure consumers that wanted to switch, but were unable to do so. 650 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6270, ¶ 178; CTIA PN Comments at 36-37; CTIA NOI Comments at 67-69. 651 J.D. Power, Wireless, www.jdpower.com (visited Jan. 14, 2010). For example, according to the J.D. Power 2009 Wireless Consumer Smartphone Customer Satisfaction Study, Apple ranks highest in customer satisfaction with smartphone manufacturers, while LG ranks highest among traditional mobile phone users. Id. In addition, several websites, such as billshrink.com, myrateplan.com, reviews.cnet.com/cell-phone-buying-guide, and prepaidreviews.com, provide consumers with free and user-friendly means to identify the best wireless service to meet their needs. BillShrink states in recent comments to the Commission that the public needs increased access to service coverage maps, dropped call data, service plan and pricing transparency, service contract detail, and explicit information about additional charges on wireless bills such as taxes and various fees. See, e.g. BillShrink.com Comments to CG Docket No. 09-158, Oct. 13, 2009, at 1. 652 See CTIA, Consumer Code for Wireless Service, http://files.ctia.org/pdf/ConsumerCode.pdf (visited Apr. 28, 2010). The ability of consumers to terminate a wireless service contract within 14 days is also one of a number of provisions of the Assurance of Voluntary Compliance agreed to by AT&T (then Cingular), Sprint Nextel, and Verizon Wireless with the attorneys general of 32 states on June 25, 2004. See http://www.nasuca.org/archive/CINGULAR%20AVC%FINAL%20VERSION.pdf, visited Mar. 15, 2010. 653 FCC Needs to Improve Oversight of Wireless Phone Service, GAO Report, Nov. 2009, at 8. (GAO Report) 654 Id. at 27-8. The states that have rules or regulations that apply to wireless carriers are: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, Rhode Island, South Dakota, and West Virginia. 655 Consumer Information and Disclosure, Truth-in-Billing and Billing Format, IP-Enabled Services, CG Docket No. 09-158, Notice of Inquiry, 24 FCC Rcd 11380 (2009). 656 Id. 657 See “Comment Sought on Measures Designed to Assist U.S. Wireless Consumers to Avoid ‘Bill Shock,’” CG Docket No. 09-158, Public Notice, DA 10-803 (CGB rel. May 11, 2010). Similar usage alerts and notification mechanisms were adopted by the European Union in June 2009. Id. 658 An exception is the new Google Nexus One handset. Those who terminate their contracts for this T-Mobile Google phone will be charged $350, $200 by T-Mobile as an early service termination fee, and $150 by Google as an equipment recovery fee within the first 120 days of service. Amy Schatz, Google Lowers Nexus One Termination Fee, WALL STREET JOURNAL, Feb. 8, 2010, available at http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703615904575053641103601412.html. 659 See, e.g., Verizon Wireless, Service Agreement, http://www.verizonwireless.com/b2c/globalText?textName=CUSTOMER_AGREEMENT&jspName=footer/customerAgreement.jsp (visited Jan. 14, 2010) 660 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6272-73, ¶ 185; CTIA PN Comments at 29-30; CTIA NOI Comments at 43. 661 WTB ETF Letter to Verizon Wireless, n. 239. 662 Letter from Kathleen Grillo, Senior Vice President, Federal Regulatory Affairs, Verizon, to Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC, and Mark Stone, Acting Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, FCC, WT Docket No. 05-194, CG Docket No. 09-158 (Dec. 18, 2009). 663 See, e.g., Letter from Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC, to Kathleen Grillo, Senior Vice President, Federal Regulatory Affairs, Verizon, DA 10-136 (Jan. 26, 2010); Letter from Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC, to Robert W. Quinn, Jr., Esq., Senior Vice President-Federal Regulatory, AT&T Services, Inc., DA 10-132 (Jan. 26, 2010); Letter from Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC, to Thomas J. Sugrue, Vice President, Government Affairs, T-Mobile, DA 10-135 (Jan. 26, 2010); Letter from Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC, to Vonya B. McCann, Esq., Senior Vice President, Government Affairs, Sprint Nextel Corporation, DA 10-137 (Jan. 26, 2010); and Letter from Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC, to Richard S. Whitt, Esq., Washington Telecom and Media Counsel, Google, Inc., DA 10-133 (Jan. 26, 2010). 664 Id. 665 Id. 666 Letter from Kathleen Grillo, Senior Vice President, Federal Regulatory Affairs, Verizon, to Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC, CG Docket No. 09-158 (Feb. 23, 2010); Letter from Robert W. Quinn, Jr., Esq., Senior Vice President-Federal Regulatory, AT&T Services, Inc., dated Feb. 23, 2010 in CG Docket No. 09-158 to Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC; Letter from Thomas J. Sugrue, Vice President, Government Affairs, T-Mobile, dated Feb. 23, 2010 in CG Docket No. 09-158 to Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC; Letter from Vonya B. McCann, Esq., Senior Vice President, Government Affairs, Sprint Nextel Corporation, dated Feb. 23, 2010 in CG Docket No. 09-158 to Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC; and Letter from Richard S. Whitt, Esq., Washington Telecom and Media Counsel, Google, Inc., dated Feb. 23, 2010 in CG Docket No. 09-158 to Joel Gurin, Chief, Consumer and Government Affairs Bureau, and Ruth Milkman, Chief, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, FCC. 667 Id. 668 No Contract Required – New Month-to-Month Agreement Gives Verizon Wireless Customers Even More Freedom, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Sept. 22, 2008. 669 Id. 670 See Section IV.A.2, Prepaid Service, supra. 671 See Section IV.A, Price Rivalry: Developments in Mobile Service Pricing Plans, supra. 672 Lauren Tara Lacapra, Breaking Free of a Cellular Contract, WALL STREET JOURNAL, Nov. 30, 2006, at D1 (Breaking Free of a Cellular Contract) (noting that this “loophole” in mobile phone contracts is available “to nearly all customers with long-term plans”). 673 Several web-based services that are available include: cellswapper (available at www.cellswapper.com, visited Jan. 12, 2010); trademycellular (available at www.trademycellular.com, visited Jan. 12, 2010); celltradeusa (available at www.celltradeusa.com, visited Jan. 12, 2010); and cashmoneylife (available at www.cashmoneylife, visited Jan. 12, 2010). 674 See Breaking Free of a Cellular Contract. 675 Id. 676 See Cellular South, Three Reasons to Switch to Cellular South, https://www.cellularsouth.com/switchnow/index.html (visited Jan. 14, 2010). 677 Some handset manufacturers directly sell unlocked handsets in their Internet shops and through non-provider retailers. See, e.g., the manufacturer Internet shops selling unlocked handsets at http://www.motorola.com/Consumers/US-EN/Home, http://www.nokiausa.com/ and https://www.google.com/phone/choose?locale=en_US&s7e=. See also, Section VII.B.1, Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices and Operating Systems, infra. 678 See T-Mobile, SIM Cards and Unlocking Your Phone, http://search.t-mobile.com/inquiraapp/ui.jsp?ui_mode=question&question_box=unlock (visited Apr. 28, 2010). 679 See AT&T, Answer Center – What is the Unlock Code for My Phone?, http://www.wireless.att.com/answer-center/main.jsp?solutionId=55002&t=solutionTab (visited Apr. 28, 2010). 680 See Cell Phone Forums, Unlocking a CDMA Phone, http://cellphoneforums.net/general-cell-phone-forum/t206579-unlocking-cdma-phone.html (visited 3/8/2010). 681 47 C.F.R. § 52.21(l). 682 Under the Commission’s rules and orders, covered mobile wireless providers operating in the 100 largest MSAs were required to begin providing number portability by November 24, 2003. Mobile wireless providers outside of the top 100 MSAs were required to be LNP-capable by May 24, 2004. 47 C.F.R § 52.31(a); Verizon Wireless’s Petition for Partial Forbearance From Commercial Mobile Radio Services Number Portability Obligation and Telephone Number Portability, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 17 FCC Rcd 14972, 14986, ¶ 31 (2002). In an October 2007 ruling, the Commission also expanded local number portability to VoIP, among other things. Telephone Number Requirements for IP-Enabled Services Providers, Report and Order, Declaratory Ruling, Order on Remand, and Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 22 FCC Rcd 19531 (2007). 683 Craig Stroup and John Vu, Numbering Resource Utilization in the United States, FCC, Sept. 2009, at 35 (March 2009 NRUF Report). 684 CTIA defines it as “a measure of the number of subscribers disconnecting from service during the period.” CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report, at 70. 685 US Wireless 411 3Q09, at 20 (Table 16: Monthly Churn). See also, CTIA NOI Comments at 69. 686 US Wireless 411 3Q09, at 6. See also Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd 10947 at 11005, ¶ 145 for reasons for the earlier decline. 687 Wireline & Wireless Telecom Services, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Mar. 26, 2009, at 14. 688 Data provided by Bernstein Research. Annual churn is an average for each of the four quarters. Verizon Wireless is combined with Alltel. 689 Leap Wireless & Metro PCS: Low Cost Prepaid Wireless…A Survival Story; Initiating Coverage at Outperform, Bernstein Research, Dec 14, 2009. 690 Data provided by Bernstein Research. Annual churn is an average for each of the four quarters. Verizon Wireless is combined with Alltel. 691 Calculation of Monthly Lifetime is based on Blended Churn, thus postpaid and prepaid churn calculations would provide different measures. 692 Id. 693 US Wireless 411 2Q09; Commission estimates. 694 Mercatus NOI Comments at 11. 695 A more detailed description of spectrum available for mobile wireless service is provided in Appendix A. There are other bands – including 2.3 GHz (WCS), 1670-1675 MHz, and 901-902 MHz (Narrowband PCS) – that are licensed under the Commission’s flexible Part 27 or Part 24 rules and can be used to provide CMRS. Appendix A also includes a discussion of the 3650-3700 MHz band, which can be used to provide wireless broadband service. 696 Appendix A of this Report provides a more detailed discussion of these frequency bands. 697 See Third Report, 13 FCC Rcd at 19749, 19779, pp. 3, 29. 698 The “900 MHz” SMR band refers to spectrum allocated in the 896-901 and 935-940 MHz bands; the “800 MHz” band refers to spectrum allocated in the 806-824 and 851-869 MHz bands. See 47 C.F.R. § 90.603; see also 47 C.F.R. § 90.7 (defining “specialized mobile radio system”). 699 Dispatch services allow two-way, real-time, voice communications between fixed units and mobile units (e.g., between a taxicab dispatch office and a taxi) or between two or more mobile units (e.g., between a car and a truck). See Fifth Report, 15 FCC Rcd at 17727-28, for a detailed discussion. 700 Nextel and Sprint combined their spectrum holdings in a merger completed in 2005, becoming Sprint Nextel Corporation. See http://www.sprint.com/companyinfo/history/ (visited Mar. 8, 2010). 701 See Third Report, 13 FCC Rcd at 19768, p. B-4, Table 3A (1998). 702 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6210, ¶ 40, Table 1. 703 See id. at 6277, ¶ 193, Table 12 (2009). 704 See id. at 6314, Table A-1 (2009). 705 CTIA Year-End 2008 Wireless Indices Report, at 126. 706 Id. at 150. 707 Since the release of the Thirteenth Report, the Commission completed Auction 86, which offered 78 BRS licenses: 75 licenses covering various Basic Trading Areas (BTAs), including one partial BTA, and 3 licenses covering BRS service areas in the Gulf of Mexico. The Commission completed the auction on October 30, 2009. See “Auction of Broadband Radio Service Licenses Closes; Winning Bidders Announced for Auction 86,” Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd 13572 (2009). 708 See Section IV.B.1.a, Service Provider Technology Deployments, supra. 709 As mentioned in the Thirteenth Report, T-Mobile had launched HSPA service, using its AWS spectrum, in 13 major U.S. markets as of September 2008. As of August 2009, T-Mobile’s HSPA network covered 121 million people in 176 cities, with anticipated coverage of 200 million people in an additional 100 cities by the end of 2009. MetroPCS has announced that it plans to begin deploying LTE beginning in the second half of 2010 using its AWS spectrum licenses. See Section IV.B.1.a, Service Provider Technology Deployments, supra. 710 The 74 megahertz includes 4 megahertz of spectrum in the 700 MHz Guard Bands, which are not included in Table 24. Portions of the lower 700 MHz band were auctioned previously in Auctions 44, 49, and 60. See Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15940, ¶ 80. The Digital Television transition ensured that the 700 MHz spectrum was cleared of broadcast use, and thus made available for commercial mobile services, no later than June 12, 2009. 711 See Section IV.B.1.a, Service Provider Technology Deployments, supra, for a discussion of technological deployments in recently-licensed mobile wireless frequency bands. 712 See Appendix A for additional discussion of WCS, the 1.4 GHz band, and the 1670-1675 MHz band. 713 See Section III.B.4, Mobile Satellite Service Providers, supra, for a discussion of MSS. 714 This table only includes the terrestrial, flexible use frequency bands discussed in this section of the Report. 715 47 C.F.R § 24.3. 716 Implementation of Sections 3(n) and 332 of the Communications Act, Third Report and Order, 9 FCC Rcd 7988, 7999, 8100-8110, ¶¶ 16, 238-265 (1994) (CMRS Third Report and Order). In adopting spectrum aggregation limits, the Commission was “recognizing the possibility that mobile service licensees might exert undue market power or inhibit market entry by other service providers if permitted to aggregate large amounts of spectrum.” Id. at 8100 ¶ 239. It stated that if firms were to aggregate sufficient amounts of spectrum, it is possible that they could unilaterally or in combination exclude efficient competitors, reduce the quality of service available to the public, and increase prices to the detriment of consumers. Id. at 8104 ¶ 248. 717 CMRS Third Report and Order, 9 FCC Rcd at 8105-8110, ¶¶ 252-265. See also 1998 Biennial Regulatory Review, Spectrum Aggregation Limits for Wireless Telecommunications Carriers, WT Docket No. 98-205, Report and Order, 15 FCC Rcd 9219, 9254-57 ¶¶ 80-84 (2000). The CMRS spectrum cap only covered services that had spectrum of 5 megahertz or more (thus excluding narrowband CMRS) in order to ensure that providers using the spectrum could compete with one another. CMRS Third Report and Order, 9 FCC Rcd at 8105 ¶ 252. For the purposes of calculating spectrum holdings under the CMRS cap, the Commission counted SMR spectrum as 10 megahertz. Id. at 8113-14 ¶ 275. In 1999, the Commission raised the CMRS spectrum cap to 55 megahertz in rural market areas (RSAs). Biennial Regulatory Review, Spectrum Aggregation Limits for Wireless Telecommunications Carriers, Report and Order, 15 FCC Rcd 9219, 9256-57 (1999). 718 See 2000 Biennial Regulatory Review – Spectrum Aggregation Limits for Commercial Mobile Radio Services, WT Docket No. 01-14, Report and Order, 16 FCC Rcd 22668, 22669-71 ¶¶ 2-6 (2001) (Second Biennial Review Order). The Commission also raised the spectrum cap to 55 megahertz in all markets during the sunset period. Id. at 22671 ¶ 6. 719 Applications of AT&T Wireless Services, Inc. and Cingular Wireless Corporation For Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 19 FCC Rcd 21522, 21568-69 ¶ 109 (2004). 720 Id. at 21620-21, ¶ 255. 721 See, e.g., AT&T-Dobson Order, 22 FCC Rcd at 20311, ¶¶ 26-30; Verizon Wireless-ALLTEL Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 17473, ¶ 53; Sprint Nextel-Clearwire Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 17591, ¶ 53. 722 Ninth Report, 19 FCC Rcd at 20631, ¶ 84. 723 Promoting Efficient use of Spectrum Through Elimination of Barriers to the Development of Secondary Markets, WT Docket No. 00-230, Second Report and Order, Order on Reconsideration, and Second Further Notice of proposed Rulemaking, 19 FCC Rcd 17503, 17547-49 ¶¶ 87-90 (2004) (Secondary Markets Second R&O); Service Rules for the 698-746, 747-762 and 777-792 MHz Bands; Implementing a Nationwide, Broadband, Interoperable Public Safety Network in the 700 MHz Band, WT Docket Nos. 06-150, PS Docket No. 06-229, Second Report and Order, 22 FCC Rcd 15289, 15374-80 ¶¶ 231-248 (2007). 724 See infra Tables 25-26 and Charts 40-41. The data in these tables and charts generally reflect transactions through 2009. They include the AT&T/Centennial transaction as well as the divestitures required as part of the Verizon Wireless-Alltel transaction. With respect to the Verizon Wireless-Alltel divestitures, licenses that were divested have been included in the “Other” category. 725 T-Mobile holds a very small amount of spectrum below 1 GHz. 726 See Section III.E.1, Entry, supra. 727 Although SMR spectrum also falls below 1 GHz, broadband operations using this spectrum have not been shown to be viable pending completion of 800 MHz rebanding, as noted in the National Broadband Plan, given the interference protection provided to neighboring public safety operations per 47 CFR § 90.672. See National Broadband Plan, Chapter 5 n. 63. In addition, the commercial SMR spectrum in the 900 MHz band currently is interleaved with Business/Industrial/Land Transportation services, and thus is best suited for narrowband deployments. 728 See, e.g., Service Rules for the 698-746, 747-762, and 777-792 MHz Bands, WT Docket No. 06-150, 22 FCC Rcd 15289, 15349 ¶ 158, 15354-55 ¶ 176, 15400-401 ¶ 304 (2007) (700 MHz Band Second R&O) (recognizing the excellent propagation characteristics of 700 MHz band spectrum); White Spaces Report and Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 16807, 16820-21 ¶ 32 (propagation characteristics of the TV bands enable service at greater ranges than in the 2.4GHz band). 729 See, e.g., 700 MHz Band Second R&O, 22 FCC Rcd at 15349, ¶ 158. 730 See, e.g., NTELOS comments at 9 (Cellular and 700 MHz licenses are the “optimum spectrum ranges for delivering mobile services”); Letter from Kathleen O’Brien Ham, T-Mobile, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, WT Docket No. 09-66 (filed Nov. 25, 2009) (T-Mobile Nov. 25, 2009 Ex Parte Letter), Attachment at 8-9; Letter from Kathleen O’Brien Ham, T-Mobile, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, WT Docket No. 09-66 (filed Apr. 26, 2010) (T-Mobile Apr. 26, 2010 Ex Parte Letter); Letter from Tamara Preiss, Verizon Wireless, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, WT Docket No. 09-66 (filed May 12, 2010) (Verizon Wireless May 12, 2010 Ex Parte Letter), at 2; Comcast Comments, GN Docket No. 09-157 (filed Sept. 30, 2009), at 9-12. 731 See United States of America et al. v. Verizon Communications Inc. and ALLTEL Corporation, Competitive Impact Statement, Case No. 08-cv-1878, at 5-6 (filed Oct. 30, 2008), available at http://www.justice.gov/atr/cases/f238900/238947.pdf (“. . . because of the characteristics of PCS spectrum, providers holding this type of spectrum generally have found it less attractive to build out in rural areas.”); United States of America v. AT&T Inc. and Dobson Communications Corporation, Competitive Impact Statement, Case No. 1:07-cv-01952, at 5, 11, 13 (filed Oct. 30, 2007), available at http://www.justice.gov/atr/cases/f227300/227309.pdf (“ . . . the propagation characteristics of [1900 MHz PCS] spectrum are such that signals extend to a significantly smaller area than do 800 MHz cellular signals. The relatively higher cost of building out 1900 MHz spectrum, combined with the relatively low population density of the areas in question, make it unlikely that competitors with 1900 MHz spectrum will build out their networks to reach the entire area served by” the two 800 MHz Cellular providers). 732 For instance, in its auction of mobile spectrum that began in April of 2010, Germany has placed restrictions on the amount of sub-1GHz spectrum (in the 800 MHz band) that any mobile service provider could obtain, depending on how much sub-1 GHz spectrum a particular mobile provider already holds. See Decision of the President’s Chamber of the Federal Network Agency for Electricity, Gas, Telecommunications, Post, and Railway, Oct. 16, 2009, at 6, 9 available at http://www.bundesnetzagentur.de/cae/servlet/contentblob/138364/publicationFile/3682/DecisionPresidentChamberTenor_ID17495pdf.pdf. In March 2010, the United Kingdom (UK) Government similarly proposed a spectrum cap for the upcoming auction of sub-1 GHz spectrum (in the 800 MHz band). Draft Statutory Instruments, The Wireless Telegraphy Act 2006 (Directions to OFCOM), Mar. 2010, at 5, available at http://www.opsi.gov.uk/si/si2010/draft/pdf/ukdsi_9780111497319_en.pdf. The UK Government also proposed that there be a spectrum cap on total mobile services spectrum that any provider could hold. 733 See, e.g., T-Mobile April 26, 2010 Ex Parte Letter (stating that lower band spectrum is widely considered “beachfront” spectrum because of its propagation characteristics). 734 See, e.g.¸ T-Mobile Nov. 25, 2009 Ex Parte Letter, Attachment at 8-9 (a network built using lower frequencies requires many fewer cell sites for the same coverage using higher frequencies). See also, Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 313-314 (lower spectrum allocations, such as 700 MHz spectrum, help lower capital expenditures by broadening reach); John Stankey, President and CEO, AT&T Operations, Inc., January 28, 2010 (Q4 2010 Earnings Call) (noting that 850 MHz Cellular spectrum is “very high quality with terrific propagation characteristics. It is very effective penetrating buildings…As customers make the shift to more data-intensive devices, we think this is important for the perceived quality of their overall experience”). 735 While propagation characteristics are important with regard to coverage in urban areas, especially in-building coverage, site spacing in these areas can also be driven by the need for capacity. AT&T, for instance, notes that it cannot be assumed that lower frequency bands will require fewer cells or be more economical to deploy because other factors also affect propagation – including the presence of large buildings in urban areas or other physical impediments. It states that “in areas that are capacity limited, there is likely to be no difference in the number of cells required at 700 MHz vs. 2.5 GHz.” AT&T NOI Comments at 81-83. 736 NIST, 700 MHz Band Channel Propagation Model, http://www.nist.gov/itl/antd/emntg/700mhz.cfm (visited Apr. 29, 2010). See T-Mobile Apr. 26, 2010 Ex Parte Letter (stating that lower band spectrum is widely considered “beachfront” spectrum because of its propagation characteristics, and citing the NIST model). 737 Okumura-Hata is a widely used RF propagation. See John S. Seybold, Introduction to RF Propagation, Wiley-Interscience, 2005. 738 See generally FCC, Auction 73 – 700 MHz Band, http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/default.htm?job=auction_summary&id=73. 739 See generally FCC, Auction 66 – Advanced Wireless Services, http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/default.htm?job=auction_summary&id=66. 740 Verizon Wireless May 12, 2010 Ex Parte Letter at 2-3. See also Letter from Jeanine Poltronieri, AT&T, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, WT Docket No. 09-66 (filed May 6, 2010) (AT&T May 13, 2010 Ex Parte Letter) at 2-3. 741 Verizon Wireless May 12, 2010 Ex Parte Letter at 3; AT&T May 13, 2010 Ex Parte Letter at 3. 742 AT&T May 13, 2010 Ex Parte Letter at 2. 743 Id. at 3. 744 See Alan Hadden, Mobile Broadband — Where The Next Generation Leads Us, Global Mobile Suppliers Association, Dec. 2009, available at http://www.gsacom.com/downloads/pdf/GSA_IEEE_articles1209.php4. 745 Id. (“A combination of higher spectrum (e.g., 1.8 GHz, 2.1 GHz, 2.6 GHz) for the capacity layer, and sub-1 GHz spectrum for improved coverage in rural areas and for urban in-building, is considered optimal”). 746 See Para 254, supra. 747 See, e.g., MediaFLO, Enabling the Wireless Ecosystem, http://www.mediaflo.com/about_us.html (visited Apr. 29, 2010). 748 See Section IV.B.1.a, Service Provider Technology Deployments, supra. 749 Id. 750 Digital Bridge Communications, About DBC: Bringing Broadband to Underserved or Rural Communities Nationwide, http://www.digitalbridgecommunications.com/AboutDBC/tabid/84/Default.aspx (visited Apr. 29, 2010); Xanadoo Company, About Xanadoo, http://www.xanadoo.com/about.html (visited Apr. 29, 2010). 751 See AT&T-Dobson Order, 22 FCC Rcd at 20311-312 ¶¶ 26-27 (2007). 752 Id. at ¶ 26. 753 Id. at ¶ 31. 754 Sprint Nextel-Clearwire Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 17596-17600, ¶¶ 61-73. As discussed above, in reviewing proposed merger transactions that involve spectrum aggregation, the Commission examines market participants’ holdings of suitable spectrum to ensure that there is sufficient spectrum available to competitors. 755 See id. 756 See id. at 17596 ¶ 61; Verizon Wireless-ALLTEL Order, 23 FCC Rcd at 17469-470, ¶¶ 45-47. 757 An alternative to the use of tall structures for cell sites is distributed antenna systems (DAS). DAS are comprised of a relatively large network of small cells that are connected by fiber optic cable and can be placed on such locations as utility poles, buildings, or traffic signal poles, in geographic areas where either constructing towers is not feasible, or where wireless traffic demands are too great to be met with fewer, large cells. Because DAS sites are unobtrusive, they are particularly desirable in areas with stringent zoning regulations, such as historic districts. Two major providers of such networks are ADC Telecommunications (http://www.adc.com/us/en/), and NextG Networks (http://www.nextgnetworks.net/). 758 See CTIA Mid-Year 2009 Wireless Indices Report, at 28; CTIA NOI Comments at 34-35. 759 Id. 760 AT&T reported 51,470 cell sites, Sprint 66,250, T-Mobile 45,397, and Verizon Wireless 45,397, as of June 30, 2009. US Wireless 411 3Q09, at 50. 761 US Wireless 411 3Q09, at 50. The significant increase in the number of Verizon Wireless cell sites is due largely to its acquisition of Alltel in January 2009. 762 SBA Communications, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Mar. 27, 2009, at 10. 763 The companies are listed in order of size based on the number of towers owned. American Tower is the largest and TowerCo is the fifth largest. American Tower, Crown Castle, and SBA Communications are public companies, while Global Tower and TowerCo are privately held. According to Verizon Wireless, no single tower company owns more than 21 percent of all towers nationwide. See Verizon Wireless NOI Comments at 102. 764 Sprint sold many of its company-owned cell site structures in the past few years and then leased space on them, most recently selling approximately 3,000 towers to TowerCo. TowerCo Completes Acquisition Of 3,080 Towers From Sprint Nextel For $670 Million, Press Release, TowerCo, Sept. 24, 2008. It is not possible to determine from publicly-available information the number of cell sites still owned by Sprint Nextel or any of the wireless service providers. 765 Wireline & Wireless Telecom Services, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Sept. 24, 2009, at 4. 766 Presentation by Nadine Manjaro, ABI Research, PCIA Wireless Infrastructure Show Debrief, at 2009 Wireless Infrastructure Show, Oct. 1, 2009, available at http://www.rcrwireless.com/assets/pdf/PCIA_Wireless2009_Debrief.pdf. 767 US Wireless 411 3Q09, at 50. 768 SBA Communications, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Mar. 27, 2009, at 8. 769 American Tower Corporation Reports Third Quarter 2009 Financial Results, Press Release, American Tower, Nov. 3, 2009, available at http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=98586&p=irol-newsArticle_Print&ID=1349946&highlight; American Tower Corporation Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2009 Financial Results, Press Release, American Tower, Feb. 24, 2009, available at http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=98586&p=irol-newsArticle_Print&ID=1394632&highlight. 770 Crown Castle International Reports Third Quarter 2009 Results; Provides 2010 Outlook, Press Release, Crown Castle, Nov. 3, 2009, available at http://investor.crowncastle.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=107530&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1350357&highlight; Crown Castle International Reports Fourth Quarter And Full Year 2009 Results, Press Release, Crown Castle, Jan. 27, 2010, available at http://investor.crowncastle.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=107530&p=irol-news&nyo=0. 771 SBA Communications Corporation Reports 3rd Quarter 2009 Results, Press Release, SBA, Oct. 29, 2009, available at http://ir.sbasite.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=420018; SBA Communications Corporation Reports 3rd Quarter 2009 Results, Press Release, SBA, Feb. 25, 2010, available at http://ir.sbasite.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=447344. 772 There is no evidence that shortages of transmission equipment, including antennas, to install at cell sites, act as a barrier to cell site deployment. 773 See, e.g., Guilford County, NC, Development Ordinance on Cellular Tower Placement, www.co.guilford.nc.us/planning_cms (visited Jan. 25, 2010). 774 Petition for Declaratory Ruling to Clarify Provisions of Section 332(c)(7)(B) to Ensure Timely Siting Review and to Preempt under Section 253 State and Local Ordinances that Classify All Wireless Siting Proposals as Requiring a Variance, WT Docket No. 08-165, Petition for Declaratory Ruling, filed July 11, 2008. 775 Petition for Declaratory Ruling to Clarify Provisions of Section 332(c)(7)(B) to Ensure Timely Siting Review and to Preempt Under Section 253 State and Local Ordinances that Classify All Wireless Siting Proposals as Requiring a Variance, Declaratory Ruling, WT Docket No. 08-165, 24 FCC Rcd 13994, 14021 ¶ 71 (2009), petition for recon. pending, petition for review pending, City of Arlington v. FCC, No. 10-60039 (5th Cir., filed Jan. 12, 2010). 776 Service providers must provide backhaul for increasing numbers of cell sites and ensure that the backhaul solutions they employ provide sufficient capacity to support increasing use of wireless data services. 777 See MSV 700 MHz Comments (hundreds of a dollars for a T1 line to $2,000 for a DS3 connection); Space Data Corporation Comments, WT Docket No. 06-150, PS Docket No. 06-229, Exhibit A (filed June 20, 2008) (backhaul cost ranging from $2,500 to $6,000). See Section III.D, Entry and Exit Conditions, supra. 778 SNL Kagan, Communications Industry News, June 26, 2008, at 1 (citing Infonetics Research Analyst, Michael Howard). 779 Different protocols for data transmission (e.g., TDM , Ethernet) can run over each type of physical facility. 780 Wireless Backhaul Market Study, New Paradigm Resources, Oct. 2008. 781 Id. This study estimated that as of mid-2009, there were about 530,000 backhaul lines, for 230,000 cell sites in the United States. Id. 782 Special access services do not use local switches; instead they employ dedicated facilities that run directly between two designated locations. See Special Access Rates for Price Cap Local Exchange Carriers, WC Docket No. 05-25, RM-10593, Order and Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 20 FCC Rcd 1994, 1997, ¶ 7 (2005) (Special Access NPRM). 783 Other options, including higher bandwidth Ethernet services, are currently unavailable in a number of markets. 784 Sprint Nextel Comments, WC Docket No. 05-25 (filed Jan. 19, 2010), at ii. 785 Verizon Wireless NOI Comments at 95-96 (citing a study by Raymond James which estimates that the size of the backhaul market will grow from $3 billion annually to $8 to $10 billion in the next three to fixe years, driven in large part by increases in wireless data traffic). 786 See “Parties Asked to Comment on Analytical Framework Necessary to Resolve Issues in the Special Access NPRM,” Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd 13638 (2009) (referring to the Special Access NPRM). 787 See Section V.D.3, Mobile Data Traffic (Non-Messaging), infra; Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Traffic Forecast Update, Cisco, Jan. 29, 2009, at 6. 788 MobileData: Traffic Jam Ahead?, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Feb. 2, 2010. 789 We note that carriers are increasingly interested in transitioning from TDM to Ethernet and other packet based services, and that existing facilities – including copper and fiber facilities – may often be transitioned from TDM to IP to address increased demand at particular sites.  In addition, evolving technologies may provide wireless carriers with more alternatives to using special access services, including deploying their own facilities. 790 National Broadband Plan, at 93. 791 Id. 792 Id. at 130 and 132-3. 793 Best Cell Phone Service, CONSUMER REPORTS, Jan. 2010. 794 Id. 795 Roger Entner, When Choosing A Carrier Does the iPhone Really Matter?, NIELSEN WIRE, Aug. 10, 2009. 796 See, e.g., USM/TDS, 4Q09 Preview: Wireless Remains Challenging, Morgan Stanley, Feb. 23, 2010; Company Update, Cincinnati Bell, Inc. (CCB), Goldman Sachs, Feb. 11, 2010) 797 These figures based on data from hearing aid compatibility reports filed by handset manufacturers from 2006 to 2009. For reports prior to July 2009, see FCC Docket 07-250; for reports after July 2009, see the FCC Hearing Aid Compatibility status reporting site at http://wireless.fcc.gov/hac/index.htm?job=home. These reports include information (such as handset maker, model name, starting available date and end available date) for each handset model offered by the handset manufacturer during the reporting period. 798 Handset manufacturers filed their hearing aid compatibility status reports by July 15, 2009, for the reporting period from January 1 to June 30, 2009. Starting in July 2010, handset manufacturers are required to file their hearing aid compatibility status reports annually on July 15 for the twelve month reporting period from July 1st of the prior year to June 30th of the reporting year. See also http://wireless.fcc.gov/hac/index.htm?job=home for more details on these reports. 47 C.F.R. § 20.19. 799 See Section IV.B.3, Differentiation in Mobile Wireless Handsets/Devices, supra (defining smartphone for purposes of this report). 800 Based on data from hearing aid compatibility status reports filed by handset manufacturers in July 2009, available at http://wireless.fcc.gov/hac/index.htm?job=home. 801 Based on data from hearing aid compatibility status reports filed by handset manufacturers in July 2009, available at http://wireless.fcc.gov/hac/index.htm?job=home. 802 See Sony Ericsson Launches the New Brand XPERIA with the Unveiling of XPERIA X1, Press Release, Sony Ericsson, Feb. 10, 2008, available at http://www.sonyericsson.com/cws/companyandpress/pressreleases/pressrelease/pressreleaseoverview/xperiax1us-20080210?cc=us&lc=en. 803 See T-Mobile Unveils the T-Mobile G1 – the First Phone Powered by Android, Press Release, T-Mobile, Sept. 23, 2008, available at http://www.t-mobile.com/company/PressReleases_Article.aspx?assetName=Prs_Prs_20080923&title=T-Mobile%20Unveils%20the%20T-Mobile%20G1%20–%20the%20First%20Phone%20Powered%20by%20Android. 804 See Nokia Amps Up Music Offering with New Nokia 5800 XpressMusic, Press Release, Nokia, Oct. 2, 2008, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/archive/archiveshowpressrelease?newsid=1256590. 805 See Sprint to Offer Palm Pre Nationwide on June 6, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, May 19, 2009, available at http://newsreleases.sprint.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=127149&p=irol-newsArticle_newsroom&ID=1289761&highlight. 806 See Hello Humans: DROID by Motorola Arrives Next Week, Press Release, Motorola, Oct. 28, 2009, available at http://mediacenter.motorola.com/content/detail.aspx?ReleaseID=12058&NewsAreaID=2. 807 See AT&T and Garmin Announce a New Mobile Navigation Era with Nuvifone, the Navigation Phone, Press Release, AT&T, Sept. 29, 2009, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=27177&mapcode. 808 See Brian James Kirk, T-Mobile Tap - a new affordable touchscreen handset, MOBILE BURN, Oct. 7, 2009 at http://www.mobileburn.com/news.jsp?Id=7976. 809 See Google Offers New Model for Consumers to Buy a Mobile Phone, Press Release, Google, Jan. 5, 2010, available at http://www.google.com/intl/en/press/pressrel/20100105_phone.html. 810 LG, All LG Phones, http://www.lg.com/au/mobile-phones/all-lg-phones/index.jsp (visited Apr. 29, 2010). 811 Nokia USA, Compare Phones, http://www.nokiausa.com/find-products (visited Apr. 29, 2010). 812 See Acer Enters the Smartphone Market, PCMAG.COM, Feb. 17, 2009, at http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2341176,00.asp. See also ACER, Smartphone Series, http://www.acer.com/smartphone/ (visited on Jan. 12, 2010). 813 See At CES Dell Unveils First All Powerful Ultra Mobile Gaming System, Next Generation Smart Phones, Tablet Concepts and a New Line of Design Inspired Laptops, Press Release, Dell, Jan. 7, 2010, available at http://content.dell.com/us/en/corp/d/press-releases/2010-01-07-dell-at-ces-2010.aspx. 814 See Gabriel Madway, Lenovo Enters Smartphone Fracas with “LePhone,” REUTERS, Jan. 6, 2010, at http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6060JF20100107. 815 See comScore Reports December 2009 U.S. Mobile Subscriber Market Share, Press Release, comScore, Feb. 8, 2010, available at http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2010/2/comScore_Reports_December_2009_U.S._Mobile_Subscriber_Market_Share. 816 Our data currently cannot separate 1xRTT with EV-DO handsets from 1xRTT only handsets. 817 The number of handset models with WCDMA was 50 in June 2009, 52 in December 2008, 9 in November 2007, and 3 in November 2006. 818 The number of smartphone models with WCDMA was 25 in June 2009. 819 See comScore Reports December 2009 U.S. Mobile Subscriber Market Share, Press Release, comScore, Feb. 8, 2010, available at http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2010/2/comScore_Reports_December_2009_U.S._Mobile_Subscriber_Market_Share. 820 See Section VII.B.1.b, Key Factors Affecting Mobile Wireless Competition, infra. 821 The top eight facilities-based providers include AT&T, Verizon Wireless, Sprint Nextel, T-Mobile, Alltel (merged with Verizon Wireless on January 9, 2009), US Cellular, MetroPCS, and Leap Wireless. Tracphone, the fifth largest service provider in the U.S., is not facilities-based. 822 These figures are based on data from hearing aid compatibility status reports filed by service providers from 2006 to 2009, available at http://wireless.fcc.gov/hac/index.htm?job=home. 823 These figures are based on data from hearing aid compatibility status reports filed by service providers in January 2010. 824 Wireless, COMMUNICATIONS DAILY, Mar. 1, 2010, at 7. 825 Hearing aid compatibility annual status reports filed by Jan. 15, 2010. 220 service providers offered at least one handset model in December 2009. 826 Smartphone Adoption Steadily Rising, at 3. 827 Finding Value in Smartphones, at 6. 828 Smartphone Adoption Steadily Rising, at 3. 829 Wireless Service & Handset Pricing – Tick Tock, at 8. 830 Id. at 7. 831 Wireless Service & Handset Pricing – Tick Tock, at 8. 832 See FTC, An FTC Guide to Dealings in the Supply Chain, http://www.ftc.gov/bc/antitrust/factsheets/antitrustlawsguide.pdf, at 17-22 (FTC). 833 See Antitrust Law and Economics, at 326 (“Under a tying arrangement, the seller of a product conditions the sale of one product upon the buyer’s agreement to purchase a second product”). In particular, the sale of the handset is conditioned on the subsequent purchase of the multi-month wireless service subscription. 834 See, e.g., David Pogue, The Irksome Cell Phone Industry, THE NEW YORK TIMES, July 22, 2009, at B1. 835 T-Mobile, for example, offers SIM cards that can be inserted into any unlocked GSM phone, a common practice in Europe. 836 See, e.g., the online stores of handset manufacturers Motorola and Nokia at http://www.motorola.com/Consumers/US-EN/Home and http://www.nokiausa.com/, respectively. The unbundled model of handset manufacturers distributing unlocked handsets has not yet been widely embraced by U.S. consumers even though some handset manufacturers directly sell unlocked handsets in their Internet shops and through non-provider retailers. 837 See T-Mobile, Plans, http://www.t-mobile.com/shop/plans/Cell-Phone-Plans-Overview.aspx?WT.z_HP=shop_plans_DL (visited Feb. 22, 1010). 838 Territorial restraints involve manufacture-dealer relationships. They are distinct from exclusive dealing where the manufacturer requires the distributor not to distribute products of competing manufacturers. See Antitrust Law and Economics, at 308, 345. See FTC at 17. See also, Competition Policy, at 301. 839 See FTC at 17. 840 See Verizon Wireless, Written Ex Parte Presentation, RM-11497, July 17, 2009 (stating that, applicable to small wireless carriers (those with 500,000 customers or less), any new exclusivity arrangement it enters with handset makers will last no longer than six months – for all manufacturers and all devices). See also T-Mobile Reply Comments, RM-11497, Feb. 20, 2009, at 6-7 (stating that most of T-Mobile’s exclusive agreements last less than a year and some are as short as 90 days). In October 2008, the Commission sought comment on a petition for rulemaking, filed by the Rural Cellular Association, regarding exclusivity arrangements between commercial wireless service providers and handset manufacturers. See “Wireless Telecommunications Bureau Seeks Comment on Petition for Rulemaking Regarding Exclusivity Arrangements Between Commercial Wireless Carriers and Handset Manufacturers,” RM-11497, Public Notice, 23 FCC Rcd 14873 (WTB 2008). 841 The original iPhone was released in June 2007. See Apple Inc., SEC Form 10-K, for fiscal year 2008, filed Nov. 5, 2008, at 5. The third generation iPhone, called iPhone 3GS, was released in June 2009. Apple reports that the iPhone 3GS is sold in the United States through an exclusive arrangement. See Apple Inc., SEC Form 10-K, for fiscal year 2009, filed Oct. 27, 2009, at 4, 20. 842 Hence, EHAs do not involve exclusive dealing where the distributor is prohibited from carrying products of competing manufacturers. 843 For example, on February 5, 2010, the HTC Touch smartphone (or a variant with similar capabilities) was carried by at least Cellular One, Cellular 29 Plus (Chatmobility), Cellular South, T-Mobile, Copper Valley Wireless, Golden State Cellular, Verizon Wireless, Cellcom, Illinois Valley Cellular, Alaska Digitel, Inland Cellular, AT&T, Iowa Wireless Services, Nex-Tech Wireless, North Eastern Pennsylvania Wireless, Northwest Missouri Cellular, Sprint Nextel, Appalachian Wireless, Carolina West Wireless (HTC Hero arriving soon), Panhandle Telecommunications Systems, Alaska Communications Systems, Leaco, Nemont Telephone Cooperative (Sagebrush Cellular), US Cellular, Bluegrass Cellular, Strata Wireless, Thumb Cellular, United Wireless, and West Central Wireless. This data was collected directly from the websites of these providers. 844 See Apple, Apple Store – iPhone 3G, http://store.apple.com/us/browse/home/shop_iphone?mco=OTY2ODQyMQ (visited May 14, 2010); Garmin, Garminfone, https://buy.garmin.com/shop/shop.do?cID=138&pID=30018 (visited May 14, 2010). 845 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 92. Morgan Stanley estimated the percentage of time spent each day on a mobile device on each type of activity. The estimates are based on data from CTIA, which estimated that the average voice call time per day is 27 minutes, and iSuppli, which estimated the total time spent on a mobile handset each day is 40 minutes. Id. 846 Id. 847 Id. at 134. 848 CTIA NOI Comments at 28. 849 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 134, 136. 850 Id. at 157. CTIA reports that in the year following the launch of the Apple App Store, more than 100,000 applications were made available through the six different application download platforms from Apple, Google, Pocketgear, Blackberry, Palm, Samsung, and Sony Ericsson. CTIA NOI Comments at 25-27. 851 comScore Reports December 2009 U.S. Mobile Subscriber Market Share, Press Release, comScore, Feb. 8, 2010. 852 Id. 853 Critical Mass: the Worldwide State of the Mobile Web, Nielsen Mobile, July 2008, available at http://www.nielsenmobile.com/documents/CriticalMass.pdf; CTIA PN Comments, Attach. A, at 16. 854 comScore Reports December 2009 U.S. Mobile Subscriber Market Share, Press Release, comScore, Feb. 8, 2010. 855 comScore: Mobile Internet Becoming a Daily Activity For Many, Press Release, comScore, Mar. 16, 2009. See also, CTIA NOI Comments at 59. 856 comScore: Mobile Internet Becoming a Daily Activity For Many, Press Release, comScore, Mar. 16, 2009. 857 comScore M:Metrics Reports Mobile Search Grew 68 Percent in the U.S. and 38 Percent in Western Europe During Past Year, Press Release, comScore, Sept. 15, 2008. 858 comScore Reports 6.5 Million Americans Watched Mobile Video in August, Press Release, comScore, Oct. 31, 2008. 859 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 185-221. 860 Id. at 188. 861 Id. at 212. 862 Id. at 204. 863 BlackBerry, BlackBerry App World Vendor Support - Frequently Asked Questions, http://na.blackberry.com/eng/developers/appworld/faq.jsp (visited Mar. 1, 2010). 864 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 92. 865 Id. at 136. 866 The Commission recently opened a proceeding to explore whether certain core principles could be applied to ensure greater openness that would allow for broadband innovation. That proceeding includes an examination of devices, applications and network management practices of wireless broadband Internet access providers. See Preserving the Open Internet, GN Docket No. 09-191, Broadband Industry Practices, WC Docket No. 07-52, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 24 FCC Rcd 13064 (2009). 867 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 135. 868 See, e.g., Jeffrey Glueck, Perspective of a Mobile Application Developer & Entrepreneur, Presentation at FCC Workshop on Innovation, Investment and the Open Internet, Jan. 13, 2010), at 4-6, available at http://www.openinternet.gov/workshops/innovation-investment-and-the-open-internet.html (discussing the challenges that service provider and/or application store gatekeepers present to mobile application developers); iPhone Facebook App Developer Quits over Apple Process, Daily Tech, Nov. 12, 2009, available at http://www.dailytech.com/IPhone+Facebook+App+Developer+Quits+Over+Apple+Policies/article16805.htm. 869 Finding Value in Smartphones, at 30. 870 Id. at 33. 871 Id. at 30. 872 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 218. 873 Id. 874 Id. 875 Id. 876 Id. 877 Finding Value in Smartphones, at 31-32. 878 Morgan Stanley Mobile Internet Report, at 218; Amazon, Amazon App for Android, http://www.amazon.com/gp/anywhere/sms/android (visited Apr. 28, 2010). 879 Id. 880 Finding Value in Smartphones, at 45. 881 In Japan, 73 percent of mobile phones have a mobile payment capability, and 17 million people make contactless mobile payments from their mobile phones. In South Korea, 12 million mobile phones have mobile payment capability, and 4 million people use their mobile phones to make payments. A limited number of mobile payment trials have been conducted in a few U.S. cities. Stephen Ezell, Contactless Mobile Payments, The Information Technology & Innovation Foundation, Nov. 2009, at 2-3, 26. 882 Stephen Ezell, Contactless Mobile Payments, The Information Technology & Innovation Foundation, November 2009, at 2. 883 Id. at 11. 884 Id. 885 Id., at 2. 886 Finding Value in Smartphones, at 45-46. 887 Stephen J. Blumberg and Julian V. Luke, Wireless Substitution: Early Release of Estimates From The Data from the National Health Interview Survey, January – June 2009, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control, Dec. 16, 2009, available at http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhis/earlyrelease/wireless200912.pdf. 888 Id. 889 Study: More Cellular-only Homes as Americans Expand Mobile Media Usage, NIELSEN WIRE, Dec. 21, 2009. 890 Id. According to the Nielsen Company, the increase comes from the two-thirds of households who have dropped their landlines as well as from young adults who started new households with just a wireless phone service. 891 Stephen J. Blumberg and Julian V. Luke, Wireless Substitution: Early Release of Estimates From The Data from the National Health Interview Survey, January – June 2009, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control, Dec. 16, 2009, available at http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhis/earlyrelease/wireless200912.pdf. 892 See Section V.A.1, Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Type of Service, supra. High-speed connections include lines or wireless channels that connect residential or business customers to the Internet at speeds exceeding 200 kbps in at least one direction. High-Speed Services for Internet Access: Status as of December 31, 2008, Industry Analysis and Technology Division, Wireline Competition Bureau, FCC, Feb. 2010, at 9, available at http://hraunfoss.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DOC-296239A1.pdf. 893 Id. at 5. 894 See Section V.A.1, Mobile Wireless Subscribers by Type of Service, supra. 895 National Broadband Plan, at 42-44; U.S. Department of Justice Ex Parte, GN Docket No. 09-51 (filed Jan. 4, 2010), at 8, 10. 896 National Broadband Plan, at 42; National Broadband Plan, at 42-44; U.S. Department of Justice Ex Parte, GN Docket No. 09-51 (filed Jan. 4, 2010), at 8, 10, 11. 897 National Broadband Plan, at 43 and 64, note 3; National Broadband Plan, at 42-44; U.S. Department of Justice Ex Parte, GN Docket No. 09-51 (filed Jan. 4, 2010), at 8. 898 National Broadband Plan, at 43. 899 Services provided over WLANs are not CMRS services. See 47 C.F.R. §§ 20.3, 20.9 for a discussion of commercial mobile radio services. WLANs are permitted to operate on an unlicensed basis under Part 15 of the Commission’s rules. See 47 C.F.R. §15, et seq. 900 Off-the-shelf, “plug-and-play” WLAN network equipment sold by companies such as Linksys and Netgear has allowed consumers to easily extend the reach of their wireline broadband connections and enabled portability within and around the home. 901 See Seventh Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 13062-13063. Hot spots typically rely on high-speed landline technologies, such as T-1 lines, DSL, or cable modems, to connect to the Internet. 902 See Hotspotr, WiFi Cafes and Hotspots, available at http://hotspotr.com/wifi (16,813 hot spots) (visited Jan.13, 2010); Jiwire, Global Wi-Fi Finder, available at http://www.jiwire.com/hot-spot-directory-browse-by-state.htm?country_id=1&provider_id=0 (visited Jan. 13, 2010) (69,730 hot spots in the U.S.). 903 Hotspot Usage Is Increasingly Shifting Away From Notebooks and Laptops and Toward Handhelds, Press Release, In-Stat, Dec. 23, 2009. 904 Ninth Report, 19 FCC Rcd at 20687, ¶ 221. 905 See AT&T, AT&T Wi-Fi: At a Glance, http://www.att.com/Common/about_us/files/pdf/wifi/Wi-Fi_at_a_Glance.pdf (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (advertising the nation’s largest Wi-Fi network, with more than 20,000 locations in all fifty states); Verizon Wireless, Hit the Hotspots with Verizon Wi-Fi, https://www.verizonwireless.com/b2c/mobilebroadband/?page=wifiaccess (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (advertising “thousands of Verizon Wi-Fi hotspots across the U.S., Canada and Mexico”); T-Mobile, T-Mobile HotSpot Locations, https://selfcare.hotspot.t-mobile.com/locations/viewLocationMap.do (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (advertising over 10,000 locations in the United States). See generally AT&T, AT&T Wi-Fi, http://www.att.com/gen/general?pid=5949 (visited Jan. 25, 2010); T-Mobile, Wireless Internet Access – T-Mobile HotSpots, https://content.hotspot.t-mobile.com/AssetProcess.asp?asset= com.default.main.001 (visited Jan. 25, 2010). 906 Wi-Fi Hotspots: Cellular Handsets and Portable Devices Drive a Market Renaissance, In-Stat, Nov. 2009. 907 See Verizon Wireless, Hit the Hotspots with Verizon Wi-Fi, available at https://www.verizonwireless.com/b2c/ mobilebroadband/?page=wifiaccess (visited Jan. 25, 2010); AT&T, AT&T Wi-Fi: At a Glance, http://www.att.com/Common/about_us/files/pdf/wifi/Wi-Fi_at_a_Glance.pdf (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (stating that “[o]ne-time hot spot connections are available for as low as $2.95 for two hours”); T-Mobile, T-Mobile Hotspot – Service Plans, available at https://selfcare.hotspot.t-mobile.com/services_plans.do (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (advertising “DayPass” and “Pay As You Go” plans with no term commitment). 908 See AT&T, AT&T Wi-Fi: At a Glance, http://www.att.com/Common/about_us/files/pdf/wifi/Wi-Fi_at_a_Glance.pdf (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (stating that “[u]nlimited access to AT&T Wi-Fi hotspots in the U.S. is included for millions of residential, small business and enterprise customers with select AT&T High Speed Internet, LaptopConnect, and smartphone plans”); Verizon Wireless, Hit the Hotspots with Verizon Wi-Fi, https://www.verizonwireless.com/b2c/mobilebroadband/?page=wifiaccess (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (stating that Verizon Wi-Fi is “included for our Mobile Broadband customers.”); T-Mobile, T-Mobile Hotspot – Service Plans, https://selfcare.hotspot.t-mobile.com/services_plans.do (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (advertising $9.99 per month as a “discount for qualifying T-Mobile voice plan customers only”). 909 See Wi-Fi Hotspots Stay Hot In 2008, CELLULAR-NEWS.COM, July 17, 2008. ABI Research Vice President and Research Director, Stan Schatt stated, “Starbucks’ decision to go to a virtually free Wi-Fi hotspot model is having a profound impact. Hotspot owners are beginning to see Wi-Fi as a cost of doing business and an operation expense, rather than as a profit center.” Id. 910 See Starbucks, High-speed Internet Access at Starbucks, http://www.starbucks.com/retail/ wireless.asp (visited Jan. 13, 2010) (High-speed Internet Access at Starbucks); McDonald’s, McDonald’s Wireless Connectivity, http://www.mcdonalds.com/wireless/general_info.html (visited Jan. 13, 2010) (advertising Wi-Fi hot spot access at more than 9,500 locations in the United States); Barnes & Noble, Now at Barnes & Noble, Complimentary Wi-Fi, http://www.barnesandnoble.com/u/Wi-fi-at-Barnes-and-Noble/379001240/ ?cds2Pid=27242&linkid=1508869 (visited Jan. 25, 2010). 911 High-speed Internet Access at Starbucks. By registering for complimentary Wi-Fi access, customers also agree to receive up to four e-mails per year from AT&T. Id. 912 High-speed Internet Access at Starbucks. For all other customers, Starbucks offers two consecutive hours of Wi-Fi service for $3.99. Id. 913 Barnes & Noble, Now at Barnes & Noble, Complimentary Wi-Fi, http://www.barnesandnoble.com/u/Wi-fi-at-Barnes-and-Noble/379001240/ ?cds2Pid=27242&linkid=1508869 (visited Jan. 25, 2010); McDonald’s, Free Wi-Fi @ McDonald’s, http://www.mcdonalds.com/us/en/services/free_wifi.html (visited May 18, 2010). Prior to January 2010, McDonald’s offered two hours of Wi-Fi Internet access for $2.95. See McDonald’s Plans to Offer Free Wi-Fi, CHICAGO TRIBUNE, Dec. 16, 2009, available at http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/chi-wed-mcdonalds-1216-dec16,0,1641922.story. 914 Borders Signs Agreement with Verizon to Offer Free Wi-Fi, PR NEWSWIRE, Sept. 29, 2009, available at http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/borders-signs-agreement-with-verizon-to-offer-free-wi-fi-62675172.html (visited Jan. 25, 2010). 915 Sprint Nextel, Sprint – All Accessories, http://nextelonline.nextel.com/NASApp/onlinestore/en/ Action/OSBrowseAccessoriesDetail?PHONE_ID=FW300DOWMX&catRefName=Data+%26+Memory&selectedAccessoryID=MNX3517Q (visited Jan. 25, 2010). The Sprint Personal Hotspot PHS300S currently sells for $159.99. Id. 916 Verizon Wireless, Verizon Wireless – Mobile Broadband – Products, http://www.verizonwireless.com/b2c /mobilebroadband/?page=products_mifi (visited Jan. 25, 2010); Sprint Nextel, MiFiTM 2200 by Novatel Wireless, http://nextelonline.nextel.com/NASApp/onlinestore/en/Action/ DisplaySelPhoneDetail?phoneSKU=NV2200WFDO&id16=iSearch_MA_060109_MiFi&id16=mifi (visited Jan. 25, 2010). 917 See Sprint Nextel, OverdriveTM 3G/4G Mobile Hotspot by Sierra Wireless, http://nextelonline.nextel.com/NASApp/onlinestore/en/Action/DisplayPhones?phoneSKU=SWW8013G4G&id16=overdrive (visited Jan. 25, 2010). 918 Novatel Wireless Announces MiFi 2372 Intelligent Mobile Hotspot Optimized for North American HSPA Broadband Networks, BUSINESS WIRE, July 28, 2009, available at http://www.businesswire.com/ portal/site/home/permalink/?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20090728005338&newsLang=en (visited Jan. 25, 2010). 919 Wi-Fi in Mobile Phones: Dual Mode Becomes the Thing, In-Stat, Nov. 2009. See, e.g., AT&T, Cell Phones & Devices – Wireless from AT&T, http://www.wireless.att.com/cell-phone-service/cell-phones/cell-phones.jsp?feacondition=allphones&feapaytype=standard&startFilter= false&allTypes=on&feawifiCapable=wifiCapable&allManus=on (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (listing 24 Wi-Fi capable phones or devices from AT&T); T-Mobile, HotSpot Phones: Talk Away!, http://www.t-mobile.com/templates/ListAllPhones.aspx/?features=4ce9c948-6b53-4b76-a3f7-9116f33bd25b&WT.mc_n=TMHSDevice_WiFiLP&WT.mc_t=Offsite (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (listing 11 handsets available to use with T-Mobile’s Unlimited HotSpot Calling service, which allows for unlimited nationwide calls over Wi-Fi); US Cellular, US Cellular – Phones, http://www.uscellular.com/uscellular/zipCode.jsp?type=phones&call=0 (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (Wi-Fi capable handsets from US Cellular can be found by entering a zip code for a valid service area and applying the filter for “Wi-Fi” to the list of available handsets); Cincinnati Bell Wireless, Cincinnati Bell Wireless Phones and Devices, http://www.cincinnatibell.com/consumer/wireless/phones_and_devices/ ?view=fusionwifi (visited Jan. 25, 2010) (listing five handsets available for use with Cincinnati Bell Wireless’ Fusion WiFi service). 920 Letter from Christopher Guttman-McCabe, CTIA, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, GN Docket No. 09-51 (filed May 12, 2009). 921 CTIA NOI Reply at 11. In addition, Sprint Nextel has announced that it will be “embracing WiFi in all its major devices going forward.” Mike Dano, Sprint’s Blackberry Tour to Sprout WiFi Next Year, FIERCEWIRELESS, July 9, 2009, at http://www.fiercewireless.com/story/sprints-blackberry-tour-sprout-wifi-next-year/2009-07-09 (visited Feb. 2, 2010). 922 See Walter S. Mossberg and Katherine Boehret, Testing Out the iPhone, WALL STREET JOURNAL, June 27, 2007, at D1. The first iPhone model was able to seamlessly switch from an EDGE to a Wi-Fi connection, and automatically displayed a list of new Wi-Fi networks in range as the user moves to a new location. Later models of the iPhone – the iPhone 3G and iPhone 3G S – have added 3G UMTS/HSDPA capability and similarly offer Wi-Fi connectivity. See Walter S. Mossberg, Newer, Faster, Cheaper iPhone 3G, WALL STREET JOURNAL, July 8, 2008, at D1; Walter S. Mossberg, Apple iPhone 3G S Is Better Model – Or Just Get OS 3.0, WALL STREET JOURNAL, June 18, 2009, at D1. 923 See AdMob Mobile Metrics Report (Nov. 2009), available at http://metrics.admob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/AdMob-Mobile-Metrics-Nov-09.pdf (visited Feb. 10, 2010). According to the study, the percentage of mobile advertising requests from devices with Wi-Fi capability increased from 19 percent to 55 percent between November 2008 and November 2009. In addition, the percentage of requests over a Wi-Fi network in the United States tripled – from 8 percent to 24 percent – during the same period. Id. at 3. 924 Hotspot Usage Is Increasingly Shifting Away From Notebooks and Laptops and Toward Handhelds, Press Release, In-Stat, Dec. 23, 2009. 925 See AdMob Mobile Metrics Report (Nov. 2009), available at http://metrics.admob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/AdMob-Mobile-Metrics-Nov-09.pdf (visited Feb. 10, 2010) at 3 (stating that 36 percent of U.S. iPhone traffic is transmitted via Wi-Fi); see also AdMob Mobile Metrics Report (Nov. 2008), available at http://www.admob.com/marketing/pdf/mobile_metrics_nov_08.pdf at 2 (stating that 42 percent of iPhone traffic was transported over Wi-Fi). 926 See T-Mobile, T-Mobile @Home, http://www.t-mobile.com/shop/addons/services/ information.aspx?PAsset=TMobileAtHome&tp=Svc_Sub_TMobilAtHomeOvw (visited Jan. 13, 2010); Cincinnati Bell Wireless, Cincinnati Bell Wireless – Fusion WiFi, http://www.cincinnatibell.com/consumer/ wireless/fusion_wifi/ (visited Jan. 25, 2010). 927 Id. Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA) technology enables the seamless mobility afforded by these services, in which calls are automatically switched or handed off from a Wi-Fi to a cellular network, or vice versa, without interruption as a subscriber moves from one location to another. Glenn Fleishman, T-Mobile Might Make Home VoIP Play on Top of Converged Calling, WI-FI NET NEWS, Aug. 10, 2007. 928 Sprint Nextel, Sprint Airave, http://www.nextel.com/en/services/airave/index.shtml (visited Jan. 13, 2010). Customers pay $99.99 to purchase the Airave base station plus a $4.99 per month enhanced coverage charge as well as an optional monthly fee of $10 per line for unlimited calling. Id. See also Sprint Nextel, Airave Frequently Asked Questions, at 3, http://www.nextel.com/assets/pdfs/en/services/sprint_airave_faqs.pdf (visited Jan. 13, 2010). The Airave includes voice, not data, services. Id. at 3. 929 Sprint Customers Nationwide Can Soon Get Enhanced Coverage, Unlimited Calling in Homes, Offices With The Award-Winning Sprint AIRAVE By Samsung, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, July 30, 2008. 930 See Verizon Wireless “Network Extender” Enhances In-Home Call Capabilities, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Jan. 26, 2009. See also Verizon Wireless, Verizon Wireless Network Extender, http://www.verizonwireless.com/b2c/store/accessory?action=gotoFeatures (visited Jan. 13, 2010). Customers pay $249.99 for the Network Extender base station but pay no additional monthly access fee. Id. See also Verizon Wireless, Answers to FAQs, http://support.vzw.com/faqs/Equipment/network_extender.html (visited Jan. 25, 2010). The Network Extender does not support EVDO data speeds. Id. 931 See Prince McLean, AT&T MicroCell to Cost $150, Require No Monthly Fee, AppleInsider, Sept. 21, 2009, at http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/09/09/21/att_3g_microcell_to_cost_150_require_no_monthly_fees.html. Under AT&T’s trial pricing, AT&T wireless customers pay $20 per month for unlimited calling with the 3G Microcell, while AT&T landline phone or Internet customers pay $10 per month, and customers with all three services can use the device for free. Id. See also AT&T, AT&T 3G MicroCell, http://www.wireless.att.com/learn/why/3gmicrocell/ (visited Jan. 13, 2010). The AT&T 3G MicroCell supports 3G data speeds and is currently available for purchase and use in select markets. Id. 932 2009 Femtocell Shipment Numbers Cut by 55%, Press Release, ABI Research, Nov. 12, 2009. 933 Sixth Report, 16 FCC Rcd at 13350. 934 The federal government has multiple ways of defining rural, reflecting the multiple purposes for which the definitions are used. Eighth Report, 18 FCC Rcd at 14834; Facilitating the Provision of Spectrum-Based Service to Rural Areas and Promoting Opportunities for Rural Telephone Companies to Provide Spectrum-Based Services, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 18 FCC Rcd 20802, 20808-11 (2003). 935 1998 Biennial Regulatory Review, Spectrum Aggregation Limits for Wireless Telecommunications Carriers, Report and Order, 15 FCC Rcd 9219, 9256 ¶ 84, n.203 (1999). 936 Facilitating the Provision of Spectrum-Based Services to Rural Areas and Promoting Opportunities for Rural Telephone Companies To Provide Spectrum-Based Services, Report and Order, 19 FCC Rcd. 19078, 19087-88 (2004) (“We recognize, however, that the application of a single, comprehensive definition for ‘rural area’ may not be appropriate for all purposes. . . . Rather than establish the 100 persons per square mile or less designation as a uniform definition to be applied in all cases, we instead believe that it is more appropriate to treat this definition as a presumption that will apply for current or future Commission wireless radio service rules, policies and analyses for which the term ‘rural area’ has not been expressly defined. By doing so, we maintain continuity with respect to existing definitions of ‘rural’ that have been tailored to apply to specific policies, while also providing a practical guideline”). 937 Including the populations of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. 938 Including the populations of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. 939 A larger version of this map may be found in Appendix D. 940 As discussed above in Section III.C.1, Number of Competitors, supra, there are 8 million census blocks in the United States, and a census block is the smallest geographic area for which population data is available. However, we note that we consider a census block to be covered even when only a portion of the block has mobile wireless coverage. In addition, different service providers may provide coverage in different areas within a census block. Any over counting of coverage may be accentuated in rural areas where census blocks are larger. See RTG PN Comments, at 6. 941 See Table 6 in Section III.C.1, Number of Competitors, for the nationwide analog of Table 38. 942 Commission analysis, using American Roamer database, Oct. 2009, and Census 2000 population figures. 943 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6239, ¶ 104. 944 Commission analysis, using American Roamer database, Nov. 2009, and Census 2000 population figures. 945 See Table 7 in Section III.C.1, Number of Competitors, supra. 946 See NTCA, NTCA 2008 Wireless Survey Report, Jan. 2009, at 3 (Jan. 2008), available at http://www.ntca.org/images/stories/Documents/Advocacy/SurveyReports/2008ntcawirelesssurveyreport.pdf (2008 NTCA Wireless Survey). 947 2008 NTCA Wireless Survey, at 4. 948 2008 NTCA Wireless Survey, at 6; NTCA PN Comments at 2. 949 2008 NTCA Wireless Survey, at 9. 950 2008 NTCA Wireless Survey, at 8. 951 2008 NTCA Wireless Survey, at 10. 952 2008 NTCA Wireless Survey, at 10. 953 RTG NOI Comments at 7. 954 RTG NOI Comments at 8. 955 See Sections III.D, Entry and Exit Conditions, and VII.A, Input Segments, supra. 956 See Section III.D.2, Non-Regulatory Entry and Exit Conditions, supra. 957 See Section VII.A.1, Spectrum, supra. 958 Although the chart reflects Verizon’s acquisition of Alltel, it does not reflect the divestiture of certain markets to other providers. See also, Table 25, Chart 41, and Chart 42 in Section VII.A.1, Spectrum, supra. 959 Commission estimates. 960 Commission estimates. 961 In accordance with established practice in using international benchmarking to assess effective competition in mobile markets, the comparison of mobile market performance is restricted to Western Europe and parts of the Asia-Pacific in order to ensure that the countries being compared are roughly similar to the United States with regard to their level of economic and telecommunications infrastructure development. See, for example, UK regulator Oftel’s review of effective competition in the mobile market: Effective Competition Review: Mobile, Office of Telecommunications, Feb. 2001, at 7. 962 See Glen Campbell et al., Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Global Equity Research, Apr. 13, 2009 (Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08). The Merrill Lynch HHI calculations are used in this Report only for the purposes of the international comparison. The HHI calculation for the United States in Section III.C.2, Concentration Measures, supra, differs from the Merrill Lynch estimate discussed in Section X.E, Concentration, infra. 963 In addition, Merrill Lynch has noted that these data have certain limitations for comparing countries that use calling party pays (CPP) versus mobile party pays (also known as receiving party pays). For reasons explained below, the figures for minutes of use may be somewhat understated, and the revenue figures used to calculate average revenue per minute may be somewhat overstated, in markets where CPP is used relative to non-CPP markets. 964 See Thirteenth Report, 24 FCC Rcd at 6290, ¶ 223. 965 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08. 966 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. 967 See Section V.E.1, Price Indicators, supra. Average RPM is calculated by dividing monthly voice-only ARPU by MOUs. Service revenues included in ARPU reflect the fees mobile operators collect from other network operators for terminating incoming calls on their networks as well as monthly service charges and usage fees paid by mobile subscribers. As noted above, MOUs figures may be somewhat understated in CPP markets relative to non-CPP markets (due to the aforementioned double-counting of on-net mobile-to-mobile minutes in non-CPP markets), and the revenue figures used to calculate ARPU may be somewhat overstated in CPP markets relative to non-CPP markets (due to double-counting of mobile termination revenues for off-net mobile-to-mobile calls in CPP markets). Consequently, the RPM figures (ARPU divided by MOUs) probably overstate the difference between RPM in the United States and CPP markets. The potential for service revenues to be somewhat overstated in CPP markets was brought to the Commission’s attention by Professor Stephen Littlechild, and confirmed by Merrill Lynch through e-mail correspondence. 968 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. 969 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. In e-mail correspondence, Merrill Lynch has indicated that RPM figures may overstate the difference between RPM in CPP and non-CPP markets by about 15 percent due to the two factors mentioned above. See also, AT&T PN Comments at 16. 970 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. 971 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. This is higher than the 708 average monthly MOUs estimated by CTIA for the second half of 2008. See Section V.D, Output and Usage Levels, supra. For purposes of comparing metrics in different countries, average MOUs include both incoming and outgoing minutes, and usually exclude traffic related to mobile data services. Figures for MOUs are potentially somewhat understated in markets that employ CPP as compared to the U.S. mobile market and other non-CPP markets due to double-counting of same-network (“on-net”) mobile-to-mobile minutes under the mobile party pays system used in the United States and other non-CPP markets. The double counting occurs because each minute of an on-net call is billed to both the caller and the receiver under the mobile party pays system, whereas under CPP each on-net minute is billed only to the calling party, and therefore counted only once. See Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15976, n.457. 972 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. 973 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. 974 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. 975 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. Reported mobile subscriber figures and penetration may be overstated in some countries, particularly those with a high percentage of prepaid subscribers, due in part to a combination of factors: (1) slow clearing out of inactive users (for example, subscribers who have switched service providers) from their former provider’s subscriber base; (2) multiple device ownership (for example, users of a Blackberry plus a mobile phone); and (3) multiple SIM card ownership (for example, users who switch between operators in order to take advantage of different tariffs at different times of the day or week). See Jeff Kvaal et al., Wireless Equipment Industry Update: Strong Net Adds Drive Higher Phone Units, Lehman Brothers, Equity Research, Jan. 16, 2007, at 4. As noted in previous reports, carriers have widely different policies to determine when to cut off inactive subscribers and to remove them from their reported subscriber base. In addition, it is becoming more prevalent for people to subscribe to multiple mobile service providers. See, e.g., Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 11021, ¶ 190 n.506; Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15976, n.452; Seventh Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 13033, and Sixth Report, 16 FCC Rcd at 13391. 976 See Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. This section discusses HHI measures for different countries but does not discuss or account for any regulatory measures taken in other countries that are designed to protect consumers from potential anti-competitive provider conduct in a concentrated market. 977 This methodology essentially treats all regional and local operators as if they comprised a single fifth competing nationwide operator. Since a certain percentage of the U.S. population lives in areas with more than five competing operators and a certain percentage lives in areas with less than five, the Merrill Lynch estimate of HHI at the national level overstates concentration in some local geographic markets, while understating concentration in others. 978 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08, at 2. See also, AT&T PN Comments at 16 (Compared to the 26 industrialized countries tracked by the OECD, the United States is the least concentrated.) 979 See Section III.C, Horizontal Concentration, supra. 980 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08. As noted above, HHI is calculated based on national market share. The average HHI in the U.S. is 2848 as described in Section III.C, Horizontal Concentration, supra. 981 While there are four nationwide mobile providers in the United States, the HHI for the United States, as described above, is calculated by summing the squares of the subscriber market shares of the four nationwide operators and the residual subscriber market share of all remaining regional and local operators combined, treating all regional and local operators as if they comprised a single fifth competing operator. For countries other than the United States, the HHI generally is calculated by summing the squares of all of the mobile operators, regardless of whether the operator’s network covers a nationwide footprint. If this same methodology were used for the United States, the U.S. HHI would be considerably lower, given the large number of regional and local mobile operators in the United States with sub-national footprints. 982 Id., at 184. 983 Kathy Sandler and Geraldine Amiel, U.K. Mobile Deal Unveiled, WALL STREET JOURNAL, Sept. 9, 2009. 984 Mergers: Commission Approves Proposed Merger Between UK Subsidiaries France Telecom and Deutsche Telekom, Subject to Conditions, Press Release, European Commission, Mar. 1, 2010. The merger approval was conditioned upon the amendment of a network sharing agreement with Hutchison 3G UK and the divestiture of a quarter of the combined spectrum of the merging parties in the 1800 MHz Band. Id. 985 Global Wireless Matrix 4Q08. 1 As a result of partitioning and disaggregation, there often are more than eight cellular and broadband PCS licenses in a market. However, in a few areas, there may be fewer than eight active licenses because certain auction winners or licensees have defaulted on payments to the Commission, because some licensees did not meet their buildout requirements, some licensees returned their licenses, or some licenses remained unsold in an auction. 2 The discussion in this Report is to be distinguished from the identification of the relevant spectrum input markets in the context of Commission review of individual wireless license transfers and assignments. For example, in wireless transactions, the Commission includes, in its evaluation of potential competitive harm, spectrum in particular bands that is “suitable” for the provision of services in a relevant product market. See Applications of AT&T Inc. and Dobson Communications Corporation, Memorandum Opinion and Sprint Nextel/Clearwire Order, FCC 07-19608-259, at 17 ¶ 26 (rel. Nov. 19, 2007)¶ 53; Verizon Wireless/Alltel Order, FCC 08-258, at ¶ 53 (“[S]uitability is determined by whether the spectrum is capable of supporting mobile service given its physical properties and the state of equipment technology, whether the spectrum is licensed with a mobile allocation and corresponding service rules, and whether the spectrum is committed to another use that effectively precludes its uses for mobile telephony/broadband service.”) 3 See 47 C.F.R. §§ 1.948(e), (f), 22.948, 24.104, 27.15, 24.714, 27.904, 90.813, 90.911. 4 While no longer in operation, at one time the Commission’s CMRS spectrum cap restricted the distribution of certain spectrum licenses. Recently, licensees have requested that the Commission take measures to restrict the ability of current major 700 MHz license holders to acquire additional 700 MHz spectrum rights. 5 Under the original cellular licensing rules, one of the two cellular channel blocks in each market (the B block) was awarded to a local wireline carrier, while the other block (the A block) was awarded competitively to a carrier other than a local wireline incumbent. After awarding the first 30 MSA licenses pursuant to comparative hearing rules, the Commission adopted rules in 1984 and 1986 to award the remaining cellular MSA and RSA licenses through lotteries. By 1991, lotteries had been held for every MSA and RSA, and licenses were awarded to the lottery winners in most instances. In some RSA markets, however, the initial lottery winner was disqualified from receiving the license because of a successful petition to deny or other Commission action. Implementation of Competitive Bidding Rules to License Certain Rural Service Areas, Report and Order, 17 FCC Rcd 1960, 1961-62 (2002). In 1997, the Commission auctioned cellular spectrum in areas unbuilt by the original cellular licensees. See FCC, Auction 12: Cellular Unserved, http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/12 (visited Mar. 16, 2010). In 2002, the Commission auctioned three RSA licenses where the initial lottery winner had been disqualified. See FCC, Auction 45: Cellular RSA, http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/45 (visited Mar. 16, 2010). In 2008, the Commission held a closed auction for unserved cellular spectrum that was the subject of two groups of pending mutually exclusive long-form applications. See FCC, Auction 77: Closed Cellular Unserved, http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/477 (visited Mar. 16, 2010). 6 The first auction was for two license blocks of 30 megahertz each in 51 Major Trading Areas (MTAs). FCC Grants 99 Licenses for Broadband Personal Communications Services in Major Trading Areas, News Release, FCC, June 23, 1995. However, in New York, Washington/Baltimore, and Los Angeles/San Diego, only one license block was auctioned, because one license in each market was awarded as part of a pioneer preference program in 1994. Three Pioneer Preference PCS Applications Granted, News Release, FCC, Dec. 14, 1994. The Commission has since had numerous additional broadband PCS auctions. See FCC, Auctions Home, http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/ (visited Mar. 16, 2010). 7 Initially, the Commission’s broadband PCS allocation included 20 megahertz of spectrum at 1910 MHz - 1930 MHz for unlicensed broadband PCS. Ten megahertz has since been allocated on a nationwide basis to Sprint Nextel. See Improving Public Safety Communications in the 800 MHz Band, Report and Order, Fifth Report and Order, Fourth Memorandum Opinion and Order, 19 FCC Rcd 14969, 15083 (2004). 8 Major Trading Areas are Material Copyright (c) 1992 Rand McNally & Company. Rights granted pursuant to a license from Rand McNally & Company through an arrangement with the FCC. Rand McNally’s MTA specification contains 47 geographic areas covering the 50 states and the District of Columbia. For its spectrum auctions, the Commission has added three MTAlike areas: Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, and American Samoa. In addition, Alaska was separated from the Seattle MTA into its own MTAlike area. MTAs are combinations of two or more Basic Trading Areas. 9 The Commission also has reconfigured returned C block licenses. See Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15935, ¶ 71, n.150. 10 Basic Trading Areas (BTAs) are Material Copyright (c) 1992 Rand McNally & Company. Rights granted pursuant to a license from Rand McNally & Company through an agreement with the FCC. BTAs are geographic areas drawn based on the counties in which residents of a given BTA make the bulk of their shopping goods purchases. Rand McNally’s BTA specification contains 487 geographic areas covering the 50 states and the District of Columbia. For its spectrum auctions, the Commission added additional BTA-like areas for: American Samoa; Guam; Northern Mariana Islands; San Juan, Puerto Rico; Mayagüez/Aguadilla-Ponce, Puerto Rico; and the U.S. Virgin Islands. 11 The “900 MHz” SMR band refers to spectrum allocated in the 896-901 and 935-940 MHz bands; the “800 MHz” band refers to spectrum allocated in the 806-824 and 851-869 MHz bands. See 47 C.F.R. § 90.603; see also 47 C.F.R. § 90.7 (defining “specialized mobile radio system”). 12 The Commission has held multiple auctions for SMR licenses. See FCC, Auctions Home, http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/ (visited Mar. 16, 2010). 13 There are five megahertz in the 900 MHz band (200 paired channels x 12.5 kHz/channel). See 47 C.F.R. § 90.617, Table 4B. There are 21.5 megahertz in the 800 MHz band: 14 megahertz in the 800 SMR Service (280 paired channels x 25 kHz/channel) and 7.5 megahertz in the 800 MHz General Category (150 paired channels x 25 kHz/channel). See 47 C.F.R. § 90.615, Table 1 (SMR General Category) and 47 C.F.R. § 90.617, Table 4A (SMR Service). In 2000, the Commission amended its rules to allow Business and Industrial/Land Transportation licensees in the 800 MHz band to use their spectrum for CMRS operations under certain conditions. Implementation of Sections 309(j) and 337 of the Communications Act of 1934 as Amended Promotion of Spectrum Efficient Technologies on Certain Part 90 Frequencies; Establishment of Public Service Radio Pool in the Private Mobile Frequencies Below 800 MHz; Petition for Rule Making of The American Mobile Telecommunications Association, Report and Order and Further Notice of Proposed Rule Making, 15 FCC Rcd 22709, 22760-61 (2000). This could make up to five megahertz of additional spectrum available for digital SMR providers: 2.5 megahertz in the Industrial/Land Transportation Category (50 paired channels x 25 kHz/channel) and 2.5 megahertz in the Business Category (50 paired channels x 25 kHz/channel). See 47 C.F.R. § 90.617, Tables 2A and 3A. As discussed in Section I.A.1.a(iii)(a), 800 MHz Band Reconfiguration and 1.9 GHz Spectrum Exchange, infra, the configuration of the 800 MHz band is changing as a result of a new band plan adopted by the Commission. 14 Principles for Reallocation of Spectrum to Encourage the Development of Telecommunications Technologies for the New Millennium, Policy Statement, 14 FCC Rcd 19868 (1999); see also Applications of Various Subsidiaries and Affiliates of Geotek Communications, Inc., Debtor-In-Possession, Assignors, and Wilmington Trust Company or Hughes Electric Corporation, Assignees, For Consent to Assignment of 900 MHz Specialized Mobile Radio Licenses, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 15 FCC Rcd 790, 802 (2000). 15 Dispatch services allow two-way, real-time, voice communications between fixed units and mobile units (e.g., between a taxicab dispatch office and a taxi) or between two or more mobile units (e.g., between a car and a truck). See Fifth Report, 15 FCC Rcd at 17727-28, for a detailed discussion. Dispatch and SMR are often used interchangeably, although SMR refers to specific spectrum ranges. 16 FCC Adopts Solution to Interference Problem Faced by 800 MHz Public Safety Radio Systems, News Release, FCC, July 8, 2004. 17 See generally Improving Public Safety Communications in the 800 MHz Band; New 800 MHz Band Plan for U.S. – Canada Border Regions, Second Report and Order, 23 FCC Rcd 7605 (2008). 18 See 700 MHz Second R&O, 22 FCC Rcd at 15291, ¶ 1. 19 Deficit Reduction Act of 2005, Pub. L. No. 109-171, 120 Stat. 4 (2006) (DRA). Title III of the DRA is the DTV Act. 20 DTV Delay Act, S. 328, 111th Cong. (2009), amending 47 U.S.C. §§ 309, 337(3)(1). 21 See 700 MHz Second R&O, 22 FCC Rcd at 15291, ¶ 1 & 15295-96, ¶ 14. 22 See DRA. Congress also extended the Commission’s auction authority to September 30, 2011. DTV Act § 3003(b). 23 See Service Rules for the 698-746, 747-762 and 777-792 MHz Bands; Revision of the Commission’s Rules to Ensure Compatibility with Enhanced 911 Emergency Calling Systems; and Section 68.4(a) of the Commission’s Rules Governing Hearing Aid-Compatible Telephones, Notice of Proposed Rule Making, Fourth Further Notice of Proposed Rule Making, and Second Further Notice of Proposed Rule Making, 21 FCC Rcd 9345 (2006). 24 See 700 MHz Second R&O, 22 FCC Rcd at 15291-95, ¶¶ 1-13; Service Rules for the 698-746, 747-762 and 777-792 MHz Bands, Report and Order and Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 22 FCC Rcd 8064 (2007) (700 MHz Report and Order). 25 The Commission changed the location of existing 700 MHz Guard Band licenses, provided for a 1-megahertz shift of the other commercial blocks in the Upper 700 MHz band and in the spectrum allocated to public safety, and reduced the size of the Guard Band B Block to make two additional megahertz of commercial spectrum available for auction. 700 MHz Second Report and Order, 22 FCC Rcd at 15292-93, ¶ 3. In addition, the Commission afforded all Guard Band A Block licensees the same technical rules that apply to the adjacent commercial spectrum and the ability to deploy cellular architectures. Id. at 15294, ¶ 9. 26 See 700 MHz Second R&O, 22 FCC Rcd at 15361, ¶ 195. 27 See id. at 15360, ¶ 206. 28 Id. 29 See Service Rules for the 698-746, 747-762 and 777-792 Bands; Implementing a Nationwide, Broadband, Interoperable Public Safety Network in the 700 MHz Band, Second Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 23 FCC Rcd 8047, 8052 ¶ 8 (2008) (700 MHz Second Further Notice). 30 See 700 MHz Second Report and Order, 22 FCC Rcd at 15295, ¶ 13. 31 FCC, Auction 73, http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/73 (visited Sept. 18, 2008). 32 “Auction of 700 MHz Band Licenses Closes,” Public Notice, 23 FCC Rcd 4572, 4572-73 ¶ 2 (2008). 33 See Lower 700 MHz Report and Order; Service Rules for the 746-764 and 776-794 MHz Bands, and Revisions to Part 27 of the Commission’s Rules, Third Report and Order, 16 FCC Rcd 2703 (2001); Service Rules for the 746-764 and 776-794 MHz Bands, and Revisions to Part 27 of the Commission’s Rules, Second Memorandum Opinion and Order, 16 FCC Rcd 1239 (2001); Service Rules for the 746-764 and 776-794 MHz Bands, and Revisions to Part 27 of the Commission’s Rules, Memorandum Opinion and Order and Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 15 FCC Rcd 20845 (2000); Service Rules for the 746-764 and 776-794 MHz Bands, and Revisions to Part 27 of the Commission’s Rules, Second Report and Order, 15 FCC Rcd 5299 (2000) (Upper 700 MHz Second Report and Order); 700 MHz Second R&O; 700 MHz Report and Order. The 82 megahertz of spectrum does not include the reconfigured Guard Band B Block spectrum at 775-776/805-806 MHz. See 700 MHz Second R&O, 22 FCC Rcd at 15294 ¶ 9, 15388-89 ¶¶ 266-69. 34 See generally id. In addition, in February 2010, the Commission sought comment on a petition for rulemaking requesting that the Commission require that all mobile units for the 700 MHz band be capable of operating over all frequencies in the band. “Wireless Telecommunications Bureau Seeks Comment on Petition for Rulemaking Regarding 700 MHz Band Mobile Equipment Design and Procurement Practices,” RM-11592, Public Notice, 25 FCC Rcd 1464 (WTB 2010). 35 See 700 MHz Report and Order, 22 FCC Rcd at 8067-68, ¶ 6. 36 See, e.g., Lower 700 MHz Report and Order, 17 FCC Rcd at 1032, ¶ 20. 37 See 700 MHz Second Further Notice, 23 FCC Rcd at 8047.. 38 Id. The Commission also indicated that, prior to adopting final rules, it would present for public comment a detailed proposal regarding specific proposed rules to address these issues. Id. at 8052, ¶ 7. 39 See generally Service Rules for the 698-746, 747-762 and 777-792 MHz Bands, WT Docket No. 06-150, Implementing a Nationwide, Broadband, Interoperable Public Safety Network in the 700 MHz Band, PS Docket No. 06-229, Third Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 23 FCC Rcd 14301 (2008). 40 See National Broadband Plan, at 86, 315-316. 41 47 C.F.R. § 24.3. Advanced Wireless Services (AWS) is the collective term we use for new and innovative fixed and mobile terrestrial wireless applications using bandwidth that is sufficient for the provision of a variety of applications, including those using voice and data (such as Internet browsing, message services, and full-motion video) content. 42 Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 10977, ¶ 73. The Commercial Spectrum Enhancement Act, signed into law on December 23, 2004, establishes a Spectrum Relocation Fund to reimburse federal agencies operating on certain frequencies that have been reallocated to non-federal use, including the 1710-1755 MHz band, for the cost of relocating their operations. See Commercial Spectrum Enhancement Act, Pub. L. No. 108-494, 118 Stat. 3986, Title II (2004). 43 Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 10977-10978, ¶ 74; 47 C.F.R. Part 27. 44 Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 10978, ¶ 74. 45 See “Auction of Advanced Wireless Services Closes: Winning Bidders Announced for Auction 66,” Report AUC-06-66-F, Public Notice, 21 FCC Rcd 10521 (2006). 46 Id. 47 See “Auction of AWS-1 and Broadband PCS Licenses Rescheduled for August 13, 2008,” Public Notice, 23 FCC Rcd 7496 (2008). 48 See “Auction of AWS-1 and Broadband PCS Licenses Closes,” Public Notice, 23 FCC Rcd 12749 (2008). 49 Amendment of Part 2 of the Commission’s Rules to Allocate Spectrum Below 3 GHz for Mobile and Fixed Services to Support the Introduction of New Advanced Wireless Services, Including Third Generation Wireless Systems, Sixth Report and Order, Third Memorandum Opinion and Order and Fifth Memorandum Opinion and Order, 19 FCC Rcd 20720 (2004); Service Rules for Advanced Wireless Services in the 1915-1920 MHz, 1995-2000 MHz, 2020-2025 MHz and 2175-2180 MHz Bands; Service Rules for Advanced Wireless Services in the 1.7 GHz and 2.1 GHz Bands, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 19 FCC Rcd 19263 (2004). 50 See Amendment of Part 2 of the Commissions Rules to Allocate Spectrum Below 3 GHz for Mobile and Fixed Services to Support the Introduction of New Advanced Wireless Services, Including Third Generation Wireless Systems, Eighth Report and Order, Fifth Notice of Proposed Rule Making and Order, 20 FCC Rcd 15866 (2005). 51 Service Rules for Advanced Wireless Services in the 2155-2175 MHz Band, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 22 FCC Rcd 17035 (2007). 52 Service Rules for Advanced Wireless Services in the 2155-2175 MHz Band; and Service Rules for Advanced Wireless Services in the 1915-1920 MHz, 1995-2000 MHz, 2020-2025 MHz and 2175-2180 MHz Bands, Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 23 FCC Rcd 9859 (2008). 53 See Advanced Wireless Service Interference Tests Results and Analysis, October 10, 2008 (WT Docket Nos. 07-195 and 04-356). See also “The FCC’s Office of Engineering and Technology Releases Analysis of AWS-3 Interference Tests,” WT Docket Nos. 07-195 and 04-356, Public Notice, 23 FCC Rcd 14669 (OET 2008). 54 Amendment of Parts 1, 21, 73, 74, and 101 of the Commission’s Rules to Facilitate the Provision of Fixed and Mobile Broadband Access, Educational, and Other Advanced Services in the 2150-2162 and 2500-2690 MHz Bands, Report and Order and Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 19 FCC Rcd 14165 (2004). The rules for this band were initially established in 1963 but have evolved significantly since that time. 55 Amendment of Parts 1, 21, 73, 74, and 101 of the Commission’s Rules to Facilitate the Provision of Fixed and Mobile Broadband Access, Educational, and Other Advanced Services in the 2150-2162 and 2500-2690 MHz Bands, Order on Reconsideration and Fifth Memorandum Opinion and Order and Third Memorandum Opinion and Order and Second Report and Order, 21 FCC Rcd 5606 (2006). 56 See WT Docket No. 06-136. 57 Amendment of Parts 1, 21, 73, 74 and 101 of the Commission’s Rules to Facilitate the Provision of Fixed and Mobile Broadband Access, Educational and Other Advanced Services in the 2150-2162 and 2500-2690 MHz Bands, Third Order on Reconsideration and Sixth Memorandum Opinion and Order and Fourth Memorandum Opinion and Order and Second Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking and Declaratory Ruling, 23 FCC Rcd 5992 (2008); Fifth Memorandum Opinion and Order and Third Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking and Declaratory Ruling, 24 FCC Rcd 12558 (2009). 58 The auction started on October 27, 2009 and closed on October 30, 2009. See “Auction of Broadband Radio Service Licenses Closes; Winning Bidders Announced for Auction No. 86,” Public Notice, 24 FCC Rcd 13572 (WTB 2009). 59 Id. 60 See “Auction of 1.4 GHz Band Licenses Closes,” Public Notice, 22 FCC Rcd 4714 (2007). 61 See “Auction of 1.4 GHz Bands Licenses Scheduled for February 7, 2007,” Public Notice, 21 FCC Rcd 9494 (2006) 62 Id. 63 See “Auction of 1.4 GHz Band Licenses Closes,” Public Notice, 22 FCC Rcd 4714 (2007). 64 Long-Term De Facto Transfer Lease Application, File No. 0003108073 (filed July 17, 2008). Crown Castle Announces Long-Term Modeo Spectrum Lease, Press Release, Crown Castle, July 23, 2007; ULS Lease ID L000002305. 65 Transfer of Control of a Lessee Application, File No. 0003573463 (filed Sept. 10, 2008); TVCC Holding Company, LLC, Form 602, File No. 0003635816 (filed Nov. 3, 2008). 66 See Wireless Operations in the 3650-3700 MHz Band, ET Docket No. 04-151, Rules for Wireless Broadband Services in the 3650-3700 MHz Band, WT Docket No. 05-96, Report and Order, 20 FCC Rcd 6502 (2005) (3650 MHz Order), recon. granted in part, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 22 FCC Rcd 10421 (2007). 67 See “Wireless Telecommunications Bureau Announces Start State for Licensing and Registration Process for the 3650 – 3700 MHz Band,” Public Notice, 22 FCC Rcd 19802 (WTB 2007). 68 See 47 C.F.R. § 90.1307. Mobile and portable stations that operate with a peak EIRP of 1 Watt/25 megahertz and receive and decode an enabling signal from a base station are not required to be registered even if used in a fixed mode. See 3650 MHz Order, 20 FCC Rcd at 6513, ¶ 31, n.54; 47 C.F.R. § 90.1333. 1 PCS, digital SMR, and cellular networks are all “cellular” systems since all divide service regions into many small areas called “cells.” Cells can be as small as an individual building or as large as 20 miles across. Each cell serves as a base station for mobile users to obtain connection to the fixed network and is equipped with its own radio transmitters/receivers and associated antennas. Service regions are divided into cells so that individual radio frequencies may be reused in different cells (“frequency reuse”), in order to enhance frequency efficiency. When a person makes a call on a wireless phone, the connection is made to the nearest base station, which connects with the local wireline phone network or another wireless operator. When a person is using a wireless phone and approaches the boundary of one cell, the wireless network senses that the signal is becoming weak and automatically hands off the call to the base station in the next cell. See Sixth Report, 16 FCC Rcd at 13361, n.55. 2 See infra note 307 for a discussion of the cellular analog requirement and its sunset. 3 AT&T, for example, discontinued TDMA service on February 18, 2008, and on Mar. 1, 2008 TDMA service was discontinued on the former Dobson TDMA network. AT&T, Answer Center, http://wireless.att.com/answer-center (visited Sept. 19, 2008). Cincinnati Bell Wireless discontinued its TDMA service in June 2006. Cincinnati Bell, Inc., SEC Form 10-K, filed Mar. 1, 2007, at 5. 4 For purposes of this Report, all of the network technologies beyond 2G that carriers have deployed, as well as those that they plan to deploy in the future, are generally referred to as “next-generation network technologies.” The International Telecommunication Union (ITU) has defined 3G network technologies as those that can offer maximum data transfer speeds of 2 Mbps from a fixed location, 384 kbps at pedestrian speeds, and 144 kbps at traveling speeds of 100 kilometers per hour. See Fifth Report, 15 FCC Rcd at 17695. There is ambiguity among other industry players, however, as to which network technologies constitute 3G and which constitute interim technologies, often labeled “2.5G.” See Seventh Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 12990 and 13038. Therefore, this Report uses a more general label to describe all of the technologies beyond 2G. 5 See Section IV.B.1, Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades, supra. 6 See Seventh Report, 17 FCC Rcd at 12990. This upgrade is also labeled GSM/GPRS because many GSM/TDMA carriers are upgrading their TDMA markets with GSM and GPRS simultaneously. 7 Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15951, ¶ 111. Although WCDMA and WCDMA/HSPA are not backwards compatible with GPRS/EDGE, wireless modem cards that are compatible with both WCDMA/HSPA and GPRS/EDGE, and enable handoff between the two types of networks, are available for use with laptop computers. See, e.g., Novatel Wireless, Products: Merlin U730 Wireless PC Modem Card, available at www.novatelwireless.com (visited Oct. 8, 2008). 8 Tenth Report, 20 FCC Rcd at 15951, ¶ 111. 9 AT&T Nears Completion of 3G Wireless Technology Deployment that Delivers Broadband Wireless Speeds – For Downloads and Uploads, Press Release, AT&T, May 21, 2008. 10 See Section IV.B.1, Network Coverage and Technology Upgrades, supra. 11 See Seventh Report, at 12990; Ninth Report, 19 FCC Rcd at 20650, ¶ 129. 12 Id. See also, CDMA Development Group NOI Comments at 3-4. 13 Sprint Powers Up Faster Mobile Broadband Network in 10 More Markets, Upgraded Coverage Reaches 60 Million People, News Release, Sprint Nextel, Dec. 12, 2006; 3G Americas, 3G Technologies, available at http://www.3gamericas.com/English/PDFs/3G_technology_comparison.pdf (visited Dec. 15, 2008), (3G Technology Comparison). The maximum peak download speed for EV-DO is 2.4 Mbps. Id. 14 America’s Largest and Fastest Mobile Broadband Network Just Got Even Larger – Sprint Customers Can Do More, In More Places, And At Fast Speeds, News Release, Sprint Nextel, June 19, 2007; Verizon Wireless: 100 Percent of Wireless Broadband Network Now Enhanced with Faster Speeds, News Release, Verizon Wireless, June 29, 2007. The maximum peak download speed for EV-DO Rev A is 3.1 Mbps. 3G Technology Comparison. 15 Standards in Wireless Telephone Networks, at 328. 16 See EDGE, HSPA and LTE—The Mobile Broadband Advantage, Rysavy Research and 3G Americas, Sept. 2007, at 16, available at http://www.3gamericas.com/pdfs/2007_Rysavy_091007.pdf. Because OFDM allows signals to pass through buildings and trees, providers can use the technology to offer wireless broadband services without a direct line-of-sight between the transmitter and the end user’s receiver. Eleventh Report, 21 FCC Rcd at 10995, ¶ 119. 17 See EDGE, HSPA and LTE—The Mobile Broadband Advantage, Rysavy Research and 3G Americas, Sept. 2007, at 81, available at http://www.3gamericas.com/pdfs/2007_Rysavy_091007.pdf. 18 See Mobile WiMAX – Part I: A Technical Overview and Performance Evaluation, Mobile WiMAX Forum, August 2006, at 10, available at http://www.wimaxforum.org/documents/downloads/Mobile_WiMAX_Part1_Overview_and_Performance.pdf. 1 Based on reviewing company websites and press releases. 2 T-Mobile USA Launches Blackberry 8820, Press Release, RIM, Mar. 24, 2008, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=1478). U.S. providers carrying the 8820 listed on Blackberry’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberry8800. 3 T-Mobile and RIM Announce the BlackBerry Pearl 8120, Press Release, RIM, Apr. 1, 2008, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=1484). U.S. providers carrying the Pearl 8120 listed on RIM’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrypearl8100. 4 Sprint Bolsters Industry-Leading BlackBerry Portfolio with Addition of the BlackBerry Curve 8330, Press Release, RIM, Apr. 1, 2008, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=1494). U.S. providers carrying the Curve 8330 listed on RIM’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrycurve8300. 5 AT&T Launches the GPS-Enabled BlackBerry Pearl 8110 Smartphone, Press Release, RIM, Apr. 23, 2008, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=1522). U.S. providers carrying the Pearl 8110 listed on RIM’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrypearl8100. 6 Verizon Wireless Unveils Stylish, Intuitive XV6900 For Mobile Professionals, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Mar. 31, 2008, available at http://news.vzw.com/news/2008/03/pr2008-03-28k.html. Product no longer available through Verizon Wireless website, but HTC’s page for the device at http://www.htc.com/us/products/verizon-xv6900 indicates that, when the device was available, it was available exclusively from Verizon Wireless. 7 A Perfect Fusion Of Features And Services – The Nokia N78 Now Available In US, Press Release, Nokia, June 24, 2008, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1230590. 8 AT&T to Offer Next-Generation iPhone on Its High-Performance 3G Network, Press Release, AT&T, June 9, 2008, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=25791&mapcode. Press release indicates U.S. exclusivity through AT&T. 9 Palm and Sprint Introduce the 800w Smartphone, Press Release, Palm, July 14, 2008, available at http://investor.palm.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=321781). Press release indicates exclusive Sprint content, but product no longer available through Palm or Sprint. 10 Nokia E71 makes its US debut at the Nokia Flagship Store in New York, Press Release, Nokia, July 29, 2008, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1238972. 11 MOTO Q Global with Windows Mobile 6.1 Now Available from AT&T, Press Release, Motorola, Sep. 2, 2008, available at http://mediacenter.motorola.com/content/detail.aspx?ReleaseID=5862&NewsAreaId=2). Press release indicates U.S. exclusivity through AT&T. 12 Treo Pro by Palm, Now Available, Offers True End-to-End Enterprise Solution, Press Release, Palm, Sep. 26, 2008, available at http://investor.palm.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=337019. The Treo Pro was initially available unlocked from Palm directly. Subsequently, Alltel began offering the device in March 2009. See Alltel Wireless Now Offers Treo Pro Smartphone by Palm, Press Release, Palm, Mar. 5, 2009, available at http://investor.palm.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=369034). Later in March, 2009, Sprint also began offering the Treo Pro on its network. See Sprint and Palm Announce Upcoming Availability of Treo Pro on America’s Most Dependable 3G Network, Press Release, Palm, Mar. 4, 2009, available at http://investor.palm.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=368795. 13 T-Mobile USA Launches First BlackBerry Flip Phone, Press Release, RIM, Oct. 13, 2008, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=1837). U.S. wireless service providers carrying the Pearl Flip 8220 listed on RIM’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrypearl8200. 14 AT&T Introduces Samsung Epix, the First Smartphone with Built-In Optical Mouse, Press Release, AT&T, Oct. 21, 2008, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=26222&mapcode). Press release indicates U.S. exclusivity through AT&T. 15 T-Mobile Unveils the T-Mobile G1 – the First Phone Powered by Android, Press Release, T-Mobile, Sep. 23, 2008, available at http://www.t-mobile.com/company/PressReleases_Article.aspx?assetName=Prs_Prs_20080923&title=T-Mobile%20Unveils%20the%20T-Mobile%20G1%20–%20the%20First%20Phone%20Powered%20by%20Android). Press release indicates U.S. exclusivity through T-Mobile. 16 Sprint Introduces the Highly Anticipated HTC Touch Pro, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Oct. 24, 2008, available at http://newsreleases.sprint.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=127149&p=irol-newsArticle_newsroom&ID=1217060&highlight=touch%20pro). The HTC Touch Pro is no longer available for purchase from the providers’ websites. 17 Enticing Entertainment – the Nokia N96, Press Release, Nokia, Nov. 3, 2008, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1265787). 18 AT&T Customers to Enter a ‘Bold’ New Wireless World, Press Release, RIM, Oct. 22, 2008, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=1887. Press release indicates U.S. exclusivity through AT&T. 19 HTC FUZE From AT&T Fuses Fun and Function with the One-Touch Power of TouchFLO 3D, Press Release, AT&T, Nov. 11, 2008, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=26299&mapcode). The HTC FUZE is no longer available for purchase through AT&T’s website. 20 AT&T Debuts LG Incite Global 3G Smartphone, Press Release, AT&T, Nov. 18, 2008, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=26322&mapcode). Press release indicates U.S. exclusivity through AT&T. 21 Customers Across the Country Line Up As BlackBerry Storm Blows Into Verizon Wireless Communications Stores, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Nov. 21, 2008, available at http://news.vzw.com/news/2008/11/pr2008-11-21b.html). Press release indicates U.S. exclusivity through Verizon Wireless. 22 Verizon Wireless Adds Samsung Omnia™ To Its Touch Screen Lineup, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Nov. 25, 2008, available at http://news.vzw.com/news/2008/11/pr2008-11-25a.html). U.S. exclusivity through Verizon Wireless indicated by Samsung’s website identifying the Omnia as a Verizon Wireless device at http://www.samsung.com/us/consumer/mobile/mobile-phones/verizon-wireless-phones/SCH-I910ZKAVZW/index.idx?pagetype=prd_detail. 23 Darren Murph, Sony Ericsson XPERIA X1 makes date with US: Black Friday for $799.99, ENGADGET, Nov. 12, 2008, at http://www.engadget.com/2008/11/12/sony-ericsson-xperia-x1-makes-date-with-us-black-friday-for-79/). The XPERIA X1 is no longer available for purchase from Sony Ericsson’s website. 24 Give the gift of beauty and entertainment for the holidays – the Nokia N85 and Nokia N79, Press Release, Nokia Dec. 15, 2008, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1277593. 25 Id. 26 Sprint Launches BlackBerry Curve 8350i for Customers Wanting the Most Advanced Push-to-Talk BlackBerry Smartphone Ever, Press Release, RIM, Dec. 15, 2008, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=1931). U.S. providers carrying the Curve 8350i listed on RIM’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrycurve8300. 27 Messaging made simple – the Nokia E63 heads to the United States, Press Release, Nokia, Jan. 7, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1280903. 28 Nokia 5800 XpressMusic hits shelves in the United States, Press Release, Nokia, Feb. 27, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/archive/archiveshowpressrelease?newsid=1293991). 29 T-Mobile USA to Offer Customers the Thinnest and Lightest Full-QWERTY BlackBerry Smartphone, Press Release, RIM, Jan. 7, 2009, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=1984. U.S. providers carrying the Curve 8900 listed on RIM’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrycurve8900/curve_wheretobuy.jsp. 30 Email the way you want it – Nokia E75 begins shipping, Press Release, Nokia Apr. 6, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1303620). 31 AT&T Unveils New Integrated Devices for Texting, Email and More, Press Release, AT&T, Mar. 30, 2009, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=26664. U.S. exclusivity through AT&T indicated by Samsung’s website at http://www.samsung.com/us/consumer/mobile/mobile-phones/at-t-phones/SGH-I627MAAATT/index.idx?pagetype=prd_detail (identifying the Propel Pro as an AT&T device). 32 Nokia E71x with AT&T in stores across the U.S. today, Press Release, Nokia, May 4, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1310666). Exclusivity indicated by AT&T’s page for the device at http://www.wireless.att.com/businesscenter/NokiaE71x/index.jsp. 33 AT&T Completes Its Full House of Smart Devices with the New Samsung Jack, Press Release, AT&T, May 14, 2009, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=26818&mapcode (indicates exclusivity). 34 Charlie Sorrel, It’s Official: Palm Pre to Launch June 6th for $300, Gadget Lab Blog, WIRED, May 19, 2009, at http://www.wired.com/gadgetlab/2009/05/boom-palm-pre-to-launch-june-6th-300. 35 iPhone 3G S Available at AT&T Tomorrow, Press Release, AT&T, June 18, 2009, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=26868&mapcode. U.S. exclusivity with AT&T of the iPhone 3G S indicated in the fine print/footnote on Apple’s iPhone purchase page at http://www.apple.com/iphone/buy. 36 Verizon Wireless Customers Will Flip For The New 3G-Enabled BlackBerry Pearl Flip Smartphone, Press Release, RIM, June 4, 2009, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=2345. U.S. providers carrying the Pearl Flip 8230 listed on RIM’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrypearl8200. 37 Sprint Strengthens Social Network Connections with Customers, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, June 22, 2009, available at http://newsreleases.sprint.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=127149&p=irol-newsArticle_newsroom&ID=1300933&highlight). US Cellular subsequently made the HTC Snap available on its network and for purchase on its website at http://www.uscellular.com/uscellular/cell-phones/phoneDetailsPopup.jsp?IDparam=prod680004). 38 HTC Ozone Brings Verizon Wireless’ Smartphone Lineup to New Heights, Press Release, Verizon Wireless June 25, 2009, available at http://news.vzw.com/news/2009/06/pr2009-06-25.html. Exclusivity indicated by Verizon Wireless’s webpage at http://www.verizonwireless.com/b2c/store/controller?item=phoneFirst&action=viewPhoneDetail&selectedPhoneId=4848&cmp=KNC-PaidSearch. 39 Nokia N97 mobile computer to begin selling worldwide in June, Press Release, Nokia, June 2, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1319081. 40 The ultimate imaging device – the Nokia N86 8MP – coming to the United States, Press Release, Nokia, July 17, 2009, available at http://pressbulletinboard.nokia.com/2009/07/17/the-ultimate-imaging-device-%E2%80%93-the-nokia-n86-8mp-%E2%80%93-coming-to-the-united-states/. 41 T-Mobile USA To Offer New 3G-Enabled Smartphone, Press Release, T-Mobile, June 17, 2009, available at http://www.t-mobile.com/company/PressReleases_Article.aspx?assetName=Prs_Prs_20090618&title=T-Mobile%20USA%20To%20Offer%20New%203G-Enabled%20Smartphone. T-Mobile’s U.S. exclusivity indicated by name being “T-Mobile Dash 3G” and by the Dash 3G being a new generation of the T-Mobile Dash, which was exclusively available through T-Mobile. See T-Mobile Unveils a New Full-Featured Smartphone, the T-Mobile Dash, Press Release, T-Mobile, Oct. 11, 2006, available at http://www.t-mobile.com/company/PressReleases_Article.aspx?assetName=Prs_Prs_20061011&title=T-Mobile%20Unveils%20a%20New%20Full-Featured%20Smartphone,%20the%20T-Mobile%20Dash. 42 AT&T and Nokia ride a social wave into summer with Nokia Surge, Press Release, Nokia, July 13, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1328505. Exclusivity indicated by AT&T’s page for the device at http://www.wireless.att.com/businesscenter/nokia-surge/index.jsp. 43 T-Mobile myTouch 3G Available in Stores Nationwide Beginning Today, Press Release, T-Mobile, Aug. 5, 2009, available at http://www.t-mobile.com/company/PressReleases_Article.aspx?assetName=Prs_Prs_20090805&title=T-Mobile%20myTouch%203G%20Available%20in%20Stores%20Nationwide%20Beginning%20Today. Exclusivity indicated by full name being “T-Mobile® myTouch 3G” and HTC’s site referring to it as a T-Mobile device at http://www.htc.com/us/products/t-mobile-mytouch-3g?view=1-2&sort=0. 44 T-Mobile USA and RIM Introduce the New BlackBerry Curve 8520, Press Release, RIM, July 27, 2009, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=2437. U.S. providers carrying the Curve 8520 listed on RIM’s webpage at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrycurve8500. 45 T-Mobile USA Debuts HTC Touch Pro2 in the U.S., Press Release, T-Mobile, July 29, 2009, available at http://www.t-mobile.com/company/PressReleases_Article.aspx?assetName=Prs_Prs_20090729&title=T-Mobile%20USA%20Debuts%20HTC%20Touch%20Pro2%20in%20the%20U.S.). U.S. providers carrying the Touch Pro2 identified on HTC’s webpage at http://www.htc.com/us/products. 46 RIM Introduces the BlackBerry Tour Smartphone, Press Release, RIM, June 16, 2009, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=2393. U.S. providers carrying the Tour listed on RIM’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrytour/tour_wheretobuy.jsp. 47 Sprint Gives the Gift of Choice with a Diverse Holiday Lineup for Consumers and Businesses Offering the Benefits of the Now Network™ - Speed, Ease of Use, Exclusive Content and Worry-Free Pricing, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Sep. 10, 2008, available at http://newsreleases.sprint.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=127149&p=irol-newsArticle_newsroom&ID=1195804&highlight=diamond. Verizon Wireless subsequently offered the Touch Diamond for its network. See HTC Touch Diamond Available On Nation’s Most Reliable Wireless Network, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Apr. 9, 2009, available at http://news.vzw.com/news/2009/04/pr2009-04-09.html. 48 AT&T and HTC Debut HTC Tilt 2 and HTC Pure Windows Phones, Press Release, AT&T, Oct. 5, 2009, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=27204&mapcode. Exclusivity of Pure indicated by AT&T’s product page for the device at https://www.wireless.att.com/businesscenter/HTC-PURE/index.jsp. 49 Imagine The Possibilities For Work And Play With The HTC Imagio Exclusively From Verizon Wireless, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Oct. 1, 2009, available at http://news.vzw.com/news/2009/10/pr2009-09-30b.html (indicates exclusivity). 50 The Innovation and Openness of a True Mobile Internet Experience Coming Soon to America’s Most Dependable 3G Network from Sprint on HTC Hero with Google, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Sep. 3, 2009, available at http://newsreleases.sprint.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=127149&p=irol-newsArticle_newsroom&ID=1327394&highlight=. Cellular South subsequently began offering the Hero on its network, as indicated at https://www.cellularsouth.com/cscommerce/products/phones/product_phone_detail.jsp?navAction=push&navCount=0&id=prod26560022. 51 A Powerful New Storm Rolls Onto Verizon Wireless’ Network on Oct. 28, Press Release, RIM, Oct. 26, 2009, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=2590. U.S. exclusivity of Storm2 indicated on RIM’s page for the device at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrystorm/storm_wheretobuy.jsp (Verizon Wireless only U.S. provider listed). 52 Nokia N97 gets even better with a new software update; Nokia N97 mini now available in stores, Press Release, Nokia, Oct. 28, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1350820. 53 AT&T and HTC Debut HTC Tilt 2 and HTC Pure Windows Phones, Press Release, AT&T Oct. 5, 2009, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=27204&mapcode. Exclusivity of Tilt2 indicated by AT&T’s product page for the device at https://www.wireless.att.com/businesscenter/HTC-Tilt-2/index.jsp. 54 Samsung’s First Android-Powered Phone, Samsung Moment with Google, Coming Soon to America’s Most Dependable 3G Network, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Oct. 7, 2009, available at http://newsreleases.sprint.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=127149&p=irol-newsArticle_newsroom&ID=1339737&highlight. Exclusivity indicated by the Moment’s fact sheet available at http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9MTgwMzZ8Q2hpbGRJRD0tMXxUeXBlPTM=&t=1. 55 T-Mobile USA Launches Motorola CLIQ with MOTOBLUR In Stores Beginning Today, Press Release, T-Mobile, Nov. 2, 2009, available at http://www.t-mobile.com/company/PressReleases_Article.aspx?assetName=Prs_Prs_20091102&title=T-Mobile%20USA%20Launches%20Motorola%20CLIQ%20with%20MOTOBLUR%20In%20Stores%20Beginning%20Today (indicates exclusivity). 56 Hello Humans: Droid by Motorola Arrives Next Week, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Oct. 28, 2009, available at http://news.vzw.com/news/2009/10/pr2009-10-27.html (indicates exclusivity). 57 Bring An Android Device Home For The Holidays With DROID ERIS By HTC, Exclusively From Verizon Wireless, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Nov. 5, 2009, available at http://news.vzw.com/news/2009/11/pr2009-11-05.html (indicates exclusivity). 58 Palm Pixi Available Nov. 15 for Just $99.99 Exclusively from Sprint, Press Release, Sprint Nextel, Oct. 26, 2009, available at http://newsreleases.sprint.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=127149&p=irol-newsArticle_newsroom&ID=1346184&highlight=pixi (indicates exclusivity). 59 Nokia E72 in stores now, Press Release, Nokia, Nov. 16, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1355243. 60 The Nokia N900 is now available to US consumers, Press Release, Nokia, Nov. 18, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1355897. 61 T-Mobile USA Launches the Samsung Behold II on November 18, Press Release, T-Mobile, Nov. 13, 2009, available at http://www.t-mobile.com/company/PressReleases_Article.aspx?assetName=Prs_Prs_20091113&title=T-Mobile%20USA%20Launches%20the%20Samsung%20Behold%20II%20on%20November%2018 (indicates exclusivity). 62 Verizon Wireless Introduces the BlackBerry Curve 8530 Smartphone, Press Release, RIM, Nov. 5, 2009, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=2686. U.S. providers carrying the Curve 8530 listed on RIM’s page at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrycurve8500. 63 RIM Introduces the New BlackBerry Bold 9700 Smartphone, Press Release, RIM, Oct. 21, 2009, available at http://press.rim.com/release.jsp?id=2567. U.S. providers carrying the Bold 9700 listed on RIM’s page at http://na.blackberry.com/eng/devices/blackberrybold9700/bold_wheretobuy.jsp. 64 AT&T and HP Introduce HP Ipaq Glisten, 3G World Phone for Mobile Professionals, Press Release, AT&T, Nov. 24, 2009, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=27587&mapcode. U.S. exclusivity of the iPaq through AT&T indicated at http://www.wireless.att.com/businesscenter/hp-ipaq-glisten/index.jsp. 65 Verizon Wireless Announces The Availability Of The Samsung Omnia II, Press Release, Verizon Wireless, Nov. 23, 2009, available at http://news.vzw.com/news/2009/11/pr2009-11-23a.html. U.S. exclusivity of the Omnia II through Verizon Wireless indicated at http://phones.verizonwireless.com/samsung/omnia2. 66 AT&T and LG Mobile Phones Announce the First 1 GHz Smartphone in the United States, the LG Expo, Press Release, AT&T, Nov. 30, 2009, available at http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=4800&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=27621&mapcode (indicates exclusivity). 67 Over the river and through the woods, Nokia knows the way, Press Release, Nokia, Dec. 8, 2009, available at http://www.nokia.com/press/press-releases/showpressrelease?newsid=1359877. 68 Google Offers New Model for Consumers to Buy a Mobile Phone, Press Release, Google, Jan. 5, 2010, available at http://www.google.com/intl/en/press/pressrel/20100105_phone.html. The device must be purchased through Google’s webstore at http://www.google.com/phone. It can be purchased either unlocked for use on any GSM network at a higher cost ($529) or for a significantly reduced amount ($179) if bundled with a two-year T-Mobile service contract. ?? (Continued from previous page) ?? (continued….) ?? ?? Federal Communications Commission FCC 10-81 2 Federal Communications Commission FCC 10-81 Federal Communications Commission FCC 10-81 1 238 Federal Communications Commission FCC 04-216 Federal Communications Commission FCC 10-81 Federal Communications Commission FCC 08-XX 185 Federal Communications Commission FCC 10-81 1 274 Federal Communications Commission FCC 10-81